Every now and then, I check in over at The Institute for Genomic Research (TIGR) to see what new projects they’re up to, as well as to see if they’ve released a particular genome sequence I’m waiting on. Yesterday I noticed this project:
Innovative Metagenomics Strategy Used To Study Oral Microbes
Rockville, MD - The mouth is awash in microbes, but scientists so far have merely scratched the surface in identifying and studying the hundreds of bacteria that live in biofilm communities that stick to the teeth and gums.
In an innovative new project that could help improve the detection and treatment of oral diseases, scientists are now using a metagenomics strategy to analyze the complex and difficult-to-study community of microbes in the oral cavity.
***
In recent years, molecular methods have indicated that there are well over 400 species of bacteria in the oral cavity. But, so far, only about 150 of those species have been cultured in laboratories and given scientific names. Using a metagenomics sequencing strategy, TIGR scientists will be able to identify bits and pieces of the DNA of many of those oral microbes that so far have not been grown in labs and studied.
Now, I know that there are an insane amount of microbes in the mouth, but 400 species? Holy cow.
158 Comments
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
PvM · 22 February 2005
Let's differentiate between religious faith not interfering with science and ID arguing from an argument from ignorance. ID does not provide any scientifically relevant hypothesis that outlines biologically complex systems, how they came about, when, where, etc.
Russell · 22 February 2005
This seems a bit simplistic. Had western civilization not been dominated by the Cosmic Watchmaker mindset, who's to say we wouldn't have had 10 Newton-like geniuses?
It seems to me it IS valid to ask how Behe-like defeatism ("couldn't have happened naturally - had to be the work of something beyond human understanding") could fail to dampen one's enthusiasm for asking questions like "How could this have come to be?"
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
Paul Orwin · 22 February 2005
Aah, nothing like talk of oral biofilms to get everyone to brush their teeth a lot! That is a great schematic, I'll have to er, use it, for my biofilm lecture. In the second week of micro lab, we have the students scrape the base of their teeth, and look at it under the darkfield 'scope to see Treponema, They usually can find some...even if they brush a lot!
Russell · 22 February 2005
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
Russell:
How is it false? If belief in a designer thwarts scientific inquiry, and, e.g., Newton believed in a designer, wouldn't it follow that Newton's scientific inquiry would have been thwarted?
Doesn't the fact that Newton had the drive to write Principia provide a counter-example to the above antecedent?
Grey Wolf · 22 February 2005
Tara Smith · 22 February 2005
frank schmidt · 22 February 2005
Russell · 22 February 2005
See, that's where my "simplistic" description comes in. Does "thwart" mean "to absolutely prevent" or does it mean "inhibit"? Clearly the sense in Ms. Smith's post was "inhibit" - so that's what I'm going with. The fact that there was an Isaac Newton does not prove that those other 9 potential Newtons were not discouraged by the design paradigm. I'm not saying they were; I'm just saying your example doesn't provide any evidence one way or the other.
Prince Vegita · 22 February 2005
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
Michael Finley · 22 February 2005
Tara Smith · 22 February 2005
Prince Vegita · 22 February 2005
ts · 22 February 2005
Sarg · 22 February 2005
Tara Smith · 22 February 2005
Steve Reuland · 22 February 2005
steve · 22 February 2005
Inspired by Russell, I rechrisen ID Ineffective Defeatism.
ts · 22 February 2005
Flint · 22 February 2005
I confess to a philosophical preference for arguments backed by evidence. I understand that I'm probably very much in the minority in this preference, for whatever reasons. I also understand that this minority carries an ungrateful, ignorant, and superstitious majority on its shoulders. And that majority uses the very products of the 'worldview' they despise (which would never have come to pass without that worldview) to do their jobs, provide themselves with food clothing and shelter, and even write to blogs and bulletin boards to deny the validity of what produces their lifestyle.
It's kind of a shame that we can't let those with a philosophical preference for evidence live in one world, and let those with a philosphical preference for magic live in another. I wonder if the lesson would ever penetrate?
David Heddle · 22 February 2005
Just for completeness, the explanation of Rayleigh scattering (preferential scattering of lower wavelengths) for why the sky is blue is incomplete. Otherwise, the wise student should ask "why isn't the sky purple?" The complete answer is the convolution of Rayleigh scattering and the frequency dependent sensitivity of our eyes.
Our eyes are most sensitive to yellow, of course.
The general idea that ID thwarts science is belied by those of us who are IDers and who, in fact, do science.
Jeff Mauldin · 22 February 2005
One obvious problem with this discussion is this assumption that belief in intelligent design causes a person to have no curiousity about nature and how things work. I believe in intelligent design, yet I am quite curious to dig down and understand how things work. I would call it simple arrogance to say "I don't believe in intelligent design, and therefore I have greater curiosity than those who believe in intelliegent design."
Ed Darrell · 22 February 2005
ts · 22 February 2005
Henry J · 22 February 2005
Re "Perhaps each species [...] was designed by a different designer?"
Perhaps each species was "designed" by the gene pools of its ancestors? ;)
Re "and let those with a philosphical preference for magic live in another"
Abracadabra! (Heh heh)
Henry
Russell · 22 February 2005
jeff-perado · 22 February 2005
Buridan · 22 February 2005
Jeff,
As ts pointed out above, the issue isn't about curiosity it's about the limiting perspective of ID - the refusal to look for certain explanatory variables due to their interpretive framework. The crucial difference between science and ID is that the former seeks to explain while the latter seeks to interpret. The presuppositions between these two modes of inquiry are miles apart.
Buridan · 22 February 2005
My comment was directed toward Jeff Mauldin (to avoid any confusion)
ts · 22 February 2005
Buridan · 22 February 2005
elephantine · 22 February 2005
The problem is fairly simple. When arguments for design rest upon the ignorance of a natural explanation, there is a tendency to then avoid finding a natural explanation. Some ID arguments flatly rest on natural explanations being eliminated from the field of explanadum.
No one disputes the capacity for IDists to do science. What is disputed is the capacity for IDists offer scientific explanations for phenomena they've already labeled "designed" via a baroque argument from ignorance.
There are no selective hypotheses that flow from the theory of "designer" because that theory is general enough to allow for any observation simply by tweeking the motives and abilities of said mysterious designer. Simply defining one's designer to have the goals and abilities that obtain the observations in question results in a empty tailor-made hypothesis.
Elliott Sober very effectively argues this in his essay, Intelligent Design and Probability Reasoning
"Intelligent design theorists may feel that they have already stated their theory. If the existence of the vertebrate eye is what one wishes to explain, their hypothesis is that an intelligent designer constructed the vertebrate eye. If it is the characteristics of the vertebrate eye (the fact that it has features F1, F2, ..., Fn), rather than its mere existence, that one wants to explain, their hypothesis is that an intelligent designer constructed the vertebrate eye with the intention that it have features F1, F2, ..., Fn and that this designer had the ability to bring his plan to fruition. Notice that both of these formulations of the hypothesis of intelligent design simply build into that hypothesis the observations whose explanation we seek. The problem with this strategy is that the same game can be played by the other side. If the evolutionary hypothesis is formulated by saying "evolution by natural selection produced the vertebrate eye" or by saying that "evolution by natural selection endowed the eye with features F1, F2, ..., Fn ," then it too entails the observations.
To avoid trivializing the problem in this way, we should formulate the observations so that they are not built into the hypotheses we want to test..."
http://philosophy.wisc.edu/sober/ID&PRword.PDF#search='Elliot%20Sober%20intelligent%20design'
These type of radically tailor-made explanations are scientifically worthless. The hypothesis yeilds no independent prediction, nor does it yeild any insight into the phenomena. The only evidence for a designer existing having the motive and ability to obtain some feature of reality is the mere existence of that feature. This can be done with literally everything from volcanoes to plaque to weather, which should clue you into why it doesn't work.
Adam Marczyk · 22 February 2005
ts · 22 February 2005
Michael Finely · 22 February 2005
[author=TS]One of the fundamental tools of science is Occam's Razor, and it mandates against introduction of such "entities" as "miracle" or "designer" --- violations of Occam's Razor are worthy of a very big fuss indeed. For centuries, Occam's Razor was considered to be an effective methodological tool, but not a fact or truism. But information theorists have recently proven that Occam's Razor is a theorem, when expressed in the form "the predictions of simpler (in an information theoretic sense) explanations are more likely to be correct".
Anything is consistent with the hypothesis of a designer, making the hypothesis scientifically irrelevant --- it is unfalsifiable, and is the grossest possible violation of Ockham's Razor, since it is consistent with, and adds nothing to, any set of hypotheses.
As a doctoral student in the philosophy of language and science, I find your recommendation of more philosophy of science education somewhat humorous. Ockham's razor is an aesthetic concern with no logical force whatsoever. Given two theories that explain the phenomena (say, the Einsteinian and quantum mechanical explanations of gravity), on being simpler than the other, there is not a non-aesthetic reason to prefer one to the other.
Coincidentally, my dissertation is on the continuity of Wittgenstein's philosophy. Forget the fact that I was merely appropriating a quote of LW's for my own purposes; the claim that Wittgenstein was not the man for first principles is ridiculous - what do you call the simple objects of the Tractatus.
I would love to digress into a discussion of Wittgenstein, but I have already been asked to take my ball and go home with respect to criticizing Darwin. Perhaps those among you who don't want to discuss such matters, should simply ignore me.
Ruthless · 22 February 2005
Air Bear · 22 February 2005
David Heddle wrote:
"Just for completeness, the explanation of Rayleigh scattering (preferential scattering of lower wavelengths) for why the sky is blue is incomplete. Otherwise, the wise student should ask "why isn't the sky purple?" The complete answer is the convolution of Rayleigh scattering and the frequency dependent sensitivity of our eyes.
"Our eyes are most sensitive to yellow, of course.
"The general idea that ID thwarts science is belied by those of us who are IDers and who, in fact, do science."
I would be interested to know just how you use ID in your work, how it generates hypotheses, how it leads to discoveries. And how it applies to the case of blue sky.
I'm not talking about ID as a harmless philosphico-religious diversion that is external to science, but as a positive aid in doing scientific research.
(BTW, any graduate of high school physics knows that our eyes are most sensitive to yellow-green, not pure yellow. I hope you're more precise in your professional work.)
Ruthless · 22 February 2005
Dave S. · 22 February 2005
Dan S. · 23 February 2005
From www.evolvefish.com - it really sums it all up for me:
"The Heretical Rod
The first major blow against these biblical superstitions about storms and lightning [that they were caused by demons/spirits] was struck in 1752 when Benjamin Franklin made his famous electrical experiments with a kite. The second and fatal blow was struck later in the same year when he invented the lightning rod. With Franklin's scientific explanations of lightning, the question that had so long taxed the minds of the world's leading theologians-"Why should the Almighty strike his own consecrated temples, or suffer Satan to strike them"-could finally be answered rationally.
Thunder and lightning were considered tokens of God's displeasure. It was considered impious to prevent their doing damage. This was despite the fact that in Germany, within a span of 33 years, nearly 400 towers were damaged and 120 bell ringers were killed.
In Switzerland, France and Italy, popular prejudice against the lightning rod was ignited and fueled by the churches and resulted in the tearing down of lightning rods from many homes and buildings, including one from the Institute of Bologna, the leading scientific institution in Italy. The Swiss chemist, M. de Saussure, removed a rod he had erected on his house in Geneva in 1771 when it caused his neighbors so much anxiety that he feared a riot.
In 1780-1784, a lawsuit about lightning rods gave M. de St. Omer the right to have a lightning rod on top of his house despite the religious objections of his neighbors. This victory established the fame of the lawyer in the case, young Robespierre.
In America, Rev. Thomas Prince, pastor of Old South Church, blamed Franklin's invention of the lightning rod for causing the Massachusetts earthquake of 1755.
In Prince's sermon on the topic, he expressed the opinion that the frequency of earthquakes may be due to the erection of "points invented by the sagacious Mr. Franklin." He goes on to argue that "in Boston more are erected than anywhere else in New England, and Boston seems to be more dreadfully shaken. Oh! There is no getting out of the mighty hand of God."
. . .
A typical case was the tower of St. Mark's in Venice. In spite of the angel at its summit, the bells consecrated to ward off devils and witches in the air, the holy relics in the church below, and the Processions in the adjacent square, the tower was frequently damaged or destroyed by lightning. It was not until 1766 that a lightning rod was placed upon it-and the tower has never been struck since.
. . .
The Rod Spared
Such examples as these, in all parts of Europe, had their effect. The ecclesiastical formulas for preventing storms and consecrating bells to protect against lightning and tempests were still practiced in the Churches, but the lightning rod carried the day. Christian Churches were finally obliged to confess its practicality. The few theologians who stuck to the old theories and fumed against Franklin's attempts to "control the artillery of heaven" were finally silenced, like the lightning, by Franklin's lighting rod and the supremacy of the scientific method. "
RBH · 23 February 2005
Gary Hurd · 23 February 2005
Great post Tara. Thanks for the information.
I was once told that there were forams that lived in human mouths, is that true?
ts · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Randall · 23 February 2005
Despite claims to the contrary, design theory is not "simpler" in an Occam's Razor sense than evolution. Evolution assumes that simple processes we have already seen work in the lab can have a cumulative effect over time to create the diversity of life we see today. Design assumes that diversity has to be designed, and that there exists a designer. That's the thing: In order for design "theory" to have any remote validity, you must first prove the existence of a designer without using the "designed" things as evidence! Why? Because otherwise, your argument looks like this: How do we know this cell was designed? Its intricate parts bear the signature of the designer. How do we know the designer exists and what his/her signature looks like? Because we know this cell was designed. Do you see why that argument is circular? Does design "theory" make any actual testable claims that aren't question-begging?
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Randall · 23 February 2005
The minor changes we've seen show that organisms adapt to their environments. Whether or not major changes happen over geologically long or geologically short time periods is predicted to depend on whether the environments have changed over geologically long or short time periods. Lab results can give us a rough idea of the maximum rate of evolution, but also predict that if the environment is constant, evolution will asymtotically approach a well-suited organism and then stop making major changes. So any questions about the pace of evolution cannot be answered in the lab; rather, they'll have to be answered in the field (since we can't, y'know, figure out what environmental conditions were based on some lab tests).
Randall · 23 February 2005
Oh, and you're right about Occam's Razor; the article ts linked to talked about how it's applied to science. This link shows how it's a proven theorm of information theory. Hope that helps.
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Randall
I suggest you read the article you linked to. Pay particular attention to "the one generating the shortest overall message is more likely to be correct".
So it's been proven to be likely.
Thanks. Statements like that are proven likely to provoke laughter.
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s_Razor
In science
Ockham's Razor has become a basic perspective for those who follow the scientific method. It is important to note that it is a heuristic argument that does not necessarily give correct answers; it is a loose guide to choosing the scientific hypothesis which (currently) contains the least number of unproven assumptions. Often, several hypotheses are equally "simple" and Ockham's Razor does not express any preference in such cases.
Now STOP this nonsense about Occam's Razor being a proven theorum RIGHT NOW. It's not a theorum. Period. End of story.
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
DaveScot said: "just like the hundreds of scientists that had the courage to sign a statement saying they question mutation/selection's ability to explain the diversity of life"
How many Steves in that list, DaveScot?
And I was refering to evolution theory. Sorry for not being more clear. My fault.
Hope that helps,
Grey Wolf
Randall · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
DaveScot, please state what kind of proof I could dig up or observe that would show that the Designer does not exist
GW
Randall · 23 February 2005
So you claim design does not fit all imaginable facts? Give us an example of evidence which, if found, would disprove design. If you want design called a hypothesis (we can talk about being a theory later), it'll need to be falsifiable.
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Well no sh@t simpler explanations are more likely to be correct. Duh. That's why Occam's Razor is an enduring, guiding principle in science and engineering. It's still a principle, by the way, not a theory.
Randall · 23 February 2005
There's an information science theory which states "the predictions of simpler (in an information theoretic sense) explanations are more likely to be correct." I mean, I posted a link to an article saying just that. And since the theory specifically uses the phrase "more likely," I don't see your problem with it. Is it just that you creationists get really hung up on the word "theory"?
Cubist · 23 February 2005
When asked what ID has to say about the nature of the Designer, IDolators claim that ID doesn't address that question, but, rather, that ID merely confirms that some things were Designed. Very well: taking the IDolators at their word that ID is indeed utterly silent on the question of who/what/when/where/why the Designer was, the core premise of ID works out to be, "Somewhere, sometime, somehow, somebody intelligent did something." Any ID partisan who disagrees with me is welcome to explain what else -- if anything -- ID does have to say about the Designer, over and above "he was intelligent" and "he existed". And if, in fact, ID doesn't have anything to say about the Designer, over and above "he existed and was intelligent", how do you suggest we go about testing the proposition that "somewhere, sometime, somehow, somebody intelligent did something"?
If "somebody intelligent did something" is all ID 'theory' can bring to the table, exactly what good is ID 'theory'? What benefits can ID 'theory' offer science?
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Randall · 23 February 2005
Randall · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Randall · 23 February 2005
Stupid Refresh not showing me my new comment.
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
David Heddle, while I might agree that in your private version of ID those might be possible falsifications (I won't try to attack your version of ID), the general ID hypothesis could simply state that the Designer had created a universe without a beginning or that he had created multiple parallel universes. After all, it is an all powerful Designer.
So those aren't good enough answer to the question I gave DaveScot, sorry. Please note that I am not, at this time, dealing with your version of ID (which I hope you admit is different from the one used by most IDers).
Hope that helps,
Grey Wolf
Randall · 23 February 2005
You're making the same mistake that Kent Hovind makes in his $250,000 offer: You're conflating cosmology, astronomy, geology, abiogenesis, and evolution into one large straw-man theory you call evolution. Let's say I believed in deism, that is, that God created the universe but hasn't done anything else in ~13.5 billion years. Would that make me a believer of design theory? Or would that just mean I had let the God of the Gaps handle the biggest gap of them all and let science do the rest? The point is, if design "theory" claims to explain the diversity of life on earth, I want to see an example of something that, if found on earth, would demonstrate that design had nothing to do with the diversity of life. Even if God started the universe, evolution still explains life on earth, and design still explains nothing and is unfalsifiable with respect to the diversity of life.
ts · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
DaveScot · 23 February 2005
Falsifiability is tied to verifiability.
Design can, in principle, be verified by locating a designer.
What can, in principle, verify mutation/selection acting in distant past to accomplish the diversity we see today?
I've seen no documented observations of mutation/selection having the ability to change one closely related group of organisms into something different. Mutated insects remain insects, mutated mammals remain mammals, mutated bacteria remain bacteria, even mutated viruses remain viruses. Mutation has not been observed to make the kind of changes required to turn a bacteria into a bird. It's a huge extrapolation. That's not a well tested theory, it's an educated guess. Design is on equal footing except I'd say it's a more rational guess since intelligent tinkering with genomes is something we're already doing today and all the machines where the origin is known are of intelligent design.
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
So I offer legitimate ways to falsify ID, but those don't count. And no matter what I or anyone else provides, you can always say "that doesn't count, because IDers will just say God did it that way."
That is an over simplification. If you chip away at what IDers see as evidence, which for me is the fine tuning universe at large-- not the diversity of life-- then at least the scientic-IDers will withdraw support. Sure, people who do not know science and support ID purely for (as opposed to in conjunction with) religious reasons will never give up. But scientists who are IDers will. And I gave some examples that would falsify it for me.
I could make the same argument about evolution falsifiability. When that question comes up, and after you weed out the absurd ("sure, just find a 200 million year old human fossil") you get things like the discovery of species with no common DNA would falsify evolution. Would it? Or would people just say that life originated more than once? My point is, can you come up with a non absurd finding that would falsify evolution for everybody? Or would would some zealots hang on?
So when you ask for falsifiability of ID, I think you should ask: would a scientific minded ID proponent accept something as falsifying, and forget about those who are just religiously motivated.
Shirley Knott · 23 February 2005
Um, DaveScot, you continue to assert that you can distinguish designed things from non-designed things, and do so reliably. Kindly distinguish the designed portions of the British landscape from the undesigned. When you've completed that, we will discuss various Japanese gardens and natural sites -- you will need to reliably distinguish the designed from the natural.
As you yourself noted, albeit without sufficient strength to the claim, design can be verified by locating a designer.
In fact, this is the ONLY way in which design can be verified. There are no other marks/signs/attributes/features which distinguish the designed from the undesigned.
And you should know that by now. But if you acknowleged and accepted that, you'd have to abandon dembskiism.
All of ID depends on the notion that any given item can be accurately determined to be designed or not without recourse to the designer. This cannot be done, and the myriad false positives that any algorithmic approach to determination of design produces is in and of itself sufficent warrant to dispose of dembskiism on the trash-heap of pseudo-intellectual bs.
regards,
Shirley Knott
Russell · 23 February 2005
proving :
(1) the universe had no beginning or
(2) there are an infinite number of parallel universes
... are practicable experimental proposals for disproving ID, but finding out-of-place fossils is absurd?
OK.
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
GCT · 23 February 2005
GCT · 23 February 2005
Oops, it appears I meant to say that I agree with Grey Wolf (GW) not GWW.
ts · 23 February 2005
Bob Maurus · 23 February 2005
Shirley Knott
"As you yourself noted, albeit without sufficient strength to the claim, design can be verified by locating a designer.
In fact, this is the ONLY way in which design can be verified. There are no other marks/signs/attributes/features which distinguish the designed from the undesigned."
Actually, I don't think that's the case, though the reality doesn't bode well for IDers.
It is quite an easy thing to distinguish design in non self-replicating CSI exhibiting manufactured objects. Moreover, in every instance where the identity of the designer is known, that designer is known to have been a human. The logic of ID would draw an inference from that knowledge, and claim it proves that biological organisms were designed by humans. ;>)
Tara Smith · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
Wow! Nice post, ts. Someone should turn it into a main page post or even a TO FAQ. I'm always at a loss when I try to think of predictions of evolution. I should at least jot down the post, so I can use it for future reference.
Kudos!
Grey Wolf who is not, indeed, GWW
Michael Finley · 23 February 2005
TS: My exchange with you has long-since passed the "pearl before swine" threshold. I suggest you read more books (say, on the logic of scientific inquiry and the sense/reference distinction).
Until the next thread, farewell.
Michael Finley · 23 February 2005
I couldn't resist one parting shot: Curious that the disagreement between the Einsteinian and quantum mechanical explanations of gravity (the warping of space and the exchange of gravitons respectively) wasn't solved simply by an appeal to Ockham's Razor. Someone should tell the physicists their wasting a lot of time over something that could be decided by appealing to a simple principle.
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Michael Finley · 23 February 2005
Parting shot #2: An even more curious fact is that physicists are now devising an absurdly complicated theory, string theory, to replace quantum mechanics and general relativity. It posits many more entities than either, e.g., 7 extra dimensions, strings, etc. And that with all of the experimental success of the two preceeding theories. Ockham must be rolling in his grave.
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
Michael Finley · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
I actually wouldn't call string theory complicated, I'd call it difficult. There is a difference. It is simple and elegant to write down, but the mathematics required to work with it is difficult--and in some ways has to be invented.
Colin · 23 February 2005
Thanks for some great posts, ts. I really enjoy it when informed people put up solid information - I can call the time I spend here educational, instead of just entertainment, thanks to people like you.
racingiron · 23 February 2005
Russell · 23 February 2005
Let me say it one more time: Highly respected scientists, including giants in the field like Hawking, are actively conducting research that would, if they can experimentally confirm their theories, falsify ID
Which strikes me as a whole lot less practicable than the list that ts presented for testing various aspects of evolution. We know you dislike ts, but putting that aside for a moment, what about that list?
Also, to paraphrase you: the out-of-place fossils and DNA sequences would be enough to falsify "evolution" for me. Why is that criterion any more "absurd" than your personalized criteria for ID falsification?
ts · 23 February 2005
GCT · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Randall · 23 February 2005
The reason that a quantum gravity theory is "better" than saying "GM for large things, QM for small things" is that some observations (black holes, for example) involve both small things and large gravities, and thus can't be properly explained by either GM or QM. If a quantum gravity theory can be formulated which properly explains those observations, then it will have more explanatory power than both GM and QM combined, and thus be favored even by Occam's Razor (since of all the hypotheses which explain all the data, it will be the simplest). Besides, everyone here has agreed that Occam's Razor gives you likelihoods, not certainties.
GCT · 23 February 2005
David Heddle, a couple points.
First, TS has a point. Falsifiable for David Heddle is not the same as ID is falsifiable.
Second, am I to understand that the sole reason you support ID is because of Dembski's (I think it was him) argument of the fine tuning of the universe? I believe the argument goes that this universe was fine tuned so much that we would not exist if anything were slightly different, therefore the universe must have been designed giving rise to us?
If that is your argument, do you have any problem with abiogenesis? Do you dispute evolution? Evolution has nothing what-so-ever to do with the formation of the universe, so you shouldn't have a problem with it.
I also don't understand why you would reject my ideas of how a supernatural being could spoof us or could have made infinite universes, which would still support ID. That's the point of it all. Your version of ID relies on a supernatural being that is beyond time and space by definition, else this being could not have designed the universe, which includes time and space. Therefore, this supernatural being is not bound by the laws of time and space (hence the supernatural nature of it.) This being should be able to warp time/space and make it appear to us that there are infinite parallel universes, should this being wish that to be so. All I'm doing is keeping ID alive, even if it isn't alive for you, should we discover parallel universes or an ever-existing universe. The fact that you can't make that jump shows that you have drawn an arbitrary line in the sand, but the problem with that is that once you start drawing arbitrary lines, anyone else can do the same thing.
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
David Heddle, since you're not an official spokesman for ID, the fact that you think up two private falsifying test for your version of ID is useless. The "mainstream" ID cannot be falsified for the reasons above: it uses an omnipotent designer that can be used to explaine everything. As I said back at the beggining of this subthread, I am not interested in discussing your ID since true or false, it is not IDers' ID, just your own private hypothesis.
Are you willing to admit that Dembski's version of ID (with an all powerful designer that hides the Christian God) is unfalsifiable?
Hope that helps,
Grey Wolf
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
Russell · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Russell,
I agree, no more point to the round and round. All I can say is, if you want to damage the case for evolution, preach that it can be falsified if you find a pre Cambrian human fossil.
Michael Finley · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
Henry J · 23 February 2005
Re "Curious that the disagreement between the Einsteinian and quantum mechanical explanations of gravity (the warping of space and the exchange of gravitons respectively) wasn't solved simply by an appeal to Ockham's Razor. Someone should tell the physicists their wasting a lot of time over something that could be decided by appealing to a simple principle."
I didn't know graviton theory was developed far enough to be used as a working theory?
Henry
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
Steve Reuland · 23 February 2005
GCT · 23 February 2005
David Heddle,
The point I am making is that you have not shown ID to be falsifiable. Let's explore this further.
You believe that some designer made the universe and made it just so so that we can come to life and be human. Who is this designer? May I assume it is some deity, most likely the Xtian god?
OK, now supposed someone proves that parallel universes exist. Does this disprove ID? Well, to you it does, or does it? Doesn't it really disprove your philosophical idea that we are a special creation of your deity placed in this special universe? Was that really a scientific point that you held that was falsified, or was it philosophical? My discussion of the arbitrary line in the sand was to say that you drew a philosophical line in the sand, which is non-scientific. The reason that finding parallel universes would destroy ID for you is that it is philosophically held by you, not scientific. Therefore, you have not shown ID to be a scientific hypothesis that is falsifiable. You have only shown us what would make you change your personal philosophy.
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Flint · 23 February 2005
Flint · 23 February 2005
Grey Wolf · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Michael Finley · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Gonzalez and Richards list these ways to falsify or at least damage their theory:
1)To find a distant environment that was hostile to life and yet a better place than earth for making scientific observations.
2)Find complex life where they claim you won't find it--say on a gas giant, or near a x-ray emitting star in the galactic center, or on a planet without a dark night, etc.
3)Find complex life on a planet that does not have a large moon (that produces good solar eclipses.)
4) Find non-Carbon based life
Flint · 23 February 2005
Flint · 23 February 2005
David Heddle:
OK, this is kind of interesting. After all, if someone agrees that ID has been falsified, what they are necessarily agreeing is that God might not have created what ID creationists are crediting Him with. They are, in essence, specifying criteria by which design can be distinguished from non design. But as I tried to say, this means that they can (at least hypothetically) point to something and say with full confidence that God didn't create it. And THAT I'll believe when I see it!
Your sources are basically saying, life as we know it is the only kind of life God could possibly have made, and if we find life as we don't know it (AND identify it as life, AND agree that it's life, both of which are highly unlikely if it is NOT life as we know it) then there was no designer! But if I were a creationist, I'd laugh at this. Why can't my omniscient God do whatever He wills?
Buridan · 23 February 2005
What exactly are "supernatural causes"? For some reason, it doesn't sound quite right. They're certainly not natural causes, so how are we to understand causation as a supernatural event. For that matter, how are we to understand "supernatural events"? What distinguishes the two?
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Joe the Ordinary Guy · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
ts · 23 February 2005
Flint · 23 February 2005
Flint · 23 February 2005
David Heddle · 23 February 2005
Wayne Francis · 23 February 2005
Bob Maurus · 23 February 2005
David Heddle,
I think we've been here before. You said,
"With one universe, I can claim the fine tuning is evidence for design---for I don't see any other credible explanation."
Would you mind laying out the scientific basis for that conclusion? Bear in mind that I consider it a prime example of what I call "Lookingback." Let me explain.
From the perspective of the self-proclaimed culmination, everything which preceded us happened specifically to facilitate us. Any claim of fine-tuning therefore explicitly claims that we were the before-the-fact planned and intended result of the meticulous design of everything, including mass extinctions, weather anomalies, local disasters, and anything else you want to toss into the mix. Your God set up a sequence that wiped out up to 90+% of all life on earth multiple times as a path to us. Kinda strains credulity, don't you think?
Air Bear · 23 February 2005
Wayne Francis · 23 February 2005
Man I shouldn't post when I have the flu....my post doesn't read as well as it should. Flame me all you want.
Buridan · 23 February 2005
Wayne, I don't know what the hell you're talking about. "It theology, its abstract ideas." Lay off the NyQuil dude!
Naw, I'm just bustin your balls :-)
David Heddle · 24 February 2005
GCT · 24 February 2005
Flint · 24 February 2005
David Heddle · 24 February 2005
It's an absurd stance. Some of us who are IDers tell you the experimental results that would make us abandon ID, and yet you insist that ID is unfalsifiable.
So what do you call it if:
Day 1: I am a diehard ID proponent
Day 2: Experimental detection of another universe is announced
Day 3: I renounce ID
And, after you tell me that, tell me what this is called:
Day 1: I am a diehard steady-state universe proponent
Day 2: Experimental detection of the expansion of the universe is announced
Day 3: I renounce the steady-state view of the universe
Wayne Francis · 24 February 2005
David Heddle · 24 February 2005
Yes I believe evolution is falsifiable. I didn't always think so. When you aren't being called stupid, liar, troll, moron, idiot, crack-head, and, most recently, a child abuser, you can occasionally learn something on this site.
Im am not sure how you want me to elaborate on that question (how do you falsify the aspects of evolution that go beyond genetics?) I don't what I was thinking about at that time. Probably looking for falsification in speciation.
ts · 24 February 2005
Tara Smith · 24 February 2005