Answering Diepenbrock's Challenge

Posted 24 February 2005 by

↗ The current version of this post is on the live site: https://pandasthumb.org/archives/2005/02/answering-diepe.html

George Diepenbrock is a reporter for the Southwest Daily Times, a newspaper in Kansas. At the conclusion of this recent article about the latest evolution dust-up in Kansas, he offers the following challenge to those who wish to keep ID out of science classrooms:

This scares opponents to death because they are more worried about Kansas gaining criticism from national media as it did in 1999.

Instead opponents should come up with a good argument on why teaching only the evolution theory does not violate the state education science mission statement to make all students lifelong learners who can use science to make reasoned decisions.

Presenting only one life science theory in classes without alternatives breeds ignorance and violates the mission statement.

I have answered his challenge in this blog entry over at EvolutionBlog. Whether I have answered successfully I will leave to others to decide.

312 Comments

Don T. Know · 24 February 2005

Instead opponents should come up with a good argument on why teaching only the evolution theory does not violate the state education science mission statement to make all students lifelong learners who can use science to make reasoned decisions. Presenting only one life science theory in classes without alternatives breeds ignorance and violates the mission statement.

As soon as a SCIENTIFIC alternative to evolution is forthcoming, I'm sure those responsible will appropriately modify the curriculum. Ignorance would be to cloak religion as science and "teach it" in the science classroom in order to appease fundamentalists who won a publicity campaign.

ts · 24 February 2005

The guy's name links to editor@swdtimes.com; why not send it there? But fix that misspelling of his name: "Diepnbrock". Also, a mention of what "theory" means is warranted, and it might be nice to contrast the number of peer reviewed articles on ID with the number on evolution published in the last ... 50 years? Year? Week? Day?

Grand Moff Texan · 24 February 2005

OT: Powerline -vs- Pharyngula (in a show with everything but Yul Brenner):

here and here.

Keanus · 24 February 2005

I like you piece Jason, but only wish it could be shorter. I'm prone to such prolixity and so I often wrestle with trying to cut my prose, usually believing that every word is critical. But given the tenor of Mr. Diepenbrock's article and the prospect that it might make it into his paper, brevity might give your response more power. It now runs to more than 1200 words; no more than half of that would give it much more punch.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

I think that Jason and company may be missing the point here.

Like Darwinism, Intelligent Design is an interpretation of biological data, and as such, it has as much right to be in science classrooms as Darwinism. In fact, it has approximately twice as much right to be there as Darwinism, because it is confirmed at approximately twice the rate.

Here's why. We can reduce the basic Darwinian hypothesis to the following pair of assertions:

1. Although adaptive mutations are independent of fitness, they may be taken for granted (no further explanation required).

2. Due to natural selection, these mutations accumulate exclusively along certain lines of inheritance characterized by "fitness" (i.e., along those lines consisting of organisms which survive long enough to successfully reproduce).

Any instance of evolution confirming the Darwinian hypothesis does so through 2 alone. That is, because 1 posits no relationship between mutation and fitness, but merely takes something for granted, it is not a substantive part of the hypothesis.

On the other hand, the ID hypothesis asserts that:

1'. The occurrence of beneficial mutations is related to fitness (in a hypothetical design process).

2'. Identical to 2 above; since natural selection is trivial, ID is allowed to incorporate it as well.

Any instance of evolution confirms the ID hypothesis through both 1' and 2'. That is, because 1' posits a relationship between mutation and fitness rather than merely taking something for granted, and since this relationship accounts for the observed fact that some mutations are adaptive, it has substantive hypothetical content. Since the ID hypothesis makes twice as many relevant explanatory assertions as the Darwinian hypothesis (including natural selection), and since the data confirm both of these assertions, the ID hypothesis is confirmed at a correspondingly higher rate. [QED]

Of course, it would be fine to confine the classroom treatment of long-term biological change to just the data. But if the Darwinian interpretation of these data is to be included in the lessons, then ID needs to be included with approximately twice the urgency.

The problem is not merely that many high school teachers fail to understand the actual differences between these competing hypotheses; more generally, they fail to understand the logic of scientific confirmation. This is fair neither to the students they are paid to educate, nor to the taxpaying citizens who pay them to do so.

Unfortunately, their counterparts in the university system, including Jason here, have not been helping them fill the gaps in their knowledge. Instead, Jason and others have been making matters worse by openly displaying the same kinds of ignorance and prejudice.

Obviously, Jason and his fellow pundits need to behave more responsibly in this regard.

ts · 25 February 2005

Any instance of evolution confirms the ID hypothesis through both 1' and 2'.

There is no question that all instances of all phenomena confirm the "hypothesis" that "goddidit". But scientific hypotheses are confirmed through observational negation of potentially disconfirming tests. There are no potentially disconfirming tests for ID, whereas there are millions of potentially disconfirming tests for the theory of evolution that have been observationally negated.

they fail to understand the logic of scientific confirmation

A spot of humor there.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

"...there are millions of potentially disconfirming tests for the theory of evolution that have been observationally negated."

Humor indeed.

ts · 25 February 2005

I like you piece Jason, but only wish it could be shorter.

I think the basic problem with the piece is that it's aimed at someone who is already familiar with the theory of evolution and the evidence that supports it, but anyone who refers to evolution as "only one life science theory" clearly hasn't got a clue.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

Another problem may be that the theory of evolution is so trivial that virtually any other "life science theory" properly contains it (unless, unlike ID theory, it denies long-term biological change of any kind). Thus, even were it true to say that "millions of potentially disconfirming tests for the theory of evolution have been observationally negated," disconfirming tests for these other theories would be negated in the bargain.

DonkeyKong · 25 February 2005

Fact or Fiction?

Fact: There is a lot of evidence for evolution as stated by Darwin.

Fiction: Evolution has never been disproved or discredited. Survival of the fittest looks to NOT be the mechanism that filters out the longer surviving species which are often the least fit at the bottom of the food chain. The concept of a single ancestor is unnecessarily restrictive and no serious effort has been made to preserve it as it would involve holding on to the amino acid to cell step which modern biology has been totally unable to duplicate . The evolution of the first lifeform from amino acid has been dropped from the evolution bandwagon (Darwin mentioned a common ancestor but most evolutionists believe in evolution from amino acids) because it has no proof and cannot be duplicated despite numerous efforts.

Fact: There is very good evidence for descent from common ancestor in DNA because similiar species have similiar DNA and even similiar junk dna.

Fiction: Evolution is the only possible explaination for that. The fact that similiar DNA produces similiar appearance is not an astounding discovery. When put that way it is obvious that similar appearance and similar DNA would go hand in hand. The assertion that the cause of this similiarity is descent from species to species is consistent with the evidence but that is not sufficient to show that other explainations are inconsistent. Just as the theif was 6 feet tall does not mean that a man is a theif by virtue of being 6 feet tall.

Fact: Most scientists believe in evolution.

Fiction: The number of scientists who believe something makes it more true. Science is not a democracy. Theories strength is based only on their ability to explain NEW data. If you picked 1 million points on a graph at random I could make an unlimited number of functions that would interscect each and every point, as you add more points my infinite list would shrink but would still remain infinite. That is why science requires theories to be able to objectively predict the future or at least make predictions about things that are not currently known. It is after all predicting and altering the future that is of interest to us when we study science.

Fact: Evolution has proven micro-evolution beyond a shadow of a doubt.

Fiction: Evolution has proven macro-evolution beyond a shadow of a doubt. There is a staggering amount of data that is consistent with macro-evolution, but consistent with and proof of are two different thigns.
Example: for a long time 99.99% of scientists though women were born with a set number of eggs to be fertilized and that at a certain age they used the last one, this theory was consistent with the evidence, however it is wrong, women make eggs using stem cells and lose the ability to do so as they age.

Fact: Science is very powerful and describes pretty much everything we know about our world.

Fiction: Science is usually right. In fact science is usually wrong. In fact each topic in science even the winning ones are mostly wrong. Most of the detailed assertions from the field of evolution have been wrong. It is only because after correcting for these errors evolution remains very similiar to its origional form that we call it a powerful theory. Most of the assertions of evolution from what type of environment the first cell evolved in to the planet that the first cell likley evolved on to if it was RNA or DNA have been proven wrong (if only by virtue of two or more incompadible theories existing). This is largly because for any event there are multiple theories each with a set of assumptions about unknown facts, as those facts become known we quickly forget the incorrect theories and marvel at how smart the one lucky guy who was correct was.

Fact: Teaching religion in school is against the American seperation of church and state.

Fiction: It is ok to teach an reproducible theory of creation that is inconsistent with many peoples religious beliefs withotu pointing out that it is the weakest scientific theory taught in High School level courses. The fact that you CANNOT evolve a human from a monkey shows that you DO NOT understand evolution in the same way that you understand gravity or light or any of the other science mainstays (except large scale science which is also mostly guesses like evolution). Had we taught that women have a set number of eggs and it was against others religious beliefs we would have been guilty of teaching an anti-religion that turned out to be false dispite having every bit as much support from the science community as evolution currently enjoys.

plunge · 25 February 2005

Wow, now that couldn't have been anymore confusing if you tried. I'm still not sure whether the fiction part is meant to be sarcastic, sincere, or switches midstream. What?

I'll just point out one problem with your account, which is that similarity of DNA throughout life is only one part of the story. The rest of the story is that DNA isn't always similar, and these differences are arranged in a very particular way: in a way that just so happens to fit with the general arrangemnt of common descent. That is, we'll find some feature, say, blood clotting in all animals AFTER a certain common ancestor, but none that split off before. It's a lot more complicated than that, but the reality is that we can pick almost any feature or gene and then triangulate back, looking through modern animals, to where a common ancestor would have been. Surprise surprise, but all these different, indepedant triangulations happen to match up not only with each other, but with the fossil record, and also with the geographic distribution of species, and so on.

So many DIFFERENT lines of confirmatory evidence giving the same detailed picture: that would be an utterly astounding coincidence if the arguments for each of these lines of evidence were in error. If they were all in error, we would expect them to give DIFFERENT wrong answers. Instead, the answers they give are coordinated. And truth is far more likely to explain coordination than several errors just happening to come out wrong the SAME way.

aarobyl · 25 February 2005

Fact: There is a lot of evidence for evolution as stated by Darwin. Fiction: Evolution has never been disproved or discredited. Survival of the fittest looks to NOT be the mechanism that filters out the longer surviving species which are often the least fit at the bottom of the food chain.

— DonkeyTroll
Yeah ! And more of the same sort : Fact : children exist. Fiction : they are born. Where in fact they are borught by stork. Fact : Earth is round. Fiction : Earth is spherical. It is in reality a flat round disc.

jonas · 25 February 2005

Neurode,

in contrast to the preceeding compliation of mostly discredited anti- evolutionist assertions, which have no bearing on the discussion at hand whatsoever, you have at least stated the problem well. If ID wanted to be a scientific theory instead of a religious-cultural movement, it would have to define what its explanations, models and predictions are. The simplest model of course would be: 'Under ID everything is like under evolution, just more directed.' (summing up your two points).
Having done this, there are three possibilites:
- A process or being doing and implementing the design could be postulated and tested for. As evolution has no room for design, ID would become the accepted theory for instances in which the test had been positive and a possible alternative hypothesis for occurrences of similar nature, and should be treated as such in the science curriculum.
- In the absence of an ID process, some cases could be found under which our bare bone ID hypothesis seems to have some merits. E.g. a conspicious lack of sub-optimal structures which seem unavoidable given previous homologous morphologies, or an extreme accumulation of beneficial mutations within very few generations, would make the phylogeny appear directed. If these cases were sufficiently common and well tested (the latter excludes all of Behe's and Dembski's hobby-horses), a mention, that completely undirected evolution does not explain these occurrences well, would be in order, both on high school and college level, but always with the caveat, that no model for this apparent direction exists, and any identification based on philosophical or cultural preferences would probably be misleading.
- As long as nothing of the above happens, ID falls under Occam's razor, as it needs an additional unknown factor to explain exactly the same processes that evolution can explain without. Hypotheses like this have no place in a science class, as they can add nothing to knowledge or skill.

jeff-perado · 25 February 2005

DonkeyKong: At least now you not only have evolutionists to quibble with, but also Behe and Dembski to argue with, because Behe claims that both macroevolution and common descent are true, and Dembski says that "design" is a probability-based mathematics problem that is dependant on human's ultimate knowledge of the universe. Thus both would vehemenantly disagree with your assertions of fact/fiction! Neurode: Your assertion about evolution:

Here's why. We can reduce the basic Darwinian hypothesis to the following pair of assertions: 1. Although adaptive mutations are independent of fitness, they may be taken for granted (no further explanation required). 2. Due to natural selection, these mutations accumulate exclusively along certain lines of inheritance characterized by "fitness" (i.e., along those lines consisting of organisms which survive long enough to successfully reproduce).

Do NOT agree with the accepted views on evolution. For example: your (1) states that mutation is independant of fitness. This is true, but mutations are niether ignored nor beneficial to fitness, they may accumulate without regard to fitness, until such point that they cannot be cut without affecting fitness, so random mutations do have an effect on fitness in the long run. Also, there is the problem (on your part) of negative mutations. A negative mutation will immediately have an adverse affect on fitness. So wqe see from the observations of biology that positive mutations may not effect fitness for the long period, negative mutations have an immediate and catastrophic effect on fitness. Also, there is the problem of your assertions on the ID side. Your argument can easily be reduced to a pointless debate on all positive mutations being due to the "intelligent designer" and all negative effects being doe to, what? Exactly??? Finally, how does the suboptimal performance of so many biological functions play into your interpretation of ID, and its forcing inot agreement of 1' and 2'? Finally, I will repeat, exactly what version of ID (non-)theory are you subscribing to; Behe's common descent/god-created super bacteria ID, the no-macroevolution god-created "kinds" ID, or the YEC the earth is only 6,000 years old and all organisms are descended from the "kinds" brought upon Noah's ark? (Finally, please define "kinds" as NO IDist has yet defined it in any consistent or useful manner.)

David Heddle · 25 February 2005

I've said this before. It always strikes me, as a scientist but non-expert, that Behe's arguments are much more persuasive than the popular-science level responses. Jason's article on evolution blog counters IC with:

This claim is wrong as a simple matter of logic. The fact that every part is necessary for the system to operate in its present environment does not imply that every part was necessary in every stage of the system's evolution. It is possible that initially a particular part was beneficial, but not necessary, for the system to function. Later changes might then have rendered the new part essential. Another possibility is that irreducible complexity could arise by the elimination of redundancy.

Nobody, in my view, who is on the fence, will find that might-have-been could-have-been argument very compelling. If it is true that there are more sophisticated arguments against IC, you guys need some pedagogical whizzes to render those arguments accessible to a broader community.

Don T. Know · 25 February 2005

Like Darwinism, Intelligent Design is an interpretation of biological data, and as such, it has as much right to be in science classrooms as Darwinism.

What "interpretation?" That something looks like "God did it?" Is there a definition of "intelligently designed" that is universally and objectively understood among scientists? From what I can tell, ID is one man's (or one religion's) subjective evaluation as to whether something is "designed" or not. One religionist's design is a scientist's unsolved puzzle. BTW, my "interpretation" of the data is that aliens were involved in seeding the first cell. This also "explains" the data. So, may I put that into a scientific curriculum as well?

Neurode · 25 February 2005

Jonas writes:

1. "A process or being doing and implementing the design could be postulated and tested for."

A generic design process and agency have indeed been postulated, and as explained, have been "tested for" with approximately twice the success of the Darwinian hypothesis.

2. "...no model for this apparent direction exists, and any identification based on philosophical or cultural preferences would probably be misleading."

The absence of a culture-fair ID model (of evolutionary causation) is not entirely clear. What is clear is that (1) the Darwinian hypothesis not only offers no causative model whatsoever for adaptive mutations, but merely takes them for granted; and (2) the ID hypothesis acknowledges the existence of a cause-effect relationship between fitness criteria and adaptive adaptations, thus taking the necessary first step toward an explanatory theory and model.

3. "...ID falls under Occam's razor, as it needs an additional unknown factor to explain exactly the same processes that evolution can explain without."

Evolution does not explain, or even attempt to explain, adaptive mutations. In science, (previously unknown) causal factors must be introduced to explain observed effects.

4. "Hypotheses like this have no place in a science class, as they can add nothing to knowledge or skill."

In science, causes are inferred from effects. As a case in point, ID infers a generic design process from observed adaptive mutations. The design inference is science in action, and any science class which omits it is cheating students out of the knowledge and skill to properly evaluate the cause-and-effect relationships addressed by various scientific hypotheses.

Flint · 25 February 2005

A generic design process and agency have indeed been postulated, and as explained, have been "tested for" with approximately twice the success of the Darwinian hypothesis.

Baffling. Yes, of course. Goddidit! This has been postulated, it's a universal explanation, it's easy to test for -- just point to anything at all and recite 'goddidit' -- and it never fails. Now, if I could only get Neurode or anyone else to specify some test ID might fail, and the theoretical reasons WHY it might fail. The ability to explain absolutely everything with no evidence required isn't the great strength of a 'scientific theory' Neurode seems to think it is. The design inference is the exact opposite of science in action, it is the denial of the entire scientific method in action. Once again, we see the Big Lie technique, this time pared down to its hilarious essence.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

Don T. Know writes:

1. "What 'interpretation?' That something looks like 'God did it?' Is there a definition of 'intelligently designed' that is universally and objectively understood among scientists?"

Obviously, "intelligently designed" means that something can be described as the outcome of a process which occurs prior to realization under the guidance of something which can be described as "intelligent", i.e., which is capable of recognition and purposive adaptation. This is quite clear. Since this is precisely the kind of process required for a causal explanation of adaptive biological mutations, it is scientifically warranted.

2. "From what I can tell, ID is one man's (or one religion's) subjective evaluation as to whether something is 'designed' or not. One religionist's design is a scientist's unsolved puzzle."

No, ID is a generic hypothesis addressing the massive scientific evidence for the occurrence of adaptive biological mutations. This hypothesis has been around for millennia, but was only recently invoked in the context of modern biological science.

3. "BTW, my "interpretation" of the data is that aliens were involved in seeding the first cell. This also "explains" the data. So, may I put that into a scientific curriculum as well?"

Your hypothesis offers only an intermediate explanation of the data; to offer a real explanation (involving aliens), one would need to explain the aliens themselves. Moreover, although there is ample evidence of biological adaptation in nature, there is very little evidence that aliens are responsible. Therefore, your alien hypothesis merits only cursory mention in a science class.

bcpmoon · 25 February 2005

David Heddle:
I think the difference is that Behe is using definitive language ("This cannot evolve") when he should rather state possibilities ("This has probably not evolved"). You are right, the usual scientist knows about the tentative nature of science and even if a theory is well tested there might be a small possibility that new data leads to a fundamental change. This leads to the careful choice of words which is not convincing to the public but perfectly understood by fellow scientists.
Perhaps the scientist should resort to a more effective, PR-like style, by simply stating that "there was initially a particular part that was beneficial, but not necessary, for the system to function." This would not be true in an absolute sense, because you normally do not have those parts in hand, but true as the only possible explanation, unless you want to invoke God as deus ex machina.

And finally, as Behe states that an IC system cannot have evolved (my passive leaves me here), then even a possibility makes that statement null and void unless Behe can prove that this possibility is not viable in that context.

Monty Zoom · 25 February 2005

Scientific Method:

1. Look at all of the available data, and from the data create a hypothesis or theory that is supported by the data.

2. Test hypothesis.

3. If test fails, then rework theory and repeat. If test succeeds, then it becomes "Scientific Law."

Anything that does not work via the above scientific method is NOT science and should not be taught in a SCIENCE classroom.

Since ID cannot in any way be tested, it is not science. It can in no way be made "scientific." It is just coloring in the unknown areas with "magic." No respectable scientist would ever say, "We don't know how this works, it must be some all powerful and knowing force that did it." This is the realm of pseudo-science and superstition.

Further, ID cannot be used for any further scientific purpose. It is a dead end. The mechanisms for "Darwinism"??? can be used in a myriad of ways. For example evolution can be use to predict why bacteria become resistant to antibiotics. It is a useful tool for further scientific study. ID isn't.

Guardsman · 25 February 2005

Neurode:

Your hypothesis offers only an intermediate explanation of the data; to offer a real explanation (involving aliens), one would need to explain the aliens themselves. Moreover, although there is ample evidence of biological adaptation in nature, there is very little evidence that aliens are responsible.

It is quite true that there is ample evidence of biological adaptation but there is very little evidence that God did it. Perhpaps you can explain God and demonstrate why he is the designer rather than aliens, or even super-intelligent ancient cockroaches.

Mark D · 25 February 2005

Neurode:

Your hypothesis offers only an intermediate explanation of the data; to offer a real explanation (involving aliens), one would need to explain the aliens themselves. Moreover, although there is ample evidence of biological adaptation in nature, there is very little evidence that aliens are responsible.

Funny. Your hypothesis offers only an intermediate explanation of the data as well. To offer a "real" explanation in the above scenario, you would have to be held to the same standard and explain the Intelligent Designer itself. Moreover, there is *no* evidence of intelligent design being responsible for life, only reasoning based on fallacies such as the Argument from Incredulity and the Argument from Ignorance. Not to mention a heaping dose of circular reasoning.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

Monty Zoom recites the scientific method as follows:

"1. Look at all of the available data, and from the data create a hypothesis or theory that is supported by the data.

2. Test hypothesis.

3. If test fails, then rework theory and repeat. If test succeeds, then it becomes 'Scientific Law'."

Fortunately for the ID hypothesis, it has passed these tests. (By the way, are you aware of the logical intricacy of this definition? It's really about model theory, an extremely involved branch of mathematics - not empirical science - to which every science student needs a much more thorough introduction than is ordinarily provided.)

MZ: "Since ID cannot in any way be tested, it is not science."

As previously explained, the ID hypothesis has already been extensively tested, and the continuing occurrence of adaptive biological mutations in nature continues to confirm it. Therefore, it is scientifically warranted.

MZ: "It can in no way be made "scientific." It is just coloring in the unknown areas with "magic." No respectable scientist would ever say, "We don't know how this works, it must be some all powerful and knowing force that did it." This is the realm of pseudo-science and superstition."

ID is scientific, even by the (seriously flawed) falsifiability criterion. Specifically, the ID hypothesis can be falsified simply by demonstrating that adaptive mutations have ceased to occur in nature. (By the way, what about soi-disant "respectable scientists" who say "We don't know how this works, but since we haven't managed to figure it out, we're damned if anybody else is going to get the chance!"?)

MZ: "Further, ID cannot be used for any further scientific purpose. It is a dead end."

If that were true (and it isn't), then the Darwinian hypothesis, which excludes any explanation whatsoever for adaptive biological mutations, would be a veritable long walk off a short pier.

MZ: "The mechanisms for "Darwinism"??? can be used in a myriad of ways."

While Darwinism (the Darwinian hypothesis and its associated philosophy) has managed, a bit too easily, to assimilate mutation mechanisms discovered by scientists in various core disciplines, it offers no explanation for their consistent adaptive potential. A lack of explanation can scarcely be called useful. On the other hand, while natural selection can be a useful concept, Darwinism does not have a lock on it (just as it does not have a lock on ordinary mutation mechanisms, to which ID merely adjoins such additional causal influences as are required to construct an explanation of observed biological phenomena).

MZ: "For example evolution can be use to predict why bacteria become resistant to antibiotics."

No, it can't. The appearance of resistant strains, as opposed to their subsequent selection, is not explained or even addressed by the Darwinian hypothesis.

Steve Reuland · 25 February 2005

Instead opponents should come up with a good argument on why teaching only the evolution theory does not violate the state education science mission statement to make all students lifelong learners who can use science to make reasoned decisions.

— Diepenbrock
You know, I'm quite sure that in the 2 or 3 or however many public hearings they've had by now, that's pretty much what every pro-science speaker has done. Unless Diepenbrock thinks that every single one only talked about the potential embarrassment that the board is bringing down on them, he could have tried listening to one or two of these people and actually taken their arguments into consideration. But why bother even acknowledging those people? It's so much easier to pretend as if no one has even tried to answer the challenge This is hackwork at its worst, lazy and dishonest.

E · 25 February 2005

Neurode,
You keep making statements that the ID hypothesis has already been extensively tested, but so far I haven't see you post a shred of evidence to back it up. I want studies, reputable journal articles etc. It's time to put up or shut-up.

Enough · 25 February 2005

He has posted "evidence". He's comically stupid and misinformed, but he's still posted what he believes backs up ID. He claims mutations are the act of a designer, and that's his evidence for ID. There's certainly enough published work documenting gene mutations, so kudos Neurode, you've debunked over 150 years of work. Go collect your Nobel prize.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

E says: "Neurode, you keep making statements that the ID hypothesis has already been extensively tested, but so far I haven't see you post a shred of evidence to back it up. I want studies, reputable journal articles etc. It's time to put up or shut-up."

I think you know what I've been saying here, E; the evidence for the basic Darwinian hypothesis, whatever you may consider that evidence to be, can be reinterpreted as evidence for the design hypothesis with double the confirmation. As far as concerns what studies get funded and what articles get published in "reputable" scientific journals, that's both irrelevant and a political can of worms in its own right. So if it's not too much to ask, let's keep it simple and stick to the issue being addressed.

Ed Darrell · 25 February 2005

It always strikes me, as a scientist but non-expert, that Behe's arguments are much more persuasive than the popular-science level responses.

Persuasive, but always qualified with that nasty two-letter word, "if." Behe argues persuasively that IF a structure in biology could be found that is irreducibly complex, that would tend to suggest intervention of a greater intelligence. Alas for Behe, he has not found such a structure. When he appeared here in Dallas for the Campus Crusade for Christ a few years ago, he was asked whether he was researching those things he had put forth in his book as potentially irreducibly complex -- and he said he was not, partly because his further research had indicated things were not as he thought, and partly because he couldn't figure out how to test it. Sure, Behe's test is persuasive. But nothing anyone knows passes Behe's test of being irreducible. Behe does NOT say, but should, that if nothing meets his test, his hypothesis should not be considered valid. The difficulty comes when people refuse to accept the disproofs. As Neurode demonstrates, the facts don't necessarily persuade creationists to see the light.

Steve Reuland · 25 February 2005

On the other hand, the ID hypothesis asserts that: 1'. The occurrence of beneficial mutations is related to fitness (in a hypothetical design process).

— Neurode
No, the ID hypothesis says absolutely nothing about mutation. All the ID hypothesis says is that some aspect of living things was "designed", and all the details, including mutation, are left for people to puzzle over. Leading ID advocates explicitly state that the method of design is not what ID is about.

Another problem may be that the theory of evolution is so trivial that virtually any other "life science theory" properly contains it (unless, unlike ID theory, it denies long-term biological change of any kind).

This is just plain silly. Creationist life science "theories" explicitly denounce common ancestry, and that's what the majority of ID advocates adhere to. If it's so trivial, why is it that the vast majority of IDCs reject it? Even if some variant of ID incorporates common ancestry, natural selection, and everything else, this does not make it at least as good as evolutionary theory. The ways in which it differs from standard theory must themselves be evidenced, or else it's worse than standard theory.

Russell · 25 February 2005

Like Darwinism, Intelligent Design is an interpretation of biological data, and as such, it has as much right to be in science classrooms as Darwinism.

— Consummate Sophist Neurode
Really? All interpretations have equal right to be considered on equal footing in science?

In fact, it has approximately twice as much right to be there as Darwinism, because it is confirmed at approximately twice the rate.

Well, 2.174 times the rate, by my calculations. Readers with sufficient wisdom or lack of masochism will have stopped reading at this point. You know you're in for some serious sophistry when you see that. Now here comes the Strawman setup:

We can reduce the basic Darwinian hypothesis to the following pair of assertions: 1. Although adaptive mutations are independent of fitness, they may be taken for granted (no further explanation required). 2. Due to natural selection, these mutations accumulate exclusively along certain lines of inheritance characterized by "fitness" (i.e., along those lines consisting of organisms which survive long enough to successfully reproduce).

Except not really, since - despite the fact that it's consistent with all experimental biology, #1 doesn't count. So now our strawman is reduced to one assertion ("#2"). Now here comes the Jedi mind trick:

On the other hand, the ID hypothesis asserts that: 1'. The occurrence of beneficial mutations is related to fitness (in a hypothetical design process). 2'. Identical to 2 above; since natural selection is trivial, ID is allowed to incorporate it as well.

"Is related to"? What do you suppose that means? Maybe "Is (somehow) caused by"? Hard to know. But how this competes with the massively documented mechanisms of nucleic acid copying infidelity, only IDers seem to know.

Any instance of evolution confirms the ID hypothesis through both 1' and 2'. That is, because 1' posits a relationship between mutation and fitness rather than merely taking something for granted, and since this relationship accounts for the observed fact that some mutations are adaptive, it has substantive hypothetical content. Since the ID hypothesis makes twice as many relevant explanatory assertions as the Darwinian hypothesis (including natural selection), and since the data confirm both of these assertions, the ID hypothesis is confirmed at a correspondingly higher rate. [QED]

Classic! Didn't I see that in a Monty Python skit? Totally meaningless - for reasons already discussed. But, hey, with all those fancy primed and unprimed numbered assertions, and of course the learned "QED" thrown in, gosh! It looks like real logic!

The problem is not merely that many high school teachers fail to understand the actual differences between these competing hypotheses; more generally, they fail to understand the logic of scientific confirmation.

Oh geez! Are they going to learn it from this kind of example?

Obviously, Jason and his fellow pundits need to behave more responsibly in this regard.

I regard sophistry as the most irresponsible form of pedagogy.

Steve Reuland · 25 February 2005

I think you know what I've been saying here, E; the evidence for the basic Darwinian hypothesis, whatever you may consider that evidence to be, can be reinterpreted as evidence for the design hypothesis with double the confirmation.

— Neurode
Unfortunately, not all interpretations are equally valid. Some are unparsimonious, illogical, incoherent, contradicted by well-confirmed facts, or at odds with other well-accepted theories. Simply "reinterpreting" evidence is not by itself a valid scientific excersize. You have to show why your interpretation can explain things we weren't able to explain previously, and what sorts of new evidence that your interpretations predicts. (And no, appeals to magic are not explanations, nor can they predict anything.) This is precisely where ID has failed.

Neurode · 25 February 2005

Steve writes:

1. "No, the ID hypothesis says absolutely nothing about mutation. All the ID hypothesis says is that some aspect of living things was "designed", and all the details, including mutation, are left for people to puzzle over. Leading ID advocates explicitly state that the method of design is not what ID is about."

At the risk of repeating myself, let me repeat myself: the ID hypothesis says that certain biological adaptations can be described as the outcome of a process which occurs prior to realization under the guidance of something which can be described as "intelligent", i.e., which is capable of recognition and purposive adaptation. If you want to add extra baggage, you'll need to lug it yourself.

2. "This is just plain silly. Creationist life science "theories" explicitly denounce common ancestry, and that's what the majority of ID advocates adhere to. If it's so trivial, why is it that the vast majority of IDCs reject it?"

What "the majority of ID advocates adhere to" is beside the point. If you want to criticize the specific beliefs of a specific subset of ID advocates, you need to address them specifically rather than over-generalizing.

3. "Even if some variant of ID incorporates common ancestry, natural selection, and everything else, this does not make it at least as good as evolutionary theory. The ways in which it differs from standard theory must themselves be evidenced, or else it's worse than standard theory."

This is not true, as we see from the confirmation argument presented above. Although the ways in which such a theory differs from the standard theory must now be carefully explicated, the first crucial tests have already been passed.

Flint · 25 February 2005

Well, I asked neurode to specify a test ID could fail, and so far he has carefully ignored this basic notion. Lots and lots of doubletalk, but no method.

Apparently, the ONLY test for design is whether or not something is believed to exist. Life? Believed to exist, so it passes the design test. Hell? Believed to exist, so it passes the design test.

On the other hand, we rarely get someone who can say nothing in so many big words. When you can't explicate, obfuscate!

David Heddle · 25 February 2005

I'd advise Neurode NOT to post a test ID can fail. That path leads to weeping and gnashing of teeth.

Russell · 25 February 2005

I'd advise Neurode NOT to post a test ID can fail.

Pay attention, David! Neurode has already explained that any data confirming evolution automatically confirms ID, two times over! I'm curious. Being the master logician you are, what do you think of Neurode's argument, David?

Steve Reuland · 25 February 2005

At the risk of repeating myself, let me repeat myself: the ID hypothesis says that certain biological adaptations can be described as the outcome of a process which occurs prior to realization under the guidance of something which can be described as "intelligent", i.e., which is capable of recognition and purposive adaptation.

— Neurode
Which says absolutely nothing about mutation, so my point stands. By the way, I hope it's apparent to you that the above gobblety-gook could mean anything, which is where the real problem lies. Scientific theories have a need to be clear and concise, not equally consistent with any wild fantasy one can come up with.

What "the majority of ID advocates adhere to" is beside the point. If you want to criticize the specific beliefs of a specific subset of ID advocates, you need to address them specifically rather than over-generalizing.  You're the one who said that evolution was so "trivial" that "virtually any other" so-called life science theory could incorporate it. Well, apparently not what the vast majority of ID advocates believe in! It's clear that you were the one who was overgeneralizing. The successes of evolutionary theory cannot be merely dismissed as being easily subsumed by any other theory, because in fact no other theory makes the same predictions. This is not true, as we see from the confirmation argument presented above. Although the ways in which such a theory differs from the standard theory must now be carefully explicated, the first crucial tests have already been passed.

What confirmation are you talking about? What crucial tests? You've posted nothing about these, and have instead argued that your "reinterpretation" is valid all by itself without any additional evidence. I'm beginning to think I'm wasting my time here, since you seem to enjoy dragging people around in circles. Post some evidence, or admit that you have none.

Les Lane · 25 February 2005

Neurode wrote:

As previously explained, the ID hypothesis has already been extensively tested, and the continuing occurrence of adaptive biological mutations in nature continues to confirm it. Therefore, it is scientifically warranted.

This should make Motoo Kimura would turn over in his grave. It's hard to believe that Neurode has actually looked at nucleic acid sequences. Both mutation pattern and causal randomness (Luria-Delbruck) argue against design. Neurode's conclusion suggests propositional logic in the absence of analytical thinking. This may be acceptable in ID, but it's enough to set an experimental scientist's eyes rolling.

Russell · 25 February 2005

What "the majority of ID advocates adhere to" is beside the point. If you want to criticize the specific beliefs of a specific subset of ID advocates, you need to address them specifically rather than over-generalizing.

It just gets better and better! Not only do we need to allow that the "ID interpretation of the data" is just as valid as mainstream biology, now we have to allow an infinity of conflicting ID interpretations. It's going to be a long (and pointless) year in high-school biology. Here's an idea: let's - just arbitrarily -restrict ourselves to stuff that actually gets published, and is part of the ongoing dialog, in respected scientific journals.

DonkeyKong · 25 February 2005

The difference between evolutionists

"Scientific Method:

1. Look at all of the available data, and from the data create a hypothesis or theory that is supported by the data.

2. Test hypothesis.

3. If test fails, then rework theory and repeat. If test succeeds, then it becomes "Scientific Law.""

And real Science

Scientific Method:

1. Look at all of the available data, and from the data create a hypothesis or theory that is supported by the data and detailed enough to predict non-trivial results.

2. Test hypothesis with NEW previously unknown results preferrably in a controlled setting that can eliminate all potential causes that are not part of the theory. To gain real weight your hypothesis must be stated in detail enough that non-believers can test your framework with tests that you do not control and did not anticipate.

3. If test fails, then rework theory and repeat? If test fails then your theory loses favor. If test succeeds hundreds of times with opponents unable to come up with tests that tend to discredit it, then it becomes "the accepted THEORY"

A clear example of where the evolutionists scientific theory is inferior is when you go to vegas to see a "magic" show. A magic show pulling a bunny out of a hat is much more acceptable using the rules you outlined. The fact that followers of evolution use similiar logic and rarely predict things BEFORE then occur greatly weakens their claim to science.

Prince Vegita · 25 February 2005

Here's an idea: let's - just arbitrarily -restrict ourselves to stuff that actually gets published, and is part of the ongoing dialog, in respected scientific journals.

— Russel
And none of that crap about how IDists can't get stuff published; they are free to interpret the mountains of data already available as they wish. Now let's see if they can come up with a coherent research program. Given their past inabilities to conduct literature searches, I'm not holding my breath.

Henry J · 25 February 2005

Re "All interpretations have equal right to be considered on equal footing in science?"

It's turtles all the way down!

frank schmidt · 25 February 2005

DonkeyKong, your statement

A clear example of where the evolutionists scientific theory is inferior is when you go to vegas to see a "magic" show. A magic show pulling a bunny out of a hat is much more acceptable using the rules you outlined. The fact that followers of evolution use similiar logic and rarely predict things BEFORE then occur greatly weakens their claim to science.

is a prime example of Lucyism (the Peanuts character, not the hominid):

If you can't be right, be wrong at the top of your voice.

Before you embarrass yourself further, why not look up some of the relevant science on the subject? My favorite is the so-called adaptive mutation (Cairns mutation) story that is well-covered in the primary literature and on the web. Andrea's site is an excellent place to start. Now go do your homework like a good boy, and don't come back until you check your work.

GCT · 25 February 2005

I'd advise Neurode NOT to post a test ID can fail. That path leads to weeping and gnashing of teeth.

— David Heddle
I presume that you are at least in part referring to the earlier thread where this was disputed. Must I remind you that your test would only have served to change your particular religious/philosophic perspective? I for one, would really like to see Neurode come up with this test.

Your hypothesis offers only an intermediate explanation of the data; to offer a real explanation (involving aliens), one would need to explain the aliens themselves. Moreover, although there is ample evidence of biological adaptation in nature, there is very little evidence that aliens are responsible. Therefore, your alien hypothesis merits only cursory mention in a science class.

— Neurode
A couple things spring to mind here. 1. Do you really think we should spend time on the alien theory, even in only a cursory mention? 2. You still have not explained who the "intelligent designer" is. If you require that of the alien explanation, then it's only fair that you pony up about who/what your designer is as well. So, let's hear it. From what I can tell, the only thing you've really said is that you think mutations are not random, but guided by the designer, therefore ID is right and evolution is wrong. Maybe we should teach your opinions on everything in every class?

Neurode · 25 February 2005

To my statement that

"The ID hypothesis says that certain biological adaptations can be described as the outcome of a process which occurs prior to realization under the guidance of something which can be described as "intelligent", i.e., which is capable of recognition and purposive adaptation,"

Steve Reuland responds

"...Which says absolutely nothing about mutation, so my point stands."

Somehow, Steve has divined that biological adaptations of evolutionary significance can occur without adaptive genetic mutations! One can only observe that this is consistent with Steve's sad admission that he finds the above statement to be "gobbledygook".

Apparently on a roll, Steve continues:

"What confirmation are you talking about?"

I've already explained that to my personal satisfaction, and to the satisfaction of anyone else who understands that a "relationship" between two phenomena, e.g. a causal relationship between fitness and mutation, is confirmed by data which exhibit the relationship, e.g., by the widespread occurrence of biological mutations which have positive adaptive value. So it seems that Steve is the one who's trying to lead us around in circles. But just to avoid any unnecessary confusion, let me elaborate a bit.

If the function "mutation" were independent of the property "fitness", then there would be no reason to expect beneficial adaptations to arise from mere genetic copying errors. That would be a bit like expecting the random scribbles of a palsy victim to result in acceptable modifications to a complex engineering or architectural blueprint in a highly significant percentage of cases, even where the blueprint is constantly subject to new and unpredictable environmental constraints. Therefore, to confirm that fitness figures as a causal parameter in the mutation function, one need merely look for a significantly high ratio of adaptive mutations to deleterious mutations of like extent. And what do you know? The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations!

Apparently, Steve and perhaps a few others here feel that this alone is insufficient, perhaps because for reasons known only to them, they expect this ratio to be "sufficiently high" under what they consider to be "ordinary" causal circumstances. After all, why can't we just take all of these adaptive mutations for granted, especially when this would allow certain sectors of the scientific community to pursue business as usual? Why shouldn't we simply decide that in some strange, causally inexplicable way, the "laws of nature" (whatever those are) somehow convert the "randomness" (whatever that is) of DNA copying errors to the "probability" of beneficial phenotypic changes, thus obviating any need for a deeper explanation?

Here's why: no matter how you cut it, the theory of long-term biological change embraced by Steve and company has a ragged, gaping hole in it where an explanation needs to be. And until they can verifiably fill this hole, the explanation is "in play", scientifically speaking, under the terms outlined above. The ID hypothesis qualifies as "scientific" on those terms.

I hope that Steve doesn't find this too confusing.

Bill Ware · 25 February 2005

Neurode

The "Theory of ID" has never been presented in a scientifically valid format.

IDers are all over the place when it comes to agreeing how much evolutionary theory (if any) they are wiling to accept before ID "kicks in." The irreducible complexity (IC) formulation, which is to provide an "objective" measure supporting their propositions, contains an "R" factor, or "rejection region" which allows for the dismissal of signs of complexity which are "obviously" a result of natural causes, not ID. And who determines what falls into this rejection region? Why it's the ID investigator himself! As more natural causes fill in these "gaps," and enter the rejection region, ID "theory" eventually evaporates into thin air.

From: here, choose "Criteria for Scientific Theories" from the right side bar. (I can't put in the direct link because the "censor" wouldn't allow dashes.)

When a beneficial mutation occurs, you give ID credit. When all the neutral and harmful mutations occur, I guess D'oh does it. Whatever the low odds for beneficial mutations, they can all be accounted for by random processes. Nothing supernatural is required. Or do you believe that God picks the Power Ball winners?

GCT · 25 February 2005

Here's why: no matter how you cut it, the theory of long-term biological change embraced by Steve and company has a ragged, gaping hole in it where an explanation needs to be. And until they can verifiably fill this hole, the explanation is "in play", scientifically speaking, under the terms outlined above. The ID hypothesis qualifies as "scientific" on those terms.

— Neurode
So, according to you, there is a hole, and ID is scientific because we are justified in filling in any hole with "goddidit." That explains it. You still need to meet your burden of explaining who/what the designer is, and why he/she/it is not detected when he/she/it apparently is fiddling around in our (and every other lifeform on the planet's) DNA all the time. Can I also infer that you think that all mutations are beneficial, thus proving that some designer is tinkering around?

Les Lane · 25 February 2005

Neurode wrote: If the function "mutation" were independent of the property "fitness", then there would be no reason to expect beneficial adaptations to arise from mere genetic copying errors. That would be a bit like expecting the random scribbles of a palsy victim to result in acceptable modifications to a complex engineering or architectural blueprint in a highly significant percentage of cases, even where the blueprint is constantly subject to new and unpredictable environmental constraints. Therefore, to confirm that fitness figures as a causal parameter in the mutation function, one need merely look for a significantly high ratio of adaptive mutations to deleterious mutations of like extent. And what do you know? The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations

Total horeshit A good example of what you step into by relying on propositional logic.

Russell · 25 February 2005

While all of Neurode's comment reads, to me, like one long exercise in non sequitur, I want to focus on just this to see if there's something I'm missing:

Therefore, to confirm that fitness figures as a causal parameter in the mutation function, one need merely look for a significantly high ratio of adaptive mutations to deleterious mutations of like extent. And what do you know? The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations!

Now, if I understand you correctly, you're saying a testable prediction of ID is that the number of "useful" mutations that occur will greatly outnumber the number of harmful mutations. And your test for that is to look at nature and ask what genetic variations (i.e. mutations) are there to be seen. But of course all the significantly deleterious mutations will have been culled by natural selection, so you're not asking what is the ratio of fortunate to unfortunate mutation events, you're asking: does nature select for fortunate over unfortunate mutation events. Guess what ToE predicts?

Neurode · 25 February 2005

Les Lane, whose mother apparently neglected to wash out his mouth with a sufficiently harsh grade of shop detergent, says:

"Total horeshit ... A good example of what you step into by relying on propositional logic."

Alright then. Let's get away from the logic and have a look at the universal ontogenic map you apparently have in mind, complete with a thorough statistical analysis. Many people would like to see the ironclad calculations proving that random genetic deterioration automatically engenders a remarkable assortment of beneficial adaptations, thus making gibbering fools of the enemies of Darwin (and Las Vegas to boot). Or perhaps you have other evolutionary mechanism(s) in mind...

[Russell - I should think that it might be better, for scientific purposes, to make some effort to count the deleterious mutations before nature kills them off and sweeps them under the carpet. That way, you can avoid confounding the target effect with the effects of natural selection. But I'll bet you already thought of that...]

Flint · 25 February 2005

Neurode is rejecting the notion that there is a selection process in operation, on the grounds that the selection process works. So we look around, see only the tiny percentage of mutations that survived the filter of selection, and conclude that because selection is so selective, it can't be selective after all! How wonderfully simple. It must have been designed.

Sometimes you have to read this stuff several times. Did he actually say that? Yes, he did! I can picture Neurode at the roulette table, noting only the (small percentage of) winners, noting that they are ALL winners, pretending the losers simply don't exist, and concluding that the winners must have caused the roulette wheel!

This is a LONG way from honest confusion or even coherent argument. It explains why parody is impossible.

Steve Reuland · 25 February 2005

To my statement that "The ID hypothesis says that certain biological adaptations can be described as the outcome of a process which occurs prior to realization under the guidance of something which can be described as "intelligent", i.e., which is capable of recognition and purposive adaptation," Steve Reuland responds " . . . Which says absolutely nothing about mutation, so my point stands." Somehow, Steve has divined that biological adaptations of evolutionary significance can occur without adaptive genetic mutations!

— Neurode
Um, no, I'm quite confident that biological adaptations are the result of mutations, but ID advocates are not. It is often implied by IDists that something other than mutations -- alien engineering for example, or Behe's personal hypothesis of "Poof!" -- must be responsible for adaptations. You stated that "adaptive mutations" are part of the ID hypothesis, then you provided a definition of ID that says nothing about mutations. I'm glad you've proven my earlier point.

"What confirmation are you talking about?" I've already explained that to my personal satisfaction...

That doesn't sound too hard. The rest of us though require evidence. You've still presented nothing beyond your "reinterpretation" that the mere existence of beneficial mutations is somehow evidence for ID. I must say that's probably the funniest thing I've ever seen on this blog (and I've read a fair number of Dave Scott's posts).

If the function "mutation" were independent of the property "fitness", then there would be no reason to expect beneficial adaptations to arise from mere genetic copying errors.

Of course there would. The mere fact that the adaptive landscape is structured guaratees that random perturbations in a population will cause some members to be better adapted. The fact that directed evolution experiments work so well proves quite conclusively that mutations don't need a causal connection to fitness. Given that the researcher defines fitness in a directed evolution experiment, you'd have to believe that the mutagen was reading the researcher's mind, rather than simply producing mutations at random.

That would be a bit like expecting the random scribbles of a palsy victim to result in acceptable modifications to a complex engineering or architectural blueprint in a highly significant percentage of cases, even where the blueprint is constantly subject to new and unpredictable environmental constraints.

This is just the old and tired "tornado in a junkyard" argument, which demonstrates on your part a fundamental misunderstanding of the very basics of evolution.

Therefore, to confirm that fitness figures as a causal parameter in the mutation function, one need merely look for a significantly high ratio of adaptive mutations to deleterious mutations of like extent.

And we don't see this when we observe the effects of mutations. Most mutations are neutral or deleterious. Beneficial mutations are comparatively rare, though they do happen. There is no evidence that mutations are connected in any way to fitness. Cairns and Hall once thought they might have discovered such a thing, but that turned out to be wrong.

And what do you know? The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations!

That's due to something known as natural selection. Your subsequent remarks demonstrate that either you don't understand the concept, or have chosen to disregard it.

Apparently, Steve and perhaps a few others here feel that this alone is insufficient, perhaps because for reasons known only to them, they expect this ratio to be "sufficiently high" under what they consider to be "ordinary" causal circumstances.

No, I expect the ratio of beneficial to deleterious mutations to be fairly low. And it is. How you could be confused on this basic issue is beyond me. The ratio that gets fixed within a population is a different matter entirely, because selection guarantees that beneficial mutations spread whereas deleterious ones get weeded out.

Why shouldn't we simply decide that in some strange, causally inexplicable way, the "laws of nature" (whatever those are) somehow convert the "randomness" (whatever that is) of DNA copying errors to the "probability" of beneficial phenotypic changes, thus obviating any need for a deeper explanation?

Putting your massive confusion about mutation aside, the whole problem we're having here is that a deeper explanation has not been forthcoming from you, despite people having asked you for one. That was the whole point of me having asked for evidence when you asserted that ID had passed "crucial tests". What tests has it passed? You haven't named a single one.

Flint · 25 February 2005

What tests has it passed? You haven't named a single one.

On the contrary, he has mentioned one test -- the test of whether the ID 'explanation' meets his satisfaction. It does. Test passed. Nothing else really matters, does it?

DaveScot · 25 February 2005

the evidence for the basic Darwinian hypothesis, whatever you may consider that evidence to be, can be reinterpreted as evidence for the design hypothesis with double the confirmation. As far as concerns what studies get funded and what articles get published in "reputable" scientific journals, that's both irrelevant and a political can of worms in its own right.

— neurode
Perfect. The problem is obvious. Any bright individual that's bothered to look at the evidence in light of both mutation/selection and design can see which is a better fit. Therefore atheists like Dawkins and his band of merry men can't let even a whisper of criticism of the modern synthesis into a classroom lest more bright people start to dig deeper and reach the inevitable conclusion that his peer and former world renowned atheist Antony Flew arrived at recently. If they can continue the fraud of saying Darwinian evolution is confirmed without a doubt by 150 years of testing no one bothers to question it. Heck, anyone that's bothered to read "The Origin of Species" knows that Darwin made spectacular mistakes (heritable acquired traits is a beauty) galore which, in and of itself, means that the trite "150 years of confirmation" is a lie.

bcpmoon · 25 February 2005

Regarding Neurode:
At first I thought that my command of English is not so good as to understand what he means. But slowly it transpires that he really just dresses the usual misconceptions about evolution in fancy speak. I have seen "tornado in a junkyard", "randomness as cause of beneficial mutations" (forgetting selection by the way), "random mutations are always harmful" so far. Had he been clearer in his statements, this discussion would have been shorter, I guess.

Steve Reuland · 25 February 2005

Now, if I understand you correctly, you're saying a testable prediction of ID is that the number of "useful" mutations that occur will greatly outnumber the number of harmful mutations.

— Russel
I think we've seen the ultimate saltational leap in the evolution of creationism. They've gone from arguing that beneficial mutations never occur to arguing that nothing but beneficial mutations occur!

Enough · 25 February 2005

DaveScot, do you have a crayon lodged in your brain? You've had everything in your post painfully explained you multiple times, or debunked, and yet you continue to repeat the same crap. Are you just copying random things off of answeringenesis and posting them here? What's wrong with you? Stop cluttering threads with your useless tripe.

bcpmoon · 25 February 2005

Heck, anyone that's bothered to read "The Origin of Species" knows that Darwin made spectacular mistakes (heritable acquired traits is a beauty) galore which, in and of itself, means that the trite "150 years of confirmation" is a lie.

— davescot
Are you kidding? Confirmation does not mean that the founding work of Darwin has to be confirmed to the letter again and again! That is the aim of Religion (Bad Religion more to the point). There are no holy books in science. Just because religion is founded on scripture, that does not mean that every human endeavour is the same. The core ideas have been refined, tested, confirmed and reworked to fit the data for 150 years. Given this length of time, it is surprising how much of the original work still stands. I do not know, which other work {of a single author, just to rule out scripture ;)}did pass the test of time so well.

bcpmoon · 25 February 2005

Heck, anyone that's bothered to read "The Origin of Species" knows that Darwin made spectacular mistakes (heritable acquired traits is a beauty) galore which, in and of itself, means that the trite "150 years of confirmation" is a lie.

— davescot
Are you kidding? Confirmation does not mean that the founding work of Darwin has to be confirmed to the letter again and again! That is the aim of Religion (Bad Religion more to the point). There are no holy books in science. Just because religion is founded on scripture, that does not mean that every human endeavour is the same. The core ideas have been refined, tested, confirmed and reworked to fit the data for 150 years. Given this length of time, it is surprising how much of the original work still stands. I do not know, which other work {of a single author, just to rule out scripture ;)} did pass the test of time so well.

Les Lane · 25 February 2005

Neurode wrote: Alright then. Let's get away from the logic and have a look at the universal ontogenic map you apparently have in mind, complete with a thorough statistical analysis. Many people would like to see the ironclad calculations proving that random genetic deterioration automatically engenders a remarkable assortment of beneficial adaptations, thus making gibbering fools of the enemies of Darwin (and Las Vegas to boot). Or perhaps you have other evolutionary mechanism(s) in mind . . .

More total horseshit. I see little point in euphemism. Failure to grasp undergraduate biology, (total) unfamiliarity with primary science literature, and underdeveloped analytical skills are stereotypes we expect from ID idealogues. Don't reinforce them. You've defined mutation based on preconceptions (others have noticed). Are you clear on propositional logic and why it's a disaster in science?

DaveScot · 25 February 2005

Flint

Falsifiability is not a requirement if there's verifiability.

The nature of negative evidence makes it practically impossible to falsify some explanations. However, if the explanation can be confirmed by positive evidence there's no need to be falsifiable. That should be evident to even the casual observer.

Mutation/selection appears to be non-verifiable and evidence which any objective person would view as falsifying it is rejected out of hand because nobody can come up with an alternative to mutation/selection which adheres to the materialism dogma.

ID may not be falsifiable but it is verifiable. I'm not convinced it's been verfied but the evidence certainly supports it a lot better than the mutation/selection hypothesis which has failed so many predictions yet trundles along like everything lined right up for it it's gone from hypothesis to faith-based dogma.

Russell · 25 February 2005

[Russell - I should think that it might be better, for scientific purposes, to make some effort to count the deleterious mutations before nature kills them off and sweeps them under the carpet. That way, you can avoid confounding the target effect with the effects of natural selection. But I'll bet you already thought of that . . . ]

— Neurode, who I'm becoming convinced is, just for laughs, pretending to be an IDist to see how ridiculous an argument will get a response,
Indeed I did. And that's why I'm wondering why you would write

The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations!

(emphasis added to indicate no attempt was made to look at pre-selection mutations)

Prince Vegita · 25 February 2005

The problem is obvious. Any bright individual that's bothered to look at the evidence in light of both mutation/selection and design can see which is a better fit.

Yup. Mutation/selection/drift/recombination. Wins hands down, b/c design hasn't even brought their team.

Therefore atheists like Dawkins and his band of merry men can't let even a whisper of criticism of the modern synthesis into a classroom lest more bright people start to dig deeper and reach the inevitable conclusion that his peer and former world renowned atheist Antony Flew arrived at recently.

What about all those theistic evolutionists who both outnumber and agree with those atheists? Christ you're dishonest. Shouldn't you be against bearing false witness? What the hell is a "world renowned" atheist? Funny thing though, Flew admitted that he wasn't aware of the evidence and has since recanted that portion of his "conversion". So basically he did what everybody else does: toyed with ID out of ignorance (note that he never actually accepted it).

If they can continue the fraud of saying Darwinian evolution is confirmed without a doubt by 150 years of testing no one bothers to question it. Heck, anyone that's bothered to read "The Origin of Species" knows that Darwin made spectacular mistakes (heritable acquired traits is a beauty) galore which, in and of itself, means that the trite "150 years of confirmation" is a lie.

Wow, you just contradicted yourself. Are you talking about Darwin's original theory or the modern synthesis? Because the modern synthesis has none of the heritability issues of Darwin's original theory. Your hyperbole aside, though, for the most part Darwin got it right; he was just unaware of the mechanisms of heredity. This of course has no bearing on the correctness of selection. Had he pulled Mendel's book off the shelf before he died, the field would've been accelerated about 50 years.

DaveScot · 25 February 2005

bcpmoon

The only thing of Darwin's original work still standing is common ancestry and descent with modification. And he wasn't the first to propose either of those as anyone involved in animal husbandry over the last umpteen thousand years knew of heritable traits and descent with modification. The most important thing, the mechanism by which phylogenesis operates, Darwin posited to be the primary result of inheritance of acquired characters... which is totally wrong. Mutation/selection, the all powerful patch applied to Darwin's spectacular failure, remains to this day a huge extrapolation from a: [observed but limited powers to modify] to b: [all encompassing unobserved power to modify]. All this time and it still remains just an extrapolation with no confirmation. I don't believe it CAN be confirmed because you can't confirm something that isn't true. And it too has failed miserably because it predicted that novel new species would arise from selection acting on a plethora of closely related populations. Instead of bottom-up evolution working from a large body of small acccumulated beneficial mutations the fossil record reveals top-down evolution where new forms arise in eyeblinks of geologic time with little if any evidence of gradual mutation preceding it. Thus comes in the latest kludge on the failed hypothesis - punctuated equilibrium by Eldredge and Gould a mere 30 years ago. So the vaunted 150 years of confirmation is really 130 years of failed predictions and a 30-year new hypothesis that has not been confirmed and probably won't be confirmed because it just didn't happen that way. Spare me.

Mutation/selection is a failed hypothesis for explaining the diversity of life. There are only two kinds of explanations for macro-evolution and origins - failed hypotheses and unconfirmed hypotheses. The modern synthesis is in the former group. ID is in the latter.

And all the above doesn't even touch on the origins problem which is so problematic no one has made a bit of progress on it since finding out that Urey-Miller's precipitating amino acids in the 1950's was based on a seriously flawed model of the young earth environment. The mutation/selection extrapolation and punctuated equilibrium kludge are small leaps compared to the leap any materialist abiogenesis hypothesis is forced to make. Most evolutionists, just as Darwin did, would rather just ignore abiogenesis and focus on a plausible explantion for evolution after the first cell miraculously showed up out of nowhere.

DaveScot · 25 February 2005

"What the hell is a "world renowned" atheist?"

Antony Flew.

"Funny thing though, Flew admitted that he wasn't aware of the evidence and has since recanted that portion of his "conversion"."

No, he did not. That's simply false. Flew said he hadn't read the interviewer's latest book not that he had read nothing. He recanted nothing and confirmed that ID is the closest thing to what he now believes to be true.

"So basically he did what everybody else does: toyed with ID out of ignorance (note that he never actually accepted it)."

He has accepted that recent discoveries in the details of cellular machinery have become impossible for him to accept as anything other than design by some agency. He still rejects religious dogma purporting to the be revealed word of God. In other words, he's moved from atheist to deist, which is move even I haven't made. I remain agnostic.

"What about all those theistic evolutionists who both outnumber and agree with those atheists? Christ you're dishonest. Shouldn't you be against bearing false witness?

If you're allowed to point to the leading lights of ID as being conspiratorial Christians with agendas then I reserve the right to point to the leading lights of neo-Darwinism as atheists. I don't think anyone's faith should be scrutinized but you force me to play by those rules so I point out that Dawkins and Gould and most of the other big names in evolution are atheists.

And no, I shouldn't be against bearing false witness. Your lame little poke at the ten commandments is nothing to me. The bible is a nothing more than collection of bedtime stories as far as I know. If you're careful to avoid the ambiguities in it you can pull out some decent moral codes but it's like finding a pony buried in a mountain of manure. Knowing right from wrong doesn't require a bible for guidance - at least not for me.

the Ticktockman · 25 February 2005

If you're allowed to point to the leading lights of ID as being conspiratorial Christians with agendas then I reserve the right to point to the leading lights of neo-Darwinism as atheists.

Only, the very the fact that the "leading lights of ID" (burnt bulbs seems more appropriate) are conspiratorial Christians with agendas is a prevailing issue in the controversy over what gets taught in our nation's schools. Since science classes do not teach, "Evolution is true, therefore theism is false," your comments regarding atheists is a non sequitur, whether they are leaders in the field (or, at least, have high name recognition) or not. -TTm -a first time poster hoping the formatting does not go awry

racingiron · 25 February 2005

DaveScot, you're hillarious. Do you have this stuff on flashcards next to your keyboard? Either that, or you have become adroit at copy and paste. It's sickly entertaining to watch you disappear shortly after your arguments are disemboweled, only to reappear with the same arguments in another thread.

So now you know why I'm here. How about you? What do you get out of this little game? Obviously you enjoy ruffling feathers and being the object of disdain. May I suggest you expand your set of flashcards (surely the DI has a new set available on their website by now) because these are rapidly becoming stale.

Andrew Wyatt · 25 February 2005

If the function "mutation" were independent of the property "fitness", then there would be no reason to expect beneficial adaptations to arise from mere genetic copying errors. That would be a bit like expecting the random scribbles of a palsy victim to result in acceptable modifications to a complex engineering or architectural blueprint in a highly significant percentage of cases, even where the blueprint is constantly subject to new and unpredictable environmental constraints.

This is an argument from personal incredulity, or, more accurately, an argument from personal ignorance, since your contentions are refuted by the scientific evidence: http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CB/CB101.html By all means, continue to claim that beneficial mutations can never arise by chance. It only highlights your apparent ignorance of genetics.

Therefore, to confirm that fitness figures as a causal parameter in the mutation function, one need merely look for a significantly high ratio of adaptive mutations to deleterious mutations of like extent. And what do you know? The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations!

One of the first lessons of populations genetics is that a trait only needs to grant a miniscule adaptive edge in order for it to become fixed in the population in relatively little time. Every biologist with a graduate degree knows this, as do many with undergraduate degrees. Obviously, you don't. Or you don't care. Which would mean that you're being dishonest. But that couldn't be.

Russell · 25 February 2005

The only thing of Darwin's original work still standing is common ancestry and descent with modification. And he wasn't the first to propose either of those as anyone involved in animal husbandry over the last umpteen thousand years knew of heritable traits and descent with modification.

— DaveIQ153Scot
Of course, Darwin discussed the experience of animal breeders in OoS, as part of the evidence backing his theory. But I was not aware that the notion of common descent of, say, humans and sharks, was much appreciated before Darwin. Do you have any references to share with us?

The most important thing, the mechanism by which phylogenesis operates, Darwin posited to be the primary result of inheritance of acquired characters . . .

I don't have my OoS right here, but that was not the impression I got from reading it. Would you be so kind as to cite the relevant passage? Thanx in advance.

...Darwin's spectacular failure

which was what, exactly?

the fossil record reveals top-down evolution where new forms arise in eyeblinks of geologic time

Can we get specific here? How many generations of the creatures in question does this "eyeblink" encompass?

Mutation/selection is a failed hypothesis for explaining the diversity of life.

Your constant repetition of this slogan does not make it any truer. What do we have beyond "DaveIQ153Scot doesn't think so"? Point to some actual evidence, considered and taken seriously by actual biologists.

And all the above doesn't even touch on the origins problem

You're right, that abiogenesis problem is a real poser. But what would you consider "progress" in this field? The synthesis of a live bacterium from inorganic starting materials? Is everything short of that a failure? Most folks in the field believe the chemical processes - whatever they were - involved millions of years, and there's no way it's going to be replicated in a human lifetime. So as far as mechanisms, we have chemical scenarios - plausible in a general sort of way but nowhere near specific - versus... what? It's no good to say "it had to be designed". That's not a mechanism. How was it assembled? Just a general sort of scenario will do for now. Then maybe you can join us at the grownups' table.

Andrew Wyatt · 25 February 2005

Therefore, to confirm that fitness figures as a causal parameter in the mutation function, one need merely look for a significantly high ratio of adaptive mutations to deleterious mutations of like extent. And what do you know? The world is entirely populated by organisms which have accumulated vast numbers of highly adaptive (and/or non-harmful) mutations!

Yes. Exactly as one would expect under natural selection acting on genetic variation brought about by mutation. This is high school biology here.

Prince Vegita · 25 February 2005

Flew said he hadn't read the interviewer's latest book not that he had read nothing. He recanted nothing and confirmed that ID is the closest thing to what he now believes to be true.

— DaveScot
Constrast this:

My one and only piece of relevant evidence [for an Aristotelian God] is the apparent impossibility of providing a naturalistic theory of the origin from DNA of the first reproducing species ... [In fact] the only reason which I have for beginning to think of believing in a First Cause god is the impossibility of providing a naturalistic account of the origin of the first reproducing organisms.

— Anthony Flew
with this:

"I now realize that I have made a fool of myself by believing that there were no presentable theories of the development of inanimate matter up to the first living creature capable of reproduction." --letter to Richard Carrier, Jan 29th

— Anthony Flew
...and realize that 1. the ID of William "I work at a Southern Baptist Seminary" Dembski is not what he agrees with and 2. He went that far because-- of his own admission-- he was arguing from ignorance.

He has accepted that recent discoveries in the details of cellular machinery have become impossible for him to accept as anything other than design by some agency.

WHAT recent discoveries? That 3 people think some cellular machinery can't evolve (which isn't even true)? Please, by all means, present this evidence.

If you're allowed to point to the leading lights of ID as being conspiratorial Christians with agendas then I reserve the right to point to the leading lights of neo-Darwinism as atheists. I don't think anyone's faith should be scrutinized but you force me to play by those rules so I point out that Dawkins and Gould and most of the other big names in evolution are atheists.

Yet it was you who brought up atheistic Dawkins in the first place. Like some crow for dinner? I could care less about the theistic inclinations of Evolution's supporters. This has no bearing on the fact that most evolutionary biologists are not atheists. 40% are Christian, the rest are a mixture of Jews, Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, Agnostic, Atheists, Deists, etc. So again, you do them injustice and I would go so far as to say you insult them. And we're not talking about chump change here either. We're talking about people like.... Darwin. Wallace. Asa Gray. Maybe we should curse Christians for coming up with Evolution. Want more recent people? Dobzhansky. Kenneth Miller. Philosopher of science Michael Ruse. IIRC, the director of the Human Genome Project is an evangelical evolutionary biologist. So you just keep backpedaling while you pick and choose TWO people. I'm not even sure that Gould wasn't agnostic anyway.

And no, I shouldn't be against bearing false witness. Your lame little ... Knowing right from wrong doesn't require a bible for guidance - at least not for me.

I could give a crap one way or another. The point is that 1. we should be honest in this discussion and 2. you haven't been.

frank schmidt · 25 February 2005

DaveIQ153Scot wrote: The only thing of Darwin's original work still standing is common ancestry and descent with modification. And he wasn't the first to propose either of those as anyone involved in animal husbandry over the last umpteen thousand years knew of heritable traits and descent with modification.

I would be pretty darn happy to come up with an idea that is still around 150 years later. But our buddy DaveIQ153 is again arguing from ignorance. Darwin also extended Malthus' ideas about how the rate of reproduction limits the number of young that can reproduce from human to the non-human populations, another pretty darn good insight that has stood the test of time. In fact this insight leads to a pretty darn good amount of what we now know as the science of ecology (R- vs K-limited species, for example). But I guess DaveIQ153 is so pretty darn smart that he knows that ecology isn't real science, either.

SteveS · 25 February 2005

My congratulations (and sympathy) to all of you who've taken the time and effort to decipher what Neurode thinks he's saying. Fortunately, he has no real argument, and is thus reduced to repeating the same assertions over and over again. As a result, he does over time achieve something resembling clarity, despite his suffocatingly turgid prose. God of the gaps + "It's obvious!" + tornado in a junkyard = Neurode. That's really all there is to it.

Timothy Sandefur · 25 February 2005

Hey, I think teaching ID does indeed "make all students lifelong learners." Think about it--it leaves them ignorant about one of the most important and basic scientific concepts in human history, and since it leaves them ignorant, they have to spend years after graduation learning what they should have been taught in school. Thus, they are lifelong learners. Hmm?

Flint · 25 February 2005

Falsifiability is not a requirement if there's verifiability. The nature of negative evidence makes it practically impossible to falsify some explanations. However, if the explanation can be confirmed by positive evidence there's no need to be falsifiable. That should be evident to even the casual observer.

That this is flat false should be obvious to the veriest dunce. People are inherent victims of the confirmation bias -- we see what we desire to see, and interpret it into what we wish to find. But that's the practical issue. The logical issue is, what happens when every observation supports competing (and very different) hypotheses? How can we tell which one is superior? The only logical answer is that both of the hypotheses might be wrong, and some evidence must support one more than the other. In other words, evidence must exist to show that a hypothesis is false. Now, here's a hypothesis for you. You are incapable of understanding either the process or the necessity of falsifiability, because you know that your faith cannot withstand such a test. So you lie, you dodge, you bear false witness, you ignore, and you generally abandon any honesty and integrity rather than recognize the obvious. Now, you could prove me wrong by being honest for the very first time. After all, an endless number of lies and evasions can never prove that telling the truth is impossible. Only telling the truth can falsify my hypothesis.

Ed Darrell · 25 February 2005

Frank Schmidt said:

I would be pretty darn happy to come up with an idea that is still around 150 years later. But our buddy DaveIQ153 is again arguing from ignorance. Darwin also extended Malthus' ideas about how the rate of reproduction limits the number of young that can reproduce from human to the non-human populations, another pretty darn good insight that has stood the test of time.

A lot of Darwin's work still holds up well. He did the first work on insectivorous plants, and groundbreaking work on twining, climbing vines. I saw a note in a geology journal last year that suggested finally, more than 160 years later, someone had found error in his first big monograph, on the formation of coral atolls in the South Pacific. And there is a book recently published on earthworms. Darwin was the guy who figured out the value of earthworms, too. All in all he was an outstanding scientist, in geology, in general biology, in botany, in zoology, and entomology. There have been precious few in any field who were so good in so many different disciplines. What I really love is to hear creationists spout off, as some are wont to do, with some bile about how insectivorous plants disprove Darwin's ideas about evolution, and then quote from his monograph on the plants while failing to give him credit. The first time I saw a creationist do it, I thought he was just generally completely ignorant. But I've seen it three or four times since. Dishonesty, plagiarism and lack of forethought run deep in creationism circles.

Don T. Know · 25 February 2005

Posted by DaveScot on February 25, 2005 03:06 PM The nature of negative evidence makes it practically impossible to falsify some explanations. However, if the explanation can be confirmed by positive evidence there's no need to be falsifiable. That should be evident to even the casual observer.

Something can be internally consistent and externally cogent and still be wrong. Enumerating what things would falsify a theory is what separates an okay proposition from one that can gain support and confidence over time. If you want to re-write the rules of science, that's your prerogative. Just don't try to pretend you are advancing the scientific method.

The Messenger · 25 February 2005

This is in response to the many bloggers here who keep remarking that Intelligent Design should not be taught in a science class because it is not discovered by scientific method of discovery and therefore does not belong. Having been in many science classrooms and having studied the subject with some depth I find this logic to be faulty. Certainly it is agreed that a teacher should teach students to utilize the scientific method of discovery and utilize it as well. Consider, however,
the following: Science is taught as a field of knowledge. The utilization of the scientific method should include quantitative methods in the treatment of data and be free from prejudice or emotional bias. The teaching of science includes teaching the known and well accepted principles, practices, and procedures used in scientific study including terminology, and such mundane practices as labeling, organizing, sketching, reading of history etc. A science teacher teaches research methods, statistics, standardized measuring techniques, documentation, logic, inductive and deductive thinking, along with many other skills. In the many fields of science, evolution is one area of study that would be taught in a biology and/or origins class. Along with evolution, should be taught other theories of the origin and creation of life and matter. I am amazed that there is even one true scientist who wishes to shut out the possibilities that exist in the origin of matter and the species, since so little is actually known.
Certainly much is known concerning DNA, mutations,
etc. There is much data that has been accumulated. Now it is up to those who interpret data to allow all ideas to be put forth as to the interpretation of this data. When evolution is the best explanation, truth seekers will have no trouble recognizing this. On the other hand, when evidence of Intelligent Design is present, the same can be said of those who are seeking truth. There should be no desire to force one or the other out of a discussion, but rather a desire to keep the statistics and records accurately kept. Science students learn from observing, studying and evaluating data as well as from their own experiments using the scientific method of discovery.

Russell · 25 February 2005

Questions addressed to creationists in this thread alone, and never responded to:

Comment #18002
Neurode,
You keep making statements that the ID hypothesis has already been extensively tested, but so far I haven't see you post a shred of evidence to back it up. I want studies, reputable journal articles etc. It's time to put up or shut-up.
#18006
"Another problem may be that the theory of evolution is so trivial that virtually any other "life science theory" properly contains it (unless, unlike ID theory, it denies long-term biological change of any kind)."
This is just plain silly. Creationist life science "theories" explicitly denounce common ancestry, and that's what the majority of ID advocates adhere to. If it's so trivial, why is it that the vast majority of IDCs reject it?

#18008
Really? All interpretations have equal right to be considered on equal footing in science?

" The occurrence of beneficial mutations is related to fitness (in a hypothetical design process)."

"Is related to"? What do you suppose that means? Maybe "Is (somehow) caused by"? Hard to know. But how this competes with the massively documented mechanisms of nucleic acid copying infidelity, only IDers seem to know.
#18012
Well, I asked neurode to specify a test ID could fail, and so far he has carefully ignored this basic notion. Lots and lots of doubletalk, but no method.

#18016
What confirmation are you talking about? What crucial tests? You've posted nothing about these, and have instead argued that your "reinterpretation" is valid all by itself without any additional evidence. I'm beginning to think I'm wasting my time here, since you seem to enjoy dragging people around in circles. Post some evidence, or admit that you have none.

#18028
A couple things spring to mind here.
1. Do you really think we should spend time on the alien theory, even in only a cursory mention?
2. You still have not explained who the "intelligent designer" is. If you require that of the alien explanation, then it's only fair that you pony up about who/what your designer is as well. So, let's hear it.

#18036
Now, if I understand you correctly, you're saying a testable prediction of ID is that the number of "useful" mutations that occur will greatly outnumber the number of harmful mutations. And your test for that is to look at nature and ask what genetic variations (i.e. mutations) are there to be seen. But of course all the significantly deleterious mutations will have been culled by natural selection, so you're not asking what is the ratio of fortunate to unfortunate mutation events, you're asking: does nature select for fortunate over unfortunate mutation events. Guess what ToE predicts?

#18042
Putting your massive confusion about mutation aside, the whole problem we're having here is that a deeper explanation has not been forthcoming from you, despite people having asked you for one. That was the whole point of me having asked for evidence when you asserted that ID had passed "crucial tests". What tests has it passed? You haven't named a single one.

#18049
DaveScot, do you have a crayon lodged in your brain? [OK. That's a rhetorical question. But you do have to wonder]

#18054
Are you clear on propositional logic and why it's a disaster in science?

#18068
Of course, Darwin discussed the experience of animal breeders in OoS, as part of the evidence backing his theory. But I was not aware that the notion of common descent of, say, humans and sharks, was much appreciated before Darwin. Do you have any references to share with us?

The most important thing, the mechanism by which phylogenesis operates, Darwin posited to be the primary result of inheritance of acquired characters . . .

I don't have my OoS right here, but that was not the impression I got from reading it. Would you be so kind as to cite the relevant passage? Thanx in advance.

" . . . Darwin's spectacular failure" which was what, exactly?

"the fossil record reveals top-down evolution where new forms arise in eyeblinks of geologic time"Can we get specific here? How many generations of the creatures in question does this "eyeblink" encompass?

"Mutation/selection is a failed hypothesis for explaining the diversity of life."

Your constant repetition of this slogan does not make it any truer. What do we have beyond "DaveIQ153Scot doesn't think so"? Point to some actual evidence, considered and taken seriously by actual biologists.

"And all the above doesn't even touch on the origins problem"
You're right, that abiogenesis problem is a real poser. But what would you consider "progress" in this field? The synthesis of a live bacterium from inorganic starting materials? Is everything short of that a failure? Most folks in the field believe the chemical processes - whatever they were - involved millions of years, and there's no way it's going to be replicated in a human lifetime. So as far as mechanisms, we have chemical scenarios - plausible in a general sort of way but nowhere near specific - versus . . . what? It's no good to say "it had to be designed". That's not a mechanism. How was it assembled?

Mike · 25 February 2005

Neurode wrote: Russell - I should think that it might be better, for scientific purposes, to make some effort to count the deleterious mutations before nature kills them off and sweeps them under the carpet. That way, you can avoid confounding the target effect with the effects of natural selection. But I'll bet you already thought of that . . . ]

http://www.marchofdimes.com/professionals/681_1192.asp As many as 50 percent of all pregnancies may end in miscarriage, because many losses occur before a woman realizes she is pregnant. This might be a good place to start looking for all of your deleterious mutations, that are so conveneintly "swept under the carpet".

Les Lane · 25 February 2005

I've just finished a page on a form of reasoning seen in this thread. If you're not a professional biologist check out the link and remember to avoid this sort of reasoning in your posts.

Jonathan Abbey · 26 February 2005

Nematode wrote: If the function "mutation" were independent of the property "fitness", then there would be no reason to expect beneficial adaptations to arise from mere genetic copying errors.

If mutations randomly arise in genetic copying, some mutations will be negative and some will be beneficial. If mutations are too negative, they will tend to be eliminated in the population. If a mutation provides a reproductively significant benefit over time, the percentage of the population that carries that mutation will increase. Over time, the population will be shaped by these mutations and the natural selection pressures applied to them. Your statement would only be true if the function "mutation" were independent of the property "fitness", and if the property "fitness" was not evaluated by the function "natural selection". Given that fitness has no meaning in a world in which all conceivable organisms reproduce or fail to reproduce at equal or randomly non-equal rates without respect to the environment or other competing organisms, and given that life on Earth does not exist in such a world, your statement is wrong. Uninteresting, even. If you want some insight, think about what kind of world in which there is no fitness function defined for reproducing and mutating organisms. Such a world could be created in simulation in a computer program, and it's pretty easy to imagine what sort of organisms would exist in such a system.. wholly random patterns. That life on Earth is anything but wholly random gives the lie to your thesis. QED.

Scott Davidson · 26 February 2005

The messenger wrote: Certainly much is known concerning DNA, mutations, etc. There is much data that has been accumulated. Now it is up to those who interpret data to allow all ideas to be put forth as to the interpretation of this data. When evolution is the best explanation, truth seekers will have no trouble recognizing this. On the other hand, when evidence of Intelligent Design is present, the same can be said of those who are seeking truth. There should be no desire to force one or the other out of a discussion, but rather a desire to keep the statistics and records accurately kept. Science students learn from observing, studying and evaluating data as well as from their own experiments using the scientific method of discovery.

The problem arises when ID is suggested as an opposing interpretation but there is no supporting evidence for that belief. All we have is people who believe that humans are special and require an explanation out of the ordinary (though they consistently fail to supply any evidence to support that belief). Can science offer a complete explanation of how things are? Well not quite, at least not yet. Still there are events that were attributed to gods in the past that can now be explained using methodological naturalism . Are there events in the present that people might want to atribute to gods? Is there any reason to believe that the events that we might attribute to gods will be understandable in the future, without invoking supernatural forces? Of course! Admittedly this is just my opinion, so feel free to try to convince me otherwise but bewarned, I have a fire breathing dragon in my basement and she's hungry. :)

ts · 26 February 2005

I think you know what I've been saying here, E; the evidence for the basic Darwinian hypothesis, whatever you may consider that evidence to be, can be reinterpreted as evidence for the design hypothesis with double the confirmation.

That is totally irrelevant; you have failed to meet the burden of rebuttal. As I noted, all observation "confirms" the "goddidit" hypothesis. This is why, as Popper observed, positive confirmation doesn't mean squat. What is demanded is a test, achievable in practice, where an a priori reasonably likely outcome would contradict the hypothesis being tested. No such test has been proposed for "design". (Heddle's blather about multiple universes, for instance, fails on all counts -- there's no test achievable in practice for which a reasonably likely outcome would indicate multiple universes, and even if there were such a test, multiple universes don't contradict design.)

I'd advise Neurode NOT to post a test ID can fail. That path leads to weeping and gnashing of teeth.

In other words, Heddle is incapable not only of providing such a test but of even comprehending what is required of such a test, and when people point that out he gets all pissy and starts crying like a baby. He even complains that it's "disingenuous" to ask him for such a test if you don't believe he can provide one! That Heddle's a clever fellow, he's not about to let anyone trap him into revealing that he's full of crap, and he advises Neurode to likewise avoid such "disingenuous" traps.

ts · 26 February 2005

DaveScot's pathetic argument from authority about the views of Anthony Flew is made all the more pathetic by the fact that a) Anthony Flew himself is a pathetic arguer from authority b) the great authoritative atheist-turned-deist Anthony Flew has retracted the reasons for his conversion:

http://www.secweb.org/asset.asp?AssetID=369 Antony Flew has retracted one of his recent assertions. In a letter to me dated 29 December 2004, Flew concedes: "I now realize that I have made a fool of myself by believing that there were no presentable theories of the development of inanimate matter up to the first living creature capable of reproduction." He blames his error on being "misled" by Richard Dawkins because Dawkins "has never been reported as referring to any promising work on the production of a theory of the development of living matter," even though this is false (e.g., Richard Dawkins and L. D. Hurst, "Evolutionary Chemistry: Life in a Test Tube," Nature 357: pp. 198-199, 21 May 1992) and hardly relevant: it was Flew's responsibility to check the state of the field (there are several books by actual protobiologists published in just the last five years), rather than wait for the chance possibility that one particular evolutionist would write on the subject. Now that he has done what he was supposed to do in the first place, he has retracted his false statement about the current state of protobiological science. Flew also makes another admission: "I have been mistaught by Gerald Schroeder." He says "it was precisely because he appeared to be so well qualified as a physicist (which I am not) that I was never inclined to question what he said about physics." Apart from his unreasonable plan of trusting a physicist on the subject of biochemistry (after all, the relevant field is biochemistry, not physics--yet it would seem Flew does not recognize the difference), this attitude seems to pervade Flew's method of truthseeking, of looking to a single author for authoritative information and never checking their claims (or, as in the case of Dawkins, presumed lack of claims). As Flew admitted to me, and to Stuart Wavell of the London Times, and Duncan Crary of the Humanist Network News, he has not made any effort to check up on the current state of things in any relevant field (see "No Longer Atheist, Flew Stands by 'Presumption of Atheism'" and "In the Beginning There Was Something"). Flew has thus abandoned the very standards of inquiry that led the rest of us to atheism. It would seem the only way to God is to jettison responsible scholarship.

You're not in a very good position if the best you can do is rationalize your beliefs on the basis of the musings of a tired old man who doesn't actually share those beliefs:

Despite all this, Flew has not retracted his belief in God, as far as I can tell. But in response to theists citing him in their favor, Flew strangely calls his "recent very modest defection from my previous unbelief" a "more radical form of unbelief," and implies that the concept of God might actually be self-refuting, for "surely there is material here for a new and more fundamental challenge to the very conception of God as an omnipotent spirit," but, Flew says, "I am just too old at the age of nearly 82 to initiate and conduct a major and super radical controversy about the conceivability of the putative concept of God as a spirit." This would appear to be his excuse for everything: he won't investigate the evidence because it's too hard. Yet he will declare beliefs in the absence of proper inquiry. Theists would do well to drop the example of Flew. Because his willfully sloppy scholarship can only help to make belief look ridiculous.

Bob Maurus · 26 February 2005

ts,

Is "Richard Dawkins and L. D. Hurst, "Evolutionary Chemistry: Life in a Test Tube," Nature 357: pp. 198-199, 21 May 1992" available anywhere online?

ts · 26 February 2005

Do you ask me this because you're lazy, or you figure that I'm competent to type google searches into my browser while you're not, or what?

http://www.nature.com/cgi-taf/DynaPage.taf?file=/nature/journal/v357/n6375/full/357198a0.html&filetype=pdf

Neurode · 26 February 2005

Mmm...it seems that we have a runaway misunderstanding here, complete with gratuitous regurgitations of some peoples' HS bio notes.

First, I didn't say that Darwinism, aka natural selection, is "wrong", or that any particular strain of ID is definitely "right"; I merely pointed out that examples of evolutionary adaptation confirm the ID hypothesis at a higher rate than the basic Darwinian hypothesis. That's a fact; whereas ID can make free use of natural selection, the basic Darwinian hypothesis is committed to indifference regarding mutational causation and therefore cannot benefit from modern findings regarding natural mechanisms thereof. That is, there is a point beyond which modern evolutionary biology is powerless to confirm the basic Darwinian hypothesis.

Of course, there's a hidden advantage to that; under the ground rules set by the original proponents of the Darwinian hypothesis, its modern proponents need not prove that any particular set of natural genetic mechanisms accounts for evolution in general. That's a good thing (for them), because they lack the data and the arguments required for that purpose. On the other hand, the Darwinian focus on natural selection saddles them with another obligation that cannot be avoided: to establish that little adaptations add up to large ones, and that natural mechanisms studied in microevolutionary contexts add up to macroevolution solely under the guidance of natural selection.

It may come as a surprise to some of you that evolutionary biology has not yet accomplished this feat, and that there is some amount of doubt as to whether it can. Some say that this doubt is illegitimate, that "science" must always take the causal sufficiency of natural mechanisms for granted. But if science merely works from this assumption to its implications, then it is ultimately just a form of circular reasoning in which the definition of "natural" is tied to the outcome of "naturalistic" inquiry and vice versa. Unfortunately, this is not entirely adequate for explanatory purposes, and under close analysis, conventional formulations of the scientific method fail to clarify matters. In addition, one must explain up front precisely how a "natural" system differs from other types of system. This is something else that evolutionary biology has not accomplished, even with help from the ad hoc discipline of complexity theory.

Although a good deal of heavy baggage has been attached to the "ID" label, the ID hypothesis can ultimately be viewed, on semantic and historic grounds, as the nucleus of a "supertheory" of evolution. That is, whereas the basic Darwinian hypothesis has solely to do with the deterministic effects of natural selection, ID also has to do with the causation of adaptive mutations (small and aggregate, with the non-exclusive involvement of NS in aggregation). When construed in this way, ID is simply an extension of Darwinism which expands its scope with respect to observed phenomena and admits a full range of possible causal influences, no assumptions required. In this light, ID is scientific by definition. (Incidentally, I'm not interested in objections based on special restrictive definitions of ID; my remarks apply only to the generalized form of ID spelled out above.)

With regard to the objection that any form of ID is necessarily committed to "supernatural" causation, one need merely observe that there is nothing about the terms "intelligent" and "design" that would necessarily prevent their integration into a naturalistic worldview. After all, intelligence exists in nature and qualifies as a natural phenomenon; in fact, as I've already (perhaps too subtly) pointed out, "intelligent" is to some extent synonymous with "adaptive". This is why ID, construed in the most general possible way, can be confirmed by arbitrary instances of biological adaptation, and why it can be confirmed or falsified by tests involving adaptivity (as I've already observed).

On a final note - and I apologize in advance to the innocent - this list obviously has a number of serious problems, not the least of which is the tedious regularity with which so many of its participants shoot off their mouths in ways that can only be described as boorish, bigoted, insulting, and in the final analysis, asinine. I see nothing here that would justify that sort of arrogance. The miscreants are shielded by their numbers; when many of them all begin ranting at once, responding to each of them in detail becomes prohibitive, and they can delude themselves that they've carried the day. But they really fool no one but themselves, and possibly a few others who lack the wit to see through their nonsense. A little self-restraint would markedly upgrade the quality of discourse around here.

ts · 26 February 2005

I merely pointed out that examples of evolutionary adaptation confirm the ID hypothesis at a higher rate than the basic Darwinian hypothesis. That's a fact

Whatever it is, it's irrelevant, and you still have failed to meet the burden of rebuttal. Evolution is falsifiable; ID is not.

ID is simply an extension of Darwinism which expands its scope with respect to observed phenomena and admits a full range of possible causal influences, no assumptions required.

Such "extensions" are a dime a dozen and are of no interest, as noted by Ockham.

On a final note - and I apologize in advance to the innocent - this list obviously has a number of serious problems, not the least of which is the tedious regularity with which so many of its participants shoot off their mouths in ways that can only be described as boorish, bigoted, insulting, and in the final analysis, asinine.

Methinks thou doth protest too much, you arrogant hypocritical jackass.

Les Lane · 26 February 2005

Nematode wrote: On a final note - and I apologize in advance to the innocent - this list obviously has a number of serious problems, not the least of which is the tedious regularity with which so many of its participants shoot off their mouths in ways that can only be described as boorish, bigoted, insulting, and in the final analysis, asinine. I see nothing here that would justify that sort of arrogance. The miscreants are shielded by their numbers; when many of them all begin ranting at once, responding to each of them in detail becomes prohibitive, and they can delude themselves that they've carried the day. But they really fool no one but themselves, and possibly a few others who lack the wit to see through their nonsense. A little self-restraint would markedly upgrade the quality of discourse around here.

I make no apologies for my use of "horseshit". It precisely catches the essence. Let me suggest that you pick an enzyme, select 3 or four sequences of that enzyme (relatively distant organisms), align the sequences and observe the amino acid positions which vary. Are they in functional regions of the enzyme (which would indicate intelligent design)? When your use of "mutation" is analogous to "forelegs" in my propostional logic example you can expect harsh criticism from professional biologists.

GCT · 26 February 2005

When construed in this way, ID is simply an extension of Darwinism which expands its scope with respect to observed phenomena and admits a full range of possible causal influences, no assumptions required. In this light, ID is scientific by definition. (Incidentally, I'm not interested in objections based on special restrictive definitions of ID; my remarks apply only to the generalized form of ID spelled out above.) With regard to the objection that any form of ID is necessarily committed to "supernatural" causation, one need merely observe that there is nothing about the terms "intelligent" and "design" that would necessarily prevent their integration into a naturalistic worldview. After all, intelligence exists in nature and qualifies as a natural phenomenon; in fact, as I've already (perhaps too subtly) pointed out, "intelligent" is to some extent synonymous with "adaptive". This is why ID, construed in the most general possible way, can be confirmed by arbitrary instances of biological adaptation, and why it can be confirmed or falsified by tests involving adaptivity (as I've already observed).

— Neurode
Your "full range of possible causal influences" is just your fancy way of saying, "goddidit," right? Ah, but you've read the DI papers that say to be careful not to utter the g-word and to make sure that you specify that the intelligent designer could be naturalistic. This presents some problems though. How does this naturalistic designer mess with the cells of the bacteria around us without us noticing? Who is this naturalistic designer? Is your hypothesis limited to what happens in evolution, or does it also encompass the formation of life and the formation of the universe? Where did this naturalistic designer come from? How do you get around the likely scenario that this designer would also have to have been designed? Who's the designer's designer? Who is then that designer's designer? And so on. What you have given us is rhetorical flourishes that really hold nothing of substance. You are trying to argue that evolution proves ID and that ID disproves evolution. You've tried to co-opt natural selection to be a part of ID and not of evolution. If something adapts, that proves ID? Man, you're going to have to do a lot better than that.

Ed Darrell · 26 February 2005

I merely pointed out that examples of evolutionary adaptation confirm the ID hypothesis at a higher rate than the basic Darwinian hypothesis.

The ID hypothesis, as Michael Behe explained it here in Dallas, is "I know design when I see it." "I know it when I see it" isn't even the standard used to judge dogs at the Westminster Dog Show. ID people could probably pick up a lot of useful stuff at the dog show. Anything they picked up would be more useful, to science and ethics, than "intelligent design."

Stephen Stralka · 26 February 2005

Neurode, I will try to say this as politely as I can. All your comments in this thread betray a near total ignorance of what evolutionary theory is really about. Several people here (I don't know if they all count as miscreants in your book) have done their best to explain it to you, and to show why your arguments are fallacious, but in response you disregard what they've said and keep repeating the same non sequiturs and tautologies.

It seems to me that your opponents in this thread have accurately characterized your argument -- that the occurence of adaptive mutations confirms the ID hypothesis -- but you have not returned the favor. The whole point of evolution is that it shows how you have can organisms that are wonderfully adapted to their environment without the need for any designer, so your repeated claim that adaptation implies design absolutely begs the question.

So try this. Leave aside ID for the moment. Write up a brief description of evolutionary theory as you understand it and submit it to an evolutionary biologist (they're not hard to find around here) for review. Allow the biologist to correct your errors, and pay careful attention to his or her comments. You may have to go through a few drafts, but eventually you should be able to come up with a reasonably accurate statement. If you want to criticize evolutionary theory, or weigh it against Intelligent Design, that should be your starting point.

Lastly, if I might be slightly less polite for a moment, I'd like to address your complaint about the boorish, bigoted, insulting and asinine tone of some of the comments here. As long as we're talking about tone, let me just point out that the smug and supercilious tone you adopt throughout this thread really doesn't befit the vacuity of your arguments.

Neurode · 26 February 2005

Steven Stralka: You say that "the whole point of evolution is that it shows how you have can organisms that are wonderfully adapted to their environment without the need for any designer." In what kind of system? And can you prove that the world is that kind of system? These are questions to which you have clearly failed to devote sufficient thought.

Ed Darrell: I really don't know what to say to somebody who can't tell the difference between ID and a dog show. ID might not be to your liking, but if you don't recognize the importance of the issues that it attempts to address, you might as well not even try to debate it. You'll only end up going around in circles.

GCT: I have not been "arguing that evolution proves ID and that ID disproves evolution." I have been arguing that the causal scope of evolutionary theory is limited and therefore amenable to extension, and that it is possible to view a general version of the ID hypothesis as the nucleus of that extension. I have not "tried to co-opt natural selection to be a part of ID and not of evolution." In fact, I have no idea where you got that. And my comments regarding adaptivity were designed to address the distinction between adaptation (within an evolutionary system) and the property of adaptivity, which requires a higher (systemic) level of explanation than the events to which it is applied.

Lois Lane: This may be hard for you to believe, but discussions of this kind are not mere pissing contests for you to show everybody the dangers of messing with a "professional biologist". Nobody cares on this side of the screen (that is, I don't care). Your enzyme example misses the point; while valid within its scope, its scope is far too limited to be relevant to the issue at hand (evolution cannot be reduced to enzyme mutations). And although you talk about propositional logic as though you know it well, I see no sign that you know it well enough to be lecturing on it. In fact, my point has to do more with predicate logic, as should have been evident to you in my emphasis on the definitions of such terms as "nature", "naturalistic","intelligent" and "design". Science depends critically on language; it has been used poorly and thoughtlessly by people on both sides of this controversy, including you.

Ts: It's not your place to set the "burden of rebuttal". Why not? Because you're an airhead, and worse than that, you're a rude one. Take my advice: evolve a little. Then maybe you can haul your sorry rebuttal on over to Kansas and do something you haven't managed to do here: give those anti-evolutionists something worthy of thinking about.

God · 26 February 2005

You know, all this rudeness really pisses Me off. As punishment, I condemn Neurode and ts to spend eternity locked up alone in a 6' x 6' cell.

Neurode · 26 February 2005

Impersonating God is a prosecutable offense. Laugh now, pay later.

Jonathan Abbey · 26 February 2005

First, I didn't say that Darwinism, aka natural selection, is "wrong", or that any particular strain of ID is definitely "right"; I merely pointed out that examples of evolutionary adaptation confirm the ID hypothesis at a higher rate than the basic Darwinian hypothesis. That's a fact; whereas ID can make free use of natural selection, the basic Darwinian hypothesis is committed to indifference regarding mutational causation and therefore cannot benefit from modern findings regarding natural mechanisms thereof. That is, there is a point beyond which modern evolutionary biology is powerless to confirm the basic Darwinian hypothesis.

This is simple nonsense. The Darwinian hypothesis, of the efficacy of variation plus heredity and natural selection over Deep Time, describes the dynamic behavior of the system at a high level. You seem to be claiming that because evolutionary theory does not explain where the mutations come from, it can't explain as much as ID. Do I have that right? Because if I do, you do understand that there is an extraordinarily rich body of knowledge that has been accumulated 'below' evolutionary theory, if you will, about the various ways in which enzymatic copying of DNA and RNA gives rise to mutation. These things are not a mystery, they have been observed and quantified extensively. Your claim would seem to suggest that you believe that because evolutionary theory can't explain why the chemistry behaves the way it does and why physics behaves the way it does, evolutionary theory is less well confirmed than ID, which says that chemistry and physics behave the way they do because the Intelligent Designer wanted them to. Do I have that right?

On the other hand, the Darwinian focus on natural selection saddles them with another obligation that cannot be avoided: to establish that little adaptations add up to large ones, and that natural mechanisms studied in microevolutionary contexts add up to macroevolution solely under the guidance of natural selection.

In other words, even though everything in nature seems to vary over space and time with heredity under selective pressure, there are still gaps that haven't been photographed/pickled/pinned to a butterfly board, therefore we haven't proved to your satisfaction that an Intelligent Designer didn't sneak in through means unexplainable and fiddle with things in the gaps to make it go. Do I have that right? If I do have either or both of those two points right, I'd appreciate it if you could explain how ID coheres with the fact that we know that the vast majority of possible mutations are harmful ones, and that the majority of living creatures conceived on this planet die without ever leaving offspring, just as the vast majority of species that have ever lived have gone extinct. If the rate of adaptive mutations was one in ten million, I wouldn't find that miraculous enough to necessitate the presence of an Intelligent Designer. If it was one in five, I might. Where do you draw the line to consider mutations miraculously successful enough to give you confidence to point to an Intelligent Designer? Or, again, are you giving the Intelligent Designer the basic credit for the miraculous existence of the world's physics, chemistry, etc.?

DonkeyKong · 26 February 2005

Frank.

Please study your Nostrodamas.

He predicted many things that his followers believe. He claims visions of higher powers.

Because some of his vague statements turn out to loosely fit how history unfolded do you now believe in God?

Or do you have a higher standard of proof for the religious wackos than for the evolution wackos?

Please make some predictions for evolution...

I predict that gravity within the Earth will be attracted to the earth at roughly 9.8 m/s^2. This applies to all interactions of gravity and you are free to test for yourself.

I understand Gravity do you understand evolution? By the way I expect numbers in your reply as I am talking about science not BS. Please provide at least 1 preferrably 2 significant figures in your reply.

GCT · 26 February 2005

I understand Gravity do you understand evolution?

— DonkeyKong
If you understand gravity, then explain to us how things attract each other. I'm not talking about using the inverse square law, that's just the mathematical formulation of the forces involved. I'm talking about on a atomic level, how do these forces between objects far away happen?

I have not been "arguing that evolution proves ID and that ID disproves evolution." I have been arguing that the causal scope of evolutionary theory is limited and therefore amenable to extension, and that it is possible to view a general version of the ID hypothesis as the nucleus of that extension. I have not "tried to co-opt natural selection to be a part of ID and not of evolution." In fact, I have no idea where you got that. And my comments regarding adaptivity were designed to address the distinction between adaptation (within an evolutionary system) and the property of adaptivity, which requires a higher (systemic) level of explanation than the events to which it is applied.

— Neurode
So, all that talk about how beneficial mutations and the fact that species adapt proving ID was what? You still dodged/ignored all my other questions. You said that if someone posits that aliens seeded the Earth, that hypothesis is lacking because there's no mention of who these aliens are, etc. Well, you've made no mention as to who your designer is. Ipso facto, I say that you have nothing to offer what-so-ever, except a bunch of double speak and good thesaurus.

Impersonating God is a prosecutable offense. Laugh now, pay later.

— Neurode
I hoped that you may be joking, but with you ID types, sometimes I have to wonder if that is what you are really after. I bet you would like a world where someone could be prosecuted for using god's name.

GCT · 26 February 2005

First, I didn't say that Darwinism, aka natural selection, is "wrong", or that any particular strain of ID is definitely "right"; I merely pointed out that examples of evolutionary adaptation confirm the ID hypothesis at a higher rate than the basic Darwinian hypothesis. That's a fact; whereas ID can make free use of natural selection, the basic Darwinian hypothesis is committed to indifference regarding mutational causation and therefore cannot benefit from modern findings regarding natural mechanisms thereof.

— Neurode
emphasis mine Just in case you wanted to try and say that you never tried to co-opt natural selection for ID, I thought I would include this quote by you earlier.

Prince Vegita · 26 February 2005

I predict that gravity within the Earth will be attracted to the earth at roughly 9.8 m/s^2. This applies to all interactions of gravity and you are free to test for yourself.

This makes no sense whatsoever. How can gravity be attracted to the earth? Since gravity is the warping of space around the earth, does this mean gravity is attracted to itself? [quoteI understand Gravity do you understand evolution? Since 9.8 m/s^2 does not apply to all scenarios, obviously you don't get gravity at all, so I don't think we should trust what you have to say about evolution.

Russell · 26 February 2005

In the spirit of shooting fish in a barrel:

I predict that gravity within the Earth will be attracted to the earth at roughly 9.8 m/s^2. ... I understand Gravity

Is any comment necessary?

Neurode · 26 February 2005

Jonathon Abbey: "You seem to be claiming that because evolutionary theory does not explain where the mutations come from, it can't explain as much as ID. Do I have that right?"

No, you don't. The basic Darwinian hypothesis is merely one aspect of "evolutionary theory". You seem to understand this when you refer to the "extraordinarily rich body of knowledge that has been accumulated 'below' evolutionary theory ... about the various ways in which enzymatic copying of DNA and RNA gives rise to mutation"; however, you seem not to understand it when you intimate that that this body of knowledge is sufficient, despite "gaps that haven't been photographed/pickled/pinned to a butterfly board", to characterize the modes of causation required by nature. It is not sufficient, as the very existence of complexity theory demonstrates.

You go on: "If the rate of adaptive mutations was one in ten million, I wouldn't find that miraculous enough to necessitate the presence of an Intelligent Designer. If it was one in five, I might. Where do you draw the line to consider mutations miraculously successful enough to give you confidence to point to an Intelligent Designer?"

Where indeed? Unless you can answer this question for yourself with a high degree of precision and reliability (and you can't), you cannot draw the line beyond which possible causal extensions should be summarily excluded from evolutionary theory.

You continue: "If I do have either or both of those two points right, I'd appreciate it if you could explain how ID coheres with the fact that we know that the vast majority of possible mutations are harmful ones, and that the majority of living creatures conceived on this planet die without ever leaving offspring, just as the vast majority of species that have ever lived have gone extinct."

You're aware, I hope, that you've already been contradicted on that - somebody else has already observed that the vast majority of (elementary) mutations are neutral. However, you do appear to understand that there is a question as to whether the ratio of survivable mutations to deleterious mutations - and now we're talking about combinations of elementary mutations, which are far more likely to be deleterious than elementary mutations themselves - is sufficiently high, despite the culling influence of natural selection, to sustain life on earth without other modes of causation than the one you currently think you understand.

You then ask "Where do you draw the line to consider mutations miraculously successful enough to give you confidence to point to an Intelligent Designer?"

That's a very good question. But let me ask another: Given that an intelligent designer can be defined consistently with natural selection and available evolutionary data, how do you know enough to exclude that hypothesis? [Clue: you don't.]

Finally, you ask "Or, again, are you giving the Intelligent Designer the basic credit for the miraculous existence of the world's physics, chemistry, etc.?"

You appear to be talking about what evolutionary cosmologists might call the "cosmic mutation" that gave rise to the universe and its laws. In which case, the standard scientific supposition of causal self-containment implies that the ontological adaptivity of this mutation is intrinsic in origin. And in that case, when intelligence is defined on adaptivity, the universe bears description as "intelligent", having "designed itself" for internal self-adaptation.

But now we're in the realm of theology. This is what happens when you start asking deep questions. So the question now becomes, is science merely a shallow skimming-over-the-surface of nature and causality, or is it prepared to go after the answers to deep questions? [Clue: science has already gone after those answers in fields like physics and cosmology, leaving evolutionary biology in the dust.]

GCT writes: "Just in case you wanted to try and say that you never tried to co-opt natural selection for ID, I thought I would include this quote by you earlier: 'whereas ID can make free use of natural selection, the basic Darwinian hypothesis is committed to indifference regarding mutational causation and therefore cannot benefit from modern findings regarding natural mechanisms thereof.'"

I was objecting to part B of your assertion that "(A) You've tried to co-opt natural selection to be a part of ID (B) and not of evolution." You need to keep better track of your assertions.

The Messenger · 26 February 2005

Dear Scott Davidson, Has your Dragon pounced on the writer of this yet? :~)

Methodological Naturalism http://www.arn.org/docs/odesign/od181/methnat181.htm[/url}

Russell · 26 February 2005

I don't know about Scott's dragon, but I'm having trouble reconciling these two parts of Plantinga's essay:

A Christian therefore has a certain freedom denied her naturalist counterpart: she can follow the evidence where it leads...

— Plantinga

... modern evolutionary thought has shown or given us reason to believe that human beings are, in an important way, merely accidental; there wasn't any plan, any foresight, any mind, any mind's eye involved in their coming into being. But of course no Christian theist could take that seriously for a moment.

(Emphasis added)

Jonathan Abbey · 26 February 2005

Neurode sayeth: That's a very good question. But let me ask another: Given that an intelligent designer can be defined consistently with natural selection and available evolutionary data, how do you know enough to exclude that hypothesis? [Clue: you don't.]

Invisible, immaterial leprechauns can be defined consistently with natural selection and evailable evolutionary data as well. I exclude that hypothesis due to the lack of positive evidence for such creatures, in addition to the basic definitional difficulty. That aside, I confess myself disappointed that you chose not to substantively answer any of my questions, instead turning them into questions or attacks on my knowledge. I thought I had grasped your argument well enough to characterize it and ask for further illumination, but none is to be forthcoming, it would seem. The only concrete statement in your entire response was "it is not sufficient, as the very existence of complexity theory demonstrates.", and that itself is pretty content-free. There are lots of qualities of organic biochemistry that allow it to support the kind of complex, auto-catalyzing reactions that permit replication and so forth, and you are correct that any theory of life has to include an analysis of the complex behavior of such chemical systems. That doesn't mean that complexity theory points ineluctably to Intelligent Design, in whatever idiosyncratic form you cast that term. It appears that you are merely making an ungrounded theological argument, cast in dense language, rather than being willing to stand on any substantiated factual argument. In the absence of positive direct evidence for an Intelligent Designer, the onus is on your side to make the case.

The Messenger · 26 February 2005

Russell,
You are taking something out of context and that is what is giving you the trouble. Drop it into to context and the meaning becomes much more obvious. First you need to know that he quotes Gould, Simpson, and Dawkins. Then he writes:

"These writers, therefore, unite in declaring that modern evolutionary thought has shown or given us reason to believe that human beings are, in an important way, merely accidental; there wasn't any plan, any foresight, any mind, any mind's eye involved in their coming into being. But of course no Christian theist could take that seriously for a moment. Human beings have been created, and created in the image of God. No doubt God could have created us via evolutionary processes; if he did it that way, however, then he must have guided, orchestrated, directed the processes by which he brought about his designs.
Now again (as with Simon) we might say that strictly speaking, when these people make such declarations, they are neither speaking as scientists nor doing science."

Now doesn't that help 'reconcile' the quotes?

Russell · 26 February 2005

Now doesn't that help 'reconcile' the quotes?

Not really. I didn't take them out of context to misrepresent. I excerpted the parts that highlight my puzzlement most starkly. If the evidence leads to an "accidental" origin of humans, and the christian can't take that possibility seriously even for a moment, I don't see how she is free to follow that evidence.

Neurode · 26 February 2005

Jonathan Abbey says:

"In the absence of positive direct evidence for an Intelligent Designer, the onus is on your side to make the case."

You don't quite seem to be getting the point about different ways of interpreting the same evidence. You look at the universe (with the naked eye, through a microscope, through a telescope) and say:

1. "I see no evidence of divine causation; I see only ordinary causation."

A theist looks at the same universe and says:

2. "I see only divine causation, the simpler modes being the most accessible and thus mistaken for 'ordinary'."

To exclude ID from science classrooms, you need to demonstrate conclusively that 1 is correct, but that 2 is not.

In order to do this, you will need to show that ID lacks any possible logically consistent model for the sort of causation it posits. This would require you to spell out the model of causation on which your version of "science" relies, demonstrate its sufficiency to explain all observable phenomena (including the universe as a whole), and show that it contains no room for ID.

I guarantee that if you attempt to do this, you will fail. First, you will fail to spell out a logically consistent model of "ordinary causation" (that's mainly the job of the physical sciences, and physics is currently torn between several inconsistent notions of causation). Then, after trying unsuccessfully to fudge a causational model, you will fail to demonstrate its explanatory sufficiency. Lastly, you will fail to show that it precludes divine causation.

If you'd like to seriously try to meet this challenge, just let me know where to find your attempt. I'll make sure to point out all of your errors as politely and instructively as possible...that is, unless you make no errors, in which case I'll gladly admit that you're a very smart person, not least for having bothered to educate yourself beyond your current level of understanding.

That being said, your "invisible, immaterial leprechauns" comment is just the kind I'd expect from someone without the ghost of a chance of pulling it off. In conjunction with what seems to be your general incomprehension regarding certain key issues, it implies an inability or unwillingness to make the fine logical distinctions you'd be required to make. (But feel free to try anyway.)

Lastly, you seem to have a problem locating the burden of proof. Where one group is pursuing an exclusory policy at the expense of another, they must justify that policy by proving that it leads to a better result than if it were not pursued. In this case, the burden is on those who exclusively endorse a restrictive "naturalistic" form of causation to prove that no other form of causation is scientifically relevant, and thus that the views of those endorsing a less restrictive view of causation should be excluded from science classrooms.

But since that takes us back to my challenge, perhaps you'd better get busy.

Mike · 26 February 2005

You look at the universe (with the naked eye, through a microscope, through a telescope) and say:

1. "I see no evidence of divine causation; I see only ordinary causation."

A leprechaunist looks at the same universe and says:

2. "I see only leprechaunal causation, the simpler modes being the most accessible and thus mistaken for 'ordinary'."

To exclude leprechauns from science classrooms, you need to demonstrate conclusively that 1 is correct, but that 2 is not.

Neurode · 26 February 2005

Great insight, Mike!

But let's do this right. In order for your theory of "leprechaunal causation" to succeed, you must distinguish leprechaunal causation from ordinary causation in some coherent way.

You can begin by naming the events for which it is responsible, taking care that they have not already been adequately explained in terms of ordinary causation.

You may find this example useful: ID proponents point to the origin of life, speciation, and sometimes the origin of the cosmos as events for which its characteristic mode of causation is responsible. (They are able to do this because ordinary causation can be proven insufficient, or at any rate cannot be proven sufficient, to cause those events.)

By the way, take care not to define "leprechaunal causation" in such a way that it overlaps with "ID causation". ID got there first, and already "owns" the events on which it is defined.

If you can do what the ID people have done, you can then remove the putty from your nose, give your theory a more dignified name, and go mainstream!

Let us know how it goes.

God · 26 February 2005

I think Neurode is more lost in his (her?) own sophistry than its intended targets. What exactly would this "ID" consist of in high school science classes? What is the curriculum? What is the text?

Jonathan Abbey · 27 February 2005

Lastly, you seem to have a problem locating the burden of proof. Where one group is pursuing an exclusory policy at the expense of another, they must justify that policy by proving that it leads to a better result than if it were not pursued. In this case, the burden is on those who exclusively endorse a restrictive "naturalistic" form of causation to prove that no other form of causation is scientifically relevant, and thus that the views of those endorsing a less restrictive view of causation should be excluded from science classrooms.

How can any form of causation be scientifically relevant if no evidence can be adduced and no mechanism explained for it? You have not provided any reason for considering ID as a field for scientific analysis or reasoning. All you have said is 'my beliefs explain everything better than yours', without your beliefs giving ground to any predictions whatsoever. If evolutionary theory + ID special sauce gives all the same predictions as evolutionary theory, then that's the same as how evolutionary theory + leprechauns gives all the same predictions as evolutionary theory. In fact, the X factor can vary infinitely, so long as it provides no testable predictions. Evolutionary theory has made and continues to make an abundance of predictions. Speciation is predicted to occur in certain sorts of circumstances. The past movement of tectonic plates is characterized on the basis of distribution of certain kinds of fossils. The development of plagues, the behavior of ecosystems when alien species are introduced, the repeated observations of diversification of species when new areas are colonized, the rate of accretion of mutations in species through comparative genomics.. all can be modeled with aspects of evolutionary theory. All you have is the claim that since ID can't be disproven, it deserves to be taught in science classes. I don't doubt that you must be correct, wise as you are, but I wonder how we will decide which flavor of ID to teach? Should it be Islamic ID? Mormon? Christian? So many theories that are not amenable to disproof, with so little time to teach them.

Cubist · 27 February 2005

Neurode? Got a couple questions for you. Given that ID pretty much boils down to "Somewhere, somewhen, somehow, somebody intelligent did something", how can ID be tested? And if ID can't be tested, why should any scientist bother to take ID seriously?

Now, you might choose to respond that my seven-word summary misrepresents ID -- but if you do that, I'll thank you to explain how I've misrepresented ID. As best I can tell from my reading of ID material, ID doesn't say anything about the Designer other than that It was intelligent (therefore, "somebody intelligent" isn't a misrepresentation); as well, ID doesn't say anything about what the Designer actually did (therefore, "did something" isn't a misrepresentation), how the Designer did whatever It did (therefore, "somehow" isn't a misrepresentation), where the Designer did whatever It did (therefore, "somewhere" isn't a misrepresentation), or when the Designer did whatever It did (therefore, "somewhen" isn't a misrepresentation)...

John A. Davison · 27 February 2005

The best evidence for Intelligent design stems from the time honored method of the elimination of alternative explanations. Since both Lamarckian and Darwinian hypotheses have proven to be dismal failures, what are we left with as conceivable possibilities? I say a prescribed, front loaded, autogenerated, goal directed and self- terminating evolution. In other words a process exactly like ontogeny which is also prescribed, front loaded, autogenerated, goal directed and self-terminating.

Another way of looking at it it is as follows. Nature was obviously created some how. Just when in the creative process did the Creator hand over the reins to Nature to complete the creative sequence? I say never. So much for Natural Selection. The only role for Natural Selection was to maintain for limited periods of time the status quo. That is why species appear and disappear in the fossil record with virtually no alterations in their morphology during their tenure. The only exceptions I know to this involve increases in size which typically end in extinction. Without extinction there could never have been any evolution.

Thus Natural Selection was anti-evolutionary in the short run but essential for evolution in the long run, when it was no longer able to resist the ravages of the accumulation of deleterious genes. Schindewolf recognized this view of evolution when he coined the terms "Typogenesis," Typostasis," and "Typolysis" to describe evolutionary history as revealed by the fossil record, a record that cannot be ignored by any evolutionary hypothesis.

John A. Davison

Guthrie · 27 February 2005

Mr Davison- if Lamarckian and Darwinian hypotheses are such dismal failures, perhaps you can tell us how? Who has shown them to be such failures? In what way have they been shown to be failures?

"I say a prescribed, front loaded, autogenerated, goal directed and self- terminating evolution."

That sounds interesting. What are the traces of it around today that are so convincing to us that we should think it correct?

Neurode · 27 February 2005

Jonathan Abbey: "How can any form of causation be scientifically relevant if no evidence can be adduced and no mechanism explained for it?"

Regarding evidence, you're still not getting the picture. Plenty of evidence has been adduced for the ID hypothesis: the origin of the cosmos. The origin of life. Every instance of speciation.

The Darwinian hypothesis, which represents mainstream evolutionary theory in this context, claims the last of these bodies of evidence (speciation) for itself. However, it falls victim to your "no mechanism" clause. That is, although Darwinists claim that naturalistic, gradualistic mechanisms are capable of causing speciation - or as you put it, they "predict" speciation - they have spectacularly failed to achieve direct confirmation. Darwinism thus remains an article of faith, and this places it on the same footing on which it accuses ID of being.

And then, of course, we have the fact that ID claims two other bodies of evidence confirmationally unavailable to the basic Darwinian hypothesis: the origin of the cosmos, and the origin of life. Ordinary causality cannot possibly have been responsible for the origin of the cosmos; yet cosmologists agree that the cosmos did indeed have an origin. This constitutes an existential proof of the existence of the ID mode of causation. Although the origin of life is also claimed by the larger body of naturalistic evolutionary theory, there are problems which devolve to the essential nature of "life", and in any case, Darwinism per se is prohibited from taking advantage of this evidence (as already explained).

What does this mean? It means that if Darwinism gets to stay in the classroom (in any but a microevolutionary context), then ID gets to be in the classroom. It's very simple, very fair, and very scientific. The only requirements that can be imposed on ID are that it be formulated in a logically consistent way which ties into the cosmological evidence for the existence of ID causation, and that it favor no specific body of religious belief.

Regarding a mechanism, it is widely assumed that no ID proponent has proposed a mechanism for ID causation. This is false; I've read at least two papers, both by the same author, proposing such a mechanism and explaining how it fits into an ID-consistent cosmology. These ideas are still on the back burner, but have been published in the ID literature and on ID sites. Unfortunately, although the mechanism and cosmology seem logically consistent, they are too complex to explain here. I will say, however, that this advanced version of (the general form of) ID seems to have been developed with sufficient logical rigor to appear in virtually any science textbook, particularly given that much of what now passes for mainstream cosmological theorization has far less to do with logic.

What it comes down to is this: if ID is to be excluded from science textbooks as an explanation for macroevolution, Darwinism must be excluded as well. Its proponents have now had a century and a half to deliver direct confirmation of their hypothesis, have failed to do so, and as a result, no longer have the scientific credibility to keep other hypotheses out of the limelight.

Russell · 27 February 2005

Neurone:

it is widely assumed that no ID proponent has proposed a mechanism for ID causation. This is false; I've read at least two papers, both by the same author, proposing such a mechanism and explaining how it fits into an ID-consistent cosmology

Please share with us these references. Here you come tantalizingly close to that pot at the end of the rainbow we're all so curious about: the actual scientific content of ID (mechanisms, predictions, tests, measurements...) - only to let us down again.

if ID is to be excluded from science textbooks as an explanation for macroevolution, Darwinism must be excluded as well. Its proponents have now had a century and a half to deliver direct confirmation of their hypothesis, have failed to do so, and as a result, no longer have the scientific credibility to keep other hypotheses out of the limelight.

What would constitute "direct" confirmation of the "Darwinian" hypothesis? What mechanism does "ID" propose? How has the ID mechanism been tested? Please don't bother high school students with your sophistry until you can give cogent answers to these questions. They have enough to deal with as it is.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

"I know it when I see it" isn't even the standard used to judge dogs at the Westminster Dog Show.

— Ed Darrel
At a dog show the judges can at least observe living dogs doing the things their owners claim they can do. If The Church of Darwin's priesthood were held to the same evidentiary standard there'd be nothing to argue about.

GT(N)T · 27 February 2005

Fascinating thread.

At least two world views are expressed here. The naturalistic, which maintains that it's alright to say, "we don't know, at least not yet", in response to some questions; and the supernaturalistic (is that a word?), with adherents who are comfortable inserting their god into every available gap. The only way they can prevent their god from playing an ever-dimenishing role in the world is to deny science.

It seems a strange and sad choice.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

re Antony Flew

I hadn't read the January 2005 update on secweb. My mistake. Please forgive me for missing it at this late date of February 2005. I try to read everything new on the internet within a day of its appearance but sometimes my reading list is backed up a month or two. LOL!

Congratulations to all who caught me in a mistake. Cherish it as you would the rarest of treasures.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

BTW, my "interpretation" of the data is that aliens were involved in seeding the first cell. This also "explains" the data. So, may I put that into a scientific curriculum as well?

— Don T. Know
Does it violate any known physical laws? No. Does it explain any problems better than competing theories? Yes. Does any evidence contradict it? No. Is it falsifiable? Yes (by verifying a non-alien hypothesis such as all powerful mutation/selection). Is it verifiable? Yes (SETI is one of several possibilities). So, if you can get a duly elected school board to agree that it is worthy of mention then I don't see why it shouldn't be in the curriculum. You'd get my vote that it should be at least mentioned as a possibility with SETI and astrobiology as example areas of scientific inquiry which may lead to more evidence for or against it. I wish you good luck with a real school board as the average member is far less likely to be as honest and open-minded as moi.

Neurode · 27 February 2005

Rossell writes: "Please share with us these references."

Read chapter 13 of the book "Uncommon Dissent". Then read the author's source paper referenced therein.

Russell goes on: "Here you come tantalizingly close to that pot at the end of the rainbow we're all so curious about: the actual scientific content of ID (mechanisms, predictions, tests, measurements . . . ) - only to let us down again."

As a theory of speciation and/or a causal theory of adaptive mutation, Darwinism has no relevant tests or measurements to call its own. While its proponents have long been furiously waving their hands at purported naturalistic mechanisms, ID is free to incorporate the very same mechanisms, plus an additional class of mechanisms justified by their causal inadequacy. As far as predictions are concerned, Darwinism makes no predictions relevant to these explananda, and even if it did, ID could successfully predict that the Darwinian predictions won't pan out on the required level of explanation. Thus far, it has in fact done this with 100% accuracy.

Russell continues: "What would constitute 'direct' confirmation of the 'Darwinian' hypothesis?"

As a valid beginning, most people would accept a verifiable detailed account of the evolutionary history of any complex multicellular organism, including the relevant sequence of mutations (to confirm the micromutational sufficiency of ordinary causality) and phylogenetic divergences (to confirm macromutational sufficiency).

In contrast, the ID hypothesis would be directly confirmed by any event requiring a mode of causation above and beyond the known class of "naturalistic" causal mechanisms. Specific examples: the origin of the cosmos (observed). The origin of life (observed). Speciation (observed).

By any reasonable standards, this stage of the game is over.

Russell: "What mechanism does 'ID' propose?"

If you actually care, you can read the source material.

Russell: "How has the ID mechanism been tested?"

See above responses. An existential proof of the ID mode of causation has been given, and it has been tested by attempts to explain certain widely-observed events in terms of ordinary causation. These attempts have failed, thus confirming the involvement of ID causation (by exclusion, as Prof. Davison observes).

Russell: "Please don't bother high school students with your sophistry until you can give cogent answers to these questions. They have enough to deal with as it is."

As you probably know by current personal experience. Right?

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Heddle at http://helives.blogspot.com/2005_02_01_helives_archive.html#110934859492712020

Good work. But there's an even easier way to falsify ID for me. Just verify mutation/selection is the mechanism that took bacteria to buffalo in 4 billion years and that'll do it for me. Is that too much to ask? Evidently it is.

Ya know why it's too much to ask and why mutation/selection has not been verified as the mechanism that turned bacteria into buffalo? Because you can't verify something that didn't happen. Ouch.

E · 27 February 2005

DaveScot -
Are you saying that if/when SETI finds evidence of ETs, it will automatically prove that ETs were responsible for seeding the first cell?

Neurode -
Are you saying that you'd be convinced that evolution is correct when we manage to fill in all the gaps in the fossil record and correspond that with direct genetic evidence of corresponding mutations? (I'm guessing I already know the answer to that.) Filling in every single missing link in the chain (branch in the bush) is nearly impossible for any scientific finding. Do you know every single biochemical pathway affected when you pop a Tylenol? Nope, no one does, but I but you still reach for the pill bottle when you have a headache (i.e. you acknowledge that it works without possibly knowing every single excrutiating detail about how it works).

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

I could care less about the theistic inclinations of Evolution's supporters. This has no bearing on the fact that most evolutionary biologists are not atheists. 40% are Christian, the rest are a mixture of Jews, Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, Agnostic, Atheists, Deists, etc. So again, you do them injustice and I would go so far as to say you insult them. And we're not talking about chump change here either. We're talking about people like . . . . Darwin. Wallace. Asa Gray. Maybe we should curse Christians for coming up with Evolution. ... I could give a crap one way or another. The point is that 1. we should be honest in this discussion and 2. you haven't been.

— prince vegata
Sure, let's DO be honest "prince". Aside from starting by using your real name (hahahaha) there's this

Atheism is common in Western Europe, in former or present communist states, and in the United States and Canada. It is particularly prevalent among natural scientists, a tendency already quite marked at the beginning of the twentieth century, developing into a dominant one during the course of the century. In 1914, James H. Leuba found that 58% of 1,000 randomly selected U.S. scientists expressed "disbelief or doubt in the existence of God". The same study, repeated in 1996, resulted in 93% expressing such disbelief or doubt. Expressions of positive disbelief rose from 52% to 72%.

— http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atheist
Put that in your pipe and smoke it, princy.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Flint

The all-powerful falsifiability is mid-20th century invention by Sir Karl Popper. He was an atheist that adored Karl Marx, by the way.

So who died and made Popper's view of falsifiability the final word on what is and is not science? I must have missed that bit of news.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Are you saying that if/when SETI finds evidence of ETs, it will automatically prove that ETs were responsible for seeding the first cell?

— e
No. But if they include a schematic of the first cell and it checks out I'd probably be swayed. Genetic engineers exist on earth today. You might even know one as they tend to be found in university genetic research laboratories wearing lab coats. The Copernican Principle of Medicrity, the basis of enlightened thought, says that the earth and life on the earth is not "special" in any way. Therefore, to be good enlightened Copernican thinkers we must assume, until proven otherwise, that genetic engineers are not unique to the earth. So the question is, are you an enlightened Copernican or an anthropocentric throwback to the dark ages where the earth was thought to be a special creation at the center of the universe?

Russell · 27 February 2005

I was about to rebut Neurode point by point, yet again, then decided life is too short. Tell you what, Neurode: if your case is so strong, convince Bush's science advisor that ID is science. Or anyone else, for that matter, to whom I - or more to the point, a school board - might accord at least a shred of respect. Why are you wasting your time here where, in case you hadn't noticed, your vacuous sophistry is convincing no one?

Jonathan Abbey · 27 February 2005

Read chapter 13 of the book "Uncommon Dissent". Then read the author's source paper referenced therein.

Thanks for being brave enough to identify yourself, Christopher. I hope you'll forgive the inference, but your previous comments on the Philosophy of Biology blog, in combination with the extraordinarily high self esteem shown in the biography for the author of chapter 13 of Uncommon Dissent could only point to one conclusion.

The Darwinian hypothesis, which represents mainstream evolutionary theory in this context, claims the last of these bodies of evidence (speciation) for itself. However, it falls victim to your "no mechanism" clause. That is, although Darwinists claim that naturalistic, gradualistic mechanisms are capable of causing speciation - or as you put it, they "predict" speciation - they have spectacularly failed to achieve direct confirmation. Darwinism thus remains an article of faith, and this places it on the same footing on which it accuses ID of being.

Thanks as well for a pleasantly modest, civil, and coherent response. I am puzzled by your assertion that no direct confirmation of evolutionary speciation has been achieved. What would such confirmation need to look like in order to satisfactorily confirm naturalistic speciation? Or do you believe that such confirmation is impossible, given the impracticality of directly observing every molecular event across a species across a large number of generations? Failing that, what is it that you believe makes naturalistic speciation so implausible as to necessitate a theological solution?

Neurode · 27 February 2005

E writes: "Neurode - Are you saying that you'd be convinced that evolution is correct when we manage to fill in all the gaps in the fossil record and correspond that with direct genetic evidence of corresponding mutations? (I'm guessing I already know the answer to that.) Filling in every single missing link in the chain (branch in the bush) is nearly impossible for any scientific finding. Do you know every single biochemical pathway affected when you pop a Tylenol? Nope, no one does, but I but you still reach for the pill bottle when you have a headache (i.e. you acknowledge that it works without possibly knowing every single excrutiating detail about how it works)."

Congratulations, E! It almost looks as though you're beginning to wake up and smell the latte.

Over the years, it has evaded the notice of many evolutionary biologists that due to the exclusory nature of their "naturalistic" agenda with regard to the causation of the certain phenomena, i.e., the evolution of complex organisms, they need to establish the exclusivity (or at least the sufficiency) of naturalistic mechanisms with respect to those phenomena. Unfortunately, these phenomena are vastly more complex and hard to study than the phenomena addressed in other fields of scientific inquiry, and this makes the confirmation of certain hypotheses vastly more difficult. Evidently, some evolutionary biologists were so blind to the extent of this difficulty that they bit off far more than they or their successors could chew, confirmationally speaking.

Due to the complexity of macroevolutionary phenomena, their causation spans long and complex sequences of events. Unfortunately, the confirmation of causal hypotheses becomes vastly more difficult as complexity rises, because many more causal trajectories must be considered. Worse yet, when the actual causal trajectories have been lost in the mists of time, the task of verifying any one of them, or any class of them, becomes nearly impossible, and the task of proving their exclusivity becomes impossible, full stop. This distances evolutionary biology from other fields of scientific inquiry, placing its naturalistic agenda in extremely inhospitable confirmational territory. Given this fact, it is safe to say that mainstream evolutionary theorists have been entirely too ambitious for their own good, and that they really should have known better.

Of course, I sympathize with their plight. But since their impossible explanatory burdens were assumed voluntarily, they have only themselves to blame, and have thus relinquished any right to point accusatory fingers at competing hypotheses. It's the nature of the game they voluntarily decided to play.

Incidentally, the makers of Tylenol have no such problem, for their pharmacological hypothesis was neither exclusory nor paleontological; only one path of efficacy had to be established, and the relevant biochemical pathways could be tracked and directly studied in the lab.

As I'm sure you'll agree, giving an experimental drug to a complex organism is quite different from pointing at a complex organism and screaming "Evolve!" or "De-evolve!"

guthrie · 27 February 2005

Gosh, those bacteria that evolved resistance to antibiotics and then killed the grandfather of one of my friends must be really simple organism.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Russel

Plenty of people are convinced. The problem is that anytime anyone actually tries to suggest in a classroom that the neo-Darwinian story might not be correct they get sued by the ACLU for violation of the so-called doctrine of separation of church and state which is in itself another one of those mid-20th century inventions by atheist intellectuals.

You can bet your bottom dollar if your precious fairy tale wasn't being defended by the federal courts it would be long gone.

Pierce R. Butler · 27 February 2005

Congratulations are due to Neurode and his/her accomplices on a spectacularly successful feat of intelligently designed ideational mutation. The explicit goal of this thread was to focus on the challenge presented in the Southwestern Times newspaper by George Diepenbrock and the response offered by Jason Rosenhouse in EvolutionBlog - but of the 121 postings displayed at this writing, 10% at the very most deal with this topic.

Approximately from the first "Neurode" entry, _all_ of the subsequent dialog is essentially Neurodocentric; Diepenbrock & Rosenhouse fail to persist even in fossil form. Students of memetics could use this page as a classic case of viral hijacking, in that considerable resources have been expended in ways hardly even tangential to thematic initial conditions.

It's questionable whether this conceptual structure can in any way be salvaged for the original goal of assisting Diepenbrock & Rosenhouse with their inquiry: the latter is very probably aware of this page, and the former possibly so, but neither could be held at fault for not participating.

Neurode's participation, on this level, could be considered faultless: by injecting a few standard antigens, she/he seems to have quickly and efficiently diverted all others involved to a predictable sequence of reflexive exchanges which absorbs all available substance. Whether this result was intentional or opportunistic is unclear from the evidence (a prototypical issue in questions of randomness vs. design).

Just as an allergy or fever can be said to handicap or disable an organism by the disproportionate response of an otherwise healthy immune system to a minor toxin, so has the Neurodic infection turned this purported discussion of educational standards into an overheated and unproductive body with a dubious prognosis.

Perhaps the only hope remaining is that members of the evolutionary camp may eventually develop better memetic defenses against the fallacious reaction of too-easily-triggered reflexes, and learn to design more intelligently their contributions to discourse on a given conception so as to honor and affirm its creator's (or creators') teleology.

John A. Davison · 27 February 2005

Not that anyone is particularly interested, but I am very definitely an anthropocentric throwback to the dark ages and believe, for very good reasons, that the earth is very definitely the center of the universe and the only place where life ever existed. Until evidence surfaces to the contrary I shall continue with my heretical views.

John A. Davison

Jonathan Abbey · 27 February 2005

I... guess there's nothing to say after that. Thanks, Pierce. ;-)

Neurode · 27 February 2005

Guthrie says: "Gosh, those bacteria that evolved resistance to antibiotics and then killed the grandfather of one of my friends must be really simple organism."

We all have relatives that were killed by bacteria. However, that doesn't make bacteria complex multicellular organisms. Nor does it explain why antibiotic-resistant strains of bacteria exist prior to selection.

Jonathan Abbey says: "Thanks for being brave enough to identify yourself, Christopher. I hope you'll forgive the inference, but your previous comments on the Philosophy of Biology blog, in combination with the extraordinarily high self esteem shown in the biography for the author of chapter 13 of Uncommon Dissent could only point to one conclusion."

Your hypothesis is impolite and not subject to verification. For obvious reasons, many of them exemplified above, most of those who post on boards like this one have adopted pseudonyms for a reason, and are not interested in revealing their birth names. I certainly know that I won't be revealing mine, and that I won't be contributing to your guessing games by denying or confirming any irrelevant conjectures. So I'd appreciate it if you'd simply give it up, as Internet etiquette demands. People request and provide citations all the time; you requested a citation, I considerately gave you one, and I suggest that you take it for what it is.

Your other questions were addressed in my last response to E.

Air Bear · 27 February 2005

DaveScott wrote: No. But if they [ETs] include a schematic of the first cell and it checks out I'd probably be swayed.

Fat chance that an ET message would contain such information in a mode we could understand.

Genetic engineers exist on earth today. You might even know one as they tend to be found in university genetic research laboratories wearing lab coats. The Copernican Principle of Medicrity, the basis of enlightened thought, says that the earth and life on the earth is not "special" in any way. Therefore, to be good enlightened Copernican thinkers we must assume, until proven otherwise, that genetic engineers are not unique to the earth.

Any further hypotheses? A familiar creationist/ID theme - "well, it could be, it could be, it could be" without the least shred of physical evidence. After reading several months of DaveScot and other IDers, I'm convinced that they're just riffing with us. They'll just throw out anything to get a rise out of serious scientific practitioners. "How can we be sure that there isn't an Intelligent Being guiding evolution?" "How do we know there aren't alien genetic engineers who generated the first cell and sent it here?" Reminds me of little children prattling about the products of their imaginations. DaveScot also wrote:

Plenty of people are convinced.

Yes. Plenty of people who know little about biology, are religious idiologues, are sitting on the sidelines, or are not actually working in biology day-to-day. The "professional" ID movement is heavily larded with retired physical-science teachers, philosophers, lawyers, and two or three scientists who haven't actually produced any ID-based scientific work.

Neurode · 27 February 2005

Pierce R. Butler says: "Congratulations are due to Neurode and his/her accomplices on a spectacularly successful feat of intelligently designed ideational mutation. The explicit goal of this thread was to focus on the challenge presented in the Southwestern Times newspaper by George Diepenbrock and the response offered by Jason Rosenhouse in EvolutionBlog - but of the 121 postings displayed at this writing, 10% at the very most deal with this topic."

I'm afraid I'll have to differ with you on that, Pierce. All of my contributions have dealt with the question of whether or not ID belongs in the classroom. Jason Rosenhouse has a long, droning history of sounding off on this issue, his current post at evolutionblog is a case in point, and many people are entirely dissatisfied with his arguments. We think they're lousy and poorly stated. (Of course, you're entitled to think otherwise, but I'm afraid that when all is said and done, Jason must answer for his own opinions.)

Buridan · 27 February 2005

DaveScot,

You frequently invoke Popper in your arguments and you always get him wrong. Why, why, why.

Here's what Popper says, in Open Society, about Marx:

"Why, then, attack Marx? In spite of his merits, Marx was, I believe, a false prophet. He was a prophet of the course of history, and his prophecies did not come true; but this is not my main accusation. It is much more important that he misled scores of intelligent people into believing that historical prophecy is the scientific way of approaching social problems. Marx is responsible for the devastating influence of the historicist method of thought within the ranks of those who wish to advance the cause of the open society" (p. 82).

You also fail to understand the point of falsification -- it's a demarcation criterion. For Popper, falsification and verification are asymmetrical. He devised the falsification principle precisely to refute the verification principle of the logical positivists. In simple terms, it is not possible to prove that scientific theories are true (the principle of verification) but it is possible to prove that they are false (the principle of falsification). The latter is what demarcates science from non-science according to Popper. If there's no way to falsify a scientific theory, it's not scientific. And that's why he devoted a whole book on historicism -- to show that Marx's (and Hegel's) historicist schema was not scientific.

Jim Harrison · 27 February 2005

Strains of bacteria exist prior to selection for several reasons, the most obvious of which is that antibiotics were in their environment long before people showed up. Many soil microbes produce antibiotics. Indeed, most commercially produced antibiotics are still produced in fermentation tanks. The molds and bacteria have been fighting it out for millions of years.

In any case, if an organism puts out a large number of proteins and other chemicals for various purposes anyhow, it is very likely that some of these products will have activity against a random new agent just by chance and ordinary natural selection can rapidly improve the fit between enzyme and substrate. One should also note that the effective number of enzymes and other chemicals available to microbes is much larger than one would estimate on the basis of the genome size of any given kind of bacteria. Since bacteria routinely swap genes, all the microbes in the environment are possible sources of biochemical defenses to antibiotics. Resistance to antibiotics is catching.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Interesting response to neurode on the philosophy of biology thread.

If not a supernatural entity, then who?

Supernatural is something that violates the physical laws that govern the universe. That leaves a lot of leeway for an entity to be "godlike" yet still work within known physical laws.

An intelligent organism from another planet? And if so, what is your evidence that such an organism exists?

The same place that evidence of mutation/selection being able to make miraculous transformations from paramecium to pomeranain is residing - the undiscovered country. Both are unverified assumptions. The Copernican Principle of Mediocrity states that we should always presume that the earth isn't special which includes life on the earth. Genetic engineers that are tinkering with the genomes of living things for directed purposes already exist on the earth and I'll pelt anyone who says otherwise with a genetically engineered rotten tomato. Therefore, according to the REAL principle of enlightened thought, which isn't atheist/marxist Sir Karl Popper's 20th century invention of falsifiability or methodological naturalism, but rather Nicholas Copernicus who killed the dark age notion of anthropocentricity in the 16th century, our FIRST scientific assumption is that some intelligence LIKE OURSELVES but a little more advanced did the design work. That's the simplest explanation and the simplest explanation, as the well tested (and some say proven) principle of Occam's Razor also directs, is what we should put first and foremost in the absence of contravening evidence. Where those designers came from is anyone's guess. Maybe THEY evolved by serendipitous means. That is, however, irrelevant to the question of explaining the overwhelming appearance of design in the cell and the utter failure of scientific inquiry to verify the mutation/selection hypothesis for either abiogenesis or so-called macro-evolution. That's not to say I think mutation/selection as a POSSIBLE mechanism to explain abiogenesis and all biological diversity should not be taught. What I'm saying is it's preposterous and far outside the bounds of enlightened thinking to say it's the only valid possibility. Darwinism stopped being science a LONG time ago and has now become an anti-religion religion which is being propped up by a bunch of atheists using the federal court system to confront ID on the basis of unconstitutionality. So much for science when science has to use the ACLU and a tortured, latter 20th century interpretation of the 1st amendment establishment clause to defend itself. So there.

Russell · 27 February 2005

Plenty of people are convinced

Sad but true. But if you'll leave off stroking your IQ for a moment, you'll see I wrote (to "Neurode"):

Why are you wasting your time here where, in case you hadn't noticed, your vacuous sophistry is convincing no one?

Even David Heddle has apparently declined my invitation (comment 18014) to associate himself with the embarrassingly silly arguments of Neurode. The same goes for you DaveIQ153Scot. Why don't you quit casting your pearls before us swine, and win over Dr. Marburger? This administration has shown itself remarkably receptive to right-wing ideas in general, and erosion of church-state boundaries in particular. Why does Dr. Marburger take ID even less seriously than we do?

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Russell

"Why don't you quit casting your pearls before us swine, and win over Dr. Marburger?"

The war, as always, is being waged in federal court. The battle for public opinion has never even been a contest. It's ALWAYS been a court battle. Darwinism can't stand up to criticism on its own merits. It's purely a matter of fun for me to rub atheists noses in their own piddle here. I'd rub young earth creationists noses in their own piddle too but that would be too easy. You boys present more of a challenge.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

"Strains of bacteria exist prior to selection for several reasons"

And after selection they remain bacteria. We coming back to that thorny little issue. Antibiotic resistent bacteria are still bacteria.

DOH!

Buridan · 27 February 2005

atheist/marxist Sir Karl Popper's

— DaveScot
Can't you at least try to get it right! You're embarrassing yourself for god's sake.

DaveScot · 27 February 2005

Popper criticized Marx's methodology, not necessarily Marx's conclusions. He admired Marx for generating a genuinely scientific hypothesis. He loathed the failure to reject it when its predictions didn't come true. And he WAS a Marxist, although he repented. It's unclear whether he ever rejected philosophical socialism on a personal basis but irrelevant either way.

1919 was in many respects the most important formative year of his intellectual life. In that year he became heavily involved in left-wing politics, joined the Association of Socialist School Students, and became for a time a Marxist. However, he was quickly disillusioned with the doctrinaire character of the latter, and soon abandoned it entirely. ... For Marxism, Popper believed, had been initially scientific, in that Marx had postulated a theory which was genuinely predictive. However, when these predictions were not in fact borne out, the theory was saved from falsification by the addition of ad hoc hypotheses which made it compatible with the facts. By this means, Popper asserted, a theory which was initially genuinely scientific degenerated into pseudo-scientific dogma. ... For Popper, however, to assert that a theory is unscientific, is not necessarily to hold that it is unenlightening, still less that it is meaningless, for it sometimes happens that a theory which is unscientific (because it is unfalsifiable) at a given time may become falsifiable, and thus scientific, with the development of technology, or with the further articulation and refinement of the theory.

— http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/popper/
Hmmm... a hypothesis which started out being scientific (Origin of Species), made predictions which were not in fact borne out (Cambrian Explosion, heritability of acquired characters, always reducible complexity), then saved from falsification by the addition of ad hoc hypotheses (mutation/selection, punctuated equilibrium, wild speculation about alternative functions of irreducible components), a theory which started out initially as genuinely scientific degenerated into psuedo-scientific dogma. Sir Karl Popper is rolling over in his grave at what has become of Charles Darwin's theory. It's a classic example of psuedo-science exactly like Freud's psychology and Marx's economic theory. I've said it before and I'll say it again: Freud, Marx, and Darwin are the three pillars of western modernism. Two down, one to go. Popper rejected the psuedo-science of Freud and Marx and if he were here today he'd reject Darwinism too. Before Popper would reject ID he'd first have to see its predictions falsified and the falsifications rejected. ID makes predictions (top-down evolution, rapid instantiation of new species, irreducible biochemical complexity) which are borne out in fact by the fossil record and irreducible complexity of biochemical machinery in extant living cells. ID is falsifiable by a detailed and plausible demonstration that mutation/selection, absent any design input, can explain rapid instantiation of most modern phyla in a geologic eyeblink (Cambrian Explosion) without any evidence of myriad and closely related predecessor populations for selection to act upon and even more challenging, to show how the first cell evolved from inanimate chemicals in a mere 500 million years in a very hostile environment. Copernicus is rolling over in his grave too. So there.

John A. Davison · 27 February 2005

"Marx, Darwin and Freud are the three most crashing bores of the Western World."
William Golding

John A. Davison

guthrie · 27 February 2005

"We all have relatives that were killed by bacteria. However, that doesn't make bacteria complex multicellular organisms. Nor does it explain why antibiotic-resistant strains of bacteria exist prior to selection."

But the point, my little toy, is that bacteria can and do evolve. Perhaps we need a new definition of complexity:
"Anything multicelled is too complex to have evolved."

As for the bacteria, their genes change, allelic frequencey etc etc (I'm not a biologist). So, do things evolve or not? You said:
"complex organism and screaming "Evolve!" or "De-evolve!""

So, is a bacteria complex or not? Do you ahve a "scientific" definition of complexity? If you do, we'd like to hear it.

So, Mr Davison is arguing from the authority of an author? Personally I have found reading the Bible quite boring, does that mean it is wrong?

Actually, I dont see why DaveScot is arguing abotu Marx, Freud and Darwin being the pillars of Western modernism, when we're already past Post-Modernism. Do keep up, theres a good chap!

Russell · 27 February 2005

The war, as always, is being waged in federal court. The battle for public opinion has never even been a contest. It's ALWAYS been a court battle.

I see. And are these courts going to require biology journals to take ID seriously? Sounds like you guys need some of those... activist judges. Much as ending your insightful comments with the erudite and mature

So there.

causes us all to quake in our boots in awe of your superior intellect, I think I'd feel a little less like I'm wasting my time on an ill-mannered and not very bright child if you would occasionally actually deal with the challenges, like here. One other thing, DaveIQ153Scot. Your constant repetition of moronic slogans like "Darwinian fairy tales" reminds me of nothing so much as the lunatic Left, many years ago. They couldn't write the word "America" without spelling it "Amerikkka". I guess they were trying to reinforce their own convictions about the nature of state they seemed to abhor. But I think the effect was to just to cause anyone who might wonder if these guys have anything sensible to say, to stop wondering. Next time I waste any time on your comments, it will be after you contribute something of substance. I don't expect that will be any time soon.

Buridan · 27 February 2005

"Popper criticized Marx's methodology, not necessarily Marx's conclusions." "he WAS a Marxist, although he repented.""He admired Marx for generating a genuinely scientific hypothesis. He loathed the failure to reject it when its predictions didn't come true.""It's unclear whether he ever rejected philosophical socialism on a personal basis but irrelevant either way."

— DaveScot

"The Marxist account of history too, Popper held, is not scientific, although it differs in certain crucial respects from psychoanalysis. For Marxism, Popper believed, had been initially scientific, in that Marx had postulated a theory which was genuinely predictive. However, when these predictions were not in fact borne out, the theory was saved from falsification by the addition of ad hoc hypotheses which made it compatible with the facts. By this means, Popper asserted, a theory which was initially genuinely scientific degenerated into pseudo-scientific dogma."

— The full quote from the Stanford site
DaveScot, you're not even good at spinning your own stuff. Your own words and examples contradict what you've been stating all along and you're still maintaining that Popper was a Marxist?! What part of (using your own quoted example): "...[Popper] became for a time a Marxist. However, he was quickly disillusioned with the doctrinaire character of the latter, and soon abandoned it entirely." don't you understand? Simply amazing! Please, please do us all a favor and stop invoking people, theories and concepts you don't understand, or at least read the original works first - the internet is a dangerous thing.

John A. Davison · 27 February 2005

Bacteria are not models for evolution. They are dead ends just like all the other products of a past phenomenon. Get used to it folks. Evolution beyond the production of subspecies or varieties is a thing of the past. Darwinism is an intellectual disgrace and a deliberate hoax perpetuated by a highly organized bunch of politically liberal muddleheaded atheists who are stone deaf to what Einstein called the "music of the spheres."

Phylogeny (evolution) and ontogeny (embryogenesis) are part of the same organic continuum and both have proceeded on the basis of preformed front-loaded information. Furthermore, just as ontogeny involves the derepression of that preformed information, so has evolution proceeded in exactly the same way. Both processes are self -limiting and self-terminating and both have involved the gradual loss of potentiality with time. Today we see nothing but the products of a past evolution not evolution in progress as the Darwinians blindly continue to maintain.

John A. Davison

Jonathan Abbey · 28 February 2005

Fair enough, Christopher. We'll keep it between us, then.

And, actually, I didn't request any citation from you, you're confusing me with another poster. All I wanted was for you to be clear and precise about the basis for your arguments, rather than making people chase after you in your abstraction.

GT(N)T · 28 February 2005

Dr. Davison, after having the pleasure of reading your thesis on the "prescribed theory" I'm not surprised that you believe the Earth is the center of the universe nor that you believe that life is unique to the Earth. These ideas are well in line with your thoughts on evolution.

I am a bit lost though in your hypothesis that evolution used to operate, but no longer does. That's a bit like a geologist saying that volcanism occurred pre-Pleistocene, but no long does. Someone with less kindness than I might point out Mt St Helens to that geologist, just as someone might point out the Drosophila complex to you.

Populations evolve and accumulate genetic changes. When those genetic changes result in reproductive isolation, a new species has emerged. The process occurred in the past, it is operating now. None of this precludes a god or an intelligent designer, but also none of this requires such a being. Believe as you wish, but don't be surprised if your beliefs aren't accepted as science.

GCT · 28 February 2005

Pierce is right, this thread has gone off topic (as a lot of the threads at PT tend to do, and usually for the same reason.) So, I will answer the challenge of why ID should not be taught in science classrooms while answering Neurode at the same time. Hopefully, this won't make all Neurode's inane sophistry a waste of time.

Regarding evidence, you're still not getting the picture. Plenty of evidence has been adduced for the ID hypothesis: the origin of the cosmos. The origin of life. Every instance of speciation. The Darwinian hypothesis, which represents mainstream evolutionary theory in this context, claims the last of these bodies of evidence (speciation) for itself. However, it falls victim to your "no mechanism" clause. That is, although Darwinists claim that naturalistic, gradualistic mechanisms are capable of causing speciation - or as you put it, they "predict" speciation - they have spectacularly failed to achieve direct confirmation. Darwinism thus remains an article of faith, and this places it on the same footing on which it accuses ID of being. And then, of course, we have the fact that ID claims two other bodies of evidence confirmationally unavailable to the basic Darwinian hypothesis: the origin of the cosmos, and the origin of life. Ordinary causality cannot possibly have been responsible for the origin of the cosmos; yet cosmologists agree that the cosmos did indeed have an origin. This constitutes an existential proof of the existence of the ID mode of causation. Although the origin of life is also claimed by the larger body of naturalistic evolutionary theory, there are problems which devolve to the essential nature of "life", and in any case, Darwinism per se is prohibited from taking advantage of this evidence (as already explained). What does this mean? It means that if Darwinism gets to stay in the classroom (in any but a microevolutionary context), then ID gets to be in the classroom. It's very simple, very fair, and very scientific. The only requirements that can be imposed on ID are that it be formulated in a logically consistent way which ties into the cosmological evidence for the existence of ID causation, and that it favor no specific body of religious belief.

— Neurode
Emphasis mine Neurode's arguments sound nice due to the use of his/her language, but they really add up to an endorsement of teaching religion. That the "designer" created the universe (cosmos) is tantamount to invoking a supernatural being that is outside of the laws of our universe. This necessarily demotes the ID hypothesis from competing on a scientific footing with evolution. Even when Neurode and others of his/her ilk say that evolution has not been proven and ID is just as deserving of consideration, it must be taken into consideration that the consideration must be made in terms of science, which must be naturalistic, by definition. In order for science to have any predictive power, it must not be subject to the whims of a supernatural entity that has the ability, at will, to suvert the natural law. In other words, a supernatural being could undo all the we know about gravity by just allowing us to float away from the Earth at any time, and science then loses all predictive power. The argument might be made that we can cross that bridge when it comes, but we really can't. If we have to take into account that a supernatural entity could change the rules at any time, then we have lost all predictive power, because we can't predict that the rules won't change from day to day, or aren't changing from day to day without us even realizing. Neurode even admits to ID being religious in nature by invoking the causation of the universe and also by allowing that it must favor no specific body of religion. If it were scientific in nature, and not religious, it would not need that disclaimer. Being religious in nature, it should not be included in a science class, period. Not just because it makes for bad science (when religion ruled science, scientists spent their time looking to prove such things as how many angels could dance on the head of a needle) and it also violates the Establishment Clause. Let's discuss that. Some here have already anticipated the Establishment Clause being brought up (DaveScot comes to mind) but he does not seem to understand what it is. Recent court rulings have interpreted it (rightly or wrongly) to say that religion should be held out of public schools, even when favoring "no specific body of religious belief" as Neurode put it. Although, when the passages were first written into the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, it may have not been intended in that specific way (although one could argue that it was) the courts have rightly seen fit to broaden its scope from what was common practice at the beginning of the last century, to what form we find it in now. At the beginning of the century, the interpretation was that as long as the state did not specify a specific sect of Christianity, that it would not violate the EC, since it was not establishing religion. The court found, however, that this did not protect the rights of individuals who are not Christian. The courts also rightly held that only state neutrality on the issue would not be seen as coersion of the citizen to a specific set of religious beliefs, i.e. establishment of defacto religion. In the current form, neutrality means that one has the right to choose any religion or non-religion one chooses without input from the state. Is this atheistic? No, of course not. It just means that the state allows us to choose our own paths in life in regards to religious questions. It's not enough to have a religious idea in school so long as it doesn't favor a particular religion, because it steps on the rights of those who choose not to believe, or who don't want religious views taught in schools, and there are religious parents who do believe in a strict separation of church and state. Thus, the fact that ID can not separate itself from religion means that it is unfit both for science and for inclusion in public education.

Neurode · 28 February 2005

I wish I could say that GCT has made a valuable contribution to the discussion. Unfortunately, I can't.

Like so many others who consider themselves authorities in this controversy, GCT simply adopts an indefensibly narrow view of "science", throws in the obligatory circular reference to a model-free philosophical position that he calls "naturalism", defines "God" in as stilted and naive a way as possible (so as to conveniently exclude the term from his "naturalistic" view of reality, whatever that may be), construes "ID" as devolving inevitably to this narrow definition of God, and leaps to the grand conclusion that ID cannot possibly be science. If I've seen this pathetic string of misconceptions once, I've seen it a thousand times. As everyone knows who looks at it for longer than it takes to say "Rah, Rah, NCSE!", it's a mere jumble of definitional assumptions permitting victims of mental gridlock to shoehorn the entire intricate controversy into the little brown box of their liking and tape it shut.

Now on to GCT's confusion regarding the Establishment Clause. Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom. According to these criteria, the state will neither sanction (establish or maintain) an official religion, nor will it permit the entanglement of religion and government through the Jeffersonian "wall" separating church and state. Entanglement is a looser criterion than Establishment; it can be interpreted in such a way as to outlaw state sponsorship of not only religion per se, but anything so closely connected with religion that it could lead to a breach in the wall of separation.

Entanglement clearly entails the assumption that that the actual relationship between religion and science is such as to permit a wall of separation to be erected between them. From this, it follows that the Entanglement criterion and its legal assays cannot be applied to any matter of fact, or to anything whose logical implications may be essential to responsible governance. Since this potentially includes logical, mathematical and scientific facts in general (which may have practical bearing on the responsible conduct of government), such facts are not subject to arguments from Entanglement. It is therefore required not only that something be shown to penetrate the "wall of separation", but that it be shown to have no basis in actual (logical, mathematical or scientific) fact.

GCT and his confederates have no chance whatsoever of proving such a thing, particularly using the cookie-cutter arguments with which we have now learned to identify their thought processes. GCT's first problem will be that the ID hypothesis explicitly excludes religious content, and that ID therefore cannot be described as a religion. (This neutralizes Establishment.) GCT's next problem will be that some ID proponents (me included) are not promoting religion, do not view ID as a "religious" hypothesis, and do not apply the hypothesis in that way. (The mere possibility of such applications neutralizes circumstantial arguments "entangling" ID with religion.) GCT's last and most difficult problem will be to prove that ID has no factual basis, even when literally interpreted as described above. As I say, he has no chance of doing this before any court worthy of the name.

Of course, lawyers and judges are only human. They make mistakes all the time. With enough fools signing petitions and spouting GCT-style nonsense, and defense attorneys too slow on their feet to properly argue the case, the courts may be hoodwinked into deciding that ID fails the relevant Constitutional tests. But in that case, the problem could be solved by raising the jurisdiction and switching to a better brand of attorney.

Please, GCT - if you're going to engage me in dialogue, don't waste my time. Try to say something intelligent instead.

John A. Davison · 28 February 2005

The opinion that evolution is finsihed is hardly mine alone. Minds superior to mine reached that conclusion long ago. Among them. Robert Broom and Pierre Grasse and, believe it or not, Julian Huxley, the primary spokesperson for the Darwinian myth and the author of "Evolution: The Modern Synthesis."
In a single paragraph, seven pages from the end of that book, Huxley destroyed the Darwinian fairy tale which is why, even today, the Darwinians choose to ignore one of their own, just as they have always ignored every critic of the biggest hoax in the history of science. They have no choice as they are genetically compelled to that position, a condition recognized by Einstein long ago.

"Our actions should be based on the ever-present awareness that human beings in their thinking, feeling, and acting are not free but are just as causally bound as the stars in their motion."
Statement to The Spinoza Society of America, September 22, 1932

Darwinism, like closely linked political liberalism and atheism constitutes a veritable genetic syndrome, innate and apparently irreversible, like evolution itself and, like evolution, totally immune to environmmntal influences.

John A. Davison

Salvador T. Cordova · 28 February 2005

At issue is evolution in the public schools in Kansas. I have an interesting quote from a professor there at KU. Professor Melott at the University of Kansas

I've learned that it is possible to get a Ph.D. in biology at the University of Kansas without having a course in evolutionary biology.

So much for the central place Darwinism has in science. :-) Salvador

Flint · 28 February 2005

So much for the central place Darwinism has in science. :-)

Except that this comment has nothing to do with the place of Darwinism in science, and everything to do with the place of evolution in Kansas biological education. This is an indictment of Kansas education, and hardly an endorsement of creationist ignorance.

Flint · 28 February 2005

I should also mention that Melott goes on to write:

you are reveling in this national ignorance.

and somehow Salvador carefully leaves that sentence out! I would hypothesize that religious belief deprives one of any sense of context, except if that were the case, the mischaracterizations due to omission of context would be more or less random. In the hands of creationists, it always points the same way. Salvador is, to give him credit where due, one of the more reflexive and instinctive liars for Jesus posting at ARN. He probably doesn't even realize he's lying.

Flint · 28 February 2005

I should also mention that Melott goes on to write:

you are reveling in this national ignorance.

and somehow Salvador carefully leaves that sentence out! I would hypothesize that religious belief deprives one of any sense of context, except if that were the case, the mischaracterizations due to omission of context would be more or less random. In the hands of creationists, it always points the same way. Salvador is, to give him credit where due, one of the more reflexive and instinctive liars for Jesus posting at ARN. He probably doesn't even realize he's lying.

D. Stump · 28 February 2005

Of course, it is assumed that someone setting out to get a Ph.D. in Biology has already taken at least an introductory biology class as an undergraduate (probably when they were a freshman). Any introductory biology class at any college or university will include a section on evolutionary biology.

The consensus among biologists that evolution is central to the field is shown in the fact that everyone getting a Bachelor's in the biological sciences will have spent some time studying evolution, and the earlier the better.

GCT · 28 February 2005

Neurode,
If you want to dismiss my claims, please bring some substance with you. All you gave is, "ID doesn't violate the Constitutional separation of church and state, and it is science because I say it's not religion." You have not stated that the designer is supernatural, but you have alluded to it. If the designer is not supernatural, then say so outright and tell us who the designer is. Be warned, however, that a designer who is bound by the physical laws of our universe could not have made the physical laws of our universe. If you try to argue that, it will show that you have no grasp of causality, among other things.

So, which is it? Did the designer create the universe as you said, or is the designer non-supernatural as you want to say he/she/it is?

Once you invoke the supernatural, it is no longer in the realm of science. This is not an "indefensibly narrow view" as you called it. On the contrary, there is no other way to define science. Once you leave the realm of the natural world, you are in the territory of philosophy and religion. The fact that you don't understand that shows that you don't even know what science is, which makes me wonder why anyone would even entertain the idea that ID is science when you say it.

Since ID moves into the supernatural, it is now in the domain of religion (since it can, by definition not be in the realm of science) and therefore violates the EC. If you can come up with a way to allow supernatural forces in science, let's hear it, but you will have to come up with some falsifiable tests. The problem is, and I will paraphrase David Heddle of all people when I say this, no one can prove or disprove god. People have tried for thousands of years, and no one has done either one yet. Your test for falsifiability doesn't look forthcoming. Let that serve as an answer to your assertion that truth can not be withheld by the EC. When you can prove that god is a truth, then it can be taught in school. Otherwise, it violates the separation of church and state.

GCT · 28 February 2005

GCT's first problem will be that the ID hypothesis explicitly excludes religious content, and that ID therefore cannot be described as a religion. (This neutralizes Establishment.) GCT's next problem will be that some ID proponents (me included) are not promoting religion, do not view ID as a "religious" hypothesis, and do not apply the hypothesis in that way. (The mere possibility of such applications neutralizes circumstantial arguments "entangling" ID with religion.) GCT's last and most difficult problem will be to prove that ID has no factual basis, even when literally interpreted as described above. As I say, he has no chance of doing this before any court worthy of the name.

— Neurode
Ah, ID uses all the same old Creationist arguments, then conveniently neglects to use the g-word and says, we are no longer religious. Please. Who is the designer? If you want to say that mutations are caused, then please provide us with the who that causes those mutations. Eventually, you will have to fall back on the supernatural, and when you do, you will have moved into the realm of religion.

Please, GCT - if you're going to engage me in dialogue, don't waste my time. Try to say something intelligent instead.

— Neurode
A dictionary and a thesaurus does not make one intelligent, and you would be wise to note that.

Colin · 28 February 2005

I wish I could say that GCT has made a valuable contribution to the discussion. Unfortunately, I can't.

— Neurode
That is plainly untrue. GCT has set out clear and simple guidelines for distinguishing between science and religion; appealing to supernatural causes is beyond the scope of science. You need to do more than just insult him to refute what seems obvious to me--appealing to supernatural causes is unscientific and inherently religious.

Now on to GCT's confusion regarding the Establishment Clause. Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom. According to these criteria, the state will neither sanction (establish or maintain) an official religion, nor will it permit the entanglement of religion and government through the Jeffersonian "wall" separating church and state. Entanglement is a looser criterion than Establishment; it can be interpreted in such a way as to outlaw state sponsorship of not only religion per se, but anything so closely connected with religion that it could lead to a breach in the wall of separation.

— Neurode
This is confused and inaccurate. The two constitutional clauses aren't Establishment and "Entanglement," they're Establishment and Free Exercise. Entanglement is merely one prong of the test used to sound out Establishment Clause violations. As for your stilted analysis of the test, I would simply point out so far courts have rightly held that the injection of creationism into public schools is a constitutional violation. Calling it "Intelligent Design" is merely a dishonest way to duck that jurisprudence, and so far, thankfully, it has failed miserably.

Neurode · 28 February 2005

GCT complains: "If you want to dismiss my claims, please bring some substance with you. All you gave is, "ID doesn't violate the Constitutional separation of church and state, and it is science because I say it's not religion."

...and because it has been explicitly defined to exclude articles of religious faith. (By the way, if you want to take others to task for "lack of substance", I suggest that you consider filling your little baggies of wisdom with something besides stale air.)

GCT: "You have not stated that the designer is supernatural, but you have alluded to it."

Not good enough, I'm afraid. The burden of proving that ID implies a "supernatural" designer rests on those who make that claim, which is not made by the ID hypothesis itself. The ID hypothesis merely refers to "intelligence" and "design". Intelligence is a fully scientific concept; it exists in nature, it is routinely measured, engineers attempt to construct physical machinery which possesses it, and as I've already pointed out, it can be generically equated to recognition and adaptation.

Similarly, "design" is implicit in the definitions of certain fundamental, scientifically necessary physical constructs. For example, consider a "potential" (associated with a field of force). In a potential, physical possibilities are defined prior to realization, i.e. in a "pre-real" way; thus, pre-reality is a perfectly scientific concept. In short, "design" is defined on two scientific and therefore naturalistic attributes, intelligence and pre-reality.

Because "Intelligent Design" is merely a literal combination of two scientific and therefore naturalistic concepts, it is scientific and naturalistic in essence...unless, that is, you can somehow demonstrate that combining these two naturalistic concepts necessarily invokes "the supernatural" and an accompanying swarm of religious rituals and strictures.

Before arguing with me again, please make sure that you have not unwittingly attached any unnecessary baggage to any of these terms, as you've previously done with other terms including "God", "science" and "naturalistic". I don't have time for any more of your sophomoric semantic preconceptions.

GT(N)T · 28 February 2005

"In short, "design" is defined on two scientific and therefore naturalistic attributes, intelligence and pre-reality."

ID requires something else from its designer, that He/She/It put that design into play; i.e., is the Creator. Only a fool believes that the designer in Intelligent Design is anything other than God.

Neurode · 28 February 2005

Colin pontificates: "The two constitutional clauses aren't Establishment and "Entanglement," they're Establishment and Free Exercise. Entanglement is merely one prong of the test used to sound out Establishment Clause violations. As for your stilted analysis of the test, I would simply point out so far courts have rightly held that the injection of creationism into public schools is a constitutional violation. Calling it "Intelligent Design" is merely a dishonest way to duck that jurisprudence, and so far, thankfully, it has failed miserably."

You're unnecessarily complexifying the issue. Either you know what "entanglement" is, or you don't. You seem to be claiming that you do; but if that were the case, you'd be explaining how ID violates it. However, you probably can't do that, because you probably lack the required levels of skill, understanding, and probity. This is confirmed by (1) your endorsement of GCT's vapid arguments; (2) your dishonest conflation of ID and Creationism, which permits you to apply legal precedents which do not actually apply in this case.

Again, please don't waste my time.

Jonathan Abbey · 28 February 2005

Neurode wrote: Because "Intelligent Design" is merely a literal combination of two scientific and therefore naturalistic concepts, it is scientific and naturalistic in essence . . . unless, that is, you can somehow demonstrate that combining these two naturalistic concepts necessarily invokes "the supernatural" and an accompanying swarm of religious rituals and strictures.

But you yourself have come very close to this when you said

In contrast, the ID hypothesis would be directly confirmed by any event requiring a mode of causation above and beyond the known class of "naturalistic" causal mechanisms. Specific examples: the origin of the cosmos (observed). The origin of life (observed). Speciation (observed).

I agree that the origin of the cosmos fairly clearly goes beyond "naturalistic" causality at least in as much as the causality that we can deduce evidence for is mediated through the nature of this universe. The other two are not proven to require non-"naturalistic" causation, as you put it. You merely allege that they are, and that nobody has proven (or can in principal prove, in the speciation case) any differently to your satisfaction. Your claim that

Due to the complexity of macroevolutionary phenomena, their causation spans long and complex sequences of events. Unfortunately, the confirmation of causal hypotheses becomes vastly more difficult as complexity rises, because many more causal trajectories must be considered. Worse yet, when the actual causal trajectories have been lost in the mists of time, the task of verifying any one of them, or any class of them, becomes nearly impossible, and the task of proving their exclusivity becomes impossible, full stop. This distances evolutionary biology from other fields of scientific inquiry, placing its naturalistic agenda in extremely inhospitable confirmational territory. Given this fact, it is safe to say that mainstream evolutionary theorists have been entirely too ambitious for their own good, and that they really should have known better.

implies not only an explicitly supernatural (non-naturalistic) agenda, in whatever idiosyncratic form you see that, but also that such a supernatural motive is impossible to disprove because there's too many unobservable gaps in which it could take place. The old God of the gaps idea argument is certainly admissible logically, but then so are the leprechauns we have occasionally discussed. Science doesn't say that they're not there, all it says is that we don't have an unambiguous, testable way of describing or circumscribing such claims. Therefore they are out of the purvey of science. If ID makes specific predictions that can be tested against natural observations, then let's have those predictions be identified, quantified, and tested. Perhaps some brave ID'er could take a computer simulation of replicating organisms with mutation and selection and add ID controls to it and show how the behavior of the system differs, and how to then identify such patterns in the real world. Failing such a process of construction in terms of natural phenomena, ID really does remain a philosophical or religious idea, one that may be true, but unquantifiable and untestable, and therefore not a fit subject of the much more modest aims and purposes of science.

Neurode · 28 February 2005

GCT: "ID requires something else from its designer, that He/She/It put that design into play; i.e., is the Creator. Only a fool believes that the designer in Intelligent Design is anything other than God."

Apparently, there are a few holes in your understanding of theology. You seem to be concentrating only on certain strains of Western monotheism, which hold God apart from the universe and thus render Him "supernatural". In any case, you need to specify which version of God you're railing against.

Some definitions of "God", particularly those associated with pantheism and panentheism, equate God to the universe. To invalidate these definitions in the ID context, you would need to prove that the universe involves neither potentials, thus flying in the face of modern physics, nor an "intelligent" combination of self-recognition and self-adaptation, thus arguably flying in the face of evolution itself. But I've already explained this to you.

Were you a real attorney, it would be foolish and embarrassing of you to traipse into court with a lopsided understanding of the concepts on which your arguments rely. You could be shot down in a minute by anyone who knows what he's doing.

E · 28 February 2005

Neurode -
Isn't God going to be mad at you for denying his role in creation (if, as you say, He doesn't have anything to do with the Intelligence that designed this whole mess)?

jAHDF · 28 February 2005

i think all you people who don'tbelieve the bible will go to hell

guthrie · 28 February 2005

Mr Davison:
"Bacteria are not models for evolution. They are dead ends just like all the other products of a past phenomenon."

How do you know this? What is your evidence for it?

"Darwinism is an intellectual disgrace and a deliberate hoax perpetuated by a highly organized bunch of politically liberal muddleheaded atheists who are stone deaf to what Einstein called the "music of the spheres.""

Given that its not called Darwinism and is not exactly the same as what DArwin wrote about, your point is moot. But its not an argument that you are putting forwards, simply a statement of belief.

"Phylogeny (evolution) and ontogeny (embryogenesis) are part of the same organic continuum and both have proceeded on the basis of preformed front-loaded information."

And your evidence for this is?

"Furthermore, just as ontogeny involves the derepression of that preformed information,"

And you know this how?

Sorry to keep banging on at this, but some answers would be nice.

GCT · 28 February 2005

GCT: "ID requires something else from its designer, that He/She/It put that design into play; i.e., is the Creator. Only a fool believes that the designer in Intelligent Design is anything other than God." Apparently, there are a few holes in your understanding of theology. You seem to be concentrating only on certain strains of Western monotheism, which hold God apart from the universe and thus render Him "supernatural". In any case, you need to specify which version of God you're railing against. Some definitions of "God", particularly those associated with pantheism and panentheism, equate God to the universe. To invalidate these definitions in the ID context, you would need to prove that the universe involves neither potentials, thus flying in the face of modern physics, nor an "intelligent" combination of self-recognition and self-adaptation, thus arguably flying in the face of evolution itself. But I've already explained this to you. Were you a real attorney, it would be foolish and embarrassing of you to traipse into court with a lopsided understanding of the concepts on which your arguments rely. You could be shot down in a minute by anyone who knows what he's doing.

— Neurode
First of all Neurode, make sure you know who you are talking to, since you've attributed a quote to me that I didn't make. I will, however, still reply to this. You seem to say that the Xtian god is supernatural, and therefore not a part of ID theory. Would you go so far as to say that if ID did rely on the Xtian god, that it would be unscientific and would violate the EC? In the example of the god that is the universe, are you arguing that the universe is really one large living organism that self-directs its own evolution and adaptation? If so, where did it come from? Eventually you will have to rely on the supernatural.

guthrie · 28 February 2005

Mr Davison:
"Bacteria are not models for evolution. They are dead ends just like all the other products of a past phenomenon."

How do you know this? What is your evidence for it?

"Darwinism is an intellectual disgrace and a deliberate hoax perpetuated by a highly organized bunch of politically liberal muddleheaded atheists who are stone deaf to what Einstein called the "music of the spheres.""

Given that its not called Darwinism and is not exactly the same as what DArwin wrote about, your point is moot. But its not an argument that you are putting forwards, simply a statement of belief.

"Phylogeny (evolution) and ontogeny (embryogenesis) are part of the same organic continuum and both have proceeded on the basis of preformed front-loaded information."

And your evidence for this is?

"Furthermore, just as ontogeny involves the derepression of that preformed information,"

And you know this how?

Sorry to keep banging on at this, but some answers would be nice.

GCT · 28 February 2005

GCT complains: "If you want to dismiss my claims, please bring some substance with you. All you gave is, "ID doesn't violate the Constitutional separation of church and state, and it is science because I say it's not religion." . . . and because it has been explicitly defined to exclude articles of religious faith. (By the way, if you want to take others to task for "lack of substance", I suggest that you consider filling your little baggies of wisdom with something besides stale air.)

— Neurode
Just because you say it aint religious, don't mean that it aint. The Wedge document is a good indicator of that, and it is being introduced in court in the Dover, PA case. Man, that's gotta hurt your cause, don't it? The truth of the matter is that I can espouse any set of beliefs I want, but just because I say that it's not a philosophy on life, doesn't mean that it isn't. What you have is a belief that some designer made life on Earth. Where are your tested hypotheses? Where are your falsifiable tests? When you have that stuff, you can come and sit at the grown-ups table where evolution will be waiting for you.

GCT: "You have not stated that the designer is supernatural, but you have alluded to it." Not good enough, I'm afraid. The burden of proving that ID implies a "supernatural" designer rests on those who make that claim, which is not made by the ID hypothesis itself. The ID hypothesis merely refers to "intelligence" and "design". Intelligence is a fully scientific concept; it exists in nature, it is routinely measured, engineers attempt to construct physical machinery which possesses it, and as I've already pointed out, it can be generically equated to recognition and adaptation.

— Neurode
You're right, you haven't actually said that ID is religious or that the designer is supernatural. I would question your description of how the god that is the universe came to be, and I would question how a god could have created the universe and not be supernatural...but wait, I did, and you ducked. I've also asked who/what is the designer, but you've ducked that question too. All you have is supposition. "The designer designed life, period." But you have nothing to back it up. Who is the designer? How does the designer do these things? If you can come up with a way of specifying these things in such a way that does not rely on the supernatural, and in such a way that has been shown, and can stand up to repeatable naturalistic experimentation (not just "logical" arguments based on what you perceive) then maybe we will take you seriously. I suspect there's another low bridge coming though. Lastly, your smug attitude is all too common among you Creationist types. It would be refreshing to see something approaching humility or at least common decency in one of you guys from time to time.

GT(N)T · 28 February 2005

"...you need to specify which version of God you're railing against."

I'm not railing against any god. I do become irritated when someone's god is posited as a scientific theory. That's bad science and worse theology.

Flint · 28 February 2005

Apparently, there are a few holes in your understanding of theology. You seem to be concentrating only on certain strains of Western monotheism, which hold God apart from the universe and thus render Him "supernatural". In any case, you need to specify which version of God you're railing against.

There are several issues here. First, let's start with the practical issue. Those devising, supporting, and pushing the ID claims are without exception fundamentalist Christians. Behe, Dembski, Johnson, the whole DI crowd, make their identification of the "designer" crystal clear when they are talking to the audiences from whom their funding must come. The school boards are also not cautious or coy about this -- they come right out and say that Jesus belongs in your heart and your classrooms (and everywhere else). Dembski is heading for a position in a Southern Baptist Theological Seminary. The public hearings held on these matters also underscore this practical reality. Those speaking in favor of ID wave their bibles and invoke Jesus's name regularly. Nobody is fooled that the designer is some sort of abstract potential inference derivable by approaching and considering evidence in a certain way. The entire purpose of ID is to get Jesus into childrens' classes. Anyone claiming otherwise is flat mendacious. There is no confusion here. For those who find entertainment in contemplating the whichness of the why, I suppose it's acceptable to consider the interplay of ordinary well-understood physical processes to be a "designer" more or less straightforwardly. As an example, we could call the pattern of erosion gullies on a hillside to be a design, and the interplay of water, soil and gravity to be the designer. But calling natural feedback processes "intelligent" is either disingenuous, or a violation of the intent of ID to begin with. Yeah, from a pantheistic approach, there is a god of everything. We can (and many do) project human-type intents and motivations onto everything we see. So long as this viewpoint doesn't cripple the ability to form and test hypotheses, it's no serious handicap. But it also has absolutly nothing to do with the "intelligence" the ID camp is referring to. Claiming otherwise is fatuous. IC creationism is creationism. It attempts to do an end-run around the US Constitution by substituting "designer" for "god" and by denying the slightest interest in anything to do with a mechanism by which design can be observed, tested, or falsified. And on this thread, we have the signal pleasure of entertaining our emptiest sophist yet, who blends insults, contempt, and doubletalk in almost equal measures, while saying nothing honest or substantive. But the courts have shown little patience with this approach. They demand METHODS by which design can be shown to be false, if indeed design is false. Lacking these, ID is religion. And in the face of this demand, the Neurodes of the world fall silent.

Colin · 28 February 2005

You're unnecessarily complexifying the issue. Either you know what "entanglement" is, or you don't. You seem to be claiming that you do; but if that were the case, you'd be explaining how ID violates it. However, you probably can't do that, because you probably lack the required levels of skill, understanding, and probity. This is confirmed by (1) your endorsement of GCT's vapid arguments; (2) your dishonest conflation of ID and Creationism, which permits you to apply legal precedents which do not actually apply in this case. Again, please don't waste my time.

— Neurode
It's only a waste of your time if you refuse to learn from your mistakes. Defining the relevant constitutional standards is not "unnecessarily complexifying the issue," it is defining the issue. It is very difficult to embark on an analysis of the constitution without knowing what it says, and how we interpret and apply the text. In this case, we use the Lemon/Agostini test (in which, it has been said, the entanglement prong has been subsumed by the primary effect analysis). I suggest that you google these cases and terms, as well as the Cobb County decision that applied them to creationist disclaimers. Perhaps having read the legal precedents you will have something substantive to say about whether they apply in "this" case, whatever it is that you mean by "this." As for the conflation of "intelligent design" and creationism, I can only second Flint's thoughts on the matter. He put it better than I could, or would care to try.

Neurode · 28 February 2005

GCT: "First of all Neurode, make sure you know who you are talking to, since you've attributed a quote to me that I didn't make."

Pardon me then, GCT. But your intials and your arguments are pretty run-of-the-mill, and there are too many of you to keep track of.

GCT: "You seem to say that the Xtian god is supernatural, and therefore not a part of ID theory. Would you go so far as to say that if ID did rely on the Xtian god, that it would be unscientific and would violate the EC?"

There is a distinction to be made between the Christian God, and the entire set of attributes which have been interpretatively fastened to Him over the centuries. If the Bible is metaphorically interpreted (as its own internal reliance on metaphor suggests), and if certain commonly-assumed divine attributes are reasonably qualified to ensure logical consistency, the Christian Diety is fully consistent with science. However, if all of the inessential attributes remain attached, this statement would be considerably harder to defend. In any case, I won't be arguing Christianty with you today.

GCT: "In the example of the god that is the universe, are you arguing that the universe is really one large living organism that self-directs its own evolution and adaptation? If so, where did it come from? Eventually you will have to rely on the supernatural."

The origin of the universe cannot be discussed without resorting to a metaphysical level of logical discourse which some people would incorrectly describe as "supernatural" in the conventional (anti-scientific) sense. But in any case, the burden of proving that the origin and existence of the universe can be adequately explained without "supernatural" causation, and only in a way precluding ID, rests entirely on those who make that claim, and likewise for any claim that the origin of the universe must be supernatural and should thus be excluded from scientific discourse. Clearly, only the lamest kind of "science" could summarily exclude a logical consideration of cosmic origins.

GCT · 28 February 2005

Pardon me then, GCT. But your intials and your arguments are pretty run-of-the-mill, and there are too many of you to keep track of.

— Neurode
I would look past it if I thought that you actually meant what you said, but it's quite obvious that you only speak with disdain.

There is a distinction to be made between the Christian God, and the entire set of attributes which have been interpretatively fastened to Him over the centuries. If the Bible is metaphorically interpreted (as its own internal reliance on metaphor suggests), and if certain commonly-assumed divine attributes are reasonably qualified to ensure logical consistency, the Christian Diety is fully consistent with science.

— Neurode
So, you think omnipotent beings are fully consonant with science?

The origin of the universe cannot be discussed without resorting to a metaphysical level of logical discourse which some people would incorrectly describe as "supernatural" in the conventional (anti-scientific) sense.

— Neurode
Ah, but cosmologists are making such arguments. What you are saying here though is that absent any proof of a divine being, it is up to us to prove that this divine being does not exist, otherwise we should all bow down to him and subvert our science to him. That and $1 will buy you a cup of coffee....with no change left over. You are still ducking and dodging.

John A. Davison · 28 February 2005

Guthrie

All I can do is suggest that you read my published papers. They are now on library shelves world wide and it is a little late for me to consider retracting them which I wouldn't do anyway. Journals are the place to produce evidence, not forums. That I have already done. This sort of activity I do only for fun.

John A. Davison

John A. Davison · 28 February 2005

Guthrie
The answers which you seek from me are in my published papers. That is where they belong. You obviously have not read them. Forums I do only for fun.

John A. Davison

Neurode · 28 February 2005

GCT: "So, you think omnipotent beings are fully consonant with science?"

No problem, provided there's just one "omnipotent being" with the power to limit itself. But then again, if it were really omnipotent, it would have that power. Indeed, one might argue that the universe has that power.

GCT: "What you are saying here though is that absent any proof of a divine being, it is up to us to prove that this divine being does not exist, otherwise we should all bow down to him and subvert our science to him ... You are still ducking and dodging."

If you insist on attaching a divine being to the ID hypothesis in order to attack it from that angle, then yes, you obviously own the burden of proof. But why do that to yourself? As I've already pointed out, the ID hypothesis is a scientifically-consistent causal hypothesis confirmed by certain classes of event which neither you, nor anyone else, has succeeded in explaining in terms of ordinary causation. So all you need do to exclude it is carry out your naturalistic agenda and deliver the required explanations.

Colin: "It's only a waste of your time if you refuse to learn from your mistakes."

But you see, Colin, that's where we differ. I say it's you who's making the mistakes. For example, I set out to make the distinction between Establishment and Entanglement; you then jumped in and accused me of forgetting Free Exercise, apropos of your support for someone else's lame arguments. But this isn't an essay test, and you're not my law instructor. So you don't get to deduct any points when I choose to leave something out of my "answers", particularly when you've already displayed every sign of total cluelessness yourself.

Colin · 28 February 2005

Neurode, your hostility is inappropriate and ill-founded. You made a simple flatly incorrect assertion: "Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom." That is not true. Establishment is one of the Constitutional principles, and 'entanglement' is one of the tools used to test for a violation of that principle. I'm not "deducting points" because you "[chose] to leave something out;" I am pointing out a serious and fundamental error in your understanding of issue.

Again, I suggest that you spend less time insulting people who point out your mistakes and more time studying the issues which you would like to discuss. Again, I recommend that you (at least) google Lemon, Agostini, and the Cobb County decision which applies them in context. It is, for instance, important to note that 'entanglement' may have been more or less subsumed by the other prongs of the Lemon test.

(I'm unpersuaded as to that, myself, despite the solid arguments made by the Cobb County judge and commentators like Timothy Sandefur. I think entanglement is a useful criterion, and I don't think the Court is ready to dispose of it just yet.)

I wouldn't expect anyone, even an attorney, to necessarily be familiar with these issues. I've only recently become aware of many of them myself. I would expect that you respond by learning something rather than accusing me of "total cluelessness." Naked hostility is crass and inappropriate - this is the internet, not a biker bar. You could at least aspire to cutting sarcasm or witty aphorisms.

Flint · 28 February 2005

I highly recommend, so that we're all on the same wavelength, that Neurode go get Is It Science Yet? and download (AND READ!) the document, available at the download buttons at the end of this link. Hopefully, after he educates himself, he won't be blurting howlers like "the ID hypothesis is a scientifically-consistent causal hypothesis confirmed by certain classes of event which neither you, nor anyone else, has succeeded in explaining in terms of ordinary causation."

guthrie · 28 February 2005

Mr Davison- I would like to have a look at your papers, but you never seem to give any references to them, and me not being at university any more, I find it hard to look up papers. Given that, and your apparent desire to spread your arguments far and wide, are there any websites that summarise or explain your positions?

After all, these dang evolutionists manage to link to a whole variety of places.

John A. Davison · 28 February 2005

Guthrie

If you just plug in the words "davison" and "evolution" into Google you will find my home page, my papers including the Manifesto and the most recent "A Prescribed Evolutionary Hypothesis" and several other papers as well, seven in all I believe. Every one of my papers except the first one published in 1984 in the Journal of Theoretical Biology are available as on line versions. Also if you this method to find my work you will also have the advantage of hearing from others what a pitiful delusionary I am. Read, enjoy and draw your own conclusions.

That is what science is all about.

John A. Davison

GCT · 28 February 2005

1. Neurode, you got owned on the Constitution by Colin. You better bow down. 2.

GCT: "So, you think omnipotent beings are fully consonant with science?" No problem, provided there's just one "omnipotent being" with the power to limit itself. But then again, if it were really omnipotent, it would have that power. Indeed, one might argue that the universe has that power.

— Neurode
Ha ha ha. Dude, do you really believe that invoking the omnipotent god is science? Hmmm, how does this gravity thing work? You don't know? It must be god. Hmmm, how does electricity work? Don't bother trying to find out, it's god. Hmmm, how do we cure diseases? God does that. Is it really science to just say god does this and that? Of course it is, as long as it's a monotheistic religion's god. Unfortunately for you, your idea of science is really lacking. You need to learn what science is before you start trying to attack it and tear it down. I'd suggest you actually read something other than the tripe that you put on here. I know it will be hard to not admire your prose in the mirror, but you might just actually learn something. 3.

If you insist on attaching a divine being to the ID hypothesis in order to attack it from that angle, then yes, you obviously own the burden of proof. But why do that to yourself? As I've already pointed out, the ID hypothesis is a scientifically-consistent causal hypothesis confirmed by certain classes of event which neither you, nor anyone else, has succeeded in explaining in terms of ordinary causation. So all you need do to exclude it is carry out your naturalistic agenda and deliver the required explanations.

— Neurode
You already got owned on this by Flint, but I'll throw in my two cents. Since you refuse to explain who your designer is (ducking and dodging like a good IDiot) I have no other choice but to assume that the creator of the universe and all the laws in it must be supernatural. Once you pony up and enlighten us all, then we can bask in the glory of your divine wisdom. You also have never said what ID really is, beyond a scientific super-evolutionary theory that combines the formation of the universe, the origin of life, and speciation, and also causes mutations thereby proving natural selection. Um, vague anyone? Duck and dodge, duck and dodge. Let me leave you with a thought for pondering. You clearly have trouble with the neo-reverse paradigm of the modern materialist vis-a-vis metaphysical shift of philo-religio-sophistic thought processes. What you need to consider is the paradox of the what-is versus the what-was-never-until-it-was conundrum. I know, it is not facile for a tyro such as yourself, but if you pontificate on it for sufficient time, I'm sure that even you can learn the paradigmatic neo-reversism of the materio-modern world. Until then, however, you will be stuck in the classico-passe modus, which is so yesterday.

Neurode · 28 February 2005

GCT rambles: "Neurode, you got owned on the Constitution by Colin. You better bow down. ... Ha ha ha. Dude, do you really believe that invoking the omnipotent god is science?"

I believe it was you who invoked an "omnipotent god"; I was just being a good sport. (Regarding your premature end-zone boogaloo on Colin's behalf, maybe you should keep reading.)

GCT boogies on down like an animal: "You clearly have trouble with the neo-reverse paradigm of the modern materialist vis-a-vis metaphysical shift of philo-religio-sophistic thought processes. What you need to consider is the paradox of the what-is versus the what-was-never-until-it-was conundrum. I know, it is not facile for a tyro such as yourself, but if you pontificate on it for sufficient time, I'm sure that even you can learn the paradigmatic neo-reversism of the materio-modern world. Until then, however, you will be stuck in the classico-passe modus, which is so yesterday."

Try not to lose hope, kid. There's help out there somewhere.

Flint quips: "I highly recommend, so that we're all on the same wavelength, that Neurode go get Is It Science Yet? and download (AND READ!) the document, available at the download buttons at the end of this link. Hopefully, after he educates himself, he won't be blurting howlers like 'the ID hypothesis is a scientifically-consistent causal hypothesis confirmed by certain classes of event which neither you, nor anyone else, has succeeded in explaining in terms of ordinary causation.'"

Thanks for the link. It didn't take me long to get through the Table of Contents, at which point I understood the gist without further reading (the included headings can't be coherently argued). I did, however, save it in a folder for possible future reference.

Colin harps: "Neurode, ... you made a simple flatly incorrect assertion: 'Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom.' That is not true. Establishment is one of the Constitutional principles, and 'entanglement' is one of the tools used to test for a violation of that principle."

I'm afraid this isn't as clear as you seem to think it is. I didn't say "clauses", I said "principles", and I was talking about principles that might be construed to militate against ID ("religion", to some) in the classroom. That effectively limited my reference to the Establishment Clause, and specifically to the wording which prohibits the making of "laws respecting an establishment of religion". In Lemon v. Kurtzman, the court held that a certain public program fostered "excessive entanglement" between government and religion; as part of the "Lemon Test", the entanglement criterion became a standard ingredient of Constitutional law. However, entanglement is distinct from that which is literally prohibited by the Establishment Clause. Therefore, I distinguished "establishment" and "entanglement" as separate but related principles of Constitutional law. It's too bad that you found this confusing, but I didn't mean to refer to the Free Exercise Clause, and I don't like being told what I mean (especially by people who clearly don't know what I mean).

As an aspiring legal eagle like you should know, the Establishment and Free Exercise Clauses, one restricting religious interference with government and the other warranting the individual's freedom of worship, are complementary aspects of the same basic issue: the tension between temporal and religious authority. Concisely, the Establishment Clause is designed to prevent religion from violating the peoples' right to self-governance and Free Exercise, but when pushed too far, can result in the very kinds of interference it is intended to prevent.

The ID-Darwinism controversy can naturally be viewed through either of these lenses. But no matter where you start, you'll come around to the Establishment Clause. Why? Because it's the primary issue on the legal side of this controversy, in which certain litigious atheist-materialists and their philosophically conflicted quasitheistic sympathizers have decided to engage in restrictive maneuvers designed, so they say, to keep "religion" out of the public schools. If you want to frame the controversy in terms of Free Exercise, then suit yourself, but that really isn't the right way to view it. In fact, if you read the Abstract at the front of the .pdf propaganda leaflet recommended above by Flint, you'll see that the Establishment Clause has been explicitly identified as the central issue.

It may be true that somewhere, atheists are trying to portray themselves as "victims" whose personal freedom of religious expression has been violated, thus putting the initial focus on Free Exercise. But if so, the worm will turn. You see, nobody really gives a hoot about the right of a handful of disgruntled atheists and terminally confused theists to avoid any intimation of God's possible existence, or evolutionary influence, by educational exposure to an explanatory hypothesis which might somehow imply the existence of an all-powerful diety who has promised to boot their bacon into hell (where it may in fact belong). The real issue is the interference of these selfsame mewling, puking whiners with the right of American citizens to have their children properly educated without asinine restrictions on how evolutionary causation is to be explained. Under cover of the Establishment Clause, these miscreants are trying to use the legal system to force the education system to interfere, by omitting crucial information from science curricula, with the ability of future United States citizens to understand the nature of science and its true place in a democratic society.

I hope that my tone in this post has been collegial enough for you, Colin. If my last response to you was excessively harsh, it was only because I don't appreciate attempts to divert attention from the real issues in this controversy to the unembroidered scam artistry of ACLU shysters and their badly-motivated clients.

Thanks for understanding.

Flint · 28 February 2005

But no matter where you start, you'll come around to the Establishment Clause. Why? Because it's the primary issue on the legal side of this controversy, in which certain litigious atheist-materialists and their philosophically conflicted quasitheistic sympathizers have decided to engage in restrictive maneuvers designed, so they say, to keep "religion" out of the public schools.

This verbiate cries out for a little disentanglement itself. The "certain ligigious atheist-materialists" are actually people who recognize that science is based on evidence and tests, and at least at the high school level, long and established track records of success, debate, publication, experiment, and the like. Nobody is trying to "keep religion out of public schoos" (and in fact, comparative religion classes are valuable at the high school level). What people who respect what science IS, are trying to do, is NOT have a religious doctrine taught as science, in science classes. And ID is not scientific in any way, and cannot honestly be represented as such. The desire to restrict science classes to science is widely regarded as rational. The legal question is, is ID science? The paper I linked to and you didn't feel worth reading spends nearly 200 pages establishing that it is religion, by every definition or concept of religion ever devised, and that it is nothing else. I really DO encourage you to read it, since you must address the points it makes if expect to communicate about legal matters. Incidentally, I have to admire your labeling technique. If you don't like someone's logic, you label them atheists (which you seem to consider a pejorative, for some reason!). If you don't like what the law SAYS, you label it propaganda. If you wish a religious doctrine preached as Truth in a science class, you label those who wish science to be taught "philosophically conflicted quasitheistic sympathizers." I wonder whether argument-by-label actually works where you come from? You are free to raise your own children according to whatever faith you find congenial. This right is extended to you, but it is ALSO extended to every other citizen. And that means religious doctrine simply cannot legally be represented as absolute truth by government. And I hope you aren't going to claim that a "theory" that cannot in principle be either tested or falsified is being presented as anything OTHER than absolute Truth.

Colin · 28 February 2005

Incidentally, I have to admire your labeling technique. If you don’t like someone’s logic, you label them atheists (which you seem to consider a pejorative, for some reason!). If you don’t like what the law SAYS, you label it propaganda. If you wish a religious doctrine preached as Truth in a science class, you label those who wish science to be taught “philosophically conflicted quasitheistic sympathizers.” I wonder whether argument-by-label actually works where you come from?

— Flint
Since Neurode comes from the ID mindset, I'd have to say that argument-by-labed does work where he comes from. Intelligent Design is made from whole cloth as a device to redefine science that doesn't fit a particular religious perspective by re-defining the terms and goals of science. Rather than beginning with a question, Intelligent Design and Neurode both begin with an answer and an ideology; any fact or evidence that doesn't fit that ideology is stricken and assumed to be at best a mistake, or at worst "the unembroidered scam artistry of ACLU shysters and their badly-motivated clients." It makes doctrinal reinforcement trivially easy, but makes learning and personal growth very difficult. Perhaps that is why so many ideologues have such poor manners? Speaking of which,

It’s too bad that you found this confusing, but I didn’t mean to refer to the Free Exercise Clause, and I don’t like being told what I mean (especially by people who clearly don’t know what I mean).

— Neurode
I did not find your statement confusing. I find that you are confused. I understand that you give FE short shrift in this context, and I don't object. I do object to you stating that "Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom," since it is an untrue statement. Entanglement is one part of a three-pronged test, and may have been subsumed by the other prongs. It is facile to say that the EC and entanglement are "the two Constitutional principles" in question; it ignores important parts of the jurisprudence, such as the other Lemon prongs. In other words, my point wasn't that you meant to say Free Exercise, my point is that you shouldn't put entanglement on a pedestal when there are several other issues bound up in the same test. Once again, I strongly recommend reading these cases before you make sweeping pronouncements.

The real issue is the interference of these selfsame mewling, puking whiners with the right of American citizens to have their children properly educated without asinine restrictions on how evolutionary causation is to be explained . . . I hope that my tone in this post has been collegial enough for you, Colin. If my last response to you was excessively harsh, it was only because I don’t appreciate attempts to divert attention from the real issues in this controversy to the unembroidered scam artistry of ACLU shysters and their badly-motivated clients.

— Neurode
Your tone is as crass and infantile as ever. You have utterly failed to persuade me of your point, the soundness of your logic, the depth of your education, or the quality of your sarcasm. You have brilliantly succeeded, however, in reinforcing my stereotype of creationists. I don't know whether or not to thank you.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
The burden of proving that ID implies a "supernatural" designer rests on those who make that claim, which is not made by the ID hypothesis itself.

Allow me a simple bit of logical deduction:
1)ID claims that complex systems could not have come about without the intervention of an intelligence
2)If #1, then life on Earth was created/modified by some intelligence. But, as you say, that intellgence does not need to be divine. It could be aliens, or some other natural intelligent agent.
3)But, if it's aliens (ie not supernatural agents), then they themselves cannot have come into being with the agency of some intelligence.
4)Ergo, at the root of the chain, there must be some non-natural intelligence. Non-natural, because it is a complex entity not created by natural means (which require a pre-existing intelligence).

5)Ergo, ID implies a supernatural agent.

Please, by all means, point out the flaw in this reasoning. Or accept that ID does, in fact, imply a supernatural prime mover.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

Flint: "The 'certain ligigious atheist-materialists' are actually people who recognize that science is based on evidence and tests..."

We've already been through this several times. The Darwinian hypothesis is not entitled to monopolize the data. It's not the only explanatory hypothesis confirmed by the evidence.

Flint: "Nobody is trying to "keep religion out of public schoos" (and in fact, comparative religion classes are valuable at the high school level)."

How reasonable. When you see a causal hypothesis you don't like in a science class, just run it out the door and chase it down the hall to "comparative religion". Yeah, that's the ticket.

Flint: "What people who respect what science IS, are trying to do, is NOT have a religious doctrine taught as science, in science classes."

That they respect science does not imply that they can tell the difference between scientific and theological hypotheses. (I wonder - were you aware that even scientists themselves are not trained to make this kind of distinction? You seem to think it's very simple, very cut-and-dried. But you're very much mistaken about that.)

Flint: "And ID is not scientific in any way, and cannot honestly be represented as such. The desire to restrict science classes to science is widely regarded as rational."

Are you trying to convince me, or yourself? Because if its me, you'll need to justify your assertions.

Flint: "The legal question is, is ID science? The paper I linked to and you didn't feel worth reading spends nearly 200 pages establishing that it is religion, by every definition or concept of religion ever devised, and that it is nothing else."

I'm sorry, but I've read other papers and essays by at least two of these authors, and no longer have much respect for their objectivity. In fact, I don't understand how anyone could.

Flint: "Incidentally, I have to admire your labeling technique. If you don't like someone's logic, you label them atheists (which you seem to consider a pejorative, for some reason!)."

No, someone's ability with logic has nothing to do with whether I regard him or her as an atheist. Professions of atheism are quite another matter.

Flint: "If you don't like what the law SAYS, you label it propaganda."

Just as evidence and religious scripture are subject to different interpretations, so is the law. But I don't remember having called it "propaganda".

Flint: "If you wish a religious doctrine preached as Truth in a science class, you label those who wish science to be taught 'philosophically conflicted quasitheistic sympathizers.'"

No, those are people who think they believe in God, but are unable to abide the possibility of inferring that God remains active in the world.

Flint: "You are free to raise your own children according to whatever faith you find congenial. This right is extended to you, but it is ALSO extended to every other citizen. And that means religious doctrine simply cannot legally be represented as absolute truth by government."

I've already explained why ID is not mere "religious doctrine".

Flint: "And I hope you aren't going to claim that a "theory" that cannot in principle be either tested or falsified is being presented as anything OTHER than absolute Truth."

As I believe I've made clear, I don't agree that ID can be neither tested nor falsified using some combination of empirical and mathematical inference.

Colin (finding a bit of space between his ad hominem remarks): "Intelligent Design is made from whole cloth as a device to redefine science that doesn't fit a particular religious perspective by re-defining the terms and goals of science."

Nonsense. It is painfully obvious to everyone who knows anything about ID that you lack the vaguest conception of what it is. Nobody is under any illusions about that, so kindly dispense with these platitudes that you've clearly picked up from other (equally ignorant) people.

Colin beats his pet drum some more: "I did not find your statement confusing. I find that you are confused. I understand that you give FE short shrift in this context, and I don't object. I do object to you stating that "Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom," since it is an untrue statement."

Then we find each other confused. My point was that there are other ways of breaching the wall between church and state than "making laws which respect an establishment of religion," and that Free Exercise is not one of them. That's all.

Colin: "In other words, my point wasn't that you meant to say Free Exercise, my point is that you shouldn't put entanglement on a pedestal when there are several other issues bound up in the same test. Once again, I strongly recommend reading these cases before you make sweeping pronouncements."

Aside from the fact that your point has apparently migrated a bit, here's my point: the fact that entanglement is a generalization of "the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion" means that it must be distinguished from establishment per se, and that it has the effect of broadening the impact of the original Establishment Clause. First came the clause itself; then came the broadening. The secular purpose and non-advancement-inhibition "prongs" of the Lemon Test don't necessarily add anything; if a (governmentally-sanctioned) action is nonsecular, it entails entanglement; if it advances or inhibits religion, it entails entanglement. So the Lemon Test boils down to entanglement. If you don't like that, why don't you go suck a lemon?

Colin: "Your tone is as crass and infantile as ever."

I really don't know what to make of that, coming from someone who's been stamping his foot and holding his breath over the outrage of my having omitted two whole prongs of the Lemon Test.

Colin: "You have utterly failed to persuade me of your point, the soundness of your logic, the depth of your education, or the quality of your sarcasm. You have brilliantly succeeded, however, in reinforcing my stereotype of creationists. I don't know whether or not to thank you."

That's not all you don't know, Colin. For example, I'm not a Creationist...but I believe I mentioned that already. However, you really are quite an insufferable, hair-splitting little pedant. And for that piece of information, you needn't thank me at all.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

DaveScot,
The nature of negative evidence makes it practically impossible to falsify some explanations. However, if the explanation can be confirmed by positive evidence there's no need to be falsifiable.

This is nonsensical. Say your theory is A. And there is some event B, that is currently unknown, but will eventually be known as either true or false.
If a theory is falsifiable, then one of those results will tend to falsify it. Say, if B is false, then that would tend to disprove A. Contrawise, if B is true, then that will tend to support A, as it was subject to being falsified but was not.
You claim that a theory can be somehow confirmed by event B being true, but it cannot be falsified. That is, no outcome of any event could possibly be inconsistent with the theory. Then, as a logical consequence, no outcome can possibly provide any support to the theory.

The Copernican Principle of Medicrity, the basis of enlightened thought, says that the earth and life on the earth is not "special" in any way. Therefore, to be good enlightened Copernican thinkers we must assume, until proven otherwise, that genetic engineers are not unique to the earth.

You've made this mistake before, and I've pointed it out before. The Principle of Mediocrity says that we can assume that genetic engineers might not be unique to the earth. Not that they are to be found elsewhere. This principle provides absolutely no support for your position without your rather bizarre misinterpretation of it.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
We've already been through this several times. The Darwinian hypothesis is not entitled to monopolize the data. It's not the only explanatory hypothesis confirmed by the evidence.

Schweet! Please provide some positive predictions of your ID theory, please.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Wu

Sorry. You're full of it. If one posits the existence of black holes, and predicts what observational metrics to look for, that hypothesis cannot in principle be falsified because there is no way to distinguish between not finding a black hole because you haven't searched enough or not finding one because they do not exist. However, the hypothesis can be verfied by finding one.

Is the black hole hypothesis "scientific"? Of course it is.

Unfalsifiable but verifiable hypothesis such as that abound. You and everyone that pulls the old "but can you falsify it" crap is either ignorant of basic rules of logic and a plethora of unfalsifiable scientific theories, or is just being dishonest.

Write that down.

And apologize to Karl Popper IMMEDIATELY for abusing his work in such a horrible manner.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Wu

You are wrong again on the Copernican Principle of Mediocrity.

At least you're consistent. You haven't been right about anything yet.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mediocrity_principle

Here ya go. And you don't even own me any tuition. How's that for generous?

Jonathan Abbey · 1 March 2005

Actually, if you observe long enough and don't see the predicted observations in support of a black hole, you can take the black hole hypothesis as falsified, in conflict with observations. That doesn't mean that somewhere there's not some special black hole hiding in an unobservable state, it means that your theory has to account for why the observations were as they were, and explain why anyone should continue to think there might be black holes given that predicted observations have not come about.

If such a hypothesis fails to be confirmed, it is up to the theorists to come up with another explanation that fits the contrary observations, in addition to suiting whatever theoretical or observational motivation that the black hole hypothesis was meant to satisfy.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

DaveScot,
Your idiot interpretation of Mediocrity would say that there must be other Shakespeares out in the Universe writing other Hamlets. If it happened here, according to you, it must have happened elsewhere.
Whereas, in reality, the principle merely says that other Shakespeares could exist, not that they must, or that we can assume that they do until proven otherwise.
So, the principle does not support your position at all. No scientist claims that there cannot be other genetic engineers in the universe. They merely point out that, lacking any evidence, we ought to assume that there are any.

Jonathan Abbey · 1 March 2005

Let me clarify/amend my statement. Dave Scot is correct in that failing to observe a black hole doesn't mean that there are no black holes, but it does mean that the theory that led to the predicted observations is in error. The broader assertion ("black holes exist") may in fact still be true, but the theory that predicted the observations to find it was not, at least not without correction and amendment.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Neurode

Dude! Way to go! Pure genius. I fear it is lost on your lessers, if you know what I mean, and I think you do.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

DaveScot,
Your idiot interpretation of Mediocrity would say that there must be other Shakespeares out in the Universe writing other Hamlets. If it happened here, according to you, it must have happened elsewhere.
Whereas, in reality, the principle merely says that other Shakespeares could exist, not that they must, or that we can assume that they do until proven otherwise.
So, the principle does not support your position at all. No scientist claims that there cannot be other genetic engineers in the universe. They merely point out that, lacking any evidence, we ought not to assume that there are any.That princple we call Occam's Razor. And that's free for you, my ignorant non-friend.

As for your poorly-thought out black hole theory...
If the hypothesis is "black holes exist and we ought to find them in such-and-such type places", then yes, it could be falsified. By looking in enough of those places and failing to find them, you'd soon have a high-confidence failure to reject the null hypothesis.
Your failure to compherend my argument is based in your failure to understand the basic processes of science. Scientific knowledge of this nature are frequently probabilistic, not absolute.
That is, scientists can, and do, "distinguish between not finding a black hole because you haven't searched enough or not finding one because they do not exist." Constantly. Daily. In virtually every issue of every scientific journal.

You ought to know this, as I've seen it explained to you at least half-a-dozen times on these boards. You're failing the Turing test, methinks.

That was free too; too bad you never update your talking points.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Wu says "Your idiot interpretation of Mediocrity would say that there must be other Shakespeares out in the Universe"

No, it does not. Is says that we should ASSUME there are other Shakespeares in the universe until there is reason to believe there are not other Shakespeares in the universe. That is the principle of mediocrity. It's a guiding principle, not a law.

Either your reading comprehension is severely wanting or perhaps english is not your first language?

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Jonathan,
True. The theory "black holes exist" without any additional information about their formation, activity, etc wouldn't be very useful... but taken as a gedankenexperiment, it is theoretically falsifiable, by observing everything in the universe. Taint likely, but since the 'theory' itself exists only to test the meaning of falsifiable, I can live with that.
Whereas "some supernatural force created us" is untestable even in theory, and (as I pointed out) can therefore not be confirmed by test either.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Abbey

Black holes were a prediction of special relativity and were hypothetical until confirmed. The hypothesis that led to the observation of black holes was certainly not in error.

Maybe you should refrain from commenting on things you evidently know nothing about.

Falsifiability is a red-herring when applied to any hypothesis which is verifiable. Due to the nature of negative evidence many perfectly valid, perfectly scientific, and later CONFIRMED hypothesis are not falsifiable.

Write that down.

Then tell me how it can be verified that mutation/selection changed inanimate chemicals into dinosaurs. Absent any method of verifiability it is nothing more than a guess which may eventually be falsified but never confirmed.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Correction - black holes were predicted by general, not special, relativity.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

DaveScot,
Neither. Were you born with a mental defect, or dropped on your head as a baby repeatedly?

Let's see if I have this correct: you personally hold that there are other New Yorks in the universe, with other New York Knicks and Yankees.
Not that there could be. You are such a moron that you feel it necessary to assume that this is actually the case. You believe that the principle of mediocrity compels us to act as if those New Yorks existed until it can be proven that they do not.

I cannot imagine a less plausible interpretation of the principle. I cannot imagine one more strained. Or, bluntly, more stupid.

Whereas in reality, all that it says is that they could exist. We are not compelled to assume that they do, or do not. The principle rules out the argument "it couldn't happen elsewhere". It does not create the necessity of believing that it must have happened elsewhere.

The principle grew out of the idea that the Earth was not special in the universe. Not from the bizarre idea that the Earth was necessarily replicated out there someplace in the universe.
Quoting from the article which you cited, but apparently could not read: In short, the Copernican Mediocrity is the series of ideas and discoveries demonstrating that Earth is a relatively common planet orbiting a relatively common star going around a relatively common galaxy which is one of countless others in a giant, perhaps infinite, universe.
Funny, Im not seeing any imperatives to believe in alternate Shakespeares there.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

DaveScot,
Black holes were a prediction of special relativity and were hypothetical until confirmed. The hypothesis that led to the observation of black holes was certainly not in error.

Dumbfuck, no one said that theories such as "black holes exist" (which are, in fact, falsifiable) cannot be shown to be true. Since you've forgotten, Ill refresh your memory- you were arguing that theories which are not falsifiable are capable of being shown to be true.

Due to the nature of negative evidence many perfectly valid, perfectly scientific, and later CONFIRMED hypothesis are not falsifiable.

Name one or cease your inane drivel.

Bruce Beckman · 1 March 2005

Carleton and Jonathan,

I think you're on the right track, but it might be better to consider the existance of black holes is a prediction of general relativity not a seperate hypothesis. GR would be falsified in this regard if we would observe a normal 1,000 solar mass star (for example) where GR would predict a black hole. So GR is falsifiable in the Popper sense for this question since it makes clear predictions of what would be observed and what would not be observed.

A seperate issue is whether the conditions needed to produce a black hole actually exist somewhere in the universe. GR is silent on this issue so it would be wrong to say that GR predicts back holes to actually exist. Rather, GR tells us that IF a 1,000 solar mass compact object exists, THEN it exists as a black hole and not a normal star (or white dwarf or neutron star).

Fortunately for GR, we have found such high mass compact objects and they look like black holes.

DaveSccot · 1 March 2005

Wu

Then by your logic God is falsifiable by searching everywhere and failing to find him.

Your grades must SUCK.

DaveScot · 1 March 2005

Goodbye, Mr. Carlton Wu. The pottiness of your mouth is exceeded only by the dullness of your wit. You shall henceforth not be undeservedly dignified by a response from me.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

DaveScot,
Naturally, any theory falsifying the existence of an object by searching everywhere would have to include the theory that your search is perfect, and that if the object is searched for in a given place it will necessarily be found.
Since a supernatural, omnipotent being cannot be constrained in such a way (ie an omnipotent being could evade any search if it desired), your conclusion is incorrect. As usual.
Typically, you wish to use scientific methods to prove/disprove supernatural phenomena, disregarding that by definition the nature of those phenomena is to be beyond the constraint of natural laws. Because you understand neither logic nor the nature of the scientific processes which you claim to be able to critique.

My grades? This all makes sense now- your sophomoric self-importance, your sophomoric attempts at wit, your sophomoric belief that you understand a great deal more than you actually do... you're a sophomore! Take heart, lad- someday your testicles will drop and your voice will change, and you'll lose that chip on your shoulder.

As for your promise to stop yammering on nonsensically, nothing could make me happier. Since you couldn't be bothered to produce a scientific theory that isn't falsifiable (despite claiming that several existed), one can only assume that you've decided to stop talking out of your ass and abandon the field.
Typical for a coward, you do that while proclaiming victory. Sad. (or, if you're not to be labeled a coward- produce your true, yet unfalsifiable scientific theories!)

Jonathan Abbey · 1 March 2005

Abbey Black holes were a prediction of special relativity and were hypothetical until confirmed. The hypothesis that led to the observation of black holes was certainly not in error.

No, but it could have been, which was my point. You stated that the theory of black holes was not subject to falsification, my point was that it was, or at least that attendent predictions of observations were. Not that it was falsified, but that it in principle could have been.

Maybe you should refrain from commenting on things you evidently know nothing about.

I'll try to do that, thanks.

Then tell me how it can be verified that mutation/selection changed inanimate chemicals into dinosaurs. Absent any method of verifiability it is nothing more than a guess which may eventually be falsified but never confirmed.

It can never be proved to a point of logical certainty that mutation/selection changed inanimate chemicals into dinosaurs. However, we know almost nothing to a point of logical certainty. Epistemology brings almost everything into doubt's range. So if you're looking for Truth, science ain't your game. But then, nothing else reliably is either, other than cartesian syllogism, in that very limited domain. What we have to do is to look at the evidence and attempt to synthesize the most modest claims that we can find that account for the observations that we make upon the natural world. There is a very great deal of evidence for a progression from non-replicating chemistry to dinosaurs. We know that chemistry is capable of sustaining replication (from direct observation). We know that mutation and selection can act as a ratchet in design space, preserving the rare beneficial change and winnowing out the strongly negative (from direct observation and from computer simulation). We know that comparative genomics shows the appearance of relation through heredity for all living organisms found and analyzed to date, in the form of preserved and essentially arbitrary genetic structures (including the DNA-to-amino acid code). We know that the fossil record shows a progression of stepwise changes leading from simpler organisms to the dinosaurs, consonant with a variety of independent dating mechanisms. All of these evidences point to the dinosaurs having arisen from primitive ancestors, which are presumed to have arisen from extraordinarily simple systems of autocatalyzing replicators. That last is an inference, but it is a strong inference from what is known of chemistry and the self-designing property of evolving replicators in a competitive environment. All of this could easily be falsified, in principle. We might have found that the Earth was only ten thousand years old, not giving enough time for evolution to have plausibly produced the variety of living creatures we find on Earth. We might have found that different organisms had wildly different and incompatible genetic codes, with no sign of commonality at all. Heck, even William Dembski proposed a test that could have very neatly falsified evolution. If it had turned out that enzymes were extremely brittle, such that any change in the genetic program for enzymes had a very high probability of rendering the enzymes completely useless rather than just a little less (or more) optimal for some function, that would have made chemical evolution of proteins extraordinarily unlikely, and would have proven a very mighty falsifying argument against the whole edifice. A recent paper noted here on the thumb It turned out that enzymes are much less brittle than that, however, as would be necessary for evolution to be viable. A confirmed prediction of evolutionary theory, if you will. Given that evolution is falsifiable in principle and that it is has not yet been falsified, even after 150 years of close examination, evolutionary theory has earned the right to provisional acceptance, even in the autocatalyzing chemicals-to-dinosaurs case. It is possible that it is wrong, but no one has proposed a test to demonstrate that it is wrong that has ever been confirmed, and so very many predictions of evolutionary theory have been. That's about as strong a body of supporting evidence as science can ask for. Is every detail of the progression from abiogensis to the Dinosaurs understood as well as the mathematics of a ball falling in a vacuum under constant gravitational acceleration? Certainly not. But it had to happen some way, and evolution is the only scientific (i.e., testable, naturalistic) theory that has stood up under the vast corpus of biological observations of the past century and a half. So far, anyway.

Koly · 1 March 2005

I'll contribute, because there is some major confusion about scientific principles here.

If one posits the existence of black holes, and predicts what observational metrics to look for, that hypothesis cannot in principle be falsified because there is no way to distinguish between not finding a black hole because you haven't searched enough or not finding one because they do not exist. However, the hypothesis can be verfied by finding one. Is the black hole hypothesis "scientific"? Of course it is.

— DaveScot
No, it isn't. Your black hole hypothesis "There are black holes" is a typical example of an unscientific claim, precisely because it's not falsifiable. There was never such hypothesis made in astrophysics. In fact, nobody knew whether there were some or not until some clear indications were observed. People merely thought "there might be some". For you information, black holes are predicted by General Theory of Relativity. They should form under certain circumstances - if more than critical amount of mass or energy is concentrated in a sufficiently small volume (under it's Swarzschild radius). GR is of course falsifiable and one of the tests would be to observe this situation without forming a black hole. When indications of black holes were observed, it was a strong positive evidence for the theory. However, if no black holes were ever found, it would be no problem for GR unless there were specific predictions made about where they should be found (falsifiability again). Even if the prediction would be probabilistic in nature, e.g. one in gazilion star ends as a black hole, not finding one after collecting statistically relevant amount of data would falsify the theory. In short, unfalsifiable general claims have no place in science. Verifiable claims have an important role when they are actually verified - these are called observations or facts and are used to falsify the potential explanations which are called theories.

GCT · 1 March 2005

Neurode, you are still ducking and dodging. I've asked you many times to enlighten us all on who/what the designer is, and you keep ignoring it. Furthermore, you don't understand parody. You want someone to show that ID is religious? Let's first remember that when this goes to court, it will not be a criminal trial with ID as the defendant. So, I don't need to meet the burden of proving beyond the shadow of a doubt (i.e. you aren't assumed innocent until proven guilty.) I just have to show pretty good cause. I'll do better. Let's start with taking your arguments to their logical end...oh wait, Carleton Wu has already done that...

Allow me a simple bit of logical deduction: 1)ID claims that complex systems could not have come about without the intervention of an intelligence 2)If #1, then life on Earth was created/modified by some intelligence. But, as you say, that intellgence does not need to be divine. It could be aliens, or some other natural intelligent agent. 3)But, if it's aliens (ie not supernatural agents), then they themselves cannot have come into being with the agency of some intelligence. 4)Ergo, at the root of the chain, there must be some non-natural intelligence. Non-natural, because it is a complex entity not created by natural means (which require a pre-existing intelligence). 5)Ergo, ID implies a supernatural agent. Please, by all means, point out the flaw in this reasoning. Or accept that ID does, in fact, imply a supernatural prime mover.

— Carleton Wu
I note that you already dodged his question as well. Next, I will direct your attention to the wedge document. In particular, take this passage...

Design theory promises to reverse the stifling dominance of the materialist worldview, and to replace it with a science consonant with Christian and theistic convictions.

Also this:

Alongside a focus on influential opinion-makers, we also seek to build up a popular base of support among our natural constituency, namely, Christians. We will do this primarily through apologetics seminars. We intend these to encourage and equip believers with new scientific evidences that support the faith, as well as to "popularize" our ideas in the broader culture.

Here's more:

Governing Goals To replace materialistic explanations with the theistic understanding that nature and human beings are created by God. ... Twenty Year Goals To see design theory permeate our religious, cultural, moral and political life.

Also, in their five year objectives:

5. Spiritual & cultural renewal: Major Christian denomination(s) defend(s) traditional doctrine of creation & repudiate(s) Darwinism. Seminaries increasingly recognize & repudiate naturalistic presuppositions Positive uptake in public opinion polls on issues such as sexuality, abortion and belief in God.

I'm armed with all of this, while all you have on your side is, "I say it's not religious." You also criticized my "premature end-zone boogaloo on Colin's behalf," yet you still got owned. That's gotta hurt. Also, even if I was the one that invoked a god or even an omnipotent god, you still seem to think that this omnipotent god is part of science. The problem with that is that it shows that you have no clue what science is. Omnipotent gods are neither provable nor disprovable. How can you have science based on something that you can neither prove nor disprove? If you actually bother to try and answer this question - I say that because you duck and dodge everything else - it should prove amusing.

John A. Davison · 1 March 2005

I am flabbergasted at the waste of cyberspace this thread is consuming daily. Since I presented my perspexctive in post # 18458, there is no further reason for my participation on this thread.

Go right on with your autogratification. I have another paper to write. This one is titled " There is no evolutionary theory."

John A. Davison

Koly · 1 March 2005

The Darwinian hypothesis is not entitled to monopolize the data. It's not the only explanatory hypothesis confirmed by the evidence.

— Neurode
If you would like to present your version of ID that includes ToE as it's part, you will have to make predictions that will falsify ToE while confirming your theory or vice versa. Until then, there are only two possibilites, your theory is equivalent to ToE or contains some unnecessary assumptions. In the first case you have nothing new, in the latter ToE is preferable. I'll give you an example: When Einstein constructed his General Theory of Relativity, which is a theory of gravity, it contained the Newton's gravitational law as a low energy approximation. All the available data were explained by both theories at that time. That was of course due to lack of both high precision low energy data or high energy ones. The first two breakthrough tests were the difference in predictions for the rotation of Mercury's perihelium (which is astonishingly small) and the bending of the light trajectory around the sun. Both falsified Newton's law and confirmed the prediction of GTR. Only after that was, from the theoretical viewpoint vastly superior, GTR generally accepted. Since then, many additional data falsified Newton's law, but none has done this to GTR.

ts · 1 March 2005

Allow me a simple bit of logical deduction: 1)ID claims that complex systems could not have come about without the intervention of an intelligence 2)If #1, then life on Earth was created/modified by some intelligence. But, as you say, that intellgence does not need to be divine. It could be aliens, or some other natural intelligent agent. 3)But, if it's aliens (ie not supernatural agents), then they themselves cannot have come into being with the agency of some intelligence. 4)Ergo, at the root of the chain, there must be some non-natural intelligence. Non-natural, because it is a complex entity not created by natural means (which require a pre-existing intelligence). 5)Ergo, ID implies a supernatural agent. Please, by all means, point out the flaw in this reasoning. Or accept that ID does, in fact, imply a supernatural prime mover.

— Carleton Wu
Sorry, but this argument is not valid. The space aliens might be a consequence of a random event, or might have evolved, or might have come about through some mechanism totally unknown to us. Consider a parallel: We develop robots that can breed, then we become extinct or flea the planet. Aliens arrive and examine the robots, and find that they have evolved. But some alien argues that some of the basic code structures could not have evolved, and must have been designed. This is a feature of scientific epistemology: the established theory, falsifiable, tested, supported by the facts -- could be wrong or incomplete. But before the aliens teach their youngsters that the robots were designed, they should first provide a valid proof that the code really could not have evolved or was extremely unlikely to have evolved, and dig up our fossilized bones and our factories to provide evidence that the theory of robot evolution can't explain. Without the latter, all they have is idle speculation, even though we happen to know, from our God's eye point of view, that their speculation is correct.

GCT · 1 March 2005

ts, I'm not sure I understand what you are getting at.

The space aliens might be a consequence of a random event, or might have evolved, or might have come about through some mechanism totally unknown to us.

— ts
The first is thrown out by the IDist. The second would either confirm the hypothesis that design is needed for the aliens, or else their evolution was random, which is also thrown out by the IDist. The third seems to be where we are now, and IDists attribute all unknowns to design. The deduction made by Carleton Wu is based on the rules put forth by the IDists, not by us "Darwinists." You seem to be willing to give them an out, but you do so by allowing them to play by our rules. If the IDists want to say things have to be designed, then they have to follow their own rules to the end and are not permitted to then adopt our rules when theirs fail just so that they can claim victory in the name of their rules.

ts · 1 March 2005

When Einstein constructed his General Theory of Relativity, which is a theory of gravity, it contained the Newton's gravitational law as a low energy approximation. All the available data were explained by both theories at that time.

That's not true, else there would have been no reason for Einstein to propose GTR.

The first two breakthrough tests were the difference in predictions for the rotation of Mercury's perihelium

In fact it was known that Newton's theory gave the wrong value for the advance of Mercury's perihelion (sic) by 43 seconds of arc per century, and it was Einstein's calculation of the correct (observed) value that gave him great confidence in the theory.

ts · 1 March 2005

ts, I'm not sure I understand what you are getting at.

What I'm getting at is that the deductive "proof" that Carlton Wu offered is logically invalid. This is the case regardless of what the IDists believe or have put forth. The space aliens might be a consequence of a random event, or might have evolved, or might have come about through some mechanism totally unknown to us.

The first is thrown out by the IDist.

No it isn't -- if you're going naysay me, you should provide some sort of support for your claim. The IDist position is that life on earth must have been designed, because of irreducible complexity or specified complexity or whatever. Period. They say that they don't know anything about the designer and aren't obligated to say anything about the designer (they are wrong, of course) -- they have thrown out absolutely nothing about the designer -- why would they? Of course we know they believe that the designer was God, but they say it might have been space aliens. It would be silly for them to insist that these space aliens in turn must have been designed -- that would be handing us what we want.

The second would either confirm the hypothesis that design is needed for the aliens

Huh? The second was "might have evolved". Not that it matters.

or else their evolution was random, which is also thrown out by the IDist.

The IDists have never said anything about the space aliens, including that they didn't evolve, or evolve randomly, or anything else. I don't know where you're getting this from. You seem to have totally confused their claims about life on earth with a claim about space aliens.

The third seems to be where we are now, and IDists attribute all unknowns to design.

No, they attribute some unknowns about life on earth to design. Heck, Behe says he believes in evolution. But he doesn't believe it could all have evolved.

The deduction made by Carleton Wu is based on the rules put forth by the IDists, not by us "Darwinists."

In order for it to be a deduction, it has to be logically sound -- the rules of logic are the only ones that apply. And the IDists have never made any claim that the space aliens must have been designed -- it would be strategically stupid for them to do so.

You seem to be willing to give them an out, but you do so by allowing them to play by our rules.

I'm willing to tell the truth and follow the logic where it goes. They haven't ruled out evolution entirely -- they repeatedly say some evolution has occurred. If they allow it for life on earth, they will certainly allow it for hypothetical space aliens if doing so allows them to avoid a "proof" that they are making a religious argument.

If the IDists want to say things have to be designed, then they have to follow their own rules to the end and are not permitted to then adopt our rules when theirs fail just so that they can claim victory in the name of their rules.

This is a fallacy of confusing "some" with "all", necessary with sufficient. The IDists claim that there is evidence of design, in irreducibly complex mechanisms. There's no law that says that they have to say that design is the only possible principle, and in fact they don't say that. It's no different from the robot case I gave -- some alien claims that the robots were initially designed and then evolved. The alien doesn't have to "follow" any "rule" and say the robots were entirely designed; in the example I gave they weren't entirely designed, they were designed and then evolved, just like the alien said. But the aliens would need better evidence before they could teach that in school.

GCT · 1 March 2005

ts, I should have been more specific. I should have noted that we were talking specifically about Neurode's views, not IDists in general.

You are right that they specifically avoid talking about aliens as much as they specifically avoid using the G-word. And, you are right that they do specifically talk about life on Earth. I believe it would still be logically inconsistent or would at least be shaky ground for them to stand on, but they could do it none-the-less. Anyway, I get where you are coming from now.

That means that Neurode is sort-of off the hook for that part of my legal argument, provided of course that he/she/it (Neurode) is willing to use ts's argument. Of course, he/she/it (Neurode) must still answer for the other legal arguments I have put forth, and has yet to posit anything about who/what the designer is, as well as a host of other questions that have been posed and have gone unanswered. I suspect more ducking and dodging to come.

ts · 1 March 2005

Of course it's "shaky" to offer up a "theory" that consists of "some structures couldn't have evolved but we have no positive theory of how they DID come about" -- that's the whole point of the rejection of ID as science. But Carleton's "proof" is useless because one can simply respond that it might be that people from the future went into the past, designed life, and it evolved into us, who evolved into them. It doesn't matter to the IDists what the explanation is, as long as they can get their foot in the door and insert "there was design in there somewhere" into the science classroom.

GCT · 1 March 2005

There's still one thing bothering me about it though.

The IDist might specify "complex biological systems on Earth" but what bothers me about turning around and allowing it elsewhere is that that elsewhere is still subject to the same laws of the universe. I would think that if Neurode would like to use ts's argument, then it would be in order that Neurode offer up some valid (falsifiable) reason why it would be possible on another world, but not possible here on Earth. In fact, that's another question for you Neurode. You can add it to the list.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

GCT: "You also criticized my 'premature end-zone boogaloo on Colin's behalf,' yet you still got owned. That's gotta hurt."

But it's not me who should be hurting; it's you and your friend Colin. Here's why, in 12 easy-to-follow steps.

1. Regarding the issue of ID in the classroom, the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment of the U.S. Constitution is widely acknowledged to be the controlling clause; the Free Exercise Clause is not directly applicable.

2. The Establishment Clause prohibits a single kind of government action, the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion. As such, it is obviously a principle of Constitutional law.

3. The entanglement criterion began as a "test" for violation of establishment. However, entanglement is not just a test; it prohibits more than the specific government action prohibited by the Establishment Clause, and is therefore a broadening of that Clause (based on a judicial interpretation of the Clause and its implied purpose). It may therefore be regarded as an extensional principle in its own right.

4. The entanglement principle means "total mutual independence of government and religion", i.e., no breach of any kind in Jefferson's "wall of separation" between church and state. [As some have noted, this is a paradoxical requirement.]

5. Since the two other prongs of the test to which entanglement belongs (secular purpose and non-advancement) logically imply non-independence of church and state, they amount to mere tests of entanglement which lack its generality.

6. It follows that establishment and entanglement, the latter a generalization of the former, are the two main principes of Constitutional law which control the issue of ID in the classroom. [QED]

7. Colin argued with this, saying that Free Exercise is such a principle; therefore, Colin is wrong.

8. Colin denies that entanglement is a principle in its own right, insisting that it is a mere "test"; therefore, Colin is doubly wrong. (The only way it could be a mere test for compliance with the Establishment Clause is if it were perfectly synonymous with "the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion"; but of course, it is not.)

9. Colin pretends that he is not wrong; therefore, he is doubly wrong, squared: (2 x wrong)^2. Colin didn't see any of this coming; he just engaged in a frenzy of superficial reasoning as though he were looking for a gold star on his forehead to reward his very first day in a bottom-tier law school.

10. GCT pretends that Colin is not wrong even after this has all been established; therefore, he is wrong, cubed.

11. GCT goes on to pull down his pants and wag his soundly-kicked booty in his opponents' faces.

12. This is typical of GCT's style of argumentation. Therefore, GCT is not a worthy debate opponent.

I think that should just about wrap it up.

Colin · 1 March 2005

Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom.

— Neurode first

My point was that there are other ways of breaching the wall between church and state than "making laws which respect an establishment of religion," and that Free Exercise is not one of them. That's all.

— Neurode then
Your points - both of them - reflect a poor understanding of Establishment Clause jurisprudence. As to your first point, I'll only repeat that you are incorrect. "Entanglement" is not a "Constitutional principle" like the Establishment Clause; it is one test for a violation of that clause. They are fundamentally, qualitatively different things. Moreover, after reading Agostini more carefully, I am more persuaded that enganglement has been subsumed by the second prong of the Lemon test, effect. More on that later. As to your second point, I'm not entirely sure what you mean. Are you arguing that a Free Exercise violation wouldn't breach the separation of church and state? I suppose it depends on how you define the wall, but I disagree. It's not really relevant, though, since I do agree that the Establishment Clause is the more relevant principle.

ere's my point: the fact that entanglement is a generalization of "the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion" means that it must be distinguished from establishment per se, and that it has the effect of broadening the impact of the original Establishment Clause. First came the clause itself; then came the broadening. The secular purpose and non-advancement-inhibition "prongs" of the Lemon Test don't necessarily add anything; if a (governmentally-sanctioned) action is nonsecular, it entails entanglement; if it advances or inhibits religion, it entails entanglement. So the Lemon Test boils down to entanglement. If you don't like that, why don't you go suck a lemon?

— Neurode
Lemon test, go suck a lemon. . . I get it. Your scintillating wit is rivaled only by your keen legal reasoning. Unfortunately, you got Agostini exactly backwards. Entanglement doesn't subsume the other prongs, the other prongs (specifically effect) subsume entanglement. "Thus, it is simplest to recognize why entanglement is significant and treat it--as we did in Walz--as an aspect of the inquiry into a statute's effect." Why does entanglement fit into effect, and not the other way around? Because, as Justice O'Connor wrote, "Not all entanglements, of course, have the effect of advancing or inhibiting religion." (Agostini v. Felton, 521 U.S. 203, 233 (1997).) In other words, the Lemon test does not boil down to entanglement. The test skips right past it to effect. Again, I recommend reading Lemon and Agostini, and the Cobb County decision for an example of a relevant application.

That's not all you don't know, Colin. For example, I'm not a Creationist . . . but I believe I mentioned that already. However, you really are quite an insufferable, hair-splitting little pedant. And for that piece of information, you needn't thank me at all.

— Neurode
In my eyes, if you appeal to supernatural, divine causes and reject the scientific method, then you are a creationist. Calling it "intelligent design" and pretending that the designer is an anonymous or an alien doesn't change the nature of the beast. Whether you agree with or like my perspective is irrelevant; I'm not trying to persuade you to come around to my definition of creationism. As for pedantry, well, it's often said that the law makes pedants of us all. There's a reason for that, though. Law can be very complex and difficult, and you very often have to be precise. Empty rhetoric and frothing vitriol are fun, but they don't carry much weight when it comes to understanding and applying relevant precedent. You have the vitriol down; now perhaps you can work on the content.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

Mmm. Somehow, this all seems a bit...anticlimactic.

Please address points 1-12 if you want to argue this further (if you're as smart as you seem to think you are, you'll know better).

Henry J · 1 March 2005

Regard falsifying black holes, I'd think that if one detected a very massive but very small object that should by theory be a black hole but isn't (maybe it's just a really massive neutron star instead), that would be sufficient to disprove that theory.

Henry

Jonathan Abbey · 1 March 2005

Neurode actually has a rather more complicated model in mind when he uses the term "Intelligent Design", though he seems reluctant to share it here. If you read http://megafoundation.org/CTMU/CTMUnet/CTMU.html, by one of his favorite authors, I think you'll get some feel for where he's coming from.

Jonathan Abbey · 1 March 2005

And may I say that that paper actually has a lot of good stuff in it, though the use of 'Intelligent Design' in it has almost nothing in common with ID as it is otherwhere understood.

Henry J · 1 March 2005

Re "When Einstein constructed his General Theory of Relativity, which is a theory of gravity, it contained the Newton's gravitational law as a low energy approximation. All the available data were explained by both theories at that time."

Re "That's not true, else there would have been no reason for Einstein to propose GTR."

I would've thought the motive for proposing GTR was to reconcile Special Relativity with gravity (described up to then by Newton's laws).

Henry

Colin · 1 March 2005

In response to Neurode's 12 steps:


1. Regarding the issue of ID in the classroom, the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment of the U.S. Constitution is widely acknowledged to be the controlling clause; the Free Exercise Clause is not directly applicable.

There are solid arguments to be made in favor of the applicability of Free Exercise to religion in the classroom in general, but I agree that the EC is what the debate over ID-style creationism is really about.


2. The Establishment Clause prohibits a single kind of government action, the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion. As such, it is obviously a principle of Constitutional law.

This, also, is mostly correct. You should realize, however, that this is much more broad than simply prohibiting the government from establishing the "U.S. Dept. of Baptism." Many, many actions could implicate the EC by 'establishing' religion. The courts look to precedent to see how to interpret the clause and apply it to novel situations. The Lemon test is the most famous precedent, but it's been modified and is often questioned.


3. The entanglement criterion began as a "test" for violation of establishment. However, entanglement is not just a test; it prohibits more than the specific government action prohibited by the Establishment Clause, and is therefore a broadening of that Clause (based on a judicial interpretation of the Clause and its implied purpose). It may therefore be regarded as an extensional principle in its own right.

This is incorrect. Entanglement is probably no longer even a valid test for an EC violation; it's applicability, at least, is in doubt. I refer you once again to the case law. I wonder also if the incorporation discussion would be useful. If I remember correctly, it's appended to Mr. Sandefur's post about the Texas Tech law review article. In any event, entanglement is not and never was a principle on the same level as the Establishment Clause. It is not an "extensional principle." If you're looking for the principle that took the EC beyond the original textual meaning, then you're looking for incorporation.


4. The entanglement principle means "total mutual independence of government and religion", i.e., no breach of any kind in Jefferson's "wall of separation" between church and state. [As some have noted, this is a paradoxical requirement.]

Arguable, but irrelevant. As Justice O'Connor points out, some entanglements don't have the effect of advancing or inhibiting religion, and so would not be EC violations. Where does the quote come from?


5. Since the two other prongs of the test to which entanglement belongs (secular purpose and non-advancement) logically imply non-independence of church and state, they amount to mere tests of entanglement which lack its generality.

Incorrect. This is clearly against the controlling precedent.


6. It follows that establishment and entanglement, the latter a generalization of the former, are the two main principes of Constitutional law which control the issue of ID in the classroom. [QED]

Incorrect. Entanglement was never more than a test for the modern meaning of establishment, and at no point did entanglement encompass all of the meaning of establishment. Whether you are talking about Lemon pre- or post-Agostini, you are wrong. The 'main principle' controlling ID in the classroom is the Establishment Clause, which we test (as in Cobb County) through secular purpose and primary effect. Entanglement is at most a third prong, and possibly no more than an afterthought.


7. Colin argued with this, saying that Free Exercise is such a principle; therefore, Colin is wrong.

Did I? I don't recall ever saying that. I said both FE and EC have relevance to keeping religion out of the classroom, and that it was wrong to elevate entanglement to the level of a "Constitutional principle" like the EC. Perhaps you disagree with the application of FE; it's a different argument than we've been having, but I'll throw out a hypothetical. Mandating that teachers present Genesis in a science class would be both a FE and an EC violation. Would mandating ID be a FE violation? It's an interesting thought, but it's not what you originally said: "Establishment and Entanglement are the two Constitutional principles which militate against religion in the classroom." Free Exercise is relevant to keeping generic religion out of the classroom. ID may be a special case because of its 'stealth' approach to religious dogma. Again, a potentially interesting discussion.


8. Colin denies that entanglement is a principle in its own right, insisting that it is a mere "test"; therefore, Colin is doubly wrong. (The only way it could be a mere test for compliance with the Establishment Clause is if it were perfectly synonymous with "the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion"; but of course, it is not.)

Entanglement is part of the Lemon Test. It is a mere test. It is not a principle on the same level as the Establishment Clause - it is how we test for a violation of that clause. Once again, please read these cases. The points you are making are ridiculous. Lemon stands for the proposition that one way you test to see if Congress (or a body acting with legislative authority) has 'established' a religion is to see if the act in question entangled the state and the religion. Entanglement is a subset of the EC analysis, and no longer a very important one.


9. Colin pretends that he is not wrong; therefore, he is doubly wrong, squared: (2 x wrong)^2. Colin didn't see any of this coming; he just engaged in a frenzy of superficial reasoning as though he were looking for a gold star on his forehead to reward his very first day in a bottom-tier law school.

They don't give out gold stars in law school; the pejorative comment you're looking for is "gunner." Whether it's actually an insulting term depends on who you're talking to, I guess. Otherwise, this isn't much of a point.


10. GCT pretends that Colin is not wrong even after this has all been established; therefore, he is wrong, cubed.

Brilliant rhetoric.


11. GCT goes on to pull down his pants and wag his soundly-kicked booty in his opponents' faces.

Perhaps you're reading a different thread? In the one I've been reading, GCT took the time to present a variety of materials to prove his point.


12. This is typical of GCT's style of argumentation. Therefore, GCT is not a worthy debate opponent.

GCT pulled and cited a number of relevant passages from the Wedge document to support his position. He clearly stated his thesis - that ID is a religious doctrine. He argued it, and presented evidence to back up his argument. Your petulant whining is a poor rebuttal.


I think that should just about wrap it up.

Unfortunately I doubt it. Creationists are nothing if not tenacious, and for my part, I enjoy the warm glow I get from these discussions. It's something of a guilty pleasure. Perhaps we should take this to the Bathroom Wall, however? We've gotten pretty off-topic.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

ts,
Sorry, but this argument is not valid. The space aliens might be a consequence of a random event, or might have evolved, or might have come about through some mechanism totally unknown to us.

Not by the precepts of ID as I understand them. Consider Dembski's "No Free Lunch":

The upshot of these theorems is that evolutionary algorithms, far from being universal problem solvers, are in fact quite limited problem solvers that depend crucially on additional information not inherent in the algorithms before they are able to solve any interesting problems. This additional information needs to be carefully specified and fine-tuned, and such specification and fine-tuning is always thoroughly teleological. Consequently, evolutionary algorithms are incapable of providing a computational justification for the Darwinian mechanism of natural selection and random variation as the primary creative force in biology.[\i]

He dismisses evolution via natural selection as lacking the power to produce complexity PERIOD. Not just here and now. So, no aliens via evolution, according to him.
And since evolution is "a random event" (or, a series of them), that would also preclude random events. At least, I actually agree with Dembski and his ilk that the likelihood of some random assemblage of atoms suddenly combining into a whole macroscopic organism via a single random event is so unlikely as to be outside the bounds of contemplation. The only way I can see randomness producing aliens is via a selective process- if you see another way, please let us know.

As for "some mechanism unknown to us"- well, it's either the result of natural laws and events, or it isn't. If it is, them let's hear them- and, more specifically, let's hear why these same events could not have occurred on the earth. If it isn't, then my point is demonstrated.

Your position may differ from Dembski's. If that's the case, could you explain it a little more clearly? IDers tend to think that natural selection could not explain the diversity of life. This is a critical point for their position, because their general 'theory' cannot be falsified- ergo, the only hope they have is to have the 'last theory standing' by falsifying natural selection as the cause.
If you don't think that natural selection has been ruled out, and you merely want to point out that evolved aliens might have designed us, I would agree completely that that's a possibility. A possibility that violates Occam's Razor, but OR is not a natural law. A possibility which cannot be falsified. Ergo, a non-scientific possibility...

Again, if that's the case, I think it enters into an area where scientists rarely make the explicit statement: it is entirely possible that ID occurred in the diversification of life on Earth. It is entirely possible that the story of Genesis is literally correct. It's just unknown, and unknownable, and unnecessary as an adjunct to the investigation of the natural phenomena of the universe that is science. I don't intend to disrespect those sorts of articles of religious faith, but I don't intend to follow them either.

ts · 1 March 2005

At least, I actually agree with Dembski and his ilk that the likelihood of some random assemblage of atoms suddenly combining into a whole macroscopic organism via a single random event is so unlikely as to be outside the bounds of contemplation.

By describing it, you've contemplated it. By the alienthropic principle, this may be the one universe in which the space alien was randomly assembled.

As for "some mechanism unknown to us"- well, it's either the result of natural laws and events, or it isn't. If it is, them let's hear them- and, more specifically, let's hear why these same events could not have occurred on the earth. If it isn't, then my point is demonstrated.

Fallacy of argumentum ad ignorantiam. You offered a recursive "proof" that any ID theory must be supernatural. But the proof doesn't go through because it may be that life on earth was designed by an alien that arose through some unknown but natural process. There's nothing in that scneario that mandates that life on earth couldn't have arisen by that process, simply that it didn't.

Your position may differ from Dembski's.

Geez, I would say so, as a died-in-the-wool evolutionist. I don't have a position on ID other than that it's crap -- I'm merely presenting an argument that your "proof" isn't logically valid.

If that's the case, could you explain it a little more clearly?

I did that at length previously.

IDers tend to think that natural selection could not explain the diversity of life. This is a critical point for their position, because their general "theory" cannot be falsified- ergo, the only hope they have is to have the "last theory standing" by falsifying natural selection as the cause.

But IDists like Behe purport to do that via specific evidence of IC systems, not a general argument. Since there are no aliens to be seen, there's no such specific evidence against their evolution.

If you don't think that natural selection has been ruled out, and you merely want to point out that evolved aliens might have designed us, I would agree completely that that's a possibility. A possibility that violates Occam's Razor, but OR is not a natural law. A possibility which cannot be falsified. Ergo, a non-scientific possibility?

Agreed, certainly, but all I was addressing was your recursive "proof" that any ID theory must be supernatural. BTW, a form of OR has been proven as a theorem in information theory: "simpler theories are more likely to be correct". Of course, since this theorem is probabilistic, there's still no natural law that the theory in question is correct.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
Feel free to answer the questions above as well...

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

ts,
I haven't read the whole thread in detail, so I wasn't examing your position prior to this, or any, point.
But my criticism still holds, IMO- if natural processes (evolution or otherwise) can explain non-supernatural aliens, then such processes can also explain the evolution of homo sapiens, and the strong version of ID which claims that natural processes cannot produce "specificied information" therefore necessitates supernatural intervention.

Naturally, that doesn't apply to Behe's specific argument about certain biochemical traits eg the flagellum. It depends on what one means by ID.

By describing it, you've contemplated it. By the alienthropic principle, this may be the one universe in which the space alien was randomly assembled.
Of course, if we're walking down that road, we may as well use the principle to infer that life on earth was randomly assembled. The alien, again, violates OR. Which goes again to the core of my disagreement- anything that can be used to explain a non-supernatural designer can also be used to explain life on earth directly, without intervention. Ergo, either ID is incorrect in saying that life on earth must have been designed, or ID is based on a supernatural agent.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

ts,
I haven't read the whole thread in detail, so I wasn't examing your position prior to this.
But my criticism still holds, IMO- if natural processes (evolution or otherwise) can explain non-supernatural aliens, then such processes can also explain the evolution of homo sapiens, and the strong version of ID which claims that natural processes cannot produce "specificied information" therefore necessitates supernatural intervention.

Naturally, that doesn't apply to Behe's specific argument about certain biochemical traits eg the flagellum. It depends on what one means by ID.

There's nothing in that scneario that mandates that life on earth couldn't have arisen by that process, simply that it didn't.
That's what I meant when I discussed the different possible defintions of ID. If one merely holds that life might have been designed- there is no logical proof that this could not have occurred.
But if an ID proponent holds that life on earth cannot have been created in a natural process, then that bar against development via natural processes holds against any other conceivable non-supernatural entity. That's not ad ignorantiam, that's merely the principle that natural laws, by defintion, do not play favorites.

I think you're defending the first position, while I am saying that the second logically implies a supernatural entity at some point.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

A few remarks on Colin's response:

3. Entanglement is an extensional principle for the reasons given. If you doubt this, why not look up "extensional" and "principle" in a dictionary? (It doesn't have to be a legal dictionary; conventions of legal terminology are insubstantial and do not determine what qualifies as a "principle" and what does not.) Entanglement is certainly more general in proscriptive scope than the original Establishment Clause, and therefore concisely represents an extension of it.

4. The quote was unattributed, which means that the quotation marks were highlighting the enclosed phrase. Entanglement literally denotes the property of being involved in a network of relationships with another entity; this suffices to inform us of its general meaning (which may be sufficiently ambiguous to require refinement by the other two prongs).

5. Where the interpretation and application of case law must be logically established, the laws of logic are always in control. In this case, logic says that entanglement exceeds the other two prongs of the Lemon Test in generality. Therefore, it is the most general aspect of the Lemon Test. The other two prongs merely confirm and refine the nature of the entanglement.

6. Regardless of whether entanglement was an "afterthought", it exceeds the other two prongs in generality. Secular purpose and non-advancement do not imply non-entanglement (non-involvement in a network of relationships between government and religion); as you said yourself, some entanglements don't have the effect of advancing or inhibiting religion, and in fact, entanglement can exist without nonsecular purpose as well. But nonsecular purpose or advancement cannot exist without some level of entanglement, intentional or not. Therefore, entanglement is the most general aspect of the Lemon Test, characterizing its scope. The other two prongs merely refine the nature of the entanglement.

7. FE has relevance to "keeping religion out of the classroom" only with respect to inappropriate acts or expressions of worship in the classroom, e.g. prayer in the classroom. But that's not what we've been discussing here. FE is not directly irrelevant to educational policies, curricular programs or modifications, and these have been the focus of the discussion from the start.

8. You're simply incorrect. An act of government only has to fail one prong of the Lemon Test; entanglement is the most general prong. That is, to fail the Lemon Test is to exhibit some sort of entanglement on some level of relationship. Thus, entanglement captures the other two prongs in scope, and in that respect characterizes the entire test *as a principle of Constitutional law*. Because it is more general than "making laws ...", it is an extensional principle which effectively enlarges the proscriptive effects of the Establishment Clause.

9. The point is that you're flatly in error. There is no higher court to which you can appeal this. So I'd appreciate it if you'd give up the lawyerly obfuscation and admit it: you tried to pick what looked like low-hanging fruit, there were bees on it, and you got stung. You've been nailed. Give it up.

Colin wraps it up as follows: "...I enjoy the warm glow I get from these discussions. It's something of a guilty pleasure. Perhaps we should take this to the Bathroom Wall, however? We've gotten pretty off-topic."

I'm always pleased to meet a law aficionado who recognizes guilt when he feels it (that's more than most practicing lawyers can do). So if Colin wishes to drop this discussion and move on, I won't object.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

ts,
Although I suppose one could contemplate a new natural law that varied from place to place in the universe, such that evolution is impossible on earth, but is possible elsewhere in the universe. I've never heard anyone advocate such a law, but you'd have to add that to my proof as an assumption- that the natural laws which prevent life from being created naturally here on earth apply to the supposed location of the genesis of the non-supernatural aliens.
[If you've read Vinge's A Fire Upon The Deep, you know what sort of thing Im talking about].

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
You appear to be trying to deduce matters of law from first principles (eg your point #6). This does not work in practice; you need to read relevant case law to understand exactly how "entanglement" is being defined, not read a dictionary.
Anyone who claims that legal definitions are insubstantial ought not to try to discuss law; in my experience this inevtiably leads to serious misunderstandings of the legal principles involved.

If you disagree, try citing USSC decisions- they are the sole authority in matters such as these.

[Your position reminds me of the scientific illiterates who come on boards such as these trying to use the common definition of "significant" to understand scientific statements. Jargon matters.]

ts · 1 March 2005

Neurode's argument is ridiculous on its face. The Supreme Court does not create legal principles that go beyond the language of the Constitution -- that is, it does not admit to doing so. Any legal principles it develops are presented as a proper interpretation of the language of the Constitution. The Lemon Test was developed as a demarcation of the Establishment Clause. To the degree that entanglement went beyond the EC, it was improper -- and O'Connor noted that it did go beyond.

it is an extensional principle which effectively enlarges the proscriptive effects of the Establishment Clause.

Such a principle can only be arrived at through emendation of the Constitution -- e.g., the principle of incorporation.

The point is that you're flatly in error. There is no higher court to which you can appeal this. So I'd appreciate it if you?d give up the lawyerly obfuscation and admit it: you tried to pick what looked like low-hanging fruit, there were bees on it, and you got stung. You've been nailed. Give it up.

What a pompous arrogant git.

ts · 1 March 2005

You appear to be trying to deduce matters of law from first principles (eg your point #6). This does not work in practice; you need to read relevant case law to understand exactly how "entanglement" is being defined, not read a dictionary.

Actually, this is the wrong way about. Neurode is treating the Lemon Test as if it were law -- if that were so, then indeed entanglement, which is the broadest element of the test, would apply. But it's the Establishment Clause, not the Lemon Test, that governs -- that's a first principle. Rather than entanglement "extending" EC, EC restricts the application of entanglement.

Colin · 1 March 2005

Wu has put his finger on something that perhaps I should have pointed out earlier. You have a lot of fringe opinions and strange ideas about how the EC should be interpreted and applied. Great, good for you. Everyone should think and hold opinions on how the law should work. But people who spout off should also make the effort to learn about how the law does work. You appear to be illiterate when it comes to the law in the real world. All courts that I'm familiar with have taken a completely different approach from yours, largely because the issue depends on a large body of law of which you appear to be ignorant. See, i.e., incorporation of the establishment clause. (I was largely ignorant of just how complex that argument is until recently; I find the discussion fascinating. Perhaps you will too.)

You say, "The point is that you're flatly in error. There is no higher court to which you can appeal this." This is a bizarre comment, since the gist of my comment was to point out how your impression of the establishment clause flies in the face of the Supreme Court's jurisprudence. I don't need a 'higher court' to appeal to; the Supreme Court is the highest that there is on this issue, and your opinion on entanglement is one hundred and eighty degrees from its precedent. As Wu says, there is a point at which one has to actually read the cases and address the real world, instead of looking at a dictionary and saying, "Every court that has looked at this issue in living memory is wrong because I say so."

To put a finer point on it, are you saying that Justice O'Connor is wrong (I think she often is, but not in this instance), or that I misunderstand her majority opinion in Agostini?

Helpful hint - you can google Agostini to get the text of the opinion.

Maybe there are courts and cases out there that agree with you. If so, please find them and tell me about them, because I'd like to broaden my understanding of the issue.

Finally, even if one approaches the Lemon test from first principles (which is nonsensical, because the Test is a precedential matter), your argument is nothing more than a series of unconnected assertions. To whit:

An act of government only has to fail one prong of the Lemon Test; entanglement is the most general prong. That is, to fail the Lemon Test is to exhibit some sort of entanglement on some level of relationship.

This is wrong, and a mistake that you would have easily avoided had you read these cases. It's even more ridiculous since the courts are now moving towards folding entanglement into effect; the Supreme Court has explicitly said that you can have entanglement that doesn't implicate the Establishment Clause.

This is a relatively simple concept which, I think, you are unwilling, rather than unable, to grasp. 'Intelligent design' does terrible, terrible things to critical thinking skills.

GCT · 1 March 2005

All right Neurode, now you've got everyone on you about your interpretations of the First Amendment, and no one thinks you are right. Good job.

Back to the matter at hand though. I put forth an argument as to why ID is religious that will most assuredly be offered in court. Can you not answer it? I - and many others - have also asked numerous questions of you. Will you back ts's description of the aliens that could have evolved separately from us that act as the designer? Will you tell us anything about who/what the designer is? Will you give us anything substantive as to what ID is? My gut feeling is that you can't answer those questions, because your agenda is to remain as vague as possible. If you use big words and make official sounding arguments, you think you will cow others into believing that you are saying something intelligent and important, and they will just take it for granted that ID is science and superior to evolution. If that isn't the case, prove me wrong.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

Carlton - you have a minor point, although it's irrelevant in this case.

Lawyers live and die by logic and linguistic usage. When they run afoul of the rules of logic and linguistic usage, as they frequently do, they require correction. This cannot be achieved by reviewing all of their former errors and propagating them; the only way to reason in matters of deontology is "from first principles", that is, from the basic concepts around which the law is formulated rather than from the (largely erroneous) opinions of others regarding those concepts.

You're correct that in practice, this isn't how the law often works. As a society, we are being massively parasitized by a well-organized class of professional litigators. Some of our worst social and economic problems stem from the mistakes of lawyers, and in fact, from their socially insidious mindset. It has often been written that if society wished to cure its ills, it could do so by simply eliminating this class. There's something to be said against this notion, but there is much to be said on its behalf.

So the question is, even if we don't go to the extreme of eliminating this class, should we simply roll over for its organized parasitism and the enshrinement of its collective idiocy as "case law"? No. As a matter of civic responsibility, we owe it to society to review its logic and correct its mistakes, and this forces a reliance on what you call "first principles".

That being said, feel free to demonstrate that the legal meaning of "entanglement" deviates from "involvement in a network of relationships between government and religion." Use all the case law you like, but be sure that it's logically consistent. Otherwise, its applicability can't be coherently argued.

[Why don't you get rhetorical fluffball ts to help you? You could start by asking him how "the principle of incorporation", as opposed to (e.g.) entanglement/secular purpose/non-advancement, entitles any level of government to decide what constitutes science and what doesn't.]

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
First, you may very well disagree with the USSC's interpretation of the Constitution. I'm not particularly interested in debating it with you, because you are rude, ill-informed about law, and most importantly, you show absolutely no benefit from all of the tutoring you receive here.
The fact that you strain to show that "entanglement" meets your dictionary definition shows your profound ignorance of the matter. Since the word "entanglement" doesn't appear in the Constitution (as was already pointed out to you), you aren't operating from Constitutional first principles, you're bastardizing current legal theory by using its terminology without understanding it. That is, since the term "entanglement" comes from a USSC interpretation of the Constitution, it is moronic to remove it from that context and claim that a dictionary definition of it somehow leads from Consitutional first principles, while simultaneously claiming that the Court's interpretations are incorrect or unreliable.
If you knew more about the law, your critique might aquire some weight. There are certainly plenty of reasonable viewpoints about the EC. But, as with your critique of evolution, it fails primarily because you haven't bothered to become aquainted with the thing itself. You take a casual understanding and fortify it with polysyllabics, and expect others to be impressed.

As for your claim that ID is not religious
1)Courts do not require an explicit statement of religious purpose in order to infer a religious purpose. See. for example, Santa Fe Independent School District v Doe. So your repeated statement that ID explicitly disavows a religious connection maybe be true, but irrelevant.
2)If you claim that ID is a valid scientific theory, then please demonstrate some predictions, falsifying experiments, etc of the theory. You've spouted much obfuscating prose, but you've failed to address simple questions concerning these sorts of points.

On a side note, I've noticed that you feel that you're much smarter and have much better logical skills than the people who dominate the legal and scientific professions. Yet, no one appears to be swayed by your arguments... how curious! Perhaps you truly are a prodigy whose thinking goes far beyond ours. Or, pehaps, you're so in love with your own florid prose that you fail to understand when your position has been rebutted effectively. If it's the former, you ought to explain yourself more clearly- if the latter, I suspect that you're doomed to a life of raging, nonsensical manifestos with little or none of the intellectual growth that would accompany grasping and incorporating others' feedback into your arguments.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

btw, deontology doesn't seem to me to have a thing to do with the interpretation of the law. It's "ethical theory concerned with duties and rights". I agree that one can (or even must?) approach deontology via first principles, but unless you feel that the law or the Constitution itself is imbued with the moral force of those first principles, your reference doesn't make sense.

You use quite a few big words, but your grasp on their meaning appears tenuous, at best.

ts · 1 March 2005

Deontology refers to ethics based upon duty rather than consequences -- in this case, the duty to apply the law. However, the law is defined by the Constitution, not by "extensional principles" that go beyond the Constitution.

Koly · 1 March 2005

ts, you are right about the difference in the shift of the Mercury's perihelion, it was of course known long before GTR was formulated. However, I believe it was not regarded as a clear falsification of Newton's Law due to the smallness of the discrepancy. Only after GTR was introduced and it predicted such a correction it gained respect as an important test of both theories.

However, you are most certainly wrong about Einstein's motivation to postulate a competing theory of gravity. This was purely theoretical in origin - Newton's gravitational law was not a relativistic theory in the sense that it's not invariant under the Lorentz transformations (Special Theory of Relativity). This was in clear contradiction to electrodynamics and the newly reformulated relativistic mechanics.

BTW, I am quite surprised the term "perihelion" is prefered to "perihelium" in English (I am not a native English speaker), while it's the other way round in my language. I agree a combination of a greek root with a latin ending is a little strange, but as "helium" shows, it's not absurd at all.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

If that's the reason for the reference, it still isn't relevant. The issue at hand is what the correct interpretation of the law is, not whether or not there is a categorical imperative to obey it or apply it.

Koly · 1 March 2005

DaveScott, Neurode, would you mind reacting to my remarks? I think they are to the point as the question what is and what's not science is the root of the discussion about allowing ID to science classes.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
I went back to the Lemon case (just cos this debate sparked my interested), and you'll be excited to learn that the actual phrase used by the court isn't merely "entanglement". The test is "excessive entanglement".
Ergo, your argument that any involvement inevtiably violates the test is incorrect, even if you choose to ignore any additional cases and use only the dictionary definitions of the words involved.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

Colin, banging the same old tired drum: "But people who spout off should also make the effort to learn about how the law does work. You appear to be illiterate when it comes to the law in the real world."

Avast there, Spouty. You need to take a step back and deflate. Having your little friends, none of whom appears to know anything much about much of anything, raise their squeaky voices in your defense doesn't make you any more correct than you were before. You were the one who shot off your mouth about how the FE is one of the two decisive Constitutional principles applying to ID in the classroom; that pronouncement sucked wind like an F-5 tornado, and it still does. You were the one who carried on and on to the effect that entanglement is a "test" but cannot be referred to as a "principle" despite the mutual non-exclusivity of these labels; you sucked wind on that one too. And in consequence of these glaring, unredressed mistakes, you're the one who's still sulking in the corner with the dunce cap on your head. Try to remember that before lapsing again into joyful song.

You allege that the courts are on the way to folding entanglement into effect. That's very nice, but until they do, you have no business pretending to know how it will go, or claiming a monopoly on proper usage. Would you like to know something else? It makes no difference anyway, because we're not in a courtroom and are not obliged to speak flawless legalese. One thing is certain enough: it cannot be coherently argued that the EC itself does anything but prohibit the making of laws respecting an establishment of religion in order to prevent the official adoption of a state religion (as was common in Europe when the Constitution was drafted); any other mandate has arisen after the fact. Thus, I was perfectly entitled to make a distinction between the Clause per se and its subsequent mandates, and to use the term "entanglement" to refer to currently prohibited relationships between church and state. After all, that's what it means...literally.

Having been the first to raise your voice in shrill accusations of error, you now need to run away to wherever it is that you stash your case law files, or google around on the Internet, or do whatever it is that you do, and locate and cite the precedents which prove that entanglement refers to anything BUT a prohibition against the mutual involvement of government and religion intended to ensure mutual independence of church and state (which, of course, is a more general mandate than the original EC mandate against the establishment of a state religion). I don't think you can do that. You may be able to show that legal precedents restrict entanglement to a particular kind of mutual relationship, but I seriously doubt that its generality has been compromised to the extent that you claim. And until you and/or your little friends surprise everybody and make good on your claims, I see nothing that would inspire confidence in your opinions regarding matters legal or scientific.

Carlton Wu: "You are rude, ill-informed about law, and most importantly, you show absolutely no benefit from all of the tutoring you receive here."

I'll tell you what, Carlton. If you think you're qualified as a legal tutor, go down to your neighborhood law school and put a note on the bulletin board. Personally, I see no indication that you're capable of tutoring anybody old enough to be out of grade school on any subject more advanced than "fun with computers". But you do seem to believe in yourself, and it would be a shame to pop your moist, glistening bubble of self-approval.

I could go on, but I think that's about all your contributions merit. In fact, having looked them over, I'm quite sure of it.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Neurode,
It makes no difference anyway, because we're not in a courtroom and are not obliged to speak flawless legalese.
Or understand it. Or the principles behind it. Apparently. You want to talk about the law, but not in legal terms, and not using legal concepts. You alternate between claiming infallibility and crying foul when legal concepts are explained to you- it just isn't fair for us other folks to know how the law works!

it would be a shame to pop your moist, glistening bubble of self-approval- yeah, I bet you tell yourself "Id rather not" about all kinds of things that you're incapable of.

You, sir, are a coward. Lacking the mental capacity or knowledge to defend your positions, you (like DaveScot before you) scamper from the field while claiming victory. Apparently this is the result of puncturing your blathering prose and pointing out your simple mistakes (eg deontology is a big word, but it had nothing to do with the discussion). Rather than even attempting a defense of your pathetic blunder, you just put your tail between your legs and run away.
Adios, coward. Or perhaps you'd like to defend your deontology statement?

One other question- were you homeschooled? Just curious.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

You aren't "other folks", Carlton. You're just an insolent little bag of gas who popped into this discussion a long, long time after it began. The you worked your mouth like an alligator, it ran away with your canary bottom, and you lost whatever small attraction you might have had as a debate opponent.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

That's pretty brave talk from someone who can't defend his own aparently boneheaded statements. Or, as you would prefer we think- you can defend your apparently boneheaded statements, but would prefer not to, for reasons you'd like to leave unsaid.

Surely you can't even fool yourself into thinking that anyone is buying this. You used a four-dollar word without having any idea what it meant, and can't back down because of the harm it would do your fragile ego. So you put up this big show of not wanting to lower yourself to the point where you'd actually have to explain how deontology has anything to do with extracting meaning from the Constitution. You can't. We know it. You know it.

Your best bet would've been to stop posting once your bluff was called. Pretend that you had better things to do, disappear, and let it all blow over. By sticking around you've made it obvious that you're a simpleton, and weak enough not to be able to admit a simple mistake.

Henry J · 1 March 2005

A couple of random thoughts:

Would evidence that I.D. occurred serve also be evidence that natural evolution couldn't happen?
I don't think so.

Would proof that natural evolution could occur also prove that I.D. didn't happen?
Here too, I don't think so.

---------

Carleton Wu,

Re "anything that can be used to explain a non-supernatural designer can also be used to explain life on earth directly, without intervention."

What if somebody showed that some other place had chemistry that was more conducive to abiogenesis than was the chemistry of early Earth? ;)

Henry

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Henry,
I agree- see my post 18703. OTOH, I've never heard an ID proponent make that argument. Probably because it would, as you point out, involve demonstrating how natural laws vary from place to place... but I admit, its a hole.

But it isn't big enough to admit Dembski's position that certain types of design imply intelligence. That brand of ID still implies a supernatural entity.

Neurode · 1 March 2005

Oh, what the hey. Even a biting dog occasionally needs to be thrown a bone.

Deontology is generically defined as the theory (study, logic) of moral obligation; the study of what is obligatory, permissible, right or wrong; ethical theory concerned with duties and rights, etc.

http://www.onelook.com/?w=deontology&ls=a

The law is founded on ethics, specifically as it pertains to duties, rights and obligations. The term is thus a passable one-word description of the moral foundations of law. (In case you don't recall, that's what I was talking about when I used it.)

Many people first encounter this term while studying Kantian philosophy. But a glance at its derivation suffices to justify its modern usage.

Carleton Wu · 1 March 2005

Yeah, I studied Kant. I even provided you with a definition earlier, so quoting one back at me isn't exactly enlightening. Particularly when the question was
"why did you use that word in that apparently mistaken way" and not
"what does that word mean"- a question which had already been answered. By several people, I believe.

Now try explaining Lawyers live and die by logic and linguistic usage. When they run afoul of the rules of logic and linguistic usage, as they frequently do, they require correction. This cannot be achieved by reviewing all of their former errors and propagating them; the only way to reason in matters of deontology is "from first principles", that is, from the basic concepts around which the law is formulated rather than from the (largely erroneous) opinions of others regarding those concepts.

We were supposed to be talking about what the Constitutional language means, not about whether or not there's an imperative to obey it or to enforce it on others. You were apparently trying to say that we have to go back to the original language in order to arrive at the correct interpretation. But deontology has nothing to do with that.

That is, it is not a "matter of deontology" at all. No one here had raised any ideas of moral duty. Neither had you, really, you'd merely misused a word. And sadly, are unable to admit it.

But by all means, give it another go. Since you know what the word means now, explain how moral imperatives influence the one's reading of the text of the Constitution and one's consequent interpretation of that text.

GCT · 2 March 2005

The ID hypothesis merely refers to "intelligence" and "design". Intelligence is a fully scientific concept; it exists in nature, it is routinely measured, engineers attempt to construct physical machinery which possesses it, and as I've already pointed out, it can be generically equated to recognition and adaptation. Similarly, "design" is implicit in the definitions of certain fundamental, scientifically necessary physical constructs. For example, consider a "potential" (associated with a field of force). In a potential, physical possibilities are defined prior to realization, i.e. in a "pre-real" way; thus, pre-reality is a perfectly scientific concept. In short, "design" is defined on two scientific and therefore naturalistic attributes, intelligence and pre-reality.

— Neurode
More thoughts. If intelligence is routinely measured, what is the amount of intelligence needed to design something? I mean, are animals capable of design? When a monkey fashions a stick to use as a tool in order to pull insects from the ground for food, did the monkey design the tool? Do beavers design dams? How much intelligence is needed to design biological systems? Am I even using "design" correctly? Design in this case seems to have different potential meanings. If the "designer" causes mutations to arrive at a specific end point, is that really design if there is no pre-arrived notion as to how it will turn out? In other words, in order for it to be intelligent design, must the designer already know what the outcome will be before causing the mutation? And, if that is the case, why are there any harmful mutations? Who designs "potentials" that are associated with fields of force? Actually, that one is sort-of a joke. But the potentials and pre-reality concept raises some questions of it's own. The definition given seems to define pre-reality as a probability distribution. Is "design" simply an intelligence applying a probability distribution to an object? Is it really correct to call it "pre-reality?" Giving all the possible outcomes before they happen does not tell us what the final outcome will be. Of course, if pre-reality simply means before the real outcome, then that definition is fully consonant with how it was put forth, but I don't think that was the intent. Please correct me on that if I am wrong.

DaveScot · 2 March 2005

GCT

One unmistakable hallmark of intelligent design is anticipating a future for which there is no past precedent.

Beavers building a dam is anticipating future needs but there is past precedent for that need so it could be, and is as far as I know, instinctual behavior which can be accounted for by heredity and natural selection. In regard to the monkey and the stick, I'm unsure if this is instinctual or not, but if not instinctual then it appears to meet the criteria for intelligent design.

I offered the following as one possible unambiguous sign of intelligent design:

The organism amoeba dubia has a genome (670 gigabases) that is 200 times the size of the human genome. Amoeba dubia has no multicellular organisms in its line of descent. If it were found to contain any gene that codes for a functional protein that is only expressed in multi-cellular organisms (say a neuro-transmitter) this would clearly be anticipation of a future which has no precedent in the past.

Whether looking for design or not, the c-value paradox is worth exploring and amoeba dubia is the reigning champ in paradoxically large genome for an organism with so little expressed complexity. The Easter Lily is another good candidate. It has a genome that is 190 gigabases, about 63 times the size of a human genome. What the bleeding heck are these seemingly simple organisms doing with such large genomes?

The size of a genome in excess of what's actually expressed is thought to be mostly repeats of various flavors - tandem, approximate, far, etc. Alleles are a form of repeat and as we know the more alleles at a given locus the greater the diversity possible for whatever thing happens to be coded for there. Therefore it's not unreasonable to posit that c-values might correlate with diversification potential. Given that dubia has a c-value hundreds of times larger than any mammal could it be that dubia has the potential within it to diversify into a very wide range of organisms in response to internal or external triggers? I think that's a possibility worth investigating.

DaveScot · 2 March 2005

Koly

If black holes were an unscientific claim why did scientists search so hard for evidence of them?

Black holes nonetheless were discussed far and wide in science classes everywhere! So by your logic an unfalsifiable, unscientific claim may still be a) discussed in science classes and b) be a valid area of scientific research.

By the way, I don't agree design is not falsifiable. Just verify mutation/selection and design is thus falsified. The problem, of course, is that mutation/selection isn't verifiable. It's an educated guess based upon extrapolation of actual observations and will never be more than that!

Thanks for playing.

Next!

DaveScot · 2 March 2005

Falsfication Questions:

The leading hypothesis for the emergence of the first eukaryote is a symbiotic relationship between prokaryotes.

How may this hypothesis be falsified?

If it can't be falsified should it be dubbed non-science and scrubbed from all "legitimate" science classes and texts?

Thanks in advance for all who care to continue playing the falsification red-herring game with me!

Carleton Wu · 2 March 2005

DaveScot,
By the way, I don't agree design is not falsifiable. Just verify mutation/selection and design is thus falsified. The problem, of course, is that mutation/selection isn't verifiable.

So, you're actually saying it isn't falsifiable. Own goal. And bad logic to boot, since that assumes that there are no other possible explinations (eg morphogenic fields).

It's an educated guess based upon extrapolation of actual observations and will never be more than that!

So is Relativity. So is any other scientific theory. That ID fails to fit that description is part of why it doesn't belong in a science class.

The leading hypothesis for the emergence of the first eukaryote is a symbiotic relationship between prokaryotes.
How may this hypothesis be falsified?

If organelle DNA were fundamentally dissimilar from bacterial DNA (in structure or in encoding methodology), or it's ribosomes were very different, that would have been a strong case- but they are very similar.
If organelle cell membranes were completely unlike prokaryote cell membranes & more like other eukaryote cell membranes, it wouldn't have been deinifitive, but it would suggest that the theory was incorrect. Of course, that is not the case either.
If analysis of the genome of organelles suggested that they were not part of the known prokaryotic tree, that would also would have been very suggestive. Again, not true after investigation.
If the internal mechanisms of these organelles were very different from those of bacteria (eg thylakoids), that would be very suggestive. But not the case.
If these organelles had developed in a single line of eukoryotes, that would not be strong evidence against endosymbiosis, but it would make the possibility of the organelles developing internally more likely. Not the case again- they appear in very different groups.

If any of the above tentative conclusions (eg that organelle DNA structures and ribosomes are very similar to a known group of prokaryotes) were found after further investigation to be incorrect, then that would be evidence against the theory.
Or, if we found primitive eukaryotes that were in some intermediate stage between genetically distinct organelles and prokaryotes, that would make a strong case as well.

Thanks in advance for all who care to continue playing the falsification red-herring game with me!

I knew you were a troll! No one could be as stupid as you pretend to be while retaining the ability to form coherent sentences.

Jim Harrison · 2 March 2005

Another line of evidence that strengthens the symbiosis theory of the acquisition of mitochondria and chlorplasts are the many intermediate cases in which bacteria are more or less integrated into eukaryotic cells---we can observe organisms that are in the process of acquiring what amounts to new organelles.

Koly · 2 March 2005

DaveScot,

no sane scientist would claim "There ARE black holes" until they were actually observed. It's an equivalent claim to "There are pink unicorns somewhere".

I'll repeat it to you: GTR predicted that black holes would form IF the required conditions were satisfied. That means that they MIGHT exist, but not necessary. People were searching for them because their existence would falsify Newton's law and confirm GTR (and of course because it's very exciting by itself that such exotic objects might actually exist).

Regarding eukaryots, all I have heard about this is that organelles like mitochondria and chloroplasts could be prokaryot in origin. Again, a scientific theory is e.g. that chloroplasts are descendant from cyanobacteria (I'm not sure that they really are, but take it as an example). Such a claim is falsifiable without the slightest problem, e.g. by showing that the preserved genetic material or structures are more related to something else. Or, at least in principle, finding fossils that would show primitive chloroplasts to be completely unrelated to cyanobacteria would be sufficient too.

As you can see, it's all about proper usage of the language. In science you can either use falsifiable assertions (theories), speculative ones (hypotheses) or verified ones (facts). It's necessary to learn how things can or cannot be said to avoid unfalsifiable claims, especially if someone wants to be a scientist. It's true that both media and teachers often bastardize science by not using appropriate formulations, but that's the problem of popularization and not science itself.

Carleton Wu · 2 March 2005

Furthermore, ideas can move from one state to another over time. For example, at one time in ancient history, the idea that the earth was a sphere or that the earth revolved around the sun was a theory. Today, those are observations or facts.
That doesn't mean that the original theories were not, in fact, theories. They were potentially falsifiable at the time they were conejctured- the fact that they were not falsified does not change that.

DaveScot · 3 March 2005

Koly

"Such a claim is falsifiable without the slightest problem, e.g. by showing that the preserved genetic material or structures are more related to something else."

You're using a double standard now. I can easily use your logic and say ID can be falsified by showing that the preserved genetic material are naturalist in origin.

I guess I assumed you knew more about endosymbiosis than you do. I was being kind calling it a hypothesis. It's usually referred to as a theory, and we all know that scientific theories aren't just guesses - they're hypothesies that have stood the test of time, like the theory of evolution, and have been promoted from educated guess to widely accepted, well verfiied explanations.

So tell me again, and this time don't be so vague that I can use the same logic to show that ID is falsifiable, how may the endosymbiosis theory be falsified?

DaveScot · 3 March 2005

no sane scientist would claim "There ARE black holes" until they were actually observed. It's an equivalent claim to "There are pink unicorns somewhere".

— Koly
Well, no it's not the same. No widely accepted theory predicts pink unicorns, nobody spent a lot of time and energy looking for pink unicorns, and pink unicorns were never subsequently observed. Try to be a little more careful in choosing your analogies. But you're right and wrong about what sane scientists would claim. It appears sane scientists are claiming that mutation/selection produced all diversity in life and it's never been observed to do anything even close to tranforming a Paramecium into a Pomeranian. What's up with that? No sane scientist should claim that mutation/selection accounts for all observed diversity until it's been observed making the larger scale changes. So far, and I've pointed this out over and over again, no one has observed mutation/selection doing anything beyond changing extant organisms into slightly different forms of the same category of organism. Big dogs and little dogs are still dogs. Drosophila mutants are still flies. Antibiotic resistant bacteria are still bacteria. I can't wait to hear you explain your way out of this one. If you're sane, you won't try. ;-)

DaveScot · 3 March 2005

Hey Wu,

By your own admission I'm an idiot.

Can't you find someone smarter than me to impress with your genius?

ROFLMAO

PLOINK!

Stuart Weinstein · 3 March 2005

Dave Scott regales us with:

"Well, no it's not the same. No widely accepted theory predicts pink unicorns, nobody spent a lot of time and energy looking for pink unicorns, and pink unicorns were never subsequently observed. Try to be a little more careful in choosing your analogies."

I dunno, but I thought that was the analogy being made. There is a theory for black holes. When there is a theory about, scientists seek as many ways to test that theory as possible. THe tehory may either be falsified or borne out. There may indeed be Unicorns. But you're right without a theory for them nobody goes out of their way to look for them except perhaps a few so called crypto-zoologists.

But we can use a live example. THe Okapi was originally known to western science through fossils. Fossils that were found in relatively recent sediments. Now, I don't know if anybody mounted an expedition to look for the Okapi. But eventually westerners did stumble across them.

"But you're right and wrong about what sane scientists would claim. It appears sane scientists are claiming that mutation/selection produced all diversity in life and it's never been observed to do anything even close to tranforming a Paramecium into a Pomeranian.

What's up with that? No sane scientist should claim that mutation/selection accounts for all observed diversity until it's been observed making the larger scale changes."

Have you ever seen an electron? I trust therefore you are not sold on the idea that lightning bolts involve a boatload of electrons.

"
So far, and I've pointed this out over and over again, no one has observed mutation/selection doing anything beyond changing extant organisms into slightly different forms of the same category of organism. Big dogs and little dogs are still dogs. Drosophila mutants are still flies. Antibiotic resistant bacteria are still bacteria."

Fortunately, seeing is not the sin qua non aspect of science creationists wish it to be. If scientists were limited to using our senses and working only within our puny lifespans, we would not have made the progress we have.

"I can't wait to hear you explain your way out of this one. If you're sane, you won't try. ;-)"

Hmmm. THink I just did. However, that doesn't prove I'm insanse.

Carleton Wu · 3 March 2005

DaveScot,
I get bored easily, and don't suffer fools gladly. That combination has me occasionally surfing for idiots.
And yes, finding someone smarter than you would be a relatively trivial exercise, even for a dull-witted person such as yourself.

Does that make you feel better about constantly losing arguments? That you can point out that the person who out-thinks you just wasted their time outthinking a moron? I suppose a person with your lack of mental tools has to derive their pleasures somehow, more power to you. Way to make lemonade when life hands you lemons.

Way to not answer the question, too, btw, wtf, zap. You keep asking how emdosymbiosis could be falsified, but that was answered some time ago...

I can easily use your logic and say ID can be falsified by showing that the preserved genetic material are naturalist in origin.
Wrong. Koly's example would be falsified by genetic matieral that didn't match up with the prokaryotes in question. That's a relatively simple thing to investigate. That is, the test is possible. Whereas you've failed to provide us with a definition or test of genetic material that determines whether it is "naturalist in origin" (as opposed to ID-ist?). You've fallen back to your mistake of asserting that ID is falsifiable if evolution can be proven to be true- but since scientific theories cannot be proven in that manner, your test does not actually exist.

Nor does it address Koly's point directly (a point I also made)- that falsification of endosymbiosis would be a relatively straightforward thing to do.

GCT · 3 March 2005

One unmistakable hallmark of intelligent design is anticipating a future for which there is no past precedent.

— DaveScot
Hmmm, I'm not sure I get what you are trying to say here. The monkey, I'm sure, has used this same tool many times before, probably because it saw its family doing the same thing. Does it still rise to the level of intelligent design? There is past precedent in that case. What about an intelligent designer that created another world before us and observed the outcome, thereby knowing how things would happen here. Does that negate us as intelligently designed? I'm just trying to understand your terms.

The organism amoeba dubia has a genome (670 gigabases) that is 200 times the size of the human genome. Amoeba dubia has no multicellular organisms in its line of descent. If it were found to contain any gene that codes for a functional protein that is only expressed in multi-cellular organisms (say a neuro-transmitter) this would clearly be anticipation of a future which has no precedent in the past.

Hmmm, that would pose a problem for evolution if dubia had the gene coding for blood clotting or something like that. Are IDists studying this and looking for stuff like that? Of course, other plants and animals also have inordinately large genomes as well, don't they? Anyway, it's still a rather strong statement that finding a neuro-transmitter in dubia's genome would "clearly be anticipation of a future." What do you mean by that? Does that mean that dubia will become something more complex in the future featuring those parts of the genome?

Wayne Francis · 3 March 2005

DaveScot is one of the biggest troll idiots I've seen. Just ask him about his 153 IQ.

He says that evolution can't occur. That no one will ever see a one celled organism evolve into something like an elephant, something 99.999% of us would agree with. He basically claims a species can't break its own species barrier, even in the face of evidence showing him that speciation does occur. He then dribbles on how Amoeba dubia is posed and ready to evolve into every multicellular life form on the earth when a big asteroid hits us.

I'm really surprised that an individual with such a high IQ can't see that in one breath he says that organisms can't break the species barrier then say Amoeba dubia can turn into almost all forms of life if its triggered to.

John A. Davison · 3 March 2005

I don't recall DaveScot claiming that Amoeba is ready to evolve. Correct me if I am wrong. My own personal and completely arebitrary opinion about all that DNA in Amoeba is that Amoeba is a big cell and big cells have and maybe need more DNA to manage tnemselves.

On the other hand it might be a good idea to raise some bathtub sized batches of Amoeba and actually look and see what kinds of hox genes and other ancient gene families it might have tucked away in its genome. I don't expect any Darwimps to try that as they are in mortal fear of what they might discover. Hell, they quit testing their own silly hypothesis years ago. Why take any chances now?

We do know that the more we probe into the origins of presumably strictly vertebrate gene families, the older their origins are revealed. I refer you to my "A Prescribed Evolutionary Hypothesis" for references to exactly that reality. If you clowns would spend half as much time reading as you do repeating your mindless drivel you might come to the realization, as some of us have, that Darwinism is the biggest pile of intellectual garbage ever amassed and consolidated in the human experience.

I am still, waiting for Wayne Francis, or some other Darwimpian mystic, to provide evidence that evolution beyond the subspecies or the variety is in progress.

John A. Davison

Koly · 3 March 2005

DaveScot, I'll try one last time and I'll stay as simple as I can. I'll maybe repeat some of the things others already said, but I hope it's worth a last try.

Incorrectly formulated unsientific claim:

"There ARE black holes"

This is unfalsifiable and unless verified, it's unscientific. No theory predicts such a claim. If verified, it becomes a FACT. Scientists don't use such claims because they can easily be wrong and it might never be shown. Correctly formulated hypothesis:

"There MIGHT be black holes"

This is a speculative assertion, predicted by GTR. Worth detailed research because of that. Correctly formulated theories:

"Cygnus X-1 contains a black hole"
"The center of our Galaxy contains a black hole"
"70% of galaxy centers contain a black hole" (any statistically relevant sample)
"1% of stars end as a black hole"

All these claims are falsifiable and thus solid theories.

Regarding your "ID can be falsified by showing that the preserved genetic material are naturalist in origin", how do you show that anything is naturalistic in origin? This is exactly the reason why supernatural is excluded from science. OTOH, whether chloroplast have anything to do with cyanobacteria can be investigated similarly to whether you are my brother or not. It's more complicated but in principle it's the same question and can be similarly falsified.

Wayne Francis · 3 March 2005

in Comment # 18883

I don't recall DaveScot claiming that Amoeba is ready to evolve. Correct me if I am wrong.

— John A. Davison
Ok once agian I show you to be wrong. in Comment # 14221

For instance, if a big enough asteroid hits the earth and makes a new asteroid belt one of the few things that might survive is spores from an amoeba and if those spores contain all the information needed to make everything from trees to the dogs that piss on them well than that makes good sense.

— DaveScot
in Comment # 18883

I am still, waiting for Wayne Francis, or some other Darwimpian mystic, to provide evidence that evolution beyond the subspecies or the variety is in progress.

— John A. Davison
And here we have JAD asking science to condense millions of years worth of mutations into a few decades of work. Where this has been done, in the form of bacteria, he'll claim they are still bacteria. But bacteria are a kingdom not just a species. Where we show speciation he complains the it is just a "subspecies or variety" but what is a subspecies

taxonomic subdivision of a species; a population of a particular region genetically distinguishable from other such populations and capable of interbreeding with them

But the examples provided to him have shown speciation in that the 2 populations are NOT capable of interbreeding thus actually a new species and not a "subspecies" or "variety". When shown how a frame shift that has caused new functionality to occur that was not previously realised creationists come up with all sorts of explanations that don't fit the data. JAD, with his paranoid schizophrenia, thinks that 99% of the scientific community is in a grand conspiracy to not listen to him when in reality the relatively few scientists that have heard of him most likely just laugh him off because his conclusions are not born out sufficiently by the truth. JAD in his own admission will say he does not do any experiments to try to prove his hypothesis and tries to claim works in genetics proves it but suffice to say the works in genetics prove "the most failed hypothesis in the history of science" more and more every day. JAD will boost about his published papers, most of which are not to do with his controversial hypothesis, less then 10 papers in per reviewed journals in 3 or 4 decades of his career. This would be like me trying to be proud that I've developed 2 systems in the last 15 years and pronounce myself a great system designer because of it. JAD have you put the FBI onto me yet? Have you started to pull strings to get me fired?

Henry J · 3 March 2005

Re "[his] mistake of asserting that ID is falsifiable if evolution can be proven to be true-"

Which presupposes that the two are mutually exclusive. But proving that natural evolution could (or did) happen wouldn't disprove ID. Nor would proving that ID happened sometimes disprove the possibility of natural evolution happening at other times. (And for that matter, disproving one of them wouldn't prove the other, either.)

Henry

Henry J · 3 March 2005

Re "[his] mistake of asserting that ID is falsifiable if evolution can be proven to be true-"

Which presupposes that the two are mutually exclusive. But proving that natural evolution could (or did) happen wouldn't disprove ID. Nor would proving that ID happened sometimes disprove the possibility of natural evolution happening at other times. (And for that matter, disproving one of them wouldn't prove the other, either.)

Henry

Wayne Francis · 3 March 2005

in Comment # 18883

My own personal and completely arebitrary opinion about all that DNA in Amoeba is that Amoeba is a big cell and big cells have and maybe need more DNA to manage tnemselves.

— John A. Davison
Well there is a theory. Lets see how that pans out. Genome Size Cell Size Amoeba dubia 670pg 68 micrometers earthworm 1.2pg 57 micrometers Human Egg 3.4pg 100 micrometers Human blood cell 3.4pg 4 micrometers Epulopiscium fishelsoni ? 60 micrometers With the Epulopiscium fishelsoni being the largest bacteria it will be interesting to see its genome size. But does larger cell size mean that a larger genome is needed? Or do larger genomes in larger cell size have to do with capacity? Or both? By JAD belief the Epulopiscium fishelsoni should need a huge genome to manage themselves. Just like From Organisms to Cells: Size Relations (Generating and Testing Hypotheses) JAD's hypothesis may not pan out when we look at that data. So far from my casual observation I've found plenty of organisms with cells of similar size with wide variations in genome size. Looking at bacteria is a good start. They are all single celled. SO you could, if you want Professor Davison, go and chart the cell size of the bacteria and chart the genome size of the bacteria and see if there is a correlation. With 556 bacteria currently in the Genome Project and roughly 35% of them sequenced you would have a good set of data to go on. What do you say? Up to proving one of your hypothesis true or false instead of just proclaiming that other scientists work proves your hypothesis right while 99% of them would probably disagree with your interpretation of their findings?

Henry J · 3 March 2005

Is there an echo in here? Rats.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Thanks Wayne Francis!

So much for any correlation between cell size & genome size. To be fair, I've read there's a correlation between nucleus size & genome size but that's not a mystery - you can't put 10 pounds of stuff in a 5 pound sack.

By the way, where'd you look up the cell size data? Online for laymen like me to get at it perchance?

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Koly

There MIGHT be intelligent design.

I've never said differently. It's a matter of probalities.

Are we in agreement that far or is mutation/selection changing prokaryotes into pro-ball players something you believe is a proven fact?

If you don't claim mutation/selection in that case is a fact then our argument is reduced to where we place the probability boundaries.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Henry

If you demonstrated that mutation/selection is capable of changing diatoms into dinosaurs it would be sufficient falsification TO ME.

Maybe not to everyone but everyone isn't an objective guy like me.

P.S. It seems to ME that the Cambrian explosion and irreducible complexity is some serious falsification for mutation/selection. Even Darwin said those things would spell big trouble for his theory and HE Lamarckian beliefs like heritable acquired characters which are FAR FAR FASTER acting at producing change than random mutation/selection.

I got a real tickle out of reading Karl Popper's rant against Marxian theory talking about how it started out as scientific but instead of being abandoned when its predictions didn't pan out it was modified with ad hoc changes as necessary. That's exactly what happened to Darwinian theory. No heritable acquired traits? No problem - mutation/selection becomes the primary mover. New forms exploding onto the scene in an eyeblink? No problem - punctuated equilibrium.

Forgive my laughter when falsifiability is brought up against ID. Darwinian evolution's history as a theory is exactly what prompted Popper to rant about falsifiability!

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Wanyne Francis

I said that amoebe might have all the information required to diversify given the proper internal/external triggers.

More specifically I compared the process of phylogenesis to ontogenesis. As you are well aware there are many complex internal/external conditions that must be met for a developing organism to progress to the next step in the process. In fact the trigger events are so complex we don't really know what they are. Welcome to stem cell research. The triggers that would prompt an amoeba to diversify into another form are probably just as complex. Or maybe the triggers are no longer possible just like we think stem cells only specialize and once specialized they don't go in reverse back into stem cells again.

I don't know. What I do know is I've posed pertinent questions worth finding answers to. Me being just an old tired electronics engineer I'm not in a position to find those answers so I'm appealing to you and others in a better position to think about it. If you dare.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Wayne Francis spout more lies:

"DaveScot is one of the biggest troll idiots I've seen. Just ask him about his 153 IQ. He says that evolution can't occur."

I said mutation/selection is a fairy tale. I said evolution happened. The evidence that parameciums evoloved into pomeranians is compelling. It's the mechanism by which it happened that I take issue with.

Write that down.

And stop putting words in my mouth I never said ya lyin' sack a crap. If you can't take the heat get out of the kitchen.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

"The monkey, I'm sure, has used this same tool many times before, probably because it saw its family doing the same thing."

Then it's mimicry, not intelligent design.

Let's move along to a more concrete example. A genetic engineer with a gene splicing machine. There's intelligent design. He's doing something with no precedent. Building gene sequencing machines isn't mimicry of unknown origin nor is a structure that's built by instinct like a beaver dam.

Citing the most ambiguous cases you can come up with is specious. Stop.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Wu

There sure are a lot of people here like you that want to argue with idiots like me.

Since most of the others are 1) far smarter than you and 2) they're all devoid of that juvenile potty mouth of yours I shall 3) leave you in the kill file where you belong.

PLOINK!

HAHAHAAHAHAHAAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Stuart

"Have you ever seen an electron?"

No, but I felt the little bastids coursing through my flesh more times than I care to remember. That's why I switched from radio electronics to digital electronics decades ago. Shocks from 5 volts don't hurt none.

Now how can I either somehow see or feel, in real time, real bacteria changing into real brontosaurs like I can feel the effects of a real electron?

Next!

Great White Wonder · 5 March 2005

Wow. Some sad fucking shit here. Where's Ed Brayton with the nuclear option when you need him?

Great White Wonder · 5 March 2005

My apologies for the PG rated post. I didn't realize the mic was on ...

"Have you ever seen an electron?" No, but I felt the little bastids coursing through my flesh more times than I care to remember.

That explains a lot, Springer.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Hmmm, that would pose a problem for evolution if dubia had the gene coding for blood clotting or something like that.

— GCT
No kidding.

Are IDists studying this and looking for stuff like that?

As far as I know the hypothesis and suggested path of inquiry are original (mine) and I just came up with it this year so no, no IDists are studying it. I found John Davison in a search for someone with credentials in biology who thought that phylogeny and ontogeny are essentially the same process on different time scales. So far he's the only one and he disagrees with me on many things including dubia, although he thought it was any interesting hypothesis worthy of further investigation. Davison, quite frankly (personalities aside), is a scientist role model that it would behoove many here to emulate.

Of course, other plants and animals also have inordinately large genomes as well, don't they?

Sure. Takes yo pick. http://genomesize.com/ Follow the links and you can get some plant genome sizes too. The Easter Lily has a genome close to 100 times the human genome. Just for instance. Mammals, by the way, all have genome size similar to humans. A few amphibians get up to ~10x the mammal genome. Most fish are the scale of human genomes. Sharks are ~5x. Lungfish however get up to about 50x the human genome. Reptiles are all small. Most insects are tiny. Grasshoppers are an exception with genomes typically 4x humans. A few flatworms get 6x or so. Arachnids not overly large. Prokaryotes get a lot larger than you might expect. Several times the human genome. http://www.genomesize.com/prokaryotes/table1/ This is a good table for getting a good sampling in one place: http://www.cbs.dtu.dk/databases/DOGS/abbr_table.common.txt

Anyway, it's still a rather strong statement that finding a neuro-transmitter in dubia's genome would "clearly be anticipation of a future."

Of course it is. I've did some investigation into the literature on horizontal gene transfer through viral vectors. Theoretically, AFAIK, it's possible for an endogenous retrovirus to cross cross phyla boundaries and drag genes from one organism to another that way. And endogenous retrovirus that can infect both human DNA and amoeba DNA seems a bit of a stretch but stranger things have happened.

What do you mean by that? Does that mean that dubia will become something more complex in the future featuring those parts of the genome?

It means a number of things. First it means that an extant single celled organism can thrive with a genome in the ballpark of what it would take to contain preformed information for a large number of body plans and genes coding for all the proteins required for specialized tissue types in multicellular organisms. It means that given the proper conditions dubia could, in theory, diversify into quite a wide range of organisms, perhaps with mutation/selection doing the intra-type fine tuning. It's not unreasonable to assume mutation/selection can serendipitously create approximate repeats (alleles) that have some enhanced survival value. It becomes unreasonable to extrapolate that into the ability to create whole interdependent protein complexes where many point mutations are required on many proteins from any predecessors and with no plausible survival-advantageous pathway of point mutations to get from complex A to complex B. One protein changing that way into something quite different in sequence and function is maybe plausible by luck. Many proteins that have to work together else none are functional is a different story. But to even consider seaching through dubia's sequence looking for genes that don't belong requires accepting the possibility of finding something that doesn't belong there. Even more to the point, as Davison stated, it also requires NO FEAR of what might be found there.

DaveScot · 5 March 2005

Abbey

"However, we know almost nothing to a point of logical certainty. Epistemology brings almost everything into doubt's range."

Don't try to feed ME that crap. I'm an engineer. I know many things to a point of logical certainty. I couldn't do my job without that certainty. There are physical LAWS that govern the way matter and energy (if you care to distinguish the two) operate. Most of them are certain within their observed domains. I would venture to say that mutation/selection within its observed domain is a law. Operating outside that domain is sheer conjecture and its predictions have not panned out. Rather than tossing the theory as SHOULD be done when its predictions fail, Darwinian evolution just gets ad hoc changes made to it, which is exactly what Karl Popper said happened to Marxian economic theory - it should have been abandoned but it wasn't because falsification wasn't rigorously enforced - people got wedded to the idea of Marxism and no amount of failed predictions would sway their faith in it. There's a LOT of scientists wedded to neo-Darwinism today, but that's changing, thank Bob.

Bob Maurus · 5 March 2005

DaveScot,

"There's a LOT of scientists wedded to neo-Darwinism today, but that's changing, thank Bob."

Whoa, don't bring me into this - you're on your own here, Dude! And what's all this about dubia? I thought he didn't believe in evolution.

Jon Fleming · 5 March 2005

Don’t try to feed ME that crap. I’m an engineer. I know many things to a point of logical certainty.

You don't know what logical certainly is. I'm an engineer with 30 years experience in machine design and I know nothing to the point of logical certainly. In the real world it's impossible to know anything to the point of logical certaianly ... and especially so if ID is true.

Russell · 5 March 2005

DaveScot:

Prokaryotes get a lot larger than you might expect. Several times the human genome.

I'm skeptical. Give me one example. (Note: I suspect there's a typo on your table , but I don't suppose I have to tell you that, what with the 153 IQ and all).

Koly · 5 March 2005

There MIGHT be intelligent design.

— DaveScot
Ok, it seems we are making progress here. So you agree that ID can be classified at best as a speculation, not a proper theory. To accept ID as an interesting scientific hypothesis and to move towards the theory status, I see several steps to be completed: First, why should be ID worth investigation? Remember, black holes are a prediction of a well founded scientific theory. What ID needs is to show some clear indications that the known mechanisms of evolution cannot explain data in some instances and moreover, that ID is a plausible explanation for these cases. Then it would have a chance to get the interest of scientists even if still in the speculation category. Next, it has to be a naturalistic explanation. That means it has to be specific about how, where and when ID is acting. Only then it might become falsifiable and have ambitions as a theory. Then it might try to explain the data better and become accepted. And last, until this program is completed and ID is not a widely accepted scientific theory, it has no place in high school science classes. The problem of ID in my eyes is that I see no effort in this direction, they try to skip the first two hard steps and jump right to the last.

Are we in agreement that far or is mutation/selection changing prokaryotes into pro-ball players something you believe is a proven fact? If you don't claim mutation/selection in that case is a fact then our argument is reduced to where we place the probability boundaries.

Of course "prokaryots->pro-ball players via mutation/selection (and the rest of accepted mechanisms of evolution)" is not a fact. It is a theory, so it can never be proven, only falsified. It was not falsified so far, AFAIK all the data are in agreement. It is vastly superior to ID in that sense - a widely accepted scientific theory confirmed by the data vs. an unfounded speculation. It's not at all about probabilities.

Russell · 5 March 2005

But to even consider seaching through dubia's sequence looking for genes that don't belong requires accepting the possibility of finding something that doesn't belong there. Even more to the point, as Davison stated, it also requires NO FEAR of what might be found there.

I predict that the complexity of A. dubia's genome (i.e. its size after you subtract all the repetitious stuff) will be no larger than mine, probably a lot smaller. I have no FEAR of what might be found there, but I have no FUNDS to look.

GCT · 7 March 2005

DaveScot, why is all this additional genome hiding in dubia and some other organisms, but not present in all organisms that developed on the way up to us? In other words, why don't reptiles have larger genomes than us? Why have we lost parts of the genome? Why does anything lose parts of their genome? Are there are bacteria that have small genomes? Why are their genomes small? In response to whether you have seen an electron, you wrote this,

No, but I felt the little bastids coursing through my flesh more times than I care to remember. That's why I switched from radio electronics to digital electronics decades ago. Shocks from 5 volts don't hurt none. Now how can I either somehow see or feel, in real time, real bacteria changing into real brontosaurs like I can feel the effects of a real electron?

— DaveScot
But, if you've never seen an electron, how do you know that is what was coursing through your body? I've been shocked a couple times myself, and I know the feeling, but the sensation does not a priori lend itself to knowledge that the sensation is caused by electrons.

Forgive my laughter when falsifiability is brought up against ID. Darwinian evolution's history as a theory is exactly what prompted Popper to rant about falsifiability!

— DaveScot
So, if you believe so much in falsifiability, then why do you routinely say that verifiability is better?

John A. Davison · 8 March 2005

The largest animal cells known belong to Amphiuma a urodele amphibian. It also sports the most DNA per cell. Some of the smallest known mammalian cells are those of the smallest mammals like bats and shrews. The simplest explanation for this is that you can't make a tiny animal out of big cells. Correlated with these tiny cells is a very high metabolic rate due to the high surface concentration and the fact that metabolites (CO2 and O2 etc.) must be exchanged across cellular surfaces. Shrews have incredibly high metabolic rates and very short life spans. Some of the smallest ones are senile at 9 months. I think that the best correlations for DNA per cell will be found to be metabolic and probably have nothing to do with evolutionary potential. Some of the most sluggish animals are urodeles. My Ph.D. thesis (1955) was about body size, cell size and metabolic rate in anuran amphibia (frogs). I was going to work with urodeles but I had trouble recording their metabolism. That is not surprising when they spend most of their time buried underground. They also live forever. Another creature with big cells, lots of DNA and spends most of its time undergound is the lung fish. I still think it might be a good idea to test DaveScot's Amoeba dubia hypothesis. No guts, no glory don't you know? Isn't ignorance wonderful? What would we do without it?

"Nothing is so firmly believed as what we least know."
Montaigne

"He that I am reading seems always to have the most force."
ibid

You clowns, if you are reading at all which I doubt, are just reading the wrong literature. Try Goldschmidt, Grasse, Berg, Broom, Bateson and Schindewolf for a change. Look what it did for me.

John A. Davison

GCT · 8 March 2005

I think that the best correlations for DNA per cell will be found to be metabolic and probably have nothing to do with evolutionary potential.

— John A. Davison
The idea behind DaveScot's argument was that large genomes would support the front-loading argument, which is one that you also prescribe to, correct? Doesn't your conclusion tend to diminish that argument?

John A. Davison · 8 March 2005

GCT

I don't recall reaching a conclusion about genome size and evolution. I offered ny studied opinion that's all. Opinions are not conclusions.

The Amoeba dubia notion is worth pursuing but it won't be as long as the ruling establishment, Darwimpism, is calling the shots. It has already been established, as I documented in the PEH, that primitive coelenterates have gene complexes that were assumed to have been very recent and of vertebrate origin. Evolution in reverse through rescrambling of the yeast genome has been demonstrated. Position effects resulting in gene silencing and gene activation are well documented. Everything Golddschmidt predicted in 1940 is now coming to fruition. With every passing day the molecular biologists and the chromosome scramblers are demonstrating the validity of the PEH.

Allelic mutation never did anything except promote extinction. That by the way was an essential requisite for evolutionary advancement. If that sort of thing were a source of information, why then oh why does the cell knock it self out to repair them as fast as it can? There is no such animal as a beneficial mutation unless it is the back mutation that returns the allele to its original form. Those by the way are the ones that return feral dogs and pigs to their ancestral phenotypes. Natural selection is not only strictly conservative, it actually serves to undo man's attempts at domestication. That becomes obvious also whenever plant cultivars escape from the garden. their offspring soon return to the original type.

There is another reason to reject allelic mutations; they are freely reversible. Evolution has never been reversible and never will be now that it is finished. It has been uphill all the way in apparent direct violation of everything we know from thermodynamics. That in itself is fatal to any hypothesis based on chance. It remains a great mystery except to the members of this august body. Don't take my word for it.

"We have long been seeking a different kind of evolutionary process and have now found one; namely, the changes within the pattern of the chromosomes... The neo-Darwinian theory of the geneticists is no longer tenable."
Richard B. Goldschmidt "The Material Basis of Evolution." 1940

John A. Davison

Wayne Francis · 8 March 2005

So JAD now jumps on the 2LoT creationist claim. Sheesh. Hey JAD have you called the FBI about me yet? Have you written the Minister of Health here in Australia? What happened to you statement that you where done with us? Seem the "Blog troll hypothesis" I cited has more data to support it. Just keep ignoring examples of speciation that match the definition you asked for. You'll die a happy man. Delusional but happy. Oh you better go out and question why feral cat and dogs are still normal domesticated cats and dogs. Please show me where a study has been done where a pack of feral dogs have reverted, genetically, back to a pack of wild wolves. from Comment # 19314

Comment #19314 Posted by John A. Davison on March 8, 2005 05:46 PM GCT ... It has already been established, as I documented in the PEH, that primitive coelenterates have gene complexes that were assumed to have been very recent and of vertebrate origin. ...

— John A. Davison
Please show where in your PEH you 'documented' this?

GCT · 9 March 2005

Sorry about my choice of words, JAD. I should have said, "If your opinion turns out to be true, would it diminish your argument?"

The point was that DaveScot was saying that dubia is an example of a primitive lifeform that has an enormous genome that could be a remnant of the front-loading process. He posited that we should find coding for things that should not be there, like blood clotting, etc. You opined that we would not find those things, thus destroying the possibility that it would demonstrate front-loading. I guess I was wondering why it would not diminish your argument. If everything was already there from the beginning, shouldn't we be able to find remnants of the front-loading?

John A. Davison · 9 March 2005

Wayne wants documentation. Well Wayne, I didn't do the documentation. The authors I cite did the documentation. From "A Prescribed Evolutionary Hypothesis" (in press).

"Further support for the Prescribed Evolutionary Hypothesis comes from studies with one of the most primitive of the animal phyla, the Cnidaria {Korschelt et al (2003}. Working with the planula stage of the coral Acropora millipora, they found it to be genetically very complex, containing many genes previously thought to be vertebrate innovations. From their summary:

'Acropora millepora provides a unique insihght into the unexpectedly deep evolutionary origins of a least some vertebrate gene families.'"

John A. Davison

Wayne Francis · 9 March 2005

Lets look at what they mean by that JAD without your spin on it

.. Gene loss has thus been much more extensive in the model invertebrate lineages than previously assumed and, as a consequence, some genes formerly thought to be vertebrate inventions must have been present in the common metazoan ancestor. The complexity of the Acropora genome is paradoxical, given that this organism contains apparently few tissue types and the simplest extant nervous system consisting of a morphologically homogeneous nerve net.

— Curr Biol. 2003 Dec 16;13(24):2190-5.
So they found a number of ESTs that where thought to be vertebrate in origin but have been found in sponges. These genes are most likely from that common ancestor and the flies and worms have lost these genes, one possibility is that the high reproduction rate of the other 2 species used in the test would allow them to loose genes faster. This is one of the reason Drosophila is used in evolutionary studies. Because of its short life cycle we can observe many generations in a short period of time. Also note that the study shows that Drosophila share ESTs with the Acropora millepora that humans do not. This is evidence that we've lost genes that Acropora millepora has but the Drosophila has retained. Also note we have ESTs that the Acropora millepora does not have. According to your PEH we shouldn't have any unique ESTs when compared to the Acropora millepora if it is in our branch of the tree of life. Bet you ignore that fact too. Funny how I, a layperson, and 99.9% of the biological community would never come to your conclusion because it has HUGE gapping holes in it.

Wayne Francis · 9 March 2005

Wooops
"So they found a number of ESTs that where thought to be vertebrate in origin but have been found in sponges."
should have been
"So they found a number of ESTs that where thought to be vertebrate in origin but have been found in corals"

DonkeyKong · 10 March 2005

Wayne...

Let me paraphrase your quote

"

Curr Biol. 2003 Dec 16;13(24):2190-5. wrote:

..
Gene loss has thus been much more extensive in the model invertebrate lineages than previously assumed and, as a consequence, some genes formerly thought to be vertebrate inventions must have been present in the common metazoan ancestor. The complexity of the Acropora genome is paradoxical, given that this organism contains apparently few tissue types and the simplest extant nervous system consisting of a morphologically homogeneous nerve net.
"

My condensed version
"We were wrong. Dude its a paradox."

For those of you who can't wrap your heads around most of the evolution predictions being false please take note.

Evolution has a poop on the wall and run away strategy. Throw enough poop on the wall some of it will stick, then run from what doesn't ,questions like how large was the first species' genome. Later claim that the parts you want to run away from are not relevant or not part of the theory and only claim the poop still sticking to the wall. Add a philosophical explaination that ties together with your poop on the wall data and claim that it is supported by the scientific process even though you have a miserable record for predicting future events.

Those of you who have heard of the scientific method may remember something about predicting future events with accuracy. Or perhaps you remember theories being easily falsified if nature fails to conform to the predictions the theory makes.

Evolution doesn't predict things. It explains them afterwards. Philosophy or Religion but not science for you....

Henry J · 10 March 2005