Why intelligent design fails: Introduction

Posted 13 August 2004 by

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I intend to review a book by Young and Edis (editors) called “Why intelligent design fails”.

In thirteen chapters contributors  Gert Korthof, David Ussery, Alan Gishlick, Ian Musgrave, Niall Shanks, Istvan Karsai, Gary Hurd, Jeffrey Shallit, Wesley Elsberry, Mark Perakh, Victor Stenger and of course Taner Edis and Matt Young show how the foundations of ID are without much scientific support. As experts in their various fields, these scientists take on various aspects of Intelligent Design claims and methodically take them apart.

This book is the lastest in a line of excellent books in which authors have addressed various aspects of the Intelligent Design movement and have shown how Intelligent Design has failed to live up to its scientific claims.

Recommendation:

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In these thirteen chapters, various authors address claims of the Intelligent Design movement., each focusing on their own specialties. Passionately but decisively they take on ID and show why it fails to live up to its claims.

In this part I will introduce the chapters, their authors and their backgrounds.

Chapter 1: Grand Themes, Narrow Constituency

Taner Edis (editor)

Assistant Professor of Physics Truman State University, Ph.D. (Physics) December 1994 The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, M.A. (Physics) 1989
The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, B.S. Highest Honors (Computer Engineering) 1987, B.S. Highest Honors (Physics) 1987,  Bogazii University, Istanbul, Turkey

Chapter 2: Grand designs and facile analogies: exposing Behe’s mousetrap and Dembski’s arrow

Matt Young

Senior Lecturer, Department of Physics, Colorado School of  Mines; formerly Physicist, National Institute of Standards and Technology. PhD, Institute of Optics, University of Rochester, 1967

Chapter 3: Common descent: it’s all or nothing

Gert Korthof

National Institute of Public Health and Environment, biologist. Gert maintains a ]Website: Was Darwin Wrong where he reviews many books relevant to evolution and intelligent design.

Chapter 4: Darwin’s transparent box: The biochemical evidence for evolution

Dave Ussery

Associate Professor Microbial Genomics at the Technical University of Denmark, , Ph.D. in Molecular Genetics, M.Sc. in Physical Chemistry, B.A. in Chemistry

Chapter 5: Evolutionary paths to irreducible systems: The Avian flight apparatus

Alan D. Gishlick

NCSE Postdoctoral fellow, Ph.D. in Vertebrate Paleontology from the Department of Geology and Geophysics at Yale University.

Chapter 6: Evolution of the bacterial flagellum

Ian Musgrave

Senior Lecturer at in the Department of Clinical and Experimental Pharmacology at Adelaide University. Author of Evolution of the Bacterial Flagella

Chapter 7: Self-organization and the origin of complexity

Niall Shanks

Department of Philosophy East Tennessee State University Professor of Philosophy Adjunct Professor of Biological Sciences. Adjunct Professor of Physics, Ph.D. (Philosophy). University of Alberta (1981-87).  and Istvan Karsai, Assistant Professor, Department of Biological Sciences, at Tennessee State University C. Sc. Academic degree: Kossuth Lajos University, Department of Evolutionary Zoology, Ph.D.  degree: Jzsef Attila University, Department of Zoology

Chapter 8: The explanatory filter, archaeology and forensics

Gary S Hurd

Saddleback College. Ph.D. from the University of California at Irvine in 1976, and is a Certified Archaeologist for Orange County and the City of Oceanside. Dr. Hurd graduated in 1976 with a Social Science Ph. D. degree from the University of California, Irvine. Following a ten year stint as a medical researcher in Psychiatry, he returned full time to archaeology. Currently, Dr. Hurd teaches anthropology courses at Saddleback College, and is Curator of Anthropology at the Orange County Natural History Association. He has been active in taphonomic research since 1989, and has also consulted with the Orange County Sheriff / Coroner’s Office on bone modification, and evidence recovery related to suspected homicides.

Chapter 9: Playing games with probability: Dembski’s complex specified information

Jeffrey Shallit and Wesley Elsberry

Dr. Jeffrey Shallit is Associate Professor of Computer Science at the University of Waterloo, in Ontario, Canada. He received his Ph.D. in mathematics from the University of California, Berkeley in 1983, under Manuel Blum. He taught at the University of Chicago and Dartmouth College prior to his present position, and has been a visiting professor at the University of Wisconsin and the Universite de Bordeaux, France. His research interests are algorithmic number theory and formal languages. His book with Eric Bach, Algorithmic Number Theory, will be published in 1995 by MIT Press.

Wesley Elsberry: B.S. (Zoology), University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 1982., M.S.C.S. (Computer Science), University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX 1989. Ph.D. student ( Wildlife & Fisheries Sciences), Texas A&M University,

Chapter 10: Chance and necessity — and intelligent design ?

Taner Edis

Assistant Professor of Physics Truman State University

Chapter 11: There is a Free Lunch after all: William Dembski’s wrong answers to irrelevant questions

Mark Perakh

Professor Emeritus  Cal State, Professor of Physics (1966); Professor of Materials Science(1973); Associate Prof. of Physics (1962); Associate Professor of Material Science(1953); Assistant Professor (1950). 1967: Diploma of Doctor of Sciences (the top scientific degree in the USSR with no equivalent in the USA), Kazan Institute of Technology, USSR. Topic: Internal Stress in Films and Coatings. 1949: Diploma of Candidate of Sciences in Technical Physics (an exact equivalent of a Ph.D. degree in the USA) from Odessa Polytechnic Institute, Ukraine. 1946: Diploma (with distinction) from Odessa Institute of Technology, Ukraine, with specialization in Technical/Engineering Physics.

Chapter 12: Is the Universe fine-tuned for us

Victor Stenger

Professor Emeritus of Physics and Astronomy, University of Hawaii Adjunct Professor of Philosophy, University of Colorado, President, Colorado Citizens For Science CCFS, Research Fellow, Center for Inquiry CFI,  Fellow of the Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal CSICOP Vic received a Master of Science degree in Physics from UCLA in 1959 and a Ph. D. in Physics in 1963.

Chapter 13: Is Intelligent Design science?

Mark Perakh and Matt Young

63 Comments

Bill Dembski · 13 August 2004

My heartfelt thanks to all the contributors of this volume. --WmAD

Pim van Meurs · 13 August 2004

Hi Bill, good to hear that you appreciate the hard work by these contributors. I assume that their comments have been largely responsible for you realizing that "No Free Lunch" was lacking the essential details to be useful in any scientific manner?
Your recent attempts to formalize some of the concepts is admirable and with the help of your critics I am sure we may be able to get the mathematics right this time but there is a problem that does not seem to go away easily namely the criticisms by critics and even some ID proponents that the explanatory filter is unsuitable for inferring new design (Del Ratzsch, Elsberry and Wilkins and others).

steve · 13 August 2004

Serious question for Mr. Dembski:

I've glanced at the discussions by you, your critics, and your supporters. While I'm not an expert in biology or math, I don't see any evidence that your ID efforts have contributed anything to the sciences. We all have to decide what's worth paying attention to, lest we waste our time on unimportant ideas. So I don't yet see any reason to read your books. But perhaps in the future your 'program' will become successful, important, and interesting. I don't expect it will, but it's at least a possibility. Could you suggest how I might know when this happens? What condition or event should alert me that your set of ideas now merits attention and study? Since everyone can't run around analysing every claim, we rely on circumstantial evidence, respected scientific bodies, fellow scientists, etc. to help us sort out the information worth giving attention. What indicator like this will ID achieve?

Russell · 13 August 2004

RE: Steve's serious question.

It's a very good question, and I'm wondering the same thing on behalf of school systems being pressured to incorporate "intelligent design".

Bill Dembski · 13 August 2004

My heartfelt thanks to all the contributors to this volume. May you write many more essays and books against intelligent design. --WmAD

Bill Dembski · 13 August 2004

I can't believe how much I'm posting here. Sorry for the repeat, but my IE program didn't refresh, and so I thought my first post didn't take. At any rate, keep up the good work y'all. --Bill

FL · 13 August 2004

We all have to decide what's worth paying attention to, lest we waste our time on unimportant ideas. So I don't yet see any reason to read your books.[]/quote]

Wait a minute. I have a serious question too.

Are you saying, steve, (given some of the remarks you've made concerning Dembski and other ID advocates in previous posts), that you've NEVER actually read any of Dembski's books at all?

FL

Dick Thompson · 13 August 2004

I just got a book named Kicking the Scared Cow, by James P. Hogan out of the library. It's a collection of heavily spun essays promoting various crank theories over mainstream science, and section one is entitled "Humanistic Religion: The Rush to Embrace Darwinism". I won't consider all his attacks on evolution in detail, I'll bet they'll be keeping talk origins busy for some time, but at the end of the section he brings up Behe and Dembski. And here he says "The response of the evolutionists to these kinds of revalations has been almost complete silence". (page 49) Now this list of books you give above puts the lie to this statement; Hogan's book is copyrighted 2004 so he has no excuse for not considering them. A couple of other statements I have found are equally false, so it disturbs me that this book, which is nicely presented by Simon and Shuster and carries the Dewey Decimal number 500 is going to be a source of falsehood for the public for years to come.

shiva · 14 August 2004

In the centuries past it was difficult to distinguish crank science from real science as most practitioners themselves had no idea of the difference. To play loose with Steve Weinberg (who commented so "pithyly") Newton was not the first great scientist but the last great alchemist. Maxwell in his own way believed in mysterious forces guiding the phenomena he studied and this was about 120 years ago. But then those days scientific work was the pursuit of the aristocracy and the idle rich. with the emergence of the modern university and a liberal state apparatus we have gradually seen a more efficient and sensible allocation of resources in favor of people who follow the scientific method which Victor Stenger tells us is nothing esoteric but the most natural thing to do. Unfortunately the State continues to use certain fiscal mechanisms that still favor those with lots of money but little objectivity. So charitable contributions can equally help set up a fine institution like the Howard Hughes Institute and a questionable ones that spin out crank theories.

P.Hogan works in a free market. Got to bear. But Hey Jude - don't feel bad - need a laugh read Hogan

gwangi · 14 August 2004

Dick said:

A couple of other statements I have found are equally false, so it disturbs me that this book, which is nicely presented by Simon and Shuster and carries the Dewey Decimal number 500 is going to be a source of falsehood for the public for years to come.

I tend to be proactive when it comes to books like this. When I'm in a bookstore and see one in the Science section (and you'd be shocked at how many there are), I'll take it and relocate it to the religion section, making sure to keep it in proper alphabetical order. Every once in a while when I'm feeling mean, I'll stick them in the comedy section.

Ian Musgrave · 15 August 2004

My heartfelt thanks to all the contributors to this volume. May you write many more essays and books against intelligent design.

— William Dembski
G'Day Bill (if I may call you Bill). Sorry to be tardy in commenting, but I have just come back from the International Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics 2004 meeting. This meeting exemplifies why your wish that there will be many more essays against intelligent design will not come about. Evolutionary biology is an astoundingly fruitfull research program, not only does it allow us to understand the diversity of life on this planet, it also helps us design new drugs, develop new, effective threrapetic approaches for AIDS, malaria and cancer and allows us to target drugs to those most at need. I'll be blogging various aspects of this meeting after I get some sleep. In contrast, ID has generated ... nothing. Please do pay attention to "Why Intelligent Design Fails", it may help you understand why ID is not generating a research program, and is doomed to fade away. At least one thing you should do is actually pay some attention to getting the biology right. As a reviewer of some modest ability for a variety of international journals, I would counsel you to talk to competent biologists before attempting to critique biology. I'm glad you found my commets helpful for you chapter in the "Design of Life", but a competent assistant would helped you avoid making the embarassing mistakes you made. Of course, you are not a biologist, but such simple mistakes should have been caught before you released it into the world. The new version is marginally better, but still riddled with problems. Cheers! Ian

Russell · 15 August 2004

In contrast, ID has generated . . . nothing.

I think Ian is being a little harsh here.

While it's true ID has proven something of a dry hole with respect to medicine and science, it's been a real gusher for right-wing politics - at least here in the USA. It's galvanized armies of fundamentalists to support sympathetic and/or pandering politicians from the school-board to the White House, and opened serious cracks in that pesky wall of church-state separation that liberals are always hiding behind.

steve · 15 August 2004

Yeah, I think he meant, nothing worth a shit.

Seriously, though, it has generated a large number of humorous things, and laughter is a great thing in life. From grad students telling biology professors they aren't qualified to discuss evolution, to Kent Hovind's PhD thesis in which Hitler is conflated with Shintoism, to nitwits who allege that thousands of scientists, professors, dozens of Nobel Laureates, and hundreds of journal editors, in dozens of countries, have been peer-pressured into supporting science which is untrue, has no real practical use, and is also a religion, btw.

That's good stuff.

FL · 15 August 2004

I still can't believe you are so quick to offer harsh criticism of ID and specifically of Dr. Dembski (August 10, in case you've forgotten), and yet you have never even actually read any of Dembski's books, steve.

That does not make sense to me.

FL

Pim van Meurs · 15 August 2004

FL: You may have a valid point if 1) Dembski's work was only accessible online 2) Dembski's work had not received wide scrutiny and rejection by science. Of course I would agree with you that for a first hand understanding of Dembski's arguments, his books are important but there are many other online articles in which Dembski makes his arguments and claims.
Nor does it take one to read Dembski to realize that ID has so far generated nothing of much scientific relevance or interest.

Russell · 15 August 2004

We've been told that you'd need at least a PhD in math to even hope to understand the Great Dembski. Why bother to spend the years it's going to take to gather all that training, to be able to understand a "proof" that 2 + 2 = 3?

Ian Musgrave · 15 August 2004

In contrast, ID has generated . . . nothing. I think Ian is being a little harsh here.

— Russell
I was talking about science, as ID is alleged by its supporters to be a scientific movement.

Bob Maurus · 15 August 2004

As has been pointed out by, among others, Eugenie Scott, Intelligent Design can propose, and has, testable claims - Irreducible Complexity being one. It remains a fact, however, that Intelligent Design's central claim - that a supernatural Deity is the Designer in question - is not Scientifically testable.

If Intelligent Design is to stand or fall on the strength of IC claims for Bacterial flagella, immune systems, and Blood clotting cascades, I would suggest that it is in free fall as we type.

Jim Harrison · 15 August 2004

To be fair, it's much easier to pursue science when you don't care what answer you get from nature. The ID folks, to the extent they are willing to put their ideas to experiemental test, have settled in advance on one very specific hypothesis. In effect they have risked all their chips on a sucker bet. You might say that the scientists are betting on the red numbers or the the black numbers while the ID people are betting on 42, but it's worse than that. The scientists are just betting the ball will land someplace. The ID people are betting on a number that probably isn't even on the wheel.

FL · 15 August 2004

Of course I would agree with you that for a first hand understanding of Dembski's arguments, his books are important but there are many other online articles in which Dembski makes his arguments and claims.

Well, PvM, I would think it would be reasonable for a Dembski critic to go ahead and upgrade to a "first hand understanding of Dembski's arguments" by reading his books, prior to laying down harsh criticism. It is, as you said, important. You've got an undergrad here who's referred to Dembski, a double-doctorate, as a "dumbass" in a recent post, (and responds to ID with just about equal harshness in his latest post here) while not even having cracked open any of Dembski's books. I find it interesting that even with steve posting again today, it was ~you~ PvM, NOT him, who mentioned the possibility of at least reading Dembski's online articles. Hmm. I would have at least brought up that possibility if the shoe was on the other foot. "Yeah, I know I've never cracked open an evolutionary biology text while criticizing evolution and/or evolutionists, but at least I read the online Talkorigins FAQs! That's good enough, right guys?" On top of all that, he wants to gripe about grad students telling bio professors that they're not qualified to discuss evolution. Sounds like a potential potkettleblack situation. Obviously, some ID critics HAVE read Dembski's books around here. At least they have modeled the right way to do it: read first, then criticize. At this point, I don't see any intellectually justifiable way to reverse that order. In your attempt to defend steve, you suggest that Dembski's work has received wide scrutiny and rejection by science. I would change that last word from "science" to "evolutionists." Not saying that those of you who are scientists are not scientists; just saying that this issue is far, far, far from over in terms of "science". The debate IS ongoing. For example, I read Barbara Forrest's book the other month, the one you recommended above. (How hard is it to go to a library and read somebody's book and get yo' stuff firsthand, steve?) I read how, in her view, Fitelson Stephens and Sober had come up with these killer objections to Dembski, and how Dembski could only come up with suggesting that FSS 'didn't get it' (her phrasing). To read her comments in her book, Dembski could do no better than that. End of discussion; Dembski loses again. But then I went to Dembski's book (NFL) to actually see what he said about FSS's arguments. And it turns out that Dembski had a LOT more to say, some good specific counter-responses to FSS's claims that somehow, just somehow, Barbara Forrest either missed or... just... didn't... want... to... talk... about. So while it's natural, I suppose, for you to claim or suggest that "science" has examined and rejected Dembski, the honest reality is that, outside of PT, the great debate is still going on, even between scientists, and the jury is still out, concerning ID and its advocates such as Dembski. Finally, you also said, "Nor does it take one to read Dembski to realize that ID has so far generated nothing of much scientific relevance or interest. For something that generates "nothing of much scientific relevance or interest", I can't help noticing the ~massive~ reams of paper and bandwidth that you guys (and your favorite authors) continue churning out constantly on this subject and on its various aspects, scientific and otherwise. Hmmm. Where there's smoke, there's fire.... FL

Russell · 15 August 2004

FL:
it turns out that Dembski had a LOT more to say, some good specific counter-responses to FSS's claims that somehow, just somehow, Barbara Forrest either missed or . . . just . . . didn't . . . want . . . to . . . talk . . . about.

Whoa! There's a surprise! Dembski doesn't concede an inch to his critics! Apparently this counter-response is "good" and "specific" in your view. But how come we can't find a single mathematician to validate Dembski's work?

Do I have to read the "Left Behind" books to fairly decide I don't want to read the "Left Behind" books? I don't think so. (That's why God designed book reviewers.)

Tell you what: if you can show me one mathematician, not affiliated with the Discovery Institute, who publicly endorses Dembski's work, I'll check a copy out of the library.

Wayne Francis · 15 August 2004

For something that generates "nothing of much scientific relevance or interest", I can't help noticing the ~massive~ reams of paper and bandwidth that you guys (and your favorite authors) continue churning out constantly on this subject and on its various aspects, scientific and otherwise. Hmmm. Where there's smoke, there's fire . . . .

— FL
Thats because the "science" he is promoting as new and revolutionary is not new or revolutionary and often nothing to do with the topic at hand but rather just junk to impress the mindless masses. There is no smoke or fire as far as scientific break throughs. There is only Dembski constantly calling the fire dept say there is a huge fire some place and when the firemen get there there is nothing but a painting of what dembski say "Look a HUGE fire" and other people look at it and say "that isn't a fire....it is a picture of a boat in the ocean" and have to walk away in disgust. So Dembski puts out some idea, that is really rehashed from some other work, and labels it as a major break through. His peers then review it and show it for what it is, not relevant or just straight up wrong, then he says that they are not qualified to review his paper even though he sent it to them to review. As far as the "debate" you talk about .... there is no real debate. "Evolution" is accepted its just the methods it occurs by that is now under review. The only debate is from select religious groups that want to ignore all the facts. It is those same groups that are likely to follow Dembski because he says what they want to hear and talks above most of their heads. Not that he would have to as one of my creationist friends has said to me before "I don't want to know about it if it would cast doubt on my beliefs". She openly admits she'd rather hear lies that support her beliefs then facts that cast doubts on them.

steve · 15 August 2004

It is those same groups that are likely to follow Dembski because he says what they want to hear and talks above most of their heads.

Dead on Wayne. What I'm pondering lately is the idea that he knows that's all he's doing. I'm not sure he believes in what he's doing. I would guess he knows it's premature to pursue a theoretical program without at least a rudimentary theory. And he must know they don't have that yet. Well, he might not, because he's a mathematician, not a scientist. It seems possible he's acting in bad faith. But for what reason? I think that's unanswerable, without knowing more about his psychological or theopolitical goals. Alas.

steve · 15 August 2004

Not that he would have to as one of my creationist friends has said to me before "I don't want to know about it if it would cast doubt on my beliefs". She openly admits she'd rather hear lies that support her beliefs then facts that cast doubts on them.

good example of that in a good story on Reed's site, about Koko. Some Texan interviewers talking to a Koko-related scientist and prefacing "We're christians here, don't tell us bout no evilution"

Wesley R. Elsberry · 15 August 2004

I had an extended comment on Dembski's NFL response to Fitelson et alia just about ready to post. Then I discovered that a dog knocking the "ESC" key can wipe the text composition area completely clear without a chance of recovery.

So here's the brief version. Dembski critiques the alternative method Fitelson et alia offer, but ignores the specific criticisms they made of his methods. In two notes, Dembski references Fitelson et alia. One is false claim that Fitelson et alia only offered a likelihood analysis, which ignores all those pesky criticisms of Dembski's methods -- again. The other note essentially concedes the point Fitelson et alia made concerning Dembski's EF and "sweeping the field clear" of chance hypotheses, then makes the incredibly weak rejoinder that the EF could be fallible just like any other procedure in empirical inquiry. Unfortunately, Dembski's claim on page 6 of NFL contradicts this construal of the EF as a tentative and fallible procedure.

There's loads of stuff remaining in Fitelson et alia that Dembski hasn't yet taken cognizance of, much less offered an effective rebuttal to. Just because Dembski bloviates for six pages at a whack doesn't render the content a "good specific counter-response". Did Forrest and Gross miss some stuff? If so, it isn't attributed in the index of NFL.

Pim van Meurs · 15 August 2004

Well, PvM, I would think it would be reasonable for a Dembski critic to go ahead and upgrade to a "first hand understanding of Dembski's arguments" by reading his books, prior to laying down harsh criticism. It is, as you said, important.

— FT
Important perhaps but hardly a requirement. Dembski's work can be found in many forms online. Additionally many critiques have been made available detailing the flaws and shortcomings in Dembski's claims. The lack of much of a responde by Dembski to the most devastating criticisms, combined with his recent admission that the 'experts had not filled in the gaps in "No Free Lunch"" may help explain why his book has not been well received scientifically. Dembski holds out a promissory note that this will be corrected in a future book of his but so far these books have not served such purpose. It does help Dembski present a mostly apologetic argument for his followers but most of it lacks much of a scientific foundation or is soon found to be wrong, incomplete, vague or a strawman. I am more than willing to discuss the many examples I have run across which support my claims.

Finally, you also said, "Nor does it take one to read Dembski to realize that ID has so far generated nothing of much scientific relevance or interest. For something that generates "nothing of much scientific relevance or interest", I can't help noticing the ~massive~ reams of paper and bandwidth that you guys (and your favorite authors) continue churning out constantly on this subject and on its various aspects, scientific and otherwise. Hmmm. Where there's smoke, there's fire . . . .

— FT
FT misses the point. Intelligent design supporters all over the country are trying to get ID introduced in some form or another in curricula. Notice how FT does not disagree with my statement about ID not having generated much of scientific interest (such a position would be hard to support given the factual nature of this statement), but rather FT argues that since people stand up to protect science and science teachings against Christian apologetics, there must be something to ID. Such poor logic is what leads people to take ID seriously, appeal to ignorance, appeal to gaps, appeal to eliminative arguments... So unless FT can show us some scientific relevant contributions of "intelligent design" it is obvious that he is just grandstanding. ID not only has been shown to be fundamentally flawed from a scientific and logic perspective but also barren from any scientific contributions. It's that simple. And it does not require one to read Dembski's books to come to such a conclusion. As far as your claims about Barbara Forrest and Dembski, I would encourage you to present an argument with some details rather than some non-specific accusations. At least that would be the way to present your argument (if any). Fitelson and Sober have indeed presented some pretty devastating arguments against Dembski, not in the least the absence of a probabilistic modus tollens. Could you thus present us with the relevant pages allowing us to verify your claims?

So while it's natural, I suppose, for you to claim or suggest that "science" has examined and rejected Dembski, the honest reality is that, outside of PT, the great debate is still going on, even between scientists, and the jury is still out, concerning ID and its advocates such as Dembski.

— FT
But there is no evidence of a 'great debate' even between scientists considering ID. What should be obvious is that the combination of flawed fundamentals combined with a total lack of scientifically relevant contributions of ID have become its 'Waterloo' so to speak.

Wesley R. Elsberry · 16 August 2004

Hmm. FL, have you read the Fitelson et alia paper? If so, where in NFL is Dembski's "good specific counter-response" to Fitelson et alia's critique of the TRACT and DELIM conditions? If not, how would you know whether Demsbki had a "good specific counter-response" other than just taking it as given that anything Dembski said that referenced Fitelson et alia must simply settle the issue?

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

FT seems to believe that the amount of postings on PT are somehow indicative of the success of Intelligent Design. PT is a forum in which a large number of contributors provide analysis of exciting new fossils, research etc relevant to evolution. In addition PT spends some (significant) time exposing the many fallacies and errors in the ID arguments. Point in case Dembski's latest paper. Various posters commented on Dembski's 'response' to critics finding flaws in his paper or showing how his paper is mostly re-inventing the wheel.

Showing the flaws in ID hardly means that ID is a scientifically viable idea or that it has contributed to scientific knowledge. There is just no positive hypothesis of ID, there are no non-trivial scientific contributions that follow from Intelligent Design. Scientifically speaking ID is meaningless now that its foundations have been shown to be without much merrit.

steve · 16 August 2004

Pim, I look at evolutionists discussing ID kind of like civil engineers discussing the Tacoma Narrows Bridge.

steve · 16 August 2004

Which I also didn't read a book about.

FL · 16 August 2004

Well, some interesting responses indeed. Hmmm, let's see. First, I'm going to say sincere thanks to Dr. Elsberry for his post(s). You can tell right off the the bat that here's a evolutionary scientist who exemplifies "read first, then criticize" as a solid idea. I'll come back to his posts later. (Memo to self: no pets near ESC key.) But first, by way of contrast, let's try some of these other folks. Russell, for example, said:

Tell you what: if you can show me one mathematician, not affiliated with the Discovery Institute, who publicly endorses Dembski's work, I'll check a copy out of the library.

So, Russell, does that mean that you haven't read Dembski's NFL at all? If so, then you've missed out on: a) Dembski's response to FSS (be it good or bad) b) Dembski's response to Tom Schneider regarding his evolutionary algorithm and such c) Dembski's response to Eugenie Scott (on testability) d) Dembski's response to H. Allen Orr (on gradual routes to irreducibly complex systems) e) And his response to Kenneth Miller's claims too. Question is, how can you justify missing all these things this when it would only take the smallest of time and library effort to find out for yourself, Russell? ********** How can some of you guys do all this triumphal "evolution's-right-Dembski's-wrong" rhetoric when you don't even take the time to read up and find out IF Dembski has answered a given set of objections or not? Above anything else, this is what I'm getting at. This refusal to at least "read first" is what I find puzzling. I don't see how you can excuse it at all, especially since a few of you, seemingly the best of you, ARE in fact making the effort to read first then criticize. ********** I see that steve has posted yet some more about Dembski, but he still hasn't even mentioned whether he's at least adopted PvM's escape-hatch and, at a minimum, actually read a few Dembski articles online before commenting on Dembski. A telling omission, mmm-hmm. Might as well mercifully move on, then... ********** Wayne Francis says that one of his creationist friends told him, "I don't want to know about it if it would cast doubt on my beliefs.". That sounds like an unfortunate position for a creationist to take (in terms of a mature Christian evangelism and apologetics), but by now it should be clear that at least your creationist friend is far from alone, Wayne. Some folks don't want to 'know about it' if 'it' would cast doubt on their evolutionary beliefs, it seems. ********** Again, the point is not "Has Dembski knocked out FSS or has FSS knocked out Dembski?" The point is, "Have you read both FSS and Dembski so you can make an informed assessment in the first place?" Dr. Elsberry, you asked if I've read FSS's essay. The answer is yes, in Pennock's book. Also, you ask rhetorically if Forrest and Gross missed some stuff. Let me say that your post here, though not a long post, offers vastly more stuff about Dembski vs FSS than what their entire book did. YES, they missed some stuff, imo, or at least (unlike you) didn't even try to briefly or partially address Dembski's specific NFL responses to FSS. PvM, the pages you ask about are in NFL Chap. 2 (101-110, also see 111-112, a brief mention in 114.) There's some more discussion of Sober in The Design Revolution. I believe that Dembski's responses to FSS are "good and specific" but hey, I could be wrong. I do not deny that. It's just my personal opinion. But you won't be able to know for sure unless you check out both sides for yourself. However, my point remains the same. Even if you know you got a killer response to Dembski vis a vis FSS, at least do like Wesley Elsberry and read the two sides first. ********** PvM, I hear what you're saying about "I would encourage you to present an argument with some details rather than some non-specific accusations" regarding Forrest and Gross, but I know what I read in their book about Dembski vs FSS and believe me, I don't think too much of a detailed argument is needed to at least make clear what I'm talking about. F& G are good with polemic, but it's clear they were willing to not engage Dembski's response to FSS. Elsberry's post at least shows awareness and some engagement, far better than F&G. Again, just my opinion, but if you read those books, you might agree. Or not. ********** Read first, then criticize. That is all I'm really trying to say here. Oh, and I still believe that where there's smoke there's fire (and really, PT folks' output isn't the only indicator, one could read chap. 37, "Aspirations," in Dembski's "Design Revolution" and realize there's liekly something really scientifically interesting afoot there.) FL

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

b) Dembski's response to Tom Schneider regarding his evolutionary algorithm and such

— FT
There is not much of a response which does not repeat much of the errors pointed out already by Schneider. In fact there is little in "No Free Lunch" which really addresses the claims made by Dembski's critics. If you believe that Demsbksi responded to FSS in sufficient manner then I suggest you support your argument with the required evidence. Thus when FT does some grandstanding

F& G are good with polemic, but it's clear they were willing to not engage Dembski's response to FSS. Elsberry's post at least shows awareness and some engagement, far better than F&G. Again, just my opinion, but if you read those books, you might agree. Or not.

He fails to 1) support that F&G are unwilling to engage Dembski's response. You claim this is your interpretation but you give no references to your claims. So what did F&G state and how does this differ from what you claim Dembski did? I assume that you can provide us with a logic argument of claim/counterclaim to show support for your statements? FT still 'believes' (and I do admire his faith) that there is something scientifically interesting afoot here. But other than referring vaguely to chapter 37 in Dembski's Design revolution, there is little to support this. Dembski is good at hypothesizing what ID could do but seems to have some problems with the reality of ID being 1) scientifically meaningless (so far) 2) fundamentally flawed. But perhaps FT could point us to some of the scientific achievements relevant to intelligent design? That would be a start. Scientifically ID has so far been far from compelling. Del Ratzsch seems to be aware of this and willing to stand up to be heard. He is one of the few ID proponents who realizes that many ID proponents think that ID has achieved far more than it really has. Much of it because of the rethorical nature of claims and achievements found in ID literature which remain poorly backed up by any factual evidence. That Dembski is rewriting No Free Lunch to 'fill in the blanks' should be an indication of 1) little interest from ID proponents to do the work needed to make ID scientifically relevant 2) that the claims in NFL are based on poorly developed foundations which in fact have been shown to be flawed by various of its critics. So FT, I encourage you to support and develop your argument about F&G and FSS/Dembski in addition it would be appreciated if you could share some of these aspirations of ID and let us know which ones have turned into good science versus wishful thinking?

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

Btw I assume FT knows the difference between aspirations and reality?

1. A strong desire for high achievement. 2. An object of such desire; an ambition.

Desires versus reality. FT is correct: there may be smoke but it seems to be more of a smoke screen...

FL · 16 August 2004

Just one other item. Dembski also discusses Elsberry on a few pages of NFL and TDR.

Not trying to start debating some more, but reading those critiques increases my motivation to go check out, to go READ, Elsberry's chapter in "Why Intelligent Design Fails" so I can see what he is saying.

Because, after all, I want to know for myself what each side is saying. I don't want to rely on secondhand info for either Dembski or Elsberry or others.

Imo, there is so much to be explored here, back and forth, which author or writer said what in response to what, charting the different back and forth arguments and responses. Could make for a wonderful life hobby.

FL

Wesley R. Elsberry · 16 August 2004

Not trying to start debating some more, but reading those critiques increases my motivation to go check out, to go READ, Elsberry's chapter in "Why Intelligent Design Fails" so I can see what he is saying.

— FL
While that's highly commendable, Dembski's NFL comments refer to the earlier Wilkins and Elsberry 2001 paper and my 1999 review of TDI, not the Shallit and Elsberry essay in WIDF. Fortunately, you can find Wilkins and Elsberry 2001 online at http://www.talkdesign.org/faqs/theftovertoil/theftovertoil.html and a version of my review at http://www.antievolution.org/people/wre/essays/dembski7.html I do agree that it is preferable for people to have some knowledge of what they presume to criticize.

Russell · 16 August 2004

"Could make for a wonderful life hobby."

Yes, indeed. Unfortunately, I have rather a lot of work to do for a living, so I'm still waiting for one competent critic to tell me there's anything worth spending my time on in Dr. Dembski's output. (Especially since, apparently, none but the finest math minds have the slightest chance of grasping it.) So, FL, have you found that critic for me?

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

Okay a few references

Forrest and Gross discuss Fitelson, Stephens and Sober's "How not to detect design" on p 132-135. Forrest and Gross focus on Dembski's response which was posted on his website (five pages). So the first observation is that FT may have missed what F&G were critiquing, it was not the NFL response but Dembski's reply to FSS posted on his own website. F&G urge the reader to read Dembski's Design Inference and FSS side by side to understand the flaws in Dembski's claims.
No Free Lunch is addressed only indirectly on pages 117-118 since it was being released while they were writing their own book.

Russell · 16 August 2004

Oh, I might add, I've never commented on NFL. Obviously, I have no opinion on it. The comments I have made apply only to the writings I've seen on the web - which demonstrate to me the guy has nothing useful, interesting, maybe even correct, to say about biology.

Mark Perakh · 16 August 2004

The author of comment 6470 (writing under a moniker FL) gives an advice to Dembski's critics - "first read and then criticize." A reasonable advice except for being preposterously immaterial. FL praises Wesley Elsberry as allegedly the only Dembski's critic who has read Dembski's work. What a nonsense - besides Elsberry, many other Dembski's critics have thoroughly studied Dembski's arguments (and found them faulty). I don't know who, as FL asserts, has indeed been criticizing Dembski without first having read what Dembski had to offer in his multiple publications. I, for one, have perhaps read more of Dembski than he deserves and criticized his output in many details, and so did others. I my view, all Dembski's attempts to respond to Schneider, Orr, or to Sober et al (as well as to Wein or Erik) failed. As to my critical comments, Dembski has never addressed them in any substantial way, although lately he started mentioning my name day in and day out, but still avoiding any discussion of substance. I am afraid FL himself should follow his advice and familiarize himself with the publications in point before reproaching their authors for allegedly not having read Dembski.

Russell · 16 August 2004

I wonder, also, if FL is aware that Dr. Elsberry's paying job involves taking out the garbage, so to speak, that accumulates around the topic of evolution. For which I'm grateful.

(Still waiting for that one competent favorable critique...)

Great White Wonder · 16 August 2004

FL writes

This refusal to at least "read first" is what I find puzzling.

FL, you strike me as the kind of guy who sees the choppy water and the thunderclouds and feels the wind and smells a bit of ozone in the air and wonders if it's a really bad day to go fishing. But you can't be SURE that it's a bad day until you actually get out on the boat. Then when you get tossed over and you're flailing about you see that your rod is still on board so, maybe, you'll catch a fish after, so it's still too early to say that it's a really bad day to go fishing. Then,.as you swim back towards your boat, you start to sink. As your lungs fill with your water, you wonder if you'll live. To the extent you're not sure you're going to die, it's still too early to conclude that it was a really bad day to go fishing. Then a shark comes and bites your head off.

FL · 16 August 2004

PvM, the copy I had of F&G is back in the library. I remember their comments (and lack of comments) regarding Dembski vs FSS, but no, I don't remember page numbers or each sentence. I was offering the gist of it from memory. Just go get a copy of F&G from the library, find the page where they mention FSS's essay, then compare their comments to Dembski's FSS response in NFL,then you will see how much got left out of F&G for whatever reason. And now it sounds as if you don't have a copy of The Design Revolution, 'cause now you're asking me to offer snips from his "Aspirations" chapter. Ummm......Is Dr. Elsberry the ONLY regular around here who has the presence of mind to actually ~read~ ID books around here prior to doing critiques and comments? ********** By the way, PvM, you've made a habit of invoking Del Ratzsch to serve your POV. So are you willing to agree with Ratzsch on THIS one?

"So, in summary, first, the usual objections to design do not actually establish impermissibility. Second, design does not seem to violate the basic ceteris paribus conditions. Third, there are some scientifically relevant positive considerations for at least permitting exploration of the possibility of design in nature within the scientific context. And fourth, there are at least some possible payoffs from permitting discussion of design in science. Of course, those possibilities may never pay off---empirical investigation may not ultimately tell in their favor. But even if so, it should not be forgotten that that the medium in which science now swims may itself consist of unacknowledged design payoffs."

(NDS, p147). Or how about everything in this snip?

I do not wish to play down or denigrate what Dembski has done. There is much of value in The Design Inference. But I think that some aspects of even the limited task Dembski set for himself still remain to be tamed.

(pg 168). ********** Anyway, I close this post by tossing in some info from the "Aspirations" chapter of TDR for those folks who can't git a copy for some inexplicable reason. Now you may not find the following to be scientifically interesting or relevant. Personally, I do. Dembski wrote, "To be fully successful at overturning its materialistic alternatives, intelligent design must complete these five tasks: 1. Lay out reliable criteria for detecting intelligence. (Snipping the paragraph...Dembski identifies "specified complexity" as that criteria.) 2. Apply those criteria to biological systems. (Snipping paragraph again... ...Dembski points to the bacterial flagellum as an example.) 3. Show that these criteria effectively rule out material mechanisms. (Snipping 4 paragraphs here, including how evolutionary biologists look at things versus the ID community.) 4. Reconceptualize evolutionary biology within a design-theoretic framework. (Again, snipping.) 5. Inspire a fruitful program of biological research that is uniquely design theoretic. "The ultimate challenge facing intelligent design is to inspire a fruitful program of biological research that generates exciting new experiments and ideas for biology---ideas and experiments that would not have been possible asssuming a purely materialist biology. Ideally, somebody should be able to win a Nobel Prize for doing research and inconceivable apart from it. One wasy this might happen is for organisms to exhibit designs that have no functional significance but that nonetheless give biological investigators insight into functional aspects of organisms. Such second-order designs would serve effectively as an "operating manual", of no use to the organism but of use to scientists investigating the organism. For now this remains a speculative possibility, but there are preliminary results from the bioinformatics literature that bear it out in relation to the protein-folding problem. (Such second-order designs appear to reside in the genome. I don't mean to suggest that this is the only way intelligent design can become a research program that is simultaneously fruitful and design specific. But while it makes perfect sense for a designer to throw in an "operating manual" (much as automobile manufacturers include operating manuals with the cars they make), this possibility makes no sense for blind material mechanisms, which cannot anticipate scientific investigators." Dembski goes on to say about the five tasks: "As for (4) and (5), (4) is just starting and (5) remains a promissory note. Intelligent design, live evolutionary biology, therefore has its own promissory notes. The difference is that intelligent design is only now being tried, whereas evolutionary biology has been thoroughly tried and found wanting." Sorry for being so lengthy. All quotes from chap. 37 of TDR. I myself believe that ID has only begun to show itself as "scientifically interesting" in terms of peer review journals and all that. But clearly ID will always be scientifically relevant and interesting, because what all of 1,2,3,4,5 is leading to, is the possibility that today's Darwinism will NOT dominate the scientific landscape tomorrow (the implications of which, of course, would be far-reaching and revolutionary both inside and outside of science.) This would mean a major paradigm shift in science, having to accept design back in the door. FL

Gary Hurd · 16 August 2004

Often I am a bit behind Dembski's publication as he is a hard worker (he also repeats himself ad nauseum). It also slows me down as I always wait for a used or remaindered copy of his latest opus. But, to date, I am embarassed to admit to have read the following (without finding any merit):

Behe, Michael J., William Dembski, Stephen C. Meyer (Editors)
1999 Science and Evidence for Design in the Universe: Wethersfield Institute Proceedings. San Francisco: Ignatius Press

Dembski, William
1994 "On The Very Possibility of Intelligent Design" in The Creation Hypothesis: Scientific Evidence for the Intelligent Designer, J. P. Moreland, (ed). Downers Grove, IL:InterVarsity Press

_______
1998a "The Explanatory Filter: A three-part filter for understanding how to separate and identify cause from intelligent design" © Leadership University 2002
http://www.origins.org/articles/dembski_explanfilter.html

_______
1998b The Design Inference - Eliminating Chance Through Small Probabilities Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

_______
1998c "Introduction" in Mere Creation Dembski (ed). Downers Grove, IL: InterVarsity Press

_______
1999 Intelligent Design: The Bridge Between Science and Religion. Downers Grove, IL: InterVarsity Press

_______
2002. No Free Lunch. Why Specified Complexity Cannot Be Purchased Without Intelligence. Lanham, Maryland: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.

_____ , James M. Kushiner (editors)
2001 Signs of Intelligence Grand Rapids: Brazos Press (Baker Books)

____
2004 "The Design Revolution" Downers Grove, IL: InterVarsity Press

(I was just looking around the office, and I couldn't find "No Free Lunch" or "The Design Inference" and I won't be buying anymore copies).

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

Just go get a copy of F&G from the library, find the page where they mention FSS's essay, then compare their comments to Dembski's FSS response in NFL,then you will see how much got left out of F&G for whatever reason.

— FT
Floyd, I already addressed this by showing that F&G were addressing Dembski's online response to FSS. In fact F&G do not address much of "No Free Lunch" due to the fact that it was released during them writing their book.

Quoting Del RatzshL I do not wish to play down or denigrate what Dembski has done. There is much of value in The Design Inference. But I think that some aspects of even the limited task Dembski set for himself still remain to be tamed.

— FL
Yes, the task set by Dembski is quite limited something Del argues is often overlooked by his supporters (and critics). Much is left to be tamed. I also agree that intelligent design may have some scientific relevance but Behe/Dembski so far do little to further such a position. As far as aspirations are concerned, Dembski already starts of with a hopeful though faulty claim that CSI is a reliable indicator of design. No applications of this concept to biology exist which do not trivialize or turn into a strawman the actual processes (remember Dembski's calculation wrt the flagellum in NFL?). Aspirations perhaps but so far nothing has really taken shape nor is there any reason to conclude that such aspirations may lead to a more fruitful future of ID. Since ID's foundations are quite flawed, I am not holding my breath here. Indeed, the ultimate challenge for ID is to inspire a fruitful program but saying so is not making it so. Any references to where ID is making itself scientifically relevant? So far the few references in the literature are incidental to ID or highly critical. I find the conclusion by Floyd interesting. Failure of Darwinism leaves open the door to design, confusing as is so common among ID proponents non- or anti-Darwinian with evidence in favor of ID. They are NOT mutually exclusive, remember ID is "nothing more than the set theoretic complement of the disjunction regularity-or-chance". (Del Ratzsch)

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

"That Dembski is not employing the robust, standard, agency-derived conception of design that most of his supporters and many of his critics have assumed seems clear."

— Del Ratzsch
and

I think that some are certainly too far in the materialist direction, and they claim that science backs them up on that. ID can at least serve a 'keeping em' honest' function, even if nothing else. I think that ID may very well have things to offer science, but I think that it is too early for ID to claim that it has done so. I don't think that it is just obvious that ID will contribute substantively to science, but I think it has that potential, and that it should be pushed as far as it can be made to legitimately go.

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

And now it sounds as if you don't have a copy of The Design Revolution, 'cause now you're asking me to offer snips from his "Aspirations" chapter.

— FL
You should know better than that. I ask you to present your argument. Aspirations is an interesting chapter which repeats much of Dembski's earlier hopes. So far, they have remained interesting aspirations. See Becoming a Disciplined Science: Prospects, Pitfalls, and Reality Check for ID Compare that with the more recent DEALING WITH THE BACKLASH AGAINST INTELLIGENT DESIGN which provides a 'shocking' insight into the deeper motivations and approaches. Reality must have come down hard... Other than the first book by Dembski which is far too expensive for my taste, I am the owner of most of his relevant 'technical works', as well as his apologetics. Debating Design by William Dembski (Editor), Michael Ruse (Editor) Signs of Intelligence by William A. Dembski, James M. Kushiner The Design Revolution by William A. Dembski, Charles W. Intelligent Design by William A. Dembski No Free Lunch by William A. Dembski Mere Creation; Science, Faith & Intelligent Design by William A. Dembski

FL · 16 August 2004

Mark Perakh said,

I don't know who, as FL asserts, has indeed been criticizing Dembski without first having read what Dembski had to offer in his multiple publications.

That person, Dr. Perakh, is named "steve". That's kinda how all this other back-and-forth exchange got started. "Read first, then criticize." Interesting shark analogy, GWW. I'll keep it in mind on my next fishing trip. Not entirely sure what relevance it has for the evolution vs ID debate, but I'll definitely keep it in mind for fishing, to avoid accidental shark decapitations. PvM, I notice you didn't address Ratzsch's first quotation there (would you do so?) but nevertheless you also do say that "I also agree that intelligent design may have some scientific relevance but Behe/Dembski so far do little to further such a position." Agree on the first half of that quote, disagree on the second half, but glad you said it all the same. At least there's a bit of middle ground in there somewhere. I'll accept that F&G weren't really tuned in to Dembski's NFL response to FSS because NFL was just happening as F&G got their stuff out. Still, I think F&G's strong point is just pointing out the "wedge" aspects in a polemic manner, NOT trying to give an evenhanded understanding of the arguments/responses of each side. Anyway, there you go. FL

Mark Perakh · 16 August 2004

When Ratzsch's book appeared I was the first to post a review of it (a positive one). The quotation from Ratzsch given by FL is from the concluding sentences of the Appendix to Ratzsch's book (in my view, a good book, very favorably differing from what ID advocates usually deliver). It is quite obvious that the phrase about Dembski's having done much good, is just a device to soften the blow inflicted by the preceding quite strong refutation of Dembski's EF. Ratzsch is himself a "design theorist' so, having pointed to the faults in Dembski's discourse he just had to somehow soften the blow thus showing that, despite his critique of Dembski (and of Johnson in his earlier book) he still remains a fathful soldier for ID. Hence the bow in Dembski's address. What actually shows his opinion of Dembski's work is the stuff preceding the concluding sentences quoted by FL.

The ambitious program offered by Dembski, coupled with his incessant claims that Darwinim is dead or, at best, dying, reflect the ID crowd's fantasies - there are no signs that their program has a chance of being really implemented insofar as science is concerned.

Russell · 16 August 2004

FL - yes, I have seen the stuff described in "aspirations" #1 - 5", and it reminds me why I've never been tempted to read the book:

#1 - CSI strikes me as silly, and I can't find a competent mathematician or biologist who says otherwise

#2 - I've seen enough of Dembski's and his friends' "applications to biological systems" to know they're ludicrous

#3 - Is going to require some knowledge of biology - (see #2 above)

#4 & 5 - I see no reason to believe will ever be anything more than creationist pipe dreams.

Jason · 16 August 2004

FL insists that outside of Panda's Thumb, an ongoing debate about ID rages on in the scientific community.

I have to wonder: Where exactly is this debate taking place?

As a biologist/ecologist, I attend symposia, conferences, workshops, and trainings; my job requires me to work very closely with a wide variety of life-scientists from a number of fields; I try as best I can to stay up to date by perusing the professional literature; and from time to time I even get to attend some continuing education programs.

But I have yet to see anything that even remotely resembles a "debate" over ID. In fact, offhand I can't recall a single instance where ID has even been mentioned.

Yet evolutionary theory plays a key role in much of what I do. The evolutionary relationships between ecosystem components and their evolutionary history all factor into the decision-making process. The roles of various types of selection are very key in understanding the current state of certain species. And information about mutational effects are very important in my field.

So again, where is this debate?

Ah, but I recently attended church and listened to a sermon wherein ID was mentioned quite regularly. And it wasn't too far from here (Darby, MT) where ID was debated at local school board meetings. And I hear grumblings from state legislatures about giving "equal time" to ID in high school classrooms.

Thus it seems the "debate" FL refers to isn't taking place in the scientific community, but is instead taking place in the socio-political arena. And that by itself is a good indicator of exactly what ID is, and what it isn't.

When ID starts playing a valuable, informative role in what I do, I'll consider it from a scientific POV. But as long as it is content to remain in the socio-political realm, I treat it accordingly.

Is that unreasonable FL?

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

I'll accept that F&G weren't really tuned in to Dembski's NFL response to FSS because NFL was just happening as F&G got their stuff out. Still, I think F&G's strong point is just pointing out the "wedge" aspects in a polemic manner, NOT trying to give an evenhanded understanding of the arguments/responses of each side.

— FL
Understanding or representation?

PvM, I notice you didn't address Ratzsch's first quotation there (would you do so?) but nevertheless you also do say that "I also agree that intelligent design may have some scientific relevance but Behe/Dembski so far do little to further such a position." Agree on the first half of that quote, disagree on the second half, but glad you said it all the same. At least there's a bit of middle ground in there somewhere.

— FL
My comments that you quoted were meant to address the first quote. I wonder how you can disagree on the second half of my response when the absence of scientific relevance of ID is so obvious?

Great White Wonder · 16 August 2004

FL writes

Interesting shark analogy, GWW. I'll keep it in mind on my next fishing trip. Not entirely sure what relevance it has

It is no surprise to me that you are not "entirely sure" of the relevance of the analogy. The point of the analogy, after all, is to illustrate your blindness to the obvious signs we've placed in front of your face. I don't know if you are an evangelical Christian, FL, but I am going to assume that you are. It's a reasonable assumption, so you'll forgive me if I'm mistaken. But imagine if you will that some mathematicians and scientists who were as crass, delusional and ideologically (fundamentally) hardwired as Dembski is wrote a few books which set forth some exceedingly abstract and obscure algorithms and mathematical theories which were, at the end of the "project", intended to prove what the mathematicians and scientists already claimed to know: Jesus Christ never existed. The scientists and mathematicians tried very hard to get their work published in some Christian "science" journals but they were rejected every time. So then these mathematicians and scientists went around the country to various school boards and demanded that their work be taught in science classes, as further proof that Darwin was "right" that the beliefs of Christians have nothing to do with evolutionary biology. And every time they were rebuffed, these mathematicians and scientists claimed that the only reason their work was being treated so harshly is because religious people were biased against them. Now imagine that there is a blog started by Christians (but which includes quite a few atheists) which is highly critical of the actions of these mathematicians and scientists. Could I expect you, FL, to take the side of the mathematicians and scientists in such a hypothetical blog? And argue for months and months that the scientists and mathematicians aren't being given a fair shake? ARE YOU GOING TO BE THERE? Because rest assured, FL, it would not be terribly difficult to come up a set of mathematical and scientific theories proving that Jesus was bogus. I could pull equations out of my arse that would make the common Christians head spin and tools like "Salvador" would never ever be able to explain to you in a coherent fashion why they are wrong (and if he did, I'd just adjust my equations and thank him for the corrections). It might take some time to find the funding to canvas the school boards but I'm sure I could find enough gays and atheists willing to pay twenty or thirty bucks each to watch Christians sit and spin on a hot poker forged of esoteric mathematical gobblygook. All it would take to get it started are some scientists and mathematicians who are as willing as fakers like Debmksi, Wells, Behe et al. to kiss their principles goodbye and make a career out of being professional assholes. Oh, and you should save this post, FL. You might want to use it as evidence later ... get it?

Pim van Meurs · 16 August 2004

Update: Dembski's No Free Lunch does not address the criticisms raised by FSS but rather the alternative method proposed by FSS. In other words, Dembski did not address AFAICT the major shortcomings detailed by FSS in Dembski's explanatory filter but focused on FSS's alternative method which they claim is a better one. Dembski objects to Sober placing demands on the design hypothesis which are unlikely to be met by ID. That such demands are necessary has been detailed by Gedanken on the ISCID forums.

Russell · 16 August 2004

In the spirit of beating dead horses, here's another analogy for FL, :

Suppose it's 1930 or so. Some Guy has just written a book that purports to show that this new theoretical breakthrough called General Relativity shows that, in fact, Galileo, Copernicus, et al. were wrong, and that it turns out the bible was right all along! Your interest is piqued - so you look up what Albert Einstein has to say about it. He says, basically, so far as he can tell Some Guy's argument is meaningless. Meanwhile, you find out that Some Guy is an avid proponent of a cult that believes no scientific worldview can ever be complete without acknowledging the centrality of Mary Baker Eddy. Are you remiss in devoting your limited spare time to projects you deem more productive? Are you required to read Some Guy's book before objecting to a movement that aims to incorporate it into your kids' science curriculum? Are you ethically bound not to criticize anything Some Guy says until you've given his book a thorough read?

steve · 16 August 2004

Some Guy also fails to publish his theory in the scientific literature; When he does publish in Mary Baker Eddy's journal, and the publications are called failures even by some of his sympathizers, he announces that he will fill in all the blanks soon.

Richard Wein · 17 August 2004

PvM, the copy I had of F&G is back in the library. I remember their comments (and lack of comments) regarding Dembski vs FSS, but no, I don't remember page numbers or each sentence. I was offering the gist of it from memory.

— FL
Well, your memory is at fault then, FL. Let's look at your claim again...

For example, I read Barbara Forrest's book the other month, the one you recommended above. (How hard is it to go to a library and read somebody's book and get yo' stuff firsthand, steve?) I read how, in her view, Fitelson Stephens and Sober had come up with these killer objections to Dembski, and how Dembski could only come up with suggesting that FSS 'didn't get it' (her phrasing). To read her comments in her book, Dembski could do no better than that. End of discussion; Dembski loses again. But then I went to Dembski's book (NFL) to actually see what he said about FSS's arguments.

— FL
First, as PvM has already mentioned (twice), F&G were referring to Dembski's article "Another Way to Detect Design?", not to NFL. Second, F&G do not say that "FSS 'didn't get it'" was Dembski's only response. In fact they address (with quotes) three of Dembski's responses, of which the one you mention is just the first. Nor do they say that Dembski's responses are limited to these three. They simply pick out these three as being characteristic of Dembski's general response to criticism. They then continue: "There is much more to be said about Dembski's slippery methods of replying to critics. But summaries are not the best possible conveyance. The best (assuming that the relevant original, too, has been read with care) is for the serious enquirer to compare critique and response, point for point, provided that he or she has some knowledge of the subject matter." I would strongly concur with F&G on this point. The evasiveness of Dembski's responses to critics really has to be seen to be fully appreciated. By the way, it is not entirely true, as some have said above, that Dembski's response to FSS in NFL is limited to attacking the likelihood approach espoused by FSS. In the following section (2.10) he professes to be responding to their criticism of his eliminative approach. But this response turns out to be nothing but the usual vacuous evasions. (In case I be accused of making unsupported assertions, I refer the reader to my critique of Dembski here: http://www.talkorigins.org/design/faqs/nfl/#resp)

Wesley R. Elsberry · 17 August 2004

Richard's approach to antievolution claims is sound: no matter how reasonable-sounding the claim, check the original source. I regret not performing that bit of follow-through with the claim concerning Forrest and Gross, who have proven time and again to have solid scholarship behind their criticisms.

Section 2.10 of NFL mentions Sober several times, but I have found no mention, even uncited, of Fitelson et alia. I specifically linked my synopsis to items that Dembski actually put in the index of NFL.

Richard Wein · 17 August 2004

You're right, Wesley. I'm afraid I was confusing the critique by Sober alone with the critique jointly authored by Fitelson, Stephens and Sober.

Steve Reuland · 19 August 2004

=Dick Thompson]I just got a book named Kicking the Scared Cow, by James P. Hogan out of the library.  It's a collection of heavily spun essays promoting various crank theories over mainstream science, and section one is entitled "Humanistic Religion: The Rush to Embrace Darwinism".

I went to Hogan's website once, after someone directed me to it because of his pro-ID views. Hogan isn't just an anti-darwinist, he's also a relativity denier, a global warming denier, a Big Bang denier, an HIV/AIDS denier, and a Velikovskian. In short, he's never met a pseudoscience he didn't like. There's a strong current of distain towards the scientific community coming from Hogan when he goes on about these subjects. There's a certain personality type that loves to be contrarian, perceiving themselves as latter-day Galileos heroically struggling against the prevailing orthodoxy of the day. Of course, to sane people they're just cranks. But you see how anything mainstream gets put in the crosshairs simply for being mainstream, and anything unorthodox gets embraced for the same reason. BTW, here's Hogan's website. Try reading his bulliten board to get a taste of the nuttery.

Great White Wonder · 19 August 2004

BTW, here's Hogan's website. Try reading his bulliten board to get a taste of the nuttery.

How appropriate that he resembles the love child of Jeb Bush and George Lucas. http://www.jamesphogan.com/bio.shtml

Frank J · 20 August 2004

Hogan isn't just an anti-darwinist, he's also a relativity denier, a global warming denier, a Big Bang denier, an HIV/AIDS denier, and a Velikovskian. In short, he's never met a pseudoscience he didn't like.

— Steve Reuland
Hogan wrote approvingly of "Forbidden Archaeology" (modern man 100s of millions of years old), but like the typical Ed Conrad "man as old as coal" talk.origins post, the numbers (ages) are conspicuous by their absence. I didn't read everything on Hogan's site, but I found no reference to YEC - no approvals or refutations. Since the YEC timeline is even more at odds with that of FA than evolution's is, one would expect at least equal time for a refutation of YEC, especially since there's a pretense of science. But as you say, Hogan never met a pseudoscience he didn't like. Has any pseudoscientist for that matter? The patterns are interesting - speak approvingly of some pseudosciences but don't necessarily agree, and avoid the less convenient ones whenever possible. Bottom line: the tent is bigger than we think.

Frank J · 20 August 2004

Note also on Hogan's "evolution" book list is the mandatory reference to Michael Denton's "Evolution, a Theory in Crisis" (1985) but no sign of "Nature's Destiny" (1998) where Denton admits common descent.

Steve Reuland · 22 August 2004

I didn't read everything on Hogan's site, but I found no reference to YEC - no approvals or refutations.

— Frank J.
He seems to have the characteristic wishy-washy view towards YEC that other ID proponents have. Which is to say, he nominally rejects biblical literalism, but spends all his efforts attacking mainstream evolutionary theory instead. This passage from here looks fairly typical:

Having said that, I ought to add that I don't have any problem with Creationism--as I see it properly defined. Scientists and much of the media treat the term as synonymous with "Biblical literalist," a needlessly narrow sense, seemingly adopted for the sole purpose of setting it up to be attacked. A broader view would see it simply as not ruling out the possibility of some kind of guiding intelligence at work behind the complexities that we see, which is not at all incompatible with creation over an extended time, i.e. evolution.

Note that there's nothing new about this -- it's a page straight from Philip Johnson, whom Hogan cites approvingly. The game is to accuse "evolutionists" of setting up a false dichotomy, even though it was the creationists who invented that dichotomy to begin with. Simultaneously, you distance yourself from standard creationism, while leaving no positive theory that can be critiqued. Clever, but ultimately vacuous. And like I say, completely unoriginal. One can see this pattern repeat with Hogan's other hang-ups -- about HIV, relativity, etc. All of his claims are stock criticisms that can be found from the leading pseudoscience purveyors of whatever field, which he accepts without skepticism.