More cracks are starting to show.
In How Intelligent Design Hurts Conservatives (By making us look like crackpots) published in The New Republic on 8/16/05, Ross Douthat argues that Intelligent Design will hurt the conservatives.
In short, the scientific vacuity will catch up with the religious and political motivated arguments and back fire.
And intelligent design will run out of steam–a victim of its own grand ambitions. What began as a critique of Darwinian theory, pointing out aspects of biological life that modification-through-natural-selection has difficulty explaining, is now foolishly proposed as an alternative to Darwinism. On this front, intelligent design fails conspicuously–as even defenders like Rick Santorum are beginning to realize–because it can’t offer a consistent, coherent, and testable story of how life developed. The “design inference” is a philosophical point, not a scientific theory: Even if the existence of a designer is a reasonable inference to draw from the complexity of, say, a bacterial flagellum, one would still need to explain how the flagellum moved from design to actuality.
Intelligent Design is becoming its own scientific enemy, as it, in its attempts to disprove Darwinian theory, resorts to poorly written papers, unsupported scientific assertions and outright misunderstanding of scientific issues.
Only by ‘quote mining’ can ID attempt to create an impression that there is a controversy over Darwinian theory beyond the relative importance of various mechanisms.
We have seen how this leads to poor arguments about the Cambrian explosion, but even more extensively in the total lack of any novel, scientific insight born out of the intelligent design perspective.
36 Comments
darwinfinch · 27 August 2005
Duh!
However, the interesting (and more worrying) thing will be to see how these self-described "conservatives" (very few of whom I would credit with such a mild, reasonable name, considering the goals they openly describe and the completely unethical methods many actually enjoy employing) will placate the Xian lunatics and fanatics (where the two may differ) whose money and votes they (smugly and cynically) exploit.
tmccort · 27 August 2005
The comments at the bottom of the article are hilarious!
steve · 27 August 2005
I agree, the comments are illuminating. They show that lots of religious conservatives see ID as just essential christianity. Which doesn't surprise me a bit, that's what I expect to see.
Frank J · 27 August 2005
I am "mostly conservative", but one who has little patience with most fellow conservatives in politics and the media. But this can go either way. Pro-science conservatives, like John Marburger, George Will and Charles Krauthammer, have not been letting their anti-science, fundamentalist and otherwise postmodern counterparts go unanswered.
As the real secrets of ID (its scientific vacuity, not its religious motivation) get slowly revealed to a wider audience, look for more conservatives to speak out against it - just like those 7000+ members of Christian clergy.
bill · 27 August 2005
Illuminated cockroach.
Shine a light on the little critters and they scatter like nobody's business.
As long as the Discovery Institute could remain in the shadows and control the agenda, they moved along with their own business.
But, in the light of scrutiny, look at the result: pulling back on ID, satisfied to "teach the weakness", backing away from Dover, backing away from young earth creationists.
Look what they're stuck with: Dembski and Behe, both of whom have no credibility, and no sunscreen.
In essence, scattering like nobody's business.
steve · 27 August 2005
I used to be more conservative. One thing that pushed me away was watching educated conservatives, who knew better, whip up their followers with things like evolution, or claims that god has been somehow illegalized from public.
One tactic conservatives used to get their current power is, they endlessly hammer on examples of the far left wing saying something crazy, but they represent it as mainstream liberalism. When something happens like Ted Rall saying kids got killed in Iraq because they were "stupid enough to enlist" (http://www.ucomics.com/rallcom/), your Rush Limbaugh types will endlessly talk about how "liberals" think that. "Ward Churchill said..." gets changed to "The liberals said..." and eventually, you get a group of people with a reflexive hatred of liberals. A lot of the conservatives I knew didn't want to vote for Bush last year, but having been conditioned that liberals are all postmodern communists who hate white people, jesus, and men, and love taxes and terrorists, couldn't imagine voting for Kerry.
steve · 27 August 2005
bill · 27 August 2005
Oh, yes, Steve, if the Dover case goes up to the Supreme Court, ID is toast. Hopefully, that will give education another 20 years or so.
The Discovery Inst. can be loud, but in the end they have nothing to offer and that will become evident. Too bad compensation for all they trouble the DI has caused can't be recovered.
steve · 27 August 2005
It might only be a few-year reprieve this time, but I'm optimistic. There are a lot of young naifs, such as those in IDEA clubs, who are about to watch Behe, Dembski, Meyer and company get burned. The Dover obliteration might take a lot of wind out of their sails.
I think they'll understand the futility of another name change. They'll understand that in a renamed movement, anyone who advocated ID will be tainted, just as the Scientific Creationists were after 1987. The idea of starting all over, with all new people, only to probably suffer the same fate again, just won't be appetizing. There won't be any "Intelligent Evolution" movement, in part because Dembski's name is already on it.
I think they will try a new course of action. Either a constitutional amendment, or a bigger push for home schooling / private christian schools.
kay · 27 August 2005
What I think will happen is:
* The issue will be quietly dropped from the official table
* Teachers will be asked, mostly by parents, to skip the chapter on evolution
* Teenagers will not pay much attention to HS biology, unless they care for it
* Kids who are made to go to fundie church will be indoctrinated properly in sunday school.
sanjait · 28 August 2005
To Steve: That is interesting for you to note how many conservatives have demonized "liberals" (I put it in quotes because after all the deliberate obfuscation, the term has lost all meaning). But I have to note, I didn't want to vote for Kerry either, but I certainly couldn't imagine voting for Bush.
To Steve, Frank and everyone: It seems "conservative" has lost some of its meaning as well, although I am young enough that I don't recall a time when that political dichotomy was ever very informative.
Irregardless of all that, I think the cause of protecting science education, on which we all seem to of homogeneous mindsets, will not be served by painting this as a liberal/conservative issue. So much of the present "conservative" political ideology is predicated on a persecution complex anyways, if they see it as an attack on their political persuasion they are more likely to fight for it. But really, it's just about science and empiricism, which are values most of us can agree on.
SEF · 28 August 2005
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 28 August 2005
Frank J · 28 August 2005
the pro from dover · 28 August 2005
what has baffled me is how the Republican party has let itself become boxed into a position where it seems that it will have to attack one of its historical concepts, laissez faire economics, because of it's similarity to natural selection. Darwin readily admitted his indebtedness to Adam Smith. When each individual small businessman/organism is permitted to work for his own economic/reproductive advantage unfettered by controls from above (intrusive government/god), then as an unintended side consequence of this activity the production of the most ordered economy/ecology will occur with maximal benefit to all.
steve · 28 August 2005
Any time you try to show them another example of where an algorithm produces 'design', the IDers look for the nearest human, and claim he's doing it. If you mention computer algorithms, they say it came from the programmer. In your capitalism example, they'll say it's the people buying and selling.
You can lead an IDer to algorithms, but you can't make him understand emergent phenomena.
observer · 28 August 2005
I have to agree with some of my fellow posters, the comments at the end of ther linked article are one heck of a read. The best, IMO, was a resposne to a comment about how more and more scientists are falling in line with the ID movement - Did we all get phone slammed without knowing it? Made for an amusing Sunday morning - thanks
steve · 28 August 2005
SEF · 28 August 2005
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 28 August 2005
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 28 August 2005
Russell · 28 August 2005
steve · 28 August 2005
sanjait · 28 August 2005
Russell said: "But what do you do when one political party (that shall remain nameless) essentially adopts ID as its party line?"
(Sorry, at this time I still have no idea how to use kwickXML)
It may be true that Republicans are quietly adopting ID, or at least some of them, including the leadership. But while I would take some joy watching Democrats hammer them with this issue, I don't see it as a pure conservative one. That is, there is no consensus on the issue from self-proclaimed conservatives.
Those comments on the Free Republic website bear this out. That site is about as right wing as you can get, and among all the delusional posts supporting ID and claiming that even atheist scientists are now embracing it en masse, there are also many who don't buy it at all. I'm guessing these are native FReepers, because most other people would not even bother posting in such a hostile and syncophantic place. Yet, even there they have honest debate on this issue.
Gary Hurd · 28 August 2005
ts (not Tim) · 28 August 2005
Pierce R. Butler · 28 August 2005
Maybe one day New Republic will acknowledge how it's the "conservatives" who are hurting the conservatives. By "conservatives" I mean the theocratic/neo-con factions which have taken over the Republican Party (and no small part of that other one) to promote an agenda of lies, theft, and violent adventurism; by just-plain conservatives I mean those who support tradition, integrity, and prudence.
The latter have been stampeded into supporting a regime which is clearly the dominant force for change in American society, uprooting traditions in a way that Timothy Leary & Abbie Hoffman never dreamed of. Values such as honesty, hard work, financial discipline, and a cautious foreign policy have been shot, stuffed, and mounted on floats for the Bush parade: anyone hoping to find a political expression for them has few options left but disillusionment or increasingly desperate denial.
"New Republicans" may need to ponder how the fraud of Inelegant Design is a fractal subset of the attempt to rule by hysteria & misdirection that the right wing has developed in a sequence dating (at least) from Nixon to Reagan's handlers to Newt Gingrich to Karl Rove and his wannabe successors.
It would be naive to predict that such an ideological hollowing-out will cause the self-defeat of this dictatorial movement. Emotionalism & manipulated perception have grabbed the reins in the US, and when have hypocrisy and intellectual incoherence by themselves ever stopped a political juggernaut? Yet, however things work out (or fail to), the conservatism of Norman Rockwell, Dwight Eisenhower, et al, is already a trodden-into-the-mud casualty of the demagoguery of those who call themselves "conservatives".
R. Stoecker · 28 August 2005
ts (not Tim) · 29 August 2005
Bayesian Bouffant, FCD · 29 August 2005
Bayesian Bouffant, FCD · 29 August 2005
steve · 29 August 2005
Rawls is the only one I could come up with as even a potential answer. But it's not a good answer because most liberals don't know what it says. I haven't read it, but my liberal friend Amy has, and she says it's problematic. Anyway I think my point has been demonstrated.
In my view, this incoherence is a huge problem for us.
ts (not Tim) · 29 August 2005
steve · 29 August 2005
I would say most conservatives have some familiarity with The Bible and Ayn Rand, though not usually Hayek, with whom they would agree. But a lot of them are familiar with Hayek, he has had some popularity in the past, being presented in Reader's Digest and such. Even I know what's in the Bible and Rand and Hayek, and I don't know what's in On Liberty and the Rawls book, and I'm liberal.
Obviously we have no coherent political strategy. My point is I suspect that's at least partly a result of having such a heterogeneous group. There are many ways to illustrate the conservatives' philisophical coherence, the book example is just one. The examples show that the conservatives are more unified in their beliefs and this helps create a unified message. The only area where liberals are as unified is the environment. A lot of the things which unified us in the past, like Civil Rights, have largely gone away. I want some fresh thinking in the liberal side. I like Howard Dean. He doesn't just repeat the usual uninspiring technocratic boilerplate. Perhaps someone like him will assert a set of values which rallies people, and from which policy can naturally flow.
ts (not Tim) · 29 August 2005
shenda · 30 August 2005
"I haven't been able to think of a single book which outlines a philosophy or an outlook which a strong majority of liberals would agree to. Maybe someone here can."
It is not a book, but look at the "Declaration of the Rights of Man"
http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/rightsof.htm