Scientific Integrity: Science, Evolution, and Intelligent Design

Posted 12 January 2008 by

The Union of Concerned Scientists has released a six section overview on Science, Evolution, and Intelligent Design Section 1: Science as a Way of Knowing
Section 2: Science and Society
Section 3: Evolution, Creationism, and Intelligent Design
Section 4: Why Intelligent Design is not Science
Section 5: Science Education and Intelligent Design
Section 6: Fairness and Balance in the Classroom and Beyond
I would add another section on the scientific vacuity or infertility of Intelligent Design. Ask yourself this simple question: What non-trivial contribution has Intelligent Design made to our scientific understanding? And ask you then a follow-up question: For those systems which ID claims to be designed, how does ID explain these systems? The answers, or lack thereof, may surprise you. HT: NCSE

113 Comments

Dale Husband · 12 January 2008

Actually, this statement was released back in September of last year. I remember seeing it months ago on the UCS website.

Stanton · 13 January 2008

I'm hardpressed to think of even a single trivial contribution that Intelligent Design has made to science.

Ichthyic · 13 January 2008

indeed, the extreme animal rights groups up in Berkeley were idiots, but at least a better appreciation of proper animal husbandry came out of their "efforts".

I think you're right. I too cannot think of a singled, blasted, thing that the concept of intelligent design has contributed to science.

OTOH, I think it safe to say that it HAS created activists out of a lot of scientists, who have finally tired of the BS these morons are pushing.

so, no contribution to science, but a backhanded contribution to scientists, I guess, and in the end that will positively contribute to science.

kind of like thanking garbage for igniting interest in creating garbage dumps.

Ronald Cote · 13 January 2008

Stanton,if you can't think of a single blasted thing that ID has contributed, it may be your inability to think. That is such an irresponsible and ignorant statement!
Ishthyic,you may join with Stanton except that you electrify the response by injecting the good old evol practise of name calling ( idiots, garbage and morons). This adds so much more quality to the discussion while openly demonstrating your ignorance! Your last statement is prophetic while being pathetic i.e. thanking name calling for igniting interest in creating more name calling as a means of illustrating how evols need to scrape the bottom of the barrel in a futile and ineffective way to convince with out adding substance to the debate.

Richard · 13 January 2008

Ronald Cote said:
Stanton,if you can’t think of a single blasted thing that ID has contributed, it may be your inability to think. That is such an irresponsible and ignorant statement!

Ronald - please go ahead and list the contributions of ID.

Ichthyic · 13 January 2008

LOL

yeah, that WAS pretty funny!

"you guys are just ignorant of the many things that ID has contributed to science! Like, um.... well, I can't think of any, but you guys are just WRONG!!!!!"

Stanton · 13 January 2008

Ronald Cote: Stanton,if you can't think of a single blasted thing that ID has contributed, it may be your inability to think. That is such an irresponsible and ignorant statement!
Then, why do you insult me, rather than, say, actually providing an example of a trivial contribution that Intelligent Design has made to Science? Is this what Our Lord Jesus means by "love thy neighbor" or "turning the other cheek"? That you're supposed to go around insulting people and make the Christian faith repulsive, rather than correcting mistakes they have made?
Ishthyic,you may join with Stanton except that you electrify the response by injecting the good old evol practise of name calling ( idiots, garbage and morons). This adds so much more quality to the discussion while openly demonstrating your ignorance!
If you actually knew how to read, and had actual, 3rd grade level reading comprehension skills, you would have realized that the only positive contribution that Ichthyic thinks that Intelligent Design has made is to make scientists more proactive in defending Science from active proponents of detrimental pseudoscience. That you ignore the content of Ichthyic's posting in order to demean both him and I, openly demonstrates your own ignorance.
Your last statement is prophetic while being pathetic i.e. thanking name calling for igniting interest in creating more name calling as a means of illustrating how evols need to scrape the bottom of the barrel in a futile and ineffective way to convince with out adding substance to the debate.
Said by a guy who didn't bother to contradict me by giving an example of a trivial positive contribution that Intelligent Design has made to Science just so he can insult me. That, and that the only thing that you've contributed to this debate is that proponents of Intelligent Design are incapable of engaging in actual debate, and must, instead, engage in pathetic, childish insults that demean themselves, and expose them to ridicule.

Stanton · 13 January 2008

Ichthyic: LOL yeah, that WAS pretty funny! "you guys are just ignorant of the many things that ID has contributed to science! Like, um.... well, I can't think of any, but you guys are just WRONG!!!!!"
At least Ronald has sense enough not to lie about his alleged education this time around.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 January 2008

Hmm. How come IDiots are so eager to learn and parrot what scientists and informed persons have to say about pseudoscientific movements and antiscientific creationism in particular, but lose interest as soon as it comes to learning the science itself?

I second that - Ronald, name a single result from ID that is identifiable testable science and has been accepted by biology as a fruitful contribution.

Better yet, describe how the biologists you address fail to be cognisant of their own subject.

bjm · 13 January 2008

Ronald - please go ahead and list the contributions of ID.
This could be worth waiting for - Behe and Dembski haven't figured that out yet! [Nitpicking but shouldn't the request for 'a' contribution, just to give them a chance?]

Stanton · 13 January 2008

In other words, Ronald, yes, I freely admit that I have called you an "idiot," and have made frequent, blatant inferences that you are dishonest, as, they are responses to the facts that you have, on all of the occasions that I have come into contact with you, displayed (and continue to display) a gross ignorance of biology and of evolution that contradicted your boastful claims of having had a biology education, and of once being an "evolutionist," as well as claiming that On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection, or the Preservation of Favoured Races in the Struggle for Life did not explain speciation, but promoted racism. When I countered this claim, as well as making the point that, by making a claim like yours, you never read the book before, you, in turn, responded with "that's stupid."

And yes, I bring these things up every time, so that way, people know that you are a liar who Lies for Jesus Even Though Jesus Doesn't Like It When People Lie For Him, and that nothing you say is trustworthy.

Stanton · 13 January 2008

bjm:
Ronald - please go ahead and list the contributions of ID.
This could be worth waiting for - Behe and Dembski haven't figured that out yet! [Nitpicking but shouldn't the request for 'a' contribution, just to give them a chance?]
It's unlikely that we will get anything out of Ronald beyond petty insults or his stale "scraping the bottom of the barrel" complaint. The time I asked him about how one can use a literal interpretation of the Bible to interpret prehistoric organisms better than actually studying their fossils and or living relatives, he summarily dismissed my question by stating that paleontology is a useless endeavor.

Cedric Katesby · 13 January 2008

Ronald, you are the perfect representative for ID.
How about answering a few questions for us?

Is ID a scientific theory?
What contributions has ID made to science?
What research is going on now in the wonderful world of ID?

Go ahead. Please. Pretty please.

JOHN WRIGHT · 13 January 2008

I do have to go and agree that ID is not a legitimate science because there is no factual evidence to go and support it. Seriously when did we let the stupid and uninformed(preachers, rabbis, and imams) go and dictate what we should be teaching? ID is not a legitimate science because it is taught with a clear agenda to indoctrinate people to believe in God. The fact is this it is not a legitimate science taught by scientists and no biblical scholars and biblical science do not even count worth fucking shit.

JOHN WRIGHT · 13 January 2008

I do have to go and agree that ID is not a legitimate science because there is no factual evidence to go and support it. Seriously when did we let the stupid and uninformed(preachers, rabbis, and imams) go and dictate what we should be teaching? ID is not a legitimate science because it is taught with a clear agenda to indoctrinate people to believe in God. The fact is this it is not a legitimate science taught by scientists and no biblical scholars and biblical science do not even count.

hoary puccoon · 14 January 2008

John Wright said, "ID is not a legitimate science because it is taught with a clear agenda to indoctrinate people to believe in God."

No, that statement isn't correct. ID is not a legitimate science because it doesn't have any testable hypotheses. Its position is, "if it looks designed, it is designed and since the Intelligent Designer is beyond our petty, human understanding, there's nothing more we can do. (Except harrass legitimate scientists and science teachers and try to get money out of church groups, of course.)"

I've known several scientists who truly believed that having an understanding and appreciation of the natural world would bring people closer to God. But since these scientists proceeded according to the accepted scientific protocol of formulating testable hypotheses and rejecting the ones that failed, their results were still perfectly congruent with those of scientists who were committed atheists, or who didn't care one way or the other.

Frank J · 14 January 2008

Ronald - please go ahead and list the contributions of ID.

— Richard
I hope you don't mind me answering for him, especially since I will not give the usual response of evading the question and changing the subject to "weaknesses" of "Darwinism." Anyway, ID, via Michael Behe, proposed in 1996 that a "designed first cell" appeared ~4 billion years ago, and contained all the cellular chemistry for all its descendants, which includes all extant life on Earth. Yes, I know that ID has no official position, and even Behe has refused to commit to that particular one, much less test it, but it's the only thing comparable that ID has ever offered. The other ~99.9999% of its contribution has been nothing but misrepresentation of evolution, and the totally useless "some designer did something at some time."

heddle · 14 January 2008

Stanton,
actually providing an example of a trivial contribution that Intelligent Design has made to Science?
That is very difficult. However, one example might be the idea of galactic habitability zones. But I think that one would be hard pressed to argue that that was an ID result—although one might easily argue that it was ID motivated. In peer reviewed papers I have read on the subject, Gonzalez is generally given credit for the concept of large scale habitability zones, and the mere existence of such papers indicates that the concept has exceeded the “trivial” threshold.

Stanton · 14 January 2008

heddle: Stanton,
actually providing an example of a trivial contribution that Intelligent Design has made to Science?
That is very difficult. However, one example might be the idea of galactic habitability zones. But I think that one would be hard pressed to argue that that was an ID result—although one might easily argue that it was ID motivated. In peer reviewed papers I have read on the subject, Gonzalez is generally given credit for the concept of large scale habitability zones, and the mere existence of such papers indicates that the concept has exceeded the “trivial” threshold.
If the idea of galactic habitability zones weren't a result of applying Intelligent Design "theory," then how could it have been motivated by Intelligent Design "theory"?

Flint · 14 January 2008

If the idea of galactic habitability zones weren’t a result of applying Intelligent Design “theory,” then how could it have been motivated by Intelligent Design “theory”?

Once again, a failure to communicate. To the scientist, a result based on a theory means the theory made a prediction, the prediction was tested, and the test passed. To the creationist, the issue is whether a prediction based on a scientific theory is or is not deemed compatible with creationist doctrine. I personally suspect that the "large scale habitibility zones" are quite speculative and based on numerous assumptions we have no way to validate. But they CAN be construed to imply that the Earth has passed another test required to produce (ahem) us, so Gonzalez' god gets another feather in His cap. If scientific theory should later show that these habilitability zones only shape the construction of life in various parts of the galaxy, then "ID theory" can easily "unpredict" whatever is required.

Matthew Lowry · 14 January 2008

heddle:

actually providing an example of a trivial contribution that Intelligent Design has made to Science?

That is very difficult. However, one example might be the idea of galactic habitability zones. But I think that one would be hard pressed to argue that that was an ID result—although one might easily argue that it was ID motivated. In peer reviewed papers I have read on the subject, Gonzalez is generally given credit for the concept of large scale habitability zones, and the mere existence of such papers indicates that the concept has exceeded the “trivial” threshold.
There is a big difference between arguing that the notion of galactic habital zones was the result of ID-creationism "theory" versus using ID concepts as the motivation for coming up with the concept. One could be motivated to do scientific work for any number of reasons, but the actual tools utilized must be in accord with methodological naturalism (i.e., the modern scientific method). And, as ID-creationism is defined by its own proponents, it does not meet this basic standard of science. For you to, on the one hand, make the distinction between the result and the motivation, and then to go on and imply that ID-creationism "theory" has met some kind of "peer-review" threshold seems suspect to me. It seems like you're trying to have it both ways. You need to support your claim with evidence. Please show us any peer-reviewed article from a mainstream scientific journal which states, unequivocally, that "analysis via ID-theory results in galactic habital zones", or something to that effect.

Matthew Lowry · 14 January 2008

Flint: I personally suspect that the "large scale habitibility zones" are quite speculative and based on numerous assumptions we have no way to validate. But they CAN be construed to imply that the Earth has passed another test required to produce (ahem) us, so Gonzalez' god gets another feather in His cap. If scientific theory should later show that these habilitability zones only shape the construction of life in various parts of the galaxy, then "ID theory" can easily "unpredict" whatever is required.
As I stated, this is yet another example of ID-creationism trying to have it both ways.

heddle · 14 January 2008

Matthew Lowry
For you to, on the one hand, make the distinction between the result and the motivation, and then to go on and imply that ID-creationism “theory” has met some kind of “peer-review” threshold seems suspect to me. It seems like you’re trying to have it both ways.
I implied no such thing. Stanton set the bar very low, a "trivial contribution"--not a prediction, not a result, etc. Well, galactic habitability zones are discussed in peer-reviewed papers and so I suggested that they are more than trivial; they are of actual scientific interest. I also suggested that they could not be easily argued as ID results, but possibly as motivated by ID, which only Gonzalez can answer. If you are suggesting that I am implying some sort of peer review threshold for ID theory was surpassed, then you attributing far more meaning to my comment that the actual words I wrote would warrant.

Richard · 14 January 2008

heddle said:

That is very difficult. However, one example might be the idea of galactic habitability zones. But I think that one would be hard pressed to argue that that was an ID result—although one might easily argue that it was ID motivated. In peer reviewed papers I have read on the subject, Gonzalez is generally given credit for the concept of large scale habitability zones, and the mere existence of such papers indicates that the concept has exceeded the “trivial” threshold.

So should we take this as a 'no' correct?
Are there any other examples of the contributions ID has made?
Would someone get tenure at an university if they had as much as ID to show for their efforts?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 14 January 2008

yet another example of ID-creationism trying to have it both ways
I can't vouch for the thought processes behind any particular individual, but in general I would rather suspect "both ways" is primarily derived from the special pleading all religion is based on ["My gods are bigger and better than yours, na na!"] rather than an indelible mark of the old creationist scam. As Flint reminds us, it is inherent in Gonzalez' reasoning too. It pleads for the religious anthropic argument (a random planet has an a priori low probability as for life) as opposed to an anthropic principle (a large enough population of planets has an a posteriori high likelihood for life). Btw, here fits the subject of a set of comments I made the other day. I can reveal the next big joke: Creationist Guillermo Gonzalez, coauthor of The Privileged Planet: How Our Place in the Cosmos Is Designed for Discovery, apparently combines the Rare Earth hypothesis with a claim that Earth is a prime location for observations, to arrive at the conclusion that Earth is designed. But now it appears that Earth is living on the edge of habitability, as it really is marginally large to support plate tectonics. [This could explain why Venus have no plate tectonics as it lost the water that Earth dearly needs due to no magnetic field protection. Though this is debated. At least here on PT. :-P). It could also explain why Earth plate tectonics have been completely stopped at times while waiting for the internal heat to build up from radioactivity until its rare active subduction zones redevelop.] Another new problem for the Rare Earth hypothesis is that possibly planets forms in protoplanetary disks where they can. (I.e. where they find stable orbits.) It is a possibility, since the hypothesis allowed the first verified planet detection since Neptune in the 1840’s. Caveat: There has been a lot of similar searches since that time, so there really need to be more confirmations at this time. But it is an intriguing development. Imagine the laugh fest when the next creo raises the Rare Earth hypothesis (no, Earth isn’t rare because it is especially beneficial to support life, it is rare because it supports life marginally) and the Prime Observability hypothesis (no, Earth isn’t a prime location, because we can’t observe typical plate tectonics). Another exciting episode of “when creationists talks against readily available data”! As I made those comments on the 12th, I couldn't imagine that it would be such short time to the spectre of Gonzalez' ghosts were raised by a creo. Well, maybe it was a low probability that any one creo would do it, but possibly a high likelihood that the population would. Thanks for the ROTFL!

heddle · 14 January 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM,

Huh? I'm sorry, was someone here discussing The Privileged Planet? I thought the Gonzalez discussion, such as it was, was about something completely different, not even on the same length scale: Galactic Habitability zones. That has nothing to do whatsoever with whether or not planets form efficiently (which I agree is rather cool.)

Matthew Lowry · 14 January 2008

heddle: I implied no such thing. Stanton set the bar very low, a "trivial contribution"--not a prediction, not a result, etc. Well, galactic habitability zones are discussed in peer-reviewed papers and so I suggested that they are more than trivial; they are of actual scientific interest. I also suggested that they could not be easily argued as ID results, but possibly as motivated by ID, which only Gonzalez can answer. If you are suggesting that I am implying some sort of peer review threshold for ID theory was surpassed, then you attributing far more meaning to my comment that the actual words I wrote would warrant.
Okay fine, so I will take this as an admission by you that there are no useful scientific results that have come out of the ID-concept. Not only no useful results, but no predictions, no tests, and no possible method of testing. It should be said that such "trivial contributions" as you mention can also be obtained if I invoke the Flying Spaghetti Monster as a "motivation" for studying galactic habital zones. 'Nuff said.

heddle · 14 January 2008

Matthew Lowry,
It should be said that such “trivial contributions” as you mention can also be obtained if I invoke the Flying Spaghetti Monster as a “motivation” for studying galactic habital zones. ‘Nuff said.
No, it can't. Because while it may be possible that Gonzalez had ID as a motivation for looking into such problems (I have no clue if he did) I suspect you cannot find a scientist who actually used the FSM theology as a motivation for any astrophysical research. The analogy works, but only so far--because there are real-life scientists who are honest-to-goodness theists, but no real life scientists who believe the FSM is an actual deity.

Stanton · 14 January 2008

Heddle, if even you are unsure whether or not Gonzales was motivated by Intelligent Design when he proposed the galactic habitability zone hypothesis, we can not say that ID has passed beyond the threshold of trivial contribution, in fact, until someone specifically asks him about whether or not he was motivated by Intelligent Design to formulate that hypothesis.

Mr_Christopher · 14 January 2008

I think Gonzales saying there may be habital zones is very different than an ID contribution to science. When Behe suggests common descent is true hardly represents an ID contribution to "darwinism"

Heddle put down the crack pipe.

Mike Elzinga · 14 January 2008

What is so special about “habitability zones”, other than to note that given a suitable collection of elements and gravity in the right energy range, creatures similar to us could survive? The universe is pretty big and diverse, so why should anyone be surprised if there are zones in which life approximating what we know might possibly exist?

It seems that suggesting anything more than this is analogous to a couple of mud puddles looking around, noting that every puddle they observe exactly matches its “habitability zone”, and concluding that some intelligence must be involved.

I would suggest that ID had nothing to do with the idea appearing in scientific literature (somehow implying that ID motivated the contribution). Attempting to characterize and locate such zones is simply a way to narrow the search for life, as we know it, in other places in the universe. This thought process was going on long before the clowns at the Discovery Institute tried to grab the limelight.

Mr_Christopher · 14 January 2008

Speaking of the amazing predictive powers of IDC, it seems WAD has a whole list of them and is teasing his fellow cultists into sharing theirs with him before he shares his with them.

Be the first on your block to read the amazing predictive powers of IDC ("ID's predective prowess") -
http://www.uncommondescent.com/the-design-of-life/ids-predictive-prowess/

The contributions so far are simply amazing. You can tell their is some cutting edge science going on at UD these days.

Mr_Christopher · 14 January 2008

I meant there :-)

Bill Gascoyne · 14 January 2008

Mr_Christopher: I meant there :-)
OT: I have a spelling checker
It came with my PC
It plainly marks four my revue
Mistakes I cannot sea.
I've run this poem threw it
I'm sure your pleased to no
Its letter perfect in it's weigh
My checker tolled me sew.
Pennye Harper

David B. Benson · 14 January 2008

I am quite taken with Ward & Brownlee(?)'s Rare Earth. I believe that Peter Ward gave some credit to Gonzalez for some of the ideas. In any case, the astronomic observations make the situation quite clear: Only the middle third of so of the galaxy can possibly support life-as-we-know it.

As for even rarer matters, the earth has a large moon. So large it might almost be considered a double planet. Within a star's life-zone, this might well be exceedingly rare. Without a good understanding (yet) of abiogenesis, the importance of having a large moon is not (yet) clear.

P.S. abiogenesis is not in the spell-checker.

Matthew Lowry · 14 January 2008

heddle: Matthew Lowry,
It should be said that such “trivial contributions” as you mention can also be obtained if I invoke the Flying Spaghetti Monster as a “motivation” for studying galactic habital zones. ‘Nuff said.
No, it can't. Because while it may be possible that Gonzalez had ID as a motivation for looking into such problems (I have no clue if he did) I suspect you cannot find a scientist who actually used the FSM theology as a motivation for any astrophysical research. The analogy works, but only so far--because there are real-life scientists who are honest-to-goodness theists, but no real life scientists who believe the FSM is an actual deity.
I know plenty of Pastafarians who are motivated in their scientific work by their worship of our Noodly Master! How dare you insult our religious beliefs like this. You'd better watch out, or we'll go after your local school board like we did in Polk County, Florida! And how do you know the Almighty FSM isn't an "actual deity", anyway? What is the criteria for determining an "actual" deity from a "fake" deity? Is Thor, Odin, or Loki real? Osiris, Ra, or Isis? Yahweh? How about the Buddha? Jesus Christ? Fukurokuju or any of the other Shinto gods of luck? Allah? Michael Jordan? Google? Perhaps there is a process of supernatural selection at work that determines the "real" from the "unreal" deities? Inquiring minds want to know. Please... please do grace us all with your definition and method of determining a "real" deity from an "unreal" one. This should be really good. Btw, this link seems to show that your friend Gonzales didn't have anything to do with the proposal of galactic habitable zones. It states that the concept of a habitable zone was first proposed 1959 by Philip Morrison and Giuseppe Cocconi in a SETI research paper. In 1961, Frank Drake popularized the concept in his Drake equation. No where in this article is there any mention of Gonzales. Furthermore, when I looked up more info on Gonzales, it shows that he is a "proponent" of the galactic habitable zone concept, not the pioneer you make him out to be. Sloppy work heddle, you have to do much better than that to pass the class.

Matthew Lowry · 14 January 2008

David B. Benson: I am quite taken with Ward & Brownlee(?)'s Rare Earth. I believe that Peter Ward gave some credit to Gonzalez for some of the ideas. In any case, the astronomic observations make the situation quite clear: Only the middle third of so of the galaxy can possibly support life-as-we-know it.
Point of note: this assumes that the only life that can exist is like us - carbon based, DNA encoded, etc. Unfortunately, we only have one data point to work with on this... so far.

Matthew Lowry · 14 January 2008

David B. Benson: I am quite taken with Ward & Brownlee(?)'s Rare Earth. I believe that Peter Ward gave some credit to Gonzalez for some of the ideas. In any case, the astronomic observations make the situation quite clear: Only the middle third of so of the galaxy can possibly support life-as-we-know it.
Point of note: this assumes that the only life that can exist is like us - carbon based, DNA encoded, etc. Unfortunately, we only have one data point to work with on this... so far.

Stanton · 15 January 2008

Matthew Lowry:
heddle: Matthew Lowry,
It should be said that such “trivial contributions” as you mention can also be obtained if I invoke the Flying Spaghetti Monster as a “motivation” for studying galactic habital zones. ‘Nuff said.
No, it can't. Because while it may be possible that Gonzalez had ID as a motivation for looking into such problems (I have no clue if he did) I suspect you cannot find a scientist who actually used the FSM theology as a motivation for any astrophysical research. The analogy works, but only so far--because there are real-life scientists who are honest-to-goodness theists, but no real life scientists who believe the FSM is an actual deity.
I know plenty of Pastafarians who are motivated in their scientific work by their worship of our Noodly Master! How dare you insult our religious beliefs like this. You'd better watch out, or we'll go after your local school board like we did in Polk County, Florida! And how do you know the Almighty FSM isn't an "actual deity", anyway? What is the criteria for determining an "actual" deity from a "fake" deity? Is Thor, Odin, or Loki real? Osiris, Ra, or Isis? Yahweh? How about the Buddha? Jesus Christ? Fukurokuju or any of the other Shinto gods of luck? Allah? Michael Jordan? Google? Perhaps there is a process of supernatural selection at work that determines the "real" from the "unreal" deities? Inquiring minds want to know. Please... please do grace us all with your definition and method of determining a "real" deity from an "unreal" one. This should be really good. Btw, this link seems to show that your friend Gonzales didn't have anything to do with the proposal of galactic habitable zones. It states that the concept of a habitable zone was first proposed 1959 by Philip Morrison and Giuseppe Cocconi in a SETI research paper. In 1961, Frank Drake popularized the concept in his Drake equation. No where in this article is there any mention of Gonzales. Furthermore, when I looked up more info on Gonzales, it shows that he is a "proponent" of the galactic habitable zone concept, not the pioneer you make him out to be. Sloppy work heddle, you have to do much better than that to pass the class.
This reminds me of what Seth Shostak of the SETI Institute said... (from space.com on December 1, 2005)
"The champions of Intelligent Design make two mistakes when they claim that the SETI enterprise is logically similar to their own: First, they assume that we are looking for messages, and judging our discovery on the basis of message content, whether understood or not. In fact, we're on the lookout for very simple signals. That's mostly a technical misunderstanding. But their second assumption, derived from the first, that complexity would imply intelligence, is also wrong. We seek artificiality, which is an organized and optimized signal coming from an astronomical environment from which neither it nor anything like it is either expected or observed: Very modest complexity, found out of context. This is clearly nothing like looking at DNA's chemical makeup and deducing the work of a supernatural biochemist."

Mike Elzinga · 15 January 2008

It states that the concept of a habitable zone was first proposed 1959 by Philip Morrison and Giuseppe Cocconi in a SETI research paper. In 1961, Frank Drake popularized the concept in his Drake equation. No where in this article is there any mention of Gonzales.
The first chapter in Intelligent Life in the Universe by I.S.Shklovskii and Carl Sagan, published in 1966, gives a nice brief history of the idea of life on other worlds. It goes back to the Greeks. I remember as a kid back in the 1940s that ideas comparable to “habitability zones” were being discussed. Over the years, as more details about the nature of life became known, the characteristics of these regions where life might exist became more specific. And, of course, carbon based life wasn’t then, nor is it now considered the only possibility. So I know for a fact that neither Gonzales nor any of the other IDiots had anything to do with introducing such an idea into the scientific literature. ID/cdesign proponentsists/Creationists seem to have a habit of trying to rewrite history in order to push their crap. Their zombie followers just repeat it without checking anything out.

heddle · 15 January 2008

Matthew Lowry,
Btw, this link seems to show that your friend Gonzales didn’t have anything to do with the proposal of galactic habitable zones. It states that the concept of a habitable zone was first proposed 1959 by Philip Morrison and Giuseppe Cocconi in a SETI research paper. In 1961, Frank Drake popularized the concept in his Drake equation. No where in this article is there any mention of Gonzales. Furthermore, when I looked up more info on Gonzales, it shows that he is a “proponent” of the galactic habitable zone concept, not the pioneer you make him out to be. Sloppy work heddle, you have to do much better than that to pass the class.
Gosh, please do a little homework. The very definitive source you quoted (wikipedia) doesn't say what you claim--it gives Morrison and Giuseppe credit for a much simpler concept, the idea of a habitability zone within a solar system. Galactic Habitability Zones are areas within a galaxy. They are completely different concepts. Similar for Mike Elzinga who writes
So I know for a fact that neither Gonzales nor any of the other IDiots had anything to do with introducing such an idea into the scientific literature.
Yes, if you talk about habitability zones within a solar system then every knows that it is an old idea. If you talk about galactic habitability zones, then in spite of what you know for "a fact" those pesky citation indices of peer reviewed literature disagree with your "fact." I would be very embarrassed to use the term IDiot in the midst of an idiotic statement. You guys could have at least opened the link at the bottom of the wikipedia article on "On the Galactic Habitability Zone" (Thanks, I didn't know about this preprint.) http://arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0612316 and taken a look at the article. It is from 2006. This astrophysicist must not have known what you guys do, and especially not what Mike Elzinga knows "as a fact." The abstract states:
The concept of Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ) was introduced a few years ago as an extension of the much older concept of Circumstellar Habitable Zone. However, the physical processes underlying the former concept are hard to identify and even harder to quantify. That difficulty does not allow us, at present, to draw any significant conclusions about the extent of the GHZ: it may well be that the entire Milky Way disk is suitable for complex life.
The second paragraph of the article reads
Habitability on a larger scale was considered a few years ago, by Gonzalez et al. (2001) who introduced the concept of Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ).
I have not read the rest of the article (I plan to.) I just clicked the link at the bottom of the wikipedia page you cite as proof that Gonzalez did not introduce the GHZ concept. Now, it seems, based on the abstract, that the author will draw different conclusions about the GHZ. But that is besides the point. The points are: (1) the GHZ is a topic of scientific interest and (2) Gonzalez is credited with introducing it. For crying out loud-- do some basic homework before you make assertions about a topic. At least understand what the GHZ argument is about and stop confusing it with a different concept. The GHZ and the one you are confusing it with, the circumstellar habitability zone, are on vastly different length scales, involve different concepts affecting habitability, and are independently right or wrong.

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

heddle: Gosh, please do a little homework. The very definitive source you quoted (wikipedia) doesn't say what you claim--it gives Morrison and Giuseppe credit for a much simpler concept, the idea of a habitability zone within a solar system. Galactic Habitability Zones are areas within a galaxy. They are completely different concepts.
I never claimed what you're saying I claimed. I merely pointed out that Gonzales was not mentioned at all in pioneering the concepts of either a habital zone or a galactic habitable zone. As for doing homework, you should note that you made the initial claim, so you should be backing it up with references. I merely challenged you to do so.
I would be very embarrassed to use the term IDiot in the midst of an idiotic statement. You guys could have at least opened the link at the bottom of the wikipedia article on "On the Galactic Habitability Zone" (Thanks, I didn't know about this preprint.)
Ummm, you're welcome, I suppose. Again, I was merely challenging you to back up what you were saying. I'm glad to see that my challenge wasn't ignored :-)
http://arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0612316 and taken a look at the article. It is from 2006. This astrophysicist must not have known what you guys do, and especially not what Mike Elzinga knows "as a fact." The abstract states:
The concept of Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ) was introduced a few years ago as an extension of the much older concept of Circumstellar Habitable Zone. However, the physical processes underlying the former concept are hard to identify and even harder to quantify. That difficulty does not allow us, at present, to draw any significant conclusions about the extent of the GHZ: it may well be that the entire Milky Way disk is suitable for complex life.
Very nice. You have done what I wanted you to do, you have actually cited a reference when challenged. I will also be looking at this paper to see what it does, and doesn't, claim. See as how I have some expertise in physics & astronomy, I am interested in seeing what it has to say.
The second paragraph of the article reads
Habitability on a larger scale was considered a few years ago, by Gonzalez et al. (2001) who introduced the concept of Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ).
Well, well... there it is in black & white.
I have not read the rest of the article (I plan to.) I just clicked the link at the bottom of the wikipedia page you cite as proof that Gonzalez did not introduce the GHZ concept. Now, it seems, based on the abstract, that the author will draw different conclusions about the GHZ. But that is besides the point. The points are: (1) the GHZ is a topic of scientific interest and (2) Gonzalez is credited with introducing it.
From what I can see, you are correct - though I shall read the article in more detail as I said. And, for the record, I never claimed that the GHZ wasn't a topic of scientific interest. What I did was to challenge your assertion that Gonzales pioneered the concept - a point upon which it appears you have proven me wrong. Bravo. However, please note that this in no way, shape or form lends any validity to the concept of ID-creationism as science.
For crying out loud-- do some basic homework before you make assertions about a topic. At least understand what the GHZ argument is about and stop confusing it with a different concept. The GHZ and the one you are confusing it with, the circumstellar habitability zone, are on vastly different length scales, involve different concepts affecting habitability, and are independently right or wrong.
I understand the difference, which is beside the point (as I mentioned earlier). Did I mention that I teach astronomy? ;-)

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

heddle: Gosh, please do a little homework. The very definitive source you quoted (wikipedia) doesn't say what you claim--it gives Morrison and Giuseppe credit for a much simpler concept, the idea of a habitability zone within a solar system. Galactic Habitability Zones are areas within a galaxy. They are completely different concepts.
I never claimed what you're saying I claimed. I merely pointed out that Gonzales was not mentioned at all in pioneering the concepts of either a habital zone or a galactic habitable zone. As for doing homework, you should note that you made the initial claim, so you should be backing it up with references. I merely challenged you to do so.
I would be very embarrassed to use the term IDiot in the midst of an idiotic statement. You guys could have at least opened the link at the bottom of the wikipedia article on "On the Galactic Habitability Zone" (Thanks, I didn't know about this preprint.)
Ummm, you're welcome, I suppose. Again, I was merely challenging you to back up what you were saying. I'm glad to see that my challenge wasn't ignored :-)
http://arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0612316 and taken a look at the article. It is from 2006. This astrophysicist must not have known what you guys do, and especially not what Mike Elzinga knows "as a fact." The abstract states:
The concept of Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ) was introduced a few years ago as an extension of the much older concept of Circumstellar Habitable Zone. However, the physical processes underlying the former concept are hard to identify and even harder to quantify. That difficulty does not allow us, at present, to draw any significant conclusions about the extent of the GHZ: it may well be that the entire Milky Way disk is suitable for complex life.
Very nice. You have done what I wanted you to do, you have actually cited a reference when challenged. I will also be looking at this paper to see what it does, and doesn't, claim. See as how I have some expertise in physics & astronomy, I am interested in seeing what it has to say.
The second paragraph of the article reads
Habitability on a larger scale was considered a few years ago, by Gonzalez et al. (2001) who introduced the concept of Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ).
Well, well... there it is in black & white.
I have not read the rest of the article (I plan to.) I just clicked the link at the bottom of the wikipedia page you cite as proof that Gonzalez did not introduce the GHZ concept. Now, it seems, based on the abstract, that the author will draw different conclusions about the GHZ. But that is besides the point. The points are: (1) the GHZ is a topic of scientific interest and (2) Gonzalez is credited with introducing it.
From what I can see, you are correct - though I shall read the article in more detail as I said. And, for the record, I never claimed that the GHZ wasn't a topic of scientific interest. What I did was to challenge your assertion that Gonzales pioneered the concept - a point upon which it appears you have proven me wrong. Bravo. However, please note that this in no way, shape or form lends any validity to the concept of ID-creationism as science.
For crying out loud-- do some basic homework before you make assertions about a topic. At least understand what the GHZ argument is about and stop confusing it with a different concept. The GHZ and the one you are confusing it with, the circumstellar habitability zone, are on vastly different length scales, involve different concepts affecting habitability, and are independently right or wrong.
I understand the difference, which is beside the point (as I mentioned earlier). Did I mention that I teach astronomy? ;-)

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

Question for heddle:

You have yet to tell me how you would propose to distinguish a "fake" deity (as you claim the FSM to be) from a "real" one (such as Google ;-)

As I mentioned before, I really like the concept of supernatural selection - tasty!

Btw, I'm currently reading that article on GHZ - pretty fascinating stuff - plenty of mention so far of galactic evolution, and no mention yet of galactic intelligent design. I'll get back to the PT blog on it when I'm finished.

Stanton · 15 January 2008

Now that it's been proven that Gonzalez did promote the galactic habitability zone hypothesis, we should move on to figuring out the question of "if the idea of galactic habitability zones weren’t a result of applying Intelligent Design “theory,” then how could it have been motivated by Intelligent Design “theory”?"

After all, if a scientist is motivated by a theory or hypothesis, wouldn't that mean that the scientist would attempt to apply that theory or hypothesis to his/her/its work?

heddle · 15 January 2008

Matthew Lowry If you review what I wrote. it was along the lines of: It is possible (you'd have to ask him) that Gonzalez used ID as a motivation for his work on GHZ. You wrote:
It should be said that such “trivial contributions” as you mention can also be obtained if I invoke the Flying Spaghetti Monster as a “motivation” for studying galactic habital zones.
and you wrote:
And how do you know the Almighty FSM isn’t an “actual deity”, anyway? What is the criteria for determining an “actual” deity from a “fake” deity? Is Thor, Odin, or Loki real? Osiris, Ra, or Isis? Yahweh? How about the Buddha? Jesus Christ? Fukurokuju or any of the other Shinto gods of luck? Allah? Michael Jordan? Google?
As I said, you are pushing the analogy too far--if you are being serious. While it is entirely conceivable that Gonzalez or Collins use their theism as motivation for science, it is not actually possible at this time that someone uses the FSM, at least in the same sense, because the whole point of the FSM is that it is as contrived and unfalsifiable mocking of people who believe in one of the great monotheism deities. But of course, people like Gonzalez and Collins really do believe, and so can be motivated, while the FSM acolytes acknowledge that they are simply making fun, not taking FSM seriously. The point is not that you cannot "prove" God any more than you can prove the FSM, I acknowledge that, but that people actually believe and worship God, while they don't really believe or really worship the FSM, except in jest. I can't explain it further, nor shall I try to. As for the paper, I'm sure you'll find nothing about ID in it. Nor did I claim you would, nor does a lack of such findings invalidate the modest claims I made, which were, again 1) GHZ is a legitimate scientific topic and (2) Gonzalez gets credited for it and (3) Gonzalez might claim ID as a motivation.
Did I mention that I teach astronomy?
No. Did I mention I was a physics professor? Here is what I think. A sensible person would say: Gonzalez has done some solid science. It may not be enough for tenure at ISU, but he has undeniably made some contributions. And in fact, from publications and citations I'd say Gonzalez has a better academic record than almost all his critics on PT. Now again, I understand that a sensible person might also say that his record is not good enough for tenure. But what I tend to see on PT is this: 1) ID is not science and very, very bad. (Not saying I disagree.) 2) Gonzalez is associated with ID (undeniable) 3) Therefore everything Gonzalez has done is "nonsense" or "obvious" or "has been done before." In any case, it seems, Gonzalez must not receive any credit whatsoever. But the only reason for 3) is that you (PTers) do not want to allow for the possibility that an IDer has done good science. That's just dumb, when it is quite clear that Gonzalez has done some good work. An honest anti-IDer would say that Gonzalez has done good work in spite of being an IDer. A dishonest anti-IDer will simply deny what is demonstrably true, and claim that Gonzalez's work is all nonsense. Stanton,
we should move on to figuring out the question of “if the idea of galactic habitability zones weren’t a result of applying Intelligent Design “theory,” then how could it have been motivated by Intelligent Design “theory”?”
I don't really understand your question, because what motivates scientific research is in the eye of the individual researcher, and surely does not itself have to be science. Real science could easily be motivated by ID, or any other philosophy, even if those things are not science. In fact, of all people Jonathan Wells had the right idea, at least at one time in his life, although he never carried through with it. One could be motivated by a belief in ID (or YEC, for that matter) to study biology, then do legitimate scientific research hoping to find problems with the prevailing theory. If the IDers did that, I'd have no problem with them. Instead they take a shortcut and claim ID itself as science, and don't do any research (Gonzalez was an exception--he at least did some research) and there we part ways. I'll give another example. Weinberg used anthropic arguments to "predict" a tiny but non-zero value for the cosmological constant. Weinberg is an atheist. But you could easily imagine that an IDer could have beaten him to the punch--he could have used ID arguments to "predict" a small cosmological constant. Now neither anthropic arguments nor ID are science, but either can be used as motivation.

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

heddle:

And how do you know the Almighty FSM isn’t an “actual deity”, anyway? What is the criteria for determining an “actual” deity from a “fake” deity? Is Thor, Odin, or Loki real? Osiris, Ra, or Isis? Yahweh? How about the Buddha? Jesus Christ? Fukurokuju or any of the other Shinto gods of luck? Allah? Michael Jordan? Google?

As I said, you are pushing the analogy too far--if you are being serious.
Obviously not. Just wanted to make a point, which you seem to have picked up on :-)
While it is entirely conceivable that Gonzalez or Collins use their theism as motivation for science
This is doubtless true.
it is not actually possible at this time that someone uses the FSM, at least in the same sense, because the whole point of the FSM is that it is as contrived and unfalsifiable mocking of people who believe in one of the great monotheism deities. But of course, people like Gonzalez and Collins really do believe, and so can be motivated, while the FSM acolytes acknowledge that they are simply making fun, not taking FSM seriously. The point is not that you cannot "prove" God any more than you can prove the FSM, I acknowledge that, but that people actually believe and worship God, while they don't really believe or really worship the FSM, except in jest.
Believe it or not, I know people who go to church regularly who are also atheists. I even know a guy who describes himself as a "Christian atheist" - I'm still trying to wrap my head around that one. So the concepts of "belief" and "worship" in this context are becoming increasingly more vague to me the more I think about it. Urgh.
As for the paper, I'm sure you'll find nothing about ID in it. Nor did I claim you would, nor does a lack of such findings invalidate the modest claims I made, which were, again 1) GHZ is a legitimate scientific topic and (2) Gonzalez gets credited for it and (3) Gonzalez might claim ID as a motivation.
You're right so far. It is indeed a very interesting paper. However, I do want to look up the original 2001 reference that Gonzales wrote. I'd like to go straight to the horse's mouth. Incidentally, I now agree with 1 and 2, and of course 3 is still an unknown.
No. Did I mention I was a physics professor?
Cool! A kindred spirit - as I'm new here, I don't know how many physics/astronomy types hang out on the PT blog, so I'm glad to know there are at least two of us. That way we can at least check each other's work to make sure we're not screwing anything up.
Here is what I think. A sensible person would say: Gonzalez has done some solid science. It may not be enough for tenure at ISU, but he has undeniably made some contributions. And in fact, from publications and citations I'd say Gonzalez has a better academic record than almost all his critics on PT.
He's certainly got a better record on astrophysical research than me, no doubt about it; I don't know about others. And, from what I've seen so far, yes he has done some solid science. But it should be pointed out that Behe has also done some solid science - I would certainly not try wrangling with him on biochemistry, for instance. The problem, I think we'll agree, is when folks like Behe and Gonzales attempt to take the validity they've garnered in the scientific community and then try to extrapolate to something clearly non-scientific like ID-creationism.
Now again, I understand that a sensible person might also say that his record is not good enough for tenure. But what I tend to see on PT is this:
There's a whole other post on PT about this topic. From what little I saw there, there are other big issues with Gonzales. It seems that his research has taken a nose-dive since he started to actively advocate for ID-creationism. That could be somewhat of a problem if you're trying to get tenure at a university, couldn't it?
1) ID is not science and very, very bad. (Not saying I disagree.)
I agree completely - ID-creationism is so not science that it's not even wrong.
2) Gonzalez is associated with ID (undeniable)
Yup - agreed.
3) Therefore everything Gonzalez has done is "nonsense" or "obvious" or "has been done before." In any case, it seems, Gonzalez must not receive any credit whatsoever. But the only reason for 3) is that you (PTers) do not want to allow for the possibility that an IDer has done good science.
Also agreed. Please note what I mentioned about Behe above. I am not criticizing the science that Behe and Gonzalez have done, just that they propose that ID-creationism is science at all. And the fact that they continue to make those claims makes them look very, very bad.
I'll give another example. Weinberg used anthropic arguments to "predict" a tiny but non-zero value for the cosmological constant. Weinberg is an atheist. But you could easily imagine that an IDer could have beaten him to the punch--he could have used ID arguments to "predict" a small cosmological constant. Now neither anthropic arguments nor ID are science, but either can be used as motivation.
True enough. A non-theistic anthropic argument forms the basis of Leonard Susskind's recent book, "The Cosmic Landscape". In fact, Susskind uses the anthropic principle to argue against the concept of ID. That was a new one to me.

Brian McEnnis · 15 January 2008

heddle: ... the whole point of the FSM is that it is as (sic) contrived and unfalsifiable mocking of people who believe in one of the great monotheism deities.
No. The point of the FSM is to educate, not to mock. The target of FSM is not believers, but believers who insist on having their personal deity introduced into science classes. I'm sure most readers here are familiar with the story, but it bears repeating. FSM was introduced by Bobby Henderson in an open letter to the Kansas Board of Education. From that letter:
Let us remember that there are multiple theories of Intelligent Design. I and many others around the world are of the strong belief that the universe was created by a Flying Spaghetti Monster. It was He who created all that we see and all that we feel. We feel strongly that the overwhelming scientific evidence pointing towards evolutionary processes is nothing but a coincidence, put in place by Him. It is for this reason that I’m writing you today, to formally request that this alternative theory be taught in your schools, along with the other two theories. In fact, I will go so far as to say, if you do not agree to do this, we will be forced to proceed with legal action. I’m sure you see where we are coming from. If the Intelligent Design theory is not based on faith, but instead another scientific theory, as is claimed, then you must also allow our theory to be taught, as it is also based on science, not on faith.
At the end of the letter:
I think we can all look forward to the time when these three theories are given equal time in our science classrooms across the country, and eventually the world; One third time for Intelligent Design, one third time for Flying Spaghetti Monsterism, and one third time for logical conjecture based on overwhelming observable evidence.
Although some may use FSM to mock religion in general, that is not why it was introduced by Henderson.

heddle · 15 January 2008

Matthew Lowry
Cool! A kindred spirit - as I’m new here, I don’t know how many physics/astronomy types hang out on the PT blog, so I’m glad to know there are at least two of us.
Thanks, but truth in advertising demands that I warn you that you may want to curb your enthusiasm in the "kindred spirit" department--I am more or less viewed as a minion of the antichrist by most of the PT regulars. I am also a pariah in the ID community--so I am a man without a country, in a manner of speaking. As for Christian atheists, I have no idea what that entails--anymore than I could understand what an atheist IDer is. It's a big world, I guess, is the only explanation. Brian McEnnis,
No. The point of the FSM is to educate, not to mock. The target of FSM is not believers, but believers who insist on having their personal deity introduced into science classes.
Some people didn't get that memo, since I've been FSM proselytized a gazillion times, and I have never advocated ID in science classes.

David B. Benson · 15 January 2008

The notion of a GHZ is well-motivated by astronomy and astrophysics, a combination of observations and soundly established theory. If Gonzalez was the first to clearly state this concept, he certainly deserves credit for that, irrespective of other matters.

By way of comparison, consider some of Newton's beliefs.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 January 2008

about something completely different, not even on the same length scale: Galactic Habitability zones
So you are claiming that Galactic Habitability zones aren't part of the Privileged Planet book and/or concept? The paper where Gonzalez et al claim that they "propose the concept of a "Galactic Habitable Zone" (GHZ)" is dated 2001-03-01. I found a review of The Privileged Planet that places the book as published in 2004. In fact, Gonzalez' himself places GHZ as a part of the Privileged Planet hypothesis:
The GHZ concept is relevant to both astrobiology and ID. The GHZ is another factor that must be included in any calculation of the probability of ETI in the Milky Way Galaxy. As we show in The Privileged Planet the GHZ is not only the most habitable location in the Milky Way, it is also the best location for doing astronomy research. This is part of a broader pattern of evidence for design we discuss in The Privileged Planet. [My emphasis.]
So Gonzalez himself doesn't think they are completely different. I haven't read the book so I couldn't say. But that isn't essential - the same type of probability discussions are involved in GHZ (likely as likelihoods) and the Rare Earth hypotesis (probably as probabilities) that Gonzalez use as support, which was what I was reacting to.

Stanton · 15 January 2008

heddle: Brian McEnnis,
No. The point of the FSM is to educate, not to mock. The target of FSM is not believers, but believers who insist on having their personal deity introduced into science classes.
Some people didn't get that memo, since I've been FSM proselytized a gazillion times, and I have never advocated ID in science classes.
The problem is that, while you, yourself, don't advocate ID or Creationism in science classes, almost all other proponents of ID and Creationism, such as the active members of the Discovery Institute, Creation Research Institute, and Answers in Genesis, do advocate the insertion of ID and or Creationism into science curricula, often using underhanded methods (through manipulation of their target audiences, and favors from political cronies) to do so.

H. Humbert · 15 January 2008

How do galactic habitable zones follow from an ID hypothesis? Since ID states that we can infer nothing about the intentions of the designer, from what are GHZs inferred?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 January 2008

because the whole point of the FSM is that it is as contrived and unfalsifiable mocking of people who believe in one of the great monotheism deities.
That happens to be a fair description of the IDC concept of "design" - contrived, unfalsifiable, and mocking ordinary theology as a basis for religion by claiming testability. So that isn't a decisive distinction between IDC theism and the FSM theism.
people actually believe and worship God, while they don’t really believe or really worship the FSM, except in jest.
But people don’t really believe or really worship Baal any longer, except in jest. If you are referring to what people once did, it comes closer. So what you are saying is that religion is entirely distinctive as a cultural habit. There is nothing in the theology that makes any difference. So why argue about design?

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

Brian McEnnis:
heddle: ... the whole point of the FSM is that it is as (sic) contrived and unfalsifiable mocking of people who believe in one of the great monotheism deities.
No. The point of the FSM is to educate, not to mock. The target of FSM is not believers, but believers who insist on having their personal deity introduced into science classes.
The thing I think is the real genius behind Bobby Henderson's FSM idea is using the ID-creationists own language against them. If they want to "teach all views", then let's do it: time to "teach all views" of ID as well! And heddle, Brian does make a good point here. It is worth noting that the whole FSM business has "graduated", so to speak, from being a popular Internet geek phenomenon to something that can actually have a positive impact on this whole discussion. Consider, for instance, how the FSM-Pastafarians were able to embarass the school board in Polk County, Florida into backing off the teaching of ID-creationism as science. In Polk County, people tried to reason with the board, they brought up the obvious legal issues (think Dover), but in the end it took just good old-fashioned embarassment to get the creationists to back down. In an ideal world, reason should be enough, but then we all know how unreasonable some folks can be. So, in this sense, beyond simple satire, the FSM concept has a very useful purpose. Not to mention, it's just damn funny, imo! ;-)

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

H. Humbert: How do galactic habitable zones follow from an ID hypothesis? Since ID states that we can infer nothing about the intentions of the designer, from what are GHZs inferred?
From what I've been reading in the relevant references, there is no reason to state a scientific connection between ID and GHZs. It would be like trying to mix apples and oranges - ID is (at best) a philosophical concept, whereas GHZs are a scientific concept subject to methodological naturalism. GHZs are, as a concept, in their scientific infancy, but if you read the papers you can clearly see there is some scientific relevance there. If you want to admit that you're talking philosophy, fine by me - but don't call it science. It is this intentional mixing of the two by the ID-creationists that really bothers me on an intellectual level (then, of course, there's the cynicism and lying). And, of course, that is the critical line that Gonzalez and Behe, etc are crossing when pushing ID. Essentially, in reference to the GHZ or any "habitable zone" concept, ID-creationists are simply making a kind of fine-tuning or anthropic argument when dealing with these astronomical concepts. It is Paley's watchmaker argument writ large for the universe - same faulty reasoning, no test, no hypothesis, etc. I fear that we may see a more concerted push by the ID-creationists against astronomy & cosmology along these lines. I certainly hope the astronomical community is watching out for it.

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

H. Humbert: How do galactic habitable zones follow from an ID hypothesis? Since ID states that we can infer nothing about the intentions of the designer, from what are GHZs inferred?
Oops, I forgot one thing. GHZs and related concepts also assume that the only form of possible life is like us - a very shaky assumption, in my opinion, given that we have only one data point (Earth). Wouldn't it be a kick to find out that the universe and related habitable zones were "designed" not for humans, but for some kind of silicon-based slime mold beasties that do nothing more interesting than your standard bacteria on Earth? Every ID-argument on this front I've ever seen makes a very arrogant anthropomorphic assumption, it seems. It seems to me that such an ideas never occurs to the ID-creationists? I wonder why not? [sarc]

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 January 2008

Weinberg used anthropic arguments to “predict” a tiny but non-zero value for the cosmological constant. Weinberg is an atheist.
That only illuminates why this side show of ID as an inspirational source is of no consequence. Weinberg didn't use absence of gods as an inspiration for using an anthropic principle to predict a value. [Why the scare crow? It was a bona fide falsifiable prediction, it just isn't a theory by itself as the specific procedure (or the general principle) can't be used to derive all other related predictions as it must. Yet.] He used the presence of natural hypotheses and observations. Which goes back to the original question. Can IDC derive testable predictions from its principles, whatever they are?
In fact, Susskind uses the anthropic principle to argue against the concept of ID. That was a new one to me.
I'm not sure if it goes back to Susskind or not, but Ikeda, Jefferys and philosopher Sober has been doing this too. More precisely, it is the weak AP that is used among the other AP's. The I&J paper neatly shows why the religious anthropic argument is naively wrong and why the weak AP support a naturalistic universe and so undermines creationist ideas. I'm currently reading Dawkins' The God Delusion, and he seems to use the same AP (incidentally raising the likelihood for naturalistic coincidences above the likelihood of a designer agent) where it is an appropriate model. I.e. evolution explains observed behavior without likelihoods involved, abiogenesis don't.

H. Humbert · 15 January 2008

So Heddle was wrong to cite GHZs as one example of a useful scientific contribution stemming from ID theory. Even Heddle's weaker claim--that Gonzalez (not Heddle himself) might credit ID as being useful in formulating GHZs--is irrelevant, since it clearly can't. Heddle is indeed attempting to dodge the question of ID's scientific relevance and instead equate ID as a "guiding philosophy" or framework, but even that fails under scrutiny, since ID does not allow one to make assumptions about the designer(s)'s intentions.

No, once again we're talking religion here. Gonzalez's Christianity leads him to assume a human-centric universe, nothing else. It is certainly not a prediction which follows from ID, which remains scientifically sterile.

heddle · 15 January 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM ,
So you are claiming that Galactic Habitability zones aren’t part of the Privileged Planet book and/or concept?
What I am saying is the comments you made earlier on plate tectonics are irrelevant for a discussion on GHZs, as far as I can tell (I might be wrong about that.) The PP is a big book, and not all the topics therein perfectly fit the name Privileged Planet. This is clear: even if the earth were sterile, our solar system would still be in the GHZ as he describes it. Or, put another way, Mercury, which I'm confident Gonzalez would say is not a privileged planet, is nevertheless in the Milky Way's GHZ.
But that isn’t essential - the same type of probability discussions are involved in GHZ
Are you sure about that? As far as I know the GHZ argument has nothing to do with probabilities. It has to do with things like sufficient metals to produce rocky planets, low stellar density for low ambient radiation and so that life is not repeatedly extinguished by a nearby super novae, stable galactic orbits for the star, etc. Matthew Lowry, Yes, I would agree that the FSM is an effective way to make a point. What I would disagree with is that any "just like" argument using the FSM is valid. So I would agree that saying "god did it" is no more scientific than (or just like) saying "the FSM did it." However, as I discussed earlier, I would not agree that saying someone's science is motivated by theism is just like saying someone's science is motivated by the FSM. I don't think the GHZ argument assumes "life like us." I think it makes broad assumptions like "no complex life can withstand the kind of intense radiation that a nearby supernova would produce," etc.

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM:
According to Gonzalez: The GHZ concept is relevant to both astrobiology and ID. The GHZ is another factor that must be included in any calculation of the probability of ETI in the Milky Way Galaxy. As we show in The Privileged Planet the GHZ is not only the most habitable location in the Milky Way, it is also the best location for doing astronomy research. This is part of a broader pattern of evidence for design we discuss in The Privileged Planet. [My emphasis.]
Oh good grief! He is so talking out of his butt here! From what I've read in these papers about the GHZ, the idea that our planet is in the "most habitable" zone in the galaxy is a completely unanswered question. What I've read so far shows absolutely no agreement whatsoever on this or related questions. Gonzalez seems to be merely asserting it as true, and for him to do so is not only inaccurate but intellectual dishonest too. Seems like standard-operating procedure to me from an IDC proponent. I'm almost starting to think that perhaps he proposed the whole GHZ concept in the first place solely for the purpose of pushing IDC. If true, this certianly speaks to his motivation, doesn't it?
So Gonzalez himself doesn't think they are completely different. I haven't read the book so I couldn't say.
I think the physics & astronomy community may now have its equivalent of Behe in Gonzalez.
But that isn't essential - the same type of probability discussions are involved in GHZ (likely as likelihoods) and the Rare Earth hypotesis (probably as probabilities) that Gonzalez use as support, which was what I was reacting to.
Exactly. All of these arguments put forth by the ID-crowd are simply variations on an old theme: the watchmaker argument.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 January 2008

It was a bona fide falsifiable prediction,
In fact, IIRC and AFAIU, it has since been shown to be false, hasn't it? I.e. the predicted likely value would now be too far off (less than 5 % likelihood of the observed value) based on current observations. Some other weak AP models have of course taken up the slack, I especially think of the causal entropy principle of Boussou et al that gets it almost exactly at maximum likelihood while at the same time it takes the exact composition of life out of the equation. (Well, not completely, it still assumes it consists of ordinary matter.)

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

heddle: Matthew Lowry, I don't think the GHZ argument assumes "life like us." I think it makes broad assumptions like "no complex life can withstand the kind of intense radiation that a nearby supernova would produce," etc.
How could the GHZ argument not assume that it's discussing life "like us"? What other life is there? We have no other data point beyond our own planet at this stage! That is one of the points the authors of that paper that you referenced which I'm now reading make; hell, they even say at one point that we're assuming life "like us" (in the carbon-based, DNA sense). Or can you give me any example of life that is not carbon-based utilizing DNA as its genetic carrier? That is, any life "not like" terrestrial life? If so, that would certainly open up the hypothetical GHZ frontier, but it is beside the point because our current knowledge is limited to what we do know about life. Thus, our concept of the GHZ must also be limited by those same constraints. According to what you just said, if the GHZ doesn't assume terrestrial life, then we could conceivable make up anything we wanted to about GHZs.

heddle · 15 January 2008

H. Humbert,
Heddle is indeed attempting to dodge the question of ID’s scientific relevance and instead equate ID as a “guiding philosophy” or framework, but even that fails under scrutiny,
Except that it doesn't fail under scrutiny. If Gonzalez came here and stated that his GHZ work was motivated by ID, then at least I would give him the benefit of the doubt that his GHZ work was, in fact motivated by ID. Let's elaborate. Hypothetically speaking, if Gonzalez came here and said: "My ID caused me to believe that a benevolent omnipotent designer would design a benign environment in the midst of a hostile universe, so I began thinking that there must be special "oases" in a largely life-unfriendly universe, so I came to the idea than maybe we can show scientifically that only a certain zone in the galaxy is life-friendly," that would be a crystal-clear statement that his research in GHZ was motivated by ID. Would you simply tell him he is wrong, and in spite of what he thinks, his research was not motivated by ID? That makes no sense whatsoever to me. Matthew Lowry, I might be wrong, but I don't think that assumption like "there is a threshold of radiation--far exceeding anything naturally occurring on earth, beyond which we can reasonably assume that no complex life exists" or "complex life requires heavy elements" or "complex life requires large molecules for storing information (but not necessarily DNA)" or even "complex life will require liquid water" are the same thing as assuming that all life is "like us." It is really an assumption that life is chemistry based and requires the storage of information, and that chemistry is the same everywhere in the universe. Now, some might argue such assumptions, but they are not unreasonable.

heddle · 15 January 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM
Weinberg didn’t use absence of gods as an inspiration for using an anthropic principle to predict a value. [Why the scare crow? It was a bona fide falsifiable prediction, it just isn’t a theory by itself as the specific procedure (or the general principle) can’t be used to derive all other related predictions as it must. Yet.] He used the presence of natural hypotheses and observations.
That's too deep; I have no idea what that means. Like any anthropic argument, Weinberg said something along the lines of "we are here, therefore the cc cannot be anywhere near the value theory predicts, because such a universe is uninhabitable. It has to be way, way, way, smaller, embarrassingly small in fact, given that it requires unimaginably precise cancellations." That is not much different from saying "God wanted us to be here, so he arranged the cc to be small." I think most of my fellow physicists would agree with me. Most see anthropic arguments, even from Nobel Laureate atheists, as quite unseemly. In fact, I seem to recall that Weinberg doesn't even like his own argument.

H. Humbert · 15 January 2008

Hypothetically speaking, if Gonzalez came here and said: “My ID caused me to believe that a benevolent omnipotent designer would design a benign environment in the midst of a hostile universe...
But Heddle, ID does not allow anyone to assume benevolence or omnipotence concerning the designer, or in fact any traits, since ID remains neutral and silent concerning the designer(s)'s identity. We can't rule out insane designers. Or trickster designers. Only Christianity would allow Gonzalez to make those assumptions assumption, and in fact Christians routinely do. You're sure you're not confusing ID with Christian-based theism, right?
...so I began thinking that there must be special “oases” in a largely life-unfriendly universe, so I came to the idea than maybe we can show scientifically that only a certain zone in the galaxy is life-friendly,” that would be a crystal-clear statement that his research in GHZ was motivated by ID. Would you simply tell him he is wrong, and in spite of what he thinks, his research was not motivated by ID? That makes no sense whatsoever to me.
People are wrong about their own motivations all the time. Some blockheads still think that their morality stems from the bible or the 10 commandments, when it usually can be demonstrated that it does not. If Gonzalez can be demonstrated to be as confused as you are about what follows from ID, then questioning his assumptions would be precisely the proper course of action.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 January 2008

What I am saying is the comments you made earlier on plate tectonics are irrelevant for a discussion on GHZs, as far as I can tell
Matthew answered that one - it is about the watchmaker argument (probabilities for life). And the Rare Earth hypothesis is used by Gonzalez in The Privileged Planet, as I discussed earlier. Maybe you are taking this too literarily. But unintentional comedy is never literal.
It has to do with things like sufficient metals to produce rocky planets, low stellar density for low ambient radiation and so that life is not repeatedly extinguished by a nearby super novae, stable galactic orbits for the star, etc.
Probabilities and likelihoods will creep in where there is insufficient knowledge, if nothing else. I would have to read the paper, but I assume metallicity of stars would be a likelihood over some region (since galactic core, globular clusters, et cetera likely differ), similarly with stable orbits and the occurences of super novae. But that is neither here nor there. I have tied GHZ to The Privileged Planet and the comedy in question. And thanks for making that connection move from unintentional comedy to intentional, on Gonzalez own statements. The more the merrier.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 January 2008

Okay, I will try to find time to answer the comment about Weinberg later.

David B. Benson · 15 January 2008

Ward/Brownlee, Rare Earth, 2003.
Gonzalez/Richards, Privileged Planet, 2004.

Both contain the GHZ hypothesis, for which Ward & Brownlee credit Gonzalez (along with other ideas).

Rare Earth is speculative astrobiology and well worth your while. Privileged Planet is not even good science, in some spots.

While fun to speculate about life-other-than-we-know-it, the necessities of physics and chemistry (such as some free energy, but not too much) severely constrain the possibilities. Indeed, even silicon-based seems a bit far-fetched, IMHO.

In any case, the Rare Earth arguments point out that long ago and far in the future, life is impossible. That leaves around now, plus or minus several billions of years. The next limit is the GHZ hypothesis. Ward/Brownlee/Gonzalez apparently did not know of results showing that star orbits in barred spiral galaxies always track through the center, thus eliminating the possibility of life in such galaxies (too much free energy in the form of hard radiation in the center).

So Ward/Brownlee work their way down to piddly little class G0 star as being sufficiently stable, etc. It seems quite reasonable to me, nothing ID about it.

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

heddle: Matthew Lowry, I might be wrong, but I don't think that assumption like "there is a threshold of radiation--far exceeding anything naturally occurring on earth, beyond which we can reasonably assume that no complex life exists" or "complex life requires heavy elements" or "complex life requires large molecules for storing information (but not necessarily DNA)" or even "complex life will require liquid water" are the same thing as assuming that all life is "like us."
You are mixing apples and oranges. First, you have to define what exactly you mean by "complex life", especially if you are opening the door to hypothetical non-DNA based life for which we have no evidence. To say that non-DNA based life is somehow "like us" makes no sense to me, and my guess is that it doesn't make sense to any of the biologists on this blog either. By doing this, you are making an overly vague definition of "life" and at the same time speculating about hypothetical life that would somehow, though you don't say how, be relevant to the entire GHZ discussion. Without sticking to what we do know about life (the one data point of Earth) and the constraints imposed therein, it seems to me that your proposed discussion of the GHZ is basically open-ended and arbitrary (i.e., scientifically useless). You are merely speculating wildly, and you won't admit it. No offense heddle, but I will develop my thoughts on the GHZ by reading the actual scientific articles & research that have been published on the subject. I'm happy that you lead me to the first article, but I don't see how you're offering anything useful to the discussion now.
It is really an assumption that life is chemistry based and requires the storage of information, and that chemistry is the same everywhere in the universe. Now, some might argue such assumptions, but they are not unreasonable.
Okay, so you need chemistry for life - there is nothing surprising there, and I am wondering why you even make such an obvious statement. That's like saying to have sunlight you need a star. Who could argue with such a vague and obvious statement? So how exactly does this statement support your assertion that hypothetical life that is non-DNA based should be taken into account in analysis of GHZ phenomena? How would such life react to supernova radiation, cosmic rays, and the like? Do you have any idea? No, you don't, and you have no way of knowing - yet you make the assertion anyway. Why? I say that your assertion is completely irrelevant to any discussion of any kind of habitable zone, since we have only one data point for life: Earth. Thus, we must work within these constraints when discussing GHZ. Otherwise, there is no limitation to the discussion, and thus no progress can be made on the issue. If I'm wrong, point out any form of non-terrestrial, non-DNA based life to me. Don't make vague assertions, give me a concrete example. Then I might start listening to these recent arguments that you've made.

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM: More precisely, it is the weak AP that is used among the other AP's. The I&J paper neatly shows why the religious anthropic argument is naively wrong and why the weak AP support a naturalistic universe and so undermines creationist ideas.
Do you have a link or reference for that paper? I'd be interested in reading it.

Flint · 15 January 2008

How would such life react to supernova radiation, cosmic rays, and the like? Do you have any idea? No, you don’t, and you have no way of knowing - yet you make the assertion anyway. Why? I say that your assertion is completely irrelevant to any discussion of any kind of habitable zone, since we have only one data point for life: Earth. Thus, we must work within these constraints when discussing GHZ

In the total absence of any evidence, I'm willing to speculate that if there's "life" (we might have to take a vote as to whether or not it is!) in zones of high radiation, that such life would *require* that radiation to survive, just as life on earth at the bottom of the ocean requires all that pressure to survive. Evolution is a set of feedback processes, and these things (as Einstein said about reality) are stubbornly persistent. Get them started almost anywhere, and they develop the power to adapt and diversify. Just about anything can be co-opted as a resource. I'm willing to assume (prove me wrong!) that this sort of thing can perpetuate itself just about anywhere.

heddle · 15 January 2008

Matthew Lowry, I don't what else to say. The GHZ argument is based on very broad assumptions about what any kind of complex life would require or can endure. Those include modest levels of radiation, metals (heavy elements), stellar stability, etc. I don't think these assumptions are particularly controversial. Maybe they are wrong--maybe complex life exists, say, inside the sun, on in other places of unimaginable radiation, or places without nature's great solvent--but it is not outrageous, I would argue, to postulate such requirements. And I believe many biologists and biochemists of all stripes would agree, even if you can find some who say "we have no idea whatsoever what other life might be like." You can say that, but the onus would be on you to at least postulate, using science and not science fiction, how life could exist without such ingredients or in such conditions. And if you agree that such requirements are reasonable, then the GHZ is nothing more than asking what part of the galaxy meets those requirements. You will note that scientific references to the GHZ, such as the paper you are reading, do not trivially dismiss the GHZ idea as anthrocentric silliness--the way privileged planet arguments are attacked. That is circumstantial evidence, at least, that you are trivializing the arguments against GHZ. As for the IJ paper, it is here: http://quasar.as.utexas.edu/anthropic.html To be sure I have never studied this paper carefully because of a theory I have which goes like this: with the right and typically subtle assumptions, anything can be demonstrated via Bayes's theorem. For the most part I find the IJ paper not so much as impenetrable but more like "not worth the effort." I'll say the same thing About the IJ paper I have said in the past: 1) It has not been published in any peer reviewed journal, as far as I know. Please correct me if I am wrong. 2) It's conclusion that more fine tuning means less chance of supernatural design means non-IDers should be trumpeting fine tuning rather than dismissing it. 3) I have never seen a scientist writing against cosmological ID refer to the IJ paper. Instead they refer to multiverse theories or to Lee Smolin. It is fair to ask why the IJ paper does not receive much attention. 4) The paper starts out this way (emphasis added)
It has been claimed, most prominently by Dr. Hugh Ross on his web site http://www.reasons.org/resources/papers/design.html that the so-called "fine-tuning" of the constants of physics supports a supernatural origin of the universe. Specifically, it is claimed that many of the constants of physics must be within a very small range of their actual values, or else life could not exist in our universe. Since it is alleged that this range is very small, and since our very existence shows that our universe has values of these constants that would allow life to exist, it is argued that the probability that our universe arose by chance is so small that we must seek a supernatural origin of the universe. In this article we will show that this argument is wrong. Not only is it wrong, but in fact we will show that the observation that the universe is "fine-tuned" in this sense can only count against a supernatural origin of the universe. And we shall furthermore show that with certain theologies suggested by deities that are both inscrutable and very powerful, the more "finely-tuned" the universe is, the more a supernatural origin of the universe is undermined.
With assumptions about such things as "inscrutability" I & J then perform a Baysian analysis to prove that under their assumptions more fine tuning means less of a case can be made for the supernatural. It may be unfair, but the blurb I quoted, along with the fact that nobody actually seems to take this paper seriously (except to quote it as a proof that the fine tuning arguments are nonsense--and again, as I said, I have not seen a scientist who discusses fine tuning, say Susskind or Smolin or Weinberg--who is from the same university--invoke the IJ argument) means this paper has never crossed my personal threshold of being worth devoting enough time to understand it in detail. Maybe I should, but I have to pick and choose what seems worthwhile, and the IJ paper does not. Flint
In the total absence of any evidence, I’m willing to speculate that if there’s “life” (we might have to take a vote as to whether or not it is!) in zones of high radiation, that such life would *require* that radiation to survive, just as life on earth at the bottom of the ocean requires all that pressure to survive.
But you have to realize that we are talking intense radiation, unlike anything on earth outside of accelerator labs--and radiation, crudely speaking, breaks down matter. Furthermore life, at biogenesis, is probably especially fragile and susceptible to radiation damage. If you simply say "evolution will find a way" you are giving too much power to evolution. Evolution may be a powerful force, but it needs, it is reasonable to assume, building blocks that are not being dismantled by intense radiation. Again, maybe that is wrong, but it is not a lunatic fringe assumption.

Stanton · 15 January 2008

heddle: But you have to realize that we are talking intense radiation, unlike anything on earth outside of accelerator labs--and radiation, crudely speaking, breaks down matter. Furthermore life, at biogenesis, is probably especially fragile and susceptible to radiation damage. If you simply say "evolution will find a way" you are giving too much power to evolution. Evolution may be a powerful force, but it needs, it is reasonable to assume, building blocks that are not being dismantled by intense radiation. Again, maybe that is wrong, but it is not a lunatic fringe assumption.
How about Chernobyl strength radiation? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radiotrophic_fungus

heddle · 15 January 2008

Stanton,

Look, I can't repeating the same argument over and over. If you think the Chernobyl fungus is any sort of serious argument against the GHZ, then you should write the scientists interested in the GHZ (such as the author of the paper linked to on the wikipedia habitability zone page) and tell them they are wasting their time, because Chernobyl clearly proves that the GHZ a silly concept.

But instead of that, I suggest you do some research on what people think the effect on life on earth would be if a nearby star went supernova (no I don't mean our own sun.) Many believe that life could be annihilated by the radiation generated by such an event. Now in some parts of the galaxy there would always be many supernovae exploding nearby. And that is just one aspect of the GHZ idea.

Ichthyic · 15 January 2008

Look, I can’t repeating the same argument over and over.

the hell you say.

Flint · 15 January 2008

heddle:

If you simply say “evolution will find a way” you are giving too much power to evolution. Evolution may be a powerful force, but it needs, it is reasonable to assume, building blocks that are not being dismantled by intense radiation.

I guess I wasn't very clear when I said that I expected the radiation would be a *requirement* for whatever "life" lived there. Imagine that the "life" takes the form of energy patterns, driven by that same (and very necessary) radiation, within some sort of matrix. Entirely feasible, I should think. Now, whether we'd be willing to consider that "life" (or even recognize it at all), as I said, might take a vote. We can't even decide if viruses are life, much less nonrandom energy fluxes.

Stanton · 15 January 2008

Heddle, you said that intense radiation was inimical to life as we know it.

Whereupon I brought up an example of life as we know it that has adapted to intense radiation as a counterpoint to your claim. Why is that illegal?

FURTHERMORE, you have not elucidated the connection between the galactic habitability zone hypothesis and Intelligent Design "theory" beyond that the hypothesis was put forth by a professed Intelligent Design proponent. Saying that this hypothesis is a (trivial) contribution to science made by Intelligent Design, without explicitly stating whether or not its proponent was motivated or even inspired by Intelligent Design "theory," or even how the galactic habitability zone hypothesis fits with Intelligent Design is akin to stating that Newtonian physics promotes alchemy because Isaac Newton was a closet alchemist.

The gist of Intelligent Design, as I originally learned from Darwin's Black Box, is that "if it looks complicated, it was made that way, ergo it was designed." You have not made it clear how galactic habitability zone hypothesis fits with Intelligent Design, unless you've been trying to say that the hypothesis boils down to "Earth has life on it because this planet is found in a zone of the galaxy that was specifically designed to hold life."

Am I right or am I wrong, and if so, why?

Matthew Lowry · 15 January 2008

heddle: But instead of that, I suggest you do some research on what people think the effect on life on earth would be if a nearby star went supernova (no I don't mean our own sun.)
Key point here heddle: "the effect on life on earth would be" This is just what I, and others, have been pointing out to you the entire time. They are writing their work, doing their research, and rightly so, based upon the kind of life that we do understand: terrestrial life based upon DNA. For you to arbitrarily try throwing in hypothetical non-DNA based life into this mix does nothing but muddle the issue.
Many believe that life could be annihilated by the radiation generated by such an event. Now in some parts of the galaxy there would always be many supernovae exploding nearby. And that is just one aspect of the GHZ idea.
Only if you limit the GHZ concept to what we do know about life - DNA based terrestrial life. If you go beyond these bounds when talking about GHZs, you are simply speculating and no useful work can be done on these topics under your vague & arbitrary assumptions. Btw, thanks for the link on the IJ paper. I'll take a look at it sometime...

Mike Elzinga · 15 January 2008

It seems like GHZ and teleology are simply confusing the discussion here.

Teleological arguments, and arguments based on what is required for human habitability (or life as we know it) are so old that they have been a continuous part of human and scientific history. Just attaching new names such as “anthropic principle” or “galactic habitability zone” doesn’t change the concepts, nor does it change the fact that these have been working ideas for centuries. It has been understood for at least a few hundred years that teleology and suitability for life do not imply a deity (or its more recent euphemism, “intelligent agent”) or a purpose behind the universe.

The attempted introduction of Intelligent Design has been responsible for the more recent abuses of these ideas. It has generated the notion that “philosophical perspective” is a unique argument that can be used to justify extending the definition of science to include sectarian dogma because belief in a sectarian god may lead to a “unique perspective” that discovers what everyone else overlooks. This is a pretentious argument that ignores what has been going on for hundreds of years without anyone needing to endorse any sectarian god.

“Different perspectives” are common in science. Even physics problems can be cast in teleological form (the curve that minimizes the potential energy of a flexible cable is the catenary curve; light travels the path through media that minimizes its time of travel, etc.). But this is simply a way of reformulating a problem that allows the use of other ideas or data in its solution (e.g., the use of energy concepts instead of force concepts). It doesn’t mean that a cable somehow has the purpose of minimizing its potential energy, or that a photon has the purpose of minimizing its time of travel.

Anthropic arguments of various forms have been used for hundreds of years (“the universe was made for man” type of arguments), even though they weren’t called “anthropic” arguments until about 30 or 40 years ago.

Those arguments have not been confined to the solar system. Predicting “resonances” near 7.7 MeV in the energy levels of the carbon nucleus in order to account for the abundance of carbon production in stars (so there would be enough carbon for life??) has been offered as an anthropic principle prediction (e.g., by Barrow and Tipler). The prediction, or the argument behind it, has nothing to do with life; it simply has to do with the observed abundance of carbon and the need to find a mechanism that does this in stars. It was a clue about what a more detailed look at the energy levels in the nucleus would probably find. Claiming that a belief in a sectarian deity led you to it or that it was needed for the existence of life is irrelevant.

And if one wants to look for life as we know it, one has a higher probability of finding it in regions that have the elements, gravity, and energy ranges that our region has. As our understanding of life has improved, and as technology has improved, the ability to sort out regions of the galaxy where this might happen has improved. What then is unique about the idea of “galactic habitability zones”? What does that moniker offer that wasn’t already in place and working?

If “teleological” and “anthropic” (or GHZ) are simply words to simplify longer phrases, there might not be a problem. But raising them to a pretentious level of philosophical sophistry just adds confusion.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 16 January 2008

Okay, seems I better have to clear out a mistake first.
Do you have a link or reference for that paper?
As heddle now reminds me, it isn't a published paper. (Sober's are a published article, and it covers much the same ground.) A web site providing it was a reference in my link, and now heddle provided it directly. And as long as I'm on it:
I have never studied this paper carefully
Good of you to confess that, not that it isn't readily apparent - you seem to rely on the very basic mistake of probability that they point out. I.e. the texas sharpshooter fallacy of claiming life must be rare because of the low probability that any one planet has it (a priori probability) instead of the real probability that the likelihood for life in the universe is large as there are observably many planets (a posteriori likelihood). It seems to me it should be essential to get such a basic method of observations correct in any beat of physics. And while we are at it, the last likelihood above isn't only consistent with current observations (we have one example of a life bearing planet) but is also implied by the short time between the Late Heavy Bombardment and the first observations of life.
It has not been published in any peer reviewed journal,
I refer to the Sober article.
non-IDers should be trumpeting fine tuning rather than dismissing it.
Um, I think you meant to say non-creationists. There are many reasons to dismiss fine tuning, as this thread shows.
Instead they refer to multiverse theories or to Lee Smolin.
The I & J (and Sobers) paper builds on multiverses. Likewise Lee Smolins idea of cosmological selection is a multiverse theory. I don't see many refering to it today, as the current models for black holes presumably exclude it. But I defer to the experts here.
With assumptions about such things as “inscrutability” I & J then perform a Baysian analysis
A Bayesian analysis, yes. They have to, in order to correct the religious anthropic argument and follow it where it leads. A correct understanding of the creationist argument is based on Bayesian reasoning - or conversely, the creationist argument should be based on it to be correct. But the important part of the paper for creationists would be to find out the difference between probabilities and likelihoods on observations, and that part is only using standard conditional probabilities.

heddle · 16 January 2008

Stanton,
FURTHERMORE, you have not elucidated the connection between the galactic habitability zone hypothesis and Intelligent Design “theory” beyond that the hypothesis was put forth by a professed Intelligent Design proponent.
But why should I? "Motivation" was the only thing I postulated back in my first post. Not that ID leads, in a scientific way to GHZ, but that you might be able to argue that GHZ was motivated by ID. There is absolutely no reason why I should be asked to support a connection I didn't make or postulate.
Whereupon I brought up an example of life as we know it that has adapted to intense radiation as a counterpoint to your claim. Why is that illegal?
Because I think you should consider more before you write. You should ask: does radiation from Chernobyl compare with a supernova a few parsecs away? What do people think would happen on earth if one of our, say, 50 nearest neighbors went supernova? Now what if we were in a region of the galaxy where such an event happened every hundred years? Or every year? Do long term levels in the Chernobyl region compare with a nearby supernova? And what is the difference between life adapting to "high" radiation left over after the localized accident and the whole earth bathed by the intense gamma and x-ray radiation of a supernova? And after considering that, if you still believe that the Chernobyl accident is relevant, bring it up. But it seems to me that you simply remembered the well-known fact that some life on earth has adapted to dangerous radiation levels and that was enough of a counter argument. Flint,
I guess I wasn’t very clear when I said that I expected the radiation would be a *requirement* for whatever “life” lived there. Imagine that the “life” takes the form of energy patterns, driven by that same (and very necessary) radiation, within some sort of matrix.
This is similar to Matthew Lowry's argument, and to that I have finally to say uncle. Yes, the GHZ argument is based on assumptions that any complex life would be based on normal chemistry and big molecules, though not necessarily carbon based--although chemically speaking carbon offers richer chemistry than silicon. But at any rate, if that is too anthrocentric then yes, the GHZ is meaningless. If life might arise in intense E&M fields, or in the dilute hydrogen gas of intergalactic space, then then it makes no sense to talk about a GHZ. Mike Elzinga,
Predicting “resonances” near 7.7 MeV in the energy levels of the carbon nucleus in order to account for the abundance of carbon production in stars (so there would be enough carbon for life??) has been offered as an anthropic principle prediction (e.g., by Barrow and Tipler). The prediction, or the argument behind it, has nothing to do with life; it simply has to do with the observed abundance of carbon and the need to find a mechanism that does this in stars. It was a clue about what a more detailed look at the energy levels in the nucleus would probably find. Claiming that a belief in a sectarian deity led you to it or that it was needed for the existence of life is irrelevant.
I suggest you look at that more carefully. That prediction has quite a bit to do with life. It was Hoyle (an atheist) who made the anthropic prediction about the Carbon energy level, and it most certainly was related to life. It was the archetype and classic anthropic argument that said, in effect, we are here, made of this stuff (heavy elements), that can't be made anywhere else except inside stars, therefore this level of carbon must be there to provide the correct rates for the needed nuclear reactions. It was more than a clue, it was a prediction--and it was motivated by something not generally regarded as science: anthropic reasoning. Contrast it to a non-anthropic standard scientific approach--a detailed, microscopic model of the carbon nucleus leading to a prediction of the resonance. Ichthyic, We are, I believe, having a rather nice discussion that is not being viewed as "trolling" by Matthew, Stanton, Torbjörn Larsson, and a few others (Maybe I'm wrong). If you want to contribute, do so. Otherwise shut your pie hole, as they say. Torbjörn Larsson, OM
The I & J (and Sobers) paper builds on multiverses.
That may be correct for Sober's, which I haven't even looked at, but is definitely wrong for I & J. I have read enough of I & J to know that they state exactly the opposite--that the utility of their argument in fighting fine-tuning based ID is that it is not a multiverse argument--that their result, they claim, is powerful precisely because it does not resort to a multiverse.
But the important part of the paper for creationists would be to find out the difference between probabilities and likelihoods on observations, and that part is only using standard conditional probabilities.
It is true that anyone making probabilistic arguments should have an understanding of the mathematics--and often they don't. I simply object to the I & J paper in principle. Once I knew what they are trying to do--use Bayesian analysis to prove something involving sufficiently inscrutable and powerful deities, my skepticism level rose to the point where I was not willing to invest the time, apart from skimming over the paper. I would have the same reaction if they claimed their analysis proved God existed (and some people do that sort of thing.) On the flip side, I am on record as criticizing more straightforward calculations that generate "favorable" conclusions--the long probability chains that Hugh Ross makes and the I & J paper sets out to refute. I have also allowed the community to act as a filter: those bringing up the I&J and Sober papers tend to be philosophers. As I said, I have not seen any scientist bring it up and cite it in anything beyond a simple "another approach was taken by I & J," manner, and I'm not even sure I have seen that.
I.e. the texas sharpshooter fallacy of claiming life must be rare because of the low probability that any one planet has it (a priori probability) instead of the real probability that the likelihood for life in the universe is large as there are observably many planets (a posteriori likelihood). It seems to me it should be essential to get such a basic method of observations correct in any beat of physics.
That would be a (possibly) legitimate criticism if I ever made such an argument. And to be accurate, the number of planets is only "large" if it is large compared to one over the probability that life forms on any planet, and I certainly have no clue what that is--but since it might overwhelm the number of planets (~10^22 in the observable universe) simply saying there are lots of planets, as if that solves any problem, is also making a bad probabilistic argument. You simply cannot make any probability claim of this type, pro or con, until we have a handle on the probability that life arises--and I believe we are still relatively clueless in that regard, at least when it comes to concrete scientific results (speculations are a dime a dozen.) But as I said, I personally never make such arguments. I don't really feel like discussing yet again what I think about fine tuning beyond mentioning the connection many IDers make of fine-tuning to low probability (the connection that the I&J paper assumes, by the way) is totally wrong. After all, if our universe is "fine tuned" (meaning life is sensitive to the values--which I don't feel like debating)--then it is still fine tuned even if the constants are derivable--i.e., probability one. I & J state explicitly, I recall, that if the constants are derivable from a fundamental theory the fine tuning arguments are dead--they are quite wrong in that assertion, but they are not alone. Even the ID proponents make the same mistake.

Eric Finn · 16 January 2008

Mike Elzinga: “Different perspectives” are common in science. Even physics problems can be cast in teleological form (the curve that minimizes the potential energy of a flexible cable is the catenary curve; light travels the path through media that minimizes its time of travel, etc.). But this is simply a way of reformulating a problem that allows the use of other ideas or data in its solution (e.g., the use of energy concepts instead of force concepts). It doesn’t mean that a cable somehow has the purpose of minimizing its potential energy, or that a photon has the purpose of minimizing its time of travel.
I like the way you put it. Similarly, biological organisms behave in a way that is likely to proliferate their genes maximally. In general, neither individuals, nor species have any "purpose" (intent) to do so. This kind of mental pictures are useful to a point. However, they should not be extended beyond illustrating a principle or a concept. Extending them too far is likely to cause problems, as you (presumably) indicated. Progress in science seems to require building on solid ground, although all kinds of mental images may sometimes help in finding that solid ground. Regards Eric

Stanton · 16 January 2008

heddle: Stanton,
FURTHERMORE, you have not elucidated the connection between the galactic habitability zone hypothesis and Intelligent Design “theory” beyond that the hypothesis was put forth by a professed Intelligent Design proponent.
But why should I? "Motivation" was the only thing I postulated back in my first post. Not that ID leads, in a scientific way to GHZ, but that you might be able to argue that GHZ was motivated by ID. There is absolutely no reason why I should be asked to support a connection I didn't make or postulate.
if you refuse to explain how Intelligent Design "theory" motivated galactic habitability zone hypothesis, or how galactic habitability zone hypothesis even conforms to Intelligent Design "theory," then you have absolutely no right to state that it is even a trivial contribution to Science in the exact same way that a person has no right to state that Newtonian Physics was directly inspired by Alchemy without any explanation beyond "Newton was an alchemist."

PvM · 16 January 2008

This is indeed a valid position since there is no logical explanation as to why ID should lead to such a hypothesis since ID refuses to identify the designer. If the argument is that the Christian God can be shown to create a place where habitability and discoverability would coexist then feel free to make that argument, otherwise, without any way to constrain the designer(s), there is no way ID can make anything close to a prediction. In fact, showing that there is no correlation between the two would undermine the hypothesis but would do no damage at all to ID. From a scientific perspective the Privileged Planet hypothesis is significantly flawed, from a theological perspective it does not seem to fare much better.
Stanton:
heddle: Stanton,
FURTHERMORE, you have not elucidated the connection between the galactic habitability zone hypothesis and Intelligent Design “theory” beyond that the hypothesis was put forth by a professed Intelligent Design proponent.
But why should I? "Motivation" was the only thing I postulated back in my first post. Not that ID leads, in a scientific way to GHZ, but that you might be able to argue that GHZ was motivated by ID. There is absolutely no reason why I should be asked to support a connection I didn't make or postulate.
if you refuse to explain how Intelligent Design "theory" motivated galactic habitability zone hypothesis, or how galactic habitability zone hypothesis even conforms to Intelligent Design "theory," then you have absolutely no right to state that it is even a trivial contribution to Science in the exact same way that a person has no right to state that Newtonian Physics was directly inspired by Alchemy without any explanation beyond "Newton was an alchemist."

heddle · 16 January 2008

Stanton,

We have been discussing Hoyle's anthropic prediction of a level of Carbon. Is it right to say that his prediction was motivated by anthropic reasoning, which is not science? If it is right, how is that different from suggesting that Gonzalez's ID might have motivated his GHZ hypothesis? I don't see the difference. In both cases, non-science (by the usual definition) motivated a scientific hypothesis. In Hoyle's case we know it was an anthropic motivation, in Gonzalez's I am speculating that it might have been an ID motivation.

PvM,

You are somehow, it appears to me, trying to get me to argue Gonzalez's position for him, or a position that I didn't advocate, and I can't and won't. Also, we are discussing the GHZ hypothesis, which is quite different from the Privileged Planet hypothesis. And nobody here has claimed that ID has made any prediction. The only claim was that ID might have motivated Gonzalez. It doesn't even matter if it doesn't comport with the "requirement" that ID not name the designer--it is at least (and obviously so) possible that Gonzalez said to himself something along the lines of: I think the universe was designed, and I think habitable zones in the galaxy would be a likely manifestation of that design, so let's do some astrophysics to back up that speculation.

To claim this is impossible is to claim you can read Gonzalez's mind.

But again, what I really think this represents is an illogical insistence that there can be no possible link, ever, between ID and science, because ID is evil. But that's just silly. Scientific research can be motivated by many non-scientific factors: money, anthropic arguments, criminal intent, etc. There is no reason why ID cannot, in principle, motivate someone to engage in legitimate scientific research. That is in fact what the IDers should do, rather than shaming themselves by fighting politcal rather than scientific battles.

In reacting to the ID Inc. nonsense that "ID is science," you are taking a position that is, it seems to me, absurd.

Stanton · 16 January 2008

heddle: Stanton, We have been discussing Hoyle's anthropic prediction of a level of Carbon. Is it right to say that his prediction was motivated by anthropic reasoning, which is not science? If it is right, how is that different from suggesting that Gonzalez's ID might have motivated his GHZ hypothesis? I don't see the difference. In both cases, non-science (by the usual definition) motivated a scientific hypothesis. In Hoyle's case we know it was an anthropic motivation, in Gonzalez's I am speculating that it might have been an ID motivation.
What I am trying to ask you is what evidence there is that leads you to speculate that Gonzales was motivated by Intelligent Design "theory" to propose the galactic habitability zone hypothesis besides the fact that he is now an Intelligent Design proponent. That you have repeatedly refused to explain how the idea that only certain zones within a spiral galaxy can support life springs from, or even relates to a "theory" that states that "life = complicated = therefore design" leads me to reject your suggestion that the galactic habitability zone hypothesis is a (trivial) contribution to Science. I make it a point never to accept idle speculation as a substitute for evidence in scientific matters.
But again, what I really think this represents is an illogical insistence that there can be no possible link, ever, between ID and science, because ID is evil. But that's just silly. Scientific research can be motivated by many non-scientific factors: money, anthropic arguments, criminal intent, etc. There is no reason why ID cannot, in principle, motivate someone to engage in legitimate scientific research. That is in fact what the IDers should do, rather than shaming themselves by fighting politcal rather than scientific battles. In reacting to the ID Inc. nonsense that "ID is science," you are taking a position that is, it seems to me, absurd.
The reasons why people, like most of the poster here, find it extraordinarily difficult, if not impossible, to believe that Intelligent Design can be a motivation for Science is that all of the official proponents of Intelligent Design do not do science, and have repeatedly demonstrated that they are totally unmotivated to do science, especially concerning suggestions about testing or even explaining Intelligent Design as a science. What research has Gonzales done to reaffirm Intelligent Design? What experiments have Dembski or Behe done to support Irreducible Complexity? Why haven't any Intelligent Design proponents written any peer-reviewed research paper worth publishing in a journal? Why is it absurd to come to the conclusion that there is no connection between Intelligent Design and Science when there is no evidence of any connection?

Eric Finn · 16 January 2008

heddle: [...] Scientific research can be motivated by many non-scientific factors: money, anthropic arguments, criminal intent, etc. There is no reason why ID cannot, in principle, motivate someone to engage in legitimate scientific research. That is in fact what the IDers should do, rather than shaming themselves by fighting politcal rather than scientific battles.
I agree that science (or any other human endeavor) can be motivated by many kinds of things. Sometimes inventions are said to be associated with doing something or looking at something (happening), as in the story about Newton and an apple (falling). When new ideas have matured enough, practically anything can trigger them. In the same way, practically anything can be a motivation during a search for a promising idea. The usefulness of the motivation is almost invariably judged a posteriori, and on subjective grounds. I think that I understand your point. It does not matter, whether the motivating concept is wrong or right. It it is not essential to be able to derive the result from whatever motivated the research. The result should be evaluated by its own merits. Regards Eric

heddle · 16 January 2008

What I am trying to ask you is what evidence there is that leads you to speculate that Gonzales was motivated by Intelligent Design “theory” to propose the galactic habitability zone hypothesis besides the fact that he is now an Intelligent Design proponent.
I have no evidence. I only speculated that it was possible. And I gave examples of others (Hoyle in the case of Carbon, Weinberg in the case of the cc) who were motivated in specific cases by non-science--in their case anthropic reasoning.
That you have repeatedly refused to explain how the idea that only certain zones within a spiral galaxy can support life springs from, or even relates to a “theory” that states that “life = complicated = therefore design” leads me to reject your suggestion that the galactic habitability zone hypothesis is a (trivial) contribution to Science. I make it a point never to accept idle speculation as a substitute for evidence in scientific matters.
I was thinking more along the lines of cosmological ID--the idea that the universe appears to be geared for supporting life. (That's a statement of the concept, I have no desire to defend it.) And you are moving goalposts. At no point did i suggest that idle speculation was a substitute for evidence. I said, again, that perhaps Gonzalez was motivated by ID--and only Gonzalez knows for sure.
The reasons why people, like most of the poster here, find it extraordinarily difficult, if not impossible, to believe that Intelligent Design can be a motivation for Science is that all of the official proponents of Intelligent Design do not do science,
But in the case of Gonzalez, that is demonstrably false. He is a leading IDer. He clearly has done science. The only thing you can say is that his science was not ID. I agree. But you cannot look into a crystal ball and state categorically that he was not motivated by ID. And again, of Gonzalez came here and stated flatly that his motivation for his science (at least the GHZ stuff) was ID--would you simply call him a liar?

heddle · 16 January 2008

Eric,

Thank you, that is indeed my point. You stated it much better than I did.

Flint · 16 January 2008

And again, if Gonzalez came here and stated flatly that his motivation for his science (at least the GHZ stuff) was ID–would you simply call him a liar?

Not I. I see no reason why ID believers can't do excellent science. I also agree with Eric that if they follow the scientific method and produce good results, they're doing good science regardless of their religious faith. One possible concern might be that either (a) such a scientist might pay too much attention to less promising avenues for research, in search of a validation for the doctrines of his faith; or (b) that he might either suppress, or just not be able to notice, results uncongenial to his religious preferences. But I don't think either of these concerns is particularly worrisome, since they apply with equal force to any scientist, since any scientist might bark up the wrong tree or, expecting one result, fail to properly appreciate another.

David B. Benson · 16 January 2008

The argument against 'natural' abiogenesis from probability fails on the grounds that there is no reason to suspect that the observable universe is the entire universe and reasons to suspect that it is not.

Somewhere in that vastness abiogenesis occurs and 'intelligent' life develops. Then the tiny little bubble around there becomes the observable universe for that species...

heddle · 16 January 2008

Flint,

We agree. Is that a first?

David Benson,

We also agree, although I think you understated the fact that we have "reasons to suspect" that the observable universe is not the entire universe. We have, I would say, close to overwhelming evidence given the discoveries in this era of precision cosmology--the flatness of the universe and the accelerating expansion. The latter even implies that not only is the observable universe not "all there is," it is in fact shrinking. Distant galaxies will blink off as the expanding space overwhelms the speed of light.

jasonmitchell · 16 January 2008

I find it illuminating thta in the back and forth Heddle misses a couple of important facts:

if ID (or Christianity or whatever) was Gonzalez's inspiration, SO WHAT? that does not make ID more (or less) scientific - if the image of a snake eating it's own tail is a inspiration for theorizing the molecular structure of cyclohexane (or was it benzene?) SO WHAT - that does not make belief on Ouroboros scientific. Subsequnet EVIDENCE of the stucture (in my example) PROVED the model to be correct.

the argument that the fact that life on earth exists, and that the observation that the universe is the way it is somehow as being 'proof' for fine tuning is BS- if the universe was different, then the universe would be different and perhaps we would not exist - what does this show? why is this line of reasoning any different than (to paraphrase) "this pothole is perfectly shaped for the puddle it contains - someone must have designed it that way"?

Mike Elzinga · 16 January 2008

I suggest you look at that more carefully. That prediction has quite a bit to do with life. It was Hoyle (an atheist) who made the anthropic prediction about the Carbon energy level, and it most certainly was related to life. It was the archetype and classic anthropic argument that said, in effect, we are here, made of this stuff (heavy elements), that can’t be made anywhere else except inside stars, therefore this level of carbon must be there to provide the correct rates for the needed nuclear reactions. It was more than a clue, it was a prediction–and it was motivated by something not generally regarded as science: anthropic reasoning. Contrast it to a non-anthropic standard scientific approach–a detailed, microscopic model of the carbon nucleus leading to a prediction of the resonance.
I know perfectly well what Hoyle did here. But it wasn’t a necessary perspective nor was it a uniquely justified perspective. Just explaining the observed abundance of carbon was all that was needed. Just because Hoyle started with a prior piece of knowledge about the existence of life and then went to carbon was simply idiosyncratic. Read the rest of my paragraph.

The prediction, or the argument behind it, has nothing to do with life; it simply has to do with the observed abundance of carbon and the need to find a mechanism that does this in stars. It was a clue about what a more detailed look at the energy levels in the nucleus would probably find. Claiming that a belief in a sectarian deity led you to it or that it was needed for the existence of life is irrelevant.

To repeat; it has been the propaganda of the Discovery Institute (and Philip Johnson) that has lead to the attempts by ID followers to use “philosophical perspective” as a justification for elevating ID to a science. It’s a bogus argument. No one cares what one's sectarian views are; They don't add anything to science that justifies giving them preference (or special deference).

heddle · 16 January 2008

jasonmitchell
why is this line of reasoning any different than (to paraphrase) “this pothole is perfectly shaped for the puddle it contains - someone must have designed it that way”?
Sigh. I don't feel like getting into another debate on whether or not the fine tuning stuff is total BS that can be dismissed with a wave of the hand. I'll just point out that I & J at least thought a complex Bayesian argument against fine tuning was called for--they didn't share your belief that a simple appeal to the Douglas Adams puddle analogy was sufficient. Nor did Susskind, or Weinberg, or Hawking, or Smolin, or even Stenger. Not one of them, when arguing against fine tuning as having any sort of "designer" significance, appealed to the puddle analogy. They all make scientific cases against it--multiverses, evolving universes, that it was an illusion, etc. If what is obvious to you was obvious to them, they could have saved a lot of hard work. Mike Elzinga, I actually have no clue about how anything you wrote is a response to anything I wrote, so I'll assume you just making a general interest statement. In fact, I don't even know what "But it wasn’t a necessary perspective nor was it a uniquely justified perspective." even means.

Eric Finn · 16 January 2008

Flint: [...] I also agree with Eric that if they follow the scientific method and produce good results, they're doing good science regardless of their religious faith.
I am glad you agree. My comment was about possible motivations one might have when practicing science, not really about religious faith, although that is included among the possible motivations. Motivation from parents is included as well. However, it is rare to try to derive a scientific result from one's parents, even if one thinks that his or her upbringing may have had a beneficial contribution. The scientific method seems to be the best way to produce lasting results. To my understanding, scientist do not always follow any rigorous methodology, when they try to figure out where is the most promising place to stick their probe next. On other occasions they do, but I suspect that they have been doing some thinking before they start applying rigorous methods. Producing good science is not fully automated yet. Following the scientific method rigorously is no guarantee to get meaningful results. Why is it so? Or am I mistaken? Regards Eric

Mike Elzinga · 16 January 2008

actually have no clue about how anything you wrote is a response to anything I wrote, so I’ll assume you just making a general interest statement. In fact, I don’t even know what “But it wasn’t a necessary perspective nor was it a uniquely justified perspective.” even means.
I think others got it ok. The more important issue for ID followers to know is that ID is not a science, and Philip Johnson’s “philosophy” is bogus. I would amend the last statement in my last post about no one caring about sectarian views. Actually, if sectarian views require one to continually distort science until one can no longer understand and do science, then there is reason for concerned.

Mike Elzinga · 16 January 2008

To my understanding, scientist do not always follow any rigorous methodology, when they try to figure out where is the most promising place to stick their probe next. On other occasions they do, but I suspect that they have been doing some thinking before they start applying rigorous methods.
I can tell you form personal experience, as well as from what others have told me about their thinking processes, that it can be quite messy. Some of the weirdest chains of thought can lead to a great insight. It has often been said that if you can’t stand being wrong most of the time, you won’t be able to tolerate doing research. In writing up results for publication, one has to eventually fit the narrative of the research into the larger picture so that others can see where it fits and how it interlocks with everything else. Journals have certain styles and even publish style manuals outlining the requirements for submission of an article. This leaves very little latitude to discuss one’s own idiosyncratic path (and most of the time it isn’t worth discussing after the fact; it looks too foolish). One is better off demonstrating one’s understanding of the issues.

Flint · 16 January 2008

Eric:

Producing good science is not fully automated yet. Following the scientific method rigorously is no guarantee to get meaningful results. Why is it so? Or am I mistaken?

I think you are saying multiple things here. First, I don't think anyone can use the "rigorous scientific method" efficiently. The way people work is to get hunches, informed by way insufficient data, that suggest some pattern. This provides an initial direction to start looking more closely, and ALSO sets up an initial bias as to what will be seen. I've always been convinced that writeups of experiments impose the scientific method post facto, working backwards to fit what was actually done to the ultimate results. Scientists tend to work like Columbo - intuiting the solution, and then doing the research to collect the evidence and fill in the blanks. Second, there's some ambiguity about what "meaningful" means in this context. Rigorously following the scientific method is guaranteed to produce correct results, but certainly not to produce useful results. If you could get the funding, you could spend a whole career rigorously demonstrating hypotheses false, that nobody would ever propose or care about. If by "meaningful" you intend something like "increases our understanding of something we are curious about" then I agree, the method alone certainly doesn't guarantee this.

David B. Benson · 16 January 2008

The scientific method, properly applied, acts as a control on our imaginations to limit us to actualities, not just flights of fancy.

Stanton · 16 January 2008

But in the case of Gonzalez, that is demonstrably false. He is a leading IDer. He clearly has done science.
What science is he doing right now, and why wasn't it convincing enough to get him tenure? How come he isn't in a laboratory or observatory, trying to gather data to support Intelligent Design?
And again, if Gonzalez came here and stated flatly that his motivation for his science (at least the GHZ stuff) was ID–would you simply call him a liar?
If Gonzales does what you have not done, and explain how he was inspired by Intelligent Design to propose the galactic habitability zone hypothesis, no, I would not call him a liar. On the other hand, if he does not explain how he was inspired, or even refuses to explain how the galactic habitability zone hypothesis supports Intelligent Design "theory," I will have extreme doubts about the contribution this hypothesis has to science.

fnxtr · 16 January 2008

Even if Gonzalez was "inspired" by ID to pursue his GHZ idea, it does not follow that ID "predicted" the GHZ. I think this is an important distinction, possibly the most important one. In fact the GHZ idea seems a natural extrapolation from the habitable zone around stars. And yes it is very much like the puddle. Zones we consider habitable may only harbour life "as we know it", but you gotta start somewhere, and "as we know it" is more easily identified than a superintelligent shade of the colour blue.

heddle · 16 January 2008

Stanton,
What science is he doing right now, and why wasn’t it convincing enough to get him tenure?
Does that seem like a compelling argument to you? I have no idea what he is doing now, but it is beyond dispute that he is a prominent IDer who has done science. As for the tenure comment, there are a lot of good scientists who are tenure rejects of whom you could ask the same question--and it would be just as irrelevant. The fact that Gonzalez (or anyone else) does not get tenure does not mean that the science he did was worthless. How much do you know about tenure in science? I know quite a bit, and it is rarely as simple as saying: this guy's science exceeds a threshold, he's in.
If Gonzales does what you have not done, and explain how he was inspired by Intelligent Design to propose the galactic habitability zone hypothesis, no, I would not call him a liar. On the other hand, if he does not explain how he was inspired, or even refuses to explain how the galactic habitability zone hypothesis supports Intelligent Design “theory,” I will have extreme doubts about the contribution this hypothesis has to science
What if he tells you just the same scenario I invented earlier. What if he says: "Look, it's this simple. My ID caused me to speculate that the designer would carve out habitable niches in a hostile universe, and that led me to postulate GHZs, and to do research in that area." Would you tell him: "Sorry, no, in spite of what you claim, ID did not motivate you." As Eric stated, "It does not matter, whether the motivating concept is wrong or right. It it is not essential to be able to derive the result from whatever motivated the research." fnxtr said
Even if Gonzalez was “inspired” by ID to pursue his GHZ idea, it does not follow that ID “predicted” the GHZ. I think this is an important distinction, possibly the most important one. In fact the GHZ idea seems a natural extrapolation from the habitable zone around stars. And yes it is very much like the puddle. Zones we consider habitable may only harbour life “as we know it”, but you gotta start somewhere, and “as we know it” is more easily identified than a superintelligent shade of the colour blue.
That's true, but nobody has argued that ID predicted GHZs. And GHZs are nothing like the habitability zones around stars--the effects on habitability they consider are completely different. And--that blasted puddle argument--there is an adage that if you think your opponent's argument is ridiculous, you probably don't understand it. Slam dunk arguments are almost never valid. Using the puddle argument against GHZs is like using the "what good is half an eye?" argument against evolution. It is a sign that the person does not actually know what they are talking about, but they think they do. (If you are a kid, I apologize, you deserve a more gracious response.)

Flint · 16 January 2008

So we can all agree on these things:

1) Gonzalez originated the notion of the GHZ, and some justification for it.

2) The GHZ wasn't predicted by or implicit in any nonexistent "ID theory"

3) The GHZ is at least compatible with some religious beliefs, probably including those of Gonzalez

4) Points 2) and 3) are irrelevant to anything scientific. If there IS a GHZ for the reasons Gonzalez hypothesizes (and we may never know), it's a valid testable hypothesis in principle. In practice, it might be a while.

David B. Benson · 16 January 2008

Flint: So we can all agree on these things: 1) Gonzalez originated the notion of the GHZ, and some justification for it. ... 4) ... If there IS a GHZ for the reasons Gonzalez hypothesizes (and we may never know), it's a valid testable hypothesis in principle. In practice, it might be a while.
1) Yes. Ward/Brownlee give credit, for example. 4) With regard to the central portion of an ordinary spiral galaxy, the evidence appears to be in: too much hard radiation. Ward/Brownlee in Rare Earth gave some reasons (which I have forgotten) why out at the edges would not do either. Whatever the reason, it is based on fully developed astrophysics. So (for me, at least) the hypothesis has already be justified [not sure what you mean by testable].

fnxtr · 16 January 2008

Maybe I got lost. That's what I get for reading at work. Looking back to this:
heddle:
stanton actually providing an example of a trivial contribution that Intelligent Design has made to Science?
That is very difficult. However, one example might be the idea of galactic habitability zones. But I think that one would be hard pressed to argue that that was an ID result—although one might easily argue that it was ID motivated. In peer reviewed papers I have read on the subject, Gonzalez is generally given credit for the concept of large scale habitability zones, and the mere existence of such papers indicates that the concept has exceeded the “trivial” threshold.
Looks like a non-argument that went on for a while. Okay, maybe I didn't connect the dots well enough. Clearly the determining factors are different between the two... levels... of habitability. Some areas, be they orbits around stars or around the galactic core, will be more conducive to our kind of life. I do admire the work done to determine what parameters make a difference on a galactic scale. And maybe the idea only seems obvious in retrospect. Whether Gonzalez was motivated by the idea of Go- er, a Designer, or whether he was just feeling lonely on a galactic scale, doesn't matter. He did the work. Regarding motivation, though, if it looks like "this environment is (nearly) ideal and rare, it must have been intentional", only in slightly more sophisticated language, how is this different from the puddle argument? If that's not the argument, what is? It's like Sam Clemens commenting on how maybe the entire Eiffel Tower was put there just for the knob on the top.

fnxtr · 16 January 2008

Actually it was the skin of paint on the knob on the top.

fnxtr · 16 January 2008

If this layman's memory serves, there aren't enough stars in the galactic perimeter to perpetuate stellar births, so they'd mostly be very old... possibly metal poor, and probably smaller and cooler than average. Reading book might help us both.

me · 25 January 2008

Forget about it. If you think you can explain ID with words you are barking up the wrong tree. The most important things in this life we all live you can't see. The air we breath, the love we feel, and the thought's we think. That is in my opinion God. Just like what the apparent space between atom's and molocule's is, are, oh what ever. If you really want the true answers. Look inside yourselve's, in your own heart. It may not seem like it at times but that IS somthing we all have.

H. Humbert · 25 January 2008

heddle: Stanton, We have been discussing Hoyle's anthropic prediction of a level of Carbon. Is it right to say that his prediction was motivated by anthropic reasoning, which is not science?
I know I'm late, but this is wrong. The "anthropic" part of Hoyle's carbon prediction followed strictly from inductive reasoning, and was thus eminently scientific. It's no different from breathing while in a room and being able to conclude that the room must therefore contain breathable air.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 25 March 2008

FWIW, catching up on old threads: @ heddle:
I have read enough of I & J to know that they state exactly the opposite–that the utility of their argument in fighting fine-tuning based ID is that it is not a multiverse argument–that their result, they claim, is powerful precisely because it does not resort to a multiverse.
> No, that is not correct. They note up front that they address the religious claim that "if naturalistic law applies, then the probability that a randomly-selected universe would be "life-friendly" is very small", so it id definitely a probability argument over a population of universes. But they note early on that this doesn't mean for them that these universes necessarily exist. Technically that is true as far as it goes, those other universe may be shortlived. However, it is dicey to claim that the considered population never existed, it is a bayesian assumption.
Once I knew what they are trying to do–use Bayesian analysis
But as I already noted, in the important part for creationists they do not. (The part that treats the texas sharpshooter fallacy.)
You simply cannot make any probability claim of this type, pro or con, until we have a handle on the probability that life arises
We can do the comparative study. But you are correct, the religious probability anthropic argument and its concomitant finetuning argument is a non-starter.
it is still fine tuned even if the constants are derivable–i.e., probability one
Ah, but it is finetuned in the physicist sense (narrow range), not in the sense of the religious argument (small probability) as it was based on the probability.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 25 March 2008

Just because Hoyle started with a prior piece of knowledge about the existence of life and then went to carbon was simply idiosyncratic.
It is the tautological anthropic principle (TAP) - the universe must be consistent with our observations. It is perfectly fine for classical non-probabilistic cosmologies. The weak AP (WAP) is what you want, if you believe there is a statistical distribution. And the strong AP (SAP) is, I believe, what you get out of the texas sharpshooter fallacy.