Rep. Holt's comments reminded me of Dembski's Z-factor arguments in his book No Free Lunch. Mark Perakh has done an excellent work in various essays and articles to show how the Z-factor argument undermines intelligent design. In a future posting I intend to explore the impact of Dembski's comments on the Privileged Planet argument. Dembski's requirement for 'independent evidence' is the reason why Intelligent Design (wink wink, nudge nudge) is scientifically vacuous. Hat tip to Douglas Theobald (author of 29+ Evidences for Macroevolution) for pointing me to Holt's article. The responses to Holt's essay suggest that he has touched a nerve with the American public.As a research scientist and a member of the House Education Committee, I was appalled when President Bush signaled his support for the teaching of "intelligent design" alongside evolution in public K-12 science classes. Though I respect and consistently protect the rights of persons of faith and the curricula of religious schools, public school science classes are not the place to teach concepts that cannot be backed up by evidence and tested experimentally.
— Rep Holt
Rep. Rush Holt: Intelligent Design: It's Not Even Wrong
Congressman Rush Holt has written a very thoughtful essay on Intelligent Design at TPM Cafe. The article is titled Intelligent Design: It's Not Even Wrong
50 Comments
Bayesian Bouffant, FCD · 9 September 2005
remede · 9 September 2005
When you have a nation that is 3to1 conservative, over 70% christian and 90% of the people say they believe in a God, it isn't hard to understand the President's statements.
remede · 9 September 2005
After all the Bible used to be part of the regular school curriculum in this country. Pretty sound solid foundation for creationism.
steve · 9 September 2005
qetzal · 9 September 2005
steve · 9 September 2005
For all its fake math, Intelligent Design actually seems less scientific than Scientific Creationism. Believing the earth is 6,000 years old, like Paul Nelson does, is at least unequivocal. Compare that with ID, which says nothing solid about the age of the earth, common descent, or certain other things.
Rob · 9 September 2005
remede · 9 September 2005
If the Bible isn't the main reason for the belief in creationism in this country then I don't what could be.
Longhorn · 9 September 2005
It is nice to see a member of Congress deal with this issue. And it's nice to know we have a member of Congress with a doctorate in physics.
However, many claims I've seen offered by people who have referred to themselves as proponents of "intelligent design" are indeed inaccurate. For instance, I've seen one person who refers to himself that way say that humans and chimps do not share common ancestors. And humans and chimps do share common ancestors.
I've seen some say or suggest that a being turned dust -- poof! -- directly into the first two humans to live on earth. However, self-replicating molecules that were on earth about 3.8 billion years ago evolved (through reproduction) into all the complex organisms that have lived on earth, including all the humans. Moreover, my claim that "a being turned dust directly into the first two humans to live on earth" is logically inconsistent with the claim that self-replicating molecules evolved (through reproduction) into all the complex organisms that have live on earth. Therefore, it is clear that a being did not turn dust directly into the first two humans to live on earth. There is other relevant data as well. But that is a start.
just bob · 9 September 2005
qetzal · 9 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005
qetzal · 9 September 2005
Angry young philosopher · 10 September 2005
Saying that propostions like "God designed everything" are "not even wrong" is a symptom of positivism, I thought we'd got over that sort of thing in the 1970's. Frankly I am appalled that a group of persons suppousedly pro-science can fail to see the enormity of the consquences of such positivism, ultimately it reduces statements about atom's to statements about possible sense data, in a sense it declares the atom theory "Not even false.", in addition it eventually prove's itself meaningless, as statements like "The meaning of a propostion is it's empircal content" themselves have no content. One should choose one's allies with even greater care then one pick's one's enemies; just because a statement milates against ID doesn't mean one should automatically accept it.
So why am I so much against positivism? Consider the following propostions.
1- There may be objects which by there very nature can never be sensed, nor may have observable effects.
2- He is feeling angry, in the phenomenal sense of angry
3- Some propostions are true
4- Because I have observed X following Y in hundred's of cases, X will follow Y in this case
All of those statements, when subjected to Positvist scrutinty are supposedly proven "meaningless". This is absurd, any theory which in effect prove's such foundational statements which ( especially in the cae of 4) make science possible surely must have something wrong with it, and indeed positivism does have problems, namely that it refutes itself because postivist statements themselves have no emprical content.
I have no doubt the good senator did not intend to imply all of that, but propostions 1-4 are indeed the consquences of positivism, as positvists like Wittgenstien and Carnap themselves pointed out. My point is that one has to be doubly careful of arguements that support your own side. Perhaps what the senator meant to say was that ID cannot be tested by the scientfic method, which may well be true. But he conflated the possibility of being tested via sciences methods with the possibility of truth or falsity, and hence meaning. In declaring unverifable statements meaningless he rendered his own arguement meaningless.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 10 September 2005
To "Angry Young Philosopher":
"Philosophy and the study of the actual world have the same relationship to one another as masturbation and sexual intercourse." -- K Marx
Keith Douglas · 10 September 2005
It does not require a positivist viewpoint to attribute Pauli's dictum to ID, as any perusal of scientifically grounded theories of reference will do.
Moses · 10 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
Bill Jefferys · 10 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
vampire killer · 10 September 2005
If creationism has no merit, then why were some of the greatests scientific minds that ever walked the planet creationists? Newton, Kepler, Francis Bacon, John Fleming, Nicolaus Steno, Louis Pasteur, Copernicus...etc. Were these men just ignorant religious fools?
Was Michelangelo just humoring us all with the Sisteen Chapel? Was Frideric Handel just blowing smoke with the Hallelujah Chorus.
I don't claim to know it all, but these men I named sure know more than most of us do. Some of greatest art ever created has given glory to the God of creation. I just don't understand the opposition. I guess you consider yourselves more "enlightened" than these I've named. I don't buy it.
vampire killer · 10 September 2005
If creationism has no merit, then why were some of the greatests scientific minds that ever walked the planet creationists? Newton, Kepler, Francis Bacon, John Fleming, Nicolaus Steno, Louis Pasteur, Copernicus...etc. Were these men just ignorant religious fools?
Was Michelangelo just humoring us all with the Sisteen Chapel? Was Frideric Handel just blowing smoke with the Hallelujah Chorus.
I don't claim to know it all, but these men I named sure know more than most of us do. Some of the greatest art ever created has given glory to the God of creation. I just don't understand the opposition. I guess you consider yourselves more "enlightened" than these I've named. I don't buy it.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 10 September 2005
vampire killer · 10 September 2005
So, you ARE saying that you know more than these men. Ok... I get it now.
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
SEF · 10 September 2005
Newton couldn't operate a computer either. :-D Nor speak Esperanto, nor read ancient hieroglyphics, nor split the atom, nor perform X-ray diffraction.
Russell · 10 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 10 September 2005
Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005
Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
"these quote marks were implicit, but should have been made explicit"
You can't know that. It's likely that Boston was paraphrasing Johnson, in which case the quote marks are just wrong. In the next paragraph, for instance, one sees This strategy, he said, "enables us ...; most likely Johnson said "enables us" but didn't say "This strategy".
Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005
Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005
Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005
Eric Murphy · 10 September 2005
You can't build a theory merely by pointing out deficiencies in another theory. Here's an example:
In another universe, a young patent clerk named Albert Einstein wrote a paper in which he revealed that Isaac Newton's theory of universal gravitation failed to accurately predict the precession of Mercury's orbit. Several scientists, on reading Einstein's paper, pointed out that this had been known to be a problem for Newtonian physics for some time. The scientists asked Einstein if he had any theory that would explain the discrepancy.
In answer, Einstein stated that there was a discrepancy between Newton's predictions and the observations.
Yes, yes, the scientists replied, we're aware of the problem, and we're trying to figure out how to solve it. In the meantime, have you given any thought to an explanation yourself?
Well, yes, Einstein said, patiently and politely. There's a discrepancy between Newton's theory and observation, which proves that Newton's theory is incorrect.
Well, at least in this one respect, replied the scientists. So, again, have you given any thought to an explanation?
Yes. My theory is that Newton's theory cannot explain the discrepancy, and therefore my theory is a better explanation for gravity.
And that theory might be...? the scientists inquired, hopefully.
...that Newton's theory is incorrect.
ts (not Tim) · 11 September 2005
Of course ID is even worse, because
a) it hasn't identified any erroneous prediction of the ToE
b) alternate Einstein doesn't claim that no physical theory can explain Mercury's orbit
Joe G · 11 September 2005
The following link will take you to an on-line debate about Intelligent Design. My opening- the first two posts- describe why ID is indeed scientific.
WHY ID is scientific
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 11 September 2005
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 11 September 2005
NJ · 11 September 2005
Ved Rocke · 11 September 2005
Nice "debate" by the way. In the linked thread entitled Intelligent Design- Is It Scientific?, The debate, only one person has replied to JP, the originator of the thread and in the first paragraph he says: "I haven't yet read JP's entry though I am sure it [is] excellent, so do not expect a specific rebuttal. Also do not expect a cotinuation of the dbte by me honestly the topic is of little interest anymore."
Why would anyone want to bother to read this if the contributors won't even do the same?
Aris · 11 September 2005
To " vampire killer"
To begin with, scientists and free thinkers do not revere anyone. Plato, the quintessential thinker, believed in Zeus. Will you follow him? Leibniz, one of the supreme intellects, harbored deep skepticism about supernatural power. Will you follow his steps? Countless other great thinkers rejected the notion of a god. Some, such as Einstein, believed in Spinoza's God. Others, such as Jeans, thought God ought to be a supreme mathematician.
The fact that many models put forward by past scientists have shown to be false (prime example: Newton's mechanics) makes them fallible. Their belief in a supernatural entity is of metaphysical nature, which has nothing to do with science. The God of many of them was the God of the gap: they penetrated more deeply into the working of the nature and inevitably encountered more unknowns which they could not account for, and as it was fashionable, they invoked the God.
Let me put the question in another way. Suppose you encounter aliens who are intellectually, scientifically and technologically far more superior to us, and they believe in a god. And suppose you were an atheist. Would you abandon your views and accept theirs, just because they are superior? Unless they have physical evidence of the existence of such an entity, their belief is, from the scientific point of view, worthless.
Finally, yes we do know a great deal more than the past thinkers. This does not, however, make us intellectually more superior, simply more knowledgeable. And it does not lessen our respect and appreciation for their immense contributions and the path they paved for us.
Eric Murphy · 11 September 2005
I think this quote from Dembski's "The Design Revolution: Answering the Toughest Questions About Intelligent Design" really puts a spotlight on ID's single most glaring failing as a scientific theory:
"Intelligent design is not a theory about the frequency or locality or modality by which a designing intelligence intervenes in the material world. It is not an interventionist theory at all." [Dembski, pg. 179]
So, Mr. Dembski, what exactly is ID a theory of, then?
NDT · 12 September 2005
Aris · 12 September 2005
Eric,
Good point. I think WD will finally, in not so far a future, say "No clues." But, he might still add his usual response: Anyway, "prove me wrong."
Eric Murphy · 20 September 2005
I think the thing that gets tiresome about arguing with IDists is their refusal to back down on any issue, regardless of the evidence against their position. I was debating someone on the Telic Thoughts website about the deficiences in the Explanatory Filter. I sent the guy five articles by various scientists and mathematicians demonstrating in minute detail why the Explanatory Filter simply does not work the way Dembski says it does. The response?
"The EF works."
I point out that virtually all scientists are convinced of the utility of the theory of evolution, and that only a tiny minority believe otherwise. The response?
"Most scientists don't even use the theory of evolution in their work."
I guess my question would be (if I thought it would be worthwhile to pose it), have the tiny minority of scientists who claim the theory of evolution is useless tried using it and gotten garbage results? If so, where are their peer-reviewed papers saying so?
It gets wearisome after a while.