Everyone check out “The Apocalypse Will Be Televised” by Gene Lyons at Harper’s Magazine. Lyons reviews the Left Behind series, a wildly popular set of novels that portray, in Tom Clancy style, the Rapture and Armageddon according to dispensationalist beliefs. The antichrist is the head of the U.N. and looks like Robert Redford, the jews must convert or die, that kind of thing. The novels are by prominent fundamentalist Tim LaHaye, who also helped found such notable organizations as the Moral Majority and the Institute for Creation Research (see the Who’s who of prophecy page on LaHaye).
It turns out that creationism is more closely tied to modern fundamentalist prophecy interpretation than I had previously appreciated. I’ll quote the most relevant passages from Lyons’ article.
Describing the conclusion of the battle between Jesus and the Antichrist in the last Left Behind book, Lyons writes,
As in every action/adventure flick for rent at Blockbuster, it’s obligatory that Mr. Big survive until the final showdown. But we all know how this story ends. Our heroes’ need to array themselves against the mighty armies of the Antichrist on the battlefield at Armageddon is never explained; not only is the entire event being televised worldwide like some cosmic Super Bowl but everything’s foreordained to happen precisely as it does happen (as we’re repeatedly assured by the scholarly Dr. Rosenzweig, whose timely conversion has turned him into Tribulation Force’s number one Jew for Jesus). God finished this screenplay a very long time ago, and there aren’t going to be any rewrites. “Lucifer, dragon, serpent, devil, Satan,” the archangel Gabriel commands, “you will now face the One you have opposed from time immemorial.” After which Jesus adds, “For all your lies about having evolved, you are a created being.”
Evolved? It all comes down to that? God is going to straighten Satan out about evolution versus creationism on Judgment Day? Apparently so. There will also be happy political consequences in getting rid of all the skeptics, unbelievers, and adepts of rival faiths. Rayford wonders if, just maybe, with only believers “left in the United States … would there be enough of them to start rebuilding the country as, finally for real, a Christian nation?”
(Gene Lyons, "The Apocalypse Will Be Televised")
Satan claims he evolved? That’s news to me. I wonder where he fits on the phylogenetic tree — perhaps a highly modified hoofed animal, like whales? Lyons continues:
How seriously the rest of us need to take a primitive revenge fantasy like the Left Behind novels is hard to say. While daydreaming about Armageddon, most readers, I’m guessing, are also signing off on thirty-year mortgage notes and keeping their life insurance up to date. Intellectually, the “rapture racket,” as Barbara R. Rossing calls it in her lucid and passionate book The Rapture Exposed, owes its origins to nineteenth-century turmoil over Darwinism. A professor of the New Testament at the Lutheran School of Theology in Chicago, Rossing argues persuasively that certain people are attracted to Darby’s “dispensationalist system with its Rapture theology because it is so comprehensive and rational—almost science-like—a feature that made it especially appealing during battles over evolution during the 1920s and 1930s.”
(Gene Lyons, "The Apocalypse Will Be Televised")
This all makes sense — Biblical literalists are going to be literal with everything in the Bible — but those of us who focus on the scientific arguments about Earth’s prehistory often lose track of the fact that for the young-earth creationists, this is all one package, starting with Genesis 6,000 years ago and extending straight through to World War III in the Holy Land Sometime Real Soon Now.
193 Comments
kay · 27 March 2005
Let's hope that the literal Rapture takes away those who literally believe in it so we can get on with life.
Ben · 27 March 2005
Jesus wept.
rampancy · 27 March 2005
Jesus called.
He wants His religion back.
PZ Myers · 27 March 2005
One quibble: how can anyone claim that dispensationalism is a literal interpretation of the Bible? It's numerological nonsense and schizophrenic hallucinations and loads and loads of made-up blather.
Oh, wait...maybe it is biblical, after all.
Buridan · 27 March 2005
It should also be noted that most devotees of the LaHaye (and Frank Peretti) novels do not read these fictions as fiction per se. The plot line and even some of the characters are taken as very real for these dispensationalists. This theological belief system provides the backbone for the religious right and also provides one of the better windows into this extremely paranoid world. I recommend everyone read at least one of these tales of religious paranoia. They're quite revealing. Pick one up at your local library, however, they're not worth buying.
PvM · 27 March 2005
Dan S. · 27 March 2005
"Satan claims he evolved?"
That *is* a really weird bit. Does anyone believe this, either as fact or story?
What on earth are L&J getting at here? Is it just another odd attempt to smear evolution as Satanic, or is there some sort of theological basis, however wacky?
World ends at 9 pm today! - News at 11.
Dan S. · 27 March 2005
I've had a suprising number of people, from various walks of life, in full possession of their wits and by no means unintelligent, confide in me their feelings that we are really living in the End Times. Mostly since I moved to Philly, which might have something to do with it, but nevertheless, it's really strange. I really do wonder how, as mentioned above, it affects various mundane decisions. People have brought this up in relation to environmentalism, etc. - anybody know of studies?
Folks aren't piling up and burning their possessions yet, anyway . . .
Jim Harrison · 27 March 2005
I expect that the Left Behind series is popular for the same reason that the DaVinci Code sells millions. Both offer a highly literal version of issues of ultimate concern, the former replacing myth with science fiction, the later turning a spiritual mystery into a murder mystery. Fundamentalism as a whole fits this pattern since it is marked by the reduction of religious faith to adherence to a series of flat propositions, a kind of doctrinal positivism.
afarensis · 27 March 2005
It's my impression that the linking of satat with evolution goes back to Henry Morris, at least. The idea has been around for awhile anyway.
steve · 27 March 2005
"Lucifer, dragon, serpent, devil, Satan," the archangel Gabriel commands, "you will now face the One you have opposed from time immemorial." After which Jesus adds, "For all your lies about having evolved, you are a created being. Who should be paying a flat tax."
QrazyQat · 27 March 2005
Supply Side Jesus, steve.
David Heddle · 27 March 2005
Buridan · 27 March 2005
Wrong again David. John Nelson Darby, the father of dispensationalism, was the first to suggest the doctrine of the rapture and it's been a central feature ever since.
David Heddle · 27 March 2005
Buridan,
The rapture is a central feature but it is not the "axiom." You understand the difference, I assume? The central axiom is the rejection of Jesus' supposed offer. Read any book on dispensationalism, by either friend or foe.
Do you think by dropping Darby's name you prove your point? Interesting logic. Or rather lack thereof, a PT specialty.
If the rapture were definitive aspect of dispensationalism, then Darby couldn't be its father. Premillennialism goes back to the early church. The fact that God has unfinished business with the Jews and tthat he church age was unforseen is what is particular to dispensationialism.
Buridan · 27 March 2005
Keanus · 27 March 2005
Apocalyptic visions, which is how I regard the Left Behind series, have been a staple of religion for centuries, and it's just the latest manifestations of an end of the world forecast, only in this case with more publicity and no specific date. Like most astrologers, LeHaye and Jenkins avoid being specific about things that could be checked. As with all such prognostications it will fall of its own failure, only without a specific date, that death may be lingering. In the meantime its current promoters have found a commercial and legitimate way to cash in, handsomely, on the gullibility of their audience.
But I think the importance of this nonsense is overblown. Yes, LaHaye and Jenkins have sold something like 40 or 50 million books, depending on what's being counted , but that's for 12 novels (or maybe it's 13 or 14) or four to five million each. Considering that most readers probably buy several of the novels (and real martyrs buy all of them!) we're talking about at least four million folks but probably more like eight of nine. That's not even all the fundamentalists in the country. Those numbers will diminish when LaHaye and Jenkins prove to be false prophets. A social phenomena worth noting? Yes. A phenomena with legs? Probably not.
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 27 March 2005
Ed Darrell · 27 March 2005
But by dropping Darby's name, one informs those people who follow thoelogy seriously. Alas, that means one usually loses creationists.
At least people who follow evolution usually know who Darwin is.
Russell · 27 March 2005
Norm · 27 March 2005
Someone mentioned a bumper sticker they'd seen that said:
"Come the Rapture, can I have your car?"
Pete Dunkelberg · 27 March 2005
In all fairness and balanced-ness you must also read Good Omens.
John Wilkins · 27 March 2005
Clearly Satan is harmless, as Cuvier noted. The apocryphal story goes that Cuvier, who claimed to be able to describe an entire animal from several functional characters like teeth (well before the evolutionary attempts that creationists like to mock; Cuvier was opposed to evolution back in the 1810s), was once surprised in his bedchamber by some students, one of whom was dressed as Satan.
"I am Satan, and I am here to eat your soul!" declared the imposter.
Cuvier replied, "Horns, therefore herbivore. You can't eat me!"
Gould, in some essay or other, doubts that this happened only because nobody would have dared to disturb Cuvier. But as he was opposed to evolution, we can rely upon his authority nonetheless.
Buridan · 27 March 2005
Wesley R. Elsberry · 27 March 2005
The choice recent bit of illogic on PT being, of course, David Heddle's remark in comment 20,679, saying that ID predicts that we will not observe multiverses, therefore ID is falsifiable.
That had two problems: (1) ID cannot predict any such thing, and (2) the statement of the "prediction" is a pure existential statement, one of a class of statements which Popper specifically demonstrated were unfalsifiable.
Michael Rathbun · 27 March 2005
Given that ID must inescapably posit at least one supernatural Designer, ID must logically posit not less than one "superverse". The existence of a superverse suggests the existence of multiverses. Therefore ID predicts... not much.
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Steve Reuland · 28 March 2005
Wesley R. Elsberry · 28 March 2005
StevR · 28 March 2005
David Heddle writes: "... when Christ returns living believers will be caught up in the air..."
Are these people so terrified of death that they will embrace ANY religious dogma that promises them eternal life, regardless of an abundance of contrarian scientific data, not to mention common sense ?
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
Russell · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Michael I · 28 March 2005
One important note.
David Heddle's contention that "fine-tuning" supports ID is false.
Given the observation that life exists and the assumption that the universe is naturalistic, then we MUST observe that the universe is life-friendly (physical laws permit the existence of life). However if life exists and there is a designer then we may or may not observe a life-friendly universe. The observation of "life-friendliness" therefore cannot undermine the hypothesis of a naturalistic universe and is neutral only under strong assumptions on either the intentions or the powers of the designer. The extent to which the "life-friendliness" is "fine-tuned" is irrelevant to this argument.
See http://quasar.as.utexas.edu/anthropic.html for more details.
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Russell · 28 March 2005
GCT · 28 March 2005
Once again, it should be pointed out to David Heddle that ID falsified to David Heddle is not the same as ID is falsified. Besides, when the supernatural is involved, anything is possible, so the contention that multiple universes falsifies ID is ludicrous. The omnipotent designer could have made any amount of universes and still made ours exactly the way it is.
Besides, David, you contend that ID is NOT science, so why does it even matter? Why do you come onto a science blog to defend a non-science?
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
GCT · 28 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
Mr. Heddle:
Just in case you have overlooked it, I'll draw your attention to my old question.
Since EVERY scenario appears to be compatible with cosmological ID, why do you claim that one particular scenario would falsify cosmological ID?
Please let us know why you think that cosmological ID implies one specific scenario.
Steve Reuland · 28 March 2005
Wesley R. Elsberry · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Andrew · 28 March 2005
Before anyone responds to David Heddle, I think we all need to make sure this isn't more of his patented unfunny humor. After all, dispensationalism seems no more or less credible than the notion that original sin is encoded in our genes.
Great White Wonder · 28 March 2005
I never stop being fascinated by adults, like Heddle (allegedly), who refuse to admit defeat after their arguments have been utterly destroyed.
It's like watching a squirrel's tail flippin around on the highway after it's been run over by semi.
Heddle wants to poll Ph.D. scientists to determine the accuracy of Wesley's statement? Too funny.
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Actually Andrew, you are wrong. Dispensationalism makes claims about its own veracity that can be tested, given that it purports to be the true biblically based systematic theology.
A statement such as "original sin might be encoded in our genes" even if not intended as humor would fall under the category of idle speculation. As long as it is not postulated as something serious, idle speculation is perfectly fine and fun. Kind of like multiverse theories, or the idea that wormholes can be used for time travel, or the counter arguments I've read to irreducible complexity on evolution blog, or the notion that Popper has once for all defined falsifiability and if we could just get everyone to read him we'd all be in agreement.
Buridan · 28 March 2005
Fraser · 28 March 2005
Keanus, I'm glad someone agrees with me that the fuss over Left Behind is exaggerated. Having argued for years against assuming that You Are What You Read (e.g., Harry Potter=Satanist, Goosebumps books=passive drone [an argument from the Ayn Rand Institute that they show their protagonists as helpless victims of supernatural forces]) I've been uncomfortable with the arguments that "people who read Left Behind are being brainwashed into ..."
For a really funny analysis of the first book (and dead on, too), check out the slacktivist blog. But I reserve his suggestion on exploiting the rapture to make billions ("If you want the return of the men and women I have trapped in the fourth dimension, you must pay me $50 billion, Mr. President!") for my personal use!
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
DavidF · 28 March 2005
David Heddle,
You said "(Actually, a rapture is common to all end times views . . . )"
(bold mine)
The Jehovah's Witnesses, e.g., don't believe in a rapture yet they subscribe to an end time view and also are Millenialists.
Wesley R. Elsberry · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
Mr. Heddle,
please explain how does cosmological ID rule out any scenario concerning the existence or non-existence of other universes and the eventual uniqueness of their fundamental constants.
If you continue to avoid showing this, your assertion that "cosmological ID... can be refuted by experiment" is just white noise.
Thank you in advance for avoiding further divagation.
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Emanuele, we have done this many times and then you devolve into some impenetrable metaphysics.
But I'll try again,
Here is what cosmological ID is to me. You can call it DHID if you like.
Cosmological ID is the hypothesis that our universe was designed to support life, and that the evidence for that design is seen in its fine tuning. If the fine tuning is proved to be an artifact of an incomplete understanding of cosmology, and vanishes when the present cosmology is replaced by one with no "fine tuning problems", or if multiverse theories are verified, theories that hold that there are an infinite number of universes with different expansion rates, constants, numbers of dimensions, etc, then cosmological ID is dead.
It is true that I could still claim "God did it that way, he created an infinite number of universes most of which are sterile, all for His glory." I could and might say that. Nevertheless that is not ID, but garden variety faith. ID doesn't "just" posit that God created the universe, but that he has left evidence in the form of fine tuning and also (perhaps to a lesser extent, I am still unclear on this) the observational advantage bestowed on our location.
Since alternate cosmologies are a rich field of investigation, the possibility of falsifying ID, at least as I defined it, is quite real.
Now I have a real question for the PT types. I do mean real---not snide or sarcastic. I would be interested in your answers, even Wesley's if he can drop the Popper thing.
It's about our transparent atmosphere. It seems to me evolution can explain quite convincingly that either (a) our eyes evolved to be sensitive to where the atmosphere is transparent or (b) our eyes evolved to be sensitive to the part of the spectrum where the sun's intensity peaks. But does it say anything about the fact that on earth those two things happen to overlap---i.e., that the atmosphere is transparent in the visible part of the spectrum? Is that viewed as a necessary condition for complex life or just our good fortune?
BTW, I had to look up the definition for divagation. Cool word.
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Emanuelle,
I have never said that "the hypothesis that our universe was designed to support life implies that the evidence for design is in the fine tuning." I agree that God could design the universe without leaving evidence of his design behind, or He could even obfuscate the evidence. What I said is that the fine tuning is evidence for design, not that design implied fine tuning.
A non-fine-tuned universe could have been designed that way (therefore design does not imply fine tuning) or it could have occurred naturally.
A fine-tuned unique universe, so I posit, had to be designed.
I won't go any more iterations on this. Post a rebuttal and declare victory.
Do you have any thoughts on my question regarding the transparency of the atmosphere?
Great White Wonder · 28 March 2005
jeff-perado · 28 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Our atmosphere is transparent to the part of the EM spectrum in which the sun's intensity peaks. That is quite nice for us. Venus's atmosphere, for example, is not transparent to yellow. So had we evolved on Venus, would our eyes be most sensitive to where the atmosphere was transparent (but not where the sun's intensity was a maximum) or where the sun's intensity was a maximum (but the atmosphere not transparent)? We wouldn't have the luxury, as we do on earth, to say "both."
Evolution, being a science and all, must have a prediction to make about such matters.
Russell · 28 March 2005
Great White Wonder · 28 March 2005
DavidF · 28 March 2005
I think David Heddle here raises a good point. In fact, such questions have driven a number of physicists to speculate that we are part of some sort of simulation.
I'm no ID-er but it is curious that a variety of special circumstances seem to be necessary for life on earth - e.g., the existence of a Jupietr like planet at larger than typical distances from its Sun (as compared to extrasolar planetary systems); circular planetary orbits - again, apparently an exception; a moon to prvent chaotic obliquity variations in Earth's orbit not to mention the fine tuning of the various fundamental constants. A recent article in MNRAS asks essentially "Is the Solar System unique."
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/links/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2966.2004.08237.x/abs/;jsessionid=g9iJk5HiFUpc
Such matters have little to do with evolution itself which is an indisputable fact - even Dr Davison grants that much. But there are unanswered questions and coincidences that are puzzling. It serves no useful purpose to conflate such questions with the more typical ID/YEC arguments that are put forth.
Ed Darrell · 28 March 2005
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Russell:
Touche!
Great White Wonder · 28 March 2005
DavidF
Of course the yes/no question "Is the Solar System Unique" is rather different from the strange question asked by Heddle: "s the fact that on earth ... the atmosphere is transparent in the visible part of the spectrum ... just our good fortune"?
Assuming that David is being sincere when he proposes this as a "real" scientific question, what can the phrase "just our good fortune" possibly mean?
This is the point at which Heddle's arguments collapse into non-science drivel: "As I sit at my computer, I am so impressed by the universe that I simply must conclude it was designed! Please, gentle reader: hold my hand, close your eyes, and take a little trip with me!"
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
GWW,
Why is it a strange question? Is transparency of the atmosphere in the region of the star's peak intensity required, in your view, for complex life?
It's a fair question, I think.
Great White Wonder · 28 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
Mr. Heddle:
once again, why do you find this surprising at all? If our planet supported sentient life but its atmosphere only allowed different bands of the spectrum to pass through, we would most likely possess receptors that could perceive that. What are you marveling at? What is the mystical significance of, say, a wavelength of 700 nanometers compared to one of 800 nanometers? Is it really so more strange than, say, my legs 'unbelievably' reaching all the way to the ground?
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Emanuelle, I am "marveling" at the coincidence that our atmosphere is transparent in the part of the spectrum where the sun's intensity peaks.
Michael I · 28 March 2005
Clarification to my comment up above (currently Comment #22165) on "fine-tuning" and Design.
While the extent of "fine-tuning" is irrelevant to the argument that "life-friendliness" can not undermine a naturalistic universe (and is only neutral under strong restrictions on the intentions of the deity), the extent of "fine-tuning" is not irrelevant to the amount of support "life-friendliness" provides to a naturalistic universe. In fact, increased "fine-tuning" tends to increase support for a naturalistic universe, absent fairly strong assumptions about the intentions of the deity.
See http://quasar.as.utexas.edu/anthropic.html for further details. The page can also be found at http://bayesrules.net/anthropic.html
steve · 28 March 2005
Somewhere on Zarbonia, a Zarbonian zealot tells some sensible Zorbonians, "Isn't it profound that our eyeballs are perfectly tuned to the infrared? They are exactly designed such that we can see other Zarbonians in the dark. Truly, god, who looks like a white-bearded Zarbonian, is awesome."
DavidF · 28 March 2005
Well, I don't think David H's question in this case is so ridiculous; people seem to be attacking the conclusions that he might be trying to reach from his question. But it is an excellent question; to what extent has evolution been driven by the photochemistry that is possible from having an atmosphere that is transparent to solar radiation coincident with where solar radiation peaks. Given that the atmosphere absorbs much visible radiation as it is, then surely this is an interesting and almost certainly relevant factor to how life evolved on Earth. So, just how important is it?
Great White Wonder · 28 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 28 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 28 March 2005
steve · 28 March 2005
Is that Heddle's question, or your question?
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 28 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 28 March 2005
euan · 28 March 2005
Before you can claim that there is fine tuning, you have to show that any tuning is physically possible. There is no current physical theory that allows for tuning. String theory might do it, but nobody knows yet if it will. Taking the current universe and saying it is fine-tuned is an exercise in begging the question (the question being begged is whether there is any other way to get a physically self-consistent universe than the one we know about)
Furthermore, if you don't know how to vary physical constants, if you don't have a mechanism you can't claim anything about probabilities. This is pretty basic, really.
And why does God need to fine-tune the universe? Fine-tuning implies that God is constrained by physics, it's like why does God need a starship?
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
Mr. Heddle:
Correct me if I'm wrong, but... don't an awful lot of stars emit a great deal of light in the fraction of the EM spectrum that we have evolved to see? Is that another of your "coincidences"?
Now, it is true that our atmosphere is partially transparent to visible light. It is also partially transparent to a great many other wavelengths. Yet, our eyes, "mysteriously", have evolved to perceive a handy range of wavelengths that happen to abound on our planet. Is that a surprising "coincidence"?
We haven't evolved in other conditions. We simply don't know what paths another evolutionary history might take, given different conditions. Heck, we don't know what paths another evolutionary history might take even in conditions closely resembling our own! Why do you presume this is a problem? Are you still pursuing the false image of evolution as a purely deterministic process, the counterpart of the just as fallacious evolution as a purely random process canard?
Wesley R. Elsberry · 28 March 2005
Russell · 28 March 2005
Mr.(Dr?) Oriano: By pointing out that a lot of stars have similar spectra, you may think you're rendering David's observation less remarkable. Not so! I believe that David's inspiration in these things is a recent book entitled "Privileged Planet" - whose thesis is that life and the earth were uniquely designed to be ideal for discovering the rest of the universe. I believe, for instance, "Privileged Planet" makes the case that the diameter of the moon being a really good match for the diameter of the sun -relative to their distances from the earth - was specifically planned to facilitate astronomical observations during solar eclipses. So, by the same logic, it stands to reason that stars were designed to emit the kinds of EM radiation they do - so we could see them!
Emanuele Oriano · 28 March 2005
Russell:
I'm not a PhD. However, it doesn't take a PhD to notice that, by arguing backwards, one can support almost every conceivable scenario.
For instance, if one assumes that our being here at this particular juncture in time is somehow very, very significant, then one can easily conclude that everything in the history of the universe was specifically arranged ("fine-tuned", some would say) so that this momentuous fact could happen. But... do we really think we're that important? Talk about a superiority complex!
I simply see no reason to assume anything of this kind. And the moment you scratch the thin varnish of specious arguments that IDers have given their pet supernatural entity, you end up with the same old "Fine-Tuner of the Gaps" that has plagued us ever since we discovered that fire and lightning were not deities.
Buridan · 28 March 2005
Russell, I really hope you're just trying to be funny.
Russell · 28 March 2005
Buridan: hey, check out the book. I'm not making this stuff up!
Russell · 28 March 2005
By the way, PvM did a pretty good discussion of "Privileged Planet" here and here on Panda's Thumb.
(And, just in case there was any confusion as to whether I was endorsing the Privileged Planet argument above: no. I was just pointing out that what you or I might find comic, these guys are perfectly serious about!)
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Rev, I am willing to and have already agreed that my opinions are just my opinions. And my clothes are just my clothes. And my car is just my car. I still don't see your point.
Wes, you need to start banging a different drum.
David Heddle · 28 March 2005
Rev,
I have stated over and over that ID is not science. I'll be happy to say it to anyone.
Wesley R. Elsberry · 28 March 2005
steve · 28 March 2005
Obviously in some situations the evolution of EM detectors, like eyes, would head to the highest frequency of radiation to which the atmosphere was transparent. That would give you the highest resolution. bees can see some UV we can't, though, and you can get info from infrared. Nothing mysterious about this. And about the sun, there's obviously other temperature/luminosity profiles you could fit life around.
"Wow, look how improbable this is!"
"How probable was it, exactly?"
"No idea! But I'm sure it was very, very improbable."
God of the Gaps arguments are lame. But, I find all apologetics lame. Science, on the other hand, is marvelous.
Buridan · 28 March 2005
Henry J · 28 March 2005
Regarding whether ID predicts anything about number of "universes":
It seems to me that for a hypothesis to predict an observation (or probablility thereof), said prediction has to be a logical deduction from the premises assumed by that hypothesis. If "something engineered it" is the only agreed on assumption, then there isn't much of anything that can be deduced from that. Including the number of what we call "universes".
(Although imo some other word should be used here instead, perhaps "multiple space-times" instead of "multiple universes", since the word "universe" literally means all that is, so by that definition would include all existing space-times.)
Re physicists describing multiple universe hypotheses:
My take on that is that when a physicist proposes a multi-verse (or whatever) speculative hypothesis, it is an attempt at explaining a set of presently unexplained observations, and would if correct explain them.
In contrast, what the arguments for ID (the ones I've seen anyway) purport to explain is why there are unanswered questions. Well, AFAIK unanswered questions are inevitable for as long as there are beings to ask questions, ergo no explanation is needed for their existence.
Henry
Ed Darrell · 29 March 2005
No, Zarbonians have blue beards in old age, not white.
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 29 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Rev:
Continuing our Zen session: my opinions are not holy or divine...
Buridan · 29 March 2005
Mine are...
GCT · 29 March 2005
David Heddle, you still don't understand the question, do you? You try to assert that ID is indeed falsifiable, but then you concede that what you have been describing is simply your very specific version of ID. If multi-universes are found to exist, it would destroy YOUR version of ID, but it would not falsify all of ID. The reason is that ID can be re-written - even your specific version - to include any eventuality, and THAT is the reason why you can not falsify it. Everything confirms, "goddidit," and "goddidit" can be an explanation for anything. It's not falsifiable and of utterly no use to science.
Furthermore, it is arrogant to think that if your personal philosophies are destroyed that it will cause all of ID to come crashing down.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
GCT,
Falsification is always at a personal level. Look at Hoyle: he believed in a steady state universe long after the data were sufficient to falsify it for everyone else. Similarly with Einstein and the probabilistic interpretation of QM.
Evolution is the same way. If an organism were discovered with no common DNA, then I suspect this would "falsify" evolution for some, while others would just say that life originated more than once.
Are you sure there is no test of evolution which, if it failed, would falsify evolution for some but not for all? Or is every falsification test for evolution guaranteed to convince 100% of all biologists?
I actually remember some falsification threads on PT where someone (pro-evolution) said X would falsify evolution and someone else (pro-evolution) said: "I don't think so, because..." indicating there was not universal agreement even among evolution proponenets about what would falsify evolution. Why should ID be required to supply a universally accepted falsification test?
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
If the atmosphere were opaque to the sun's electromagnetic radiation, IDists would be marveling over its capacity to support sound waves.
Perhaps more seriously, how would plants grow if the majority of radiation from the sun could not pass through our atmosphere? And on Venus, guess what? The sun's radiation cannot pass through.
Tube worm theologians will probably be praising the gods for shielding deep-sea vents from the sun, should they ever develop intelligence.
It's all a problem of cause and effect, this fact that we really cannot show that design caused whatever would be necessary for our current living conditions.
Furthermore, we don't need multi-verses to deal with any presumed "fine-tuning" of the universe for life. All we need is to recognize that what is in question is whether life is meaningful or not. You can't get from quantitative probabilities to the meaning of life in the cosmic sense.
Here's the issue in short: a universe is going to have possibilities for energy/information configurations. Some of these possibilities will support life, and some will not. If we don't know that life is anything special in a cosmic sense, there is absolutely no meaning to be inferred if possibilities for energy/information/life appear in one of many universes, or even in the one sole universe that ever exists (should this be the case). If the possibilities for life are meaningless in the cosmic sense, there is nothing to be known from the appearance of life in any universe (or in the one universe that can ever be).
People try to make life meaningful by showing that it is unlikely (whether this is true or not). Any energy/information possibility may be unlikely, but should we say that a demon made the universe because the miseries suffered by life appear in this universe?
An ancient Greek story has a demon telling the "truth of life", that it is better not to have been born, and that if one is unlucky enough to be born, the best hope is to leave life as soon as possible. Not my story, but one that has been believed by enough people to have survived down the ages.
If this Greek story tells the truth, then we are unlucky--or some "design" has specifically been created to produce unfortunate beings. Or one might turn it around, and suppose that life is a lucky accident--or some kind of "design". The point is that you have to have some meaning assigned to life prior to matching up its existence against the probabilities of its existence, and we have only our own evolved sensibilities to use (either positively or negatively). And there is nothing in the probabilities to tell us if life is sweet or sour.
GCT · 29 March 2005
There's a big difference between falsifying a theory and falsifying a hypothesis. Hypotheses are written so that they can be falsified. If they are repeatedly verified, they become theory or become part of a theory. Evolution is a full blown theory with many different hypotheses that have been written as ideas that could be scientifically falsified, but have not yet been falsified. If you falsify one of those hypotheses, it puts a kink in that specific part of the overall theory, but may not necessarily destroy the whole theory. It should be noted, however, that the hypotheses were all written to be falsifiable by the scientific method.
Now, with ID, there is no coherent theory. ID is a mish-mash of god-of-the-gaps philosophical arguments. What you have done is taken one specific outlook of ID (yours) drawn a line in the sand, and said that if the line is crossed, you will recant your specific outlook. There is no scientific hypothesis at stake here that can be falsified, only your personal philosophy. So, when or if your personal philosophy is debunked, it will not cause all of ID to come crashing down. If you don't understand the fact that "goddidit" is not falsifiable, then you have no concept of what science is.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
Falsification tests aren't the essential issue. Epistemologically this is because we really can only deal with positive evidence from our senses, and correlations must be made prior to using falsification tests within various proposed correlations. Popper got it wrong, although falsification is often a very good way to test a theory.
I have to agree, though, that it isn't easy to come up with a single falsification test for evolution. Undisputed rabbit fossils from the Cambrian are a favorite, but there really is nothing in rabbit fossils from the Cambrian that could falsify the evidence-based story of fish evolution in the Devonian. People mistake the general predictions of evolution as necessarily applying in every instance, when of course they need not. We have organisms today that show evidence of design, after all, and this evidence (which is typically due to human genetic engineering) does not falsify the evolution that led up to our subjects for experimentation and engineering.
Evolution is falsifiable, however, because it makes strong predictions regarding patterns. It could be falsified specifically in some cases, or in general if its predictions were never borne out. Popperian falsifiability does indeed work in the case of evolution, it's just that one should not confuse the fact that evolution by NS is now believed (and sufficiently shown) to be universally active in life (including in genetically engineered organisms--they have a tendency to select back more toward the "wild type") with the fact that it need not to have been universally explanatory--any more than language evolution theories apply straightforwardly to Esperanto. Cambrian rabbits (should they be found) might very well not have evolved, at least on earth. But we'd need data specific to fishes to indicate that they did not evolve independently of Cambrian rabbits, had they been discovered.
You'd need to give us falsification criteria and/or correlations that indicate that life is a "special outcome" before we could consider any kind of ID to be science. And because I can't even imagine how you can show that life is a "special outcome" prior to probabilistic calculations, and the latter cannot indicate life to be a "special outcome" through quantitative means alone, I don't think you're likely to meet the minimal criteria of science.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
GCT · 29 March 2005
David, if ID is not science, then why do you even care? I've asked you this repeatedly, yet you don't answer. Also, your duplicitous nature makes me unwilling to trust you when you say that, "ID is not science," especially because you continually argue for ID and I believe I remember you arguing that ID should be taught in high school science classes.
If ID is not science, then scientific falsification is not an issue, and you shouldn't be pushing for it. Also, you shouldn't be peddling it here on a science-related site and trying to equate it to a robust scientific theory (evolution.)
Your idea of the semi-miraculous threshold is laughable. Evolution has made predictions and they have been shown to be correct, time and again, which is why it garnered the label of a theory in the first place. If it ceases to hold predictive power, it will be back to the drawing board. Once a hypothesis is falsified, however, no one would hold that it is still true, except for cranks, like the ID crowd that are peddling the same arguments that have been debunked for hundreds of years or longer.
Great White Wonder · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Wesley R. Elsberry · 29 March 2005
Jim Harrison · 29 March 2005
Relying on simple induction, one might conclude that God arranged things to make life exceedingly rare in the universe. It could even be that this is not the best of all possible worlds, but the emptiest. We're only here at all because God couldn't have prevented us with out allowing more conscious life somewhere else.
Weimar era version of old Greek story mentioned above: "So miserable is human life that it is preferable to die young. Indeed, it is better never to have been born; but scarcely one in a million is that lucky!"
Great White Wonder · 29 March 2005
Oh, the irony.
It's absurd for modern-looking human fossil to be dated to the pre-Cambrian, but not absurd for an invisible omniscent being to create a universe so that creatures on one of the planets can write books about him. Whatever.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
GCT,
Why do I care, given that ID is not science? Is that a real question? Do you only care about science?
Falsification is not unique to science. If I tell you my name is Bill Buckner, that is a non scientific yet falsifiable statement.
It seems odd to me that you and others would argue with most IDers who claim ID is science, beating them to death over the issue, yet when I agree with you, then you claim I am lying about it. Man, talk about taking both sides.
You have avoided the evolution falsification question. Once again: are there any tests that would sway some biologists but not all? You attacked me by saying just because DHID is falsified, doesn't mean ID is falsified, but you haven't demonstrated that evolution does not suffer the same fate.
As for teaching ID in school, I believe the strongest statement I made is that it can be brought up, not necessarily in a science class. There is absolutely nothing wrong about bringing up ID and discussing it, unless you think all students are feeble minded. Students discussing controversial ideas are one of the things students are supposed to do. I never, ever, stated that it should be part of the science curriculum. I always brought it up (cosmological ID) in the grad classes I taught, usually the last lecture of the year. I would tell the students I'd be talking about it, and that it was optional, Typically we had a blast.
Wesley,
Do you have a (non-absurd) universal falsification test for evolution?
Emanuele Oriano · 29 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 29 March 2005
By the way, if anyone is interested in checking my Krauss quote, it can be found here:
http://www.aaas.org/news/releases/2004/1214startrek.shtml
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
See, David, there are more fine-tuning problems than your benighted beliefs imply. So when Krauss discusses a fine-tuning problem you immediately leap to the false conclusion that he's discussing your fantasies. Why would a serious physicist be discussing the twaddle you amplify and reproduce?
Emanuele Oriano · 29 March 2005
Mr. Heddle:
As anyone with a shred of intellectual honesty has seen, you are equivocating on what Dr. Krauss means by "fine tuning".
No problem. I hoped against all hope that you might be different from what you appeared to be. You're not; too bad.
Have a nice life.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson,
You are truly a national treasure, if only physicists would take advantage of all you have to offer! We could avoid so many fruitless and wasteful research programs.
Now, can you point out where I stated that Krauss argued for "fine tuning for life?" I appreciate your catching me in that error and I'd like to include the reference when I retract my statement.
The issue with Erik was a PT classic. Up there with your dropping claims of logical fallacy amidst your insults. If I remember correctly, he is the one who wrote an "unbiased" letter to Krauss asking him a very fair question which I'll paraphrase: "Some IDer here [that'd be me] claims your fine-tuning statement supports ID. Do you agree?" And there was great rejoicing when Krauss responded "no." I asked that someone actually send Krauss a fair question, such as "is there apparent fine tuning in physics?" (which is all I ever claimed he said) but it was not heard amid the glee.
What exactly are your credentials anyway? Do you have a cv on-line?
Emanuele,
Please explain what Krauss means by fine tuning, if he doesn't, in fact, mean fine tuning.
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
Glen Davidson · 29 March 2005
And I'm not going to respond to David Heddle in this matter any more, since he refuses to even broach the important issues with the proper epistemological stance. It's not a promise, but an intention, and quite likely. There is too little time in my life to waste it on someone who refuses even to learn how to deal with science and philosophy.
I've made some excellent remarks, and they can stand on their own. Heddle's avoidance of the issues only shows his incapacity for dealing with what's been said by most posters here.
GCT · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Russell · 29 March 2005
I've lost track of why we're wasting time on whether ID is falsifiable, when Heddle has said from day 1 that ID is not science. The more provocative claim that he made, also from day 1, is that evolutionary theory is no more scientific than ID. Now, I've never understood his problems with the falsifiability of predictions made by evolution: fossils in a particular temporal order, the twin nested hierarchies of DNA sequences and morphologically/physiologically based phylogenies, to name a couple of the more frequently cited examples. Wouldn't that be a more interesting discussion?
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Michael Rathbun · 29 March 2005
Wesley R. Elsberry · 29 March 2005
GCT · 29 March 2005
David Heddle, you just don't get it. ID has NO falsifiable hypotheses based on empirical testing. None. Not one. All of your protestations aside, there is not one. You claim that empirically detecting another universe would falsify hypothesis A for you, but I don't hold that hypothesis, nor does anyone else on this site most likely. On the other hand, evolution has hypothesis X (and Y, Z, and many others,) that is written in such a way that it can be falsified for all. When that hypothesis is falsified, then we would all say, yes, it has been shown false. It's apples and oranges, and that's why the complaint is valid. When ID has formulated hypotheses that are agreed upon by ID advocates as part of the "theory of ID," and those hypotheses are falsifiable empirically, then maybe we will start to take it seriously.
As for this being a political blog, I don't care if it is, it still deals with a scientific subject. What you are doing is like if I went to a muslim blog and started talking about pork recipes. You show up here, act like ID is science with one side of your mouth, say it isn't out of the other side of your mouth, then denigrate evolution and show a complete lack of understanding of science at the same time. I can't decide if you are better or worse than the DaveScots and JADs here. At least they are honest in coming right out and saying what they think.
steve · 29 March 2005
Evolution reminds me of the story of the guy standing in front of the Mona Lisa. He says to the security guard, "I've been looking at this thing for years. I just don't get it. It's crap. Why do people think this thing is any good?" and the security guard tells him, "Sir, at this point, it's not the Mona Lisa that's at issue here. It's you."
Jim Harrison · 29 March 2005
Popper's only interesting to anti-evolution folks because the falsifiability bit allows them to ignore the warehouses full of positive evidence for evolutionary theory. What's next? Holding up a piece of chalk before a bunch of freshmen and asking, "How do I know for sure this chalk is real?"
386sx · 29 March 2005
So far, David has shown a lust for equivocation that I simply can’t fathom.
Try http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=equivocation for some help on that, Mr. Heddle.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Russell · 29 March 2005
Hey David: is physics falsifiable? Yes or no?
GCT · 29 March 2005
David Heddle, cosmological ID would survive the detection of a parallel universe, your philosophy would not. That is the difference. Evolution per se is not "universally" falsifiable - as you put it - unless one faslifies every hypothesis that is entailed by evolution. Wesley points out that it is silly to say that a class of phenomena is falsifiable, which is what we are talking about here. Evolution, however, is built upon a platform of falsifiable hypotheses. ID has not a single one. To equivocate them is ludicrous. Furthermore, hypothesis X in evolutionary theory if falsified would be falsified for all, not just for me.
The reason we talk about ID being un-falsifiable is because it rests on no testable hypotheses. Not one. If you don't understand that point, then there's not much hope for you, and I'm not holding my breath.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Russell,
No. "Physics" is a label given to the study of the physical world, i.e. of energy and matter. A label cannot be falsified.
Is that all evolution is? A label? Synonymous with "biology"?
GCT
I am confused--did you or did you not claim that if enough of the hypotheses were falsified that some would abandon evolution? If you asked them whether in their opinion evolution was falsified, would they reply "no, but I'm bailing out anyway?" Or maybe they'd reply, "I'm not sure, I'll have to check with Popper?"
neo-anti-luddite · 29 March 2005
Actually, Russell, a better analogy would be:
"Hey David: is gravity falsifiable?"
Russell · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
neo-anti-luddite:
"gravity" is not falsifiable, but any particular theory of gravity is.
Russell:
regarding evolution, fair enough. Your answer that evolution is not falsifiable seems reasonable to me.
However, cosmological ID does make this falsifiable prediction:
This is a unique, fine-tuned universe.
That is much stronger than an Anthropic statement that the universe has to have the characteristics necessary for supporting its observers.
neo-anti-luddite · 29 March 2005
David Heddle,
I have a serious question for you (no sarcasm here), because I'm not particularly up on cosmology, and I'm curious what your answer to my no-doubt simplistic question is (and again, there is no sarcasm intended in the preceding sentence):
My undrestanding of the "fine-tuning" argument is that there is a very narrow range of values for certain cosmological constants that make the universe amenable to the development of life. My question is, since any two numbers have an infinite number of numbers in between them, how can the tuning be described as "fine"?
I've never understood this argument, but, as you yourself have pointed out, there are prominent physicists who speak in such terms, so I'm obviously missing something. I just have absolutely no idea what it is. I would appreciate any assistance you can provide; thanks for the consideration.
DavidF · 29 March 2005
Russell · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
neo-anti-luddite
Suppose I told you that I am going to use an infinite precision random number generator that generated random numbers between 0 and 1. Then suppose I told you that you will die unless, on the first try, I generate a number between 3.00000040 and 3.00000042. I don't think you would take much comfort in the fact that there are an infinite number of numbers between 3.00000040 and 3.00000042.
Furthermore, I think you would be pleasantly surprised if I generated 3.0000004095356.
I don't mean this as any example of any actual fine tuning, or of probability distributions, or anything of the sort, but only to point out the error with the "infinite number of numbers" argument.
DavidF:
You would have a point if it were not the case that there was ongoing research aiming to demonstrate that (a) this universe is not unique and/or (b) this universe is not fine-tuned. That elevates the ID prediction from the metaphysical to the real.
But don't make the common mistake of saying this has anything to do with falsifying God. If there are multiple universes and/or this universe is not fine tuned, I have to give up ID, but not God. I agree with what everyone likes to say here: a deity could create the universe with no fine tuning. Or he could create any number of universes with different chemistry and physics. But there would then be no legitimate way to argue design against the claim, which would then be, by Occam's razor the sensible view, that of course of all universes we are in the one that appears fine tuned because otherwise we wouldn't be here duscussing it.
Russell:
I have no idea where you can find that prediction. Maybe on Hugh Ross's site? I am not "in" the ID community, and if I were it wouldn't be the DI community as it focuses a great deal on evolution. Surely if you ask biologists what might falsify certain evolution hypotheses, such as common descent, they might think about it and say, "I claim this would.." without referring to a textbook or the literature.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
oops, change that random number generator in the previous post to be between 0.0 and 10.0 or neo-anti-luddite would be in really big trouble!
neo-anti-luddite · 29 March 2005
David Heddle,
Okay, I think I get what you're saying. It's a matter of a subset within a larger range, rather than simply a range that could be taken out to an infinite number of places. Thanks. (And thanks for correcting that random number generator; I had visions of "heads-I-win-tails-you-lose.")
neo-anti-luddite · 29 March 2005
David Heddle,
Okay, I think I get it. It's a matter of a subset of a larger range, rather than simply a range that could be taken out to an infinite number of places. Thanks. (And thanks for fixing that random number generator; I had visions of "heads-I-win-tails-you-lose.")
neo-anti-luddite · 29 March 2005
Aaaaaigh! Double post!
Great White Wonder · 29 March 2005
DavidF · 29 March 2005
Russell · 29 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Rev, you are perhaps the greatest logician on PT. It's close, your competition is tough, including:
PT Theorem 8.2: You are an IDer, and you think ID is science! You fool!
PT Theorem 8.3: You are an IDer, and you don't think ID is science! You liar!
But I like your reasoning better:
Rev: David, will you admit this?
David: Yes Rev, I admit that.
Rev: Good. Except you're lying!
One complaint Rev, you forgot . I've come to expect that, like Selah in the Psalms.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Hmm, Rev, my bad, what you forgot was "crickets chirping". It got stripped from my post when I put it in angle brackets.
DavidF · 29 March 2005
DavidH,
Although I am an atheist my argument is with ID and not with someone believing in God.
But to get back to the point. I think the major difference is now down to "what qualifies as a prediction?" You seem to be saying - albeit not directly - that any sort of statement that someone makes as a prediction is automatically a prediction which can be falsified. This is true on one level but it isn't helpful since talk is cheap and falsification is expensive. In addition to falsification experiments also, if possible, need potentially be able to provide support for a theory as well. No theory can be established purely by experiments which only "don't falsify" it.
A theory is something which, if one subscribes to its basic elements, leads inescapably to a prediction, or, possibly a small number of mutually exclusive predictions. However, those elements must have some basis in logic or fact or, preferably both. Here are two examples, with one of them not qualifying as a legitimate prediction;
(i) If I integrate Newton's equations for the small moons of the giant planets backwards into the past I find that there is some good probability that moons have collided with each other. This suggests that moons will occur in clusters with similar orbital elements. This is, in fact, observed. But it isn't a specific prediction since the model is consistent with already known facts. What does the model predict? It predicts that the surface color and composition of moons in these observed sub-clusters will be similar.
(ii) A giant gas-phase octupus gathered up moons in a force field generated by its legs and hurled them at the giant planets. Some of these moons collided with each other. This suggests that moons will occur in clusters with similar orbital elements. This is, in fact, observed. But this isn't a prediction since the model is consistent with already known facts. What does this model predict? It predicts that the surface color and composition of moons in these observed sub-clusters will be similar.
I'd say that the second example is basically a wild guess and any actual observations of moons may or may not be consistent with the guess. Sure, the guess can be ruled out by observations but it cannot be supported by observations whereas (i) can.
To me, this is the essential difficulty with ID - as you say it isn't science - but, science or not, it is incapable of making predictions that go beyond inspired guesses. It makes speculations. Discovering multiple fine-tuned universes cannot falsify ID because such universes are not inconsistent with ID except as an added article of faith. That is, the prediction is not an ineluctable conclusion of the theory of ID (if such existed). It might disprove your own particular belief in ID but theories cannot be so subjective that their validity depends on the observer.
I agree that multiple universes from an Occam's razor point of view would make ID harder to justify but Occam's razor is only useful in choosing between competitive ideas that have some basis in fact. It really cannot be used to distinguish between guesses. After all, if it could, then why not pick one's religion based on which is the most economical? That is, apply Occam's razor to all religions and use it as a criterion of which is "The Truth." I can see a decent cult coming out of that.
Now, I know you say ID isn't science but, equally, it isn't theology since theology doesn't make predictions. I'm not sure what ID is in your book, but it looks more like a personal hope that God left a biscuit trail for us to follow. But the Bible pretty much tells us that He didn't - Jesus said explicitly that no sign would be sent.
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Wayne Francis · 29 March 2005
DavidF · 29 March 2005
Wayne Francis · 29 March 2005
DavidF · 29 March 2005
Wayne,
DavidH is correct - the atmosphere is fairly opaque outside the vis and near-vis parts of the spectrum apart from a window in the microwave region.
http://imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/introduction/emsurface.html
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 29 March 2005
Wayne Francis · 29 March 2005
Wayne Francis · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
Wayne Francis · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 29 March 2005
The it's the same question I asked Emanuele, what does Krauss mean when he uses the term fine-tuning? He is not asking, as you seem to suggest, if I read you correctly, why does it have "this value", like why does pi have the value 3.14159...
He states specfically that it is a 120 order of magnitude problem, and the worst fine tuning problem in physics.
I don't see what he means by "fine tuning" other than what I mean by fine tuning. The only difference is where you turn after you acknowledge the fine tuning.
I'll look for you answer tomorrow. It's off to bed for me.
Emanuele Oriano · 29 March 2005
Mr. Heddle:
I've asked Dr. Krauss. I hope that he'll reply, and that he'll authorize me to quote him.
As for me, I have a very strong hunch of what he means: I think he means that our theories and models must be fine tuned in order to accurately reproduce our observations of the universe.
Yes, it is a problem: at present, our theories and models are not "fine tuned" enough to account for those discrepancies. Yes, it is fascinating: where and how are our theories and models wrong or incomplete? No, it has nothing to do with the preconceived idea that the universe itself must be fine tuned.
But as I say, this is only my layman's opinion.
steve · 29 March 2005
Emanuelle, people have pointed this out about Krauss to Heddle several times. It hasn't made a dent. It's not going to. People have pointed out his basic statistical error. Same thing.
When someone wants to believe, no one can stop them.
steve · 29 March 2005
A good article for Panda's Thumb would be lignin. At some point, plants evolved the ability to make lignin, which is assembled in random configurations. The randomness helps prevent bacteria from attacking and eating it with simple enzymes. So in this case, fitness meant adding randomness. Adding genetic information to get randomness. I would love to see IDers try to pretend that fits their idea, and further, that they anticipated it.
Wayne Francis · 29 March 2005
David Heddle · 30 March 2005
GCT · 30 March 2005
Emanuele Oriano · 30 March 2005
Mr. Heddle:
My question to Dr. Krauss was more or less "You wrote this and that on SciAm. Can you please clarify what you meant by fine tuning?"
If/when he answers, and if he tells me he has no objection to my publishing his reply, I won't fail to do so.
GCT · 30 March 2005
David Heddle · 30 March 2005
GCT · 30 March 2005
No problem David. I'll be more sincere as soon as you are.
DavidF · 30 March 2005
Great White Wonder · 30 March 2005
Gary · 30 March 2005
Mister Heddle:
Not to pile on, and in no way do I pretend to any authority or expertise in biology, but only as an interested "lay-lurker" I have to ask what you mean when you say: "I stand by the claim that fossil record does not dispute the chronological ordering found in Genesis."? Do you refer to Genesis 1 when "God made the beast of the earth after his kind, and the cattle after their kind" etc., etc. THEN made man? Or Genesis 2 when "the Lord God formed every beast of the field, and every fowl of the air, and brought them to Adam to see what he would call them."? Since these are obviously contradictory accounts one of them must be contradicted by the fossil record. I'm betting it's Genesis 2.
Thanks, Gary
David Heddle · 30 March 2005
Gary,
The Genesis 2 account does not contradict Genesis 1. It is an expanded, non-chronological look at creation, with more details on the creation of man.
For a chart (PDF) that shows the fossil record overlaying the Genesis 1 Chronology, look here.
Rev: I am sure that the Genesis 2 account is a non-chronological recap because I am a Calvinist and we are correct on all matters theological. {harps strumming}
Andrew · 30 March 2005
David Heddle · 30 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 30 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 30 March 2005
Says you.
Are you giving an author commentary, David? Or do you just think that not only is the Bible inerrant, but your interpretations of it are also inerrant.
Sorry, David, but I don't believe that you are inerrant. I don't even believe that you are particularly holy.
Jim Harrison · 30 March 2005
The real question is how grown men and women find themselves trying to find authoritative messages about biology or physics in old Hebrew books. It's not that I'm hostile to the old books---I'm very fond of 'em myself---but it's kinda nutty to think that they are authoritative as well as venerable.
Apparently, all you accomplish by making a set of texts into infallible scriptures is make them impossible to read. Only the most tortuous exegesis can make orbiter dicta from the 6th Century BCE relevant to our scientific and philosophical concerns.
David Heddle · 30 March 2005
Rev, Rev, Rev, haven't you been listening? My views are correct because I am a Calvinist and we are always correct in all aspects of theology, exegesis, and apologetics. The Apostle Paul was a Calvinist, and so was Augustine. We laid low for a millennium and what happened? Apostasy! Indulgences were being sold. Republicans and Democrats were living together. But along came Luther who was a Calvinist, and Calvin (both a Calvinist and a Frenchman!) and we've been vigilant ever since.
Russell · 30 March 2005
"Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 30 March 2005
Gary · 31 March 2005
Mister Heddle, you said:
"The Genesis 2 account does not contradict Genesis 1. It is an expanded, non-chronological look at creation, with more details on the creation of man."
On what authority exactly, beside your say-so, or that of your religions teachings do you make this statement? Did the authors of Genesis leave a heretofore undiscovered footnote clarifying this glaring contradiction? I have gone over this book many times in several different translations and no amount of rationalization and apologetic gymnastics can make these two clearly contradictory accounts consonant with each other in a fundamentalist, literal reading of this book.
If you are not claiming a literal interpretation of Genesis should be read as being aligned with the scientific evidence,then fine, we agree. But it does leave me wondering why you would make such a claim in the first place.
Gary