The new PNAS article “The descent of the antibody-based immune system by gradual evolution,” blogged by Carl Zimmer (“The Whale and the Antibody”) and Reed Cartwright at PT, brings to mind a famous old declaration by Michael Behe in his 1996 book Darwin’s Black Box:
“We can look high or we can look low, in books or in journals, but the result is the same. The scientific literature has no answers to the question of the origin of the immune system.” Darwin’s Black Box, p. 138
This wasn’t true in 1996, as was documented when PT contributor Matt Inlay reviewed Behe’s immune system argument in 2002 (see “Evolving Immunity” at TalkDesign.org and the hilarious response of ID advocates when challenged). It is even less true now, due to the new PNAS article and other evolutionary immunology research published in 2004 and before. In fact, the ID movement is in total denial about this body of literature, yet ID advocates continue to parade around as if they have some shred of scientific credibility behind their rhetoric. They even have the gall to claim that the scientific mainstream is dogmatically oppressing them – it’s rather like a geocentrist arguing for a stationary earth without considering Foucault’s Pendulum.
I’ll take the liberty of making some predictions for 2005:
26 Comments
Reed A. Cartwright · 31 December 2004
Wow, a top ten list that has ten items in it; who would have thought?
Del · 1 January 2005
If Bush gets to stack the Supreme Court with Scalia clones as he has promised, they won't have to 'slip past'. Hopefully some moderate Republicans will join the Democrats and not allow that to happen.
Steve F · 1 January 2005
"Anyone new to "intelligent design" (such as scientists, parents, teachers, school boards, judges, and reporters) who investigates the topic in detail will become aware of these kinds of gaping holes in ID. They will therefore see ID for what it actually is: a fake scientific movement, designed for the purpose of slipping theological apologetics past the Supreme Court and into public school science classes, in order to support a certain subset of protestant evangelical Christianity that considers special creationism to be crucial support for the faith."
Sadly I feel this may be an optimistic prediction.
Frank J · 1 January 2005
Speaking of "Happy New Year ID movement" . . .
Cary · 1 January 2005
You know, it (facetiously) occurs me that if creationists want us to point out evolutionary theory's shortcomings in the science classroom, it's only fair that they should have to point out creationism's shortcomings in bibleschool.
More seriously, this is an awesome discovery. More gap-filling to point out to the pro-ID people.
Pete · 1 January 2005
Matt Inlay · 1 January 2005
11. ID theorists will not produce an ID model that can even remotely be described as "detailed" or "testable" for the origin of the immune system, or any other IC system for that matter.
Flint · 2 January 2005
This fairly extensive list can be boiled down to only two predictions, which subsume all the ramifications:
1) Continuing research will keep discovering ever-clearer refutations to creationist doctrine.
2) Since evidence is irrelevant to doctrine, creationist tactics won't change.
Frank J · 2 January 2005
Flint · 2 January 2005
DaveScot · 2 January 2005
I'll be more impressed about the kind of immune systems that dinosaurs have if someone can first tell me whether their T-cells and such were floating in warm or cold blood.
LOL! Amazing. We don't know whether creatures just a few tens of millions of years old had warm or cold blood but we're claiming to know what kind of immune cells were in creatures hundreds of millions of years old?
Gimme a break.
Creationist Timmy · 3 January 2005
I know, right? We don't even know if they breathed helium, or were made out of antimatter, or had the power of invisibility, but these scientists want to say they had immune cells? Those dorks.
Andrea Bottaro · 3 January 2005
DaveScot · 4 January 2005
So infer for me whether dinosaurs had warm or cold blood. If you can infer the kind of immune cells they had surely you can infer whether they were warm or cold blooded.
You boys do an awful lot of inferring in evolutionary science, huh? Almost like it's a forensic science with no hard proofs about anything - just a bunch of guesswork with more or less chance of being correct guesses.
Andrea Bottaro · 4 January 2005
DaveScot · 4 January 2005
"All sciences do a lot of inferring, DaveScot. We never went outside our solar system, but we know quite a bit about what's going on in the rest of the universe. Ever wondered why? Again, inferences are not guesses."
No, I never wondered why because we can directly observe the sky. The sky isn't something that happened in the past. It's there right now. Just go outside at night and look up at it if you don't believe me. Evolution on the other hand is something that happened in the past. I can't observe an amoeba as it turns into a rhinoceros as I can look at the moon rising and setting and waxing and waning.
And yes, inference IS a guess. It may be an arbitrarily good or bad guess but it is still a guess. Direct observation is not guesswork.
Andrea Bottaro · 4 January 2005
I guess you think we can directly observe clouds of dust turn into stars, planets orbiting distant suns, the universe expanding, or what's inside black holes, uh?
Flint · 4 January 2005
Well, at least we have a real live example of what it means to have absolutely positively NO grasp of what science means, whatsoever.
Do you suppose it's worth pointing out that when we look up at the stars, we are seeing the past and inferring that stars shone in the past? We sure aren't seeing them in the present. Do you suppose it's worth pointing out that evidence means anything, that inferences are based on evidence and guesses are not? Do you suppose we might infer that our educational system is being demonstrated to have totally failed in at least this case?
charlie wagner · 4 January 2005
Wedgie World · 4 January 2005
TonyL · 4 January 2005
Gav · 4 January 2005
Andrea Bottaro said "However, technically speaking, all existing avian
dinosaurs, and by inference their extinct ancestors to the last common
ancestor, are (and were) warm-blooded." That's a reasonable inference but I'm not sure that's a safe one. I mean, if the only evidence for Heterocephalus glaber were a fossil it would be reasonable to think that as a mammal it was warm blooded too. And some of H. glaber's relations are neither one thing nor the other, I'm told. Although I loved Dr Bakker's "dinosaur heresies" when it came out, it's probably safer to say some may have been, than all were.
Matt Inlay · 4 January 2005
Andrea Bottaro · 4 January 2005
Gav:
OK, OK, fair enough, though of course naked mole rats' ectothermy is a derived character. So, I should have said "all known existing avian dinosaurs, and by inference their extinct ancestors to the last common ancestor, are (and were) warm-blooded."
The point, with respect to DaveScot's claim that we couldn't infer the warm- or cold-bloodedness of dinosaurs, is that in fact for many of them we can.
Man, tough crowd... ;-)
MakeMineRed · 5 January 2005
Charlie Wagner -
You wrote:
"How was this integration accomplished without intelligent input? How can random events have the insight to "integrate" (use different structures and different processes together in such a way that they not only support each other, but support the overall function of the system) components into a working system? And how does this process decide if the system is working?"
An obvious assumption to make, given the tenor of your remarks, is that you are aware of evolutionary theory. And as it turns out, the paragraph of yours I quoted above is a pretty good layman's description of evolutionary theory - random events bringing together different processes and structures to support the working system in a different, and perhaps better, fashion than before. Since you know the theory, you know the answer to your question - success is determined by passing on the new arrangement. Congratulations, Charlie! You've done such a good job of summing up evolutionary theory that I'll use it in my class!
MakeMineRed
Zoonhollis · 6 January 2005
"The sky isn't something that happened in the past. It's there right now."
Wow. This statement belies an ignorance beyond amazing. Indeed, when we look into the sky, we are looking into the deep past (as well as the recent past and the present); the further the subject of observation, the more distant the event was in the past. Could anything be more basic?