Flagella - Real and Fictional

Posted 12 May 2008 by

Intelligent Design advocates are fond of using the bacterial flagellum as, in Dembski’s words, a “mascot” of the Intelligent Design movement. In particular, during the recent TV debate between Behe and myself, Behe showed pictures of flagella and triumphantly asserted that they looked exactly like man-made machines, and therefore they must be designed. What ID advocates, including Behe, fail to mention is that the images of flagella they endlessly demonstrate are heavily doctored, and that the real observed flagella do not look like “machines” at all. In fact the structure of flagella is more typical of a bacteriophage virus. Seeing the actual cryogenic electron micrographs of flagella, as well as the images derived from X-rays analysis immediately reveals that showing artificial machine-like images of flagella, without explaining the degree of idealization applied, is sometimes perilously close to committing a fraud. Read Flagella – Real and Fictional, at Talk Reason.

273 Comments

James F · 12 May 2008

I'm amazed that they still cling to the bacterial flagellum.

"A fanatic is one who can’t change his mind and won’t change the subject.

- Winston Churchill

Steverino · 12 May 2008

Would love to hear or view the debate with between you and Behe. Is there a link anywhere?

Henry J · 12 May 2008

without explaining the degree of idealization applied, is sometimes perilously close to committing a fraud.

Sometimes?

Larry Gilman · 12 May 2008

Perakh’s point that illustrations of flagella look more artificial, more “designed,” than actual flagella is well-taken. A pity that to get to it, one must wade through his plodding, wordy attack on Bessette’s claim that the existence of theistic Great Scientists of ages past and of an alleged 40% theism rate among modern US scientists is “inconvenient” for atheists. A silly claim, true, but Perakh is capable of equal silliness. He rears up at Bessette’s claim to know what atheists are thinking --

“How could Bessette know that atheists indeed construe his two facts (assuming they are true) as ‘inconvenient’? Has he conducted a poll of the atheistic scientists?”

-- but then goes into a mind-reading act of his own, a few lines later:

“ . . . those 40% of contemporary [theistic] scientists in the USA . . . overwhelmingly inherited their faith from their parents and adhere to it throughout their lives because of having emotionally absorbed it in their childhood.”

Since turnabout is fair play, how does Perakh know that continued adherence to some form of religious belief is causally explained across the whole group of US theistic scientists by their “having emotionally absorbed it in their childhood”? How does he rule out a contribution from mature mental and emotional processes to ongoing religiosity, possibly including reason, volition, and adult religious experience? To paraphrase his own question, has he conducted a poll of the theistic scientists?

I doubt he has. What I think is that a double standard has just flashed. I think that to Perakh all religion is utterly absurd by definition, so it is simply self-evident that any scientist who professes religious belief must do so “because of having emotionally absorbed it in their childhood.” Just as, apparently, when Bessette would like to think that atheists find certain facts “inconvenient,” no evidence is necessary for him, either.

The level of discourse here is, let’s say, lower than it might be. Perakh emits a strong whiff of that true-believer funk so often emitted by those who have decided that Religion Is the Enemy and that they, themselves, are the true Warriors of Light.

LG

Bobby · 12 May 2008

Perhaps it's fraud, or perhaps it's merely the fact that IDologists, not being scientists in spirit, do not have any motivation to dig deeper when they see something that appears to support their agenda.

Mark Perakh · 12 May 2008

Severino wrote: "Would love to hear or view the debate with between you and Behe. Is there a link anywhere?"
To my knowledge, no links are available. If somebody is indeed very much interested in that debate, perhaps a DVD could be requested from Larry Kane's program. However, the arrangements I described made the debate of a rather limited interest as I had no way to adequately respond to Behe whose posters I did not see, nor himself or the moderator. It was about 30 min long, with several commercial breaks, so not much could be discussed anyway. My position has been explained in detail more than once (for example see my post here or those posts referred as [20, 21, 22} in this article, or in chapter 2 of my book Unintelligent Design.

snex · 12 May 2008

arent these the same people who are always complaining about haeckel diagrams?

Mark Perakh · 12 May 2008

I appreciate time and effort Larry Gilman has put into his comment. Yes, Larry, like Bessette, I did not conduct a survey of scientists, I just evinced my opinion with which you are free to disagree.

If Larry Gilman objects to making statements not based on a thorough investigation, why did he resort in a similar fashion to stating an opinion of my attitude to religion? If he wanted to know my view of religion, rather than asuming what it is, based on just one sentence relating to that question in passing, he could have looked up my essays dealing in a more detailed way with that topic, some of which are posted on Talk Reason in the pertinent section. I regret that Larry Gilman does not like the parts of my article dealing with religious scientists. I guess having perused my more detailed essays on that topic, he still would not like my views, but it can't be helped. I don't mind learning about Larry Gilman's views being contrary to those of mine, but hopefully I am entitled to my own views as well. Ironic (or rather condescending) statements about delusional self-confidence of supposed "Warriors of Light" while testifying to Larry's sense of humor, are hardly convincing.

PvM · 12 May 2008

Ironically, yes they are. But somehow fraud is not fraud when it serves one's purpose and yet when it comes to Haeckel, they seem to refuse to do an in-depth analysis of these drawings and their relevance to evolutionary theory. However, the accusation of fraud still hangs over Haeckel. A better example would be the 'staged photographs' of the peppered moth, which some ID creationists consider a blatant example of fraud... I wonder how they feel about the 'staged' representation of the flagellum?
snex said: arent these the same people who are always complaining about haeckel diagrams?

chuck · 12 May 2008

I think that this shows that the flagellum really is a perfect mascot of ID.
More so and in more ways than I think they intend though...

"Q" the Enchanter · 12 May 2008

And of course even did flagella "look like a machines," such would be irrelevant to whether they were evolved structures. ("Looking like a machine" is an awfully underspecified property.) So the argument's a fraud times two.

Mark Perakh · 12 May 2008

Larry Gilman wrote:

how does Perakh know that continued adherence to some form of religious belief is causally explained across the whole group of US theistic scientists by their “having emotionally absorbed it in their childhood”? How does he rule out a contribution from mature mental and emotional processes to ongoing religiosity, possibly including reason, volition, and adult religious experience? To paraphrase his own question, has he conducted a poll of the theistic scientists?

. Since Larry most probbaly will not search for my essays dealing with this matter, I'll provide here a very brief exposition of an argument in support of my thesis rejected by Larry Gilman. If you wish, consider it as a "theory," so, if desired you may dismiss it as "just a theory" like ET has been regularly rejected by creos. My point is, though, that like in the case of ET, and unlike Larry Gilman references to various factors which may be responsible for religious faith, other than being emotionally absorbed in childhood, my theory is based on evidence. To explain what I mean, let me ask Larry Gilman a question: Can you predict, with an overwhelming probability, what the religious affiliation will be of a boy born today in Islamabad? And what the religious affilation will be of a boy born today in Tel-Aviv? Or of a girl born in a rural Russian village? Or of a boy borh in a village in Sicily? With a very few exceptions, such a prediction can be made with a little risk of a mistake. Does not this undisputable evidence testify that faith to a very large extent originates in childhood emotional experience? All those other factors listed by Larry Gilman, even if present, more often than not are just devices utilized, often subconsciously, to support in a supposedly rational way, the faith absorbed in childhood, and to exclude all other faiths. Why almost every person born to a Muslim family believes in the stories told in the Quran, but disdainfully dismisses the stories told, say, by Bahais or Druses? Why, on the other hand, say, Druses, generation after generation, with a great confidence assert the truth of their beliefs which the mainstream Muslims consider bizarre and heretical? My "theory" is supported by these facts. The rare exceptions to the general rule (as when,say, an adult converts to another religion, most often because of a social pressure from the surrounding majorities - as in the case of Jews for Jesus)only confirm the well known notion that no theory is perfect and each has exceptions. Larry Gilman is entitled to his disagreeement with me (albeit it hardly justifies his angry and demeaning words about my "plodding wordy attack" upon Bessete's review), but his assertions do not seem to be supported by evidence.

Flint · 12 May 2008

Religious conversion by adults is itself a fascinating topic. I wonder if some qualified person has ever explored it in depth.

Scott Beach · 12 May 2008

Behe has often referred to the bacterial flagellum as the equivalent of an outboard motor. However, his analogy is flawed because the "motor" that turns the flagellum is INSIDE of the cell wall of the bacterium. The proper analogy would be to a boat with an inboard motor that powers a propeller that is outside of the boat's hull. (In the case of a jet drive, the motor and propeller may both be inside of the boat's hull.)

slang · 12 May 2008

Scott Beach said: Behe has often referred to the bacterial flagellum as the equivalent of an outboard motor. However, his analogy is flawed because the "motor" that turns the flagellum is INSIDE of the cell wall of the bacterium. The proper analogy would be to a boat with an inboard motor that powers a propeller that is outside of the boat’s hull.
We went boating this afternoon (it was a nice day here) and I held a flagellum in my hands in the water behind the boat. Nothing happened... Turned on the boat's inboard engine, and off we went for a wonderful day on the water. So I Scientifically tested Behe's comparison, and it failed. Don't the creos always whine that seeing is believing? You showed them Mark, excellent images.

Mike Elzinga · 12 May 2008

Religious conversion by adults is itself a fascinating topic. I wonder if some qualified person has ever explored it in depth.

Many years ago I read The Varieties of Religious Experience: A Study in Human Nature by William James. No doubt there have been more recent studies, but James still seems to have had some pretty good insights.

Flint · 12 May 2008

This study also looks interesting. Thanks.

trrll · 12 May 2008

Even the images in Perakh's essay somewhat overstate the "machine-like" aspects of flagellar structure, because these are idealized optimized structures, most of them presented at the somewhat abstracted level of ribbon diagrams, with all of the subunits in identical conformations. If one has never seen molecular dynamics simulations, it is easy to think of these as rigid parts, rather than molecules with a huge number of rotatable bonds in constant Brownian motion, looking not so much like an engine as like a shaken Jello dessert.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 12 May 2008

Obligatory post kudos - it is a good topic.

As the peppered moth illustrations were mentioned, in my layman opinion I suspect the photographs tells us very little about the real structural behavior of the flagellum.

The fixation process is rapid freeze cryogenic for a reason, resolution problems abound, and in a sense it is giving as much or more of a false impression to show electron microscopy for persons untrained in the differences to light photography than an idealized sketch. (Not that this heavily referenced Talk Reason article should be expected to do so.)

IMHO what would be really impressive would be to show an animation of proteins being pushed about in the cellular environment, stochastically working through a mechanic function while going through any possible conformation changes they may have. Or at least taking the idealized structure diagrams of figure 5-7 and randomize distances and angles in and between molecules according to a freeze frame of the real distribution.

Data comparing man made "macromachine" and micromachine tolerances and work cycle efficiency with biochemical machines would also be telling.

Meanwhile EM pictures is a great antidote for claims of perfection.

Btw, Bessette's argument from authority seems even sillier to me than mentioned here. If it had any value at all, it would be that the trend has been for more scientists being or becoming atheists, especially among the great authorities I believe.

But as it has no relevance for the discussed science outside of what motivates ID advocates attacking it, these statistics are best forgotten. Practically it is a problem for me if a paper is written in french, not if it is written by a buddist. [Disclaimer for french readers: I'm a language agnostic, and "freedom for language" is no problem for me - but I haven't absorbed french in my childhood.]

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 12 May 2008

oops, trrll was faster on the images and simulation.

isiyouthgroup@hotmail.com · 12 May 2008

wow whining about overstated flagellum complexity. and like the NCSE made clear it only took four mutations to make the eye(didn't hear anyone blogging that oversimplification). everything is simple, the cell is so simple! time and frothy bubbles concentrating....compacting and wham!! simple. wait the frothy bubbles had to mutate! simple happens all the time(although never observed). Observation, that isn't a necessary step in the scientific process is it? Repitition? who needs it? so simple indeed.

Larry Boy · 13 May 2008

Mark Perakh said: let me ask Larry Gilman a question: Can you predict, with an overwhelming probability, what the religious affiliation will be of a boy born today in Islamabad?
I shouldn't wade into this, but how would you respond to the similar observation that the overwhelming majority of people accept what they were taught in science class. If 9th grade science books teach that there are three phases of mater, then people think there are three phases of mater. If four, then four. etc. To compound the problem, people who are serious about science and write those book assert that the majority of people are woefully scientifically ignorant. Similarly, the people who write books about religion, and teach religion classes assert that average people are woefully theologically ignorant. While I understand that you are making an argument that religion is accepted not on the basis of a rational argument, but on shared cultural values, it seems to me that such values can also emphasize critical thinking and the scientific method (they did in my family at least). As Dawkins nearly points out, the vast majority of people have the same political affiliation as their parents as well. Does this imply that there is no rational discourse in politics? I have certainly never observed rational debate in politics. I have hear rumors of such debate, but have found the evidence of it to be sadly unconvincing. A friend of a friend saw two people talking intelligently, someone wrote it down the next day after hearing it, but no one seems to ever have a tape recorder on while these rational people talk. Any person who says that logic and reason play any part in public policy, life, sex, rhetoric, or really anything more exiting and productive than checkers is clearly been spending too much time reading and should not be trusted. Especially if they have glasses. Glasses are a dead give away of these academic types. I say if someone doesn't have enough decency to get a pair of contacts, then they are probably a communist agitator. In closing, reading is bad for you, go watch some tv. And send me a dollar. [This post has been typed purely for my own amusement, and should in now way be taken as a serious intellectual discourse]

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 May 2008

isiyouthgroup@hotmail.com said: like the NCSE made clear it only took four mutations to make the eye
??? There is an NCSE video about the eye which shows a series of states in the process of eye evolution. But did anyone mention "four mutations"? The eye and its development comprises a whole lot of genes, so it is likely a large amount of genome change involved even though the phenome change seems small between states. The "one gene, one trait" idea, isn't that a really old hypotheses, found to be most often wrong several decades ago?
Observation, that isn't a necessary step in the scientific process is it? Repitition? who needs it?
As I suspect you have watched the above video, you should know that they mentioned observations and repetitions, including repetitions from disparate areas of phylogeny and development. Your strawman of the science is really funny as eyes have developed independently a large number of times, so there is plenty of phylogenetic repetition already there. What where you thinking?

bobby · 13 May 2008

what was that movie that Behe and expelled allegedly stole from? the one about the cell?

Philip Bruce Heywood · 13 May 2008

Torbjorn: you are a man of precision. Have you ever researched this mutation bizzo? I have heard - and I have every reason to believe it to be true - that the genetic damage constantly downgrading the clarity of genetically transmissible information in all higher life forms including Man, if it continues, will ultimately render higher life inoperable. I know for a fact that our genetics are getting worse. So, evolution through mutation cannot happen amongst higher life-forms, IN THE ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH WE CURRENTLY LIVE.

Do common descent advocates get around this by hypothesizing a different world in the past, or do they simply ignore the facts? And have you got anything authoritative on the rate of genetic damage?

neo-anti-luddite · 13 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: I have heard...that the genetic damage constantly downgrading the clarity of genetically transmissible information in all higher life forms including Man, if it continues, will ultimately render higher life inoperable.
Why?
Philip Bruce Heywood said: I know for a fact that our genetics are getting worse.
How do you know that "for a fact"? What evidence do you have to support this claim?
Philip Bruce Heywood said: So, evolution through mutation cannot happen amongst higher life-forms, IN THE ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH WE CURRENTLY LIVE.
Why?

Nigel D · 13 May 2008

[Perakh] rears up at Bessette’s claim to know what atheists are thinking – “How could Bessette know that atheists indeed construe his two facts (assuming they are true) as ‘inconvenient’? Has he conducted a poll of the atheistic scientists?” – but then goes into a mind-reading act of his own, a few lines later: “ … those 40% of contemporary [theistic] scientists in the USA … overwhelmingly inherited their faith from their parents and adhere to it throughout their lives because of having emotionally absorbed it in their childhood.” Since turnabout is fair play, how does Perakh know that continued adherence to some form of religious belief is causally explained across the whole group of US theistic scientists by their “having emotionally absorbed it in their childhood”? How does he rule out a contribution from mature mental and emotional processes to ongoing religiosity, possibly including reason, volition, and adult religious experience? To paraphrase his own question, has he conducted a poll of the theistic scientists?

— Larry Gilman
Although, Larry, you appear to have failed to notice how Mark then (quite rightly) dismissed all of these arguments from authority as irrelevant. The way I took Mark's objection was not as a genuine counter-point, but as an illustration of the folly of making such arguments based on opinion polls or references to authority. His comment about why an alleged 40% of scientists in the USA are religious is an interesting point, perhaps, but scarcely central to Mark's argument.

Rich Blinne · 13 May 2008

Some comments on the whole 40% thing. First of all, this statistic is used by TEs such as Collins and myself to let lay people know that evolutionary biology is not some atheistic plot. Atheistic scientists aren't really the audience here. Also, last time I checked 40% is not a majority and it also refers to generic theists and not particular faiths. Another interesting thing is that a similar survey at the beginning of the 20th Century showed the same 40/60 split between theist/atheist. So, despite all that has happened in the last 100 years this hasn't moved. So much for the self-serving conspiracy theories of ID or the New Atheists.

Let me show you the use of this statistic in its context. For example, Collins used this statistic in the AAAS video on YouTube which is a response to Expelled to show that Evolution was not *necessarily* atheistic. (Actually a pre-response because the video was shot long before the movie.) The NAS in their statement on evolution and creationism also noted this. The bottom line here is scientists who believe Evolution and believe in God exist and not that we are some sort of majority. N.B. my use of prepositions in my previous sentence.

One book that was not reviewed that also dealt with this statistic was The Reason for God by an evangelical pastor and theologian by the name of Tim Keller. He had an interesting and in my opinion on target interpretation of the statistic. Neither side is going away. We are neither moving to a "godless nation" nor to a "theocracy". I guess we will just need to learn to live with each other.

Nigel D · 13 May 2008

trrll said: Even the images in Perakh's essay somewhat overstate the "machine-like" aspects of flagellar structure, because these are idealized optimized structures, most of them presented at the somewhat abstracted level of ribbon diagrams, with all of the subunits in identical conformations. If one has never seen molecular dynamics simulations, it is easy to think of these as rigid parts, rather than molecules with a huge number of rotatable bonds in constant Brownian motion, looking not so much like an engine as like a shaken Jello dessert.
Trrll, this is a good point. Something that X-ray crystallographers must constantly be aware of is that the crystallisation procedure that is necessary to freeze the motion of the protein and thus allow capture of the diffraction pattern may also result in a non-native conformation of the protein. Some published X-ray structures have gaps, where portions of the polypeptide have not been immobilised in the crystal and are thus not resolved in the electron-density map.

Nigel D · 13 May 2008

Bobby said: Perhaps it's fraud, or perhaps it's merely the fact that IDologists, not being scientists in spirit, do not have any motivation to dig deeper when they see something that appears to support their agenda.
Bobby, this is very revealing. After the ID advocates have been whining on and on and on about how ID is science and not based on religion (oh, no, siree), even their own supporters are now admitting that they are not scientists. Whether this was a deliberate fraud or the result of academic incompetence is only a small difference. It illustrates the inherent hypocrisy of the entire ID movement. They are happy to accuse science of irrelevant wrongdoing (e.g. over Haeckel's embryo images, that were revealed to be wrong by scientists working about 100 years ago and are only included in textbooks to provide some historical perspective; and over the peppered moth images, which nicely illustrate the moths' camouflage irrespective of whether they are photographed on a tree trunk or a branch), but are not prepared even to attempt to meet the standard they publicly expect others to meet.

Nigel D · 13 May 2008

neo-anti-luddite said:
Philip Bruce Heywood said: I have heard...that the genetic damage constantly downgrading the clarity of genetically transmissible information in all higher life forms including Man, if it continues, will ultimately render higher life inoperable.
Why?
Philip Bruce Heywood said: I know for a fact that our genetics are getting worse.
How do you know that "for a fact"? What evidence do you have to support this claim?
Philip Bruce Heywood said: So, evolution through mutation cannot happen amongst higher life-forms, IN THE ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH WE CURRENTLY LIVE.
Why?
Neo-anti-luddite, don't bother with PBH. In response to a question that he posed a couple of months ago about mutation mechanisms, I posted a quite lengthy and detailed comment that expounded my best understanding of the topic, and it now appears that he did not even read it. Certainly, he seems to prefer spouting irrelevant crapola to making an honest attempt to actually learn something.

bigbang · 13 May 2008

Mark Perakh says: “that the images of flagella they endlessly demonstrate are heavily doctored, and that the real observed flagella do not look like “machines” at all.”

.

Wow, they don’t actually look like man-made machines? Amazing. Still, function over form fellow that I am, I tend to be a bit more impressed by function than by form. And let’s face it, flagella function is rather impressive, especially for those of us who believe that it’s all the miraculous result of random mutations and selection . . . but then I suppose with an infinite number of organisms and time, all things, including flagella and sentient beings, are not only possible, they’re inevitable.

Flint · 13 May 2008

but then I suppose with an infinite number of organisms and time, all things, including flagella and sentient beings, are not only possible, they’re inevitable.

Huh? First, as many many many demonstrations have shown, selection speeds up the appearance of functional structures by many orders of magnitude. It's not pure accident; selection is very powerful. Second, selection acting on variation doesn't guarantee that all possible forms of live are inevitable. Not even close. What we're looking at is the space of what is possible, not what's inevitable. Each mutation that becomes fixed in a population closes off an infinity of might-have-beens, so that if we could rewind and start over an infinite number of times, we'd never get remotely the same sequence or patterns twice. Third, the deliberate confusion of form with function is intended to trick people into thinking that biological structures are in fact dead ringers for human-designed machines. Function, though, can be considered at many levels. for example, biological flight structures vary tremendously, from many plant seeds to bats, birds, flying fish, insects, etc. No two even slightly alike at the mechanical level, but all "flying" if we consider function broadly enough. And at that level, it might make sense to notice that the mechanics of human flight do not resemble ANY of those invented by evolution. Which likely explains why flight isn't used as an example - it's too well understood and too visible. Better to pretend there are little outboard motors at the microscopic level of long latin terms nobody can see.

prof weird · 13 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: Torbjorn: you are a man of precision. Have you ever researched this mutation bizzo? I have heard - and I have every reason to believe it to be true - that the genetic damage constantly downgrading the clarity of genetically transmissible information in all higher life forms including Man
That's a variant of the common creotard Information 'Argument' against evolution. Selection maintains the 'clarity' of genetic 'information' - variants of the 'information' that are not viable tend to go extinct very quickly. Were there no selection, a given 'message' would degrade rather quickly (which is why front-loading is such a weak argument - observations of REALITY reveal that the sequence of any DNA not under selection drifts rather quickly). Not all mutations are lethal - most are neutral (no discernable effect). Of those with an observable effect, the majority are deleterious, but a few are beneficial. Additional problem is the fact that words like 'neutral', 'deleterious', and 'beneficial' are CONTEXT DEPENDENT - what is a neutral mutation in one environ can be beneficial in another, or deleterious in a third. I *HAVE* researched this 'mutation bizzo' - I isolated a gene via transposon tagging. This REQUIRES creating mutants. Found the needed mutation about 1 in every 5000 flies.
if it continues, will ultimately render higher life inoperable.
RiiIIiiIIiight ! Humans pick up about 100 or so NEW mutations every generation, but we're still here. This suggests that your 'hypothesis' of imminent genetic meltdown be ludicrous.
I know for a fact that our genetics are getting worse.
Based on what, exactly ?
So, evolution through mutation cannot happen amongst higher life-forms, IN THE ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH WE CURRENTLY LIVE.
Actually, it can, given that your 'hypothesis' of imminent genetic meltdown is false.
Do common descent advocates get around this by hypothesizing a different world in the past, or do they simply ignore the facts?
What 'facts' are they supposedly ignoring ? We look at REALITY, and see that there is no imminent genetic meltdown. We look at REALITY, and see that selection maintains genetic 'clarity' - again, variants of a message that are not viable tend to go extinct rather quickly. Only those variants that are tolerable or beneficial tend to accumulate in the gene pool.

Mark Perakh · 13 May 2008

Larry Boy quoted from my comment as follows:

let me ask Larry Gilman a question: Can you predict, with an overwhelming probability, what the religious affiliation will be of a boy born today in Islamabad?

Larry Boy responded to my statement as follows:

I shouldn't wade into this, but how would you respond to the similar observation that the overwhelming majority of people accept what they were taught in science class. If 9th grade science books teach that there are three phases of mater, then people think there are three phases of mater. If four, then four. etc. To compound the problem, people who are serious about science and write those book assert that the majority of people are woefully scientifically ignorant. Similarly, the people who write books about religion, and teach religion classes assert that average people are woefully theologically ignorant.

Larry Boy correctly states that instruction in science and instruction in religion both (perhaps not to the same extent) entail indoctrination. There is no other way to teach science because students are inexperienced, and simply lack the necessary background knowledge to comprehend on their own, say, how many phases the matter may have, or what the behavior of magnetic materials is and why, etc., etc.,etc. Teaching science necessarily requires relying on the authority of Science, with its immense accumulation of knowledge based on centuries of research, discussions, theorizing, experimentation, etc. There is, though, a principal difference between indoctrination in science and indoctrination in religion. In New York, Tel-Aviv, Moscow, Peking, or Addis-Abeba, the same physics and the same chemistry, and the same mathematics are "indoctrinated" - there is only one physics, there is only one geology, there is only one physiology, etc., which is taught because all of it is the result of the lengthy process of science development, where every notion was subjected to merciless testing, and where consensus of scientists has been achieved through a painstaking process of studying the nature. In science there are no absolute truths, but only well substantiated conclusions which are taught only after they are shared by the overwhelming majority of the scientific community. In science there are no apostates, only occasional iconoclasts, of whom some may become acknowledged innovators if the newly discovered evidence is in their favor. On the other hand, there are thousands of versions of religious indoctrination, each being "the only one that is true," each claiming to possess the absolute truth, each intolerant of competitors, each equally self-admiring, usually based on alleged "revelations," of which many are obviously fantastic, incompatibly different for different faiths. Two indoctrinations - only one in science, andmany in religions. Construing the two indoctrinations as identical is untenable.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: Torbjorn: you are a man of precision.
Thank you. Nitpick: I think. :-P
Philip Bruce Heywood said: I have heard - and I have every reason to believe it to be true - that the genetic damage constantly downgrading the clarity of genetically transmissible information in all higher life forms including Man, if it continues, will ultimately render higher life inoperable. I know for a fact that our genetics are getting worse.
IANAB, but I hear that there is such a mechanism in Muller's ratchet that presumably explains why organisms like us may select for sexuality and recombination or why bacterias also have sexuality. But that takes care of that. So what is your observational evidence for your claim?
So, evolution through mutation cannot happen amongst higher life-forms, IN THE ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH WE CURRENTLY LIVE.
That would be too bad, as evolution is the process of life - no evolution, no surviving life. So bad in fact that it doesn't happen, for instance human evolution accelerated when our population grew large in the last 100 ky. You can't argue with observable facts. (Well, creationists can, but then it isn't biology.)

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 May 2008

prof weird said: That's a variant of the common creotard Information 'Argument' against evolution. Selection maintains the 'clarity' of genetic 'information' - variants of the 'information' that are not viable tend to go extinct very quickly.
D'oh! I should have considered the source when reading, I was thinking of (generally) deleterious mutations, not 'clarity' of 'transmission'. So yeah, back to evolution basics.

Bobby · 13 May 2008

Nigel D said:
Bobby said: Perhaps it's fraud, or perhaps it's merely the fact that IDologists, not being scientists in spirit, do not have any motivation to dig deeper when they see something that appears to support their agenda.
Bobby, this is very revealing. After the ID advocates have been whining on and on and on about how ID is science and not based on religion (oh, no, siree), even their own supporters are now admitting that they are not scientists. Whether this was a deliberate fraud or the result of academic incompetence is only a small difference. It illustrates the inherent hypocrisy of the entire ID movement. They are happy to accuse science of irrelevant wrongdoing (e.g. over Haeckel's embryo images, that were revealed to be wrong by scientists working about 100 years ago and are only included in textbooks to provide some historical perspective; and over the peppered moth images, which nicely illustrate the moths' camouflage irrespective of whether they are photographed on a tree trunk or a branch), but are not prepared even to attempt to meet the standard they publicly expect others to meet.
Someone else used my name.

Nigel D · 13 May 2008

Bobby, you should report that to the admins. They do not tolerate sock-puppetry and other forms of deceptive posting. The offending poster can be ID-ed by their IP address and admonished (or banned).

Richard Simons · 13 May 2008

Bobby said: Someone else used my name.
I had wondered if two people were posting under the name 'Bobby' on different threads as one seemed to accept evolution, the other not.

phantomreader42 · 13 May 2008

Richard Simons said:
Bobby said: Someone else used my name.
I had wondered if two people were posting under the name 'Bobby' on different threads as one seemed to accept evolution, the other not.
Maybe one person actually named "bobby" and one named "jacob".

Mark Perakh · 13 May 2008

There are in this thread several comments whose two different authors used the same handle "Bobby." Their email addresses and IP's differ. Since "Bobby" is a rather common name, it is possible the two commenters happened to choose the same handle by accident, so I see no sufficient reasons to punish any of them. Indeed, the texts of their comments do not look like any of them aimed at undermining the position of the other "Bobby." Perhaps any of them (or both) would slightly modify their ID-handles to make clear who writes what?

Science Avenger · 13 May 2008

"Bobby" - uppercase, the reasonable guy

"bobby" - lower case, juvenile idiot

I suggest the former change his moniker to something less common, and the latter's comments be deleted until he learns what it is to have adult conversation.

Ditto for Keith, Gary, and anyone else who routinely makes shit up, uses completely unecessary invectives, and ignores the questions posed and the answers offerred them. If you don't clear out the trolls, you are going to find this site populated with little else, which would be a damned shame. I for one used to learn a lot of biology here, back when the lowest-browed commentors weren't allowed to derail every thread into Loonyland.

bigbang · 13 May 2008

Flint said: “Huh? First, as many many many demonstrations have shown, selection speeds up the appearance of functional structures by many orders of magnitude. It’s not pure accident; selection is very powerful.” Regarding bigbang’s “infinite number of organisms and time.”

.

Sure, selection, survival of the fittest, is indeed a truism. How could it be otherwise? And of course we know the traits that survive are the fittest b/c if they weren’t, they’d not have survived. Circular perhaps, but undeniably a truism.

The problem of course is what can random mutations actually provide for natural selection to select from?

As malaria expert N J White has determined, from actual data in the real world rather than just so stories, it took random mutation and selection working in a population of around 10^20 Malaria parasites/organisms to finally developed resistance to CQ, which required two mutations; two mutations (unlike resistance to most other drugs which generally require just one mutation, or perhaps more than one mutation attained by simple step by step selectable paths) that apparently were not attained by simple step by step selectable paths.

And since it’s estimated (by various experts) that there’ve been less than 10^40 cells in Earth’s 4 billion year history, and that most proteins in the cell operate as specific complexes of six or more chains, requiring five or more protein sites, and that developing new protein sites seems to require at least two or more mutations that can’t necessarily be obtained by simple step by step selectable paths, well, 10^40 organism just isn’t enough opportunity for random mutation and selection to work their magic and evolve things like flagella and sentient beings.

Ergo, we stipulate infinite organisms and time, making such things like flagella and sentient beings possible, and indeed inevitable. That’s the beauty of infinities----it’s similar to the infinite multiverse where all universes, including the one we now find ourselves in, are not only possible, but inevitable.

phantomreader42 · 13 May 2008

Garbage. Regurgitating crap that's already been debunked on this very site. Can't you morons even come up with any NEW lies?
bigbang said: Flint said: “Huh? First, as many many many demonstrations have shown, selection speeds up the appearance of functional structures by many orders of magnitude. It’s not pure accident; selection is very powerful.” Regarding bigbang’s “infinite number of organisms and time.” . Sure, selection, survival of the fittest, is indeed a truism. How could it be otherwise? And of course we know the traits that survive are the fittest b/c if they weren’t, they’d not have survived. Circular perhaps, but undeniably a truism. The problem of course is what can random mutations actually provide for natural selection to select from? As malaria expert N J White has determined, from actual data in the real world rather than just so stories, it took random mutation and selection working in a population of around 10^20 Malaria parasites/organisms to finally developed resistance to CQ, which required two mutations; two mutations (unlike resistance to most other drugs which generally require just one mutation, or perhaps more than one mutation attained by simple step by step selectable paths) that apparently were not attained by simple step by step selectable paths. And since it’s estimated (by various experts) that there’ve been less than 10^40 cells in Earth’s 4 billion year history, and that most proteins in the cell operate as specific complexes of six or more chains, requiring five or more protein sites, and that developing new protein sites seems to require at least two or more mutations that can’t necessarily be obtained by simple step by step selectable paths, well, 10^40 organism just isn’t enough opportunity for random mutation and selection to work their magic and evolve things like flagella and sentient beings. Ergo, we stipulate infinite organisms and time, making such things like flagella and sentient beings possible, and indeed inevitable. That’s the beauty of infinities----it’s similar to the infinite multiverse where all universes, including the one we now find ourselves in, are not only possible, but inevitable.

Tom Marking · 13 May 2008

I am not in the creationist camp at all, being an atheist, but I do have some skepticism concerning natural selection as the dominant mode of evolution. So I guess I should have at it with a couple of questions:

1.) According to Darwin, et al evolution is completely non-teleological (not end goal driven). Once a sufficiently advanced form of life (such as Homo sapiens) evolves doesn't the process now become teleological? We can decide which traits we want to develop in our own species as well as other species (not to mention which other species go extinct). So isn't evolution as it's operating now a teleological process? And if so how does it change the basic theory?

2.) The environment is the agent of selection or SELECTOR (if you will). I've always thought that this was too vaguely defined in evolutionary theory. What is the environment? The atmospheric composition of the planet? Yes. The gravitational field of the planet and its strength (e.g., 9.8 meters per second per second)? Yes. The particular landforms (e.g., rivers, canyons, marshes, oceans, etc., etc.)? Yes. The other organisms on the planet? Yes. But wait! Evolution is non-teleological. If you include other organisms (e.g., predators, prey, competitors) then this sets up feedback loops which make the system teleological. Example, a lion-like organism changes its hunting strategy which in turn causes the zebra-like organism to change its grazing behavior which in turn affects the predator, in a complex feedback loop. Environment and organism are now intertwined. WHAT/WHO is the SELECTOR as opposed to the SELECTEE now? It may be the organism itself which evolves itself - which breaks non-teleology.

3.) The environment has some sort of stability. It seems to me that a chaotically changing environment on a short time scale cannot drive evolution. Traits that are advantageous in one generation are disadvantageous in the next generation and therefore no secular evolution can happen. Doesn't the claim that natural selection has happened on Earth imply certain characteristics concerning the Earth's environment? There must be some stability to the environment in a time scale approaching the longevity of the organism itself. Has this type of stability really predominated the geophysical history of the earth? Maybe not, volcanoes erupt randomly, asteroids impact randomly, and according to the data in the Greenland ice sheet the average temperature in certain locations fluctuated by as much as 50 deg F per year which is huge.

4.) If we think of natural selection as movement of a population of points in some fitness landscape (consider a 2D grid with X being width and Y being length and a surface in a 3rd dimension defined by vertical Z being the fitness coefficient) then evolution can be thought of as the movement of a population of points in this fitness landscape. Question: In this scenario can natural selection produce results that are any better than the hill climbing algorithm (i.e., sample your immediate neighborhood and find the local slope of the landscape, then take a small step uphill)? If so then it is well known that the hill climbing algorithm can only find a local maximum and not the overall peak for the fitness landscape. Is there any evidence that natural selection can do better than this?

And thanks in advance for your answers to any of these questions.

Shebardigan · 13 May 2008

Science Avenger said: If you don't clear out the trolls, you are going to find this site populated with little else, which would be a damned shame. I for one used to learn a lot of biology here, back when the lowest-browed commentors weren't allowed to derail every thread into Loonyland.
This is "Gresham's Law applied to Usenet" (or to any discussion forum). Bad posters tend to drive out good posters (and, thereby, interested readers). Certainly I find it less and less worth my time to wade through the swamp here, when most of the volume consists of disruptive trolls and regulars falling for the disruptive tactics of disruptive trolls. Perhaps a review of policies and practices at PT is in order. "jacob" seems to be the beneficiary of an unusual amount of slack, e.g.

raven · 13 May 2008

Actually a quintuple, 5 mutation malaria drug resistance phenotype is known and common. Abstract posted below.
bigdumbliar: As malaria expert N J White has determined, from actual data in the real world rather than just so stories, it took random mutation and selection working in a population of around 10^20 Malaria parasites/organisms to finally developed resistance to CQ, which required two mutations; two mutations (unlike resistance to most other drugs which generally require just one mutation, or perhaps more than one mutation attained by simple step by step selectable paths) that apparently were not attained by simple step by step selectable paths.
1: Acta Trop. 2003 Mar;85(3):363-73. Links prevalence of quintuple mutant dhps/dhfr genes in Plasmodium falciparum infections seven years after introduction of sulfadoxine and pyrimethamine as first line treatment in Malawi.Bwijo B, Kaneko A, Takechi M, Zungu IL, Moriyama Y, Lum JK, Tsukahara T, Mita T, Takahashi N, Bergqvist Y, Björkman A, Kobayakawa T. Department of International Affairs and Tropical Medicine, Tokyo Women's Medical University, 8-1 Kawada-Cho, Shinjuku-Ku, Tokyo 162 8666, Japan. Malawi changed its national policy for malaria treatment in 1993, becoming the first country in Africa to replace chloroquine by sulfadoxine and pyrimethamine combination (SP) as the first-line drug for uncomplicated malaria. Seven years after this change, we investigated the prevalence of dihydropteroate synthase (dhps) and dihydrofolate reductase (dhfr) mutations, known to be associated with decreased sensitivity to SP, in 173 asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections from Salima, Malawi. A high prevalence rate (78%) of parasites with triple Asn-108/Ile-51/Arg-59 dhfr and double Gly-437/Glu-540 dhps mutations was found. This 'quintuple mutant' is considered as a molecular marker for clinical failure of SP treatment of P. falciparum malaria. A total of 11 different dhfr and dhps combinations were detected, 3 of which were not previously reported. Nineteen isolates contained the single Glu-540 mutant dhps, while no isolate contained the single Gly-437 mutant dhps, an unexpected finding since Gly-437 are mostly assumed to be one of the first mutations commonly selected under sulfadoxine pressure. Two isolates contained the dhps single or double mutant coupled with dhfr wild-type. The high prevalence rates of the three dhfr mutations in our study were consistent with a previous survey in 1995 in Karonga, Malawi, whereas the prevalences of dhps mutations had increased, most probably as a result of the wide use of SP. A total of 52 P. falciparum isolates were also investigated for pyrimethamine and sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine activity against parasite growth according to WHO in vitro standard protocol. A pyrimethamine resistant profile was found. When pyrimethamine was combined with sulfadoxine, the mean EC(50) value decreased to less than one tenth of the pyrimethamine alone level. This synergistic activity may be explained by sulfadoxine inhibition of dhps despite the double mutations in the dhps genes, which would interact with pyrimethamine acting to block the remaining folate despite dhfr mutations in the low p-aminobenzoic acid and low folic acid medium mixed with blood.
The only 2 mutations possible nonsense was a lie when Behe said it. If he had spent 5 minutes checking the malaria drug resistance literature, he would have found triple, quadruple, and quintuple mutants killing people right and left. The two mutation lie depends on each of the single mutations having no detectable phenotype and ignores sexual recombination. Sex evolved for a purpose, to shuffle alleles around in an extended gene pool. This is simple, basic biology. What is it with you creos and lying? "If we lie a lot, god exists?" Seems there is a fallacy there. The old Argumentium ad Moronum

raven · 13 May 2008

I'll add here that focusing on mutations is so 2006. What is rate limiting in evolution seems to be the natural selection component of RM + NS.

We now know from sequencing multiple individual human genomes that somewhere between 100 and 175 new base differences appear from one generation to the next. The variability between 2 people is large, up to 15-20 million base pairs.

There is plenty of variability and it is being generated and shuffled constantly, every generation. We've seen selective sweeps of new alleles in almost real time, amylase copy number mutants and adult lactose tolerance. This fits in with punctuated equilibrium where periods of residence of a species at a local optimum is followed by rapid evolutionary change when the ecosphere optimum shifts.

Stanton · 13 May 2008

Tom Marking said: 1.) According to Darwin, et al evolution is completely non-teleological (not end goal driven). Once a sufficiently advanced form of life (such as Homo sapiens) evolves doesn't the process now become teleological? We can decide which traits we want to develop in our own species as well as other species (not to mention which other species go extinct). So isn't evolution as it's operating now a teleological process? And if so how does it change the basic theory?
Artificial selection is, essentially, teleological evolution. However, most of observed human evolution is not teleological in nature. Some aspects are teleological, such as the campaigns lead by some organizations, such as Dor Yeshorim, and the government of Cyprus to stamp out various inherited genetic diseases, including Tay-Sachs' disease and thalassemia, or the formation of "genius sperm banks." But for the most part, much of human evolution seen today is the result of human interaction with the environment, such as people developing the ability to secrete minute, but detectable quantities of chitinase because of dust mites in the air, due to various diseases, such as the way sickle cell anemia and thalassemia have persisted due to the presence of malaria, or due to changes in lifestyle, such as humans developing the ability to secrete lactase beyond puberty twice in two different dairy-dependent cultures.
2.) The environment is the agent of selection or SELECTOR (if you will).
There are numerous selectors in the evolution of any given species, including the environment, food supply, predators, competition with other species, competition wit members of the same species, competition with the opposite sex, the need to attract the opposite sex, all of these factors and many, many more determine how a particular species evolves.
3.) The environment has some sort of stability.
Generally speaking, a particular habitat needs to last a while, or appear frequently enough before you will have species adapted to living in that habitat. Hence, we see how ferns in Hawaii are adapted to colonizing lava fields, or how parthenogenic earthworms live and feed only in rotting logs in certain North American forests. While it is true that meteor impacts, volcanic eruptions, temperature fluctuations and massive, land-scouring glaciations do cause extinction, do also realize that these events occur very very rarely, as if they did occur on a frequent basis, nothing would be here discussing it in the first place.
Is there any evidence that natural selection can do better than this?
I found it better to understand natural selection as working sort of like poker, in that your hand is randomly selected from a shuffled deck, and that you need to use your hand as best as you can, or lose the game, sort of like the way an individual uses any mutations or inherited traits to the best of his/her/its advantage to survive in the environment, or perish. If he/she/it succeeds, the individual's genes get passed down into the next generation. If not, the individual dies without making any further contribution to the species' gene pool. Also, remember that natural selection is not the only driving force in evolution. It is among the most important forces in evolution, but is not the only thing to consider. There is this one variety of gray snake indigenous to an island in Lake Michigan. It is descended from a species of striped snake native to the mainland, and became gray after generations of having the brightest-striped individuals be devoured by the hawks that prowl the skies above the island, as striped snakes tend to stand out amongst granite boulders. However, biologists have noted that virtually every litter that every one of these island snakes has some striped babies, year after year. Apparently, the striped phenotype persists because, for several years, members of the ancestral striped population migrate to the island in droves during late spring and summer, and wind up mating with the native gray snakes before they all get eaten by the hawks. On the other hand, the gray form is not lost due to constant breeding with the ancestral striped snakes because the hawks are a selector against the striped form.

Mark Perakh · 13 May 2008

Partial reply to Tom Marking:
Dear Tom: Your comment contains a number of questions (of which many have been responded to more than once before). i'll not try to answer all your questions here but will instead only try to clarify for you just one point - that about evolutionary algorithms. The main fault of your discourse is that you consider a fitness landscape which is just two-dimensional (the third dimension being the fitness function itself). The real fitness landscapes in the biosphere are multi-dimensional. They usually have very few real peaks but instead many saddles, which appear like peaks in some of the dimensions, while hugging the rising slopes in many other directions, hence providing the hill-climbing algorithms plenty of ways to proceed beyond what may seem to be a local peak. Moreover, the real evolutionary algorithms are not necessarily hill-climbing. They are capable of not being stuck on a local maximum, even if such is encountered, but can very well descend into the neighboring depression in the fitness landscape, from which another upward slope may be emerging. In other words, the evolution not always is a continuous upward process, as an organism's fitness may as well decrease because of a certain mutation(s) but at a later stage pick up the upward ascent (fitness increase) again, in a different direction. You've imagined a substantially simplified model of evolution thus getting puzzled by non-existing obstacles to evolution which is in fact a a complex multidimensional process. As to the rest of your questions, like your seeming confusion regarding what is environment, there are many commenters to this thread who can elaborate on that point, which I leave to them (if they wish to do so). Just a few general statements. The evolutionary biology does not view natural selection as the sole evolution's driving force; there are various mechanisms, considered in the modern ET, besides natural selection, and the relative role of each of those mechanisms is being heatedly debated in the scientific literature day in and day out. If you wish to learn about it in a serious way, the only option is to study the up-to-date scientific literature, as popular publications can't provide an adequate clarification for your concerns.

Mike Elzinga · 13 May 2008

Science Avenger said: "Bobby" - uppercase, the reasonable guy "bobby" - lower case, juvenile idiot I suggest the former change his moniker to something less common, and the latter's comments be deleted until he learns what it is to have adult conversation. Ditto for Keith, Gary, and anyone else who routinely makes shit up, uses completely unecessary invectives, and ignores the questions posed and the answers offerred them. If you don't clear out the trolls, you are going to find this site populated with little else, which would be a damned shame. I for one used to learn a lot of biology here, back when the lowest-browed commentors weren't allowed to derail every thread into Loonyland.
I would like to add my voice to this also. Months of obsessive compulsive repetition and wrangling with trolls who clearly have serious mental disorders is diluting the really good stuff. If the Bathroom Wall is not adequate, why not institute a Psychiatric Ward or Padded Cell for these trolls?

MememicBottleneck · 13 May 2008

I'm not even close to being a biologist, but I think I can take a pretty good shot at your questions.
Tom Marking said: I am not in the creationist camp at all, being an atheist, but I do have some skepticism concerning natural selection as the dominant mode of evolution. So I guess I should have at it with a couple of questions: 1.) According to Darwin, et al evolution is completely non-teleological (not end goal driven). Once a sufficiently advanced form of life (such as Homo sapiens) evolves doesn't the process now become teleological? We can decide which traits we want to develop in our own species as well as other species (not to mention which other species go extinct). So isn't evolution as it's operating now a teleological process? And if so how does it change the basic theory?
Random Mutation is not goal driven. You cannot select something if it doesn't exist. One could argue that breeding programs are artificial selection instead of NS, but it is still selection. You may get something that is the more perfect cow, horse or whatever, but you can't just "design" a cow that has twice as much filet mignon.
2.) The environment is the agent of selection or SELECTOR (if you will). I've always thought that this was too vaguely defined in evolutionary theory. What is the environment? The atmospheric composition of the planet? Yes. The gravitational field of the planet and its strength (e.g., 9.8 meters per second per second)? Yes. The particular landforms (e.g., rivers, canyons, marshes, oceans, etc., etc.)? Yes. The other organisms on the planet? Yes. But wait! Evolution is non-teleological. If you include other organisms (e.g., predators, prey, competitors) then this sets up feedback loops which make the system teleological. Example, a lion-like organism changes its hunting strategy which in turn causes the zebra-like organism to change its grazing behavior which in turn affects the predator, in a complex feedback loop. Environment and organism are now intertwined. WHAT/WHO is the SELECTOR as opposed to the SELECTEE now? It may be the organism itself which evolves itself - which breaks non-teleology.
This question seems to reflect an old creo canard. An organism cannot decide to evolve. The only changes outside of benefits of breeding come from RM. If the zebra doesn't change, it's numbers will fall, then the lions will have to find another food source, or the lions numbers will increase then fall drastically due to starvation as the zebras are hunted out. NS may be the feedback filter, but RM is the feed forward variable that you are neglecting.
3.) The environment has some sort of stability. It seems to me that a chaotically changing environment on a short time scale cannot drive evolution. Traits that are advantageous in one generation are disadvantageous in the next generation and therefore no secular evolution can happen. Doesn't the claim that natural selection has happened on Earth imply certain characteristics concerning the Earth's environment? There must be some stability to the environment in a time scale approaching the longevity of the organism itself. Has this type of stability really predominated the geophysical history of the earth? Maybe not, volcanoes erupt randomly, asteroids impact randomly, and according to the data in the Greenland ice sheet the average temperature in certain locations fluctuated by as much as 50 deg F per year which is huge.
What kind of lifespan and stability are you talking about? The earth has been plenty stable in my lifetime, and throughout the history of my known ancestors. I'm not a meteorologist or a geologist either, but I think the experts in those fields have a pretty good idea what the historical environment was like, and nobody has pointed out a problem.
4.) If we think of natural selection as movement of a population of points in some fitness landscape (consider a 2D grid with X being width and Y being length and a surface in a 3rd dimension defined by vertical Z being the fitness coefficient) then evolution can be thought of as the movement of a population of points in this fitness landscape. Question: In this scenario can natural selection produce results that are any better than the hill climbing algorithm (i.e., sample your immediate neighborhood and find the local slope of the landscape, then take a small step uphill)? If so then it is well known that the hill climbing algorithm can only find a local maximum and not the overall peak for the fitness landscape. Is there any evidence that natural selection can do better than this?
Not all organisisms of a clade will find a local maximum. RM+NS is not design. NS can only select from available stock. The fossile record is littered with species that did find their local maximum and a sudden change in environment occured. They can summarily be called "extinct".
And thanks in advance for your answers to any of these questions.

raven · 13 May 2008

The real fitness landscapes in the biosphere are multi-dimensional. They usually have very few real peaks but instead many saddles, which appear like peaks in some of the dimensions, while hugging the rising slopes in many other directions, hence providing the hill-climbing algorithms plenty of ways to proceed beyond what may seem to be a local peak.
Good point. The fitness landscape is also in a perpetual state of flux. This is the contribution of Deep Ecology, deep in time. Ice ages come and go, continents break up and collide, sea levels rise and fall, and an occasional dinosaur killer asteroid really wipes the table clean. As well the biological components change. Plants come and go, land bridges form or dissolve, new diseases appear or old diseases mutate, new competitors evolve, old prey animals go extinct. On evolutionary relevant timescales, nothing is going to be the same for long. If it wasn't for Chickxulub, we probably wouldn't be here.

Stanton · 13 May 2008

raven said: On evolutionary relevant timescales, nothing is going to be the same for long. If it wasn't for Chickxulub, we probably wouldn't be here.
I wouldn't say that... Horseshoe crabs and ginkgo trees have survived largely unchanged for over 200 million years, and the European tadpole shrimp, Triops cancriformes is known from fossils from the Early Triassic. Plus, genetic tests suggest that most of the mammal orders had already diverged before the Late Cretaceous, even though they all still looked the same at the time.

Henry J · 13 May 2008

Tom Marking,

Re "So isn’t evolution as it’s operating now a teleological process?"

I suppose the parts that are under human influence might be. The parts that aren't, not. Developing traits in ourselves seems unlikely, since it would leave the question of who decides who gets to mate with who.

Re "What is the environment?"

Anything and everything (besides itself) that affects the reproductive success of the species. (This includes other species that are also evolving at the same time.)

Re "then this sets up feedback loops which make the system teleological."

Feedback loops can cause a trait to become more pronounced over time (for example, legs getting longer, or body size getting bigger, or in some cases smaller). But that's not what I thought "teleological" meant.

Re "It seems to me that a chaotically changing environment on a short time scale cannot drive evolution."

That makes sense to me, but the planet has plenty of environments that stay more or less stable for long periods; otherwise our civilization would be in trouble.

Henry

wright · 13 May 2008

Many thanks to those who answered Mr. Markings questions, and of course him for raising them in the first place. The answers have been very informative.

Science Avenger · 13 May 2008

Tom Marking said: 4.) If we think of natural selection as movement of a population of points in some fitness landscape (consider a 2D grid with X being width and Y being length and a surface in a 3rd dimension defined by vertical Z being the fitness coefficient) then evolution can be thought of as the movement of a population of points in this fitness landscape. Question: In this scenario can natural selection produce results that are any better than the hill climbing algorithm (i.e., sample your immediate neighborhood and find the local slope of the landscape, then take a small step uphill)? If so then it is well known that the hill climbing algorithm can only find a local maximum and not the overall peak for the fitness landscape. Is there any evidence that natural selection can do better than this?
With a nod to Mark Perakh's multiple dimension answer, what you really have done here is illustrate the difference between what evolution can do and what Intelligent Design can do. Evolution can only work with what it has and move from there. It can't "jump" to something superior, but radically different. It can't look ahead. ID could, and yet we don't see anything like that in the fossil, genetic, or other evidece. We never see the equivalent of a Ford designer noticing something neat the Toyota people are doing and incorporating it wholesale into his next model. A mythical human eye designer could have looked at the superiority of the octopus eye in some respects and improved the human eye appropriately. Evolution can't. It can only work with what is there.

Science Avenger · 13 May 2008

Mike Elzinga said: If the Bathroom Wall is not adequate, why not institute a Psychiatric Ward or Padded Cell for these trolls?
Perfect. Start a new thread and call it "The Padded Cell" and put all the nutjobs there to jibber to each other.

bigbang · 13 May 2008

Raven says: “The only 2 mutations possible nonsense was a lie when Behe said it. If he had spent 5 minutes checking the malaria drug resistance literature, he would have found triple, quadruple, and quintuple mutants killing people right and left.”

.

A lie? My, my, raven, you people do get malicious, don’t you?

And as it turns out, Behe did check out and discuss sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine, or S/P (in his EoE), being used in Malawi starting in 1993, after CQ was discontinued; and that resistance to the “P” developed via mutation in the DHFR enzyme (changing the amino acid at position 108 from serine to asparagines), and also developed a resistance to “S” via mutation to the DHPS enzyme (changing the alanine to glycine at position 437). (Behe also notes that that about five years after the S/P was used in Malawi, the malaria there became susceptible to CQ again.)

Still raven, you’re missing the point----the CQ resistance required two mutations, that obviously couldn’t be attained by simple step by step selectable paths; and as determined by N J White, no matter how you cut it, the data shows us that random mutation and selection had to go through 10^20 organisms b/f attaining the required mutations. Got that?----It’s actual data that gives us the 10^20, regardless of whatever you happen to believe regarding the required mutations. Unlike resistance to various other drugs which requires just one mutation where random mutation and selection have to go through maybe only 10^12 organisms.

And, as I’ve noted, since it’s estimated (by various experts) that there’ve been less than 10^40 cells in Earth’s 4 billion year history, and that most proteins in the cell operate as specific complexes of six or more chains, requiring five or more protein sites, and that developing new protein sites seems to require at least two or more mutations that can’t necessarily be obtained by simple step by step selectable paths, then 10^40 organism just isn’t enough opportunity for random mutation and selection to work their magic and evolve things like flagella and sentient beings. Ergo the need for infinities.

PvM · 13 May 2008

Still raven, you’re missing the point—-the CQ resistance required two mutations, that obviously couldn’t be attained by simple step by step selectable paths; and as determined by N J White, no matter how you cut it, the data shows us that random mutation and selection had to go through 10^20 organisms b/f attaining the required mutations. Got that?—

Yes, I got it, however this was based on at best a 'guess' and in fact, data show that selectable paths are hardly as hard to get to as Behe wanted us to believe. Behe is trying to credit White for his 10^20 however, White at least admits it's a guestimate at best. Why would Behe use data which are so poorly supported? As to CQ resistance, PT has documented some papers that outline how indeed science resolves these strawmen presented by Behe. It suffices to say that Behe's guestimates are poorly supported by the facts of evolution. I and others here will be more than happy to educate you as to the flaws in Behe's arguments. Interested?

PvM · 13 May 2008

Here is the relevant quote But if Behe had read White’s 2003 paper (table 1) “The de novo selection of drug-resistant malaria parasites.” N J White and W Pongtavornpinyo Proc Biol Sci. 2003 March 7; 270(1514): 545–554. he would have read that

The estimates for chloroquine and artemisinin are speculative. In the former case, this assumes two events in 10 years of use with exposure of 10% of the world’s falciparum malaria (Burgess &Young 1959; Martin&Arnold1968; Looareesuwan et al. 1996; Su et al. 1997

Now, you won't read about this in creationist literature now do you. I am sure you feel at least a bit embarrassed. As an ex-yec'er I feel your pain.

PvM · 13 May 2008

Yes, it's said how some Christians foolishly repeat the errors of their predecessors. That's the problem when information from authority is accepted without critical checking. It's not as much a lie as a predictable outcome of the 'science' one should come to expect from creationists who have insufficient faith in their God.
phantomreader42 said: Garbage. Regurgitating crap that's already been debunked on this very site. Can't you morons even come up with any NEW lies?

raven · 13 May 2008

Bigdumblier again: A lie? My, my, raven, you people do get malicious, don’t you?
What is malicious about answering lies with the truth. Documented from the scientific literature.
2006 | Volume : 52 | Issue : 4 | Page : 271-276 Current understanding of the molecular basis of chloroquine-resistance in Plasmodium falciparum Jiang H, Joy DA, Furuya T, Su X-z Despite multiple independent origins of CQR worldwide, CQR parasites share some common phenotypes: (1) increased IC 50 , deleted for length Twenty point mutations have been found in the pfcrt gene to date from CQR field isolates or laboratory clones through drug selection.[5] Association studies have shown that substitution of threonine (T) for lysine (K) at position 76 (K76T) is the hallmark of CQR parasites worldwide.[23],[25],[26] Although a few exceptions (e.g ., parasites with 76T allele of pfcrt were cleared by CQ treatment or parasites survived the CQ treatment while carrying 76K allele) have been reported recently,
Bigdumbliar: Still raven, you’re missing the point—-the CQ resistance required two mutations, that obviously couldn’t be attained by simple step by step selectable paths;
Behe didn't even get the two mutation data right. The main mutation to chlorquine resistance is a mutation called K76T. This can be found with up to 19 other known different mutations. A lot of in vivo and in vitro data indicate that K76T is the main mutation and the others most likely just potentiate it. The situation with chloroquine resistance is much more complicated than just a requirement for two simultaneous mutations. Malaria wasn't even breathing hard to evolve this resistance. They have done it several independent times. You ignored the abstract with the quintuple mutant. That is 5 mutations right there. Five. You can count can't you? Actually it is 3 in one gene and 2 in another gene. 5 or 3 > 2 mutations. So much for the limits of evolution. Behe's pseudoscience was trashed immediately by the scientific community as incredibly poor scholarship.

Stanton · 13 May 2008

raven said: Behe's pseudoscience was trashed immediately by the scientific community as incredibly poor scholarship.
Why is it that these moronic Intelligent Design groupies can never understand that it's a matter of quality control?

raven · 14 May 2008

One more for the road. Malarial resistance to chloroquine is much more complicated than 2 mutations in the transporter pfCRT gene. There are many mutations that yield chlorquine resistance. Most involve K76T, meaning a change from K to T at codon 76. In the paper below they looked at genotypes over time. They found 8 different genotypes involving 5 different mutations in one key resistance gene, pfCRT. This is in India alone, malaria is a worldwide disease with many different strains. There are at least 20 mutations in pfCRT that lead to malaria resistance known. Behe set up a straw man with no connection to reality. Two simultaneous mutations required to produce chloroquine resistance. Thirty minutes on pubmed with an internet connection would have told him that was so simple it is just plain, flat out wrong. But really, these days he isn't a scientist, just a creo babbling and making up lies.
J Infect Dis. 2006 May 1;193(9):1304-12. Epub 2006 Mar 21. Links Progressive increase in point mutations associated with chloroquine resistance in Plasmodium falciparum isolates from India.Mittra P, Vinayak S, Chandawat H, Das MK, Singh N, Biswas S, Dev V, Kumar A, Ansari MA, Sharma YD. Department of Biotechnology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India. BACKGROUND: Effective malaria control programs require continuous monitoring of drug pressure in the field, using molecular markers. METHODS: We used sequence analysis to investigate the pfcrt and pfmdr1 mutations in Indian Plasmodium falciparum isolates. To evaluate the chloroquine drug pressure in the field, isolates were collected from 5 different areas at 2 time points, with an interval of 2 years. RESULTS: In 265 P. falciparum isolates, pfcrt mutations were observed at codons 72, 74, 75, 76, and 220, resulting in 8 different genotypes: SMNTS (61.89%), CIETS (12.08%), CMNKS (0.38%), CMNTA (2.64%), CMNTS (4.91%), SMNTA (0.38%), CIDTS (2.26%), and wild-type CMNKA (15.47%). During the 2-year period, there was a significant decrease in the number of isolates with the SMNTS genotype and an increase in the number of isolates with the highly chloroquine-resistant pfcrt genotype CIETS (P less than .05). The N86Y mutation was less prevalent (30.13%) than the Y184F mutation (99.16%) in the pfmdr1 gene in 239 isolates, but the number of isolates with the N86Y mutation increased significantly during the 2-year period (P less than .05). The number of isolates with higher total numbers of pfcrt and pfmdr1 2-loci mutations, therefore, increased significantly during this period. There was a regional bias in the mutation rate of these genes, because isolates from areas where chloroquine resistance was high had higher numbers of 2-loci mutations, and areas where chloroquine resistance was low had isolates with lower numbers of 2-loci mutations. CONCLUSION: There was a temporal increase in the number of pfcrt and pfmdr1 2-loci mutations, and this led to the higher level of chloroquine resistance. This is a cause for concern for the antimalarial drug policy in India.

Philip Bruce Heywood · 14 May 2008

Neo-Anti-Luddite, Prof.Weird, Torbjorn,O.M..

What I am not, is a genetics expert/engineer. Listening to news reports, reading the science stuff - I have gained the clear impression that it is a fact that human health defects traceable to inheritance are increasing, and theoretically will do so unless something can be done to stop it. I think I am 100% correct on that. Am I?

But the reverse is true, in the case of harmful micro-organisms. They just keep improving. Correct or no?

Rilke's Granddaughter · 14 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: Neo-Anti-Luddite, Prof.Weird, Torbjorn,O.M.. What I am not, is a genetics expert/engineer. Listening to news reports, reading the science stuff - I have gained the clear impression that it is a fact that human health defects traceable to inheritance are increasing, and theoretically will do so unless something can be done to stop it. I think I am 100% correct on that. Am I? But the reverse is true, in the case of harmful micro-organisms. They just keep improving. Correct or no?
You are completely wrong on both points. You might consider educating yourself on the subject before spouting off.

Nigel D · 14 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: ...What I am not, is a genetics expert/engineer.
We had already worked that out, my friend.
Listening to news reports, reading the science stuff - I have gained the clear impression that it is a fact that human health defects traceable to inheritance are increasing, and theoretically will do so unless something can be done to stop it. I think I am 100% correct on that. Am I?
In an absolute sense, no, but in a relative sense, yes. The average human genome does not have any more heritable diseases than it had, say, 25 years ago. However, worldwide, we are treating more potentially-fatal diseases than previously, so deaths are down from these causes. We are getting better at identifying genetic conditions that might be described as "defects" (but perhaps you should talk to the autistic community about how autism is not a defect before you leap to any conclusions). We are all expecting more of our healthcare systems than we did 25 years ago, so reporting of minor symptoms is also increased. So, as a proportion of all health issues, genetic "defects" are on the increase. But the average human genome does not contain any more genetic "defects" than it did 25 years ago. It's all a question of trying to understand what the numbers mean.
But the reverse is true, in the case of harmful micro-organisms. They just keep improving. Correct or no?
No. They do not "improve". They adapt, because of our indiscriminate use of antibiotics. We have changed the environment for pathogenic bacteria by applying a massive selection pressure for antibiotic resistance. As has been predicted by MET, antibiotic resistant bacteria are becoming more common.

raven · 14 May 2008

I hate to beat a dead horse or a braindead creo (Behe and the troll) but Behe didn't get anything right about chloroquine (CQ) resistance. 1. There are at least two genes that can mutate to CQ resistance. 2. It is possible and easy to select single mutation CQ resistance mutations. 3. The most common mutation is in the pfCRT gene, K76T. In the experiment below they also picked up two other mutations, K76N and K76I. Behe didn't even get the mechanism of chloroquine resistance right in the first place. It is far more complicated than "2 simultaneous mutations required." This level of scholarship would get an upper division undergraduate in trouble for shoddy report writing. But then Behe is interested in advancing a religious fanatic's cause, not in being accurate or knowledgeable. Contrast this with the workers in the field. They are interested in the truth because malaria kills over a million people a year, mostly children, and drug resistance is a common and serious problem.
Mol Pharmacol. 2002 Jan;61(1):35-42. Links Alternative mutations at position 76 of the vacuolar transmembrane protein PfCRT are associated with chloroquine resistance and unique stereospecific quinine and quinidine responses in Plasmodium falciparum.Cooper RA, Ferdig MT, Su XZ, Ursos LM, Mu J, Nomura T, Fujioka H, Fidock DA, Roepe PD, Wellems TE. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland 20892, USA. Chloroquine resistance (CQR) in Plasmodium falciparum is associated with multiple mutations in the digestive vacuole membrane protein PfCRT. The chloroquine-sensitive (CQS) 106/1 line of P. falciparum has six of seven PfCRT mutations consistently found in CQR parasites from Asia and Africa. The missing mutation at position 76 (K76T in reported population surveys) may therefore be critical to CQR. To test this hypothesis, we exposed 106/1 populations (10(9)-10(10) parasites) to a chloroquine (CQ) concentration lethal to CQS parasites. In multiple independent experiments, surviving CQR parasites were detected in the cultures after 28 to 42 days. These parasites showed novel K76N or K76I PfCRT mutations and corresponding CQ IC(50) values that were approximately 8- and 12-fold higher than that of the original 106/1 IC(50). A distinctive feature of the K76I line relative to 106/1 parasites was their greatly increased sensitivity to quinine (QN) but reduced sensitivity to its enantiomer quinidine (QD), indicative of a unique stereospecific response not observed in other CQR lines. Furthermore, verapamil had the remarkable effect of antagonizing the QN response while potentiating the QD response of K76I parasites. In our single-step drug selection protocol, the probability of the simultaneous selection of two specific mutations required for CQR is extremely small. We conclude that the K76N or K76I change added to the other pre-existing mutations in the 106/1 PfCRT protein was responsible for CQR. The various mutations that have now been documented at PfCRT position 76 (K76T, K76N, K76I) suggest that the loss of lysine is central to the CQR mechanism.

Kevin B · 14 May 2008

Stanton said:
raven said: Behe's pseudoscience was trashed immediately by the scientific community as incredibly poor scholarship.
Why is it that these moronic Intelligent Design groupies can never understand that it's a matter of quality control?
The "quality-control = censorship" issue is just plain pseudoscience - every crackpot who thinks that he's discovered how to trisect the angle claims that he is being supressed by the mathematical establishment. Behe ought to know how to do science properly.

Dr. Puck · 14 May 2008

Something looks designed. So what? Snowflakes look designed; that cloud from your childhood that looked like a unicorn looks designed.

A successful test of actual design could focus on the anticipatory moves of a real agent. Even a chipped flake could meet that test.

The ID crowd won't specify the nature of agency because they want to infer it tautologically while plugging in magic premises. Doesn't the appeal to design hurt their case when you come right down to the nuts and bolts of how agents really do design stuff?

Philip Bruce Heywood · 14 May 2008

What agents. Secret agents? Not agen(t)cies of design! Kick him down the stairs.

Nige, I know the human genome isn't changing. Torbjorn says it is - he says we are evolving, right now. Your reply was an improvement on Strife'sGrandmother's.

I was asking the three wise men whether they know if the genetic damage we are sustaining is indeed as I have been informed - increasing. I shall compare your thoughts with theirs.

bigbang · 14 May 2008

Raven says: “Behe didn’t even get the two mutation data right. The main mutation to chlorquine resistance is a mutation called K76T. This can be found with up to 19 other known different mutations. A lot of in vivo and in vitro data indicate that K76T is the main mutation and the others most likely just potentiate it.”

.

Raven, I find your intellectual honesty and rigor less than compelling. You, like so many on your side of the argument, obviously haven’t actually and/or honestly considered, or simply don’t grasp, the data and arguments that Behe provides.

Behe discusses CQ resistance at some length in his EoE, noting that the mutant PfCRTs (the sequence of protein that provides the resistance) exhibits a range of changes, affecting as few as four amino acids to as many as eight; but the same two amino acid changes are almost always present----one switch at position 76 and another at position 220; and that the other mutations in the protein differ from each other with one group of mutations common to CQ resistant parasites in South America, and a second clustering of mutations appearing in malaria from Asia and Africa.

I must say raven that in all the back-and-forths that I’ve seen and studied between Behe and various neo-Darwinians (e.g. Behe’s blog at Amazon), a fair reading of those debates always shows that Behe exhibits far more intellectual honesty and rigor than his neo-Darwinian critics. And let’s be real raven----most who have some appreciation for the complexity and, dare I say, elegance, of life, especially at the molecular level, would agree that evolution by random mutation and selection is an incomplete theory at best (unlike, say, common descent for which there is indeed a good amount of evidence).

.

PvM says: “Behe is trying to credit White for his 10^20 however, White at least admits it’s a guestimate at best. Why would Behe use data which are so poorly supported?"

.

It’s a reasonably well supported and conservative estimate based on available and actual data, used in an attempt to reasonably and conservatively quantify what random mutation and selection has and can actually accomplish; unlike the typical unquantified just so stories that neo-Darwinians typically employ to explain the miracles of random mutation and selection that evolved all the amazing things we see today, such as flagella and sentient beings.

One last thing: Rather than blindly criticizing Behe for what so many of you blindly assume about him, you should take the time to actually read and study his EoE, and also to carefully read and consider the various back-and-forths with his critics in his Amazon blog----even though most of you will never agree with his conclusion regarding ID, Behe is a bright guy and the book is very well written with many, many solid sources documenting (and quantifying) his conclusions regarding the shortcomings of evolution via random mutation and selection (and remember that Behe has always acknowledged that the evidence for common descent is abundant, so common descent, contrary to what some of his disingenuous critics have alleged, has never been an issue).

bigbang · 14 May 2008

Raven says: "I hate to beat a dead horse or a braindead creo (Behe and the troll)…."

.

Apparently raven rather enjoys beating his dead horse; and his puerile comments reveal much about him. Unfortunately, such behavior and commentary seems to be common among the true believers of random mutation and selection. Oh well.

raven · 14 May 2008

Bigdumbliar: Apparently raven rather enjoys beating his dead horse; and his puerile comments reveal much about him. Unfortunately, such behavior and commentary seems to be common among the true believers of random mutation and selection. Oh well.
Oooh, an ad hominem attack. The last refuge of a scoundrel. You ignored all my points, documented by the scientific literature. Reality denial and lies are the stock in trade of religious cultists like Behe and the troll. While Behe makes up lies and you repeat them without understanding or caring one bit, other people have other priorities. The actual scientists who work in the field want to understand malarial resistance to chloroquinine because malaria kills over 1 million people a year, many of them children, and chloroquine resistance is a major problem. We all make choices. You lie and other people, scientists, try to make a better world for the people who live in it and suffer high morbidity and mortality due to a common infectious disease. What you said. Unfortunately, such behavior and commentary seems to be ubiquitous and routine among the true believers of creationism. Nothing new there.

raven · 14 May 2008

Bigdumbliar Making Things Up: And let’s be real raven—-most who have some appreciation for the complexity and, dare I say, elegance, of life, especially at the molecular level, would agree that evolution by random mutation and selection is an incomplete theory at best (unlike, say, common descent for which there is indeed a good amount of evidence).
You are documentally dead wrong here. Acceptance of evolution among scientists in relevant fields in the USA runs around 99%. It is higher in Europe. The few who don't like Behe, freely admit they don't on the basis of religious cultist grounds. In my field, medical research, in several decades, I've never even heard of a creo much less met one. And we see evolution happening on a daily basis. The current paradigm for cancer is an evolutionary one. Loss of growth control, evasion of host defenses, acquisition of immortality, telomerase turn on, metastasis, resistance to radiation, chemo, and biologicals, death. The process takes years and the number of mutations accumulated is estimated now at around 15. This will kill roughly 1/2 million Americans per year and eventually will kill 100 million of the people alive in the US today. A serious problem and one for which Making Stuff Up is useless.

PvM · 14 May 2008

And let’s be real raven—-most who have some appreciation for the complexity and, dare I say, elegance, of life, especially at the molecular level, would agree that evolution by random mutation and selection is an incomplete theory at best (unlike, say, common descent for which there is indeed a good amount of evidence)

Indeed, random mutation and selection are parts in a much larger scientific picture of evolutionary theory. Your point?

PvM · 14 May 2008

And let’s be real raven—-most who have some appreciation for the complexity and, dare I say, elegance, of life, especially at the molecular level, would agree that evolution by random mutation and selection is an incomplete theory at best (unlike, say, common descent for which there is indeed a good amount of evidence)

Indeed, random mutation and selection are parts in a much larger scientific picture of evolutionary theory. Your point?

Larry Boy · 14 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: I was asking the three wise men whether they know if the genetic damage we are sustaining is indeed as I have been informed - increasing.
There is an interesting perception that if we remove the selective pressure against various deleterious traits (say, poor eyesight) then there incidence will increase. While this is not entirely false, people fail to appreciate the time scale that will be involved with this increase. The deleterious trait increase only as the result of mutation pressure. Per gene mutation rates typically fall around 10^-5. Assuming, generously, that a hundred genes can contribute to the phenotype of the deleterious trait (like eyesight), that gives us a mutation pressure of 10^-4 per generation. This means that we see an exponential decay of the current wild type phenotype with a half-life of roughly 7,000 years. So 7,000 years after inventing glasses we can expect at most that half the population would poorer eyesight do to heritable defects allowed to persist due to a relaxed selective pressure. I think it is fairly safe to say that we have not experience substantial loss of capabilities as a result of mutations. Note that this is almost certainly on over estimate of the rate which 'genetic damage' accumulates. So, in short, we have not experience much 'genetic damage', since DNA Polymerase is s'darn cool.

Larry Boy · 14 May 2008

This means that we see an exponential decay of the current wild type phenotype with a half-life of roughly 7,000 years.
Whoops! That is 7,000 generations, going for a mean age of reproduction of 15 (which is again, probably low), that is 105,000 years.

Nigel D · 14 May 2008

A lie? My, my, raven, you people do get malicious, don’t you?

— bigbang the troll
No, he was being factual. Behe has published lies in his book Edge of Evolution. This was clearly demonstrated months ago.

Larry Boy · 14 May 2008

Is there a way to embed equations in here? I might be more apt to show calculations if it weren't so darn ugly to do so.

phantomreader42 · 14 May 2008

Larry Boy said: Is there a way to embed equations in here? I might be more apt to show calculations if it weren't so darn ugly to do so.
You might want to look into HTML escape sequences. there are all sorts of hidden characters you can display if you know the right code, including Greek letters and the like.

Nigel D · 14 May 2008

And thus we see a creationist quote-miner in action.
Philip Bruce Heywood said: ...Nige, I know the human genome isn't changing. Torbjorn says it is - he says we are evolving, right now. Your reply was an improvement on Strife'sGrandmother's. I was asking the three wise men whether they know if the genetic damage we are sustaining is indeed as I have been informed - increasing. I shall compare your thoughts with theirs.
I said nothing about the human genome in its entirety, I was commenting on the existence of genetic (i.e. heritable) conditions that would be described as "defects" (or syndromes or issues of one kind or another) by medical professionals. Unless I have missed some fairly important science, there are no (or very very few) new, emerging genetic "defects" among humans. By other metrics, "the" human genome changes all the time. Each time an egg becomes fertilised, a new combination of alleles, new (mostly neutral) mutations and SNPs (single nucleotide polymorphisms) is brought about. However, absolutely none of this can be interpreted as "genetic damage". I would only call it genetic damage if you have a double-stranded break in the DNA. To most cells, this is catastrophic (and, in mammals, will usually trigger apoptosis of the cell). Very occasionally, a cell might survive such a catastrophic break and end up with a new arrangement of genes and chromosomes.

Nigel D · 14 May 2008

Behe discusses CQ resistance at some length in his EoE, noting that the mutant PfCRTs (the sequence of protein that provides the resistance) exhibits a range of changes, affecting as few as four amino acids to as many as eight; but the same two amino acid changes are almost always present—-one switch at position 76 and another at position 220; and that the other mutations in the protein differ from each other with one group of mutations common to CQ resistant parasites in South America, and a second clustering of mutations appearing in malaria from Asia and Africa.

— bigbang
Yes, that is what Behe wants you to think. Unfortunately, Behe spent more time crafting his prose than researching his facts. The mutation of K76 alone is sufficient to confer a significant degree of chloroquine resistance. This is, as Raven points out, potentiated by other, auxiliary mutations. A Plasmodium possessing a single K76T mutation has a significant competetive advantage over parasites that do not possess this mutation. Therefore, it will be selected. The fact that other mutations can subsequently confer an advantage over Plasmodium that possess only K76T does not change the fact that Behe is wrong. It does not change the fact that you should have looked up these details in a source that is less biased, dogmatic and partisan than EoE.

bigbang · 14 May 2008

Raven says to bigbang: “You lie,” and that “Acceptance of evolution among scientists….”

.

No, I’m not the one being dishonest here.

Most everyone accepts, except perhaps raven’s straw man “creo,” which obviously neither Behe nor or I are, that life evolves, or unfolds as it were; and also in the reality of common descent. Furthermore, most would more or less accept so-called natural selection, or survival of the fittest, since it’s essentially a truism, albeit circular and doesn’t truly explain or predict much of anything except the circular and obvious, that the fittest traits survive in whatever environment those traits are determined to be the fittest. For example, CQ resistant malaria survives and outbreeds other strains of malaria in an environment where CQ is being used, but then peters out when CQ is no longer being used; as was the case in Malawi about five years after S/P had been used to fight Malaria.

What raven is unable to grasp is that the only actual issue is how much evolution can reasonably, quantifiably, be attributed to random mutation and selection pressures. Not all that much.

As the eminent geneticist Francois Jacob noted, Darwinian evolution, via random mutation and selection, is a tinkerer, not an engineer. Hell raven, even PvM, above, seems to acknowledge that random mutation and selection is an incomplete theory.

Nigel D says: “The mutation of K76 alone is sufficient to confer a significant degree of chloroquine resistance. This is, as Raven points out, potentiated by other, auxiliary mutations.”

.

Hmmm, imagine that, only one mutation, potentiated by other mutations (and/or perhaps by simple step by step selectable paths?), and yet it still took random mutation and selection 10^20 organisms, as determined from the available data by N J White, b/f malaria acquired the effective CQ resistance we’re talking about here . . . which, if you think about it, only strengthens the case against random mutation and selection. Thanks Nigel.

SunSpiker · 14 May 2008

bigbang said: Raven says to bigbang: “You lie,” and that “Acceptance of evolution among scientists….” . No, I’m not the one being dishonest here. Most everyone accepts, except perhaps raven’s straw man “creo,” which obviously neither Behe nor or I are, that life evolves, or unfolds as it were; and also in the reality of common descent. Furthermore, most would more or less accept so-called natural selection, or survival of the fittest, since it’s essentially a truism, albeit circular and doesn’t truly explain or predict much of anything except the circular and obvious, that the fittest traits survive in whatever environment those traits are determined to be the fittest. For example, CQ resistant malaria survives and outbreeds other strains of malaria in an environment where CQ is being used, but then peters out when CQ is no longer being used; as was the case in Malawi about five years after S/P had been used to fight Malaria. What raven is unable to grasp is that the only actual issue is how much evolution can reasonably, quantifiably, be attributed to random mutation and selection pressures. Not all that much. As the eminent geneticist Francois Jacob noted, Darwinian evolution, via random mutation and selection, is a tinkerer, not an engineer. Hell raven, even PvM, above, seems to acknowledge that random mutation and selection is an incomplete theory. Nigel D says: “The mutation of K76 alone is sufficient to confer a significant degree of chloroquine resistance. This is, as Raven points out, potentiated by other, auxiliary mutations.” . Hmmm, imagine that, only one mutation, potentiated by other mutations (and/or perhaps by simple step by step selectable paths?), and yet it still took random mutation and selection 10^20 organisms, as determined from the available data by N J White, b/f malaria acquired the effective CQ resistance we’re talking about here . . . which, if you think about it, only strengthens the case against random mutation and selection. Thanks Nigel.
So really what you are saying is that Behe (or you) has discovered that evolution as we know it is wrong, that all the science done in the name of evolution is wrong and that you or Behe has solid evidence for this. This is earth shattering, ground breaking science! Any scientist with half a pulse would publish this immediately, gain fame and probably fortune, and a place in history - most certainly a Nobel prize. Seriously, that is the magnitude of what you are claiming here. But Behe won't submit anything and neither will you, because deep down you really doubt yourself and him. You really don't believe this crap, and he doesn't either. Go ahead, you have the 'data', you have the evidence - write a paper, or get Behe to write it, submit it to Science or Nature or any journal worthy of this work and reap the rewards. Otherwise, stop deceiving yourself and others.

eric · 14 May 2008

I’m a little late to the ball, but I’d like add my answers to Tom Marking’s questions. Keep in mind I’m a lowly chemist…

1)There are many types of selection. Natural selection, sexual selection, artificial selection (aka breeding), etc… The importance of each may vary with circumstances, but the use of artificial selection in humans, by humans does not mean natural selection stops or becomes teleological.

2) When Darwin wrote Origin he proposed that the selection pressure created by other species (e.g. cheetah – gazelle) was much stronger than the selection pressure created by the nonliving environment (e.g. temperature). I think modern biologists would say the answer is more nuanced, but at a minimum you are right in thinking natural selection means there will be a lot of feedback (and feedforward) loops. To be honest, I’m not sure how the existence of cheetahs makes gazelle evolution teleological, or why that’s even important. If natural selection fits someone’s definition of teleological, does the theory suddenly become wrong? Does it break a rule of science to say cheetahs and gazelles are in an arms race? I can’t see why it would.

3) It appears to me that the Earth has many environments that are stable over the lifetime of various organisms. Why, we haven’t had an ice age, volcanic eruption, or major meteor impact in my neighborhood for something like 1000 human lifetimes.

4) Yes, evolution is much more likely to find a local fitness maximum than a global one. Actually this is a classic argument against creation/intelligent design; if things were designed intelligently, we’d expect to see more body parts that are global fitness maxima (as far as we can tell). But instead we see things like the vascular nerve of the giraffe, and the ‘reverse’ orientation of photoreceptors in the mammalian eye – cases of obvious local maxima. Nor do creationist claims of degeneration successfuly explain these local maxima, because in fitness geometries like the simple one you describe it is as impossble to "jump down" to local maximum from a higher one as it is to "jump up" to a higher one from a lower one. Degeneration has no way of looping a vascular nerve around the aorta.

If you think about it, your simple local maxima analogy is just a biological reframing of the problem of evil. Frankly it has always surprised me that IDers wanted to put the problem of evil up for discussion in a classroom. That particular philosophical discussion is not known for creating religious converts.

Larry Boy · 14 May 2008

Look, I don't hate you or anything. I don't have a vendetta against creationist. I think of them as people who are simply missing the awesomely fun party that is understanding the world as it truly is, and I want you to come to the party. It's fun here! Now, that said, you have to understand the raven is EXHAUSTED by people being ignorant all the time. Ignorant here means refusing to learn information that is easily available, and not applying the critical thinking skills that every person possess. Evolution happens, Behe is not a scientist, and life would be ever so much grander if you learned HOW to figure out what is going on in the world around you. Let me try to convince you. Let's look at your last statement here.
bigbang said: Hmmm, imagine that, only one mutation, potentiated by other mutations (and/or perhaps by simple step by step selectable paths?), and yet it still took random mutation and selection 10^20 organisms, as determined from the available data by N J White, b/f malaria acquired the effective CQ resistance we’re talking about here … which, if you think about it, only strengthens the case against random mutation and selection. Thanks Nigel.
Now. Several questions ought to occur to you before you take the number 10^20 as definitive disproof of evolution. First, there is a question about how you are using the number. Did White mean it as an estimate of the number of P. falciparum that had to exist for the mutation to arise? If he did, then perhaps white is wrong. Scientist make mistakes with math all the time. How did White make his estimate? Walk me through the math and measurements he took to get there. Doesn't it seem more likely that one scientist is mistaken about one fact, then a thousand scientist are mistaken about ten thousand facts? I'm not saying that we should ignore White's number, but shouldn't we think about it before we accept it? Unfortunately I do not have access to the White's paper, so I am not sure what he was attempting to do, nor what he said, but I should tell you that I personally would be would happily read any paper which asserted that natural selection and mutation were insufficient to drive evolution. It just happens to be the case that in years of searching the writings of some of the most knowledgeable people in the world on evolution I have never found any that think that natural selection is not the source of adaptive evolution. If that information was out there, it would make someone famous. Most scientist don't care about religious, philosophical or political theories, not really. Like Kara Nightly on the closer, we just care about the truth. If intelligent design is the truth, I want to know. It is only because my researched and reasoned opinion is that there is absolutely no evidence to indicate that ID happened and its theoretical development almost non existent that I reject it.

Stanton · 14 May 2008

eric said: Does it break a rule of science to say cheetahs and gazelles are in an arms race? I can’t see why it would.
No. I've read several authors describe predator prey relationships as being arms races. In fact, the reason why pronghorns are so fast, being able to run at speeds of up to 60 mph, is because, during the late Pleistocene, there was a genus of cheetah-like puma, Miracinonyx, known colloquially as the "American cheetah(s)," that pursued them.

stevaroni · 14 May 2008

Larry boy writes... I shouldn’t wade into this, but how would you respond to the similar observation that the overwhelming majority of people accept what they were taught in science class. If 9th grade science books teach that there are three phases of mater, then people think there are three phases of mater. If four, then four. etc.

Yes, students do believe what they are taught in school. There is a huge potential for the insertion of all manner of partisan propaganda, and there are vested interests that want to capitalize on the opportunity to get young minds before they learn to ask "why". That's why we fight so hard to make sure that only the best available information is taught. That's why we demand that only theories backed up by empirical evidence are allowed. That's why we make those who want to teach stuff to our kids answer the question "How do we know this is true?" That question make propagandists angry. That question make science happy, because science has answers.

trrll · 14 May 2008

If we think of natural selection as movement of a population of points in some fitness landscape (consider a 2D grid with X being width and Y being length and a surface in a 3rd dimension defined by vertical Z being the fitness coefficient) then evolution can be thought of as the movement of a population of points in this fitness landscape. Question: In this scenario can natural selection produce results that are any better than the hill climbing algorithm (i.e., sample your immediate neighborhood and find the local slope of the landscape, then take a small step uphill)? If so then it is well known that the hill climbing algorithm can only find a local maximum and not the overall peak for the fitness landscape. Is there any evidence that natural selection can do better than this?
In fact, when one is trying to solve an optimization problem that may have local minima, a genetic algorithm is one commonly chosen strategy, mainly because it is less likely to get caught in a local optimum than a gradient-based strategy. The reason is that a hill-climbing algorithm samples only a single point, whereas a population constitutes a cloud that samples a larger (and time-varying) region of the parameter space, so there is always a chance for some of them will get past the valley and find a higher hill. The entire population may follow, or the individuals that discover the new hill may become separated from the rest and constitute a new species. Keep in mind also that we are talking about a landscape that is much, much more than two dimensional, since every variable phenotype constitutes a dimension. So to get "stuck" on a local maximum, it must be downhill in all the thousands of directions in which variability can occur. Note also that the fitness landscape is not static, because fitness is influenced by other organisms which are themselves evolving, as well as by time dependent factors such as climate, so a local optimum may not remain an optimum indefinitely. Nevertheless, it seems clear that local optima can and do occur. This is the lesson of the "Panda's Thumb;" the panda would almost certainly be better off with a thumb derived from a finger, like ours, instead of one derived from a wrist bone, but evolution has found a stable local optimum.

Tom Marking · 14 May 2008

"The real fitness landscapes in the biosphere are multi-dimensional. They usually have very few real peaks but instead many saddles, which appear like peaks in some of the dimensions, while hugging the rising slopes in many other directions"

Yes, I realize that the real dimensionality of the problem is something like ~10,000 (or ~20,000 for humans if you want to equate the cardinality of the trait space with the total number of genes). I used the 3D version for simplicity. It is very hard to get one's mind around what a "saddle shape" is in 10,000 dimensions. I have a hard time visualizing that.

"Moreover, the real evolutionary algorithms are not necessarily hill-climbing. They are capable of not being stuck on a local maximum, even if such is encountered, but can very well descend into the neighboring depression in the fitness landscape, from which another upward slope may be emerging."

Hmmm, I'm finding that a hard concept to grasp. Wouldn't natural selection prohibit the movement of the center of gravity of the population towards lower fitness? Such mutations in that direction would be weeded out in the very first generation they occur in, right? Maybe if the distance to the next upward slope was not that far then some temporary lowering of fitness could happen which enables the population to jump to the other hill. I'm not sure if you had that in mind. It seems to go against the concept of incremental change.

trrll · 14 May 2008

And, as I’ve noted, since it’s estimated (by various experts) that there’ve been less than 10^40 cells in Earth’s 4 billion year history, and that most proteins in the cell operate as specific complexes of six or more chains, requiring five or more protein sites, and that developing new protein sites seems to require at least two or more mutations that can’t necessarily be obtained by simple step by step selectable paths, then 10^40 organism just isn’t enough opportunity for random mutation and selection to work their magic and evolve things like flagella and sentient beings. Ergo the need for infinities.
The fundamental conceptual error here seems to be the assumption that a protein-protein binding site must either be present or absent. Those of us who work with actual cells (Behe, back when he did actual science, seems to have been a purified enzyme kind of guy) know that proteins are kind of promiscuously sticky. Nearly everything sticks to everything else a little bit. So if a rare protein-protein association produces a small advantage, then there is a selective force favoring variants already present in the population (of which, based on mutagenesis studies, there are likely to be many) that will make it a bit less rare. This will increase the advantage, and increase the selective pressure to further optimize the interface. So rather than waiting for two key mutations to produce the perfect interface, we have the gradual accumulation of variants, most of them already present in the population, each producing an incremental enhancement in the frequency of association.

Tom Marking · 14 May 2008

"Random Mutation is not goal driven. You cannot select something if it doesn’t exist. One could argue that breeding programs are artificial selection instead of NS, but it is still selection. You may get something that is the more perfect cow, horse or whatever, but you can’t just “design” a cow that has twice as much filet mignon."

The mutations themselves are not goal driven since, of course, they are random. That says nothing about the selection of such mutations being goal driven or not. Given the incredible results of artificial selection which human beings have carried out during the last 10,000 years I would say that a Black Angus is precisely a cow which has been "designed" to have twice as much filet mignon as the original wild type.

raven · 14 May 2008

If he did, then perhaps white is wrong. Scientist make mistakes with math all the time. How did White make his estimate? Walk me through the math and measurements he took to get there.
The de novo selection of drug-resistant malaria parasites N. J. White1,2* and W. Pongtavornpinyo2 Proc Royal Society Biology 2003 Table 1. Approximate per-parasite frequencies for genetic events (mutations or gene amplifications) which lead to the emergence of clinically significant drug resistance of Plasmodium falciparum in vivo. (If the resistance mechanism is multigenic then this represents the frequency of the parasite becoming resistant and thus it is the product of the individual mutation frequencies. The estimate for pyrimethamine is for the drug alone. When it is combined together with a sulphonamide the frequency appears to be significantly lower. The estimate for mefloquine is in already chloroquine-resistant parasites. The estimates for chloroquine and artemisinin are speculative. In the former case, this assumes two events in 10 years of use with exposure of 10% of the world’s falciparum malaria (Burgess & Young 1959; Martin & Arnold 1968; Looareesuwan et al. 1996; Su et al. 1997; Nosten et al. 2000).) drug per-parasite resistance mutation frequency pyrimethamine 1 in 10exp11 atovaquone 1 in 10exp12 mefloquine 1 in 10exp14 chloroquine 1 in 10exp19 artemisinin ,1 in 10exp18
"The estimates for chloroquine and artemisinin are speculative. In the former case, this assumes two events in 10 years of use with exposure of 10% of the world’s falciparum malaria" Pressed for time here so can't really comment much. 1. The NJ White is open source and may be downloaded as a pdf, which I did. 2. It is strictly a mathematical paper, no experiments, no original data. Not a bad paper, interesting and thoughtful. But we all know that one fact trumps a whole lot of theory in biology. I doubt White took it too seriously knowing this. 3. He gives his source for the chloroquine resistance mutation rate. He guessed. An educated guess to be sure. 4. His guess is 1 in 10exp19, not 1 in 10exp20. A factor of ten on "the edge of evolution" means it would be 10 fold easier to evolve chloroquine resistance than 10exp20. 5. Now the data. White published his paper in 2003. A lot has been found out since then since malaria funding has gone up. Empirically, chloroquine resistance is complex like a lot of biology. Two different loci can be involved, pfCRT and/or pfmdr1. The main mutation seems to be K76T in pfCRT acting in concert with a large number of potentiating mutations. K76T itself seems to confer some level of resistance since it is the most commonly found mutation. To call chloroquine resistance the edge of evolution is not in accord with the facts. This resistance has originated several independent times. One source says 4, one just says just numerous. What probably keeps it from arising more often is it already exists everywhere. Anytime chloroquine is used, selective sweeps which can be an exponential process take over the parasite population. This was not a good example. But then again, Behe's idea wasn't a good one. The edge of evolution is known for now. Just look around. We are it. So is my cat.

trrll · 14 May 2008

Hmmm, I’m finding that a hard concept to grasp. Wouldn’t natural selection prohibit the movement of the center of gravity of the population towards lower fitness? Such mutations in that direction would be weeded out in the very first generation they occur in, right? Maybe if the distance to the next upward slope was not that far then some temporary lowering of fitness could happen which enables the population to jump to the other hill. I’m not sure if you had that in mind. It seems to go against the concept of incremental change.
You are still thinking of the center of gravity of the population, rather than the whole population. The population tends to spread out, both because of mutation, and because there are advantages to diversity within the population (not competing exactly with your neighbors for the same resources, not having the exact same vulnerability to diseases and parasites). So there is an outward pressure balancing the selective pressure toward the optimum, preventing all of the population from collapsing into a single genotype. This will push some of the population into the valley, where they have the opportunity to discover a new hill, in which case some of the population will start flowing up the hill. Depending upon specific circumstances (e.g. the rate of gene flow within the population) which affect the "surface tension" of the population, they may pull the entire population up the new hill. Or the population may fission into two disconnected groups in a speciation event. Perhaps it's easier to turn your landscape over so that the hills become valleys. Think of your population as a puddle in a valley. Now, to simulate random variation, put your landscape on a vibrating plate. Can you visualize how some of the puddle can end up moving from one valley to another?

GuyeFaux · 14 May 2008

Hmmm, I’m finding that a hard concept to grasp. Wouldn’t natural selection prohibit the movement of the center of gravity of the population towards lower fitness?

No. I hope my diagramm-less explanation helps. As you indicate, the population is best described as a cloud of individuals in fitness-space. The size of the cloud is a measure of variation within the population. The tendency to condense the cloud to the nearest local peak (and therefore reduce variation) is resisted by mutation and sex. So, if variation within the population got sufficiently small enough, then yes, the population will forever be stuck at a local minimum (given a constant fitness landscape and no lottery-winning mutations). However, if the population-cloud includes a local minimum, then it's possible to move the center of gravity of the population towards lower fitness. A local minimum, or valley, is an area of low fitness where we can go to one of two local peaks. So, imagine an original population clustered around a local fitness-peak. However, due to variation within the population, the cloud comes to include a local minimum, and some segment of the population begins ascending to the other peak on the other side of the valley. Supposing that an increasing portion of the population starts climbing the other peak, the center-of-gravity of the population will actually move towards the other peak, moving towards and perhaps through the valley. The result of this is that the center of gravity of the population will move towards lower fitness for a period. Note, however, that the average fitness of the population need not decrease, only the fitness of the average individual (a.k.a. the center of gravity of the population).

Tom Marking · 14 May 2008

"Re “What is the environment?”

Anything and everything (besides itself) that affects the reproductive success of the species. (This includes other species that are also evolving at the same time.)"

Let me explain why I think there is a philosophical problem with this. You might want to define the theory of natural selection as follows:

1.) The environment causes differential reproductive success in a population of organisms thus driving evolution.

But if your definition for environment is:

2.) The environment is the totality of physical factors which causes differential reproductive success in a population of organisms

Then you haven't really specified what it is exactly that is causing the reproductive success. It is essentially a tautology.

Now, you might claim that, for example, Newton's 2nd Law, is also tautological. Thus:

3.) Force equals mass times acceleration

4.) Force is that which given a value of F and applied to a mass of M causes an acceleration of F/M

Let me explain why in this case Newton's 2nd Law is not tautological. In a nutshell, the methodology for measuring F, M, and A are all different. F is measured with a spring, M is measured with a balance using standard weights, and A can be measured by looking at the motion of the object in question.

In the case of natural selection, the end result of differential reproductive success is measured (in most cases) by looking at changes in the fossil record. How is the environment measured?

If you were to tell me that environment was measured by looking at the ratio of O-18 to O-16 isotopes in sea floor sediment which can be used to deduce temperature, and other things like that then I have no problem with it. It's not a tautology. However, in the vast majority of cases all we have are the changes in the fossil record. It seems only in the cases of extreme environmental stress (e.g., KT impactor, Siberian Traps causing Permian extinction) do we have a separately measurable environmental factor directly linked to evolutionary change in the fossil record.

So in most cases of evolution we must assume that something in the environment was causing the evolution, but as to exactly what it was, we don't know and probably can never know.

And if we include species-to-species feedback effects with thousands of species and tens of thousands of genes per species, the actual "cause" of any evolutionary event may be more complicated than the human mind can understand anyway.

GuyeFaux · 14 May 2008

I should add that in high dimensional fitness landscapes it is exceedingly unlikely that a local maximum is extreme enough to prohibit peak-hopping.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 14 May 2008

bigbang said: And of course we know the traits that survive are the fittest b/c if they weren’t, they’d not have survived. Circular perhaps, but undeniably a truism.
Let me see if I understand that logic: "And of course we know the bodies that move are the most energetic b/c if they weren’t, they’d not have moved. Circular perhaps, but undeniably a truism." Um, no, I can measure energies, and they will differ. So there isn't any truism in that bodies must move, or move at a certain speed. I can also measure velocities, and they can't be conflated with energy which can come from many sources. The same goes for fitness, which more precisely is differential reproductive success. This can be measured on a quantifiable scale. (Scales actually, as there is both absolute and relative fitness.) And as energy it has many sources, death before reproduction cuts down fitness, while having more progeny increases it. And self-reference is a common feature in formal theories. How can it not be? "Hooke's law says that viscoelastic materials exhibit viscoelasticity, and viscoelasticity is defined as the property of materials that follows Hooke's law." Well, duh! Assumptions, self-reference and recursion isn't a problem any more than in math. Less actually as empirical theories makes testable claims and can be validated outside any formalism thus validating even the assumptions. Btw, Behe's fallacious argument have been analyzed and debunked many times on this site.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 14 May 2008

Tom Marking said: 1.) According to Darwin, et al evolution is completely non-teleological (not end goal driven). Once a sufficiently advanced form of life (such as Homo sapiens) evolves doesn't the process now become teleological? We can decide which traits we want to develop in our own species as well as other species (not to mention which other species go extinct). So isn't evolution as it's operating now a teleological process? And if so how does it change the basic theory?
To claim that we as agents would be entirely teleological we would need to know how to make new desirable traits from scratch. As of today we are still at the artificial selection stage. As we are agents inside the process, I don't see how the process becomes externally teleological any more than other natural processes. There is still no agent needed in the theory itself, only a description of what traits we artificially develop. It would essentially be the same situation as in an lab experiment; we don't add a teleological agency to our theories to describe those as opposed to passive observation. The theory for artificial selection is the same as for natural - or rather, artificial selection is considered a subset of selection.
Tom Marking said: 2.) The environment is the agent of selection or SELECTOR (if you will). I've always thought that this was too vaguely defined in evolutionary theory. What is the environment?
IANAB, but I think Dawkins tackle this problem, what is the phenotype and what is the environment, in his extended phenotype/selfish gene work.
Tom Marking said: If you include other organisms (e.g., predators, prey, competitors) then this sets up feedback loops which make the system teleological.
No. That is co-evolution. The environment of one population contains all other populations. That the population can affect the environment is natural.
Tom Marking said: It seems to me that a chaotically changing environment on a short time scale cannot drive evolution. Traits that are advantageous in one generation are disadvantageous in the next generation and therefore no secular evolution can happen.
What is "secular evolution"? Evolution is the same science for religious as atheist scientists. IANAB, but it seems correct that the environment can't change too fast. 99.9 % of all populations have gone extinct due to that. But considering bacterias can have generation times on the order of 20 minutes when pressed, relative "stability" isn't a very difficult condition to observe.
Tom Marking said: If so then it is well known that the hill climbing algorithm can only find a local maximum and not the overall peak for the fitness landscape. Is there any evidence that natural selection can do better than this?
In a higher-dimensional landscape as an idealized fitness landscape (which is probably not a good description in reality) there will be relatively few optima, as there will be many degrees of freedom leading away from an arbitrary point. But more generally I suspect populations never find it due to what you just mentioned in the previous point. The environment will change well before evolution has had time to explore all possibilities to improve a trait. There is no reason to think organisms are perfectly adapted, nor do they need to be - fitness is most often relative AFAIU.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 14 May 2008

Tom Marking said: So in most cases of evolution we must assume that something in the environment was causing the evolution, but as to exactly what it was, we don't know and probably can never know.
That is a philosophical problem, not an empirical. You yourself gave examples on what constitutes an environment. Just because we can't have complete data or a complete understanding of the environmental processes don't mean that the environment didn't exist. Btw, this "Copenhagen interpretation" is an idealization in QM already. No one claims that QM becomes invalid or too complex because a human wasn't listening to the falling tree in the wood.

bigbang · 14 May 2008

Sun Spiker says: “So really what you are saying is that Behe (or you) has discovered that evolution as we know it is wrong….”

.

Well, no Spiker, not exactly. Let me splain it again----what we observe is that although it’s fairly clear that life has and continues to evolve, and that there’s plenty of evidence for common descent, it’s just that evolution by random mutation and selection is obviously quite limited. Although random mutation and selection certainly seems to explain things like drug resistance by various organisms/viruses, and things like the single mutation that has resulted in a change in the hemoglobin protein site causing sickle cell in humans, which provides protection against malaria----but which is actually a degradation of hemoglobin making it less efficient and, unfortunately, also causes sickle cell disease in those individuals having two sickle cell genes, one from each parent----it just doesn’t really, in any meaningful and coherent way, truly explain most of the evolution of say flagellum, or the complexity of eukaryotic cells, or sentient beings.

So I suppose you could say that we’re simply taking note of the obvious, that evolution by random mutation and selection is really quite limited, an incomplete theory of sorts. But you neo-Darwinians really shouldn’t feel so bad about that since even Newton’s superb and elegant theory was found to be incomplete once Einstein discovered his general relativity . . . you know, the Einstein that saw a “spirit manifest in the laws of the Universe—a spirit vastly superior to that of man.”

Hell, even a hardcore neo-Darwinian Kenneth Miller believes in design, since, after all, he is a Catholic/theist of sorts; it’s just that he apparently believes that design only goes as far as, say, the laws of physics, and apparently doesn’t believe that design goes as deep as, say, the microbiologist Behe thinks it goes; so really it’s just a matter of degree, isn’t it? Except of course for the neo-Darwinian atheists that see no design whatsoever, but rather see only randomness and accidents, and, I suppose, what Dawkins what has hailed the non-random force of natural selection.

.

Larrson said: “And of course we know the bodies that move are the most energetic b/c if they weren’t, they’d not have moved. Circular perhaps, but undeniably a truism.”

.

You’re probably thinking of some sort of equation. Not that it matters but equations quantify the theories/natural laws that have been discovered by physicists which are then used to predict things; the terms on both sides of an equation are typically defined elsewhere; the equal sign does not mean "is defined by, " it means is equal to. Equations are not tautologies, are not circular. Fitness, on the other hand is defined by selection-----see the difference? Still, selection is not the issue; selection pressures seem to be undeniable; it just that selection is circular and that we can’t really predict anything terribly specific, except the obvious, that the fittest traits survive.

bigbang · 14 May 2008

Raven says: “His guess is 1 in 10exp19, not 1 in 10exp20.”

.

Wrong paper, wrong number, raven. Refer to White, N. J. 2004; Antimalrial drug resistence; J Clin.Invest; 113:1084-92. Resistance to CQ has appeared fewer than ten times in the past half century. White notes that if you multiply the number of parasites in a person very ill with malaria, times the number of people who get malaria per year, times the number of years since the introduction of CQ, then you can estimate that the odds of a parasite developing resistance to CQ is roughly one in 10^20.

But what the hell raven, if your prefer the 10^19 number, and think the 10 fold difference will really matter all that much, plug it in and see what you get. Really raven, do yourself a favor and actually read and consider Behe’s EoE. Behe is a lot more meticulous than you and his many of critics give him credit for.

Stanton · 14 May 2008

If Behe is so meticulous in his work, then how come he acts as though no one has ever done any work on studying the evolutionary histories of the vertebrate immune system, the vertebrate blood-clotting cascade system, or bacterial and eukaryotic flagella (not to mention archaean flagella) since he published "Darwin's Black Box," if he admits that anyone did any work on any of those topics to begin with?

bigbang · 14 May 2008

Raven says: “The edge of evolution is known for now. Just look around. We are it. So is my cat.”

.

No no raven, he actual issue is just the edge of evolution via random mutations and selection. Understand? Why can’t you people seem to remember that? Or are you just being disingenuous?

PvM · 14 May 2008

His guess is 1 in 10^20 of course, as I pointed out this was hardly a sound number, set in stone and yet Behe took it and 'ran with it'. Sadly enough, garbage in -- garbage out.
bigbang said: Raven says: “His guess is 1 in 10exp19, not 1 in 10exp20.” . Wrong paper, wrong number, raven. Refer to White, N. J. 2004; Antimalrial drug resistence; J Clin.Invest; 113:1084-92. Resistance to CQ has appeared fewer than ten times in the past half century. White notes that if you multiply the number of parasites in a person very ill with malaria, times the number of people who get malaria per year, times the number of years since the introduction of CQ, then you can estimate that the odds of a parasite developing resistance to CQ is roughly one in 10^20. But what the hell raven, if your prefer the 10^19 number, and think the 10 fold difference will really matter all that much, plug it in and see what you get. Really raven, do yourself a favor and actually read and consider Behe’s EoE. Behe is a lot more meticulous than you and his many of critics give him credit for.

Stanton · 14 May 2008

bigbang said: Raven says: “The edge of evolution is known for now. Just look around. We are it. So is my cat.” . No no raven, he actual issue is just the edge of evolution via random mutations and selection. Understand? Why can’t you people seem to remember that? Or are you just being disingenuous?
Then how come Behe has not been able to explain why scientists have been able to observe the appearance of two different forms of the enzyme nylonase in two different species of bacteria, as well as document the origin and subsequent, repeated mutation of the "antifreeze" glycoprotein genes in Antarctic icefish as they colonized the coastal waters of Antarctica? I mean, if random mutation isn't supposed to work as Behe claims, then how come random mutation is strongly implicated in the rise of so many novel genes, including nylonase, "antifreeze glycoprotein, and de-regulation of human lactase?

Science Avenger · 14 May 2008

bigbang said: Most everyone accepts, except perhaps raven’s straw man “creo,” which obviously neither Behe nor or I are, that life evolves, or unfolds as it were; and also in the reality of common descent.
Most everyone outside the religiously loony areas of the rural US and the Middle East perhaps. But in those areas people build $27M creation museums attesting to a universe thousands of years old. Besides, this "I believe in common descent but believe magic had to be involved for some things" is a laughable position. One might with equal plausibility that the Parent Theory of Presents is insufficient to account for some of the stranger cases and the Santa Present Theory is needed. And the "survival of the fittest is a tautology" argument was debunked long ago, as should be obvious after mere mere minutes of thought. You don't do science with word games. It is worth noting that never in the history of man has a well established, active area of science been disproven by such a simplistic argument. This too should be obvious, since the idea of milions of scientists over decades overlooking something so simple is preposterous on its face.

raven · 14 May 2008

I mean, if random mutation isn’t supposed to work as Behe claims, then how come random mutation is strongly implicated in the rise of so many novel genes, including nylonase, “antifreeze glycoprotein, and de-regulation of human lactase?
A good example is the creation ex nihilo of the cytoplasmic male sterility gene in corn in real time. This gene was cobbled together from bits and pieces using at least 7 different events. It is a multimeric protein that confers male sterility and also an ion membrane channel. Behe would say it would be impossible to cobble together a new and complicated gene from multiple events in a decade or two during corn breeding. That is the whole flaw in ID and his variant of it. At the bottom it reduces down to fallacies, Arguments from Ignorance and Incredulity. He would simply say, goddidit because he thinks it is impossible. And then move the goal posts to the flagella or eye or foot or pancreas. We tried this approach for over 2,000 years. Goddidit lead nowhere. It isn't even a theory, merely a fond hope with no proof. The link and a few excerpts are below. This is a classic and shows the edge of evolution. Which is way farther out than Behe can imagine. Oh, another fallacy, Argument from Limited Imagination. That is his problem.
Arthur Hunt May 1, 2007 On the evolution of irreducible complexity http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2007/05/on-the-evolutio-1.html#more "The origins of the cmsT locus are fascinating. Several years ago, this locus was cloned and sequenced, and the sequence compared with normal maize mitochondrial DNA. This analysis revealed that the T-urf13 locus was the product of numerous recombination events (as many as seven different ones; along with reference 4, reference 6 has a nice overview of this). The consequence of these recombination events was the cobbling together of a number of disparate mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) segments (I have tried to illustrate their origins in Figure 1) to yield a novel DNA segment in the cmsT mitochondrial genome. ———————————-" "The bottom line is that T-urf13 is a new protein, encoded by a gene that has no protein-coding antecedents; it is, bluntly, a new protein that arose “from scratch”, through a series of duplications, recombinations, and other mutations that occurred spontaneously in the course of the breeding process that gave rise to the cmsT line. These points are already problematic for the assertion by ID proponents that new protein-coding information cannot arise by natural processes. But T-urf13 is more than a nondescript polypeptide that happens to affect male fertility in corn. It turns out that T-urf13 is a membrane protein, and in membranes it forms oligomeric structures (I am not sure if the stoichiometries have been firmly established, but that it is oligomeric is not in question). This is the first biochemical trait I would ask readers to file away – this protein is capable of protein-protein interactions, between like subunits. This means that the T-urf13 polypeptide must possess interfaces that mediate protein-protein interactions. (Readers may recall Behe and Snokes, who argued that such interfaces are very unlikely to occur by chance.) T-urf13 also binds to the toxin produced by the fungal pathogen. But it does not just bind the toxin “passively” – upon binding, a non-selective ion channel is opened, leading to dissipation of transmembrane ion gradients, and all of the resulting events that accompany collapse of proton-motive force. (In mitochondria, this will lead to uncoupling and crippling of mitochondrial function; this is probably why cmsT plants are so devastated by the disease.) This is the second biochemical trait that readers should keep fresh in their minds – T-urf13 is a gated ion channel. (This an the other interesting biochemical properties of Turf13 are reviewed in reference 7.)"

Henry J · 14 May 2008

Tom,

2.) The environment is the totality of physical factors which causes differential reproductive success in a population of organisms Then you haven’t really specified what it is exactly that is causing the reproductive success. It is essentially a tautology.

No, that's an attempt at a definition of "environment". Or would be except for the fact that the environment also includes factors that don't affect reproductive success. So environment would have to include any factors that might affect the species, whether it affects success rates or not. So my previous wording doesn't really work. Anyway, defining the term "environment" doesn't require specifying which factors affected the history of a species. Natural selection is sometimes accused of being a tautology, but that accusation ignores the fact that environment, genotype, and the resulting phenotype (i.e., the set of traits possessed by the organisms)) can all change. Also different environments can border each other, so various members of the species may be in different environments at the same time.

So in most cases of evolution we must assume that something in the environment was causing the evolution, but as to exactly what it was, we don’t know and probably can never know.

Yes, it seems likely that there will be lots of taxonomic groups for whose history the specific causes aren't discernible. Not all of them though. For example, we know beyond reasonable doubt why dolphins and whales developed fish-like shapes after they became aquatic (i.e., streamlining). Henry

marv · 14 May 2008

Haeckyls embryos and pepperred moths are not in text books for historical effect they are presented as evidence for adaptations and common ancestry. I will admit that ID is not scientific if you admit the theory of evolution is not scientific. I mean, you can't get anymore scientific than aliens seeding the earth! Go panspermia and mutations!!

PvM · 14 May 2008

Peppered moths are an example of "natural selection", and a pretty good one at that. What are your objections to the peppered moth? Haeckel was wrong although the similarities in embryos still play an important role in evolutionary theory, but that's mostly von Baer's. Evolution is scientific, clearly. If you believe that ID is scientific then pray tell us how ID explains anything?
marv said: Haeckyls embryos and pepperred moths are not in text books for historical effect they are presented as evidence for adaptations and common ancestry. I will admit that ID is not scientific if you admit the theory of evolution is not scientific. I mean, you can't get anymore scientific than aliens seeding the earth! Go panspermia and mutations!!

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

marv said: I will admit that ID is not scientific if you admit the theory of evolution is not scientific.
Jesus, another junior high kid. What's next, you show me yours and I'll show you mine? This is science, not politics. You don't get to create reality by fiat in science.
I mean, you can't get anymore scientific than aliens seeding the earth! Go panspermia and mutations!!
Actually you can get quite a bit more scientific than aliens (or gods) seeding the earth, since there is no evidence for either. But you certainly can get LESS scientific than aliens seeding the earth. It's called "Intelligent Design". And BTW administrators, this "Go mutations!" line as been used by a previous poster who I'm pretty sure didn't go by "marv". Sounds like an IP check is in order.

Philip Bruce Heywood · 15 May 2008

Yes, Larry Boy, I picked that up, thanks. From what I can glean, the question remains open to some conjecture, although I believe I am correct in asserting that information blurring is happening through mutation- like events.

angst · 15 May 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM said: What is "secular evolution"? Evolution is the same science for religious as atheist scientists.
My spidey-sense had been tingling since Tom Marking announced he was an athiest with some questions about evolution. I thought maybe his cover was slipping so I had to look this up. It seems to be an astronomy term. From the SAO Encyclopedia of Astronomy:
Secular evolution is defined as slow, steady evolution. In galaxies, such evolution is either the result of long-term interactions between the galaxy and its environment (such as gas accretion or galaxy harassment), or it is induced by internal processes such as the actions of spiral arms or bars.
Interesting questions and great responses so far. Thank you.

marv · 15 May 2008

If I was a junior high student, I would have the sense enough to know aliens didn't put life on this planet. You do!!!! Go Panspermia! Science Rules. Richard Dawkins was right. Go mutations!!! Do an IP check and call me names instead of trying to defend your foolish theory that we are all mutated aliens.

marv · 15 May 2008

We are mutated aliens. The eye is a simple mechanism. The first cell could have easily appeared because electricity and water when mixed always produces life. Plus Stanley Miller made some yellow gunk with an atmosphere exactly* like early earth. The universe is not a closed system. IDers are morons! There do I fit in yet?

Mark Perakh · 15 May 2008

To Tom Marking: A multidimensional space cannot be visualized, but it can be dealt with mathematically. Multidimensional space is common in various fields of physics and math, despite being not visualized, and many problems, some of an applied utility, are solved accounting for multidimensionality. Descending from a local peak (or saddle) into a shallow depression in the fitness landscape not necessarily results in the mutation that caused it being weeded out; it may be preserved if the drop is not very drastic, especially if the landscape co-evolves (as they routinely do) in a manner decreasing the selection pressure associated with the dimension in which the fitness drop took place. (The "dimensions" are in fact various features possessed by an organism which affect fitness. For example, an organism's fitness may be affected, say, by organism's hearing ability, sharpness of vision, and, say, its size. In such a scenario the fitness function is a function of three arguments, representing the listed features, so we deal here with a three-dimensional landscape. (In biological reality the number of dimensions is much larger of course). In each of those dimensions the fitness function may reach local peaks at different positions for each dimension, hence having saddles instead of real peaks.

For example, if the hearing ability drops because of a mutation, but at the same time the population of predators the escape from which requires a good hearing also decreased, thus alleviating the selection pressure causing the upward evolution of hearing, then the drop in hearing may not be disastrous, and the unfortunate mutation may survive, as evolution picks up in other dimension (say, improving vision).

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

It is very hard to get one’s mind around what a “saddle shape” is in 10,000 dimensions. I have a hard time visualizing that.

— Tom Marking
Heh. And I thought it was just me.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Behe, back when he did actual science, seems to have been a purified enzyme kind of guy

— trrll
Quite the converse - I understand he was a DNA structure man.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Well, no Spiker, not exactly. Let me splain it again—-what we observe is that although it’s fairly clear that life has and continues to evolve, and that there’s plenty of evidence for common descent, it’s just that evolution by random mutation and selection is obviously quite limited.

— bigbang
Well, actually, bigbang, you're very wrong in your first paragraph of that post. First, a trviial point: there isn't "plenty" of evidence for common descent. Instead, there is an overwhelming preponderance of evidence for it. Common descent has been proven beyond reasonable doubt. Second (and more important): it is actually obvious that the power of "random mutation" (by which I assume you mean heritable variation, which incorprotates both random and not-so-random variations) and selection is extraordinarily large, not limited. From their wild ancestors, we have bred any number of breeds of dog, rice, wheat, banana, pigeon, pig, and so on. If there were such a thing as a zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs, how many species of dog would that person define? 50? 100? I have no idea, but it is far from obvious that dogs are one species, because their morphological variation is so vast. And all this has been achieved in the last 20,000 years (roughly), by the application of selection to the naturally-existing variation within the respective ancestor populations. Go and read Darwin's chapter about pigeons (in TOOS). It really is quite enlightening. Now, knowing that your premise is wrong, I cannot see how anything you derive from it could be correct. Finally, if the power of selection acting on heritable variation were "limited", there would need to be some kind of mechanism or process that limits it. What could that be?

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

...it just doesn’t really, in any meaningful and coherent way, truly explain most of the evolution of say flagellum, or the complexity of eukaryotic cells, or sentient beings.

— bigbang
This is just a re-wording of the old "micro- / macro- evolution" canard. Not only is your conclusion contradicted by known facts (e.g. variation in pigeon breeds has been brought about by nothing more than selection acting upon heritable variation), but there is nothing in what you have said that would explain why or how selection is unable to bring about the complexity you mention. It is just an argument from personal incredulity (i.e. a logical fallacy - just because you cannot imagine how natural processes could bring about such change, it does not follow that those processes are incapable of bringing about the change).

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

...so really it’s just a matter of degree, isn’t it?

— bigbang
Not so, because, while Miller's ideas are entirely consistent with what we know to occur, Behe denies that mechanisms that have been observed to bring about biological change are capable of bringing about significant amounts of biological chnage, yet he supplies no evidence, and no reason, to believe that this is the case. His examples have all been shown to demonstrate something other than what he claims they demonstrate.

Except of course for the neo-Darwinian atheists that see no design whatsoever, but rather see only randomness and accidents, and, I suppose, what Dawkins what has hailed the non-random force of natural selection.

Selection is non-random, irrespective of Dawkins's opinion of it. Did you have a point here, or were you trying to be divisive?

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

...it just that selection is circular and that we can’t really predict anything terribly specific, except the obvious, that the fittest traits survive.

— bigbang
Selection is not circular. It is a natural consequence of the death of the greater proportion of each generation before they reproduce. Any heritable trait that tends to make its possessor more likely to survive to reproduce will be positively selected. Evolutionary theory does make predictions, but perhaps not ones as precise as you would like (but, hey, if you can get your head around the 10,000-dimensional problem that creating a specific evolutionary prediction is, by all means publish your results). Darwin himself made some very interesting predictions about speciation that arises as a result of selection. For example, that populations occupying the same region will tend to diverge in character from one another, because this decreases the degree of comeptition between them. Have you ever read TOOS?

phantomreader42 · 15 May 2008

Just more vomit. Regurgitated creationist lies. Anyone who parrots Jonathan Wells is just showing they haven't got a single functioning brain cell. I wonder what your imaginary god would think of your bearing false witness for the glory of Sun Myung Moon? Is there anything these self-lobotomized bastards won't make up to prop up their fraudulent prophets?
marv said: Haeckyls embryos and pepperred moths are not in text books for historical effect they are presented as evidence for adaptations and common ancestry. I will admit that ID is not scientific if you admit the theory of evolution is not scientific. I mean, you can't get anymore scientific than aliens seeding the earth! Go panspermia and mutations!!

bobby · 15 May 2008

"" Finally, if the power of selection acting on heritable variation were “limited”, there would need to be some kind of mechanism or process that limits it. What could that be? ""

This seems to be a burden of proof issue. The Darwinists claim there is no limitation and also say they do not need to prove there is no limitation.

Most progressions in physics and chemistry have limits if not all. And biology has many limits. A dog cannot grow to 100 feet tall and an ant cannot become even one meter tall. The universe itself has limits. The natural world is full of limits. For Darwinism to exempt itself from the overwhelming probability that there are limits to what natural selection can do goes against all precedents.

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Nigel asks: “If there were such a thing as a zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs, how many species of dog would that person define? 50? 100? I have no idea….”

.

How many species? Well let’s see . . . hmmmm, since they’re all canines . . . yeah, it’d be just one: canines, wolves through shiatsus; but no felines . . . even artificial selection, helped by a random mutation here and there, has its limits, doesn’t it?

Dolly Sheriff · 15 May 2008

This is so very funny! To what lengths will people go to show that the bacterial flagelum does not look like a human made machine. Come on guys, we are talking about a God made machine. clearly we expect it to be many times more sophisticated and efficient (it is!). Yes it certainly does resemble a motor in it's structure, but this self assembling motor is an awesome design. Just face it...God rocks when it comes to building motors!

phantomreader42 · 15 May 2008

So, bobblehead bobby, back again to show off your complete inability to provide evidence for anything you say? The idea of you babbling about burden of proof is just laughable. You never did say what the hell you mean by "Darwinism", aside from your pet collection of strawmen. Nor did you ever even try to explain your amazing mathematical proof that evolution is impossible (you remember, the one you spent entire pages equivocating about and refusing to even offer one speck of evidence). Just here to waste time again, asshat? Do you actually have any data on what these "limits" you're babbling about actually are? Or will you, as usual, scream in abject terror the instant anyone dares ask you to support your own statements?
bobby said: "" Finally, if the power of selection acting on heritable variation were “limited”, there would need to be some kind of mechanism or process that limits it. What could that be? "" This seems to be a burden of proof issue. The Darwinists claim there is no limitation and also say they do not need to prove there is no limitation. Most progressions in physics and chemistry have limits if not all. And biology has many limits. A dog cannot grow to 100 feet tall and an ant cannot become even one meter tall. The universe itself has limits. The natural world is full of limits. For Darwinism to exempt itself from the overwhelming probability that there are limits to what natural selection can do goes against all precedents.

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Stanton asks: Then how come Behe has not been able to explain why scientists have been able to observe the appearance of two different forms of the enzyme nylonase in two different species of bacteria, as well as document the origin and subsequent, repeated mutation of the “antifreeze” glycoprotein genes in Antarctic icefish as they colonized the coastal waters of Antarctica?

.

Well Stanton, as it turns out, Behe discusses this example of random mutation and selection at some length, if only you had read his book. Read pg 77 through 83 of EoE at your local B&N. Briefly, it turns out that the “antifreeze” protein is not a discrete structure comparable to say hemoglobin. The antifreeze protein is coded by multiple genes of different lengths all of which produce amino acid chains that get chopped into smaller fragments of differing length, kind of like the junk you’d find in your gutter (if you had a house and gutters); and unlike say hemoglobin and most other proteins that are coded by single genes.

phantomreader42 · 15 May 2008

What possible point could there be in reading behe's garbage now? It's already been amply demonstrated that Behe's book is full of faulty logic, unsupported assertions, and outright lies. What can possibly be gained from it? It's not like he made some amazing discovery, even this 10^20 number you keep babbling about is just misinterpreting and misrepresenting speculation from a qualified scientist. Does Behe actually do anything more than quote mine other people's work and lie about it?
bigbang said: Stanton asks: Then how come Behe has not been able to explain why scientists have been able to observe the appearance of two different forms of the enzyme nylonase in two different species of bacteria, as well as document the origin and subsequent, repeated mutation of the “antifreeze” glycoprotein genes in Antarctic icefish as they colonized the coastal waters of Antarctica? . Well Stanton, as it turns out, Behe discusses this example of random mutation and selection at some length, if only you had read his book. Read pg 77 through 83 of EoE at your local B&N. Briefly, it turns out that the “antifreeze” protein is not a discrete structure comparable to say hemoglobin. The antifreeze protein is coded by multiple genes of different lengths all of which produce amino acid chains that get chopped into smaller fragments of differing length, kind of like the junk you’d find in your gutter (if you had a house and gutters); and unlike say hemoglobin and most other proteins that are coded by single genes.

trrll · 15 May 2008

Let me explain why in this case Newton’s 2nd Law is not tautological. In a nutshell, the methodology for measuring F, M, and A are all different. F is measured with a spring, M is measured with a balance using standard weights, and A can be measured by looking at the motion of the object in question.
Virtually every scientific theory is based on one or more tautologies, because science is based on math every correct mathematical equation is reducible to a tautology (in fact, that's how we show that it is correct). So if we see an object's trajectory in space, we can conclude, based upon theory, that it is moving in response to forces. In the real world, it may not be practicable to determine the source of those forces or to measure them (this is not uncommon, for example in astronomy). But the mathematics of the theory--the tautology--tells us that they must be there. It is also often not convenient to measure which particular physical and biological phenomena contribute to fitness. It is obviously much harder, because there are many more ways to alter fitness than there are ways to exert force, so there are a lot more variables. But it can be, and is, done experimentally--by altering aspects of the environment, or by altering the organism physically or genetically, and observing the effect on reproductive success.

David Stanton · 15 May 2008

bigbang,

Hemoglobin is not coded for by a single gene. If Behe claimed this then he was simply wrong again. His ideas have no scientific merit whatsoever. Apparently the man refuses to even read the appropriate scientific literture but instead chooses to quote mine and misrepresent. He won't even admit it when he is caught in obvious mistake and shown conclusively to be wrong. You can stick with a sinking ship if you want, but Behe has lost whatever shred of scientific respectability he ever had in the scientific commmunity.

larry boy · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel asks: “If there were such a thing as a zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs, how many species of dog would that person define? 50? 100? I have no idea….” . How many species? Well let’s see . . . hmmmm, since they’re all canines . . . yeah, it’d be just one: canines, wolves through shiatsus; but no felines . . . even artificial selection, helped by a random mutation here and there, has its limits, doesn’t it?
I suppose our hypothetical zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs would just check the tattooed binomial nomenclature on the dog's but to figure out they are all canines? Seriously, your response to Nigel's question demonstrates profound ignorance of his point.

Mark Perakh · 15 May 2008

Dolly Sheriff said: This is so very funny! To what lengths will people go to show that the bacterial flagelum does not look like a human made machine. Come on guys, we are talking about a God made machine. clearly we expect it to be many times more sophisticated and efficient (it is!). Yes it certainly does resemble a motor in it's structure, but this self assembling motor is an awesome design. Just face it...God rocks when it comes to building motors!
Dolly Sheriff, shifting the goalposts is unseemly. It were creos, like Behe and Dembski, who used, time and time again, as an argument in favor of design, the supposed "machine-like" look of the flagellum. By demonstrating that the flagella in fact do not look like man-made machnes, their argument was shown to be fallacious, so your referring to my discourse as "going to such lengths" was disingenuous. Behe and Dembski went to "such lengths," not our side. If the entire debate about this point is, in your view, immaterial (and I agree that it indeed is of a secondary significance), tell it to Dembski and Behe. As to your assertion that flagellum is a God's design, while it can't be disproven, it has no reasonable substantiation - at least you did not offer any such supporting arguments. While it is your right to believe that God directly designed the flagellum, to make such a statement convincing, it is not enough to just assert it, as not everybody is such an undoubting believer in Designer, as your fellow parishioners may be. Best wishes.

raven · 15 May 2008

Cultist channeling Behe the idiot: Well Stanton, as it turns out, Behe discusses this example of random mutation and selection at some length, if only you had read his book. Read pg 77 through 83 of EoE at your local B&N. Briefly, it turns out that the “antifreeze” protein is not a discrete structure comparable to say hemoglobin. The antifreeze protein is coded by multiple genes of different lengths all of which produce amino acid chains that get chopped into smaller fragments of differing length, kind of like the junk you’d find in your gutter (if you had a house and gutters); and unlike say hemoglobin and most other proteins that are coded by single genes.
wikipedia: Gower 1 (ζ2ε2) Gower 2 (α2ε2) (PDB 1A9W) Hemoglobin Portland (ζ2γ2) In the fetus: Hemoglobin F (α2γ2) (PDB 1FDH) In adults: Hemoglobin A (α2β2) (PDB 1BZ0) - The most common with a normal amount over 95% Hemoglobin A2 (α2δ2) - δ chain synthesis begins late in the third trimester and in adults, it has a normal range of 1.5-3.5% Hemoglobin F (α2γ2) - In adults Hemoglobin F is restricted to a limited population of red cells called F-cells. However, the level of Hb F can be elevated in persons with sickle-cell disease
J Virol. 2004 Aug;78(15):8219-28. Links Characterization of the murine alpha interferon gene family.van Pesch V, Lanaya H, Renauld JC, Michiels T. University of Louvain, Christian de Duve Institute of Cellular Pathology, MIPA-VIRO 74-49, B-1200 Brussels, Belgium. Mouse and human genomes carry more than a dozen genes coding for closely related alpha interferon (IFN-alpha) subtypes. IFN-alpha, as well as IFN-beta, IFN-kappa, IFN-epsilon, and limitin, are thought to bind the same receptor, raising the question of whether different IFN subtypes possess specific functions. As some confusion existed in the identity and characteristics of mouse IFN-alpha subtypes, the availability of data from the mouse genome sequence prompted us to characterize the murine IFN-alpha family. A total of 14 IFN-alpha genes were detected in the mouse genome, in addition to three IFN-alpha pseudogenes. Four IFN-alpha genes (IFN-alpha1, IFN-alpha7/10, IFN-alpha8/6, and IFN-alpha11) exhibited surprising allelic divergence between 129/Sv and C57BL/6 mice. All IFN-alpha subtypes were found to be stable at pH 2 and to exhibit antiviral activity. Interestingly, some IFN subtypes (IFN-alpha4, IFN-alpha11, IFN-alpha12, IFN-beta, and limitin) showed higher biological activity levels than others, whereas IFN-alpha7/10 exhibited lower activity. Most murine IFN-alpha turned out to be N-glycosylated. However, no correlation was found between N-glycosylation and activity. The various IFN-alpha subtypes displayed a good correlation between their antiviral and antiproliferative potencies, suggesting that IFN-alpha subtypes did not diverge primarily to acquire specific biological activities but probably evolved to acquire specific expression patterns. In L929 cells, IFN genes activated in response to poly(I*C) transfection or to viral infection were, however, similar.
More incredibly poor scholarship from Behe. 1. Multigene families are common in humans. The alpha interferons have 12 genes. Myc has 3, tnf has 2, amylase has many and they differ in copy number between human populations based on adoption of agriculture. 2. There isn't a hemoglobin gene. It is also part of a multigene family. Some are fetal. Adults express two alpha genes, one beta and also some fetal chains. 3. Proteins being processed from larger precursors is common in animals, including humans. Anything secreted gets its signal sequence removed during golgi mediated secretion. Many hormones, releasing factors, endorphins are processed from larger precursors. The antifreeze gene shows nothing unusual. Being part of a multigene family is common and being posttranslationally processed is also common. It does a good job of what it was evolved to do, an unusual property for a protein. Keep fish from freezing in very cold water.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Behe is a lot more meticulous than you and his many of critics give him credit for.

— bigbang
Yah, sure. Meticulous, that's good ol' Mikey boy. That's why, after he claimed in EoE that HIV has not evolved any new biochemical interactions and blogger ERV (who works with HIV) called him out on his omission (HIV has evolved several new biochemical interactions since it became HIV), he tried to dismiss and discredit her rather than admit his error. Eventually (ERV is as persistent as they come), Behe grudgingly and ungraciously admitted that he had been wrong, but only after he had flung so much mud at ERV that he also owed her a huge apology (which he has never, to my knowledge, offered). If Behe had actually researched his topic before making his dramatic statements in EoE, he would very easily have found the data that disproved his point about HIV. If he had accepted ERV's correction in the first instance and admitted his error, I could still retain some modicum of respect for him. He did neither of these things, instead pretending that he was right despite the facts that contradicted his claim. Therefore, your use of Behe as an authority in your argument makes your argument no stronger. Behe is a known liar.

eric · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said:
Anything and everything (besides itself) that affects the reproductive success of the species.
Actually the problem is worse than you describe. Other members of one’s own species are also part of the fitness environment, so your parenthetical is wrong. 
Then you haven’t really specified what it is exactly that is causing the reproductive success. It is essentially a tautology.
I think you’re getting hung up on looking for one, single, absolute measure of fitness which encompasses all environmental factors. Your question seems to be, the Newton is to Force as X is to Fitness, what’s X? There is no such thing. As other posts pointed out, the many-n-dimensionality of fitness and the constant variation in environments means there are no “absolute” peaks (i.e. a point that is a peak in every dimension), just saddles. You must first decide to consider a limited set of dimensions (factors) to care about before you can have a meaningful definition of fitness. Different scientists may choose different sets, depending on their individual area of research and what is most useful to them, and these choices will result in multiple, contradictory definitions of fitness being used in the community. That is perfectly fine, because different scientists working on different problems may legitimately choose different factors to assess. The tautology issue only crops up when you demand someone consider all environmental factors at once, a nonsensical demand. Scientists make discoveries using limited experiments that consider only a few factors at once all the time. I’m going to go out on a limb here and make up some examples, and I hope the biologists reading this will forgive any blatant mistakes I make, but I hope these may illustrate the concept of multiple, legitimate fitness metrics. A biologist attempting to discover new information regarding natural selection and competition between species might choose to count the number of offspring that make it to reproductive age as a useful measure of fitness. Another biologist working on sexual selection (competition within species for mates) may find it more useful to count the number of partners/matings. Someone working on non-living environmental factors may measure fitness in terms of the temperature range in which a seed or animal can survive. None of these are tautological, all are fairly simple and empirical measures, and each is useful for helping resolve specific, limited scientific questions. But looking for "the" single measure of fitness that is everyone agrees on is a snipe hunt.

Stanton · 15 May 2008

Nigel D said: ...Therefore, your use of Behe as an authority in your argument makes your argument no stronger. Behe is a known liar.
Given as how Behe has been repeatedly demonstrated to be an exceptionally poor scholar, and has been repeatedly demonstrated to be a liar, using Behe as an authority would weaken bigbang's argument. Especially since bigbang never actually showed how Behe explains how the antifreeze glycoprotein gene and nylonase enzymes could have arisen through multiple mutations if multiple mutations were impossible as Behe claimed. Then again, I can not trust a person who says that the (human) hemoglobin gene is only regulated by one gene (when it is actually regulated by numerous genes), and infers that evolution says that a dog can give birth to a cat, when evolution actually says that dogs and cats share a common ancestor 45 to 50 million years ago.

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Stanton says: “Hemoglobin is not coded for by a single gene.”

.

Woops, I should have just said “unlike most other proteins that are coded by single genes [and added] that produce protein of definite length,” and left out the “hemoglobin.”

Of course hemoglobin, as everyone knows, is not actually a single protein chain, but rather a combination of separate proteins chains or subunits. The four chains of (adult) hemoglobin have two alpha and two beta chains. Then additionally you of course also have fetal hemoglobin which has two alpha chains and two gamma chains. And then of course there can be further complications like for some people who continue to make noticeable amounts of fetal hemoglobin throughout their lives----hereditary persistence of fetal hemoglobin, or HPFH. (People who have sickle cell disease and also often have milder clinical symptoms.) Thanks for helping me make that clear.

.
.

Nigel says: “That’s why, after he claimed in EoE that HIV has not evolved any new biochemical interactions and blogger ERV (who works with HIV) called him out on his omission (HIV has evolved several new biochemical interactions since it became HIV), he tried to dismiss and discredit her rather than admit his error."

.

I think ERV may have been a bit bitchy and disrespectful, so maybe Behe ignored most of ERV’s crap. Still, Behe did acknowledge, in his back and forth with Musgrave, the development of a new viral protein-vial protein binding site that he now realizes he overlooked when writing EoE. In responding to Musgrave on this issue he noted (from Behe’s Amazon blog):

.

“One should, however, also make some distinctions with this example. First, although there apparently are five or so copies of Vpu in the viroporin complex, that does not mean that five binding sites developed. Only one new binding site need develop for one area of a protein which binds to a different area of the same protein, to form a homogeneous complex with, say, C5 symmetry. That is all that is required for a circularly symmetric structure to form. Second, the viroporin is not some new molecular machine. There is no evidence that it exerts its effect in, say, an ATP- or energy-dependent manner. Rather, similar to other viroporins, the protein simply forms a passive leaky pore or weak channel. (4,5) This situation is probably best viewed as a foreign protein degrading the integrity of a membrane, rather than performing some positive function.”

.

“And third, I explicitly pointed out in Chapter 8 of The Edge of Evolution that HIV had undergone enough mutating in past decades to form all possible viral-viral binding sites, but commented that apparently none of them had been helpful (now I know that one of them helped). This I discussed as the “principle of restricted choice””

.

“A third reason for doubt is the overlooked problem of restricted choice. That is, not only do new protein interactions have to develop, there has to be some protein available that would actually do some good. Malaria makes about 5,300 kinds of proteins. Of those only a very few help in its fight against antibiotics, and just two are effective against chloroquine. If those two proteins weren’t available or weren’t helpful, then, much to the joy of humanity, the malarial parasite might have no effective evolutionary response to chloroquine. Similarly, in its frantic mutating, HIV has almost certainly altered its proteins at one point or another in the past few decades enough to cover all of shape space. So new surfaces on HIV proteins would have been made that could bind to any other viral protein in every orientation. [Emphasis added here.] Yet of all the many molecules its mutated proteins must have bound, none seem to have helped it; no new protein-protein interactions have been reported. Apparently the choice of proteins to bind is restricted only to unhelpful ones. (pp. 157-158)”

.

“So Dr. Musgrave’s “core argument” turns out to be a decidedly double-edged sword. Yes, one overlooked protein-protein interaction developed, leading to a leaky cell membrane. However, in the past fifty years many, many more potential viral protein-viral protein interactions must have also developed but not been selected because they did the virus little good. That is “restricted choice,” a very large contributor to the edge of evolution.”

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"To be honest, I’m not sure how the existence of cheetahs makes gazelle evolution teleological, or why that’s even important. If natural selection fits someone’s definition of teleological, does the theory suddenly become wrong?"

There is perhaps some confusion in the use of the term teleology in this case. Perhaps the Darwinists and myself are using the term in different senses. I agree that there is no global teleology happening, no outside designer whose purpose is driving the system in some particular direction. But that does not mean that the individual components of the system are not themselves teleological.

When a cheetah crouches in the tall grass and waits for a gazelle to wander near enough, the cheetah has a plan to hide itself, wait for an opportune moment, and then pounce in order to catch the prey. The cheetah's behavior is teleological in the sense that certain prior behaviors are done in order to achieve some final goal (i.e., eating the gazelle). Such teleological behavior acts as selection on the prey species. So in that sense evolution involves teleology. If this was not the sense in which Darwin and evolutionists use the word, if they are only talking about global teleology, then pardon my ignorance, I withdraw the comment.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"Something looks designed. So what? Snowflakes look designed; that cloud from your childhood that looked like a unicorn looks designed."

A snowflake looks designed.
It's not.

A quartz crystal looks designed.
It's not.

A pocket watch looks designed.
It is.

I'm not sure how that arguments helps us. Some things that look designed are not really, and other things that look designed really are. How do we tell the difference?

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"The population tends to spread out, both because of mutation, and because there are advantages to diversity within the population (not competing exactly with your neighbors for the same resources, not having the exact same vulnerability to diseases and parasites). So there is an outward pressure balancing the selective pressure toward the optimum, preventing all of the population from collapsing into a single genotype. This will push some of the population into the valley"

O.K. I got it. It's not strictly hill climbing because it's a cluster of points. The points are behaving in different ways throughout time and they are not synchronized with one another. I think I have a clearer picture now. Thanks.

But one thought does occur to me concerning this model. We can imagine the cluster of points separating into two clusters with perhaps each cluster climbing a different local peak. That's a representation of speciation in this model.

But in this model if we assume that the fitness landscape is changing then what happens when the two local maxima merge into the same point? Won't the separate species now merge together into one species? Why don't we see this happening in nature?

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"What is “secular evolution”? Evolution is the same science for religious as atheist scientists."

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/secular
sec·u·lar
Pronunciation[sek-yuh-ler]

–adjective
1. of or pertaining to worldly things or to things that are not regarded as religious, spiritual, or sacred; temporal: secular interests.
2. not pertaining to or connected with religion (opposed to sacred): secular music.
3. (of education, a school, etc.) concerned with nonreligious subjects.
4. (of members of the clergy) not belonging to a religious order; not bound by monastic vows (opposed to regular).
5. occurring or celebrated once in an age or century: the secular games of Rome.
6. going on from age to age; continuing through long ages.

–noun
7. a layperson.
8. one of the secular clergy.

I believe you were using definition #2 and I was using definition #6. LOL.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"It seems to be an astronomy term."

Sorry for the confusion. Scratch "secular evolution" and replace it with "long-term ongoing evolution". That's what I meant.

bigbang · 15 May 2008

For all my new friends here at PT, here’s the latest post, 5/9/2008, by Behe, regarding malaria and mutations, from his Amazon blog------

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An interesting paper appeared recently in the New England Journal of Medicine. (1) The workers there discovered some new mutations which confer some resistance to malaria on human blood cells in the lab. (Their usefulness in nature has not yet been nailed down.) The relevance to my analysis in The Edge of Evolution is that, like other mutations that help with malaria, these mutations, too, are ones which degrade the function of a normally very useful protein, called pyruvate kinase. As the workers note:

"[H]eterozygosity for partial or complete loss-of-function alleles . . . may have little negative effect on overall fitness (including transmission of mutant alleles), while providing a modest but significant protective effect against malaria. Although speculative, this situation would be similar to that proposed for hemoglobinopathies (sickle cell and both -thalassemia and -thalassemia) and G6PD deficiency. . ."

This conclusion supports several strong themes of The Edge of Evolution which reviewers have shied away from. First, that even beneficial mutations are very often degradative mutations. Second, it’s a lot faster to get a beneficial effect (if one is available to be had) by degrading a gene than by making specific changes in genes. The reason is that there are generally hundreds or thousands of ways to break a gene, but just a few to alter it beneficially without degrading it. And third, that random mutation plus natural selection is incoherent. That is, separate mutations are often scattered; they do not add up in a systematic way to give new, interacting molecular machinery.

Even in the professional literature, sickle cell disease is still called, along with other mutations related to malaria, “one of the best examples of natural selection acting on the human genome.” (2) So these are our best examples! Yet breaking pyruvate kinase or G6PD or globin genes in thalassemia does not add up to any new system. Then where do the elegant nanosystems found in the cell come from? Not from random mutation and natural selection, that’s for sure.

1. Ayi, K., et al. 2008. Pyruvate kinase deficiency and malaria. N. Engl. J. Med. 358:1805-1810.

2. Tishkoff, S.A., et al. 2001. Haplotype diversity and linkage disequilibrium at human G6PD: recent origin of alleles that confer malarial resistance. Science 293:455-462.

trrll · 15 May 2008

When a cheetah crouches in the tall grass and waits for a gazelle to wander near enough, the cheetah has a plan to hide itself, wait for an opportune moment, and then pounce in order to catch the prey. The cheetah’s behavior is teleological in the sense that certain prior behaviors are done in order to achieve some final goal (i.e., eating the gazelle).
Actually, we don't know this, and biologists tend to be very careful about making such assumptions. A function does not necessarily imply intent. It is clear that a cheetah doesn't necessarily have to have a plan to catch gazelles. It may just habitually adopt a crouching position in brush while watching other animals (I've noticed that my cat likes to crouch in a patch of grass even when it is not hunting). It may have a reflex action to chase a moving target that comes within a certain range. It is notable that domestic cats that have not been taught to kill prey by another cat will automatically chase prey (or any other similarly sized moving target) and catch it, but may not kill and eat. That tells us that the chase-and-capture behavior is rewarding to the animal even if it does not result in a meal. So it may be that the only part of the behavior that is teleological (in the sense that the animal actually has an idea of why it is doing what it is doing) is the kill.

stevaroni · 15 May 2008

When a cheetah crouches in the tall grass and waits for a gazelle to wander near enough, the cheetah has a plan to hide itself, wait for an opportune moment, and then pounce in order to catch the prey.

When I roll a ping pong ball in front of my cat she crouches on the rug and waits for an opportune moment to pounce. Near as I can tell, this neither hides her from the ping pong ball, nor does it give the ball a mistaken sense of safety. My cat, in fact, seems to be running on autopilot. I'm pretty sure the most complicated thing she "thinks" about is planning a route to climb to the nearest lap.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bobby said: "" Finally, if the power of selection acting on heritable variation were “limited”, there would need to be some kind of mechanism or process that limits it. What could that be? "" This seems to be a burden of proof issue. The Darwinists claim there is no limitation and also say they do not need to prove there is no limitation. Most progressions in physics and chemistry have limits if not all. And biology has many limits. A dog cannot grow to 100 feet tall and an ant cannot become even one meter tall. The universe itself has limits. The natural world is full of limits. For Darwinism to exempt itself from the overwhelming probability that there are limits to what natural selection can do goes against all precedents.
However, in the case of biological evolution, the observed natural processes are quite sufficient to bring about the amount of change that is recorded in the fossil record and the genomes of every living thing. The creationists who claim that natural selection is limited have never proposed a mechanism by which this limiting might be effected, and neither have they ever supplied any evidence to support the proposal that NS is limited. The burden of proof is on those who say "natural processews are not sufficient". They have yet even to attempt to deliver the goods.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel asks: “If there were such a thing as a zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs, how many species of dog would that person define? 50? 100? I have no idea….” . How many species? Well let’s see . . . hmmmm, since they’re all canines . . . yeah, it’d be just one: canines, wolves through shiatsus; but no felines . . . even artificial selection, helped by a random mutation here and there, has its limits, doesn’t it?
Way to miss the point, bigbang. I'll spell it out using plain words and no similes so even you have a chance to grasp it. Different breeds of dogs are very different from one another. So different that a zoologist who did not already know that they were the same species would almost certainly identify them as a great many different species (albeit related ones). This illustrates the power of selection acting on heritable variation to bring about change. In the case of dogs, the selection has been operating for only a short time. By a very simple, reasonable and logical extrapolation, larger changes may easily be brought about in longer times.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Dolly Sheriff said: This is so very funny! To what lengths will people go to show that the bacterial flagelum does not look like a human made machine. Come on guys, we are talking about a God made machine. clearly we expect it to be many times more sophisticated and efficient (it is!). Yes it certainly does resemble a motor in it's structure, but this self assembling motor is an awesome design. Just face it...God rocks when it comes to building motors!
So why do you think Dembski, Behe et al. have gone to so much trouble to make it look like a manmade object? I mean, apart from the fact that they can say "well, that sure looks like a machine to me" without the YECs laughing them out of the room.

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Tom Markin asks: “Some things that look designed are not really, and other things that look designed really are. How do we tell the difference?”

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The neo-Darwinian view would be that ultimately everything is the result of undirected random mutations and selection . . . or possibly, OTOH, as neo-Darwinian uber-atheist Dawkins recently opined when explaining evolution to Ben Stein, space aliens

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"It is clear that a cheetah doesn’t necessarily have to have a plan to catch gazelles."

Well, you can replace this example with a human hunter sneaking up on a deer in order to shoot it. We know in this case the behavior is 100% teleological. How? By asking the hunter. Q: Hey, Joe, why were you hiding behind the tree and aiming your rifle? A: Because I had a plan. I intended to kill the deer.

And if you've watched any of the National Geographic specials about Jane Goodall and the chimpanzees at Gombe it seems pretty clear that our closest primate relatives also exhibit teleological hunting behaviors.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Stanton asks: Then how come Behe has not been able to explain why scientists have been able to observe the appearance of two different forms of the enzyme nylonase in two different species of bacteria, as well as document the origin and subsequent, repeated mutation of the “antifreeze” glycoprotein genes in Antarctic icefish as they colonized the coastal waters of Antarctica? . Well Stanton, as it turns out, Behe discusses this example of random mutation and selection at some length, if only you had read his book. Read pg 77 through 83 of EoE at your local B&N. Briefly, it turns out that the “antifreeze” protein is not a discrete structure comparable to say hemoglobin. The antifreeze protein is coded by multiple genes of different lengths all of which produce amino acid chains that get chopped into smaller fragments of differing length, kind of like the junk you’d find in your gutter (if you had a house and gutters); and unlike say hemoglobin and most other proteins that are coded by single genes.
You did not answer Stanton's question, bigbang. He was talking about the origin of the genes (which, it would seem, Behe did not discuss "at length" in EoE). Instead you blather on about post-translational modification of the gene product. Does Behe even mention nylonase in EoE? Can he explain its origin in more than one form? No. Can you explain why he does not?

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Nigel explains: “Way to miss the point, bigbang.... Different breeds of dogs are very different from one another. So different that a zoologist who did not already know that they were the same species would almost certainly identify them as a great many different species….”

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Oh, I see, you mean a zoologist like Dawkins. Well, in that case, he’d probably suggest that space aliens may have been responsible.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel asks: “If there were such a thing as a zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs, how many species of dog would that person define? 50? 100? I have no idea….” . How many species? Well let’s see . . . hmmmm, since they’re all canines . . . yeah, it’d be just one: canines, wolves through shiatsus; but no felines . . . even artificial selection, helped by a random mutation here and there, has its limits, doesn’t it?
It is interesting to note here how bigbang quote-mines my comment. Note the ellipsis (s)he has inserted at the end of the quoted passage. Now, let's go back to my original comment:

If there were such a thing as a zoologist with no prior knowledge of dogs, how many species of dog would that person define? 50? 100? I have no idea, but it is far from obvious that dogs are one species, because their morphological variation is so vast.

— Nigel D
The very next clause within the same sentence refutes bigbang's treatment of my comment. Bigbang, you are such a loser.

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Nigel asks: “Does Behe even mention nylonase in EoE? Can he explain its origin in more than one form?”

.

Sounds like essentially just more evidence of common descent. Behe never argues against common descent. He’s always been a believer in common descent as far as I know.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

I think ERV may have been a bit bitchy and disrespectful, so maybe Behe ignored most of ERV’s crap.

— bigbang
Oh, this is so woefully wrong. You seem to be saying that, because ERV may have been disrespectful, she deserved Behe's (factually confirmed) disrespect and attempted dismissal. With all due respect, you are talking rubbish. However ERV phrased her point initially, it was still a valid point. It still illustrated that Behe had not done his homework and was claiming something that was actually false. Besides, having once been a scientist, Behe should know as well as anyone that young scientists need to be taught respect for data, respect for logic and respect for reasoning, and not respect for individual scientists, except where it is merited by demonstration of a thorough approach to the science. Several Nobel prizewinners have, in the later part of their careers, propounded ideas that were dodgy (at best) and were subsequently shown to be false. In short, Behe has not earned ERV's respect, so he should not expect it. Either way, he still failed to address the genuine and substantive point that ERV raised.

Still, Behe did acknowledge, in his back and forth with Musgrave, the development of a new viral protein-vial protein binding site that he now realizes he overlooked when writing EoE. In responding to Musgrave on this issue he noted (from Behe’s Amazon blog):

Yes, he did eventually go and do the homework that he should have done before writing his tripe. But only after he had been caught metaphorically with his pants down.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "Something looks designed. So what? Snowflakes look designed; that cloud from your childhood that looked like a unicorn looks designed." A snowflake looks designed. It's not. A quartz crystal looks designed. It's not. A pocket watch looks designed. It is. I'm not sure how that arguments helps us. Some things that look designed are not really, and other things that look designed really are. How do we tell the difference?
Actually, Tom, that really is the key point. The appearance of design quite obviously does not implicate the existence of design. Besides, apparent design is a conclusion in the mind of the beholder, not an intrinsic property of an item. "Design" is not like colour, shape, proportion, texture and so on. Instead, it is a conclusion arising from a link between the object being viewed and the beliefs and experiences of the person viewing it. This link may or may not be justified, but to justify it requires the application of additional knowledge (e.g. in the case of the watch, the materials from which it is made, and the shapes that its parts form are all familiar to many of us as designed and manufactured objects).

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"However, in the case of biological evolution, the observed natural processes are quite sufficient to bring about the amount of change that is recorded in the fossil record"

Just taking one lineage (i.e., horses) as an example:

Hyracotherium (early Eocene)
Mesohippus (Oligocene)
Mercyhippus (Miocene)
Pliohippus (Pliocene)
Equus (Pleistocene and Holocene)

What "observed natural processes" explain the evolution of Hyracotherium with a height of only 40 cm to modern horses with a height of 1.6m ? Where were these natural processes observed? Are they part of the fossil record itself?

bobby · 15 May 2008

" in the case of the watch, the materials from which it is made, and the shapes that its parts form are all familiar to many of us as designed and manufactured objects "

so only object which we know are designed can be designated as designed?

that is circular logic.

if an object fall to earth from space how can we analyze it to determine if it was designed?

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

But in this model if we assume that the fitness landscape is changing then what happens when the two local maxima merge into the same point? Won’t the separate species now merge together into one species? Why don’t we see this happening in nature?

— Tom Marking
When one species splits into two populations that become reproductively isolated from one another, they will eventually be unable to interbreed. In fact, cross-fertility (or, rather, lack thereof) is sometimes used as a marker for speciation (more often than not, the distinction between one species and another is arbitrary - organisms do not neatly form discontinuities that allow us easily to classify them). When two species are then brought together once more, if they cannot interbreed but still compete for resources, one of them will become extinct. However, when two portions of a population move apart in a fitness landscape, they may still be coexisting in the same habitat. In this case, selection will drive the two species farther apart on the fitness landscape, because competition between the two is lessened if they share fewer traits and / or habits. This is a prediction that Darwin made in TOOS that has been born out by observation.

Larry Boy · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel explains: “Way to miss the point, bigbang.... Different breeds of dogs are very different from one another. So different that a zoologist who did not already know that they were the same species would almost certainly identify them as a great many different species….” Oh, I see, you mean a zoologist like Dawkins. Well, in that case, he’d probably suggest that space aliens may have been responsible.
You might find this surprising, but I don't worships Dawkins, so it doesn't really bother me when you insult him. It's not sacrilegious or anything. The only thing you accomplish is liberating me from the last particle of my respect for you. I mean, you clearly have nothing to say, and are not intelligent enough to disguise your foolishness. In retribution for your behavior, I will now insult the Pope, Issac Newton, and You: The Pope has a funny hat! HAHAHAHA! Issac Newton was a creationist! HAHAHAHAHHA! Your dumb! HAHAHAHAHA!

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: For all my new friends here at PT, here’s the latest post, 5/9/2008, by Behe, regarding malaria and mutations, from his Amazon blog------ [IP infringing material deleted]
Does Behe know you are breaching copyright on his blog? Seriously, Behe is not a respected authority here. Do not expect anything he says to be believed without independent corroboration. If Behe told me that the sun was going to rise tomorrow morning, I would seek out a second opinion. And, if you wish to share his words, summarise his point in your own words and post a link, not the entire content of his post. Not only are you violating his copyright, but you are also being boring.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

The neo-Darwinian view would be that ultimately everything is the result of undirected random mutations and selection … or possibly, OTOH, as neo-Darwinian uber-atheist Dawkins recently opined when explaining evolution to Ben Stein, space aliens

— bigbang
Gee, bigbang, you really are as thick as two short planks. That's another very simple point that you have got wrong. Or is it that you are only able to propose strawman caricatures of evolution and cannot grasp the real thing? Modern evolutionary theory (MET) contains several mechanisms of biological change. The theory has advanced somewhat in the last 140-odd years. Nevertheless, selection operating on heritable variation remains an important mechanism of change. And there is no evidence whatever that the process of biological change occurs with any kind of plan or forethought (except in the case of artificial selection, where the selecting agents are humans).

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel asks: “Does Behe even mention nylonase in EoE? Can he explain its origin in more than one form?” . Sounds like essentially just more evidence of common descent. Behe never argues against common descent. He’s always been a believer in common descent as far as I know.
Nylonase is not only pertinent to common descent - it is also a big challenge to the principle of ID. It has only very recently appeared (nylon being a man-made substance). It is a good example of the power of natural selection, thus presenting hurdle to anyone (like Behe) who claims to doubt the capability of NS to generate new functions. Oh, yes, and that makes another point that you have completely missed. BTW, you did not answer my question. How come Behe cannot explain the origin of nylonases?

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"When two species are then brought together once more, if they cannot interbreed but still compete for resources"

Why can't the organisms from the two groups interbreed if the two groups are occupying the same region of phenotype (or perhaps genotype) space? They should be able to interbreed again if their genotypes are similar.

I think I'm getting confused by the model again. The clarity is slipping away once more. I thought I had it nailed down tight after the last explanation but apparently not.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "However, in the case of biological evolution, the observed natural processes are quite sufficient to bring about the amount of change that is recorded in the fossil record" Just taking one lineage (i.e., horses) as an example: Hyracotherium (early Eocene) Mesohippus (Oligocene) Mercyhippus (Miocene) Pliohippus (Pliocene) Equus (Pleistocene and Holocene) What "observed natural processes" explain the evolution of Hyracotherium with a height of only 40 cm to modern horses with a height of 1.6m ? Where were these natural processes observed? Are they part of the fossil record itself?
The natural processes that are the observed mechanisms of biological change, as detailed in any good library under "evolution". These mechanisms include, but are not limited to, natural selection, genetic drift, sexual selection, recombination and random mutation. The examples of dogs and pigeons demonstrate the power of selection acting upon heritable variation to bring about change.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"Modern evolutionary theory (MET) contains several mechanisms of biological change. The theory has advanced somewhat in the last 140-odd years."

Can I get a complete enumeration of all of these mechanisms, and what the consensus estimate is from evolutionary biologists concerning the contribution of each to evolution. For example,

1.) natural selection - 80%
2.) genetic drift - 10%
3.) exaptation - 4%
4.) founder effect - 3%
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Or maybe no such list exists? I'd appreciate it if someone could point me to one. Thanks.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

bobby said: " in the case of the watch, the materials from which it is made, and the shapes that its parts form are all familiar to many of us as designed and manufactured objects " so only object which we know are designed can be designated as designed? that is circular logic. if an object fall to earth from space how can we analyze it to determine if it was designed?
Bobby, get a grip. I said "e.g.". This is an abbreviation of exempla gratia which means "for example". It was an illustration of the point that we would need to apply additional knowledge to decide conclusively if an item were designed or not. For example, our knowledge of physics and chemistry, materials science, manufacturing processes and so forth. Your putative object-falling-from-the-sky would comprise some substance (or substances). If, for instance, one of these were steel, we would conclude that the object was manufactured, since steel does not occur naturally. Alternatively, if the object were covered in a metal foil of uniform thickness, we might conclude it was manufactured. Alternatively, if it were nickel, in a globular shape (which could be a natural object) but had obviious tool-marks on it, we would again conclude some form of manufacturing process. And so on. Note that the kind of evidence that we would find would be evidence that the object (like the watch) is manufactured, from which we could reasonably extrapolate to conclude some kind of design behind it. If, on the other hand, there were no evidence that the object had been manufactured, we could not conclude design. Either we would conclude that it was a natural object (i.e. formed by natural processes) or we would have to conclude that we simply didn't know. Science does not leap to conclusions - it requires firm evidence and logical inferences from the evidence. Without these, no scientific conclusions may be drawn.

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "When two species are then brought together once more, if they cannot interbreed but still compete for resources" Why can't the organisms from the two groups interbreed if the two groups are occupying the same region of phenotype (or perhaps genotype) space? They should be able to interbreed again if their genotypes are similar. I think I'm getting confused by the model again. The clarity is slipping away once more. I thought I had it nailed down tight after the last explanation but apparently not.
Because, very often, two isolated populations of a species will diverge in such a way that interbreeding leads to reduced fertility. Horses and donkeys are quite similar animals, and they can interbreed, but the offspring (mules or hinnies) are almost always completely sterile.

Stanton · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "When two species are then brought together once more, if they cannot interbreed but still compete for resources" Why can't the organisms from the two groups interbreed if the two groups are occupying the same region of phenotype (or perhaps genotype) space? They should be able to interbreed again if their genotypes are similar. I think I'm getting confused by the model again. The clarity is slipping away once more. I thought I had it nailed down tight after the last explanation but apparently not.
There are many barriers to interbreeding between two related species, but they are not absolute. Sometimes, the barriers are small enough that they are easily overcome with a little help from serendipity, such as the case of the honeysuckle maggot fly arising from hybrids between the blueberry maggot fly and the snowberry maggot fly about 200 years ago (when European honeysuckle was imported to the eastern United States).

Nigel D · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "Modern evolutionary theory (MET) contains several mechanisms of biological change. The theory has advanced somewhat in the last 140-odd years." Can I get a complete enumeration of all of these mechanisms, and what the consensus estimate is from evolutionary biologists concerning the contribution of each to evolution. For example, 1.) natural selection - 80% 2.) genetic drift - 10% 3.) exaptation - 4% 4.) founder effect - 3% . . . Or maybe no such list exists? I'd appreciate it if someone could point me to one. Thanks.
You are correct. No such list exists. There is no consensus over the relative importance of the various mechanisms.

phantomreader42 · 15 May 2008

Once again, Bobby the boob demonstrates he doesn't know what the hell he's talking about. I guess this is what he's sunk to, in order to hide from his previous comments that he can't provide any evidence of either. Once again, dumbass, YOU'RE the one claiming that life was designed by some unknown being in some unknown way for some unknown reason (or making some other unknown claim that you can't be bothered to substantiate, you've never been clear on what the hell you're talking about). How do YOU distinguish between something that's designed and something that isn't? YOU'RE the one saying you've made this distinction. Show your damn work for once! Bobby is not only stupid and dishonest, but terminally lazy.
bobby said: " in the case of the watch, the materials from which it is made, and the shapes that its parts form are all familiar to many of us as designed and manufactured objects " so only object which we know are designed can be designated as designed? that is circular logic. if an object fall to earth from space how can we analyze it to determine if it was designed?

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"These mechanisms include, but are not limited to, natural selection, genetic drift, sexual selection, recombination and random mutation. The examples of dogs and pigeons demonstrate the power of selection acting upon heritable variation to bring about change"

Wait a minute. Just so we're clear here. The observed mechanisms refer to observations on modern breeding of dogs and pigeons. These mechanisms are then applied to the fossil record, in this case, the evolution of horses. Is that what you're saying?

Actually, using this type of argument plays right into the hands of IDers and is therefore a terrible argument. It goes something like this:

1.) We can see remarkable changes produced by selection during breeding of dogs and pigeons by human beings
2.) We can see remarkable changes in the fossil record
3.) The selection during the breeding of dogs and pigeons is caused by a teleological agent (i.e., human beings)
4.) Therefore since the results are similar, the selection which resulted in the fossil record is also caused by a teleological agent (i.e., Intelligent Designer = God)

boby · 15 May 2008

Nigel D said:
bobby said: " in the case of the watch, the materials from which it is made, and the shapes that its parts form are all familiar to many of us as designed and manufactured objects " so only object which we know are designed can be designated as designed? that is circular logic. if an object fall to earth from space how can we analyze it to determine if it was designed?
Bobby, get a grip. I said "e.g.". This is an abbreviation of exempla gratia which means "for example". It was an illustration of the point that we would need to apply additional knowledge to decide conclusively if an item were designed or not. For example, our knowledge of physics and chemistry, materials science, manufacturing processes and so forth. Your putative object-falling-from-the-sky would comprise some substance (or substances). If, for instance, one of these were steel, we would conclude that the object was manufactured, since steel does not occur naturally. Alternatively, if the object were covered in a metal foil of uniform thickness, we might conclude it was manufactured. Alternatively, if it were nickel, in a globular shape (which could be a natural object) but had obviious tool-marks on it, we would again conclude some form of manufacturing process. And so on. Note that the kind of evidence that we would find would be evidence that the object (like the watch) is manufactured, from which we could reasonably extrapolate to conclude some kind of design behind it. If, on the other hand, there were no evidence that the object had been manufactured, we could not conclude design. Either we would conclude that it was a natural object (i.e. formed by natural processes) or we would have to conclude that we simply didn't know. Science does not leap to conclusions - it requires firm evidence and logical inferences from the evidence. Without these, no scientific conclusions may be drawn.
..........If, on the other hand, there were no evidence that the object had been manufactured, we could not conclude design. Either we would conclude that it was a natural object (i.e. formed by natural processes) or we would have to conclude that we simply didn't know. exactly and let me use YOUR logic: it there were not evidence that LIFE had been manufacture we could not conclude deisn. Either we would conclude that LIFE was a natural object (i.e. formed by natural processes) or we would have to conclude that we simply didn't know. back to the beginning again: How do YOU determine that an object was made by natural processes???

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"There is no consensus over the relative importance of the various mechanisms."

Since there is no consensus, how does anyone know that all the mechanisms have been discovered? How do you know that there aren't one or more unknown mechanisms contributing to evolution?

GuyeFaux · 15 May 2008

Since there is no consensus, how does anyone know that all the mechanisms have been discovered?

In fact science will never be able to prove that there are no other mechanisms.

How do you know that there aren’t one or more unknown mechanisms contributing to evolution?

We don't know; but, since there is no evidence for other mechanisms, we know that we don't know of other mechanisms. Which is as close as science will get (since it can't prove a universal negative).

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"We don’t know; but, since there is no evidence for other mechanisms, we know that we don’t know of other mechanisms."

If you could quantify the contributions of the various mechanisms that you do know then a missing mechanism would stick out like a sore thumb. For example:

natural selection - 60%
genetic drift - 10%
sexual selection - 10%
exaptation - 5%
founder effect - 5%
-------------------------
total - 90%

It's now obvious there's a missing 10% that cannot be explained by the existing mechanisms. But since evolution does not seem to be a very numerically precise theory I guess biologists will just have to stumble across new mechanisms more or less randomly.

Draconiz · 15 May 2008

"We don’t know; but, since there is no evidence for other mechanisms, we know that we don’t know of other mechanisms. Which is as close as science will get (since it can’t prove a universal negative)"

Which at this point goes into the realm of metaphysics and you are free to believe any entity you wish to believe, in case you want to believe in such a force teach it in a philosophy class because that doesn't concern science.

bigbang, we both have about 100-200 mutations from our parent and yet here we are, the nylon-eating bacteria is also a good example of "beneficial" mutations.

Actually an argument from design will favor the Raelians because we have not been "designed" very well and that should not be the case if the creator is "perfect", a lot of our features are jerry-rigged from fish, we can't make our own Vitamin C unlike other mammals and dolphins have non-functioning smelling gene that is only useful on land.

Actually, I like the fact that bigbang keep updating us with pseudoscience from Behe, bobby on the other hand is a troll

Henry J · 15 May 2008

I’m not sure how that arguments helps us. Some things that look designed are not really, and other things that look designed really are. How do we tell the difference?

By knowing the history of the object in question, or that of other objects of the same type.

But in this model if we assume that the fitness landscape is changing then what happens when the two local maxima merge into the same point? Won’t the separate species now merge together into one species? Why don’t we see this happening in nature?

It's the huge number of dimensions involved. If the two species did differ in only two of those dimensions, then a merging of their respective local maxima might cause them to merge. But with no more difference than that, they were for practical purposes already just different varieties of one species. If they differed by a large number of those dimensions, then the odds of merging in all (or even most) of those would be extremely low. Henry

Stanton · 15 May 2008

There are other living examples besides domesticated pigeons and dogs. Like land snails living on islands such as Hawaii and Cuba, or cichlids of the Rift Valley lakes in Africa, the Birds of Paradise of Papau New Guinea, or the apple maggot fly speciation event in the fruit orchards of the eastern United States.
Tom Marking said: "These mechanisms include, but are not limited to, natural selection, genetic drift, sexual selection, recombination and random mutation. The examples of dogs and pigeons demonstrate the power of selection acting upon heritable variation to bring about change" Wait a minute. Just so we're clear here. The observed mechanisms refer to observations on modern breeding of dogs and pigeons. These mechanisms are then applied to the fossil record, in this case, the evolution of horses. Is that what you're saying? Actually, using this type of argument plays right into the hands of IDers and is therefore a terrible argument. It goes something like this: 1.) We can see remarkable changes produced by selection during breeding of dogs and pigeons by human beings 2.) We can see remarkable changes in the fossil record 3.) The selection during the breeding of dogs and pigeons is caused by a teleological agent (i.e., human beings) 4.) Therefore since the results are similar, the selection which resulted in the fossil record is also caused by a teleological agent (i.e., Intelligent Designer = God)

Henry J · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking | May 15, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply “It is clear that a cheetah doesn’t necessarily have to have a plan to catch gazelles.” Well, you can replace this example with a human hunter sneaking up on a deer in order to shoot it. We know in this case the behavior is 100% teleological. How? By asking the hunter. Q: Hey, Joe, why were you hiding behind the tree and aiming your rifle? A: Because I had a plan. I intended to kill the deer. And if you’ve watched any of the National Geographic specials about Jane Goodall and the chimpanzees at Gombe it seems pretty clear that our closest primate relatives also exhibit teleological hunting behaviors.

I thought the issue with "teleology" was whether evolution was teleological - not the series of actions taken by the hunter or predator. Henry

Richard Simons · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "There is no consensus over the relative importance of the various mechanisms." Since there is no consensus, how does anyone know that all the mechanisms have been discovered? How do you know that there aren't one or more unknown mechanisms contributing to evolution?
We don't. If evidence is produced that a currently unknown mechanism is contributing to evolution that will be included too. I imagine you are driving to asking us why ID is excluded. So far, IDers have neither produced any evidence for supernatural interference nor have they the slightest clue about how to collect such evidence. Until they do, there is no reason to take their ideas seriously.

Richard Simons · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: If you could quantify the contributions of the various mechanisms that you do know then a missing mechanism would stick out like a sore thumb. For example: natural selection - 60% genetic drift - 10% sexual selection - 10% exaptation - 5% founder effect - 5% ------------------------- total - 90%
How would you do this? Please design an experiment (or experiments) that would make this possible for any organism of your choice.

GuyeFaux · 15 May 2008

If you could quantify the contributions of the various mechanisms that you do know then a missing mechanism would stick out like a sore thumb. For example: natural selection - 60% genetic drift - 10% sexual selection - 10% exaptation - 5% founder effect - 5% ————————- total - 90% It’s now obvious there’s a missing 10% that cannot be explained by the existing mechanisms.

It's not as "easy" as that. I think everybody acknowledges that these forces are constantly changing and depend on the current shape of the fitness landscape.

But since evolution does not seem to be a very numerically precise theory I guess biologists will just have to stumble across new mechanisms more or less randomly.

I disagree with your assessment here. While the details have not been worked out, there are many mathematically precise models of evolution. It's just not certain which of these models fits the facts best.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"whether evolution was teleological"

What does that mean? That's the heart of the issue. Clearly there are evolving beings (e.g., definitely humans, perhaps apes, perhaps other species) that are teleological. Does that make evolution teleological since it involves these organisms that are teleological?

I'm sure many folks on this blog have already heard of the Gaia hypthesis in which the entire biosphere adapts the planetary environment to suit itself which implies some level of teleology even if it is not conscious. I'm not sure I give that idea much credence but I'd be interested to hear what others have to say about it.

trrll · 15 May 2008

And if you’ve watched any of the National Geographic specials about Jane Goodall and the chimpanzees at Gombe it seems pretty clear that our closest primate relatives also exhibit teleological hunting behaviors.
Yes, it is likely that other mammals can carry out goal-directed behavior. But the fact that one behavior may be goal-directed does not prove that another one is. After all, we have both kinds of behavior ourselves. Do you think that people have sex primarily because their intent is to make babies? So we don't know whether the cheetah chases prey because it is planning its dinner, or just because chasing things feels good.

Henry J · 15 May 2008

Tom,

“whether evolution was teleological” What does that mean? That’s the heart of the issue. Clearly there are evolving beings (e.g., definitely humans, perhaps apes, perhaps other species) that are teleological. Does that make evolution teleological since it involves these organisms that are teleological?

I'd say no. Intentional behavior on the part of some organisms does not imply that evolution of a species (theirs or another) was also intentional on the part of something else. Henry

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"How would you do this? Please design an experiment (or experiments) that would make this possible for any organism of your choice."

What the heck. You guys are the ones claiming you're observing these effects in pigeons, dogs, land snails, etc. You mean you can't quantify your observations of these effects (e.g., natural selection, genetic drift, etc.)? Why does it require a new experiment? This should be routine biological science.

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: The observed mechanisms refer to observations on modern breeding of dogs and pigeons. These mechanisms are then applied to the fossil record, in this case, the evolution of horses. Is that what you're saying? Actually, using this type of argument plays right into the hands of IDers and is therefore a terrible argument. It goes something like this: 1.) We can see remarkable changes produced by selection during breeding of dogs and pigeons by human beings 2.) We can see remarkable changes in the fossil record 3.) The selection during the breeding of dogs and pigeons is caused by a teleological agent (i.e., human beings) 4.) Therefore since the results are similar, the selection which resulted in the fossil record is also caused by a teleological agent (i.e., Intelligent Designer = God)
Here's the problem Tom. IDers do not claim that irreducibly complex structures were created via artificial selection. In principle there is nothing artificial selection can do that natural selection can't. It simply accomplishes some things far more quickly. In fact, the distinction between the two is somewhat dubious, as some of the debates we've had here over the terms suggests. The arguments by Behe et al, re mousetraps and flagellums, is that such structures cannot be created step by step via random mutation and selection, period. Whence the selection comes makes no differece. They argue that a designer had to create the item, to some extent, ex nihilo. In other words, it is the mutation side of the equation where the designer must act, not the selection side. So a scientist changing the environment of a test subject in a lab is analogous to natural selection, not ID. Now if the scientist went into the genome of the test subject and altered it directly, THAT would be analogous to ID. And BTW, thank you for providing the counterexample to the lie that anyone who questions evolution will be verbally abused. Ask intelligent questions (as you have), and you'll get intelligent answers. Act like a pompous ignoramus (as others here have), and get dogpiled. Pretty clear, dontcha think?

bigbang · 15 May 2008

Nigel asks: "BTW, you did not answer my question. How come Behe cannot explain the origin of nylonases?"

.

Apparently Behe considers it trivial. When asked if the independent evolution of nylonase in two different strains of flavobacterium and of pseudomonas aeruginosa was a good example of an increase of information in the genome; and whether it refuted the main contention of his book, Behe replied:

“No. Those enzymes are very simple ones which simply hydrolyze precursors to nylon. That’s a very simple task, which can be done even by small organic catalysts.”

.

You know Nigel, Behe’s EoE is now selling for only $7 at Amazon----you should order yourself a copy if for no other reason than to find and expose all the lies and poor scholarship that you and everyone else here is convinced that Behe is guilty of.

Contrary to your POV, I myself find Behe rather interesting, knowledgeable, likable, a very good writer and explainer of a rather difficult subject, a rebel of sorts; and I suppose I tend to like people capable of thoughtfully and intelligently bucking consensus. Seems to me he’s taken a lot of unnecessary abuse from the neo-Darwinan consensus crowd, and yet he’s generally rather calm and civil.

Anywho, since we now realize that the universe isn’t infinite and eternal after all, but rather that it did indeed have a beginning, a beginning with inexplicably low entropy; and since we now realize how finely tuned things seem to be; being an atheist is no longer as intellectually satisfying as it once was, whereas believing in first cause/design is. So I'm no longer an atheist and the question is how far down the design goes----I suppose that life and we sentient beings might still be an accident, or maybe a product of Dawkins’s space aliens, but I’m not yet convinced.

Nice chatting with everyone.
bigbang

Richard Simons · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "How would you do this? Please design an experiment (or experiments) that would make this possible for any organism of your choice." What the heck. You guys are the ones claiming you're observing these effects in pigeons, dogs, land snails, etc. You mean you can't quantify your observations of these effects (e.g., natural selection, genetic drift, etc.)? Why does it require a new experiment? This should be routine biological science.
Natural selection, genetic drift, etc can be observed and it is possible to say that in one situation one of these has been more important than another. However, as far as I know it is not possible to put even approximate figures for the relative importance of each. To begin with, exactly what would you be measuring? Saying something 'should' be routine biological science means nothing if you have no knowledge of the techniques and problems of conducting biological science. Not to compare scientists with politicians, but it is akin to saying that politicians should be able to sit down and calmly and rationally come to an agreement about what is the best policy for the country.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"The arguments by Behe et al, re mousetraps and flagellums, is that such structures cannot be created step by step via random mutation and selection, period. Whence the selection comes makes no differece."

O.K. Thanks for the clarification. I guess you can tell I am not well versed in ID thinking nor in the works of Michael Behe. So are they claiming that even human beings using artificial selection could not produce the same result if they started from the same starting place?

What about if humans could assemble the same biological structure, atom by atom. Do they claim that there would be something preventing us from doing that? That only the Intelligent Designer can do it?

CJO · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "How would you do this? Please design an experiment (or experiments) that would make this possible for any organism of your choice." What the heck. You guys are the ones claiming you're observing these effects in pigeons, dogs, land snails, etc. You mean you can't quantify your observations of these effects (e.g., natural selection, genetic drift, etc.)? Why does it require a new experiment? This should be routine biological science.
Yes, and I'm frankly impatient at the laggardly pace of Physics in reconciling Quantum Mechanics with Relativity. What gives on the Theory of Everything? This should be routine by now.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"Natural selection, genetic drift, etc can be observed and it is possible to say that in one situation one of these has been more important than another. However, as far as I know it is not possible to put even approximate figures for the relative importance of each. To begin with, exactly what would you be measuring?"

O.K. Let me propose an experiment, but I'm sure many, many biologists have thought of things like this before and probably much better.

1.) Genetic drift group - You put 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in some type of enclosure which we call the reference environment. It has some standard amount of food and type of food. You let the population evolve. You do sampling every so often (maybe every day you pull out 10 at random and sample their genome). You see how the genome varies with time. This gives you some idea of genetic drift when there is no particular selection pressure being applied.

2.) Natural selection group - 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in an enclosure of the same size. You slowly vary the type of food from let's say something sucrose-based to some other sugar that's harder to digest. You do the same sampling of the genome. This should give you some idea on how the genome is varying when the population is under stress and therefore undergoing selection.

And there could be various natural selection groups where you vary different aspects of the environment such as temperature, amount of food, etc., etc.

So that's the type of experiment I would run in order to get some idea on the relative importance of selection versus genetic drift. But I'm sure there are experts who have thought about this and have much better ideas for experiments.

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"Intentional behavior on the part of some organisms does not imply that evolution of a species (theirs or another) was also intentional on the part of something else."

Let's perform a thought experiment, which sadly, is not too different from reality. Let's say Homo sapiens decided to drive into extinction all species of the class amphibians. To a certain extent this is already a real possibility but let's assume it became public policy. Is there any doubt that we couldn't achieve this goal?

Now, let's say humans go extinct and some other intelligent species evolves in our place millions of years from now. When that intelligent species' geologists examined the fossil record they would note a sudden dissapearance of the class amphibia in the fossil record. Such an evolutionary signature would be teleological and perhaps the intelligent species of the future would even be able to deduce that it was purposeful. So from their point of view certain aspects of evolutionary history would be teleological and others wouldn't be. It would be a mixture of the two. And all of this would be true even without an Intelligent Designer.

Sylvilagus · 15 May 2008

Has anyone else noticed that bobby's main purposes here seem to be

a) Promote Behe, i.e. he's much more meticulous... etc etc than you people give him credit for.

and

b) annoy everyone here by disrupting the actual science related discussions.

He offers a strange mixture of technobabble re Behe's "biochemistry" and a rather juvenile taunting behavior. He seems so familiar with Behe's work and so enamored of him that I'm beginning to wonder if bobby isn't actually Behe himself. If he isn't then he sure has an odd fixation on the man.

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Oh, I see, you mean a zoologist like Dawkins. Well, in that case, he’d probably suggest that space aliens may have been responsible.
You do understand that Dawkins is not a Panspermian right? You do understand that the clip of him talking about it in Expeled was a thought experiment, right? It was one of Expelled's more subtle lies, but it was still a lie

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel asks: "BTW, you did not answer my question. How come Behe cannot explain the origin of nylonases?" Apparently Behe considers it trivial. When asked if the independent evolution of nylonase in two different strains of flavobacterium and of pseudomonas aeruginosa was a good example of an increase of information in the genome; and whether it refuted the main contention of his book, Behe replied: “No. Those enzymes are very simple ones which simply hydrolyze precursors to nylon. That’s a very simple task, which can be done even by small organic catalysts.”
That's part of Behe's problem: he dismisses as trivial everything that is difficult to reconcile with his hypothesis. Describing counterexamples as "simple" is just another version of "I'm not impressed", a favorite dodge of Behe's, and creationism in general. He needs to be reminded, as someone else here coined, that "impressedness" is not a scientific concept.

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

bigbang said: Seems to me [Behe]’s taken a lot of unnecessary abuse from the neo-Darwinan consensus crowd, and yet he’s generally rather calm and civil.
Science isn't about being calm and civil, it's about adhering to the evidence, especially with regard to admitting one's errors. It doesn't matter how calm and civil Behe blockheadedly refuses to acknowledge the validity of the criticisms his hypotheses have received, the denial itself condemns him academically. This will show over time. TEoE has dropped almost completely out of site in rather short order, having practically no references in the scientific literature, and only a cult following among IDers. It is, by the judgement of the scientific community, scientifically worthless. In a few years it will fade into oblivion, along with the likes of the shrinking earth gravitational theory.
Anywho, since we now realize that the universe isn’t infinite and eternal after all, but rather that it did indeed have a beginning, a beginning with inexplicably low entropy; and since we now realize how finely tuned things seem to be; being an atheist is no longer as intellectually satisfying as it once was, whereas believing in first cause/design is.
You make me laugh. Atheism is more intellectually viable than ever. Once you have to resort to esoterica like entropy and fine tuning arguments to explain a supposedly omnipotent, omniscient being, you've already lost. Every year yet another claim via religious authortity is demonstrated to be nonsense, and that trend is unlikely to change any time soon.

GuyeFaux · 15 May 2008

I’m sure many folks on this blog have already heard of the Gaia hypthesis in which the entire biosphere adapts the planetary environment to suit itself which implies some level of teleology even if it is not conscious. I’m not sure I give that idea much credence but I’d be interested to hear what others have to say about it.

Lovelock has been very clear that his Gaia hypothesis is not teleological. I suggest you read what he has to say on the matter. I recommend Ages of Gaia wherein the first chapter he discusses why the theory of Gaia does not imply teleology.

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: So are they claiming that even human beings using artificial selection could not produce the same result if they started from the same starting place?
They don't say it that way, but yes. Behe's argument from Irreducible Complexity (IC) deals with objects evolving step by step, with each step being selected for, ie, being advantageous. He doesn't specify what must be doing the selection, and there is no reason for him to. In this case I'm not criticising him, it's about the only thing he got right.
What about if humans could assemble the same biological structure, atom by atom. Do they claim that there would be something preventing us from doing that? That only the Intelligent Designer can do it?
I am not sure what they would say to that, but again, if you read what they have said, my interpretation above is correct regardless of the detailed nature of the ID interference. When they argue something had to be designed, they mean it couldn't have evolved, which means it couldn't be selected for. That means it had to be created, at the atomic level or the macro level makes no difference. For example, sure, I can select for more meaty cows and greatly increase the size and consistency of my cattle. But I can't select for cows that produce chocolate milk, if the necessary genetic mutations don't exist. However, if I could reach into the cow's DNA and make the changes directly, it could be done. This is why some of us step back, note that every land animal on the planet over a pound has the same basic body structure, and see right away that ID in all its forms is absurd. A designed world would be one with deer with eyes on the back of their heads, 6-legged cheetahs, and cows with chocolate milk. A designer with a grand plan wouldn't be so bland, so determined to make everything look as if it were related.

Science Avenger · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: So from their point of view certain aspects of evolutionary history would be teleological and others wouldn't be. It would be a mixture of the two. And all of this would be true even without an Intelligent Designer.
I think all you are illustrating here with your humans-eradicating-amphibians scenario is how tenuous this whole "teleological" concept is. By what evidence do you place human design in a different category with beaver design, or spider design, or ant design? The arguments I've seen amount to fist-pounding about what we "just know". Personally I've never seen an argument worth a shit that used the terms "teleological" or "ontological", so I suggest dropping the whole concept and describe whatever it is you are trying to say in clear, objective terms. If species A wipes out species B, then that's what it was. Evolution doesn't care about the reason. Whether it is your eradication scenario, or a mutational increase in human appetites for amphibian meat, the result of the selection will be the same.

GuyeFaux · 15 May 2008

This highlights well the difficulty of doing such experiments:

1.) Genetic drift group - You put 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in some type of enclosure which we call the reference environment. It has some standard amount of food and type of food. You let the population evolve. You do sampling every so often (maybe every day you pull out 10 at random and sample their genome). You see how the genome varies with time. This gives you some idea of genetic drift when there is no particular selection pressure being applied.

[emphasis mine]. The thing is, you haven't really removed selection for this group. For instance, even you provide a veritable fruit-fly paradise, you will still be selecting for those individuals who best thrive in this environment. For instance, you still haven't eliminated the selective pressure for quicker reproduction, ability to metabolize that particular kind of food, be attractive to other fruitflies, lay more eggs, take advantage of the lighting conditions, etc. A better way to ensure no selection is to randomly kill of a certain segment of the population every once in a while, but in that case you're still selecticting for individuals who can produce the most offspring in the shortest amount of time.

Richard Simons · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: O.K. Let me propose an experiment, but I'm sure many, many biologists have thought of things like this before and probably much better. 1.) Genetic drift group - You put 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in some type of enclosure which we call the reference environment. It has some standard amount of food and type of food. You let the population evolve. You do sampling every so often (maybe every day you pull out 10 at random and sample their genome). You see how the genome varies with time. This gives you some idea of genetic drift when there is no particular selection pressure being applied. 2.) Natural selection group - 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in an enclosure of the same size. You slowly vary the type of food from let's say something sucrose-based to some other sugar that's harder to digest. You do the same sampling of the genome. This should give you some idea on how the genome is varying when the population is under stress and therefore undergoing selection.
You are correct in saying that many experiments similar to that have been done, although they usually do not have an 'unselected' group but instead they may have several groups selected for different things. The reason these experiments are carried out is to determine how quickly a particular trait can respond to selection which was of major interest to plant and animal breeders. 'Was' because people now have a pretty good idea of the kind of response to expect from a wide range of traits. GuyeFaux makes a point I was going to make, that even the 'unselected' group is in fact being selected for something. Also, all it tells you is how quickly a particular trait responds under the conditions of your experiment. Unfortunately it tells you little about the forces causing a natural population to diverge from its ancestors, which as I understand it is what you were looking for. It can tell you that some things are easy to change and others are more difficult but that's about it. It certainly cannot tell you how much of the change can be attributed to selection, how much to drift and how much to unknown causes, which in any case would vary from one trait to another. If, on an island, you found a novel species of mouse that was larger than the presumed ancestor and also had just four toes on each foot instead of the usual five, you would probably say the size was a result of selective pressure but the number of toes was a result of genetic drift. Essentially this would be because you know size responds readily to selection while you can think of no possible advantage in having fewer toes. I realize that this is unsatisfactory but I think that this is the reality of the situation (but I am willing to be corrected if anyone knows otherwise).

Stanton · 15 May 2008

GuyeFaux said: This highlights well the difficulty of doing such experiments:

1.) Genetic drift group - You put 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in some type of enclosure which we call the reference environment. It has some standard amount of food and type of food. You let the population evolve. You do sampling every so often (maybe every day you pull out 10 at random and sample their genome). You see how the genome varies with time. This gives you some idea of genetic drift when there is no particular selection pressure being applied.

[emphasis mine]. The thing is, you haven't really removed selection for this group. For instance, even you provide a veritable fruit-fly paradise, you will still be selecting for those individuals who best thrive in this environment. For instance, you still haven't eliminated the selective pressure for quicker reproduction, ability to metabolize that particular kind of food, be attractive to other fruitflies, lay more eggs, take advantage of the lighting conditions, etc. A better way to ensure no selection is to randomly kill of a certain segment of the population every once in a while, but in that case you're still selecticting for individuals who can produce the most offspring in the shortest amount of time.
There was this one experiment done where a large population of fruit flies were placed in a 1000mL beaker, of which, 15 percent of the population were mutant, stunted-winged fruit flies. The beaker was placed on the sill of an open window, so that a breeze would pass over the mouth of the beaker. Any fruit flies flying about inside the beaker thus stood a good chance of being blown out of the beaker. As the experiment progressed, the stunted-winged subpopulation grew from 15 percent to over 60 percent by the time the experiment was concluded 8 weeks later.

David Stanton · 15 May 2008

So I guess that would be an example of genetic draft.

Stanton · 15 May 2008

David Stanton said: So I guess that would be an example of genetic draft.
Well, Benny Hill said it best with

"Time flies like the wind: Fruit flies like bananas"

Tom Marking · 15 May 2008

"If species A wipes out species B, then that’s what it was. Evolution doesn’t care about the reason."

If that's true then why are we arguing at all? Why did Darwin spend 30 years of his life searching for a mechanism to explain evolution if the mechanism doesn't matter? You could have natural selection, Yahweh mucking around with DNA, the Flying Spaghetti Monster mucking around with DNA, etc., etc. and as long as the result is the same you say it doesn't matter?

Stanton · 15 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "If species A wipes out species B, then that’s what it was. Evolution doesn’t care about the reason." If that's true then why are we arguing at all? Why did Darwin spend 30 years of his life searching for a mechanism to explain evolution if the mechanism doesn't matter? You could have natural selection, Yahweh mucking around with DNA, the Flying Spaghetti Monster mucking around with DNA, etc., etc. and as long as the result is the same you say it doesn't matter?
Please remember that Evolution is not sentient: it is a name given to describe how the phenomenon of "descent with modification" gives rise to, and alters both species of organism and the diversity of life. And yes, the mechanism matters: that species A drives related species B into extinction is a sad fact of life, but this is but one way (out of thousands that have been recognized) of how the diversity of life is altered.

Henry J · 15 May 2008

“If species A wipes out species B, then that’s what it was. Evolution doesn’t care about the reason.” If that’s true then why are we arguing at all? Why did Darwin spend 30 years of his life searching for a mechanism to explain evolution if the mechanism doesn’t matter?

WHAT? Darwin endeavored to explain a mechanism for development of species from earlier species; you're talking about what might kill off a species. That's not the same question. Henry

Nigel D · 16 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "We don’t know; but, since there is no evidence for other mechanisms, we know that we don’t know of other mechanisms." If you could quantify the contributions of the various mechanisms that you do know then a missing mechanism would stick out like a sore thumb. For example: natural selection - 60% genetic drift - 10% sexual selection - 10% exaptation - 5% founder effect - 5% ------------------------- total - 90% It's now obvious there's a missing 10% that cannot be explained by the existing mechanisms. But since evolution does not seem to be a very numerically precise theory I guess biologists will just have to stumble across new mechanisms more or less randomly.
Tom, this comment is stupid and pointless. How could anyone quantify the various mechanisms in such a way that the process of quantifying revealed that we are missing one or more mechanisms? What are we supposed to count that would reveal the influence of something we don't know about?

Eric · 16 May 2008

Tom Marking said
Now, let’s say humans go extinct and some other intelligent species evolves in our place millions of years from now. When that intelligent species’ geologists examined the fossil record they would note a sudden dissapearance of the class amphibia in the fossil record. Such an evolutionary signature would be teleological and perhaps the intelligent species of the future would even be able to deduce that it was purposeful. So from their point of view certain aspects of evolutionary history would be teleological and others wouldn’t be. It would be a mixture of the two. And all of this would be true even without an Intelligent Designer.
This is a great example for illustrating the vacuity of ID. Sudden disappearance – absent any other observation - is consistent with several hypotheses: could be an meteor impact. Or unintelligent predation. Or intelligent predation. Or… etc… A good future scientist would take this observation, and form a hypothesis that not only explains it but predicts some specific future discovery. Then that good scientist would go digging for evidence. For example, your future scientist may hypothesize that if an intelligent race wiped out the amphibians, he (or she or it) should find high-tech artifacts in the same strata as the last amphibians. A different scientist might hypothesize a meteor impact wiped out the amphibians, and if so, he should find a worldwide layer of vanadium in the same strata in which they disappear. Then each scientist goes out and digs, looking for the evidence that will support their claim and disprove the other guy’s. IDers don’t act this way. They don’t form testable claims like “I will find artifacts” or “I will find a layer of vanadium.” Instead, the hypothesis seems to be that someone, somewhere, at some undisclosed time designed something. Which is completely untestable - its the ‘teflon don’ of hypotheses. Its like if your future scientist said, “my human extinction hypothesis is consistent anything you happen to find in the future. Its consistent with finding artifacts, or not finding them, or even with finding that worldwide layer of vanadium you’re looking for.” Real-life scientists discover two centromeres in human chromosome 2 – that’s consistent with design. Tiktaliik? Consistent with design. Age of the earth? According to Behe, both a 6,000 year old earth and a 4 billion year old Earth – or anything in between – would be consistent with design. That’s about the height (or perhaps the nadir) of noncommitment! No facts stick to this idea! Second, IDers refuse to do any actual digging. Instead, they take the position that they’ve come up with such a good idea that it is not their responsibility to look for evidence. Instead, other people should do it, and moreover they expect that their hypothesis should be the one accepted as correct until someone else proves them wrong. Behe actually said in the Dover case that testing whether the flagellum could have evolved held no interest for him, and that if other scientists thought he was wrong, they should do the experiments themselves. This stance is both arrogant and irrational: arrogant because every scientist is responsible for gathering evidence in support of their own claims – no one gets to unilaterally decide that the pet theory they developed in the 1980s should be accepted by the entire community until further notice - and irrational because an unsolved mystery is just unsolved, its not evidence for any person’s pet theory.

Stanton · 16 May 2008

Oh, and before I forget: Tom, the thing that's killing off many, if not most frogs, besides acid rain, exotic predators and habitat destruction is a chrytid fungus. It turns out that this particular chrytid fungus is a disease of African clawed frogs, and because the clawed frogs were imported throughout the world for pregnancy tests (in that injecting a female clawed frog with urine of a pregnant woman induces it to lay eggs), so, too, was the fungus.

Tom Marking · 16 May 2008

"WHAT? Darwin endeavored to explain a mechanism for development of species from earlier species; you’re talking about what might kill off a species. That’s not the same question."

So you appear to be arguing that the mechanism for the development of a species is important, but the mechanism for the extinction of a species is of no relevance. Great!, I can now go off and claim that natural selection explains the development of each species but it was the Flying Spaghetti Monster that caused all the extinctions.

"Second, IDers refuse to do any actual digging. Instead, they take the position that they’ve come up with such a good idea that it is not their responsibility to look for evidence."

That's because ID is a religious/political movement masquerading as science. The main battleground is educational policy. They could probably care less if any of their ideas were scientifically testable. Get over it and stop whinging about it.

Stanton · 16 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "WHAT? Darwin endeavored to explain a mechanism for development of species from earlier species; you’re talking about what might kill off a species. That’s not the same question." So you appear to be arguing that the mechanism for the development of a species is important, but the mechanism for the extinction of a species is of no relevance. Great!, I can now go off and claim that natural selection explains the development of each species but it was the Flying Spaghetti Monster that caused all the extinctions.
These two mechanisms are distinct, but they do interact alot. Extinction of one species provides an opportunity for another species to evolve and take its place.

Science Avenger · 16 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "If species A wipes out species B, then that’s what it was. Evolution doesn’t care about the reason." If that's true then why are we arguing at all? Why did Darwin spend 30 years of his life searching for a mechanism to explain evolution if the mechanism doesn't matter? You could have natural selection, Yahweh mucking around with DNA, the Flying Spaghetti Monster mucking around with DNA, etc., etc. and as long as the result is the same you say it doesn't matter?
I'm talking about what is important in the ID discussion, not what was important to Darwin. Something mucking around with the DNA would not be the same result, that's the point I was trying (apparently poorly) to make. Again, the ID argument is that certain attributes of living things could not have come about via selection, and instead would require that DNA mucking, if not outright poofing ex nihilo, of some being or trait.

Science Avenger · 16 May 2008

Tom Marking said: So you appear to be arguing that the mechanism for the development of a species is important, but the mechanism for the extinction of a species is of no relevance. Great!, I can now go off and claim that natural selection explains the development of each species but it was the Flying Spaghetti Monster that caused all the extinctions.
Sure, if you want. If a species goes extinct, there is no evolution. The whole concept behind selection is that there is nonrandom differential reproduction. A total wiping out of a species doesn't allow for that.

bigbang · 17 May 2008

As Evo Devo Sean Carroll, Professor of Molecular Biology, Genetics, and Medical Genetics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison observed, in his Endless forms most beautiful, 2005: “The surprising message from Evo Devo is that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies long predated he appearance of those bodies in the Cambrian Explosion. The genetic potential was in place for at least 50 million years, and probably a fair bit longer, before large, complex forms emerged.”

.

I think most neo-Darwinians would agree that this discovery----that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged----illustrates the power and reality of neo-Darwinian evolution by random mutation and natural selection. Leaving the neo-Darwinians wondering, in light of Sean Carroll’s observation, how anyone could possibly suggest that evolution by random mutation and natural selection is limited or an incomplete theory?

bobby · 17 May 2008

"" The surprising message from Evo Devo is that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies long predated he appearance of those bodies in the Cambrian Explosion. ""

Then HOW did they get there??

bigbang · 17 May 2008

Bobby asks: “Then HOW did they get there??”

.

RM + NS, how else? And that RM + NS did it b/f those animal bodies even emerged illustrates the power of the RM + NS; and is yet another reason that we can be so certain that RM & NS has to be true for all of evolution.

David Stanton · 17 May 2008

You're wasting your time bigbang, the question was rhetorical. All of Bobby's questions are rhetorical. Bobby knows all about evolution, including where genes come from. And even if he didn't, it has been explained to him many times already.

trrll · 17 May 2008

So you appear to be arguing that the mechanism for the development of a species is important, but the mechanism for the extinction of a species is of no relevance.
Like all aspects of biological history, it is certainly of interest. But extinction is not required for evolution by natural selection, so the details of how it occurs are a side issue. All the theory really requires is that some species persist long enough to give rise to other species.

trrll · 17 May 2008

I think most neo-Darwinians would agree that this discovery—-that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged—-illustrates the power and reality of neo-Darwinian evolution by random mutation and natural selection.
Actually, I think that the theory would be in trouble if this were not the case. Because of the smaller populations and longer generation times, evolution of larger species is expected to be mostly tinkering--tweaks and recombination of sequence motifs that were invented by the little guys.

bigbang · 18 May 2008

Trrll says: "evolution of larger species is expected to be mostly tinkering–tweaks and recombination of sequence motifs that were invented by the little guys."

.

Bingo. And skeptics like Behe pretty much agree with the ability of RM + NS to tinker, and with common descent too----they just lack the faith in RM+NS’s ability to evolve all those genes, all the complex molecular machinery, required for building large, complex animal bodies millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged. And I think that’s Behe’s biggest problem----his lack of faith in what most neo-Darwinians know has to be true, in this case that RM+NS evolved all the genes, all the complex molecular machinery, required for building large, complex animal bodies millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged, (although, admittedly, Darwinism never predicted this b/f Evo-Devo discovered it), and why he believes that neo-Darwinian evolution by RM+NS is a limited and incomplete theory.

When you think about it, how could RM+NS not be true? I mean what could be more obvious than that the fittest traits would survive?

bigbang · 18 May 2008

Trrll says: “Actually, I think that the theory [RM+NS] would be in trouble if this were not the case [that all the genes for building large, complex animal bodies were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged]. Because of the smaller populations and longer generation times, evolution of larger species is expected to be mostly tinkering–tweaks and recombination of sequence motifs that were invented by the little guys.”

.

Sure, plus if those genes hadn’t been in place then we multi-cellular sentient beings wouldn’t even be here to declare that RM+NS did what it did . . . too bad Darwinian RM+NS didn’t predicted that b/f Evo-Devo discovered it, say like the Big Bang model predicted the CMBR b/f the CMBR was discovered. Still, no one can deny that RM+NS does at least predict simpler things like the evolution of drug resistance by various organisms/viruses.

bigbang · 18 May 2008

Trrll says: “Actually, I think that the theory [RM+NS] would be in trouble if this were not the case [that all the genes for building large, complex animal bodies were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged]. Because of the smaller populations and longer generation times, evolution of larger species is expected to be mostly tinkering–tweaks and recombination of sequence motifs that were invented by the little guys.”

.

Sure, plus if those genes hadn’t been in place then we multi-cellular sentient beings wouldn’t even be here to reveal that RM+NS did what it did . . . too bad Darwinian RM+NS didn’t predicted that b/f Evo-Devo discovered it, say like the Big Bang model predicted the CMBR b/f the CMBR was discovered. Still, no one can deny that RM+NS does at least predict simpler things like the evolution of drug resistance by various organisms/viruses.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 May 2008

Philip Bruce Heywood said: Nige, I know the human genome isn't changing. Torbjorn says it is - he says we are evolving, right now. Your reply was an improvement on Strife'sGrandmother's.
I'm afraid I must exercise what you called my "precision" and point out that you are quote mining my comments. I mentioned research that shows how the human genome is improving - the recent evolution was by selection, not drift. (Albeit there is a fair amount of non-deleterious genetic hitchhiking involved.) So your implication that it instead supports the reverse phenomena is entirely a creationist fabrication of your feverish mind grasping for strawmen to defend an impossible position.

Stanton · 18 May 2008

bigbang said: Sure, plus if those genes hadn’t been in place then we multi-cellular sentient beings wouldn’t even be here to reveal that RM+NS did what it did . . . too bad Darwinian RM+NS didn’t predicted that b/f Evo-Devo discovered it, say like the Big Bang model predicted the CMBR b/f the CMBR was discovered. Still, no one can deny that RM+NS does at least predict simpler things like the evolution of drug resistance by various organisms/viruses.
Do realize that Evolutionary Development is one of many many sciences that has Random Mutation + Natural Selection as a foundation. Do also realize that the scientists back in Charles Darwin's day were totally unaware of the existence of DNA and RNA, as well as being ignorant of the function of the genome.

bigbang · 18 May 2008

Stanton says: “Do also realize that the scientists back in Charles Darwin’s day were totally unaware of the existence of DNA and RNA, as well as being ignorant of the function of the genome.”

.

Well sure, but natural selection is still viewed as acting on an organism's physical characteristics, or phenotype; it’s just that we now know that phenotype is determined by an organism's genotype and that it’s random mutations to the DNA that provides much of the variation that NS then acts upon.

OTOH, based on the Evo-Devo discovery----that the genes required for building large, complex animal bodies, or phenotypes, were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies, those phenotypes, even emerged----we can now see that NS somehow acted upon those phenotypes b/f they even emerged! Something that neither Darwin, nor any other Darwinian, would have foreseen.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 May 2008

I’m sorry I haven’t gotten around replying on this earlier, first prioritizing other comments as your reply was so obviously proving my point, then recovering from an unfortunate computer accident. (The computer, not me. :-P)
bigbang said: what we observe is that although it’s fairly clear that life has and continues to evolve, and that there’s plenty of evidence for common descent, it’s just that evolution by random mutation and selection is obviously quite limited.
Despite that you claim, that known mechanisms don't explain evolution of observed traits, that is exactly what the current theory successfully does. So instead of being a support for your thesis that evolution by a specific mechanism is limited, this supports that evolution quite visibly isn't limited in the sense that the vast amount of different traits is caused by it. Finally, there is no design in the sense you imply, an empirical theory capable of prediction of facts.
bigbang said: Larrson said: “And of course we know the bodies that move are the most energetic b/c if they weren’t, they’d not have moved. Circular perhaps, but undeniably a truism.” . You’re probably thinking of some sort of equation. Not that it matters but equations quantify the theories/natural laws that have been discovered by physicists which are then used to predict things; the terms on both sides of an equation are typically defined elsewhere; the equal sign does not mean "is defined by, " it means is equal to. Fitness, on the other hand is defined by selection-----see the difference?
First, my name is derived from a (now defunct) swedish patronymic, not a US derivative of one. So it is Larsson. Second, my point exactly. The definition "elsewhere" is made by testing the prediction of the implicitly defined properties against observation, which breaks circularity as regards the method itself. The same goes for your claim on fitness. Except that fitness isn't defined by selection but by reproductive success, which is observable all by itself. This is why there are different measures of fitness btw, absolute as well as relative, something which would be impossible if your claim on its definition correct, or equivalently your claim of tautology. (How could two different concepts be tautological with each other?)
bigbang said: Still, selection is not the issue; selection pressures seem to be undeniable; it just that selection is circular and that we can’t really predict anything terribly specific, except the obvious, that the fittest traits survive.
Due to the fact that recent human evolution seems to be due to selection (how's that for a prediction; others are that an empirical age distribution for selected alleles have been derived) quite a lot can be predicted as seen here (distribution of strength of selection in humans: from below 1 % to above 3 %, predictions of selective sweeps, prediction of acceleration of human evolution by a factor 70 or more, prediction of current human evolution rate of 13 fixations per generation surpassing Haldane's longterm rate for independent mortality selection by a factor ~ 10^3 for reasons of dependent fertility selection) here (neutrality is predicted as a non explanation), and here. That "the fittest traits survive" is an evolutionary prediction is gainsaid by the phenomena of fertility selection, and I note that it is currently observably the most important phenomena in human evolution. And that there isn't any specific predictions is contrary to such results presented here or countless others. There is a lot of biological science to get to know, instead of claiming simplistic and erroneous descriptions.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 May 2008

angst said: It seems to be an astronomy term. From the SAO Encyclopedia of Astronomy:
Secular evolution is defined as slow, steady evolution.
Thank you, angst. I thought I recognized the term, but I couldn't place it. Seems Tom Marking wants to confuse astronomy with biology. But as star populations or other astronomical phenomena aren't hereditary, there is no comparison between the disparate phenomena, and a clear divide between the definition of biological type evolution (observable hereditary changes over generations) and other uses. Besides, a slow steady rate of evolution isn't a prediction of evolution theory, but instead examples of different rates is in fact observed as predicted.

bigbang · 18 May 2008

Larsson says: “Despite that you claim, that known mechanisms don’t explain evolution of observed traits, that is exactly what the current theory successfully does.”

.

I must be evolving Larsson b/c I now more or less agree with you----based on the Evo-Devo discovery that the genes required for building large, complex animal bodies, or phenotypes, were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies, those phenotypes, even emerged----that somehow NS was able to select those phenotypes, those traits, obviously products of RM, b/c RM is all there ever was, is, or will be, b/f they even emerged. Now that I think about it, how could it be otherwise?

You say that “fitness isn’t defined by selection but by reproductive success.” Sure, I’ll go with that----and we know that a trait has reproductive success b/c if it didn’t it would not have been selected: ergo, reproductive success is defined by selection.

Stanton · 18 May 2008

bigbang said: You say that “fitness isn’t defined by selection but by reproductive success.” Sure, I’ll go with that----and we know that a trait has reproductive success b/c if it didn’t it would not have been selected: ergo, reproductive success is defined by selection.
In most cases, yes. However, a few clearly disadvantageous traits, such as the genetic disorder, Huntington's disease, are passed down because the symptoms do not appear until the afflicted individual is around 40 to 50 years old, well after the ages the majority of humans are reproductively active.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 May 2008

Tom Marking said: But in this model if we assume that the fitness landscape is changing then what happens when the two local maxima merge into the same point? Won't the separate species now merge together into one species? Why don't we see this happening in nature?
Reproductive isolation occurs at speciation (of biological species), i.e. they don't have exactly the same traits. Selection isn't going to remove this difference because there is no pressures for that. OTOH merging can happen if the species combine traits, see endosymbionts.
Tom Marking said: What "observed natural processes" explain the evolution of Hyracotherium with a height of only 40 cm to modern horses with a height of 1.6m ? Where were these natural processes observed? Are they part of the fossil record itself?
Evolution mechanisms, obviously. They are observed by for example their actions on fossil traits. Since this is the point of evolution theory, to predict evolutionary observations, your questions seems extraordinary silly to a casual observer.
Tom Marking said: Actually, using this type of argument plays right into the hands of IDers and is therefore a terrible argument.
Your concerns are noted. They are silly, however. Theories are predictive and the facts are as they are observed.
Tom Marking said: I think I'm getting confused by the model again. The clarity is slipping away once more. I thought I had it nailed down tight after the last explanation but apparently not.
Of course not, seeing that you have no intention of getting clarity, but to raise strawmen (again and again).

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 May 2008

bigbang said: I must be evolving Larsson b/c I now more or less agree with you----based on the Evo-Devo discovery that the genes required for building large, complex animal bodies, or phenotypes, were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies, those phenotypes, even emerged----that somehow NS was able to select those phenotypes, those traits, obviously products of RM, b/c RM is all there ever was, is, or will be, b/f they even emerged. Now that I think about it, how could it be otherwise?
This is incoherent. I was discussing all mechanisms, you single out two and tries to claim one isn't doing anything. How can you observe a mechanism that isn't producing an effect? IANAB, but yes, AFAIU the basic hox genes for example were in place before body plans had finished evolving, being exaptated for the purpose later, evolving by multiple copying and exaptation. There are many articles on that.
bigbang said: You say that “fitness isn’t defined by selection but by reproductive success.” Sure, I’ll go with that----and we know that a trait has reproductive success b/c if it didn’t it would not have been selected: ergo, reproductive success is defined by selection.
Your minor yield doesn't cover the substance of my comment, which explains why differential reproductive success isn't defined by selection but by observation. And in cases of drift of traits it can still be measured, directly contradicting your recent variation of your erroneous claim.

David Stanton · 18 May 2008

Tom Marking wrote:

"What “observed natural processes” explain the evolution of Hyracotherium with a height of only 40 cm to modern horses with a height of 1.6m ? Where were these natural processes observed? Are they part of the fossil record itself?"

Since the change required about 50 million years to occur there was obviously no direct observation of the selection pressures in this case. However, that does not mean that a scenario consistent with known facts cannot be deduced.

The classic explanation is that climate change induced a shift from browzing to grazing. This is consistent with climatological data and with the observed change in dentition within the equine lineage. This presumably lead to increased selection through predation which favored increased size and speed. The concommitant increase in size and the further reduction in toe number thus lead to a body type that was more capable of avoiding predation in the grassland environment. So today horses are large and run on the toenail of the middle digit.

There are a lot of intermediate fossils that reveal this pattern. There is a good summary of the topic in the Talk Origins archive if anyone is interested.

trrll · 18 May 2008

too bad Darwinian RM+NS didn’t predicted that b/f Evo-Devo discovered it
I don't know if it is published anywhere, but I certainly heard this expectation expressed by molecular biologists years ago, before widespread gene sequencing showed it to be true.

trrll · 18 May 2008

I must be evolving Larsson b/c I now more or less agree with you—-based on the Evo-Devo discovery that the genes required for building large, complex animal bodies, or phenotypes, were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies, those phenotypes, even emerged—-that somehow NS was able to select those phenotypes, those traits, obviously products of RM, b/c RM is all there ever was, is, or will be, b/f they even emerged. Now that I think about it, how could it be otherwise?
Because those protein and RNA sequence motifs were not initially selected for their ability to build large complex animal bodies, but rather for their versatility. While large animal bodies like us may superficially look very different from little creatures like yeast and roundworms, it is like the difference between a toy lego wagon and a life-sized lego castle--the fundamental building blocks are pretty much the same. Those small organisms that evolved "building blocks"--protein folds and signaling mechanisms that are broadly useful--are the ones that were most capable of diversifying to give rise to other species--and ultimately, evolving into more complex creatures--more complex not in their fundamental components, but in how those components are arranged.

bigbang · 19 May 2008

Trrll says: “Because those protein and RNA sequence motifs were not initially selected for their ability to build large complex animal bodies, but rather for their versatility.”

.

Sure, in those ancient single cell organisms (close to 10^40 of them), b/f the Cambrian Explosion, NS must have been selecting randomly mutated sequence motifs for their versatility, which must have somehow conferred greater fitness then the lesser sequence motifs in those single cell organisms (b/c otherwise they’d not have been selected); and then, during the Cambrian Explosion, when all those versatile motifs could be used to build large complex animal bodies, NS could then select for fitness among the emerged animal bodies.

trrll · 19 May 2008

Sure, in those ancient single cell organisms (close to 10^40 of them), b/f the Cambrian Explosion, NS must have been selecting randomly mutated sequence motifs for their versatility, which must have somehow conferred greater fitness then the lesser sequence motifs in those single cell organisms (b/c otherwise they’d not have been selected); and then, during the Cambrian Explosion, when all those versatile motifs could be used to build large complex animal bodies, NS could then select for fitness among the emerged animal bodies.
Keep in mind that large, multicellular organisms are the distant descendants of creatures that developed protein motifs and signal transduction systems that were capable of being repurposed in a wide variety of ways. Perhaps there are other microorganisms that were highly fit, in terms of reproductive success, but whose systems did not have this level of versatility. Perhaps they are still, largely unchanged, successfully doing pretty much what they have been doing all along. Or perhaps they are extinct, unable to evolve to adapt to major environmental changes or competition with other, faster-evolving species. So when we look at large, multicellular creatures, we are necessarily looking at the descendants of those microorganisms that were not merely most capable of surviving, but also the most capable of evolving.

bigbang · 19 May 2008

Trrll says: "So when we look at large, multicellular creatures, we are necessarily looking at the descendants of those microorganisms that were not merely most capable of surviving, but also the most capable of evolving."

.

Sure, common descent (which even guys like Behe agrees with), and NS selecting for fitness and evolvability. As Evo-Devo has discovered, all of the essential evolution of the genes required to build and evolve those large complex animal bodies, albeit unexpectedly by neo-Darwinian thinking prior to the discovery, had already taken place in those ancient and relatively simple single cell organisms, close to 10^40 of them, prior to the Cambrian Explosion; paving the way for the emergence of the variety of multicellular creatures that we see (and are) today.

Nigel D · 19 May 2008

bigbang said: As Evo Devo Sean Carroll, Professor of Molecular Biology, Genetics, and Medical Genetics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison observed,
Aye, aye. I spy an argument from authority approaching...
in his Endless forms most beautiful, 2005: “The surprising message from Evo Devo is that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies long predated he appearance of those bodies in the Cambrian Explosion. The genetic potential was in place for at least 50 million years, and probably a fair bit longer, before large, complex forms emerged.” . I think most neo-Darwinians would agree that this discovery----that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged----illustrates the power and reality of neo-Darwinian evolution by random mutation and natural selection. Leaving the neo-Darwinians wondering, in light of Sean Carroll’s observation, how anyone could possibly suggest that evolution by random mutation and natural selection is limited or an incomplete theory?
The reason, once again, that scientists do not consider random mutation + selection to account for everything is that other mechanisms have been discovered and observed.

Nigel D · 19 May 2008

bobby said: "" The surprising message from Evo Devo is that all of the genes for building large, complex animal bodies long predated he appearance of those bodies in the Cambrian Explosion. "" Then HOW did they get there??
Well, obviously, they were serving other functions and were subsequently co-opted to play a role in development.

Nigel D · 19 May 2008

Bingo. And skeptics like Behe

— bigbang
Behe is not a sceptic (nor a skeptic). He does not doubt MET for reasons based on sound reasoning, he doubts it for religious reasons. Additionally, he does not apply any scepticism to the output of the DI.

pretty much agree with the ability of RM + NS to tinker, and with common descent too—-they just lack the faith in RM+NS’s ability to evolve all those genes, all the complex molecular machinery, required for building large, complex animal bodies millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged.

Why? It really is a very simple process. Those genes were almost certainly serving some other function (which, BTW, we may never discover) before they were co-opted into assisting with assembling the morphology of a multicellular organism. Subsequent duplication and divergence of those genes has allowed a proliferation of developmental paths and forms. What is so "complex" about it?

And I think that’s Behe’s biggest problem—-his lack of faith in what most neo-Darwinians know has to be true, in this case that RM+NS evolved all the genes, all the complex molecular machinery, required for building large, complex animal bodies millions of years b/f those animal bodies even emerged, (although, admittedly, Darwinism never predicted this b/f Evo-Devo discovered it), and why he believes that neo-Darwinian evolution by RM+NS is a limited and incomplete theory.

But there is no requirement for faith in MET at all. All that is required is the acceptance of reason. All of the evidence indicates that natural processes (i.e. the component processes of MET) are sufficient to bring about large amounts of biological change. There is no call to invoke anything else at all, unless we discover evidence that suggests something else was involved (perhaps there is a mechanism of evolution that remains unknown at present). There is certainly no evidence to support Behe's ramblings (Darwin's Black Box and Edge of Evolution) in preference to MET.

When you think about it, how could RM+NS not be true? I mean what could be more obvious than that the fittest traits would survive?

It's funny how difficult a concept this was for people to grasp. The immutability of species was a concept that lingered into the 19th century, despite the emerging fossil record. Some people (AiG, for instance) still insist that species are immutable and discontinuous, despite the diffculties encountered in classifying organisms according to the Linnaean system.

PvM · 19 May 2008

bigbang said: Trrll says: "So when we look at large, multicellular creatures, we are necessarily looking at the descendants of those microorganisms that were not merely most capable of surviving, but also the most capable of evolving." . Sure, common descent (which even guys like Behe agrees with), and NS selecting for fitness and evolvability. As Evo-Devo has discovered, all of the essential evolution of the genes required to build and evolve those large complex animal bodies, albeit unexpectedly by neo-Darwinian thinking prior to the discovery, had already taken place in those ancient and relatively simple single cell organisms, close to 10^40 of them, prior to the Cambrian Explosion; paving the way for the emergence of the variety of multicellular creatures that we see (and are) today.
Looking back is it not remarkable that all was in place for multicellular life to arise. of course, this is a bit of a biased look because without the components in place we would not be asking such questions. I am not sure if the findings were unexpected but the additional genetic data helped scientists understand how evolution has been so 'successful'. Some may confuse this backwards looking reality with evolution having a goal and putting in place the components to said goal. People have long confused the internal and external teleology present in evolution.

yonsaon · 19 May 2008

"the real observed flagella do not look like “machines” at all. In fact the structure of flagella is more typical of a bacteriophage virus" -- Mark Perakh

micrograph of flagella (sans motor proteins and extraction appratus)...
http://www.talkdesign.org/faqs/img/fig1.gif
(from website dedicated to "proving" argument from design is wrong)

micrograph of your "typical" bacteriophage virus...
http://www.biochem.wisc.edu/faculty/inman/empics/0021a.jpg

Who you trying to kid, Mark?!

Mark Perakh · 19 May 2008

I have no interest to "kid" the likes of whoever is cowardly enough to hide his/her real name (like "yonsaon" does). So, regardless of whether "yonsaon" chooses to reply to this comment or keeps silent, I'll not continue arguing with him/her.

Images of flagella and of a bacteriophage virus he/she referred to were made with insufficient magnifications to make them telling about the similarities between the two entities. The image of the flagellum on the talkorigin site was used more than once by the creos, so it tells nothing new, not known until now. Its resolution was insuffiient to see the details as could be discerned on the more recent images, like some of those shown in my post (which are just a small fraction of many such photos and reconstructions based on X-rays technique). Btw, "yonsaon's" expression "who are you kidding" is exactly what Dembski has used as a title of his pseudo-review of my book on Amazon. Isn't it a funny coincidence?

Marion Delgado · 19 May 2008

Intelligent evolution questioners have moved on to the equine flagellum. Its most paradigm-shattering trait is that it still functions after the death of the specimen.

PvM · 19 May 2008

ROTFL, very clever
Marion Delgado said: Intelligent evolution questioners have moved on to the equine flagellum. Its most paradigm-shattering trait is that it still functions after the death of the specimen.

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

yonsaon said: "the real observed flagella do not look like “machines” at all. In fact the structure of flagella is more typical of a bacteriophage virus" -- Mark Perakh micrograph of flagella (sans motor proteins and extraction appratus)... http://www.talkdesign.org/faqs/img/fig1.gif (from website dedicated to "proving" argument from design is wrong) micrograph of your "typical" bacteriophage virus... http://www.biochem.wisc.edu/faculty/inman/empics/0021a.jpg Who you trying to kid, Mark?!
You have obviously never seen a micrograph of a bacteriophage in the process of injecting its DNA into a cell. The transmembrane structure of the phage really does resemble the transmembrane structure of the flagella, when it is seen in situ spanning the bacterial cell wall and membranes.

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "These mechanisms include, but are not limited to, natural selection, genetic drift, sexual selection, recombination and random mutation. The examples of dogs and pigeons demonstrate the power of selection acting upon heritable variation to bring about change" Wait a minute. Just so we're clear here. The observed mechanisms refer to observations on modern breeding of dogs and pigeons.
No. You are not paying attention. These mechanisms have been observed in every domestic animal or plant breeding programme, without exception. They have been observed in the wild (for example, polymorphism of peppered moths, beak size of finches, limb length of lizards, antiviral agent resistance in HIV, chloroquine resistance in malaria, etc. etc. etc. etc. etc.) many many times. Sometimes, the mechanisms of change are also evident in the fossil record (for example, sexual selection of the extinct giant deer in Ireland). We know that these mechanisms are capable of effecting huge amounts of change to biological entities in relatively short times (less than 10,000 years in the case of domestic dogs). Since we know of no other mechanisms that can effect any change to biological entities, it is reasonable to extrapolate the action of these mechanisms to apply to the change that is recorded in the fossil record, and in all organisms' genetic history. When coupled to the conclusion of common descent (which, incidentally, has been proven beyond reasonable doubt), these mechanisms of change form one of the most powerful scientific theories we have.
These mechanisms are then applied to the fossil record, in this case, the evolution of horses. Is that what you're saying?
No, it is not exactly what I'm saying. See above.
Actually, using this type of argument plays right into the hands of IDers and is therefore a terrible argument. It goes something like this: 1.) We can see remarkable changes produced by selection during breeding of dogs and pigeons by human beings 2.) We can see remarkable changes in the fossil record 3.) The selection during the breeding of dogs and pigeons is caused by a teleological agent (i.e., human beings) 4.) Therefore since the results are similar, the selection which resulted in the fossil record is also caused by a teleological agent (i.e., Intelligent Designer = God)
Except that your point (3) is wrong. Humans apply the selection, but we cannot (or, more precisely, could not until very recently) generate the heritable variation upon which selection operates. If humans can apply selection to effect large changes, what is to prevent an organism's environment from doing precisely the same thing? Selectively breeding from cows that have the best milk yields (for example) was done in the hope that we would breed cows with even better milk yields, but this is not a teleological process. We are not able to specify what an organism will have and then set about designing an organism to fulfill that function. Instead, breeding programmes are only able to select for traits that already exist, in the hope of enhancing or emphasising these traits. No amount of selective breeding will get you a greyhound with wheels and an internal combustion engine. Also, your point (4) is wrong, because you have foolishly assumed that the entirety of MET is based on results from pigeons and dogs. The same processes that operate in selective breeding programmes are also observed in nature. Except, in nature, it is the environment that applies selection, not humans.

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

boby said: ..........If, on the other hand, there were no evidence that the object had been manufactured, we could not conclude design. Either we would conclude that it was a natural object (i.e. formed by natural processes) or we would have to conclude that we simply didn't know. exactly and let me use YOUR logic: it there were not evidence that LIFE had been manufacture we could not conclude deisn. Either we would conclude that LIFE was a natural object (i.e. formed by natural processes) or we would have to conclude that we simply didn't know. back to the beginning again: How do YOU determine that an object was made by natural processes???
Way to move the goalposts, Bobby. Whether something is natural or "unknown" is irrelevant to the "Design" debate. Without evidence for design (i.e. evidence of manufacture), the design conclusion is illogical. There is one key element that you have missed: parsimony. It is logical to conclude that the natural processes that we know to occur have formed what we find unless there is evidence to indicate otherwise. In the case of your object falling from the sky, if it bore no evidence of manufacture, and evidence of being shaped by natural processes (e.g. by resembling meteorites) we would conclude that it is a natural object. If it bore no obvious evidence of manufacture and no obvious evidence of being shaped by natural processes, we would conclude that we don't know. Note, however, that this case would be exceptional - we would be left with this conclusion only if all of the evidence about the object's origin were ambiguous or inconclusive. However, in the case of life, we have an overwhleming preponderance of evidence that indicates, irrespective of how it began, life has been shaped by natural processes.

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "How would you do this? Please design an experiment (or experiments) that would make this possible for any organism of your choice." What the heck. You guys are the ones claiming you're observing these effects in pigeons, dogs, land snails, etc. You mean you can't quantify your observations of these effects (e.g., natural selection, genetic drift, etc.)? Why does it require a new experiment? This should be routine biological science.
Thus clearly illustrating your ignorance of science. Tell us, Tom, did you come here to learn or to make snarky comments? I have no idea how to quantify the contribution of (say) natural selection to the evolutionary history of, for instance, a gerbil. To do such a thing would require hugely detailed knowledge of the species' evolutionary past. These are details that we may never know, so how come you seem sure that it ought to be "routine"? Even if the effects can be quantified in the present (something that I am not at all sure is even possible), how does that relate to the reconstruction of a species' evolutionary history?

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

bigbang said: Nigel asks: "BTW, you did not answer my question. How come Behe cannot explain the origin of nylonases?" . Apparently Behe considers it trivial.
Either that or he knows he cannot explain it and therefore tries to dismiss it as trivial. In fact, bigbang, the recent appearance of enzymes that degrade novel manmade substances is a hurdle for ID, but a logical consequence of MET.
When asked if the independent evolution of nylonase in two different strains of flavobacterium and of pseudomonas aeruginosa was a good example of an increase of information in the genome; and whether it refuted the main contention of his book, Behe replied: “No. Those enzymes are very simple ones which simply hydrolyze precursors to nylon. That’s a very simple task, which can be done even by small organic catalysts.”
Notice how he avoids answering the question. He claims in EoE that the evolutionm of novel biochemical functions is so extraordinary that it requires supernatural intervention. Yet, in this comment, he is dismissing it as a trivial consequence of the laws of chemistry. He cannot have it both ways. My personal understanding is that it is a somewhat trivial consequence of the laws of chemistry and biochemistry, which actually does refute at least a part of what Behe claims in EoE.
You know Nigel, Behe’s EoE is now selling for only $7 at Amazon----you should order yourself a copy if for no other reason than to find and expose all the lies and poor scholarship that you and everyone else here is convinced that Behe is guilty of.
Actually, I have read enough excerpts of Behe's writing that I have no wish to waste my time on a detailed expose of his latest book, nor any wish to waste even $7 (plus P&P, which across the Atlantic will be as much again) on it. He has been shown to be wrong, both factually (i.e. things that he claims in EoE have not happened actually have) and logically (his argument from personal incredulity is fallacious from the get-go).
Contrary to your POV, I myself find Behe rather interesting, knowledgeable,
Interesting he may be, knowledgeable even, but he either refuses to do homework that he knows is a minimum requirement for scientific credibilty or simply pretends that the facts that contradict his position don't exist.
likable, a very good writer and explainer of a rather difficult subject,
Which he makes more difficult through obfuscation and misrepresentation.
a rebel of sorts; and I suppose I tend to like people capable of thoughtfully and intelligently bucking consensus.
Except that he is not sufficiently thoughtful to acknowledge the flaws in his arguments; he is not sufficiently thoughtful to anticipate the critique of his work from the experts; he is not sufficiently thoughtful to recognise and acknowledge when he has been factually incorrect; and there is nothing intelligent about bucking a consensus that is supported by all of the evidence.
Seems to me he’s taken a lot of unnecessary abuse from the neo-Darwinan consensus crowd, and yet he’s generally rather calm and civil.
No, he has deserved all of the abuse he has received. And he was not calm or civil to ERV when she called him out for lying in EoE.
Anywho, since we now realize that the universe isn’t infinite and eternal after all, but rather that it did indeed have a beginning, a beginning with inexplicably low entropy;
Irrelevant.
and since we now realize how finely tuned things seem to be;
Post hoc probabilistic reasoning is not convincing.
being an atheist is no longer as intellectually satisfying as it once was,
Au contraire, people like Bobby actually make atheism more attractive.
whereas believing in first cause/design is.
Satisfying doesn't enter into it. Belief in scientific evidence for design is illogical, since there is no evidence. ID is empty, so I cannot envisage it satisfying anyone, and YEC and OEC both make claims that are refuted by known facts. I can only assume that you refer either to the position of theistic evolution (which, incidentally, is also illogical due to the absence of evidence for teleology in evolution), or to the position of a reclusive deity who does not tinker with his/her creation.
So I'm no longer an atheist and the question is how far down the design goes----I suppose that life and we sentient beings might still be an accident, or maybe a product of Dawkins’s space aliens, but I’m not yet convinced.
Well, you have yet to present anything approaching a convincing counter-argument.

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "Natural selection, genetic drift, etc can be observed and it is possible to say that in one situation one of these has been more important than another. However, as far as I know it is not possible to put even approximate figures for the relative importance of each. To begin with, exactly what would you be measuring?" O.K. Let me propose an experiment, but I'm sure many, many biologists have thought of things like this before and probably much better. 1.) Genetic drift group - You put 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in some type of enclosure which we call the reference environment. It has some standard amount of food and type of food. You let the population evolve. You do sampling every so often (maybe every day you pull out 10 at random and sample their genome). You see how the genome varies with time. This gives you some idea of genetic drift when there is no particular selection pressure being applied. 2.) Natural selection group - 1,000 Drosophila melanogaster in an enclosure of the same size. You slowly vary the type of food from let's say something sucrose-based to some other sugar that's harder to digest. You do the same sampling of the genome. This should give you some idea on how the genome is varying when the population is under stress and therefore undergoing selection. And there could be various natural selection groups where you vary different aspects of the environment such as temperature, amount of food, etc., etc. So that's the type of experiment I would run in order to get some idea on the relative importance of selection versus genetic drift. But I'm sure there are experts who have thought about this and have much better ideas for experiments.
There are three problems I foresee with your experiment: (a) How can you be sure there is no selection pressure on your "control" group? There will obviously be competition for opportunities to reproduce, and thus differential reproductive success according to heritable traits that lend themselves to increased mating. While there is no predation (apart from the 10 culled each day, in which you are selecting for the 10 that are easiest to catch), you are selecting for growth and fertility within the environment that you have supplied. Genetic drift could, in principle, be measured by moving a portion of the population into a different environment each generation and seeing what proportion of this portion survives, but this would amplify the possibilities in the experiment to the point where it becomes impractical to perform. (b) How are you going to analyse the 10 genomes per day? Genetic fingerprinting? How will this capture minor changes in the individual genomes (such as single-base substitutions or neutral insertion / deletion mutations)? Sequencing? Well, assuming you secure the funding to set up a lab that can sequence 10 Drosophila genomes per day, how are you going to handle the data? (c)How does varying one aspect of the environment give you a representative idea of the relative importance of natural selection? How do you quantify the relative importance of drift versus selection? Since you expect it to be "routine" to quantify the relative contributions made by drift and selection, how do you do this? What do we count? What do we measure? How can we know that what we are counting or measuring has real relevance?

Nigel D · 20 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "Intentional behavior on the part of some organisms does not imply that evolution of a species (theirs or another) was also intentional on the part of something else." Let's perform a thought experiment, which sadly, is not too different from reality. Let's say Homo sapiens decided to drive into extinction all species of the class amphibians. To a certain extent this is already a real possibility but let's assume it became public policy. Is there any doubt that we couldn't achieve this goal? Now, let's say humans go extinct and some other intelligent species evolves in our place millions of years from now. When that intelligent species' geologists examined the fossil record they would note a sudden dissapearance of the class amphibia in the fossil record. Such an evolutionary signature would be teleological and perhaps the intelligent species of the future would even be able to deduce that it was purposeful. So from their point of view certain aspects of evolutionary history would be teleological and others wouldn't be. It would be a mixture of the two. And all of this would be true even without an Intelligent Designer.
Tom, you seem to be confusing individual teleological events that may impact on a species' evolution with the concept of teleology throughout evolution. The first is trivial - if we tried to wipe out amphibia (something I actually doubt we could do without also wiping ourselves out), we may cause a mass extinction event. In this case, the selecting factor would be human selective predation of amphibia rather than, say, being able to survive the dramatic climate change that would follow a major asteroid impact. This does not imply teleology in evolution, because there is no way we could "design" the organisms that take over the amphibians' ecological niches. On the other hand, teleology in evolution as a whole refers to the idea that evolution proceeds according to some kind of advance plan, that there is forethought in all evolutionary change. That, if a species becomes extinct, it was chosen to become extinct at that time in the same way that whichever organisms survive were chosen to survive. And that whatever takes over the ecological niche of the extinct species was in some way "designed" or "intended" to do so. There is no evidence to support this idea of teleology in evolution.

stevaroni · 20 May 2008

There are three problems I foresee with your experiment: (a) How can you be sure there is no selection pressure on your “control” group? There will obviously be competition for opportunities to reproduce, and thus differential reproductive success according to heritable traits that lend themselves to increased mating.

Of course, but they'll be minor in the big scheme of things, and populations seem to slowly accumulate drift all by themselves in the first place. The critical thing to demonstrate is the power of natural selection via environmental change to drive the two populations apart. If prior work is any guide, even if the control population isn't perfectly "controlled" the change should be obvious, overwhelming any reasonable drift.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 20 May 2008

Seems I missed this:
bigbang said: Anywho, since we now realize that the universe isn’t infinite and eternal after all, but rather that it did indeed have a beginning, a beginning with inexplicably low entropy; and since we now realize how finely tuned things seem to be; being an atheist is no longer as intellectually satisfying as it once was, whereas believing in first cause/design is. So I'm no longer an atheist and the question is how far down the design goes----I suppose that life and we sentient beings might still be an accident, or maybe a product of Dawkins’s space aliens, but I’m not yet convinced.
We don't realize that the universe "isn’t infinite and eternal", we suspect it is unbounded in space (since the current cosmology predicts a flat space) and unbounded in time (since the current cosmology predicts unbounded future). Additionally, natural solutions in such theories as inflation models and string theory are such that local initial singularities are avoided, to be replaced with solutions that have possibly unbounded backward timelines but at least different local initial states. Finetuning as a support for a religious anthropic argument is based on a basic misunderstanding of probability. (See the texas sharpshooter fallacy.) When you do it properly to replace such a priori probabilities (unprobable to win a lottery) with a posteriori likelihoods ("likely", certainly, one winner of a lottery), you will find that finetunings aren't a problem on ensembles such the natural solutions described above. In fact, according to the weak anthropic principle finetunings speaks for a natural universe compared to an artificial one. While it may not end up as the preferred solution to cosmology, at least such results shows why natural, scientific, results are more satisfying to an atheist than fallacious religious speculations.

Nigel D · 21 May 2008

Tom Marking said: "If species A wipes out species B, then that’s what it was. Evolution doesn’t care about the reason." If that's true then why are we arguing at all? Why did Darwin spend 30 years of his life searching for a mechanism to explain evolution if the mechanism doesn't matter? You could have natural selection, Yahweh mucking around with DNA, the Flying Spaghetti Monster mucking around with DNA, etc., etc. and as long as the result is the same you say it doesn't matter?
It is true that evolution doesn't care about why one particular species goes extinct. Evolution is a set of processes that bring about biological change. Evolutionary theory explains the similarities and patterns of difference that we observe in nature. You seem to be arguing that there is teleology in evolution (something for which there is no evidence). You also seem to have got hung up on the idea that we can quantify the respective contributions of different evolutionary mechanisms to the present state of a species. I think the key question is: what are you arguing for? BTW, the line you quote (and please attribute quotes to their authors in future) does not claim that the mechanism of evolution doesn't matter, it claims that the mechanism of one specific extinction does not matter to evolution as a whole.

Nigel D · 21 May 2008

Science Avenger said:
Tom Marking said: So you appear to be arguing that the mechanism for the development of a species is important, but the mechanism for the extinction of a species is of no relevance. Great!, I can now go off and claim that natural selection explains the development of each species but it was the Flying Spaghetti Monster that caused all the extinctions.
Sure, if you want. If a species goes extinct, there is no evolution. The whole concept behind selection is that there is nonrandom differential reproduction. A total wiping out of a species doesn't allow for that.
Although, at the level of higher taxa (genera or families), the extinction of one or several species is relevant to evolution in terms of which lineages are successful in the long term and which are not, but this is separate from speciation.

Nigel D · 21 May 2008

Well sure, but natural selection is still viewed as acting on an organism’s physical characteristics, or phenotype; it’s just that we now know that phenotype is determined by an organism’s genotype and that it’s random mutations to the DNA that provides much of the variation that NS then acts upon.

— bigbang
This is another misrepresentation. Phenotype is determined by genotype + environment (e.g. trees shaped by a prevailaing wind). However, the environmental influences on phenotype are not heritable. This is why genetically identical individuals (clones) are so rarely physically identical. Even identical twins have small differences. Also, random mutations produce variation, sure, but don't forget the other mechanisms that generate variation (various forms of recombination, gene duplication etc.). These may be more important than random mutation in many cases.

Nigel D · 21 May 2008

I must be evolving Larsson b/c I now more or less agree with you—-based on the Evo-Devo discovery that the genes required for building large, complex animal bodies, or phenotypes, were in place millions of years b/f those animal bodies, those phenotypes, even emerged—-that somehow NS was able to select those phenotypes, those traits, obviously products of RM, b/c RM is all there ever was, is, or will be, b/f they even emerged. Now that I think about it, how could it be otherwise?

— bigbang
I disagree with this. RM is not all there ever was, is or will be. There are other mechanisms that produce variation, of which the most obvious is sexual reproduction, which, incidentally, had been around for a long time before multicellular organisms evolved. Also, wrt the genes governing the development of multicellularity: NS may have acted on those genes before there were multicellular organisms, but if this is the case their selectable function must have been something else. Because NS cannot select for or against a trait that is not expressed physically. So, either the genes arose through selection for a different function, and it then turned out (by chance, if you will) that these genes could also participate in assembling a multicellular organism, or the genes arose through neutral drift after duplication of some ancestral gene. Or some combination of these two. The first multicellular organisms would have been relatively simple, but even so could have obtained a significant advantage over their unicellular competitors. As such, muliticellular development would have started out in quite a simple way, but would still have been a selectable advantage.

You say that “fitness isn’t defined by selection but by reproductive success.” Sure, I’ll go with that—-and we know that a trait has reproductive success b/c if it didn’t it would not have been selected: ergo, reproductive success is defined by selection.

No. Because you ignore the effects of changing environmental parameters, and therefore the fact that the criteria for determination of fitness change from time to time. In a period with a stable environment, selection tends to make organisms more specialised. However, dramatic changes in environment tend to favour generalists, because organisms that are not very specialised are more able to cope with changing conditions. Your view of the circularity of fitness vs. selection is an oversimplification. You also ignore the fact that not all traits are selected all the time. The definition of fitness (reproductive success or whatever) will be changing all the time as environmental factors change the selection pressures. Only in the crudest sense can you define fitness as reproductive success. Your claim that the fitness - selection argument is circular is based on this crude model, whereas what you are actually referring to is a feedback mechanism. And, of course, for a feedback mechanism to operate, it must form a loop. It is typical in nature to observe that the vast majority of the offspring of an organism do not survive to reproduce. Some of this is due to "fitness" (ability to find food, evade predators, win mates or whatever), and some is due to chance (how come the eagle saw this mouse, and not that one, when the two mice are as near identical as makes no odds to the eagle?). Improved adaptation brought about through natural selection does not change this, except in the very long term (where different reproductive strategies can be selected). Thus, selection and drift operate in parallel, except where selection pressure is extremely strong (e.g. in the onset of an ice age). As the average "fitness" of a population "improves", the same proportion of all organisms in that population will fail to reproduce (save as already noted). The environmental conditions feed back into the genotype of the organism to bring about adaptation. This is the process of natural selection. So, in conclusion, you claim that NS is a circular argument, but in fact it is a feedback loop.

Henry J · 21 May 2008

So, in conclusion, you claim that NS is a circular argument, but in fact it is a feedback loop.

I.e., spiral rather than circular. ;)

Eric · 21 May 2008

Bigbang said,
… since we now realize how finely tuned things seem to be…
and Torbjorn replied:
Finetuning as a support for a religious anthropic argument is based on a basic misunderstanding of probability.
Torbjorn (sorry about the missing umlaut), while I don't disagree with you, there is a much simpler response to the fine tuning argument. To whit: any idiot can see that the universe isn’t fine tuned for our type life at all. Consider; the % volume of the universe consisting of earth-like planet surfaces is, what? 0.000000000001%? I'm sure I missed a few (hundred) zeros there. The rest of the universe is hostile to our forms of life. If the universe bespeaks design, then it is design for some form of life that likes 4 Kelvin vacuum under zero gravity, not us. We aren't a posteriori lottery winners, we at best just won our money back by matching a few numbers. Imagine the hubris of an intelligent sea creature, living near a volcanic vent and claiming the entire planet was designed for them because there's a few cubic meters of it at 360 C and 200 atm pressure - just what they needed. We'd laugh in their tentacled faces. But Bigbang's claim is essentially the same. No, if someone had wanted to design a universe for humans, standard temperature and pressure would be the norm throughout. Unless Bigbang et al. are of the opinion that God is incapable of producing such a universe, and this is the best tuning he could do? That would be consistent with how the universe looks.

bigbang · 22 May 2008

Larsson says: “We don’t realize that the universe ‘isn’t infinite and eternal’”

.

Well, perhaps you don’t realize it, but, based on the currently available science and evidence, most agree that the universe that we find ourselves in is around 14 billion years old. But of course if that conflicts with your atheistic accidental and/or multiverse world view, then by all means, freedom of religion kind of guy that I am, believe whatever your atheism dictates.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 22 May 2008

Nigel, thanks for the thorough explanation, and for clearing up some confusions of mine re reproductive success. I can see the feedback clearly, though not the loop as you describe it. There are feedback loops when the change in traits change the environment (coevolution, ecology, et cetera), obviously.
Eric said: Torbjorn (sorry about the missing umlaut), while I don't disagree with you, there is a much simpler response to the fine tuning argument. To whit: any idiot can see that the universe isn’t fine tuned for our type life at all. Consider; the % volume of the universe consisting of earth-like planet surfaces is, what? 0.000000000001%?
Oh, I agree, it certainly is a valid response when religious people claim that the universe is finetuned for life, as they often do (and really conflate it with). If you google it you can see I used it the other day in such a case. (IIRC on Bad astronomer.) But when they discuss finetuning in general, and finetuning in theories specifically ("physical" finetuning, for example the ridiculously low cosmological constant of 10^-120 relative, when normalized constants naturally are ~ 1), I want to use the correct answer for that.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 22 May 2008

bigbang said: Well, perhaps you don’t realize it, but, based on the currently available science and evidence, most agree that the universe that we find ourselves in is around 14 billion years old.
Either you didn't read my comment, or couldn't. I explained why a local observable age doesn't preclude an infinite volume nor eternal time (for example, as future infinite time). In fact, the current cosmology predicts that the universe is eternal. (Or "will be", if you want to use local coordinates.) As I was correcting a detail in science, I fail to see what relevance any wider absence of belief would have. Btw, atheism isn't a religion, you don't need freedom of religion to abstain from expressing religion. You just need right to life and liberty.

sonicboa · 31 May 2008

Henry J said:

without explaining the degree of idealization applied, is sometimes perilously close to committing a fraud.

Sometimes?
Isn't the flagellum graphically portrayed in textbooks in this 'machine-like' manner?