Astrophysics, schmastrophysics!Evolutionists accuse creationists of inventing a "God of the Gaps" to cover for their ignorance of true science. It would appear that the high priests of astrophysics have their own Gods of the Gaps, namely dark matter and dark energy. What will happen to the universe? It won't be the Big Crunch or the Big Chill, but the Big Furnace: "But the day of the Lord will come like a thief, in which the heavens will pass away with a roar and the elements will be destroyed with intense heat, and the earth and its works will be burned up. Since all these things are to be destroyed in this way, what sort of people ought you to be in holy conduct and godliness, looking for and hastening the coming of the day of God, because of which the heavens will be destroyed by burning, and the elements will melt with intense heat! But according to His promise we are looking for new heavens and a new earth, in which righteousness dwells" (2 Peter 3:10-13).
Astrophysics, schmastrophysics
Remember the "we're-creationists-and-proud-of-it" creationists? Well, despite the press that ID has been getting, the older sort are still around. Today, they're discussing not the beginning of the universe, but the end. Evidently they don't like "dark matter" and "dark energy", explanations that astrophysicists have proposed to explain certain puzzling phenomenon like the fact that galaxies spin faster than the gravity from their observed stars seems to allow.
Now, I think it is perfectly reasonable to criticize these explanations on their merits -- it is conceivable, for example, that dark matter doesn't exist and that instead we need some new physics to describe gravity at the very coarse scale -- see for example the latest on MOND (Modified Newtonian Dynamics) in New Scientist (plain text). And the answer to this question could impact our view of the eventual fate of the Universe -- i.e., will we get a "Big Crunch" or not?
But I think the creationist solution to the problem leaves something to be desired:
160 Comments
Sunny · 8 June 2006
I do agree in part that dark matter and dark energy might not be a satisfactory explanation of some astronomical phenomena, but "the Big Furnace"? You gotta be kidding me.
Once again, this only reflects how America's education fails to give its children a proper understanding of science. Look what happens when you get your science from preachers.
steve s · 8 June 2006
qetzal · 8 June 2006
normdoering · 8 June 2006
Moses · 8 June 2006
I blame David Heddle. If he'd have properly fine-tuned his puddle, we'd all be so much happier...
Raging Bee · 8 June 2006
...But according to His promise we are looking for new heavens and a new earth, in which righteousness dwells.
Ah, the "oscillating universe" theory: a "big crunch" (which will, of course, involve a lot of heat) leading to -- and providing the raw material for -- the next "big bang" -- and a whole new universe! I can live widdat. Have the YEC's got a timetable?
tonyl · 8 June 2006
frank · 8 June 2006
Jacob Bekenstein obviously doesn't know anything about getting a new theory like MOND accepted by the scientific community. He should have gone to school boards and demanded that MOND be taught in grade school and high school classrooms. Why wasn't he screaming about critically examining gravitational theory? Where were the politicians crowing about teaching alternate explanations to dark matter?
I just don't get it.
Sir_Toejam · 8 June 2006
PaulC · 8 June 2006
Equating "gaps" with "god of the gaps" is like equating "closet" with "monster in my closet."
Science is a work in progress and many theories have gaps. In science, you attempt to fill in the gaps with reasonable explanations. In a "god of the gaps" theology, any gaps are presumed unfillable, and taken as proof of some supernatural explanation. Historically, the gaps have eventually been filled, turning this into a process of steady retrenchment into ever more minor objections.
Torville · 8 June 2006
That's a surprisingly infomative site with an interesting compilation of science articles... as long as you ignore the "signing statements" that tell you what the article =really= means (handily color-coded for your convenience in not reading).
Peter Henderson · 8 June 2006
This from AIG a few days ago:
http://www.answersingenesis.org/home/area/feedback/2006/0602.asp
I always thought that distant starlight was a problem for YEC's but apparently not.
Bruce · 8 June 2006
Peter Henderson · 8 June 2006
Probably the same as they did after 6/6/66 !
Sir_Toejam · 8 June 2006
stevaroni · 8 June 2006
Scott · 8 June 2006
From the "analysis" from the AiG post that Peter Henderson's post #104489:
"Big bang supporters themselves acknowledge that the big bang could not have produced anything heavier than lithium, so the only way to explain the heavier elements, like carbon, is to say that the stars did it. Notice there is no observational evidence or recorded eyewitness accounts to support this, just man's fallible opinions about the past."
For some reason spectra from ionized elements from stars that we've seen explode don't constitute "observational evidence".
It's interesting that there are repeated references to "man's fallible opinions about the past". Apparently man's opinions (supported by observation, mathematics, and reason) are "fallible" when they involve any thing over 6000 years old. But when man's opinions about any thing which happened 6000 years ago or less are supported by devine revelation (and contradicted by observation, mathematics, and reason), they are completely infallible.
Sigh...
David B. Benson · 8 June 2006
tonylon: That is "warm dark matter". It is reasonably clear to astronomers that there is insufficient warm dark matter to explain the rotation of stars in spiral galaxies. Thus the conjectured 'cold dark matter' which interacts only gravitationally.
Bruce Thompson GQ · 8 June 2006
Deacon Barry · 8 June 2006
6/6/06 is the day of the Beast. The Rapture will take place on the Lord's day 7/7/07, ie. next year, being seven years after the millenium.
Of course, if it doesn't happen then, then there's 23/12/12, when the Mayan calender runs out, or sometime in 2018, 70 years after Israel was founded, or after that....
Peter Henderson · 8 June 2006
The number of times that they use the word assumption, actually makes me think that they believe that all science is based on assumptions (except their interpretation of the bible of course).
I've completed and passed an Open University course on Astronomy, and there was a section of it which covered basic cosmology, such as whether or not the Universe is open or closed ie what will be the eventual fate of the Universe ? The teaching videos that came with the course were really excellent and dealt with most of the subjects that Jason Lisle has rubbished in his article, like stellar evolution, determining the distances to astronomical objects etc. The thing that really amazes me is that Jason Lisle describes himself as an astrophysicist. When I read this piece of nonsense I wondered what type of answers he gave when he was studying for his degree/PhD. I'm sure they were nothing like the ideas he has expressed in his AIG feedback essay !
Sir_Toejam · 8 June 2006
RBH · 8 June 2006
the pro from dover · 8 June 2006
Oh you who doubt the mark of the beast and the coming rapture (by the way can I have your car when it comes?) the next certain end of the world will be 6/6/2013. If you add the digits of the year it comes to tada!!!-06. If that doesn't end the universe Pat Robertson can leg-press your body from here to the asteroid belt.(usually reliable sources say he can -with some cheating- leg press 1000 pounds!).By the way I've met the antichrist and his name is Wayne Allard.
Flint · 8 June 2006
It IS kind of interesting that galaxies are observed to spin faster (and cohere better) than a best-guess extrapolation (based on our limited knowledge of local conditions) allows. OK, so maybe Newtonian and Einsteinian physics have made some invalid simplifying assumptions (or we've done so to make the equations tractable) and galaxies are NOT best modeled as one huge gravitational point source at the center orbited by gravitationally insignificant satellites. Maybe galaxies obey known equations after all, if we redistribute the mass according to (again) extrapolations based on best observations of local conditions - even if this condition is hard to model.
Still, the notion that 85% (!!) of the total mass-energy of the known universe is composed of "dark energy", without any clue what that IS, is discouraging. Does "dark energy" mean *anything* beyond "something we need to insert into our equations to make them match observation"? How would we ever test for this stuff? It sounds a lot like "we just don't understand".
Still and all, even thinking of finding answers to these questions in the Bible exceeds any useful concept of sanity. Instead, I submit that these folks don't understand the issues and don't see any utility in doing so. As Sagan wrote, their world is haunted by demons.
So fine, these folks are surrounded by an impermeable bozone layer. But help me out here anyway. What IS dark energy? How would we detect it?
k.e. · 8 June 2006
Flint asked:
What IS dark energy? How would we detect it?
Take one bible, a foreskin collector and a child less than 7 years old , beat until firm, wash child's mouth out with soap if any awkward questions arise. Any questions?
CMD · 8 June 2006
Wheels · 9 June 2006
The difference AiG sees is that we have indirect observed evidence of the fusion process, i.e. neutrinos. Apparently they don't think you can use indirect evidence to support the formation of stars, despite plentify observation that lead to the conclusion of star formation.
What the article really says is that, since nuclear fusion doesn't violate their interpretation of Scripture, they'll allow that it happens as described.
It's still fundamentally inconsistent because the nature of fusion in relation to a star's operation is something we can use to determine the approximate age, distance, composition, etc. of stars.
Chris Lintott · 9 June 2006
Flint:
I wanted to respond to this:
Still, the notion that 85% (!!) of the total mass-energy of the known universe is composed of "dark energy", without any clue what that IS, is discouraging. Does "dark energy" mean *anything*
beyond "something we need to insert into our equations to make them match observation"? How would we ever test for this stuff? It sounds a lot like "we just don't understand".
'Dark energy' is best thought of as a label for a set of observations that don't make sense but do tie together. The most direct piece of evidence is based on supernovae (the explosions of massive stars) - see http://supernova.lbl.gov/PhysicsTodayArticle.pdf which appear to be further away than they should be. There are other lines of evidence that agree with these results (for example, from studying the large scale structure around us in surveys like this one - http://www.mso.anu.edu.au/2dFGRS/ These observations taken together seem to confirm that the observed expansion of the Universe cannot be accounted for by matter (dark or otherwise) and we call the extra component 'dark energy', a name which I think is deeply confusing.
It is fair to say that we lack a sensible theoretical understanding of what 'dark energy' might be; it could appear on either side of Einstein's equations - ie as a component of energy or a modification to gravity. Further observations are needed to get a grip on its physics and test theoretical ideas, but it does seem to be here to stay.
Sorry to be so OT, I thought it was worth adding to the pot.
Popper's Ghost · 9 June 2006
Popper's Ghost · 9 June 2006
Peter Henderson · 9 June 2006
Re#104564 Hi Chris. I am an avid viewer of the "Sky at night". Along with Horizon, it's one of the best science programmes on TV over here, in my opinion, and one of the reasons why I find creationism so nonsensical. Your contributions to it are excellent and I think you are doing a really good job at popularising science here in the UK.
Sir Patrick, as you probably know, was once director of the Armagh planetarium in Co. Armagh here in NI, and it was a visit to this establishment that kindled my interest in astronomy. Although it's out of commission at the moment they hope to be up and running again within the next year or so, courtesy of a European grant.
I really do hope that the BBC don't drop the "Sky at night" if anything were to happen to Sir Patrick or if he was unable to continue.
Moses · 9 June 2006
Peter Henderson · 9 June 2006
That's exactly what I thought when I read the article Moses !
Raging Bee · 9 June 2006
He accounted for observations of distant novas by postulating that the star that supposedly went nova never really existed, but the "blob" (Morris' word) of light indicating the occurrrence of a nova was created en route to earth --- the star was never really there.
So God, in all his mighty truthiness, created -- or allowed someone else to create -- a universe full of deceiving information, including a planet full of fake fossils made to look much older than the universe itself. But we're expected to believe that the books whose content this same God dictated can be taken at face value.
Do the YECs explain why we should disbelieve a universe full of physical evidence, and believe one book without a hiccup of doubt? Of those two, which is easier to fake?
If I remember my history correctly, the idea that the universe's prime mover is an "evil genius" (which is what this creationist rubbish amounts to) was debunked by philosophers and theologians several centuries ago. Basically, if you go that way, you end up doubting everything you perceive, including your own sensory inputs, and retreating into your own closed bubble-verse -- which some would call "hell."
fnxtr · 9 June 2006
Raging Bee · 9 June 2006
fnxtr: I vaguely remember some YEC site claiming that in the process of rushing away from Earth (which is, of course, the center of God's universe), all the other stars and galaxies aged about eighteen billion subjective-years during the six thousand REAL years of the universe's lifetime. So the rest of the universe is eighteen billion years old and six thousand years old at the same "time."
That site also called on us all to reject all that highfalutin' science and logic stuff and stick to "the solid ground of empiricism." What. Ever.
Raging Bee · 9 June 2006
Remember, ID is not about religion, though. Not a bit. It's science all the way down.
All the way down the drain?
Ric · 9 June 2006
fnxtr · 9 June 2006
AC · 9 June 2006
Torbjörn Larsson · 9 June 2006
Flint says:
"What IS dark energy?"
To complement what others said there is also this view:
The latest WMAP release prefered the Lamda-CDM model. ( http://cosmicvariance.com/2006/03/16/wmap-results-cosmology-makes-sense/ ) It explains dark energy with a cosmological constant in the standard cosmology. ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_energy ) The cosmological constant is the vacuum energy. ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmological_constant )
Sounds neat, but a problem is that the cosmological constant is the worst finetuning known. So then the question becomes:
"What IS vacuum energy?"
Moses · 9 June 2006
stevaroni · 9 June 2006
Laser · 9 June 2006
stevaroni:
Don't forget the Lorentz contraction. If we're receding from the rest of the universe at 99.9999999964 percent of the speed of light, then our length would be contracted by that same factor of 1.6 million:1 (IIRC, too lazy to get the physics book out of my bookcase.) I also think our mass would be that same factor of 1.6 million:1 greater than our rest mass.
I would have loved to see that scope output that you described!
fnxtr · 9 June 2006
2) For some reason we don't see the 21 octaves of doppler shift.
This is simply the theoretic complement of infinite wavelength radiation. Near-infinite frequency radiation could appear visible, given a sufficient v/c.
fnxtr · 9 June 2006
Stevaroni · 9 June 2006
stevaroni · 9 June 2006
Henry J · 9 June 2006
Re "I also think our mass would be that same factor of 1.6 million:1 greater than our rest mass."
Would that be enough to explain the sun orbiting the Earth?
(Ducking for cover here.)
Laser · 9 June 2006
Henry J:
I know you're asking a silly question tongue-in-cheek, but here's a (semi) serious answer: the sun is about 200,000 times more massive than the earth. So, with the earth's relativistic mass, the earth would be slightly more massive than the sun, and the sun could be said to orbit the earth (more accurately, both would orbit a point somewhere between them, but that point would be closer to the earth).
HOWEVER, the above scenario involves the earth moving at 99.999..% of the speed of light but the sun not doing so. Obviously, with such a great difference in their velocities, the earth would quickly leave the sun behind, and the orbiting would last approximately zero seconds. For any orbiting to happen, both the sun and earth would have to be moving at 99.999..% of the speed of light, so both bodies would have their mass increase by the same factor. The sun would still be about 200,000 times more massive than the earth, and the earth would orbit the sun.
Henry J · 9 June 2006
:)
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 June 2006
Peter Henderson · 9 June 2006
Not all evangelical Christians are dispensationalists of course. There are 3 other views within the church on Christ's return:
http://biblia.com/coming/millennium.htm
However, it seems to me that sadly, the evangelical wing of the church is keen to adopt this view (dispendationalism) as the only belief in the same way as it has lurched dogmatically into young Earth creationism.
fnxtr · 11 June 2006
Well, clearly, the Big Furnace is simply stellar evolution as explained by g- uh, the Designer, to Bronze Age nomads:
"You've only got 5 billion more years, or so. Hurry up and evolve, wouldja?"
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
Popper's Ghost,
"The universe is composed of mass and energy. Do we have any clue of what those ARE?"
Not to nit-pick your words here, but there lurks a conceptual misconception therein. Mass and energy are not two entities that exist independently, nor can one be converted into the other. Both of these exist side-by-side in what we refer to as mass-energy.
Lenny,
So by my sitting around in the Garden State I am holding up some divine cosmic plan for the end of days? I feel so important!
Nick Matzke,
AS I have pointed out in this forum on many occasions, the concept of "falsifiability" and "testability" does NOT at all imply that a non-falsifiable or non-testable proposal is non-scientific. It merely means that acceptance of the idea is contingent on it not being contradicted by data. Dark matter/energy joins the ether and EM fields and a host of other past and future ideas that gain currency because they provide a useful working model. And they may indeed be correct. There is nothing illogical about the prospect that a most effective, correct working model may turn out to be experimentally non-falsifiable.
Raging Bee · 12 June 2006
AS I have pointed out in this forum on many occasions, the concept of "falsifiability" and "testability" does NOT at all imply that a non-falsifiable or non-testable proposal is non-scientific. It merely means that acceptance of the idea is contingent on it not being contradicted by data.
Wrong again. Acceptance of an idea is contingent on BOTH testability AND non-failure of whatever tests are performed on the idea. If an idea is non-falsifiable (i.e., "it is the way it is because God, by definition, created it that way"), then, by definition, it will never be contradicted by data. That's what "non-falsifiable" means.
Are you trying to tell us (for example) that we should accept Lyndon LaRouche's latest conspiracy theory because it includes an assertion that all contradictory facts are part of a coverup?
Flint · 12 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
Flint & Raging Bee,
I am obviously not proposing that the absence of contradiction is sufficient for acceptance.Acceptance is predicated on usefulness, and the more useful the more we tend to accept. But the absence of contradiction is necessary for acceptance. And the more opportunities for contradiction, the greater the support derived from the absence of contradiction. What I am proposing is that the absence of opportunity to contradict is no reason to reject as "unscientific".
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
Orbiting teapots, anyone? I'm afraid that the lack of opportunity for contradiction places anything firmly and irretrievably in the domain of "belief".
Of course, what to me is a downgrade, to someone else might appear as an upgrade, and I have reasons to suspect that Ms. Clouser would in fact feel that way.
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
"The high binding energy of a uranium or plutonium nucleus has mass, and when the nucleus fissions, some of the binding energy is converted into other forms of energy, like light, heat, and blast."
This sounds like the binding energy decreases when a uranium nucleus fissions, and is factually untrue as one look at the famous BEPN graph readily reveals.
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
Mr. Emba:
Are you arguing that something that cannot be shown (in principle) to be false is something else from belief? That it is, indeed, knowledge (let alone scientific knowledge)?
Then what is belief? How do you separate belief from knowledge?
By the way, IIRC Galileo Galilei became convinced of the falsity of geocentrism due to his observations of the "imperfections" on the face of the moon and other disproof of the "celestial perfection" claimed by Aristotelism. That happened quite early, and well before the usefulness of the heliocentric model had been established.
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
"Total binding energy does decrease after fission, as I stated. Meanwhile, the famous binding energy per nucleon does increase, as you state. So what?"
Well, That is false. Total Binding energy increases when a uranium nucleus fissions to the tune of 200 MeV, something explained long ago (By Lisa Meitner, I think) by relating it to the mass defect.
Aureola,
Acceptance of heliocentrism was based on the phases of venus.
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
Ms. Clouser:
yes, also that, too. In both cases, not on "usefulness" at all, but on observation. Hard evidence.
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
I should have written above, "The calendar was out of alignment with Ptolemaic calculations of the heavens."
Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/b8ykm
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
Glen:
I was careful not to say that the Galileian observations disproved geocentrism; they disproved Aristotelism, and in so doing took the geocentric model down from the pedestal of undisputable truth.
That, by the way, is also part of the reason why the Catholic Church was so p***ed off with my old compatriot.
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
Right, sorry I didn't indicate clearly that that was not your position.
Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/b8ykm
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
No problem, Glen. I realized you were not attributing that position to me, but one can never be too explicit, so I simply clarified.
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
Glen and William,
Guys, I never thought I would live to see the day when either of you long time antagonists of mine would defend anything I say. Perhaps you do so for the greater goal of attacking each other.
Glen, you are right on literalism and wrong on usefulness. The term usefulness includes all the attributes of a good theory you mentioned and then some - elegance, simplicity, explanatory power, thematicness, and so on. When Wentzel's alternate explanation of photoelectricity based on waves was rejected in favor of Einstein's based on particles, this was done for reasons of elegance and you would certainly not describe that as unscientific. ("Dasi is eon fondle", said Einstein, "it is a hoax", but it worked nonetheless.) Heliocentric was certainly far more elegant and simple, and therefore useful, than the Ptolemaic model that had grown to a Hodge Page of over 70 spheres.
May I ask you, Glen, to stop reading hidden, sinister motives into what I say. Just relax and take what I say at face value, literally if you will.
William, you are right on usefulness and wrong on literalism. But I don't want to go off topic here. I do appreciate your supporting correct statements whatever their source (me in this case).
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 12 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
Glen,
It sometimes appears as if the gulf between physicists and biologists is as great as that between scientists and non-scientists. You alluded to this and, in my opinion, it goes a long way in explaining some of the arguments going on here. Biologists just don't have as much opportunity and experience with grand theory formation as physicists do. And it is frequently so much easier to settle biological mysteries by going into a lab and tinkering with some specimens than it is in physics.
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 12 June 2006
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 12 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 12 June 2006
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
Lenny,
Read what I write CAREFULLY, try HARD to understand what it says (it may require the full exertion of all your mental faculties), then if you have some intelligent commentary to make, I may respond.
Thanks for warning me about those not nice people. I will keep an eye on them.
William E Emba · 12 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
William,
"I've seen her in action before. She seems to have evolved a more nuanced view. And as before, she is not acknowledging that she is disagreeing with her previous posts. To reiterate, I would not be concerned if you mocked her for contradicting herself."
More nuanced view? About what? Not only do I not acknowledge disagreeing with any previous posts of mine, I emphatically state that no such disagreement exists. Care to elaborate?
" If "literal" is not the best word, or worse, is incorrect for this purpose, I'm happy to use something else, but nothing I've seen has suggested a good alternative."
If I recall correctly, our key argument pertained to the meaning of "literal". I am glad to see you concede the point. Better late than never.
"So do you agree that Carol's sense of "literalism" includes assertions that since somewhere, sometimes, "yom" means era, it is accurate to tell everyone that Genesis 1 is literally talking about seven time eras? That was the point of my "wing" analogy. You know, "context"?"
Now YOU are distorting my position. I claim that "yom" is used in three different ways in the Hebrew Bible (all of which are by definition "literal"), that frequency of use is not at all decisive here, and that the context in Genesis in fact allows for the era translation.
Now, I don't mind debating these points, but I will not allow you to distort what I say, just as you are right to not allow Glen to get away with similar distortions.
Sir_Toejam · 12 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
William,
And now that you have taken the time to check out the facts pertaining to Binding Energy changes as a result of the fission of uranium, I imagine you are ready to concede that point too.
This must be your night for concessions. It's OK. It's good for the soul.
Carol Clouser · 12 June 2006
STJM,
Read the previous posts. I did not start this.
Sir_Toejam · 12 June 2006
closes eyes...
"Clouser, Clouser, Clouser"
opens eyes...
did it work?
is she gone?
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
(...and by the way, I don't think this position can be construed as being Popperian strictu sensu).
GvlGeologist, FCD · 12 June 2006
Jeeze. What's the world coming to, when wamba, Aureola, Glen, Carol, Flint, Raging Bee, Emba and Lenny nearly simultaneously dump on and support each other (well, maybe it's not so surprising with Lenny ;-))...?
How bout this: Can I suggest we resolve the difference between the definitions of science (falsifiability, usefulness, and testability), by the following statements:
One way of testing something is by using it to make predictions. If the predictions work, then the hypothesis is useful. If the predictions don't work, then the hypothesis is falsified.
If an idea (I hesitate to use the term theory or hypothesis) is not useful, that's because no predictions can be made that are successful, or because no predictions can be made at all. Thus the idea under these circumstances is either not science, or not good science.
ID fails on all accounts. It's not useful because ANYTHING can be done by the unknown designer, it's not falsifiable for the same reason, and for those few predictions that have been made (IC), they've been falsified, and are not useful as a consequence.
What d'ya think?
Aureola Nominee, FCD · 12 June 2006
I think I agree. As I was saying (or trying to say, at the very least) to me if something isn't falsifiable in principle, it cannot be useful; which can be restated to say that if it is useful, then it is falsifiable.
ID isn't either.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 12 June 2006
William E Emba · 13 June 2006
Like I said, my assertion is not just correct, but it is trivially obvious.
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
William E Emba · 13 June 2006
William E Emba · 13 June 2006
William E Emba · 13 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
Jim Harrison · 13 June 2006
An adequate theory must meet a number of standards. Empirical falsifiabity is one, but so is logical coherence; and there are others that involve relevance. At various times, a particular criterion may be more salient than the others because of the state of play of the science in question. Right now, for example, a debate is underway apropos of string theory as to what extent a theory requires a connection to observational facts in order to count as science. If lab tests show up that can confirm or disconfirm versions of string theory, that issue will fade away. Or maybe people will eventually go along with Suskind and decide that an overwhelmingly elegant and comprehensive theory doesn't need a direct test. Or maybe it will become part of a third thing equidistant between philosophy and physics.
In the context of discussions on Panda's Thumb, falsification is a big deal for the historically contingent reason that the Popperian doctrine is rhetorically useful to Creationists and ID types. It is not clear to me, why falsifiability should be the crucial dimension of scientific methodology instead of merely a (perhaps) crucial dimension of scientific methodology.
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 13 June 2006
By the way, my intention is to be out of this thread now (likely I won't even read it). There is no point in belaboring the crucial nature of evidence for theories up to this point, since anyone who knows history knows that few if any theories were considered contenders if they were not open to contradiction by the available (usually accumulated) evidence, and had passed (for the most part, at least) that "test" implicitly or explicitly.
ID fails to be science for this (false where it makes reasonable "predictions", unfalsifiable where it resists making "predictions" in order not to fall before the evidence) and many other reasons.
If anyone denies this, too bad for them.
Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/b8ykm
Henry J · 13 June 2006
Is it possible for a hypothesis to be useful without making predictions? Doesn't seem like it to me. (If a model gives a way of caculating where something will appear in the sky, that's a testable prediction.)
Henry
Carol Clouser · 13 June 2006
William Emba,
"Total binding energy per nucleon, integrated over one nucleus (uranium or plutonium, say) is indeed less than total binding energy per nucleon, averaged over two daughter nuclei produced by fission, as is obvious from the BEPN curve, and since the difference in BEPN is just under 1 Mev per nucleon, this does come to 200 Mev or so. However, this doesn't account for the binding energy needed to fuse the two daughter nuclei back into one parent nucleus, and therefore is completely, totally irrelevant to my statement."
I have twice now tried to instruct you in some basic physics here, but you persist in repeating your ignorance. Now you propose to muddy the waters by introducing this red herring about fusing the daughter nuclei back together again. The fact of the matter is that the total binding energy, of all the particles in the event, present after the fission event is greater than before, contrary to your previous assertions. The BEPN graph makes that abundantly clear and you would get no release of energy (in the form of KE of liberated neutrons, gamma ray photons, etc.) if this were not the case. If you tried to do what you now propose, to fuse the daughter nuclei together, the total Binding Energy would go DOWN and that would require an INPUT of energy.
Your ignorance of physics is matched by your being totally clueless of linguistics. Why do you refuse to learn from those who clearly are more knowledgable and intelligent than you when they volunteer their time and energy to try to help you?
Sir_Toejam · 13 June 2006
Henry J · 13 June 2006
Is binding energy the net emission of energy from a reaction, or is it the energy that retained within the particles? (In U fission the former is a positive value, the later is a reduced value.)
Henry
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 13 June 2006
Wheels · 13 June 2006
Binding energy basically is the energy you need to take a system apart. The PE of a bound system is less than the energy of its constituents, it takes work to separate those systems.
Speaking in terms of the elements and their nuclei, the general trend in the lighter end of the mass spectrum is that you see an increasing binding energy as the mass of the nucleons per atom increases. Also, some of the mass is "sacrificed" in the process, making the the mass of nucleons in the nucleus measurably different than that for the equivalent number of free nucleons.
From Na to Xe, though, binding energy remains relatively stable throughout, because the nucleus is too large to evenly distrube the b.e. all the way across, and so some of the increasing b.e. is balanced by the repulsion of like charges in the protons. There is a curve where some elements on the lighter end have an increasing b.e., and others on the heavier end have a decreaseing b.e. but the curve is pretty squashed compared to the two extremes on either end.
Above the mass of Xenon, b.e. tends to decrease as you increase mass because the nucleus is too large to be so well-balanced and the repulsive forces start to gain more favor. Heavier elements' nuclei tend to be less firmly connected as a result.
This is why power generation through fusion is generally pursued with lighter elements, and via fission with the heavier elements. Middleweight nuclei are so tightly bound that splitting them or sticking them together doesn't produce a viable amount of excess energy.
With a few bumps, this is the trend you can see for yourself here.
The above was all culled from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binding_Energy
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 13 June 2006
GvlGeologist, FCD · 13 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 13 June 2006
I really am a sweetheart of a guy. Really. :)
It's just that nazis, klansmen, leninists and fundies all seem to bring out the dark side in me.
And all for much the same reasons.
Carol Clouser · 13 June 2006
Lenny,
"It's just that nazis, klansmen, leninists and fundies all seem to bring out the dark side in me."
I would have thought you would be quite comfortable in bed with a leninist, if any of them are still around.
Since I am not on your list, you ought to turn your brighter side, if you indeed have one, my way.
STJM,
Sir, if you have nothing of substance and relevance to contribute, why don't you just SHUT UP.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 13 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 13 June 2006
GvlGeologist,
Let me try and elaborate a bit on my earlier point which elicited so much debate. I will do so by considering as an example the area of electromagnetic (EM) fields.
It is a fact that all interactions between charged particles, certainly all those known in the 1800's, can be explained as just that, forces between particles, without resort to the concept of "fields". It certainly would be more complicated to do so, and Maxwell's equations would need to be drastically revised, but this is no excuse for inventing the existence of an entity (in this case, fields) out of whole cloth. The fact that the field concept agrees with observation is no help here, because so does the 'no field' approach.
So the field idea per se has no falsifiable or testable evidence in its favor. Why then was it adopted? And it was a real adoption, mind you. The electric and magnetic fields not only were associated with energy, but EM waves were also associated with monentum. The alternative was to accept that the law of conservation of momentum is violated in many interactions between charged particles. Only by associating momentum with EM waves could the conservation law be "saved". So why not dispense with the unfalsifiable fields AND the conservation of momentum, at least for electromagnetic interactions, and so be it! That would be the logical conclusion based strictly on the raw data. So why the fields?
Because they had explanatory power (how one particle can act on another at a distance) and simplicity (much less complicated than the alternative) and symmetry (the roles of electric and magnetic fields are mirrored in each other, change either field and you generate the other) and elegance. In short they felt good to the human mind! They were useful!
Nobody is saying that evidence is not crucial in science. And the same can be said of testability and falsifiability. I am sure that the field idea would have been discarded (albeit reluctantly) had a shred of evidence appeared to contradict it. And that is as it should.
BUT MAN DOES NOT LIVE BY BREAD ALONE. Usefulness also counts! It's more complicated than just looking at the evidence (as William Emba pointed out earlier).
There are many other such examples.
Sir_Toejam · 13 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 14 June 2006
STJM,
First I want to apologize for that "shut up" remark. I got carried away there.
Second, you really have no idea as to what my motives are. The last thing I would want to do is bring God into science.
Third, your insults add up to nothing when you will not address the substance of the arguments. As a matter of fact, your flailing in the wind with wild and baseless insinuations about my motives only lends credence to the idea that you (and some others here) have nothing to offer by way of meaningful critique.
Sir_Toejam · 14 June 2006
you can lie all you want.
anybody who doesn't already know your motivations can easily do a search for your posts on PT and ATBC and find out for themselves.
I mereley alert the ignorant to your idiocy ahead of time, hopefully to head off yet another ridiculous rant by yourself, which is where it always ends up.
I have no intention of starting a discussion with you; that's been done numerous times already.
You're simply a waste of time, to put it bluntly.
Andrew McClure · 14 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 14 June 2006
Carol Clouser · 14 June 2006
Andrew,
Yes, Faraday was a key proponent of the field concept. But I would not quite say, as the article you quoted does, that he "realized" the fields were necessary. Instead, he preferred to visualize phenomena and "adopted" or "favored" the field approach.
Whether Faraday and Maxwell suspected that "particles" of charge existed, such as the electron or proton, is not germaine here. They certainly knew that charge existed, moved and flowed, and exerted forces.
Let me makes this as simple as I can. Say a charged object is accelerating. You can say that its magnetic field is changing over time and this generates an electric field, which in turn acts on a stationary second charged object nearby. (Magnetic fields don't act on stationary charges.) This is how Faraday and Maxwell would express it. Or, you can directly relate the force on the stationary charge to the acceleration of the first charge and say nothing about mediating fields.
See the difference?
Carol Clouser · 14 June 2006
Andrew,
Oh, I forgot. That verse about man not living on bread alone is by Moses in Deuteronomy. I generally do not quote that other fellow.
ben · 14 June 2006
Raging Bee · 14 June 2006
Carol wiggled about thusly:
But I would not quite say, as the article you quoted does, that he "realized" the fields were necessary. Instead, he preferred to visualize phenomena and "adopted" or "favored" the field approach.
Assuming we could read Faraday's mind (or what's left of it today) and verify such a claim, the important difference between these two thought processes would be...what? Or is Carol trying to weasel her way out of a factual refutation of her factual claims?
Peter · 14 June 2006
I can't see why everybody is overlooking the obvious. This bible passage obviously refers to the sun going nova, destroying the Earth and everything on it (due roughly 4 billion years from now), and not the end of the universe.
fnxtr · 14 June 2006
Hey, Carol:
I have a theory.
"Mene, mene, tekel, upharsin" was really an instruction to the palace builders.
It means "Measure twice, cut once".
Discuss.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 14 June 2006
I think it means "Double, double toil and trouble".
I'm writing a book, "The Shakespeare Code", to explain my hypothesis.
:)
fnxtr · 14 June 2006
Peter: see comment 105016
fnxtr · 15 June 2006
Peter: by the way, our sun is too small to nova. Once the hydrogen is consumed, it'll 'burn' some helium, swell up into a red giant, consume the terrestrial planets, and eventually become a white dwarf.
Carol Clouser · 15 June 2006
Peter,
What Bible passages are you referring to?
Carol Clouser · 15 June 2006
fnxtr,
Correct me if I am wrong, but the total output in the visible range by the sun should increase when it swells to red gianthood. Does it not therefore follow that at some distance from the sun where it cannot be seen now, it will become visible at that stage and creatures (if they exist) witnessing the event would see a "nova" (new star)?
Rilke's Granddaughter · 15 June 2006
steve s · 15 June 2006
I think Carol is right. Lemme go get my astrophysics textbook.
steve s · 15 June 2006
Nope, I was wrong. Looks like you need a white dwarf, which sucks matter from a nearby star. the matter piles up on the degenerate-pressure-stabilized surface, until you get a big kaboom, which is the novae.
Rilke's Granddaughter · 15 June 2006
steve s · 15 June 2006
'course, that's if you're using the strict definition of nova. I suppose Carol is right that if you simply mean new star, the total luminosity of the red dwarf might in fact make the sun more visible elsewhere in the galaxy
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 15 June 2006
I thought red giants were cooler and less energetic than their previous stage, and therefore would be LESS visible than before . . . . . ?
Sorry, I slept through all those high school lectures about the HR diagram. Any astronomers out there who can . . . well . . . enlighten me?
Carol Clouser · 15 June 2006
I thought I indicated that I was using the term "nova" in the sense of its literal (oh, oh, bad word) definition, that of a "new" star. But thank you for informing me that a red giant is not a white dwarf. I really need PT for that!
Carol Clouser · 15 June 2006
Lenny,
Red giants ARE cooler but their total surface area is greater, a factor that tends to increase lumionosity.
GvlGeologist, FCD · 15 June 2006
As usual, PT is a great font of information. I thought that novae were in fact "tired-out" red giants, and had in fact been telling my students (from an outmoded text, I think) that. Now I'll have to revise my lecture on that topic, which is actually coming up in less than a week. Thanks, RG, for the links.
Incidentally, if you haven't looked at the Bad Astronomy website (or book, which is how I found out about it), it's a great website - has lots of info on commonly held misconceptions about science, including creationism!
Lastly, Lenny, if you look at an HR diagram, you'll see that red giants (and supergiants) are generally higher on the diagram than the main sequence, indicating that they are more luminescent, even though they are cooler. Carol is correct!!! The larger surface area allows more light to be released, even though on a per square meter basis red giants aren't giving off as much light as our own.
Carol Clouser · 16 June 2006
GvlGeologist,
"Carol is correct!!!"
Why do you sound so surprized? Of course, I am correct. I usually am. Even Lenny will confirm that. Have you ever seen me state something that turned out to be incorrect?
Back to the off-topic. Total radiation energy output, as I recall, varies directly as the fourth power of the temperature and the first power of the surface area. The redness of the giants indicate they must be cooler (than white stars), tending to decrease their total output, while their giantness tends to increase their total output. What I couldn't recall was which dominates in this case. I guess it depends on how much larger they get.
So, what is the answer to my original question to fnxtr? Could our sun, when it gets to the red giant stage, be construed as a nova (new star) by some distant civilzation?
Sir_Toejam · 16 June 2006
Darth Robo · 16 June 2006
My first post, hope this works.
Carol said:
"Total radiation energy output, as I recall, varies directly as the fourth power of the temperature and the first power of the surface area. The redness of the giants indicate they must be cooler (than white stars), tending to decrease their total output, while their giantness tends to increase their total output."
"Could our sun, when it gets to the red giant stage, be construed as a nova (new star) by some distant civilzation?"
I don't think I totally agree on this. The energy output is proportional to the mass of the star, not the surface area. The luminosity of a red giant may be more but it is spread out more thinly due to the greater surface area. This would tend to make the star look dimmer than our sun is today if looking at it from outside of our solar system. If a distant civilization could see our sun as a red giant then they likely have no problem with seeing our sun as it is today, too.
I freely admit I have no qualifications with astronomy (it is something of a minor hobby) so if anyone out there spots something wrong with my post, feel free to correct me. Anyway, here is an interesting link:
http://www.uwgb.edu/dutchs/CosmosNotes/stars.htm
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 16 June 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 16 June 2006
fnxtr · 16 June 2006
Caveat: this is how I remember it from 1st year astronomy:
Red giants are larger, but cooler. They radiate more infrared and less visible light. So they do radiate from a larger surface, but the total energy has decreased. Makes sense from a nuclear standpoint: helium fusion releases less energy than hydrogen fusion.
So, Carol, in short, my answer would be "not yet". The star would fade, even though it is in fact larger.
If the graviational energy of the red giant overcomes the (decreasing) radiative energy, the star collapses and brightens again. That's where you'd get yer nova.
fnxtr · 16 June 2006
"gravitational", of course.
Graviational energy is when you gain weight at Thanksgiving.
William E Emba · 16 June 2006
Glen Davidson · 16 June 2006
Well, Bill, I did glance at your BS after all. Since you can't and don't intelligently support anything that you say (at least the little that I read--I'm not going to go on reading mere lies and false claims), I really don't have anything substantive to add. I can only register my amazement at your inability to understand, and at your mendacity.
Apparently all you can do is repeat your falsehoods. Well do it then. I have explained things in my posts, and you seem not even to understand explanation any more than you do science, linguistics, and philosophy. Your stupidity and dishonesty is harmful primarily to yourself, and only mildly to others.
And now I probably am out of this thread for good. There can be no value in tangling with someone who has so little regard for understanding and truth as Emba reveals himself to be in his posts.
Glen D
http://tinyurl
Glen Davidson · 16 June 2006
Well, Bill, I did glance at your BS after all, since I was a bit bored and a bit curious. Since you can't and don't intelligently support anything that you say (at least the little that I read--I'm not going to go on reading mere lies and false claims), I really don't have anything substantive to add. I can only register my amazement at your inability to understand, and at your mendacity.
Apparently all you can do is to repeat your falsehoods. Well do it then. I have explained things in my posts, and you seem not even to understand explanation any more than you do science, linguistics, and philosophy. Your stupidity and dishonesty is harmful primarily to yourself, and only mildly to others.
And now I probably am out of this thread for good. There can be no value in tangling with someone who has so little regard for understanding and truth as Emba reveals himself to be in his posts.
Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/b8ykm
Carol Clouser · 16 June 2006
Lenny and STJM,
Of course I was kidding. But that does not mean what I said was not correct.
GvlGeologist, FCD · 16 June 2006
For those of you wondering what an HR (Hertzsprung-Russell) diagram is, I submit my class website:
http://inst.sfcc.edu/~gmead/Stars/stars.htm
Caveat: The website was created for Freshman-level non-science students, has been simplified, and is my understanding (as a general Earth Scientist, not an astronomer) of what is correct.
BTW: My understanding is that a nova ("new star") is generally considered to be a sudden (days to months) phenomenon. The transition to a red giant from a normal main-sequence star would undoubtedly take millions of years (AFAIK) so would never be considered to be a nova, even if it did become brighter over that time interval.
fnxtr:
Although He-fusion does release less energy, the star still has a high temperature in the core: ~100 million K, vs. ~14 million k for a yellow H-fusion star. This leads to H fusion in the outer envelope. The cooler temperatures at the surface are more a result of the larger surface area than the total energy released. And the temperatures are not insignificant - about 3000 k for a red star vs. 6000 K for a yellow star.
fnxtr · 16 June 2006
Roger that. Thank you for the clarification.