Digital forensic versus ID's design inference

Posted 4 October 2007 by

On UcD, the lack of scientific research seems to have gotten to Dembski who seems to be attempting to include much of anything as being relevant to ID's 'design inference'

Need it be added that digital forensics consists in drawing design inferences.

— Dembski
Need it be added that this would constitute a common problem of conflation. While the terms may sound similar, an ID 'design inference' is very different from how one commonly uses the term. From the article we learn that Digital Forensics is a news science which attempts to detect manipulations in an image, audio or video.

It’s a new field. It didn’t exist five years ago. We look at digital media — images, audio and video — and we try to ascertain whether or not they’ve been manipulated. We use mathematical and computational techniques to detect alterations in them.

Why is this different from ID's 'design inference'? Simple, from the article we learn for instance that:

I think like a forger. I spend a lot of time in Photoshop making digital forgeries to learn the tools and techniques a forger uses. We’ll make a composite photograph of two people and ask, “How do you manipulate this photograph to make it compelling?” By working backwards, we learn the forger’s techniques and how to detect them.

or how regularities are used to detect design

o we’ve developed a way of measuring whether the lighting is consistent within various parts of the image. Lately, I’ve become obsessed with eyes. In a person’s eyes, one sees a slight reflection of the light in the room. So I’ve developed a technique that can take that little image of the reflection of light and tell us where the light was while you were being photographed. Does that match what we see in the image?

Compare this to ID which refuses to address such "pathetic" questions of motive, means and opportunity Remember when Dembski was asked for details about the 'designer'?

As for your example, I’m not going to take the bait. You’re asking me to play a game: “Provide as much detail in terms of possible causal mechanisms for your ID position as I do for my Darwinian position.” ID is not a mechanistic theory, and it’s not ID’s task to match your pathetic level of detail in telling mechanistic stories. If ID is correct and an intelligence is responsible and indispensable for certain structures, then it makes no sense to try to ape your method of connecting the dots. True, there may be dots to be connected. But there may also be fundamental discontinuities, and with IC systems that is what ID is discovering.”

You have been warned, ID's use of language is 1984'ish in nature. You decide is this by design or can it be explained by regularity and chance processes? Science does know that we humans are very sensitive to 'design detections' and often see 'design' where there is none, so there could be a real simple physical explanation here.

123 Comments

PvM · 4 October 2007

This is hardly the first time that people have pointed out to Dembski that forensics do not use the 'design inference'

See for instance Gary Hurd

PvM · 4 October 2007

. It would be interesting to see how much (or how little) “evolutionary evidence” can withstand the scrutiny of digital forensics.

— Dembski
I assume Dembski is totally unfamiliar with the evidence then? What a crock

David Stanton · 4 October 2007

Yea, didn't Dembski use digital forensics to determine that the photographs of those moths were faked? What a great method!

PvM · 4 October 2007

Next time ID proponents argue that ID is both a new method of doing science AND point out that science has been using ID all the time, point out the inherent contradiction in their position.

When they object, show them how ID relies on ignorance, while in digital forensics, its actual knowledge of the designer and his methods which lead to design inferences.

Don't be fooled.

fnxtr · 4 October 2007

At first I thought maybe Dembski - though completely wrong - was sincerely trying to prove an idea he thought was correct and could be verified if all the existing evidence was just analyzed from a new perspective. He, and others, really believed he was the Newton of woo.

It is clear now that he is a crackpot and/or charlatan.

Do you think your God is pleased with you, Billy?

SWT · 4 October 2007

Let's say for the sake of discussion that digital forensics could be used to draw "design inferences" in exactly the sense that Dembski uses the term.

Wouldn't this then mean that the intrepid ID scientists I keep reading about now have a quantitative tool that's rooted in the refereed literature? If so, wouldn't the ID scientists be immediately jumping into applying this tool to something like rocks vs. clovis points to validate design inferences (I can see a paper or two there), and then moving on to tell us, using validated tools from the refereed literature, which biological systems,or which portions of biological systems, are designed? I see lots of papers there as well.

This could be evolution's Waterloo!

Or not ...

PvM · 4 October 2007

Applying tools... Pathetic...

Stanton · 4 October 2007

Is anyone else getting flashbacks of that footage of Bigfoot besides me?

hoary puccoon · 5 October 2007

SWT asks, "wouldn’t the ID scientists be immediately jumping into applying this tool to something like rocks vs. clovis points?"

SWT, this is so unfair. You don't think Soutwestern archaeologists have enough problems with scorpions and rattlesnakes? Now they're going to have IDers running all over their sites, screaming 'Don't ask, don't tell!' every time somebody tries to collect a carbon-14 sample?

No, no, it's far better to leave them alone with their computers inventing fart jokes.

Bobby · 5 October 2007

Yeah, right.

When's the last time an archaeologist applied a DI-style inference algorithm to a find in order to "prove" that it was man-made?

Archaeologists examine their finds for clues about their origins, and go with what seems to be the best explanation for that evidence... just like biologists and cosmologists do. Archaeologists' methods couldn't have any less in common with the woo Dembski peddles.

Next he'll be claiming that angelologists use the same methods that planetologists do.

Nigel D · 5 October 2007

Dembski and his friends never cease to amaze me.

They are continually coming up with new analogies where people are making a "design inference". Oh, look, that flower bed with the flowers planted in the shape of a word must have been designed. Oh, look, this "car" must have been designed. Forensic scientists make design inferences on a daily basis. Archaeologists use my EF to make design inferences. And so on.

What he strenuously ignores is that all of these "design inferences" are actually deductions based on knowledge of the stuff that people do. It is pretty much impossible to compare Dembski's "design inferences" with any human-made design, because we already know that people make things and design things. They do this using processes that we (1) already know about, or (2) can deduce from evidence that they leave behind.

ID, OTOH, refuses to speculate (or, heaven forfend!, form a detailed hypothesis) about the abilities or motives of the designer (*cough* God *cough*); but in so doing, it removes any possible predictive power it could conceivably possess.

For example, about 20 years ago, the National Park Authority in one of England's most beautiful national parks, the Lake District, was growing increasingly concerned about footpath erosion. The popularity of walking was on the increase, and the paths were becoming gravelly ruts in the fellsides. A chance discovery provided the solution: some biggish stones (about 8 - 14" in size) were uncovered (whether by erosion or by digging I know not) that were worn smooth.

Well, you might think, that's no big deal, since rocky stream beds wear stones to rounded pebbles all the time. However, these stones were smooth on one side only - the opposite face was as rough as if the stone had been freshly deposited from a glacier. Additionally, the smooth sides had the same polished look that you see on really old stone staircases, which is different from the look that stones get when worn smooth in a stream or river bed. The conclusion was that these stones had been used as a type of paving or flagging, probably by Viking settlers.

This design inference was based solely on the knowledge that humans had lived in the area, and that humans show ingenious use of available materials to solve problems. And they managed all this before Dembski's EF had ever been published.

This also provided the solution for the erosion of the footpaths - by replicating the methods of the Vikings, the National Park Authority has been able to save many hundreds of kilometres of upland footpath from deterioration.

Mats · 5 October 2007

As summary for the above comments, we conclude:

"Design inferences are ok, as long as you don't do them in biology"

Mats · 5 October 2007

About design inferences in biology: Denton's book*, page 329:
"We would see that nearly every feature of our own advanced machines had its analogue in the cell"
(* "Evolution: A Theory in Crisis)

snaxalotl · 5 October 2007

A better summary of the above, for Children Who Can't Read Good:

design inference is ok if we have already agreed that certain principles of causation exist ... which is sadly not the case in the fantasy world of ID biology

this is reminiscent of the problem with positivism, the notion that real knowledge is entirely deduced from evidence - you can't make deductions (as opposed to induction) about nature from observations without having apriori laws about the ways that reality translates into observations to form a logical framework for making those deductions. Science makes an "evolution inference" based on reasonable (and incrementally improving) inductions that verify evolutionary principles about as well as we can verify anything, while ID has no business at all making "design inferences" because it has no reasonable grounds for the God processes that would need to be accepted, apart from the design inferences themselves, which are therefore invalid

HDX · 5 October 2007

Mats: As summary for the above comments, we conclude: "Design inferences are ok, as long as you don't do them in biology"
No, design inferences are ok, if you can make rational and feasible explanations of how things were designed. In many of these cases, the person making the inference can do experiments to replicate much of what is done (with whatever technology is available to the creator). They do need to use any supernatural explanations to show something was designed. Then there are times when design inference without evidence is clearly wrong. For an easy example there is the face on mars. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Face_on_Mars#The_Face_on_Mars How could something like the face on mars be natural? It must be designed. There must be some martian civilization. One last thing to point out, is that in the example above, the way to infer design, is to essentially look for imperfections in the photograph that could not be there by random chance. This is not very analogous to intelligent design. The more 'perfect' the forgery the harder it would be to infer design.

Mats · 5 October 2007

HDX
No, design inferences are ok, if you can make rational and feasible explanations of how things were designed.
I am not sure I agree with you on that. Back in the 70s and the 80s, crop circles roamed in the english country side. No one knew how they were created by everyone knew someone created them. No one sugested the rain and the wind as the "creators" of such sctructures. They all sugested creative minds behind those patterns, even though they didn't know exacly how they had been done.

SWT · 5 October 2007

Mats: As summary for the above comments, we conclude: Design inferences are ok, as long as you don't do them in biology
Wrong. I described a strategy by which ID activists could -- at least in principle -- turn their activity into published, peer-reviewed scientific inquiry. Let's be clear: The ID activists claim that they have tools by which they can objectively detect design. There are plenty of objects in the world that we know are designed, but are similar to natural objects -- these make an ideal test of whatever design detection algorithm there might be. No theistic inferences are needed to sort human-made objects from natural objects, overcoming one of the major hurdles the ID activists claim keeps their work out of print. It's not our fault if they choose not to apply the tools they claim they have to actual real-world objects and organisms.

TomS · 5 October 2007

No one sugested the rain and the wind as the “creators” of such sctructures.
- Mats wrote about crop circles. My memory tells me that there were people who suggested some kind of wind as a cause for crop circles. A look at the Wikipedia article "Crop circle" turns up this:
A more recent historical report of crop circles was republished (from Nature, volume 22, pp 290-291, 29 July 1880) in the January 2000 issue of the Journal of Meteorology.[6] It describes the 1880 investigations by an amateur scientist named John Rand Capron: "The storms about this part of Surrey have been lately local and violent, and the effects produced in some instances curious. Visiting a neighbour's farm on Wednesday evening (21st), we found a field of standing wheat considerably knocked about, not as an entirety, but in patches forming, as viewed from a distance, circular spots....I could not trace locally any circumstances accounting for the peculiar forms of the patches in the field, nor indicating whether it was wind or rain, or both combined, which had caused them, beyond the general evidence everywhere of heavy rainfall. They were suggestive to me of some cyclonic wind action,..."[7]

David Stanton · 5 October 2007

In regards to crop circles, you can conclude design all you want. The problem is that in the absence of any evidence of the designer or any knowledge of the motives and goals of the designer, that will get you exactly nowhere. Of course we all know that the crop circles were made by humans who eventually told everyone about their methods. Until then, I guess you could have concluded that God made the crop circles as well. Man, she must have been getting really bored.

Braxton Thomason · 5 October 2007

Mats: HDX
No, design inferences are ok, if you can make rational and feasible explanations of how things were designed.
I am not sure I agree with you on that. Back in the 70s and the 80s, crop circles roamed in the english country side. No one knew how they were created by everyone knew someone created them. No one sugested the rain and the wind as the "creators" of such sctructures. They all sugested creative minds behind those patterns, even though they didn't know exacly how they had been done.
What you fail to understand, Mats, is that when looking at a specific phenomenon, an objective investigator asks: "What process could have created this?". He doesn't ask "Who designed this?" or "What 'impersonal' process created this?". Do you see the inherent bias you have? When examining a phenomenon, look at what processes were present when it was created and whittle them away with evidence. Some things turn out to be man-made, others not. When discussing crop circles, no known natural process was known that could have that effect, so people began examining human causes. This is precisely what happened in biology 150 years ago. When looking at life on earth, we didn't have any known natural process that could explain it, so the assumption was "design". People started looking at the evidence (and more became available), and we started discovering those natural processes. Why is this hard to grasp? If the evidence for evolution was so thin, how is it feasible that it would be so widely accepted in the scientific community? Why do creationists assume that biologists are so much different from other scientists? I don't get it.

James · 5 October 2007

Mats: HDX
No, design inferences are ok, if you can make rational and feasible explanations of how things were designed.
I am not sure I agree with you on that. Back in the 70s and the 80s, crop circles roamed in the english country side. No one knew how they were created by everyone knew someone created them. No one sugested the rain and the wind as the "creators" of such sctructures. They all sugested creative minds behind those patterns, even though they didn't know exacly how they had been done.
The design inferred by people seeing crops circles was based in their predefined understanding of the capabilities of human or human-like intelligence, and the physical capabilities of humans. Ie, they looked like patterns and shapes a human would make, and since they are within the capabilities of humans to produce, and no natural processes were known to produce such patterns, people inferred human design. Now some of those people were of the opinion that the patterns were *beyond* the capability of humans to produce so presumed the patterns were made by aliens (which was later shown to be an unjustified assumption), but still their inference was grounded in the assumption that these "aliens" has an intelligence that was human-like to the degree that they would design patterns significant to humans.

It's also worth pointing out that the "human design" inference made about crop circles was confirmable by experimentation, so they could go from idle speculation to established fact. The "alien design" inference was not confirmable by experimentation, since it is rooted in paranormal conspiracy theories that, much like ID, seek only to evade scientific scrutiny, rather than present a legitimate empirical case for themselves.

The ID design inference is based on personal incredulity, rationalised by demonstrably incorrect mathematics and arguments from ignorance. In ID "design" is merely a label for "unexplained". In order to apply their "design" label to evolution, they have to make every effort to present a case that certain evolutionary adaptations are "unexplained", so that they can then slap a "design" label over the word "unexplained". The trouble is instead of finding aspects of evolution that are as yet unexplained and calling them "design" they have decided to make demonstrably fallacious claims about areas of evolution that are not only explained, but often empirically verified. The fact that IDists like Behe and Dembski keep parroting claims that have been refuted to them over and over again calls into question either their motives or qualification in making such claims.

In short, the "design inferences" made by ID are not design inferences at all. They are an arbitrary pronouncement of "unexplained" on natural process that have in fact been explained in great detail, and verified by scientific experimentation and research. This is then followed a straight forward argument from ignorance that unexplained=unexplainable. This is NOT science. Of course, then then have the last easy step that they don't explicitly make to avoid sending up obvious red flags - that unexplainable=god. Of course they would never admit this in court, but they are happy to make it clear this is the whole point of this exercise when in friendly company.

386sx · 5 October 2007

If so, wouldn't the ID scientists be immediately jumping into applying this tool to something like rocks vs. clovis points to validate design inferences (I can see a paper or two there), and then moving on to tell us, using validated tools from the refereed literature, which biological systems,or which portions of biological systems, are designed?

No, because ID science doesn't need the pathetic validated tools that evolution needs. Only evolution is so pathetic that it needs such nonsense.

Dogmatic evolutionists might think that their ancestors jumped from out of the pathetic trees, but ID scientists didn't come from no pathetic monkeys.

Braxton Thomason · 5 October 2007

Note that digital forensics, such as steganography detection and cryptography, are rooted in solid mathematics (IDers note the appropriate use of Shannon information theory). Discovering "design" in those cases is dependent on hard math, not hand-waving. The same is true for SETI, which, in many ways, is the same problem.

I would love to see anything remotely well-founded in mathematics from the ID clowns.

raven · 5 October 2007

Dembski's theory of design has failed for 150 years.

What it lacks is data to prove or disprove it. Theories are dime a dozen, even evolution has more than two. Lamarckism, Raelism (UFO aliens), Scientology, dozens of religious creation myths.

Evolution Modern Darwinian, OTOH has mountains of evidence whole libraries. Problems identified with evolution have turned out to be problems with other theories which were wrong. The earth is very old, not young. Inheritance is Mendelian, not blending or Lamarckian.

The other theories have either been falsified or gone from zero evidence to zero evidence.

ID today has drifted into the realms of bafflegab, Design Filters, Complex Specified Information, Digital Forensics, vague terms not defined and unable to be measured. Pseudoscience.

Coupled with bad theology even many or most Xians don't accept. Biblical literalism which pretends that a few pages of 4,000 year old myth explains all of science even though it is obviously completely wrong. Billions of angels and demons wandering around causing good and evil in the world. Dembski believes the latter, as usual with zero proof. IMO, the scriptural basis for this is nonexistent. It also seems to call free will into question which would make the universe and our existence meaningless.

Tyrannosaurus · 5 October 2007

Need it be added that the blog is called Uncommonly Dense?

PvM · 5 October 2007

Mats: As summary for the above comments, we conclude: "Design inferences are ok, as long as you don't do them in biology"
YOu are wrong, design inferences are welcome anywhere. The problem is that ID's approach is a total failure. And Mats, you still owe us your description of ID's design inference. Or are you going to run away for a while?

Tim Hague · 5 October 2007

Mats: As summary for the above comments, we conclude: "Design inferences are ok, as long as you don't do them in biology"
I think you're more likely to 'make' a design inference than 'do' one, so let's make a biological design inference, shall we? Let's say - just for example - that you find a species of bacteria that mysteriously has an exact copy of a human gene, which produces a human hormone that the bacteria has no use for whatsoever. So - where did this gene come from? There are a couple of possibilities - it could have evolved in the bacteria over millions of years, or it could have been copied from a human and placed in the bacteria by someone or something - i.e. it could have been designed. So - how do we determine if it was designed or not? I would argue that the only way to determine this would be to put forwards some candidates for a designer, and see if they had the means, the opportunity and the motive to do it (just like a murder mystery this!). It would also be really nice if we could find some detailed blueprints for how the designer did it too. That would really nail it down. Ok - first candidate for the designer - a team of human scientists. Would they have the means to splice a human gene into a bacteria? Yes, they would. Would they have the motive? Well, it's an insulin gene, and many members of the human species lack the ability to produce sufficient quantity of insulin themselves (you may have heard of them, they are called diabetics), so having a bacteria produce insulin for you sounds like a very nice motive for doing this indeed. Would they have had the opportunity to do so? Indeed they would - it's easy to imagine that someone would have provided the resources for a team of scientists to do just this very thing. How about the blueprints? A quick read of the relevant journals does the trick - yes it was designed by a team of human scientists. Compared to the alternatives - another 'unknown' designer, or the likelihood of a bacteria sharing a complex gene with a human for something it doesn't actually require - I think this is an open and shut case. A biological design inference wins the day. Case closed. You will notice however that is was required to actually speculate on the identity of the designer, along with considering the means, motive and opportunity. Only once all these boxes were ticked were we justified in reaching a 'design inference'.

Henry J · 5 October 2007

Re "Next he’ll be claiming that angelologists use the same methods that planetologists do."

They look for heavenly bodies?

Nigel D · 5 October 2007

On the plus side, everyone, Mats has successfully used both the italic and the bold HTML tags in the same sentence. Credit where credit's due.

PvM · 5 October 2007

Henry J: Re "Next he’ll be claiming that angelologists use the same methods that planetologists do." They look for heavenly bodies?
ROTFL, very funny... Conflation and equivocation are ID's best, and only 'weapons' to confuse its readers. When people point out the vacuity and infertility, they cry, censorship, suppression, oppression, and more. Playing victim seems to be the next best thing that allows one to explain to its followers, why ID has been such a failure.

Glen Davidson · 5 October 2007

It's the familiar story, the false analogy, coupled with the usual dishonest suggestion (or in Mats' case, outright falsehood) that somehow we are opposed to detecting design in biology, rather than having not found it. But on to other matters:

Science does know that we humans are very sensitive to "design detections" and often see "design" where there is none, so there could be a real simple physical explanation here.

Yes, but "design" as such was not often actually suspected in life by the ancients. The models were more on the lines of miracles and reproduction, for life doesn't look very designed, in fact. The industrial age appears to have brought that lame idea forward to the minds of Paley and others. Relatedness is also readily recognized by humans, and perhaps it is more impressive that Aristotle (with his fixed species) nevertheless recognized the "family resemblances" of species, while the creationist Linnaeus came up with what were virtually genealogical trees to classify life. Neither could quite believe what they were seeing, but they did see it. Of course biologists went ahead and did what real scientists do, they worked through the purported evidence for design and the evidence for relatedness, hence they determined which one was actually the case. IDists not only are generally not well equipped to do the same thing, it is almost certain that they avoid the science because even they are aware that they would find the usual non-supernatural cause and effect marks of relatedness among organisms that all legitimate scientists have. Better to run analogies by the naive and the deluded forever. Confirmation of their biases is all that the IDists and their small audiences actually want (the straight creo audiences are larger), and analogies are rhetorically useful precisely because they lack attention to detail. Now analogies can be properly illustrative, thanks to their neglect of detail, but are quite prone to abuse. And abuse them Dembski does. I suspect that he ever shall. Glen D http://tinyurl.com/2kxyc7

Glen Davidson · 5 October 2007

What is probably more the case than that humans see "design" where there is none is that they humans readily see "purpose" where there is none.

Just yesterday I heard someone ask what the purpose of Saturn's rings were. No fault to her, of course, the point being more that those who know little about science tend to want the "purpose" of a thing, not a long causal physics explanation which tells them nothing about how they are to relate to the phenomenon in question.

IDists exploit that desire, not, of course, actually finding any purpose, but affirming that the question about purpose is the proper one, and that it's only the prejudices of scientists (unfathomably they suppose that scientists actually prefer purposeless answers) that leads them away from purpose.

IDists really need to keep people naive and ignorant, and ID's real purpose (or hidden motives, anyhow) is simply that. The naive and ignorant buy Behe's and Dembski's books.

Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/2kxyc7

snaxalotl · 5 October 2007

rain and wind didn't make crop circles, therefore minds did
what a dreadfully misleading bifurcation. in general, people supposed wind and rain didn't make them, because people know how wind and rain function. An adequate theory of wind and rain ruled out a wind and rain inference. but that's as far as it goes. no true dichotomy, so no mind inference by default. and no mind inference by "proper ID" because there was no established relationship between some intelligent entity and crop circles. except for the really pointless ID cover-all, "an intelligence plus magic can cause anything at all", apparently making intelligence a likely candidate for everything. So in the case of crop circles, the real story is that there were no valid inferences to be made, so people were free to propose any unrefutable explanation that their fertile hippy minds could conceive of, including the ever popular space aliens, secure in the knowledge (or ignorance) that there will always be plenty of people who cling to a story they WANT to be true when it is both unproveable and unrefutable.

John Stockwell · 5 October 2007

I would argue that we *never* make "design inferences". What we actually do is to model the process of origin of observed phenomena.

When forensic specialists are doing their thing, they are operating on models of such processes in order to know what evidence to collect from both crime scenes and from potential suspects, in order to build a case that will be plausible under the rules of evidence of the court to allow a judge and or jury to convict a particular suspect of a crime. There is
science done to create the models that allow for the specific techniques, but once those models are established forensic "scientists" are not doing science anymore, but are applying a prescription.

The question is: is there a "design inference," in the sense of Dembski being made anywhere in the process? I believe that the answer is clearly "no". Forensic scientists have a considerable body of evidence from a collection of cases of known crimes-methods-motives to operate from as their background theory.

A better example of how the claims of ID differ from reality may be seen by considering the "Mt. Rushmore" argument. The ID crowd claims that it is a no-brainer to recognize Mt. Rushmore as being "designed" because of the extremely large odds against such an object arising by chance or by natural processes such as weathering.

I would argue that Mt. Rushmore is recognized, not as designed, but as manufactured because we have a great familiarity with mega-carvings and statues in general. In particular, we know how such items come into existence.

Since the ID creationist considers that this information is unimportant to making the "design inference", consider how an individual not possessing such information might react.

Suppose that an individual with no concept of "carving" or "statue" would see Mt. Rushmore. It is reasonable to believe that such an individual would make the inference that the figures on Mt. Rushmore are "giant people frozen in stone" by some unknown process. Indeed, mythology of all cultures contains such allusions of animals or people "turned to stone", which I believe, come from early people encountering rock formations, fossils, and the products of stone carving cultures.

fnxtr · 5 October 2007

All of this, of course, for the benefit of lurkers. Mats knows what s/he knows and isn't interested in learning.

Anything.

Ever.

Henry J · 5 October 2007

I would argue that we *never* make "design inferences". What we actually do is to model the process of origin of observed phenomena.

Put another way, people make engineering inferences: look for signs that a particular type of engineering process was done. The question isn't whether something was "designed", the question is whether it was manufactured (or engineered), and how. Henry

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

“Design inferences are ok, as long as you don’t do them in biology”

That of course is not a summary of what was written, and is completely wrong. Scientists don't do "design inference", they do cause inference. And what we have learned about the causes of biology are captured by the explanatory framework known as the theory of evolution. "design" is not a cause in itself, it's an activity that precedes implementation. And the appearance of something having been intentionally implemented is never an endpoint in science, it's a beginning -- it spurs a hypothesis that the cause was the actions of an intentional agent. The scientist would seek to identify the agent and its actions that caused the observed phenomenon, determine what the agent's intention was and what motivated it, etc. All of that is missing in ID.

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

And what we have learned about the causes of biology are captured by the explanatory framework known as the theory of evolution.

Oops, I meant to write "the causes of biological diversity".

DP · 5 October 2007

But come on, this is so simple it hurts:

The detection that Dembski is talking
about is based upon what we know of
HUMAN ACTION, HUMAN DESIGNERS, HUMAN
CAUSES etc. etc.! HUMAN HUMAN HUMAN!

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

I would argue that Mt. Rushmore is recognized, not as designed, but as manufactured because we have a great familiarity with mega-carvings and statues in general.

There's a bit more to it that that. Suppose you didn't know of the existence of Mt. Rushmore, but saw it out of the window of an airplane -- you would "recognize" it as an intentional product because of our biological bias toward recognizing faces and because of the very low likelihood of such a phenomenon -- the close likenesses of four famous American Presidents -- arising naturally. Fascinated, you go look at it up close. As you approach it, you are flabbergasted to discover that it's an illusion, that it consists of erosions that strongly resemble the faces of American presidents from afar but, up close, bear none of the familiar signs or characteristics of mega-carvings and statues, so your "recognition" was mistaken, or at least called into question (perhaps the erosions were intentionally planned, but that's an extraordinary hypothesis that requires an extraordinary amount of evidence). But the IDist, even when faced with the overwhelming evidence that biological phenomena came about through natural processes, refuse to question their "recognition", or refuse to get out of their airplane to look closely -- and they depend upon false analogies and false statistics, as nothing in the biological world is nearly as unlikely to be natural as Mt. Rushmore is, despite all the handwaving by the likes of Dembksi and Behe.

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

The detection that Dembski is talking about is based upon what we know of HUMAN ACTION, HUMAN DESIGNERS, HUMAN CAUSES etc. etc.! HUMAN HUMAN HUMAN!

They say man is made in God's image, so this really isn't really much of a counter. The creationists imagine some sort of super human who crafted things, and they think that they see evidence of that everywhere. They are welcome to think that, but digital forensics etc. simply doesn't provide any support, for reasons several people have detailed above.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 5 October 2007

Spot on post! As the gaps to stuff gods decrease, the remaining argument is the design argument, the ultimate argument from ignorance. It is so diluted that creationists can splash it on and hope some sticks. And in some minds it will.
The question is: is there a “design inference,” in the sense of Dembski being made anywhere in the process? I believe that the answer is clearly “no”.
I think we can strengthen this, as in court as well in science there will be a need for evidence. In the former case one must provide motive, means and opportunity and a clear likelihood for causation or at least correlation with say DNA evidence. In the later case a clear likelihood for a test or at least correlation with say cladograms. In these cases using Dembski's explanatory filter, whether intentionally or by accident, will mean failure. Also, as there is no well-defined single measure for information, entropy or complexity, there isn't one for "design" either. Furthermore it is AFAIU easy to show that there cannot be one, at least for now. It seems currently mathematically impossible to distinguish between genuine random (say, equiprobable) sequences and pseudorandom sequences generated by some good enough algorithm. I have gotten the impression that there is an expectation that the futility is genuine and may eventually be proved. In conclusion I think the qualitative distinction that PvM stresses between engineering (thanks, Henry J!) or scientific inferences on one side and creationism inferences on the other is both clear and necessary.

CJO · 5 October 2007

[They]refuse to get out of their airplane to look closely.

That's it exactly. The sheer incuriosity of these charlatans is the clearest indication that science is not among their interests.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 5 October 2007

The detection that Dembski is talking about is based upon what we know of HUMAN ACTION,
No, you equate "motive, means, opportunity" with "specified complexity". The first model human actions and can be used in specific cases to gather conclusive evidence. The later model something undefined (Dembski's use) or ill-defined (when scientists analyze real definitions) that is unmeasurable in practice. Dembski's gods know that he has never used it himself. IDC has never made a detection! How hard can it be, forensics are made daily, so are vast amounts of science. 20 years, and counting ...

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 5 October 2007

This also provided the solution for the erosion of the footpaths - by replicating the methods of the Vikings,
We still use them. :-) Well, not we exactly, but when scandinavians started to get the same problems in fjäll areas I believe these solutions was still in use among the native populations, Sami among them. They also knew how to use tree logs properly over wet areas - as I understand it the first generations of tree support didn't last long until native techniques were used, stone supports among them. Unfortunately I don't think it has been so systematically used as you describe however, the length of footpaths are greater and the visitor pressure is less. But when erosion problems crop up in the face of small budgets, at least we now know what we should do.

Mats · 5 October 2007

David Stanton said
The problem is that in the absence of any evidence of the designer or any knowledge of the motives and goals of the designer, that will get you exactly nowhere.
The afore mentioned example of the crop circles refutes that claim. We didn't know what was the motives of the mminds who did them, but we were sure minds had been involved.
Of course we all know that the crop circles were made by humans who eventually told everyone about their methods.
Yup. Sadlly, many Ufo buffs still use them as "evidence" for alien life. Seems like evolutionary biology is not the only realm where bogus evidence is used for a dead hypothesis. .... Braxton said:
What you fail to understand, Mats, is that when looking at a specific phenomenon, an objective investigator asks: “What process could have created this?”. He doesn’t ask “Who designed this?” or “What ‘impersonal’ process created this?”. Do you see the inherent bias you have?
I see your bias, yes. But even then, your question doesn't anul what I said. When asking the question "What process could have created this?", one could include mental activity. One could ask: "Is this feature the result of a mental process or the result of something else?"
When discussing crop circles, no known natural process was known that could have that effect, so people began examining human causes.
Ah, very interesting. So having exausted the natural causes, people started looking for "non-natural" causes? Well, let's aply the same principle in Biology: Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes? To put it in a way which I think its familiar with people in here: Since the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can't write genetic code, is it ok (and scientific) to start looking for causations elsewhere? Or do we stop short there, due to one's philosophical bias?
This is precisely what happened in biology 150 years ago. When looking at life on earth, we didn’t have any known natural process that could explain it, so the assumption was “design”.
I think you made a mistake in logic here. If the assumption was design, then it didn't came about after "looking at life on earth": it was assumed before looking at life on earth. However, it they looked at life on earth, and concluded "design", then it is not an assumption but a deduction/conlusion. THis doesn't affect your main, by the way, but it's good that you admit that scientists of the past did the work under the assumption of design, and they didn't have any problems at all (Maxwell, Faraday, Newton, Pascal, etc, etc)
People started looking at the evidence (and more became available), and we started discovering those natural processes.
Like...which one? Which "natural process" was discovered that concluded that life forms were not designed? And has anyone actually seen this "natural process" creating anything out of dead matter?
Why is this hard to grasp? If the evidence for evolution was so thin, how is it feasible that it would be so widely accepted in the scientific community? Why do creationists assume that biologists are so much different from other scientists? I don’t get it.
I sure do hope that you are not implying that consensus determines truth. Both me and you know that the consensus can be wrong, right?

David B. Benson · 5 October 2007

Popper's Ghost --- Most of the gods are made in Man's image.

:-)

CJO · 5 October 2007

Ah, very interesting. So having exausted the natural causes, people started looking for “non-natural” causes? Well, let’s aply the same principle in Biology: Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes? To put it in a way which I think its familiar with people in here: Since the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can’t write genetic code, is it ok (and scientific) to start looking for causations elsewhere? Or do we stop short there, due to one’s philosophical bias?

"Creat[ing] living beings out of dead matter" belongs properly to the field of abiogenesis. It's an age-old creationist tactic to conflate it with the subsequent evolution of said living beings, which is what we were talking about, yes? And who said "impersonal and mindless forces...can't write genetic code"? What's happening inside your body right now, with all that cell division going on and all? Of course you mean the origin of the genetic code, don't you? Making your latest screed a long non-sequitur. And even if I grant your kindergarten-level baited-and-switched premises, it still would not be scientific to blindly begin looking for "mental causes," and not for philosophical reasons, either, if by that you mean metaphysical reasons, but for perfectly sound epistemological reasons.

PvM · 5 October 2007

The afore mentioned example of the crop circles refutes that claim. We didn’t know what was the motives of the mminds who did them, but we were sure minds had been involved.

It's not just motives, although motives is a very useful aspect, means, opportunities, capabilities etc also play a role. In fact, early investigations did not accept that a mind was involved. History once again shows you to be wrong

Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes? To put it in a way which I think its familiar with people in here: Since the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can’t write genetic code, is it ok (and scientific) to start looking for causations elsewhere? Or do we stop short there, due to one’s philosophical bias?

So how do mental processes line up with 'we don't know the full details'? How would science go about finding a mind? Science will look anywhere there is an opportunity for success, since ID is not in the business of providing explanations, looking for a mind is nothing different from accepting ignorance, just a different name for the same topic.So why call it 'design' when this would just lead to confusions?

Artfulskeptic · 5 October 2007

Mats:
Mats: David Stanton said
The problem is that in the absence of any evidence of the designer or any knowledge of the motives and goals of the designer, that will get you exactly nowhere.
The afore mentioned example of the crop circles refutes that claim. We didn't know what was the motives of the mminds who did them, but we were sure minds had been involved.
Mats's statement is logically false. The chain of reasoning is painfully simple. Crop circles were discovered. Observers asked, "How did these get here?" A variety of hypotheses were put forth including, but not limited to "human mischief", "extraterrestrial alien mischief", and "weather phenomena." Evidence was looked for to support or refute these hypotheses. In regards to the "extraterrestrial alien mischief" hypothesis. No evidence supporting or refuting could be found. The alien hypothesis was completely unbounded and therefore useless from a scientific standpoint. This is the problem with inserting God in science. God obeys no rules, therefore if God interferes, there are no rules, period. If there are no rules there can be no objective knowledge, and all inquiry is pointless because it amounts to a guessing game of "What is God going to do next?" The "weather phenomena" hypothesis was researched. Investigators searched their archives for similar occurrences. Not finding any similar occurrences, the next logical step wold be to try and simulated a weather event that could have caused such a thing. Investigators never got around to it because... The "human mischief" hypothesis was proved correct by the admission of the culprits
When discussing crop circles, no known natural process was known that could have that effect, so people began examining human causes.
Ah, very interesting. So having exausted the natural causes, people started looking for "non-natural" causes?
This is disingenuous as well. The natural causes had not been exhausted. KNOWN natural causes had been exhausted. Looking for UNKNOWN natural causes is what scientists do. Only once causes are discovered do they become known.
Well, let's aply the same principle in Biology: Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes? To put it in a way which I think its familiar with people in here: Since the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can't write genetic code, is it ok (and scientific) to start looking for causations elsewhere? Or do we stop short there, due to one's philosophical bias?
Logic based on a false assumption is called fallacy. The assumption here is, "the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can't write genetic code." To which the obvious answer is, "What evidence do you have that it can't?" As for the question, "is it ok (and scientific) to start looking for causations elsewhere? Or do we stop short there, due to one's philosophical bias?" The answer is a simple, "No. It is not, by definition, scientific to be looking for supernatural causality." Science deals only with the natural, rational world. Philosophical/personal bias can come into play when deciding between two natural explanations of an observed phenomena. It cannot come into play when deciding between a natural and supernatural explanation, because once you start talking about supernatural explanations, you are no longer doing science.
I sure do hope that you are not implying that consensus determines truth. Both me and you know that the consensus can be wrong, right?
Of course consensus does not determine fact, but one must consider that when Darwin published his Origin of Species, the entire world, almost without exception, believed that some sort of supernatural force had magically placed people on it. The fact that Darwin's initial hypothesis has so radically transformed the way we think about life on Earth--even though it contradicted the deeply held beliefs of practically everyone who encountered it--speaks to the power and durability of the science. Artfulskeptic

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

Popper’s Ghost — Most of the gods are made in Man’s image.

David, you're slow as usual. As I said, "The creationists imagine some sort of super human who crafted things".

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

The problem is that in the absence of any evidence of the designer or any knowledge of the motives and goals of the designer, that will get you exactly nowhere.

The afore mentioned example of the crop circles refutes that claim. We didn't know what was the motives of the mminds who did them, but we were sure minds had been involved. Which gets us where? Nowhere, as David said, since we were already there. That's your fundamental failure -- there's nowhere you want to go, because all you care about is having your prior belief confirmed. But in biology, while we are sure, from the overwhelming evidence, that evolution is involved, that's never the end of the story.

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

In regards to the “extraterrestrial alien mischief” hypothesis. No evidence supporting or refuting could be found.

Actually there was ample refuting evidence, such as the distance to other stars and the failure to detect any aliens (this absence of evidence is real evidence, just as the absence of broken windows or doorlocks in a burglary is evidence of an inside job), which underlies the basic scepticism, rather than neutrality, of this hypothesis.

The alien hypothesis was completely unbounded and therefore useless from a scientific standpoint.

Actually there are considerable bounds on aliens as hypothetical agents, bounds that do not apply to God.

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

The "weather phenomena" hypothesis was researched. Investigators searched their archives for similar occurrences. Not finding any similar occurrences, the next logical step wold be to try and simulated a weather event that could have caused such a thing. Investigators never got around to it because ... The "human mischief" hypothesis was proved correct by the admission of the culprits

There's much more to it than that. The pattern of crushing of grasses was not consistent with weather, as opposed to, say, pressing down with a plank of wood. And of course the chance of weather producing an ordered series of geometric figures is incredibly small, whereas the chances of people producing them is not. Empirical investigation is a matter of inference to the best explanation. The best explanation for crop circles was always that they were human produced, which is why most rational people assumed that to be the cause. And the best explanation for biodiversity is overwhelmingly evolution -- we don't have to wait for evolution to come forward and admit it.

Logic based on a false assumption is called fallacy.

Not so. For instance, in All men are immortal. Socrates was a man. Therefore Socrates was immortal. the conclusion is unsound because of the false premise, but there's no fallacy involved; the logic, an example of modus ponens, is quite valid.

Artfulskeptic · 5 October 2007

Popper's Ghost:

The alien hypothesis was completely unbounded and therefore useless from a scientific standpoint.

Actually there are considerable bounds on aliens as hypothetical agents, bounds that do not apply to God.
Depends on how you measure aliens. If you measure them by the standards of life-as-we-know it, then yes there are bounds. If you hypothesize GLAs (God Like Aliens-- Like Q from Star Trek) then there are essentially no bounds. And since GLA's are the ones the IDiots assert created and subsequently modified life on Earth (they won't admit they think goddidit, so it's gotta be aliens), that's the standard I chose for the example. The point I was driving at was that attempting to include the supernatural in science requires one to accept the premise of an inconsistent universe, and an inconsistent universe makes knowledge impossible.
There’s much more to it than that. The pattern of crushing of grasses was not consistent with weather, as opposed to, say, pressing down with a plank of wood. And of course the chance of weather producing an ordered series of geometric figures is incredibly small, whereas the chances of people producing them is not. Empirical investigation is a matter of inference to the best explanation. The best explanation for crop circles was always that they were human produced, which is why most rational people assumed that to be the cause. And the best explanation for biodiversity is overwhelmingly evolution – we don’t have to wait for evolution to come forward and admit it.
Of course there's more to it. The point of the example was to demonstrate three hypotheses, one of them supernatural (or effectively so--GLAs) and two of them natural. Having dispensed with the supernatural, the only argument remaining is between the two natural hypothesis: the weather and human hi-jinx. (Humans, being part of the natural world, exhibit natural behavior, no matter how weird it sometimes gets.) In this case, all the evidence, including the confession, pointed to human mischief. The conclusion of human mischief would still have been valid without the confession, because it was only one data point among many. No one (except maybe and IDiot) would expect the biosphere to come forth and say, "Yes, your honor, I confess. I did a few hits of evolution when I was young. At first it was just single-celled animals, but that just wasn't enough. I needed more, so I started experimenting with multi-celled creatures, and, well, before you know it I was evolving things like dinosaurs. By that point I couldn't control myself. I was in a cycle of extinction and explosion, and I kept coming up with weirder and weirder things. And that's how I ended up with humans. But your honor, I can go straight, I know I can. Just give me one more shot at rehab and I swear I'll kick the evolution habit."

Popper's Ghost · 5 October 2007

If you hypothesize GLAs (God Like Aliens– Like Q from Star Trek) then there are essentially no bounds.

Star Trek is fiction. All you're doing is redefining "alien" as another word for "God". Such silly games aren't the stuff of serious discussion.

Of course there’s more to it.

The point was that your just-so story was factually mistaken.

MPW · 6 October 2007

Mats: "Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes?"

Well, depending upon the details, it might be scientific to put forward a hypothesis about what processes this purported "mind" used to create life. So tell us how the mind did this, or at least give us an educated guess or two. Any day now, we can wait.

That your question is a bit of a non-sequitur, because you're suddenly talking about abiogenesis, not evolution, has already been mentioned, but bears repeating.

Mats · 6 October 2007

PvM
How would science go about finding a mind?
How do science goes about finding minds behind archeological features? Oh, they don't. They just look at the feature and conclude there was a mind involved, regardless of the motives.
Science will look anywhere there is an opportunity for success, since ID is not in the business of providing explanations, looking for a mind is nothing different from accepting ignorance, just a different name for the same topic.
The scientific theoy of ID is not looking for a mind. Artfulskeptic wrote
The assumption here is, “the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can’t write genetic code.” To which the obvious answer is, “What evidence do you have that it can’t?”
What evidence you have that they can?
The answer is a simple, “No. It is not, by definition, scientific to be looking for supernatural causality.”
Well, then that definition needs to be revised, since not only it is not scientific, but it is hindering the advancement of true science.
Science deals only with the natural, rational world.
Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world
Philosophical/personal bias can come into play when deciding between two natural explanations of an observed phenomena. It cannot come into play when deciding between a natural and supernatural explanation, because once you start talking about supernatural explanations, you are no longer doing science
That is a philosophical standing point, not one that it's really necessary for science to operate.
Of course consensus does not determine fact, but one must consider that when Darwin published his Origin of Species, the entire world, almost without exception, believed that some sort of supernatural force had magically placed people on it.
I am glad you agree that consensus does not determine truth. And, yes, in Darwin's day, many scientists believed that the universe had it's origins in supernatural causation. That didn't seemm to affect their science one single bit. But now, thanks to "science", we know that people were magically placed in here by no one. Things just apeared out of nothing by themselves, and stasrted to get more and more complex, by themselves, until people apeared. That is todays "scientific" consensus, which is much more logical that the one the founding fathers of science had, right? MPW said
“Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes?” Well, depending upon the details, it might be scientific to put forward a hypothesis about what processes this purported “mind” used to create life. So tell us how the mind did this, or at least give us an educated guess or two. Any day now, we can wait.
You clearly missed the point in the crop circle example. When they were discovered, people didn't know how they wee created, but everyone knew that mind(s) had made them. They didn't allude to the wind and the rian as the source of those structures. So even though they didn't know the process as to how those patterns came into existence, they could clearly detect the effects of mental activity. The same goes for the living forms. Even though we can't scientifically see how those forms came into existence, the belief that they are the result of a mindless process is totally inadequate, since mindless forces don't have the ability to prodece those effects. It's more logical so invoke a Mind as the cause for those structures.

ben · 6 October 2007

The answer is a simple, No. It is not, by definition, scientific to be looking for supernatural causality.
Well, then that definition needs to be revised, since not only it is not scientific, but it is hindering the advancement of true science
Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test for the occurrence of supernatural phenomena. Please also explain how it would be possible to determine, through observing the natural, material effects of these phenomena in the natural, material world, that these phenomena are in fact "supernatural".
Science deals only with the natural, rational world.
Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world
OK, invoke it. Tell us how to test for supernatural causality, scientifically and under the same stipulations and constraints you might place on experimental verification of MET.

Eric Finn · 6 October 2007

MPW: Mats: "Since there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter, is it scientific to start alluding to mental processes?" Well, depending upon the details, it might be scientific to put forward a hypothesis about what processes this purported "mind" used to create life. So tell us how the mind did this, or at least give us an educated guess or two. Any day now, we can wait. That your question is a bit of a non-sequitur, because you're suddenly talking about abiogenesis, not evolution, has already been mentioned, but bears repeating.
Exactly. It is allowed to use supernatural entities in hypotheses, but those hypotheses need to produce some kind of predictions for testing. Very often these predictions are based on models that depict how the observed things might come to be. It is important that anyone, in principle, can check those predictions. Thus, personal experiences, such as revelations, do not count in science. In my opinnion, there is no philosophical or other constrains to do valid science using supernatural entities. It appears to me that it just has not happened yet. Regards Eric

John Pieret · 6 October 2007

Heh! Doesn't anyone remember a couple of years ago when Dembski waxed eloquent about the beauty of nature ...
Have a look at the following image and consider what your gut is telling you: (1) that nature is full of extravagant design that we should not expect on materialistic principles; (2) that nature has programmed us through evolution (e.g., sexual selection) to appreciate beauty in nature so that we can be good little robots and spread our genes.
... over an obviously photoshopped picture? It's still there if you Google it.

TomS · 6 October 2007

raven: Dembski’s theory of design has failed for 150 years.
I understand and appreciate your comments, but I'd like to point out that you are granting too much. ID does not have a theory of design. What it has is an assertion that there is something that hasn't been explained, and therefore there must be some unspecified something-or-other. A design theory of X would tell us how design is likely to result in X, and less likely to result in Y or Z. A design theory of X would make some connection (logical, physical, metaphysical, some kind of connection) between design and X. A design theory would tell us When or Where design happened. A design theory would tell us something positive, not merely that somewhere, somehow, something must be wrong with evolutionary biology. A design theory would give us some direction on how to proceed with the theory, or raise interesting questions.

Nigel D · 6 October 2007

How would science go about finding a mind?

— Mats
How do science goes about finding minds behind archeological features? Oh, they don’t. They just look at the feature and conclude there was a mind involved, regardless of the motives.

Mats, you are being dishonest with yourself again. You know very well that archaeologists know quite a lot about how people make things. They are able to draw upon this and other background knowledge to draw conclusions about what they find in the ground. For instance, it is known that metals such as iron, bronze and copper do not occur naturally in topsoil. If a lump of one of these metals is found in soil, there are three possible causes: (1) it is a human artifact that became buried; (2) it is a piece of slag from a forge; or (3) it has broken loose from a vein in a nearby piece of bedrock (and maybe been washed to its present location by a stream or soil creep). Close examination of the find will reveal which of these explanations is the correct one. Notice that all three starting hypotheses use known processes, and that two of the processes involve an intelligent agency (people) while the third does not. If a close examination revealed that the find was consistent with none of these, then a new hypothesis would need to be tested: this fourth hypothesis would be "this piece came to be where we found it by some unknown process". It would spark a search to discover what this unknown process is. Neither manufacture nor natural processes would be ruled out. The search for this process would be guided by evidence and logic.

The scientific theoy of ID is not looking for a mind.

— Mats
Oh, Mats, you split hairs when you know very well what was intended in the question. All you are doing is demonstrating an unwillingness to engage in any kind of rational debate. As you well know, the official premise of ID is that there exists, in nature, evidence of "design". Dembski, Behe and their colleagues at the DI claim to have found some of this evidence. Real scientists know better - the "evidence" is nothing more than wishful thinking and arm-waving, coupled to intellectual dishonesty. Therefore, the official position of ID is that they do seek evidence of the action of a "mind" in nature. You'll notice that none of the ID authors ever publishes thoughts about MDID (multiple-designer ID). They have one specific designer in mind, and it is the one to which you refer as "Mind".

The assumption here is, "The impersonal and mindless forces of nature cannot write genetic code." To which the obvious answer is, "What evidence do you have that it cannot?"

— Mats
What evidence you have that they can?

Irrelevant to the question, Mats. Stop dodging and answer it. You made the assumption that what you refer to as "impersonal forces of nature" cannot write genetic code. Support your assumption with some evidence. Or revise your position if your assumption is unreasonable. And, believe you me, that assumption is an unreasonable one in the absence of any evidence to support it. On the other hand, there is plenty of evidence that "impersonal forces of nature", in the form of random mutation that occurs by well-inderstood mechanisms obeying the known laws of physics and chemistry, can "write new genetic code". Whether or not it does is a separate question. We have evidence that it can, which goes counter to your assumption. Therefore, you must support your assumption with a compelling reason for making it, preferably based on hard evidence. Otherwise, your position is logically untenable.

The answer is a simple, "No. It is not, by definition, scientific to be looking for supernatural causality."

— Mats
Well, then that definition needs to be revised, since not only it is not scientific, but it is hindering the advancement of true science.

Once again, Mats, you are spouting nonsense. Science deals with evidence. Phenomena that can be observed, measured and recorded. By definition, these are natural. Also by definition, "supernatural" phenomena are not measurable or recordable or observable by independent observers. If you explain something by positing a hypothesis that cannot ever be tested in any way, you achieve nothing. We gain no understanding of the phenomenon. ID is one such idea, and it adds nothing. It is empty, both of scientific merit and of explanatory power.

Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world

Yes, there is. It provides us with no way of exploring or understanding the phenomenon or event you wish to explain. Supernatural causation, by definition, is a dead end to further understanding. If I am investigating a phenomenon, and you try to explain it by saying "It was caused by something that you cannot see, cannot record and will never occur again", what additional understanding does that give us? Nothing. Supernatural causation is a scientific non-starter, and would lead its adherents to stop investigating how things operate in the universe.

Philosophical/personal bias can come into play when deciding between two natural explanations of an observed phenomena. It cannot come into play when deciding between a natural and supernatural explanation, because once you start talking about supernatural explanations, you are no longer doing science

That is a philosophical standing point, not one that it’s really necessary for science to operate. Oh, so now you are trying to define what science does or does not need. Well, forgive me if I don't treat you as suitably qualified to make that judgement, Mats! Artfulskeptic's point (which you appear deliberately to have missed) was that personal bias does not enter into a scientist's decision to ignore supernatural causation as a hypothesis. The choice about supernatural causation is a simple one: if you wish to investigate and hence understand a phenomenon, you cannot consider supernatural causes, because they offer no avenue for investigation or further understanding.

I am glad you agree that consensus does not determine truth.

While this is true in principle, it must be considered within the context of modern science. A consensus of experts does carry much weight. Sufficient weight that non-experts should not challenge that consesnsus unless thay are prepared to put in the time and effort to become expert.

And, yes, in Darwin’s day, many scientists believed that the universe had it’s origins in supernatural causation. That didn’t seemm to affect their science one single bit.

Well, no, but not actually relevant to anything. All data must be considered in the context of what os already known. The scientists of the nineteenth century were working in an intellectual environment in which there was a great deal of ignorance. This ignorance was recognised and acknowledged, and provided plenty of opportunities for scientific discoveries to be made. At that time, it was assumed that we would not be able to develop the tools with which to probe the origin of either the universe or life on Earth. In fact, many people believed that the universe was eternal, i.e. it had no beginning. Fortunately, none of this is relevant to the science of evolution, which explains how biological diversity arises.

But now, thanks to “science”, we know that people were magically placed in here by no one.

Again, Mats, you are talking nonsense. This caricature is a strawman and you know it.

Things just apeared out of nothing by themselves,

No. Not out of nothing. You have been told this before.

and stasrted to get more and more complex, by themselves, until people apeared.

No exclusively more complex, but since the starting point was a relatively simple organism, where else could it go? And there is nothing special about the appearance of people. Evolution continues around us today.

That is todays “scientific” consensus,

Well, no, it is far more detailed and well-founded in evidence than you have illustrated with your strawman.

which is much more logical that the one the founding fathers of science had, right?

Your strawman is utterly illogical. However, the modern scientific consensus is logical and is well-founded in a huge body of evidence. The "founding fathers" of science applied logic too, but they had far less data with which to work. However, men such as Galileo, Newton and Darwin were logical and applied their reason and their intellect to the knowledge that was available to them. You would do well to follow their example, Mats. Go and find out what data really are available to you.

When they were discovered, people didn’t know how they wee created, but everyone knew that mind(s) had made them.

Wrong. People speculated. These were laypeople, with no scientific knowledge or training. Scientists were for the most part uninterested in crop circles. But, many people speculated that, since no natural phenomenon with which they were familiar could cause such precise circles, it was either aliens or hoaxers. However, none of the few scientists that did look into it ruled out the possibility that the circles were cuased by some unknown weather phenomenon. In fact, IIUC, some meteorologists hypothesised that the circles may be caused by fair-weather tornadoes.

They didn’t allude to the wind and the rian as the source of those structures.

Well, no the uninformed public did not. Does this prove anything? No.

So even though they didn’t know the process as to how those patterns came into existence, they could clearly detect the effects of mental activity.

Not reliably. You are falling into the same trap that people did when the cirsles were appearing. You (and they) are using an eliminative argument from ignorance: "not something I know, therefore an inteligent agent". This is sloppy thinking.

The same goes for the living forms.

How? How is there any parallele at all?

Even though we can’t scientifically see how those forms came into existence,

Yes, we can. We have a very thorough explanation. Why don't you try to learn a little bit more about it?

the belief

Conclusion actually

that they are the result of a mindless process is totally inadequate,

But you are assuming this. You have not even tried to demonstrate this proposition. You are working from an a priori conclusion.

since mindless forces don’t have the ability to prodece those effects.

(1) Yes, they do. Reasoning several paragraphs above. (2) You have not even tried to demonstrate this proposition, so it is another assumption. (3) Why do you insist that the mechanisms described in MET must be "mindless"? To many people, MET describes the toolkit used by God to create the diversity we see today. MET does not conclude that natural selection is mindless. It simply notes that there is no evidence on which to base the assumption that a mind is invloved anywhere in the process.

It’s more logical so invoke a Mind as the cause for those structures.

For about the fourth time, no it is not. You are once again revelling in displaying your ignorance, Mats. What is logical is the more parsimonious explanation, i.e. that evolution has no directing intelligence. You have made many assumptions, and treated them as if they are logical conclusions. You axioms are flawed. You make several claims about how evolution has occurred, but you make no effort to support your claims, either with evidence, or with logical reasoning. You draw feeble and inapplicable analogies, and you wave them about in triumph as if they actually proved anything. Well, I hate to rain on your parade*, but they don't. * Sorry, this was a lie. I've started to enjoy trashing your feeble attempts to argue the position you have adopted. Because you have ignored my several attempts to educate you, or to encourage you to educate yourself, I no longer have any sympathy for your ignorance. From you comments on this weblog, I can only conclude that you choose to remain ignorant. Therefore, any arguments you propose will be treated with the critique they deserve. If they are feeble, I will say so. You have made so many claims and have yet to back any of them up with any evidence. If you write something that has previously been pointed out to you as untrue, I will call you a liar, because lying is what you will be doing. Finally, recall this: all of the evidence that suports modern science is in the public domain. If you wish to gainsay it, the very least you can (to be intellectually honest with yourself) is to familiarise yourself with what the evidence is and what it means. Anything less is at best disingenuous, and at worst deliberately dishonest.

SWT · 6 October 2007

Mats:
Science will look anywhere there is an opportunity for success, since ID is not in the business of providing explanations, looking for a mind is nothing different from accepting ignorance, just a different name for the same topic.
The scientific theoy of ID is not looking for a mind.
So, what exactly IS the scientific theory of ID? What falsifiable predictions can be made using the scientific theory of ID? What evidence do you have FOR the scientific theory of ID? (Hint: Evidence against a competing theory is not evidence for your theory.)

Braxton Thomason · 6 October 2007

Mats: Braxton said:
Why is this hard to grasp? If the evidence for evolution was so thin, how is it feasible that it would be so widely accepted in the scientific community? Why do creationists assume that biologists are so much different from other scientists? I don’t get it.
I sure do hope that you are not implying that consensus determines truth. Both me and you know that the consensus can be wrong, right?
I feel like others have adequately responded to the rest of your post, but I wanted to step in and clarify my meaning here. No, a consensus doesn't imply correctness, but you have to look at why there is a consensus before you toss the conclusion out the window. In science, tossing out theories requires a lot of work, because theories don't become accepted until there are mounds of evidence. My point here is I don't see many people going around claiming that there is a vast atheistic conspiracy behind the theory of relativity, yet it is "proven" (as much as something can be "proved" in science) much less than the theory of evolution. Why do you assume that biologists are nefarious and not physicists? Wait, don't answer that one, I know... It disagrees with what skydaddy told you, right?

MPW · 6 October 2007

Mats sed:
When they were discovered, people didn’t know how [the crop circles] wee created, but everyone knew that mind(s) had made them. They didn’t allude to the wind and the rian as the source of those structures. So even though they didn’t know the process as to how those patterns came into existence, they could clearly detect the effects of mental activity.
This has pretty much been covered already by others, like anything you say, but since you're addressing me specifically in this instance: We already had an example of a mind (humanity) that was known to live in the area and to have a strong tendency to create regular, geometrical creations, often quite large, of no obvious practical purpose, out of natural raw material, and to have a large variety of ingenious techniques for doing so. And we did not have any examples of weather that could produce such patterns. That's why the conclusion was obvious and quite scientific, even if the details of the creation were not immediately obvious.
The same goes for the living forms... [M]indless forces don’t have the ability to prodece those effects
The second phrase is, as has been repeatedly pointed out, a mere assertion. But say I accept for the sake of argument that we don't yet know of any mindless natural processes that can produce those kinds of effects. We don't have examples of any minds that can do so, either. So your "obvious" conclusion is... it must have been a mind. As Scooby Doo might say: "Rhuh?" Of course, we DO know of mindless natural processes that produce large variations and increases in complexity and information in organic forms - scientists study them routinely every day - so, absent compelling evidence to the contrary, concluding that those same or similar forces were mucking about with organic forms from the beginning is quite an adequate basis for further study. Postulating the activity of a mysterious mind incalculably greater than our own, and so fundamentally different from ours that we can't know or even speculate upon its characteristics, is unjustified and fruitless. But that's what IDists do (when they're wearing their "Science Only!" hats - when speaking to religious audiences, most are happy to say it's the God of the Bible, which raises a whole set of different difficulties for their claims).

Science Avenger · 6 October 2007

Mats said: How do science goes about finding minds behind archeological features? Oh, they don’t. They just look at the feature and conclude there was a mind involved, regardless of the motives.
This reveals both the IDers fundamental misunderstanding of what science does, and their stealth religious assumptions. Science doesn't look for minds behind such features, because minds are not what we have found lies behind them. Physical creatures are what lie behind such features, so that is what scientists look for, based on what they know about such creatures. No scientist, in any area of study, looks at something and, sans context, concludes "a mind was involved with that". This is for good reason: there is no evidence to date that a mind could exist outside a physical structure (ie a brain), nor is there any evidence that such a disembodied mind could design or construct anything at all. There is no process of physics by which, even in principle, a nonmaterial mind could accomplish what IDers would attribute to it. So why would they make such assumptions? Simple. They speak of a mind, rather than, say, a creature of sufficient intelligence, because contrary to their rhetoric, they are NOT looking for a generic mind. They are looking for a very specific one: the Christian God. Their rhetoric gives them away every time. Just try to rephrase anything they say in terms of an intelligent designer that is a race of aliens, and it becomes clear.

Glen Davidson · 6 October 2007

There is, of course, an aspect of "crop art" and of most archaeological artifacts that happens to tip off people to their origins. These phenomena have rational forms, and apparently, rational productions as well. That's why people considered aliens and humans as possible causes behind them, for it is life that makes straight lines, lays things out in mathematical (and mathematically understandable) relationships, and in most media, is what would most likely make a sharp crisp circle.

Find a trapdoor spider's burrow without knowing anything about it, and you can be quite certain that life, or something produced by life, made the burrow. Life, intelligent or not, makes patterns and shapes that evolution and the wind do not do directly (at least not in many contexts). We can detect what life produces by its rationality (even something so simple as a path could be determined to have likely to have been produced by life, or its machines), by novelty, and yes, by the stark lack of the marks of so-called "natural processes", such as evolution being responsible for features of organisms that rational life would not put into its own productions.

What the IDist says, in a way, is that one could never tell the difference between what an engineer working with CAD produced, and the "design" that a genetic algorithm working out on a computer would make. Or even more crucially, since genetic algorithms exist to make what rational design does not, the IDist would forever claim that just because no one knows exactly how the solution was arrived at with the genetic algorithm (let's say that either the steps are not recorded, or that the steps are too complicated and numerous to be understood--the point being that the history is lost in some manner), that there must be an intelligent spirit haunting the computer which is what "really" came up with the "design" coming from the genetic algorithm.

To supplement our own capacity for "intelligent design", we have learned to mimic natural processes like natural selection. Rather than appreciating the value of using a process that intelligence recognizes as having both capacities and blind spots that our own rational thinking does not have--which we learned by our observations of evolved life--the IDiots have to claim that we can't even discern the difference between what evolutionary processes make and what intelligence produces (that is, because human intelligence doesn't fully understand evolution, which is to be expected at present due to the fact that evolution isn't intelligence, the IDiots want the non-intelligence of evolution to be considered evidence that evolution has an intelligence behind it). IOW, why is "intelligent design" the abysm and negation of our own intelligence, and its abilities to understand the world and ourselves?

Perhaps the real question is why they think that we are too unintelligent to recognize non-teleological evolution when we see it, especially when we've learned to harness its possibilities.

Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/2kxyc7

Glen Davidson · 6 October 2007

We can detect what life produces by its rationality (even something so simple as a path could be determined to have likely to have been produced by life, or its machines), by novelty, and yes, by the stark lack of the marks of so-called "natural processes, such as evolution being responsible for features of organisms that rational life would not put into its own productions.

I noticed that the above seems a bit ambiguous. It should be something like this: We can detect what evolved (intelligent, or perhaps just trapdoor spiders) life produces by its rationality (...), by novelty, and yes, by the stark lack of the marks of so-called "natural processes". The latter marks would be those features of organisms that rational life would not put into its own productions, but which are readily understandable via evolutionary explanations. Glen D http://tinyurl.com/2kxyc7

hoary puccoon · 6 October 2007

Mats said,

"How do science goes about finding minds behind archeological (sic) features? Oh, they don’t. They just look at the feature and conclude there was a mind involved...."

Mats, you do not have a clue what you are talking about. I mean, not a single clue. Archaeologists talk ENDLESSLY about why people made certain artifacts, how they made them, why they arranged their artifacts the way they did, what their belief systems and social systems and economic systems must have been.

In order to make a statement as ignorant as the one you made, I can only presume you have never read so much as a magazine article by any real archaeologist. Because that was way, way on the far side of dumb.

(Now, see? That's an example of how social scientists DO make assumptions about minds, based on the data available. In your case, of course, the conclusion is that there isn't much mind there to work with.)

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 6 October 2007

Mats
there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter,
You are confused. We are discussing forensic detection vs creationism detection of observable processes. We could also be discussing evolution vs creationism. Biogenesis is still in its infancy and of no concern for the fact and theory of evolution. You are also wrong. There is no known a priori reason why the same processes that works on populations of genomes wouldn't work on simpler systems. Chemical selection would favor closure towards replication. These systems are looked at in biogenesis. You should take a look at the quasispecies model. What works for viruses today would certainly have worked for biogenesis yesterday.
the impersonal and mindless forces of nature can’t write genetic code
You are confused. The false choice alternative is something creationists revel in. Science must admit "doesn't know yet" when it doesn't know. It will also continue to look for natural explanations, because it is all we can use and it is all that is necessary (as demonstrated by the success of natural sciences). You are also wrong. The genetic code has evolved in the same way as other traits. Here is a primer and here is an entry point for the EvolvingCode wiki. Now, I can assume that you really wanted to claim that nature doesn't change gene sequences. But simple mutations prove you wrong. And the simplest model is so easy that a child can understand it: variation processes vary sequences, and selection processes selects and fixate those who results in the best new traits.

Popper's Ghost · 6 October 2007

there are no known natural causes able to create living beings out of dead matter

[...] Your are also wrong. It's about time someone said so ... don't people know vitalism when they see it? "living" and "dead" aren't attributes of matter. Sheesh.

PvM · 6 October 2007

Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world

— Mats
Sure, we can hold by faith that God uses natural processes to 'affect the natural world' but scientifically speaking there is neither evidence for such, and worse, it explains nothing. An all powerful supernatural entity can explain anything and thus explains nothing. What science is showing is how the world evolved, as Christians we have to live with the reality and incorporate our faith with what God is showing us. Lying about science is not a very good way to do science and is quite an insult to our God(s).

Stanton · 6 October 2007

TomS said:
raven: Dembski’s theory of design has failed for 150 years.
I understand and appreciate your comments, but I’d like to point out that you are granting too much. ID does not have a theory of design. What it has is an assertion that there is something that hasn’t been explained, and therefore there must be some unspecified something-or-other. A design theory of X would tell us how design is likely to result in X, and less likely to result in Y or Z. A design theory of X would make some connection (logical, physical, metaphysical, some kind of connection) between design and X. A design theory would tell us When or Where design happened. A design theory would tell us something positive, not merely that somewhere, somehow, something must be wrong with evolutionary biology. A design theory would give us some direction on how to proceed with the theory, or raise interesting questions.
It would help a great deal if Intelligent Design proponents were motivated to proceed with scientific work or even raise any sort of question. But, given as how all ID supporters have shown they are wholly incapable of using their pet theory to create any sort of explanation... Well...

Popper's Ghost · 6 October 2007

Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world

You can "invoke" whatever you want, but science is about demonstration, and if you could demonstrate supernatural causation it would no longer be supernatural -- the very meanings of the words makes "supernatural causation" incoherent.

It's more logical so invoke a Mind as the cause for those structures.

It's more logical to conclude that nothing you say is of any value, as it is based on ignorance, conceptual confusion, and intellectual dishonesty. Even if you were right, it would be irrelevant, because science isn't based on invocation.

Popper's Ghost · 6 October 2007

Imagine an investigation into cause of death in a Matsian world. One checks the religious texts and determines that life is a gift from God. Therefore, the death was due to supernatural causation -- case closed! No further details required!

This is the stupidity of ID in a nutshell -- aside from the lack of any support for their view, all they seek is mere classification of events as "supernatural" -- no need for any "pathetic detail". And the stupidity of American society at the moment is that most people don't grasp how different this is from science.

David B. Benson · 6 October 2007

Popper's Ghost has no ability to interpret

:-)

as usual.

Popper's Ghost · 6 October 2007

Popper’s Ghost has no ability to interpret :-) as usual.

I interpreted it correctly: you thought you were being clever. But you weren't, because you aren't.

Popper's Ghost · 6 October 2007

Here, I'll spell it out for you, David. I wrote "They say man is made in God's image, so this really isn't really much of a counter. The creationists imagine some sort of super human who crafted things ..."

You saw the first sentence, where I was explicit,and thought you would be clever by quipping that it is god who is made in Man's image, because you are too dense to grasp that I had already made that point implicitly in my second sentence -- sharing an image is a symmetric relationship. As I said you're slow ... as usual. And you should realize by now that I will generally find some reason (it isn't hard) to smack you down -- that doesn't mean I can't interpret your silly smilies.

hoary puccoon · 7 October 2007

I had a flash of insight on this, which I'll post hoping others are interested.

Of COURSE evolution of multicellular organisms is designed by minds. We KNOW it is. For instance--

Flowers are designed by honeybees.

Gazelles are designed by lions.

Stick insects are designed by robins.

Peacocks are designed by peahens.

The antlers of male deer are designed by other male deer (who stay out of their breeding territories.)

In fact, when natural selection becomes directional--as opposed to just wavering back and forth, tracking environmental changes-- it virtually always depends on some decision-making process on the part of some animal. (Think of all the terms like coevolution, evolutionary arms race, etc.)

So why is it that the biologists-- and not the IDers-- are the ones actually studying how intelligence affects evolution? In fact, the IDers are ignoring mountains of evidence that evolution is driven by designers, who can be identified, studied, and understood.

You would think if IDers want to study intelligent design, they would do so. But no. They jump right over all the evidence that much of natural selection is driven by thought processes on the part of various observable entities, and go right to, 'We can't explain it. It must be supernatural.' That shows clearly what the real design is behind Intelligent Design.

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

Of COURSE evolution of multicellular organisms is designed by minds. We KNOW it is. For instance-- Flowers are designed by honeybees.

So what are honeybees designed by ... mindful flowers? And since when do honeybees have minds? Even if you want to argue that honeybees produced flowers, it's their general behavior, not their intentions, that produced them. Ditto for your other examples. Peahens didn't plan peacocks. Your claim is similar to that of people like Sal Cordova who claim that the results of genetic algorithms were designed by the programmers -- it's a severe confusion about causation and intentionality. You might as well claim that a kid who hits a baseball through a neighbor's window designed the shape of the hole.

David Stanton · 7 October 2007

Hoary,

With respect, there is a big difference between being affected by, being moulded by, being influenced by, being adapted to and being designed by. For example, the Colorado River did not "design" the Grand Canyon and honeybees are not doing genetic engineering in their hives in order to produce flowers that are better pollen producers.

Anyway, it wouldn't matter to IDiots one bit. They have made it clear that they will only accept a supernatural explanation, regardless of any evidence or lack thereof. If bees were found to be doing genetic engineering, they would just insist that God was necessary in order to make the bees in the first place. I imagine that the same argument would be applied to aliens or anything else that truly designed anything.

hoary puccoon · 7 October 2007

Popper's Ghost--

You didn't get it.

My point was, honey bees are not acting randomly on flowers. They are preferentially pollinating (actually, gathering nectar and inadvertently pollinating) flowers with certain characteristics. In fact, botanists can generally tell a lot about who the pollinators are by observing the smell, color and form flowers take. (Sweet smelling white flowers blooming at night? Probably pollinated by bats.) Of course the bees, bats, etc., don't think in terms of shaping a flower's descendants. But they do make systematic choices about which flowers they prefer to visit-- and it's the systematic choices which drive natural selection and hence, evolution.

Muddying the issue with "intention," as people like Sal do-- and as you, my dear, are encouraging them to do-- completely obscures the point that most of nature that we can see with our naked eyes looks like the result of non-random processes because it IS the result of non-random processes-- specifically, natural selection. And there is a huge literature of studies done by biologists, documenting the choices (whether instinctive or learned) made by various animals, and the ensuing natural selection which drives evolution. Really, PG, that is about as far as the shape of the hole in a window pane after a kid hit a ball through it as you can get.

But, of course, the IDers are arguing "intention" and "deliberate design" and all the rest of their nonsense. Why aren't THEY studying whether honeybees have minds? Why aren't THEY studying why peahens go for flashy dudes? They are arguing there has to be some "mind" involved in evolution. Well, whether animals can be said to have minds is an open issue. But they certainly have brains, and the billions of choices made by billions of animal brains are without a doubt one of the strongest forces in evolution.

So why are the IDers jumping over that huge literature documenting what brains are doing to drive evolution, and jumping to the conclusion that evolution must be planned top-down by some incorporeal, supernatural mind? If the IDers were serious about looking for intelligence driving evolution, they'd be looking at brains, wouldn't they?

But they're not, are they?

Mats · 7 October 2007

ben said:
Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test for the occurrence of supernatural phenomena.
Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test if all phenomenas that occur in nature have a natural causation.
OK, invoke it. Tell us how to test for supernatural causality, scientifically and under the same stipulations and constraints you might place on experimental verification of MET.
Tell us how to test for the so called Big Bang. Tell us how to test scientifically and empirically the belief that dinosours turned into birds. Tell us of empirical evidence of land mammals turned into sea dweling mammals. Notice: I am asking for scientific, testable, verifiable evidence, not an interpretation of the past about things you find today. If you, however, proceed to make interpretation of the past using things you find today, then so can everyone. Nigel said:
the official position of ID is that they do seek evidence of the action of a “mind” in nature.
No, they don't. They explain that some features in the universe and in the living world are best explained as the result of intelligent causation, as opposed to mindless, impersonal causation. You couldn't be more wrong, Nigel. The willingness you and other Darwinists have to push ID into the rleigious camp is a clever (but obvious) way of dismissing it as "religio" and thus "outside of science". Well, it is not working.
You’ll notice that none of the ID authors ever publishes thoughts about MDID (multiple-designer ID). They have one specific designer in mind, and it is the one to which you refer as “Mind”.
The fact that they believe that monotheism best explains the pattenr in life (as opposed to polytheism) doesn't mean that they are scientifically looking for the Mind Who is the Creator of living forms. ID studies the patterns in life (and in the universe); it does not try to enter into the Mind of the Creator. Even though one can know a great deal about the Mind behind biosphere, it is not suficient to make definitive statements about the "motives of the Designer". So, your belief concerning ID is not factual.
Irrelevant to the question, Mats. Stop dodging and answer it. You made the assumption that what you refer to as “impersonal forces of nature” cannot write genetic code. Support your assumption with some evidence.
We know that mindless forces can't write genetic codes in a sequence meanigful for life because there is no evidence for that. Every single information code known to us is the product of mind(s). Since life has a (very complex) information code, then it's logical to conclude Mindful causation. What you Darwinists propose goes against everything we know about the structure and the order of the world we live in. To put it in a simpler form: We know that minds can write codes. We have never seen mindless forces writting codes. Since what you believe goes against what we know already happens (mind being able to make codes), then you have to provide the evidence. Remember the "extraordinary claim" someone alluded a while back? Your extraordinary claim demands extraordinary evidence.
Science deals with evidence. Phenomena that can be observed, measured and recorded.
Then these events are outside of science: 1. The big bang 2. The origen of life 3. Dinosaurs turning into birds 4. Land mammals turning into sea mammals etc, etc Since those are not observable, measureable and recordedable, then, according to your definition, people who work on those fields are not doing science. Would you agree with that?
If you explain something by positing a hypothesis that cannot ever be tested in any way, you achieve nothing.
The same goes for your big bang theory. Your definition of science would pretty much leave tons of people without a job.
Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world
Yes, there is. It provides us with no way of exploring or understanding the phenomenon or event you wish to explain.
It wasn't intended to. It was intended to explore the effect.
If I am investigating a phenomenon, and you try to explain it by saying “It was caused by something that you cannot see, cannot record and will never occur again”, what additional understanding does that give us? Nothing.
You mean, like the big bang, the origin of life, the origin of sea mammals, the origin of humans and all those unrepeatable events? So when you Darwinists invoke an untestable event as the cause of something, you are in fact invoking an unscientific postulate?
Supernatural causation is a scientific non-starter, and would lead its adherents to stop investigating how things operate in the universe.
Newton, Maxwell, Faraday, Mendel, Pascal and other Christian scientists had absolutly no problem with supernatural causation.
A consensus of experts does carry much weight. Sufficient weight that non-experts should not challenge that consesnsus unless thay are prepared to put in the time and effort to become expert.
What if experts in relevant fields chanllenge the opinion of the "consensus" ? I am thinking in people like Dr Denton, a biologist and a medical doctor, who wrote a book in 1985, wherein he pretty much blows the whistle on many problems in standard Darwinism. Is his opinion valid, since he is an expert in a relevant field? Or perhaps people like Jon Wells, who has degrees in Biology; is his opinion valid since he knows what he is talking about,when he criticizes Darwinism ?
The scientists of the nineteenth century were working in an intellectual environment in which there was a great deal of ignorance.
Yes, there were many things that we didn't know back then that we know now. But that doesn't change what I said. In Darwin's day many scientists did their job quite nicely alongside their Christian faith, and it didn't seem to affect their work. Mendel, for exampkle, did a great job in genetics, and his religious faith didn't affect his science one bit. (In fact, it might have had a positive effect on his science.) SWT said:
Evidence against a competing theory is not evidence for your theory
Really? So why did Gould invoke the "panda's thumb" as evidence against the Designer, and evidence for evolution? Better yet, what is the purpose to allude to a suposed defect in nature? Isn't it to use it against God, and in favor of impersonal evolution? The rationality goes like this: 1. The Creator should be Wise and always do thigns right. 2. The panda's thumb doesn't seem like something a Benevolent Creator would do. 3. Therefore it evolved! Don't tell me you haven't used the "bad design arguement" yourself? No, SWT, in the field of origins evidence against one is evidence for the other. Evidence against Mindful creation is evidence for impersonal creation. Evidence against the magical powers of natural processes is evidence in favor of ID. There is no middle ground, SWT. I don't know why are you complaining, since this has been the same since the start. I believe even Darwin alluded to "both sides" of this issue when m,aking his case, didn't he? How come you don't like this dichotomy when it works against your beliefs? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_excluded_middle Braxton said
No, a consensus doesn’t imply correctness, but you have to look at why there is a consensus before you toss the conclusion out the window.
Even though we both agree that the consensus has a lot of weight, my only point was to show that invoking the consensus is not a discussion stopper. We don't end a debate by saying "everyone agrees with me, therefore you must be wrong!". This illogical. This can be easily shown. Go back a few centuries ago, and think about the scientiric consensus of those days. What was their view of origins? What was their view as to the cause of those sedimentary layers? What was the consensus view about marriage, sexuality, etc, etc? You see the point?
In science, tossing out theories requires a lot of work, because theories don’t become accepted until there are mounds of evidence.
Theories can become accepted for many reasons (philosophy, religion, money, etc, etc)
My point here is I don’t see many people going around claiming that there is a vast atheistic conspiracy behind the theory of relativity, yet it is “proven” (as much as something can be “proved” in science) much less than the theory of evolution.
Now, turn that around for a while. How many physicists have you seen saying "The theory of relativity is as firm and solid as the theory of evolution!"? Anyway, that is irrelevant. to answer your claim: You don't see people claiming that there is an atheistic conspiracy behind the theory of relativity for many reasons. First, physicists don't use the theory against traditional Christianity as atheists use Darwinism against Christianity. Secondly, how would it even be possible to use the theory of relativity against religion?! Well, it depends on the religion I guess. Perhaps I should say: How could one use the ToR against Chistianity? Thirdly, the ToR doesn't say much (if anything) about origins, so it doesn't dwell on religion, whereas Darwinism does dwell on origins. As we know, origins, regardless of one's pure motives, is a religious quest in the end. Fourthly, the ToR has the evidence on its side, while Darwinism doesnt. Fifthly, Darwinism goes against what we know about the order and structure of the world. Darwinists want us to believe in things never seen, and not even imaginable, when we go to the mechanics ("What good is half a wing?"). I am sure other reasons could be found, but I guess those alone might give you sojme hints as to why people are confortable with the ToR while frown their noses to the Darwinian claims.
Why do you assume that biologists are nefarious and not physicists? Wait, dont answer that one, I know¦ It disagrees with what skydaddy told you, right?
Perhaps because while Darwinists are always ready to make anti-religious comments (like "skydaddy") physicists usually go on their work leaving religion aside. Oh, and physicists have the goods ("evidence"). Darwinists have not.

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

You didn’t get it.

I have studied the literature on intentionality and teleology at length. OTOH you are obviously utterly ignorant of it and are talking foolish nonsense. Bees don't design flowers, or vice versa -- that's just plain stupid.

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

For example, the Colorado River did not “design” the Grand Canyon and honeybees are not doing genetic engineering in their hives in order to produce flowers that are better pollen producers.

Quite so -- there's no goal-directed behavior. No honeybee or set of honeybees has any intention or plan in regard to flowers; it is the processes of evolution that produces flowers in response to the environment, which honeybees are a part of. Honeybees, flowers, competing species, parasites, they are all part of a co-evolving ecology.

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

My point was, honey bees are not acting randomly on flowers.

It's funny how dishonest people can be. This is simply a lie -- your point was that minds designed flowers etc. That honeybees are not acting randomly on flowers is an utterly different and uncontroversial claim.

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

In fact, when natural selection becomes directional–as opposed to just wavering back and forth, tracking environmental changes– it virtually always depends on some decision-making process on the part of some animal. (Think of all the terms like coevolution, evolutionary arms race, etc.)

No, it does not depend on some decision-making process on the part of some animal. Which animal decides to produce peacock tails? It is the behavior of a whole set of peahens over time, as well as the behavior of a whole set of peacocks over time, as well as numerous other factors, that result in peacock tails. So there is no "some animal" on which anything depends -- that's deep conceptual confusion.

hoary puccoon · 7 October 2007

Mats--
Please use the words abiogenesis and evolution in a moderately grammatical English sentence, demonstrating that you understand what they mean. This is a simple definitional issue, and you have been corrected repeatedly. When you won't even use basic words according to their accepted definitions, it isn't debating others, it's imposing on others.

I'm not even asking that you agree with anyone else here. I'm simply asking that you communicate in English, not in some private system of sounds you've invented for your own amusement. Thank you.

PvM · 7 October 2007

Mats shows a truly remarkable lack of knowledge here. He asks about the Big Bang, he asks about dinosaurs and birds and yet he seems to be totally unfamiliar how science proceeds to unravel these issues When Mats was asked to

Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test for the occurrence of supernatural phenomena.

he "responded"

Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test if all phenomenas that occur in nature have a natural causation.

— Mats
Does Mats even understanding what laws of science are all about? Sure, a deity could, as Newton believed, constantly be correcting the orbits of planets, or perhaps something was wrong with the mathematics involved here? Of course, we know now it was the latter. Mats problem is that supernatural causation is not scientific as it assigns that which we do not know, our ignorance, to actions of a God(s). Thunder, Lightning, orbits of planets, the flagellum etc are all areas of ignorance. Now Mats only 'argument' is that: there could still be a god involved, we just don't know. Reducing all this nonsense about ID being scientific to a simple statement about faith. It's interesting to see how Mats is torturing logic and science in name of his 'faith'. St Augustine would surely be less than impressed by this display of scientific nonsense in name of faith. Note that Mats cannot even explain to us the foundation of ID. If he would do so, it would be trivial to show that ID cannot lead to the fancy claims Mats has assigned to ID.

Braxton Thomason · 7 October 2007

Mats: ben said:
Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test for the occurrence of supernatural phenomena.
Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test if all phenomenas that occur in nature have a natural causation.
Great way to dodge the question. Yes, I will design one experiment that will test all phenomena. The burden of proof is on the affirmative, Mats. You claim there are supernatural forces at work, prove it. Let's see a scientific experiment for it.
OK, invoke it. Tell us how to test for supernatural causality, scientifically and under the same stipulations and constraints you might place on experimental verification of MET.
Tell us how to test for the so called Big Bang. Tell us how to test scientifically and empirically the belief that dinosours turned into birds. Tell us of empirical evidence of land mammals turned into sea dweling mammals. Notice: I am asking for scientific, testable, verifiable evidence, not an interpretation of the past about things you find today. If you, however, proceed to make interpretation of the past using things you find today, then so can everyone.
Easy enough.
1) Big Bang. The first simple experiment to test this was looking for the microwave background radiation. Hey, there it is!
2) Dinosaurs turning into birds? Test: We expect to find transitional forms. Wow! Here's a dinosaur with feathers.
3) Land mammals turning into sea mammals? Okay, if this happened, we'd expect to find a variety of transitional forms in progressively deeper strata. Hey, here it is! http://www.talkorigins.org/features/whales/
Just because it happened in the past, doesn't mean we can't make hypotheses about what we'll find and test those hypotheses. These are all scientific, testable, and verifiable evidences. You can't blindly discard past events because you cannot observe them. I know this has been pointed out to you many, many times, but how do you expect forensic criminologists to do their work? Is that unscientific? What about astronomy? Technically everything we observe in astronomy happened thousands or millions of years ago. Is that not science? Why don't you try addressing the evidence? How can you blithely discount geological records as "unscientific"?
Irrelevant to the question, Mats. Stop dodging and answer it. You made the assumption that what you refer to as "impersonal forces of nature" cannot write genetic code. Support your assumption with some evidence.
We know that mindless forces can't write genetic codes in a sequence meanigful for life because there is no evidence for that. Every single information code known to us is the product of mind(s). Since life has a (very complex) information code, then it's logical to conclude Mindful causation. What you Darwinists propose goes against everything we know about the structure and the order of the world we live in. To put it in a simpler form: We know that minds can write codes. We have never seen mindless forces writting codes. Since what you believe goes against what we know already happens (mind being able to make codes), then you have to provide the evidence. Remember the "extraordinary claim" someone alluded a while back? Your extraordinary claim demands extraordinary evidence.
Have you looked at the evidence? It's pretty extraordinary. Comes from all fields, not limited to paleontolgoy, but geology, genetics, morphology, biochemistry, medicine, and many others. Are the scientists in these fields all off their rockers? You need to do more than blandly assert a designer to topple the mounds of evidence. Where's the ID research Mats?
Science deals with evidence. Phenomena that can be observed, measured and recorded.
Then these events are outside of science: 1. The big bang 2. The origen of life 3. Dinosaurs turning into birds 4. Land mammals turning into sea mammals etc, etc Since those are not observable, measureable and recordedable, then, according to your definition, people who work on those fields are not doing science. Would you agree with that?
You fail, Mats. All of those are observable, measurable, and have been recorded. Try addressing the specific evidence for those fields.
A consensus of experts does carry much weight. Sufficient weight that non-experts should not challenge that consesnsus unless thay are prepared to put in the time and effort to become expert.
What if experts in relevant fields chanllenge the opinion of the "consensus" ? I am thinking in people like Dr Denton, a biologist and a medical doctor, who wrote a book in 1985, wherein he pretty much blows the whistle on many problems in standard Darwinism. Is his opinion valid, since he is an expert in a relevant field? Or perhaps people like Jon Wells, who has degrees in Biology; is his opinion valid since he knows what he is talking about,when he criticizes Darwinism ?
Popular literature, like books, does not constitute scientific research. Wells' opinions have been debunked numerous times -- you can't discount the vast majority of scientific consensus as irrelevant and then turn around and say that Wells' opinion counts because he has a degree. Where's his research? What has he contributed to the scientific literature?
Braxton said
No, a consensus doesn't imply correctness, but you have to look at why there is a consensus before you toss the conclusion out the window.
Even though we both agree that the consensus has a lot of weight, my only point was to show that invoking the consensus is not a discussion stopper. We don't end a debate by saying "everyone agrees with me, therefore you must be wrong!". This illogical.
I wasn't trying to end discussion, Mats, I was asking you a serious question about why you assign nefarious motives and out of hand discount the conclusions of biology and other sciences on this matter, yet unhesitatingly accept quantum theory, for instance.
This can be easily shown. Go back a few centuries ago, and think about the scientiric consensus of those days. What was their view of origins? What was their view as to the cause of those sedimentary layers? What was the consensus view about marriage, sexuality, etc, etc? You see the point?
Do you see the point? The past consensus on origins was hard to topple; Darwin spent 20 years marshalling his evidence, and the result was a complete paradigm shift in the scientific community. Do you think that happened without evidence? That all these scientists, who you admit were religious, just sat up and said "Hey, we don't have to believe in literal creation anymore!" ? Really? You don't think the mounds of evidence had anything to with it?
In science, tossing out theories requires a lot of work, because theories don't become accepted until there are mounds of evidence.
Theories can become accepted for many reasons (philosophy, religion, money, etc, etc)
You mean like the money behind ID trying to force its way into schools? Name one scientific theory that became generally accepted for bad reasons. And don't turn around and say "evolution", that would be assuming what you are trying to prove. You have no evidence that evolution was accepted for any underhanded reasons. Show some.
My point here is I don't see many people going around claiming that there is a vast atheistic conspiracy behind the theory of relativity, yet it is "proven" (as much as something can be "proved" in science) much less than the theory of evolution.
Now, turn that around for a while. How many physicists have you seen saying "The theory of relativity is as firm and solid as the theory of evolution!"? Anyway, that is irrelevant. to answer your claim: You don't see people claiming that there is an atheistic conspiracy behind the theory of relativity for many reasons. First, physicists don't use the theory against traditional Christianity as atheists use Darwinism against Christianity.
I haven't seen anyone claiming that "Darwinism" goes against traditional Christianity any more than it goes against traditional Hinduism, traditional Islam, or traditional FSMism. Science just is -- we're not attacking anyone specifically, only saying "Here's what we know about the world". You're free to not accept that. Are you going to attack radiometric dating techniques because they counter the 6000 year old earth? If you think those techniques rely on shaky theoretical grounds, please explain to me how computers work.
Fourthly, the ToR has the evidence on its side, while Darwinism doesnt.
Bland assertion. Show it.
Fifthly, Darwinism goes against what we know about the order and structure of the world. Darwinists want us to believe in things never seen, and not even imaginable, when we go to the mechanics ("What good is half a wing?").
Oh jeez, that tired old canard. Argument from personal incredulity again. Half a wing is pretty useful. Take a look at gliding mammals. And you think that the theory of relativity doesn't go against our intuition? That time slows down and mass increases the faster you go? Our intuition is notoriously bad trying to examine the world. That's hardly an argument.
Why do you assume that biologists are nefarious and not physicists? Wait, dont answer that one, I know; It disagrees with what skydaddy told you, right?
Perhaps because while Darwinists are always ready to make anti-religious comments (like "skydaddy") physicists usually go on their work leaving religion aside. Oh, and physicists have the goods ("evidence"). Darwinists have not.
Just because I may be hostile to religion, doesn't mean all "Darwinists" are. How do you address Kenneth Miller? Have you bothered to read?

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

Notice: I am asking for scientific, testable, verifiable evidence, not an interpretation of the past about things you find today.

All evidence is of something that happened in the past, moron.

If you, however, proceed to make interpretation of the past using things you find today, then so can everyone.

Of course everyone can, moron -- science is a community pursuit. But some interpretations will lead to theories that accurately predict future observations and some won't. There's actually a meaningful difference between smart and stupid, moron.

Popper's Ghost · 7 October 2007

We know that mindless forces can't write genetic codes in a sequence meanigful for life because there is no evidence for that.

Not having evidence of something doesn't mean we know it can't happen, moron. But it's false that we have no evidence of it.

Every single information code known to us is the product of mind(s).

Circular argument, moron. DNA is not known to be the product of minds, moron.

Since life has a (very complex) information code, then it's logical to conclude Mindful causation.

No, it's utterly illogical, moron.

hoary puccoon · 7 October 2007

Life doesn't have a very complex information code. There are four different bases in DNA. They are read three at a time; nothing fancy, just first three code for the first amino acid, second three for the second, and so on. The simplest system nature could use.
That gives sixty four possible codons for amino acids. But they only code for twenty amino acids. Some amino acids have one codon that codes for them, some have six. There are a few regularities, but they don't make any particular sense. In fact, they look like they may be remnants from an even simpler two-base system.
And THAT'S the best nature could do, with billions of chances to come up with a really elegant code from scratch?
Why is this supposed to be evidence for some kind of brilliant, designing mind driving evolution? The genetic code looks like a fourth grade class project.
If Mats is really impressed by the complexity of the genetic code, it says more about Mats's intelligence than the alleged intelligence guiding the universe.

PvM · 7 October 2007

Life's code is actually more complex than you like to portray it as. The genetic code is first read into mRNA and there are various opportunities for additional coding to arise. For instance alternative splicing is a way for the same gene to be read differently into mRNA and thus proteins. Additionally, the way the genetic code uses its encoding and stop codons makes it close to 'optimal' in various senses. Again, this adds intruiging research topics and has little relevance to ID perse, but lets not trivialize the genetic code, and thus falling victim of the scientific equivalent of St Augustine's warning to Christians.

Of course, while some may argue that such additional coding levels are problematic for evolution, these are unfounded assertions and in fact contradicted by data and research.

More on this topic later, I hope.

hoary puccoon · 7 October 2007

I would love to see more on this topic, PvM. What you wrote doesn't make the genetic code sound more sophisticated, like a top-down, designed "product of mind", though. It sounds just like evolution should-- refinements on an earlier, simpler system, stumbling toward an eventually dazzling efficiency.

David B. Benson · 7 October 2007

Popper's Ghost --- Consider the Hindu religion.

;-)

SWT's Evil Twin · 7 October 2007

Mats: SWT said:
Evidence against a competing theory is not evidence for your theory
No, SWT, in the field of origins evidence against one is evidence for the other. Evidence against Mindful creation is evidence for impersonal creation. Evidence against the magical powers of natural processes is evidence in favor of ID. There is no middle ground, SWT.
Well, I guess it's time to let my secret out. The diversity of modern life is due entirely to me. I have concluded that I have powers not normally used by other people, powers that are active only in my sleep. The order of things is not due to my intelligence; it is instead due to the random firing of my neurons. The universe appears the way it does because that's how I dreamed it. Mats, I am sure you will want some sort of evidence. Well, I'm not going to play that pathetic game ... and fortunately, I don't have to. Since, (1) you believe you have provided evidence against modern evolutionary theory and since (2) by your reckoning, evidence against a competing theory (modern evolutionary theory in this case) counts as evidence for my theory, all of the evidence you have provided so far completely supports my assertion. As icing on the cake, by your reasoning, all of the evidence provided by the proponents of modern evolutionary theory that contradicts ID also supports my theory. Yay me!

PvM · 7 October 2007

hoary puccoon: I would love to see more on this topic, PvM. What you wrote doesn't make the genetic code sound more sophisticated, like a top-down, designed "product of mind", though. It sounds just like evolution should-- refinements on an earlier, simpler system, stumbling toward an eventually dazzling efficiency.
We agree, however DNA is a bit more complex than science first envisioned. Of course not complex in ID sense, because that would mean that we did not understand DNA.

PvM · 7 October 2007

How do science goes about finding minds behind archeological features? Oh, they don’t. They just look at the feature and conclude there was a mind involved, regardless of the motives.

— Mats
This just shows how little you know about these topics and that you are a willing victim of the ignorance of Intelligent Design. What archaeology does is look for known evidences of intelligent action. For instance, we know how flint tools are made since we have found flint tools in areas where other evidences of human presence were found. So flint tools are correlated with human presence and thus the question becomes 1) what are these flint tools used for 2) how are they made. Both allow one to test how in present days one makes flint tools and use the knowledge learned to establish how to distinguish between flint tools and just 'flakes of rocks'.

Science will look anywhere there is an opportunity for success, since ID is not in the business of providing explanations, looking for a mind is nothing different from accepting ignorance, just a different name for the same topic.

— Mats
The scientific theoy of ID is not looking for a mind.

Finally, we are getting somewhere. Although there is no scientific theory of ID, and despite several people repeatedly asking you to show what this so called 'theory of ID' is, you have failed. Let me help you here: ID is based on detecting 'design', where 'design' is nothing more than the set theoretic complement of regularity and chance. Do you understand what that means? Design, according to ID is nothing more than what remains if we cannot explain a particular feature. Or in common parlance: ID is nothing more than ignorance. If we can explain something in terms of human design, the 'design' according to ID fails because we can explain human design in simple terms of regularity and chance. In other words, real science uses such things as means, motives, opportunities, hearsay, and evidentiary techniques to detect design, not to be confused with Design, the ID variant. So indeed, ID is not looking for a mind, in fact, design has nothing to do with a mind. ID is looking for something to call 'design' in the hope that it can confuse its followers to believe that ID is related to detecting 'intelligent design' and then of course, an 'intelligent designer'. As we however have established, detecting Design is nothing more than an argument from ignorance, which does not even require a Intelligence let alone an Intelligent Designer. Needless to say, you have been had. How does it feel to have been lied to or at least led to believe something that was nothing more than ignorance? I understand, as an ex Young Earth Creationist I know how hard it is to accept that you have been misled in the name of faith.

PvM · 7 October 2007

No, SWT, in the field of origins evidence against one is evidence for the other. Evidence against Mindful creation is evidence for impersonal creation. Evidence against the magical powers of natural processes is evidence in favor of ID. There is no middle ground, SWT.

But there is. It's called ignorance. Let's take an example. Newton could not explain how the planets would continue to move in orbits without a continuous correction by the Designer. Was his absence of understanding the mathematical details evidence of Design or evidence of Ignorance?

you got it, ignorance.

So now we have a situation were we lack an explanation using regularity and chance, is this evidence of Design or evidence of Ignorance? It could be either, so how do we distinguish between the two?
ID does not tell us.

You have been had my dear Christian friend.

Nigel D · 8 October 2007

. . . They are preferentially pollinating (actually, gathering nectar and inadvertently pollinating) flowers with certain characteristics. . .

— Hoary Puccoon
Sorry to be pedantic, HP, but honeybees do gather pollen. They ingest nectar, and gather pollen. IIRC, the pollen is used to make honey or royal jelly (my memory is a bit vague on this point - if anyone recalls exactly what it is that bees use pollen for, please feel free to chip in). The honeybees' pollen sacs evolved for the benefit of the bees, not the flowers. It just so happens that bees are very good pollinators.

Nigel D · 8 October 2007

ben said:

Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test for the occurrence of supernatural phenomena.

— Mats
Please describe a scientific experiment that could, in principle, test if all phenomenas that occur in nature have a natural causation.

Indicating that you cannot answer the question. Perhaps you should be more honest with us, Mats? If you can't answer the question, just say so. We all know how ignorant you choose to be, so it won't make any of us think worse of you.

OK, invoke it. Tell us how to test for supernatural causality, scientifically and under the same stipulations and constraints you might place on experimental verification of MET.

Tell us how to test for the so called Big Bang. Tell us how to test scientifically and empirically the belief that dinosours turned into birds. Tell us of empirical evidence of land mammals turned into sea dweling mammals. Once again, you refuse to address the point raised.

Notice: I am asking for scientific, testable, verifiable evidence, not an interpretation of the past about things you find today. If you, however, proceed to make interpretation of the past using things you find today, then so can everyone.

Notice, Mats, that you are asking us to supply you with a full education in science. How about we ask for tuition fees? It is not our job to educate you (unless you wish to engage me as a tutor; my rates are quite reasonable). The information you request is all in the public domain, and it is up to you, if you wish to challenge it, first to become familiar with it.

Nigel D · 8 October 2007

Nigel said:

the official position of ID is that they do seek evidence of the action of a “mind” in nature.

— Mats
No, they don’t. They explain that some features in the universe and in the living world are best explained as the result of intelligent causation, as opposed to mindless, impersonal causation.

What, so you're saying that the "intelligent designer" didn't have a mind? You are plain wrong here. ID is entirely based on the proposition that some features of nature constitute evidence of design, and therefore of causation by a mind. If you cannot see that connection, you are deluding yourself. You are also propagating the false dichotomy. If one were to consider, for the sake of argument, that MET is not proven beyond any reasonable doubt (which, by the way, it is), then one must consider every viable hypothesis that matches the evidence and not simply leap to the conclusion of design.

You couldn’t be more wrong, Nigel.

Yes, Mats, I could. I could emulate you.

The willingness you and other Darwinists have to push ID into the rleigious camp is a clever (but obvious) way of dismissing it as “religio” and thus “outside of science”. Well, it is not working.

We don't need to "push" it anywhere. The evidence does this for us: (1) The arguments used in favour of ID are all ex-creationist arguments sometimes dressed up in new terminology; (2) All of the main proponents of ID do personally believe that the "designer" is the God of the Bible; (3) The ID movement's refusal even to consider MDID indicates that, even when they are pretending to make no claims about the designer, they do actual have one specific, individual designer in mind; (4) Behe himself has indicated that the designer is the christian God; (5) The evidence is sufficiently persuasive that Judge Jones ruled ID to be a form of religion (this is an appeal to authority, but I think it is one that can reasonably be made, given that Judge Jones was accepted prior to the Kitzmiller v. Dover trial by all parties involved).

You’ll notice that none of the ID authors ever publishes thoughts about MDID (multiple-designer ID). They have one specific designer in mind, and it is the one to which you refer as “Mind”.

The fact that they believe that monotheism best explains the pattenr in life (as opposed to polytheism) Oh, right, but I thought ID wasn't supposed to claim anything about the designer - in fact, the public position of Dembski was that the designer could be a "space alien". So now you are admitting that ID is theistic? Well, it is refreshing to see some honesty from you at last.

doesn’t mean that they are scientifically looking for the Mind Who is the Creator of living forms.

They are not scientifically looking for anything. ID is scientifically empty. Fruitless. A void of investigative nihilism. It is, literally, anti-science, since it attempts to label the unknown as "designed" and stop there.

ID studies the patterns in life (and in the universe);

Sadly, you're wrong again. ID lets other people do the studying, and then deliberately misinterprets their findings.

it does not try to enter into the Mind of the Creator.

No, because they would need to do this to form any kind of useful hypothesis concerning the causation of the "designed" features. They refuse to do this for purely political reasons, in the hope that ID would be viewed as science and not religion. It did not work. Many people saw through their scam.

Even though one can know a great deal about the Mind behind biosphere,

OK, at last you make a testable prediction. Come on then, back this up: what can one know about the "Mind"?

it is not suficient to make definitive statements about the “motives of the Designer”.

Yet this is the exact same questin-begging that Behe and Dembski engage in. For any kind of ID hypothesis to be credible or useful, it must propose some properties of the designer, such as abilities and motives.

So, your belief concerning ID is not factual.

You claim this, but you have failed to demonstrate it. You are wrong. I believe that my view of ID is supported by the evidence. Stop lying to yourself and to the rest of us, Mats. Try facing reality for a change; it ain't so bad once you get used to it.

Nigel D · 8 October 2007

Irrelevant to the question, Mats. Stop dodging and answer it. You made the assumption that what you refer to as “impersonal forces of nature” cannot write genetic code. Support your assumption with some evidence.

— Mats
We know that mindless forces can’t write genetic codes in a sequence meanigful for life because there is no evidence for that.

Quite the opposite, actually, Mats. You have had this pointed out before, so you know this to be wrong and are therefore lying to the gentle, unsuspecting readers of PT. (1) You have made the assumption that "impersonal forces of nature" cannot write genetic code. Stop dodging and come up with some support for this assumption. Or retract it. (2) There is plenty of evidence that stochastic processes can indeed "write genetic code". You are the one challenging this conclusion, so the burden of proof is yours. Come up with some evidence to support your position. (3) Your claim is a non-sequitur. Even if there were no evidence that a mindless process could "write genetic code", it does not follow that the only possibility is the involvement of a mind. Lack of evidence is not evidence of lack.

Every single information code known to us is the product of mind(s).

No it isn't. DNA is probably not the product of a mind. There is evidence to support this. What evidence do you have for your view (here's a hint: you need to come up with something affirmative, not a purely eliminative argument)?

Since life has a (very complex) information code,

Define "complex" in the way you use it here. My own feeling is that DNA shows an elegant simplicity.

then it’s logical to conclude Mindful causation.

This is a lie. You have been told in the past (about 4 times IIRC) that this is not logical. You repeat this assertion without supporting it. What makes you think it might be true this time?

What you Darwinists propose goes against everything we know about the structure and the order of the world we live in.

It may go against the tiny amount you know about the structure and the order of the world we live in, but that is a function of your ignorance, not of MET. MET is consistent with all of the available evidence.

To put it in a simpler form: We know that minds can write codes. We have never seen mindless forces writting codes.

Based on what? Besides, we have seen random processes "writing codes". What do you think mutation is? Just because you are ignorant of molecular biology does not put you in a position to dismiss an entire field of science.

Since what you believe goes against what we know already happens (mind being able to make codes),

Except, because your premise is wrong, what I believe is actually consistent with what we know.

then you have to provide the evidence.

Au contraire. Your premise is wrong. Therefore, it is you that must support your claim with some evidence. Or logic. Or reason. Or something. Anything at all. Support what you claim, Mats.

Remember the “extraordinary claim” someone alluded a while back? Your extraordinary claim demands extraordinary evidence.

Yes, that was me. My claim is that MET is the best explanation we have for the diversity of biological entities. It is supported by all of the evidence from over 200 years of investigation. You claim that it cannot be, so your claim is the extraordinary one.

Science deals with evidence. Phenomena that can be observed, measured and recorded.

— Mats
Then these events are outside of science: 1. The big bang

Evidence left behind in the cosmic microwave background, and in the movement of galaxies

2. The origen of life

Nothing to do with MET, save that MET requires that it happened. Abiogenesis is working on this one, based on evidence and logical inferences from the evidence.

3. Dinosaurs turning into birds

Archaeopteryx and Sinopteryx are just two good examples of transitional forms. Again, we can make inferences and deductions from evidence that was left for us to examine.

4. Land mammals turning into sea mammals

Again, evidence left in the fossil record and in the genetics of sea mammals and land mammals.

etc, etc Since those are not observable, measureable and recordedable,

Actually, they have been recorded by virtue of the evidence being left behind for us to observe and examine and measure. What's the problem?

then, according to your definition, people who work on those fields are not doing science. Would you agree with that?

Of course not, because you are deliberately missing the point and twisting what I have said. Or, IOW, lying. Sorry, no more time just now.

David Stanton · 8 October 2007

Mats Wrote:

"We know that mindless forces can’t write genetic codes in a sequence meanigful for life because there is no evidence for that."

Once again Mats mistakes ignorance for lack of evidence. Well Mats, here are a couple of references for you to look at:

Wong, J.T.F. (1988) Evolution of the Genetic Code. Microbiological Science 5:174-181.

Pond, F. and J. Pond. Variations in the Genetic Code: Evolutionary Explanations. Scientific American 22(5):24-29.

Of course this is just a small sample of a vast literature on the origin and evolution of the genetic code. Have you read all of the papers on the subject Mats? If not, claiming that there is no evidence is somewhat hypocritical don't you think? Can you even define what you mean by the term "genetic code"?

As for the rest of your bassless claims founded only on ignorance, read the Talk Origins archive. Every one of your creationist talking points is covered in detail, including bird evolution, etc. Gee, I wonder how they knew what ecxamples you would use beofre you even used them?

By the way, have you gotten around to looking at the thread on mammalian molar evolution yet. That thread alone blows all of your nonsense to shreads. If you want to argue with scientists you had better be familiar with the evidence or you will just be talking to yourself.

Nigel D · 8 October 2007

If you explain something by positing a hypothesis that cannot ever be tested in any way, you achieve nothing.

— Mats
The same goes for your big bang theory. Your definition of science would pretty much leave tons of people without a job.

Except that BBT, founded on the observation that the universe is expanding, predicted the cosmic microwave background radiation. This was found shortly after being predicted. This one prediction accounts for most of the acceptance of BBT today, but it is not the only successful prediction that BBT made (another example is the relative abundances of hydrogen, helium, deuterium and lithium). In this case, BBT, formulated to explain an observation, led to a model that made predictions. Since several of those predictions have been verified by observation, the model was confirmed as being, if not perfect, a very close approximation to what actually happened. Thus, BBT has been tested. Your hypothesis, that supernatural causation can lead to effects that we observe, is not one that can be tested. Therefore, as science, it stinks.

Then there is no problem in invoking supernatural causation affecting the natural world

— Mats
Yes, there is. It provides us with no way of exploring or understanding the phenomenon or event you wish to explain.

It wasn’t intended to. It was intended to explore the effect. But what is an effect with no cause? It is just one data point. What's the point of investigating an effect without even speculating about the cause, let alone investigating it? Science is not just about cataloguing what we see. It is about explaining and understanding what we find. Your version of science would be a very, very poor cousin indeed.

Nigel D · 8 October 2007

If I am investigating a phenomenon, and you try to explain it by saying "It was caused by something that you cannot see, cannot record and will never occur again", what additional understanding does that give us? Nothing.

— Mats
You mean, like the big bang, the origin of life, the origin of sea mammals, the origin of humans and all those unrepeatable events?

All of which have been recorded in evidence left behind that we can examine. When we examine this evidence, we find that it is the same for every observer. Thus, measurements of it are repeatable. Again, you are deliberately missing the point. Supernatural causation, by definition, brings us no closer to understanding anything.

So when you Darwinists invoke an untestable event as the cause of something, you are in fact invoking an unscientific postulate?

I am not aware of any "Darwinist" (for the fifth time, please define what you mean by this term!) ever postulating something that cannot be tested by comparison to reality. If you are, let's have some examples.

Supernatural causation is a scientific non-starter, and would lead its adherents to stop investigating how things operate in the universe.

— Mats
Newton, Maxwell, Faraday, Mendel, Pascal and other Christian scientists had absolutly no problem with supernatural causation.

Of course, but not within the fields of their own investigations. They may have believed that everything they discovered was a part of God's plan, but they never just said, "oh this electricity (or whichever) has a supernatural cause - right, that's it explained." No, they investigated, they probed, they hypothesised, they experimented. They discovered relationships within nature that came to form laws about how the universe works. Once again, Mats, you are side-stepping the main point and picking up side-issues. I can only conclude that this means that you cannot refute my main argument, and that you therefore concede defeat on this point.

John Stockwell · 8 October 2007

Popper's Ghost:

I would argue that Mt. Rushmore is recognized, not as designed, but as manufactured because we have a great familiarity with mega-carvings and statues in general.

There's a bit more to it that that. Suppose you didn't know of the existence of Mt. Rushmore, but saw it out of the window of an airplane -- you would "recognize" it as an intentional product because of our biological bias toward recognizing faces and because of the very low likelihood of such a phenomenon -- the close likenesses of four famous American Presidents -- arising naturally. Fascinated, you go look at it up close. As you approach it, you are flabbergasted to discover that it's an illusion, that it consists of erosions that strongly resemble the faces of American presidents from afar but, up close, bear none of the familiar signs or characteristics of mega-carvings and statues, so your "recognition" was mistaken, or at least called into question (perhaps the erosions were intentionally planned, but that's an extraordinary hypothesis that requires an extraordinary amount of evidence). But the IDist, even when faced with the overwhelming evidence that biological phenomena came about through natural processes, refuse to question their "recognition", or refuse to get out of their airplane to look closely -- and they depend upon false analogies and false statistics, as nothing in the biological world is nearly as unlikely to be natural as Mt. Rushmore is, despite all the handwaving by the likes of Dembksi and Behe.
The pattern recognition capability we have allows us to see faces all over the place, where none are present (see for example of some people who have made a business of selling pictures of some of these http://facesintherocks.com/blog/). To claim that Mt. Rushmore is manufactured still requires the concept that something like Mt. Rushmore on some scale can be manufactured in the first place. The person in the plane would see "what looks like giant heads down there", but as far as calling them manufactured, that does not automatically follow.

DP · 8 October 2007

And yet again the IDists don't get the basics
which are as simple as 1 ,2, 3.

1)The reason we recognize the products
of HUMAN minds is because we have
empirical experience with HUMANS.

HUMAN causation is Observable/Repeatable
/Testable and falls within the domain of
scientific inquiry.

2)The reason we would recognize the
product of an ET mind is because an
ET would be a PHYSICAL entity that we
could obtain empirical experience with.

ET causation is Observable In Principle
and would also fall within the domain of
scientific inquiry. E.G. magnetic fields,
gravity etc.

3)The reason we would NOT recognize
the product of a supernatural mind
is because a supernatural entity is
NOT physical and we could NOT ordinarily
obtain empirical experience with one.

Supernatural causation is Intrinsically
Unobservable and therefore falls Outside
the domain of scientific inquiry.

And once again, this is painfully simple, should not be a threat and is all I have time for here.

David Stanton · 8 October 2007

Mats,

I see you have not read the references on the evolution of the genetic code yet. I see you have also failed to read the Talk Origins archives on bird evolution and cetacean evolution. So Mats, how do you explain the genetic evidence that you claimed did not exist? How do you explain the fossil evidence that you claimed did not exist? How do you explain the developmental evidence that you claimed did not exist? Note that if you have an explanation, then you have admitted that the evidence does indeed exist. If you don't have an explanation, then everyone can see that you were just spouting ignorant nonsense. Or there is a third option, the one you always seem to take. You could just put your hands over your ears and keep repeating loudly "there is no evidence" and hope that other igonarant prople will believe it.

Nigel D · 9 October 2007

What if experts in relevant fields chanllenge the opinion of the “consensus” ?

— Mats
If the evidence is in their favour, they will overturn the field. A good example of this is Alfred Wegener: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_Wegener He never could assemble any truly convincing evidence, so his theory was not accepted. Later, when new evidence became available that supported his theory, he was acknowledged as the "founder" of a new theory. You see, Mats, it all comes down to the evidence. That what science is about.

I am thinking in people like Dr Denton, a biologist and a medical doctor, who wrote a book in 1985, wherein he pretty much blows the whistle on many problems in standard Darwinism.

I've never heard of him. Since he has failed to overturn MET, I would guess that his evidence was weak or non-existent. Maybe he was like you, and he believed the lies of the creationists.

Is his opinion valid, since he is an expert in a relevant field?

Now, Mats, can you see a difference between a consensus of experts and the opinion of a single expert? When you are talking about one individual, what matters is the argument they make, and the evidence that they reference. Without knowing more about this person, I could never acknowledge him as an authority. Therefore, his expertise (assuming it to be at least vaguely relevant) is less relevant than any argument he may propose.

Or perhaps people like Jon Wells, who has degrees in Biology;

And publishes nonsense. Jon Wells (interesting that you are sufficiently familiar with him to abbreviate his forename) has ignored more facts about developmental biology than I have ever known about it. Over at Pharyngula, PZ has shredded (I mean, absolutely shredded) most of Wells' publications. Wells gets so many elementary things wrong. So, even though Wells has a PhD in a biological science, he is no expert. Notice that, in Wells' own words, he embarked on obtaining the PhD with the specific intent of debunking evolutionary theory. Notice also how abysmally he has failed. MET is as strong as ever.

is his opinion valid since he knows what he is talking about,when he criticizes Darwinism ?

His opinion is not valid, for several reasons. (1) He gets even simple facts wrong in his publications; (2) He entered the biological sciences with preconceived notions about evolution, and ignores evidence that contradicts his preconceptions; (3) His attacks on evolutionary theory are full of the same mistakes and fallacies that creationists have been making (and having pointed out to them) for decades. His principle mistakes are argument from ignorance and non-sequitur. He ignores criticism, and, despite knowing exactly how to do so, refuses to seek out information concerning the aspects of evolution that he attacks. At the end of the day, Mats, a consensus of experts has weight because those experts have critically evaluated the evidence for and against the relevant proposition (in this case, MET). It takes a certain amount of expertise (which you obviously lack) to fully understand the evidence that supports any theory of modern science, MET included. Any expert may challenge the consensus, but they should do so only if the evidence compels them. Any challenge to the scientific status quo will stand or fall entirely on the evidence, and on the logic of inferences made from the evidence. If someone can demonstrate that they do know what they are talking about (and Wells most emphatically does not), then they can be considered to be expert. You can then choose to either accept what they say, or carry out your own research to enable yourself to question their conclusions. You, Mats, seem incapable of making this choice. I say again, either accept the consensus opinion of the experts, or go and educate yourself so that you can actually understand what it is you are attempting to criticise.

Nigel D · 9 October 2007

Yes, there were many things that we didn’t know back then that we know now. But that doesn’t change what I said.

— Mats
One example, Mats, is that we now have a reliable method for dating rocks (that was not available in the 19th century). We also know of a mechanism whereby the sun may emit energy for billions of years (nuclear fusion). So, we now have evidence that contradicts a literal interpretation of Genesis. Ergo, it renders what you said irrelevant. As a result of rational, logical investigation of the world, we are able to utterly refute YEC. This was not possible in the 19th century, because we did not have the data.

In Darwin’s day many scientists did their job quite nicely alongside their Christian faith,

In what way is this different from today?

and it didn’t seem to affect their work. Mendel, for exampkle, did a great job in genetics, and his religious faith didn’t affect his science one bit. (In fact, it might have had a positive effect on his science.)

But what possible relevance does this have? Millions of scientists today are able to reconcile their scientific knowledge with their faith. Even in the 19th century, most people didn't believe in a literal interpretation of Genesis. Why? Because YEC is absurd. Not only does the Bible contradict reality, but it also contradicts itself. The Bible may be many things, but it is not an accurate description of the world around us.

Evidence against a competing theory is not evidence for your theory

— Mats
Really?

Yes, Mats, really.

So why did Gould invoke the “panda’s thumb” as evidence against the Designer, and evidence for evolution?

Because it consitutes evidence against the one and for the other, but for different reasons.

Better yet, what is the purpose to allude to a suposed defect in nature? Isn’t it to use it against God, and in favor of impersonal evolution?

It can be either, and sometimes it can be both. The many, many defects we find in nature constitute prima facie evidence against Intelligent Design, but they do not preclude Incompetent Design. However, the way in which the defects occur and the relationships between the organisms containing the defects and their closest relatives (morphologically speaking) do constitute evidence in support of MET.

The rationality goes like this:

This should be good: Mats lecturing us on rationality!

1. The Creator should be Wise and always do thigns right.

He should if He is omnipotent and omniscient. Are you saying God does not have these propoerties?

2. The panda’s thumb doesn’t seem like something a Benevolent Creator would do.

That is not rational, and I do not believe any MET supporter has used this reasoning. More specifically, the Panda's thumb is a quite definite example of sub-optimal design. Thus, it is evidence against an omniscient, omnipotent, intelligent designer. However, it is quite compatible with an incompetent designer. Moreover, the morphology of the Panda's forelimb indicates that it is related to a specific order of mammals. MET explains the morphology of the panda's thumb. Neither ID nor YEC can do this without limiting the power of God.

3. Therefore it evolved!

You are, as usual, quite wrong here. The evidence that the panda evolved from a common ancestor that it shares with its closest relatives comes from many lines and fields. The sub-optimal design of its thumb is but one among dozens.

Don’t tell me you haven’t used the “bad design arguement” yourself?

I have no idea if SWT has or hasn't, but this is irrelevant. "Bad design" in nature is strong evidence against Intelligent Design, but it is compatible with Incompetent Design. It is also compatible with MET.

No, SWT, in the field of origins evidence against one is evidence for the other.

Ah, Mats, if only you understood what you are saying! If only you had taken the trouble to learn a bit more about MET, and biology in general! A single piece of data can indeed constitute evidence for one thing and evidence against another, but only when considered in the correct context. You attempt to pick holes in MET, and claim that because MET "fails" to explain a thing, that it constitutes evidence for ID. Every time I have seen you do this, you have been wrong. On the other hand, there are examples of features that constitute evidence against ID and for MET, because the same piece of data can have more than one consequence, especially when considered within the context of all the other available data.

Evidence against Mindful creation is evidence for impersonal creation.

Only if you accept a sadly limited definition of "Mindful creation". What is wrong with evolution (as described by MET) being God's tool for creating diversity? If God is omnipotent and omniscient, then it would be just as easy for him to have set up everything in the beginning to produce the present diversity of life at this time, as it would have been to create everything separately.

Evidence against the magical powers of natural processes is evidence in favor of ID.

There is nothing magical about natural processes, you idiot. That's pretty much part of the definition of "natural". If there were any evidence against MET, it would mean only that a different model is needed. It does not follow that that model must be ID. Especially since ID makes no testable predictions, and is falsified by a great deal of the evidence that is already known. The theories of Multiple-designer ID and Incompetent Design are just as compelling as, if not more compelling than, ID as expounded by Dembski, Behe, Wells et al.

I don’t know why are you complaining, since this has been the same since the start. I believe even Darwin alluded to “both sides” of this issue when m,aking his case, didn’t he? How come you don’t like this dichotomy when it works against your beliefs?

OK, Mats, here's a few useful items for you to ponder: (1) Evidence against special creation is not necessarily evidence for one specific theory of evolution, but commonly only evidence that evolution occurred. (2) The evidence for MET comes from many different strands and fields, and firmly rules out every opposing theory that has been proposed for evolution (e.g. Lamarckian evolutionary theory). (3) The mechanisms described in MET have all been observed to occur, and MET provides us with the best explanation for what we find in nature. (4) Creationists and IDists propose a false dichotomy, wherein an aspect MET is attacked, and the author concludes that, since MET is impossible, ID must have occurred. The reason this dichotomy is false is that, even if MET is ruled out (it never has been, by the way), this does not prove that ID is the only alternative. There may be other theories of evolution that do not posit a designer but that differ from MET. If MET is ruled out, these other theories may still be viable. Each piece of evidence must be examined and compared with all available theories of evolution, and set within the context of all the other evidence. Often what is compelling is not so much an individual morpholigical structure (for example), but the relationships between analogous structures in different organisms. (5) I have not yet finished reading TOOS, but I have not encountered Darwin referring to any kind of dichotomy. He occasionally refers to special creation (various forms of which were quite popular at the time) as presenting a much poorer explanation than natural selection of heritable variation; he at least once refers to the work of Lamarck. I do not recall any kind of "both sides" approach in his work.

PvM · 9 October 2007

Thanks to all the posters for showing the level of ignorance on Mats' part. Why is it that ID creationists are so certain that all DNA must have function and yet cannot accept that science could explain the evolution and origin of the genetic code?

Possibly because they are not really familiar with the scientific research and are relying on well known creationist resources such as AIG and ID?

Nigel D · 10 October 2007

Possibly because they are not really familiar with the scientific research and are relying on well known creationist resources such as AIG and ID?

— PvM
Almost certainly, I deem. It is obvious that Mats at least is unfamiliar with any detailed level of biological knowledge. Mats' posts sometimes remind me of Wells' "ten questions to ask your biology teahcer": http://www.ncseweb.org/resources/articles/7719_responses_to_jonathan_wells3_11_28_2001.asp

PvM · 10 October 2007

PvM: No, SWT, in the field of origins evidence against one is evidence for the other. Evidence against Mindful creation is evidence for impersonal creation. Evidence against the magical powers of natural processes is evidence in favor of ID. There is no middle ground, SWT. But there is. It's called ignorance. Let's take an example. Newton could not explain how the planets would continue to move in orbits without a continuous correction by the Designer. Was his absence of understanding the mathematical details evidence of Design or evidence of Ignorance? you got it, ignorance. So now we have a situation were we lack an explanation using regularity and chance, is this evidence of Design or evidence of Ignorance? It could be either, so how do we distinguish between the two? ID does not tell us. You have been had my dear Christian friend.

Popper's Ghost · 12 October 2007

The pattern recognition capability we have allows us to see faces all over the place, where none are present

There are no faces on Mt. Rushmore if faces are defined in biological terms. Or there are faces, if faces are defined in terms of perceived images. So your statement misses the point.

To claim that Mt. Rushmore is manufactured still requires the concept that something like Mt. Rushmore on some scale can be manufactured in the first place.

Sigh. You "argued" that people recognize Mt. Rushmore as designed because of their familiarity with mega-carvings. I noted "the very low likelihood of such a phenomenon – the close likenesses of four famous American Presidents – arising naturally". Rather than respond to what I wrote or even acknowledge that I wrote it, you change the subject entirely, to the preconditions for making a "manufactured" judgment -- something independent of the reasons for reaching the judgment. This sort of reflex defense of a position is great for retaining false beliefs.

The person in the plane would see “what looks like giant heads down there”, but as far as calling them manufactured, that does not automatically follow.

Of course it "does not automatically follow" -- what a dumb and irrelevant strawman, when I gave a scenario in which someone recognizes manufactured heads that weren't manufactured after all -- but they might have been (the real Mt. Rushmore is, after all). But the fact that we don't expect giant heads to be made out of granite is not irrelevant, and so we reach conclusions that things are manufactured based on inference to the best explanation. Empirical inferences never "automatically follow" -- that's an essential fact about empirical epistemology, and blathering about things not necessarily following is foolish, foolishness bred of defending a position at all cost. People "recognize" design for a number of reasons, including very low probability of being a natural feature; that's a fact, and it's dumb to deny it. Sometimes the "recognition" is mistaken, people "recognize" design in biology because they lack the knowledge on which the inference to evolution is based.

Nigel D · 12 October 2007

People “recognize” design for a number of reasons, including very low probability of being a natural feature; that’s a fact, and it’s dumb to deny it. Sometimes the “recognition” is mistaken, people “recognize” design in biology because they lack the knowledge on which the inference to evolution is based

— Poppers Ghost
This is true as far as it goes, PG. I think the argument has departed from its original context. Dembski claims that people make design inferences based on probabilities all the time. I argue that this is false, because people predominantly make design inferences based on background knowledge. Sometimes this background knowledge is coupled to a guess relating to the likelihood of some feature arising by chance, but I do not believe that anyone can reliably infer design without background knowledge.

DP · 13 October 2007

Yes background knowledge of:

WHAT HUMANS DO AND
THE WAY THEY DO THINGS.

Look out here comes the dodge.

The IDist will start talking about hypothetical ET's now but this has already been covered ad nauseum i.e. ET's are observable in-principle and therefore fall within scientific inquiry.

But wait here comes another dodge.

The IDist will say that ID doesn't identify a designer. Because why? Because design is a logical category not a causal category. Fine
then admit that ID is philosophy AND NOT SCIENCE.

Popper's Ghost · 13 October 2007

Dembski claims that people make design inferences based on probabilities all the time.

Of course they do, but this has no import. As I pointed out, these inferences aren't reliable, especially in the case of evolution; as I just wrote, 'people “recognize” design in biology because they lack the knowledge on which the inference to evolution is based'. Sheesh. You (and others) seem to think that, if you agree with Dembski's claim, you've conceded something to ID, instead of recognizing how utterly irrelevant the claim is. Yes, people make these inferences -- so what? That someone makes an inference doesn't make the inference correct or valid. Dembski's argument is, at it's base, cargo cultism. Forensic scientists, like all scientists, make inferences to the best explanation, and the inference includes probabilistic estimates. But forensic scientists have the facts right; IDists don't. The raw fact that inferences include probabilistic considerations shows nothing, any more than that the landing of airplanes involves control towers.

I argue that this is false, because people predominantly make design inferences based on background knowledge.

Ever hear of a false dichotomy? The latter doesn't make the former false, even if "background knowledge" were distinct from "probabilities", which it's not. And it's a circular argument. What background knowledge did Paley and everyone else who has ever inferred design in nature, including Darwin, base their inference on? You're making the same mistake, but in the opposite direction, as those who claim that "every complex system we know of has been designed, so biological systems were designed". That people frequently make design inferences based on background knowledge doesn't mean that they don't make a design inference in biology based on probability -- incorrectly estimated probability, because they lack the requisite background information to correct it. The thing to hammer on is that the design inference from probability that Dembski et. al. reach is based on ignorance, willful disregard for the evidence, poor reasoning, and ideologically driven bias.

Sometimes this background knowledge is coupled to a guess relating to the likelihood of some feature arising by chance, but I do not believe that anyone can reliably infer design without background knowledge.

Didn't I just give a scenario in which an inference was made that a stone formation was the result of design because of probability considerations, yet the conclusion was false? But reliability is relative -- looking out of an airplane window and seeing a formation that looks just like the heads of 4 American presidents, the best inference is that it is designed, even if one has never seen anything like it and has no knowledge of "mega-carvings and statues in general". It isn't possible to separate out "background knowledge" from "likelihood" -- the background knowledge in this case being the range and sorts of formations that arise naturally, as well as the fact that these heads resemble a rather particular set of individuals with a special relationship in our culture, strongly suggesting that an agent with knowledge of that culture produced them. But, as with all empirical inferences, it could be wrong.

Popper's Ghost · 13 October 2007

What background knowledge did Paley and everyone else who has ever inferred design in nature, including Darwin, base their inference on?

In case it wasn't obvious (which it should have been to informed persons without blinders), I'm referring to Darwin before his voyage -- the Darwin who, as Wikipedia puts it, "was particularly enthusiastic about the writings of William Paley, including the argument for divine design in nature".

Popper's Ghost · 13 October 2007

The raw fact that inferences include probabilistic considerations shows nothing, any more than that the landing of airplanes involves control towers.

To sum up Dembski's argument: "They use a control tower to land their planes, so our control tower will land planes." There's a better response to this than to deny that control towers are used in landing planes.

Nigel D · 15 October 2007

Yes, people make these inferences – so what? That someone makes an inference doesn’t make the inference correct or valid. Dembski’s argument is, at it’s base, cargo cultism. Forensic scientists, like all scientists, make inferences to the best explanation, and the inference includes probabilistic estimates. But forensic scientists have the facts right; IDists don’t.

— Poppers Ghost
OK, so I slightly misunderstood your argument the first time around. You do make a good point. Even when people make design inferences without background knowledge, they are not reliable, but that does not necessarily prevent anyone from making them. I think there is still more to it. Because we all possess a certain amount of experience in the way that people make things and do things, it is only under unusual circumstances that people make a design inference without applying (even sub-consciously) any background knowledge at all. It is therefore very difficult for any of us to separate that background knowledge from any potential design inference we may make. To illustrate my point: If we were to take someone from a hunter-gatherer culture, with no knowledge of modern technology, and ask him/her to assess whether or not a cellphone (for instance, but it could be anything of which the person had no prior knowledge) were designed, (s)he would make a design inference based partly on the object itself, partly on a knowledge of natural organic forms, and partly on knowledge of human ingenuity. Knowledge of human behaviours will almost always intrude upon any potential design inference we try to make.