Luskin has lost it (on Altenberg)

Posted 16 July 2008 by

Our good ol' buddy Casey Luskin at the Discovery Institute Media Complaints Division has just put up an impressively mistake-strewn story about the "Altenberg 16" meeting in Vienna. In real life, the meeting discussed the possibilities for an "Extended Synthesis" in evolutionary biology which incorporates development, evolvability, complexity theory, etc. into the old "Modern Synthesis" of population genetics. But in the land of cranks & ID/creationists, the Altenberg 16 meeting has become the latest bit of evidence that evolution is a theory in crisis. The primary person who got the crazy-train going was "journalist" Suzan Mazur, who has written a series of stories that mis-portray almost everyone and everything involved and, no matter what her interviewees tell her, end up with the inevitable conclusion that evolution is on its last legs. No one seriously informed would pay attention to this kind of schlock, but ID/creationists will jump on anything with a vestige of credibility (in this case an allegedly serious journalist -- is she a freelancer or what?). When meeting organizer Massimo Pigluicci got wind of the misinformation being passed around about the meeting, he wrote a great explanation of what it was actually about and why Mazur et al. were wrong. Enter Luskin, who for some reason always takes on the unenviable job of defending and then making worse the mistakes of other people in his camp. He devoted an entire post to explaining why Mazur's second-hand, ill-informed hearsay conspiracy theorizing about the meeting should trump the opinion of Pigliucci, the very guy running it. But Luskin, in classic creationist form, is simply taking a bad source (Mazur), then piling his own mistaken assumptions on top. The result is a conspiracy story which he and all ID followers (who virtually completely lack the spine or gumption to ever double-check their sources, or correct each other even on obvious factual points) will strongly believe, despite the fact that it bears only the vaguest resemblance to what actually happened. (In passing, it is worth noting that this sort of filter-assume-extrapolate-copy-don't-correct-repeat process explains far more creationist behavior than the "they're liars!" hypothesis). (E.g., here's an example of Paul Nelson at Uncommon Descent uncritically passing on Mazur's silliness.) Let's begin. Luskin writes:
Last year Rob Crowther reported on the "Altenberg 16" conference that was planned for Altenberg, Austria. Sixteen leading leading evolutionary scientist – who do not support intelligent design but do have doubts about Darwinism – were to re-evaluate the core claims of neo-Darwinism. The conference apparently did happen, as scheduled – last week. We still don't have any report on what took place, but that the topic definitely will continue to prove interesting.
Somehow Luskin, despite linking to Pigliucci's debunking of the claims that the meeting was undermining "Darwinism" or "Neo-Darwinism" (whatever these terms mean to creationists, which are never the same thing they means in academic discussions, even when, rarely, "Darwinism" specifically is a topic of an academic discussion as opposed to the modern theory of evolution) missed the fact that Pigliucci has posted several detailed reports over the last week of what has been going on at the conference: 1, 2, 3 (and 4 a summary of the meeting by all 16 participants which was put up today, after Luskin's post I think). Oops. Luskin continues,
In advance of the conference, one participant, Massimo Pigliucci, tried to downplay the importance,, asserting that there is "not a sign of 'crisis'" at this conference over neo-Darwinian evolution:
Um -- Pigliucci wasn't just "one participant", he was the freakin' chair and (I think) the lead organizer of the dang thing.
Of course no one here has been claiming that any Altenberg attendees support intelligent design (ID). But while the conference participants may not have been talking about ID as an alternative to neo-Darwinism (many of them prefer models of evolution driven by "self-organization" – models that have their own problems), Pigliucci's comment sure sounds like damage control.
According to Luskin's conspiracy theory, then, Pigliucci organized and publicized a conference to undermine "Darwinism" and then...tried to hide it? What? Most conspiracy theories at least have the virtue of being self-consistent, can't we get something better than this?
In fact, according to Suzan Mazur, a journalist experienced in covering evolution who was invited to report on the conference, there is patently politically-motivated damage control taking place. As Mazur shows, the National Center for Science and Education – the Darwinist education lobby – opposed this conference for political reasons. Self-organizational models are rife with potent critiques of neo-Darwinian models of evolution, so they don't like them:
I decided to ask [Eugenie Scott] some questions since I'd interviewed her colleague [NCSE President] Kevin Padian about the "evolution debate", and he'd hung up on me. ... ...When I introduced myself to Eugenie Scott, who was unfamiliar with my stories on evolution, I asked her what she thought about self-organization and why self-organization was not represented in the books NCSE was promoting? She responded that people confuse self-organization with Intelligent Design and that is why NCSE has not been supportive.
Pigliucci claims there's "no crisis" here, but Kevin Padian is hanging up on people and Eugenie Scott claims people will confuse the arguments of conference-attendees with intelligent design.
See that transition occuring? Reality (what people actually said) --> Mazur --> Mazur's piece --> Luskin --> conspiracy to hide the "crisis." Since I know the people involved (although I no longer work at NCSE and have not talked to either of them about Mazur, so these are strictly my own opinions), I'm pretty sure what happened. Padian is a busy guy running a paleontology lab and has little patience for reporters who make it evident they are bound and determined to misunderstand and misreport on evolutionary topics, rather than actually try to make an effort to understand what is going on (he will make plenty of time for the latter). Padian got that Mazur was hell-bent on writing an 'evolution is a theory in crisis' story, told her that in reality there was no scientific debate over the validity of evolution, and hung up. Genie Scott, on the other hand, possesses a saint-like patience and obviously made an attempt to help Mazur understand that (a) self-organization has nothing to do with ID but (b) the IDists attempt to invoke it, falsely, as "an alternative to Darwinism", and then slip in ID as another alternative, (c) this sort of trickery is invalid in education or journalism and this is what NCSE opposes. And the idea that NCSE somehow "opposed" the Altenberg meeting, organized by one of NCSE's own best buddies (Pigliucci) and attended by numerous others, is just silly three times before breakfast. Mazur may have manipulated the interview into some sort of statement about NCSE "not supporting" the Altenberg meeting or books on self-organization -- but there are a near-infinite number of books and meetings on all sorts of technical/academic evolution-related topics. NCSE doesn't have the money, time, or mission to "support" them all even with website commentary, let alone financially or with staff time. NCSE doesn't oppose any of these things, obviously. Based on Mazur's argument, one could make an equally silly argument that NCSE "doesn't support" statistical phylogenetics -- a major academic topic these days. It's the job of the National Science Foundation and other huge institutions to support research in diverse technical academic subjects; NCSE's job is simply to support good science education. Luskin continues:
What is most interesting here is not just Pigliucci's attempt at damage control, but the NCSE's knee-jerk reaction against anything that isn't neo-Darwinian. It seems that the NCSE was indeed quite worried that this conference will do damage to neo-Darwinism. At the very least, this exchange exposes the NCSE's intolerant attitude towards non-Darwinian thoughts, even when the doubters don't support ID. Indeed, Mazur's reports reveal that various scientists she has interviewed at the conference have fundamental doubts about neo-Darwinism, but they are eschewed by the scientific community.
C'mon, Casey, the people at the Altenberg 16 were the friggin academic community! All of them leaders in various evolutionary specialities. And what did they officially conclude at the end of their meeting? Not that evolutionary theory was in crisis, but simply that our understanding is advancing in many areas at once. This statement was signed by all 16:
By incorporating these new results and insights into our understanding of evolution, we believe that the explanatory power of evolutionary theory is greatly expanded within biology and beyond. As is the nature of science, some of the new ideas will stand the test of time, while others will be significantly modified. Nonetheless, there is much justified excitement in evolutionary biology these days. This is a propitious time to engage the scientific community in a vast interdisciplinary effort to further our understanding of how life evolves.
Oh, and Mazur is not "a journalist experienced in covering evolution", she has come completely out of the blue on evolution reporting, has little idea who or what she is writing about, and her "experience" appears to consist completely of her recent error-strewn stories about Altenberg and related matters. Luskin sticks in a bit about Stanley Salthe, who had nothing to do with the meeting, and then moves to well-known crank Stuart Pivar:
According to Mazur, the same thing happened to Altenberg 16 participant chemist and engineer Stuart Pivar: "Stuart Pivar has been investigating self-organization in living forms but thinks natural selection is irrelevant – and has paid the price for this on the blogosphere."
Um, what? Pivar wasn't part of the Altenberg 16, read the friggin' list of the 16 right here. And in what way does being a chemist/engineer and former vague associate of Stephen Jay Gould qualify anyone to be a serious commentator on evolution worthy of inclusion in Mazur's review? (And read PZ Myers's review of Pivar.) And let's break out the tiny little violins for anyone who "pay[s] the price" on the blogosphere. Boo-hoo-hoo, people disagreed Pivar and noted that his "science" was crankery. It's not the freakin' Spanish inquisition.
Mazur also reports that Altenberg 16 participant, Rutgers philosopher Jerry Fodor, "essentially argues that biologists increasingly see the central story of Darwin as wrong in a way that can’t be repaired." Mazur recounts that Michael Ruse condemned Fodor for even printing such thoughts in a mainstream publication – not because of the empirical data, but because of politics: In Ruse's words, "to write a piece slagging off natural selection in that way, is to give a piece of candy to the creationists." Apparently Ruse would suggest that scientists banish from their minds—and certainly from their pens—any real doubts about the sufficiency of natural selection, for purely political reasons.
Fodor is another Altenberg attendee that was completely imagined by Luskin. Can someone please inform the guys at the DI that just because one silly journalist mentions Fodor & Pivar in the same article as the Altenberg meeting, that doesn't mean they were participants? As for Ruse's remark, he's spot on. Unlike many other academic topics, evolution has a set of groupies from an evil parallel universe, i.e. creationists, who sit around 24/7 and yank out any quote, comment, paper, news article, etc., that sounds vaguely anti-evolutionary to them (and they almost universally misunderstand everything they comment on). This could be ignored if creationism was at the ignorable level of many other pseudosciences, but creationism has substantial political clout, and political struggles over legislation, lawsuits, etc. can and will happen again. In that situation, I think, there is some extra duty for academics to make sure they know what they're talking about and to think about how it will be interpreted or easily misinterpreted by other scientists, journalists, the public, creationists, etc. It's not an overwhelming duty -- obviously an academic's primary responsibility is to say what they think -- but it deserves some consideration. And it is perfectly legitimate to criticize academics like Fodor who ought to know better when they make well-worn, long-debunked mistakes, ignore obvious and important distinctions, and fight subsidiary philosophical battles in the guise of opposing a concept as well-tested and explanatory as natural selection. I.e., "you're wrong, but not only that your wrongness is being exploited by creationists, which anyone paying attention would have seen coming."
Well, Pigliucci is certainly doing a good job of "vigorously and positively deny[ing]" all of the challenges to neo-Darwinian theory at this conference. So at least he's consistent. But in the end, one thing is clear: there are fundamental doubts about neo-Darwinism in the minds of many of the scientists and philosophers who participated at Altenberg 16, and some leading Darwinists desperately wish that those doubts did not exist. Posted by Casey Luskin on July 16, 2008 2:46 PM
So, according to Luskin, we're supposed to think that when an (alleged) "leading Darwinist" like Pigliucci organizes and chairs a meeting to explore new areas in evolutionary theory, evolution is in crisis, because a few uninformed non-biologists have said some clueless/cranky things. Except they weren't even at the meeting, and the actual participants of the actual meeting have denied the very conclusions which Luskin draws. That's ID/creationism for you: equal parts cluelessness, wishful thinking, copying other people's mistakes, relying on unauthoritative sources that say what the creationist wants to hear, inventing new mistakes by assumption, all pasted together with a thick glue of wishful thinking and unshakeable faith in the rectitude of one's facts & opinions. Note to creationists: why don't you ever double-check anything? Heck, even us partisans on the other side double-check each other. For example, I think us evolutionary scientists tend to create problems for ourselves in certain ways, e.g. research findings, meetings, science journalism, press releases, etc. far too often state or imply that whatever we are working on is "revolutionary", "overturning long-held ideas", etc. An awful lot of this is just hype and exaggeration. It is not a problem in evolution specifically, but science generally, because everyone is competing for funding, attention in the press and public, etc. The problem is probably unfixable, but we should at least be aware that it goes on and is a small but not tiny part of what keeps creationism and other forms of crankery psychologically viable. (I'm not saying this happened with the Altenberg meeting, I haven't investigated the original announcements etc.)

198 Comments

Jim Harrison · 17 July 2008

The real irony here is that there really are plenty of credible new ideas about evolution that are floating around. Thing is, they are on the other side of NeoDarwinism from I.D. For example, Stuart Kaufman's order-for-nothing bit is even more alien to traditional natural theology than the original version of natural selection ever was. The ship is leaving the shore, sailing further and further away from common sense, Plato, and Genesis into realms that are all the more mysterious for having nothing in common with the banal mysteries of religion. Meanwhile Luskin et. al. have to don floaties before they can summon up the courage to dip their feet in three inches of water.

James F · 17 July 2008

It's...the imminent demise of evolution!

http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/demise.html

Hat tip to Patrick Henry (http://sensuouscurmudgeon.wordpress.com/2008/07/12/the-imminent-demise-of-evolution/)

raven · 17 July 2008

People have been predicting the imminent demise of evolution for 150 years. A stopped clock is right twice a day but that particular error of mistaking wishes for reality hasn't been right yet.

The same group has been predicting the end of the world for 2,000 years with the same track record.

Mike Elzinga · 17 July 2008

That’s ID/creationism for you: equal parts cluelessness, wishful thinking, copying other people’s mistakes, relying on unauthoritative sources that say what the creationist wants to hear, inventing new mistakes by assumption, all pasted together with a thick glue of wishful thinking and unshakeable faith in the rectitude of one’s facts & opinions.

This is exactly how they work with their “religion”; and they carry these habits over to discussing science. So it is not surprising that they can make no progress in either. Hence, they turn to political force and other forms of bullying and burning at the stake.

simmi · 17 July 2008

What was that great quote from Wes Elsberry again? "If a creationist tells you the sky is blue, go outside and check." So fitting.

Blaidd Drwg · 17 July 2008

Give our buddy Casey a break, will ya? He DID get a perfect score on his APGAR test after all...

Cedric Katesby · 17 July 2008

Why?
WHY ARE PEOPLE THIS STUPID?!?!

T. Bruce McNeely · 17 July 2008

"Our good ol' buddy Casey Luskin" reminds me of "Little Buddy" Gilligan.
But then, Casey Luskin himself reminds me of Gilligan...

Flint · 17 July 2008

That’s ID/creationism for you: equal parts cluelessness, wishful thinking, copying other people’s mistakes, relying on unauthoritative sources that say what the creationist wants to hear, inventing new mistakes by assumption, all pasted together with a thick glue of wishful thinking and unshakeable faith in the rectitude of one’s facts & opinions.

This is exactly how they work with their “religion”; and they carry these habits over to discussing science.Exactly so. Nick has produced a wonderful description of the Religious Method.

Henry J · 17 July 2008

“Our good ol’ buddy Casey Luskin” reminds me of “Little Buddy” Gilligan. But then, Casey Luskin himself reminds me of Gilligan…

I dunno about that comparison - Gilligan didn't go around implying that the Professor didn't know squat about his subject. Henry

waldteufel · 17 July 2008

Casey Luskin has shown over and over again that he is a pimp. Nothing more. He has nothing to offer science. His purpose in life is to lie for his masters, who are dominionist christians who would love to have the police at your door on Sunday morning asking why you aren't in church. Their church, by the way.

I used to think that Luskin was just like Gilligan, but he's not stupid like Gilligan. He knows his audience. He knows how to quote mine, lie, misrepresent, and purposefully mangle.

It's important to show over and over again how the DI's lackeys, like our little buddy Luskin, are working to undermine science education, and therefore science and reason, in our society.

Give your support to the NCSE, Nick Matzke, and all who work so tirelessly to beat back the dark ages that Luskin and his masters want to foist on us.

Ptaylor · 17 July 2008

Well, there is one correct item there:
The misreporting of the evolution issue is one key reason for this site.
Sorry, I know you've all seen that before, but it gets me every time I visit that site.

Bill Gascoyne · 17 July 2008

I am reminded of the dilemma faced by small airplane companies like Cesna a number of years ago. Liability lawyers were able to construe any improvement made to the planes as an admission that there was something wrong with any previous plane that had crashed, and file the obligatory lawsuit. It almost brought innovation to a complete halt, as company lawyers had to review any proposed improvements.

Reed · 18 July 2008

Nice write up. Luskin is mighty good with that footgun isn't he ? I do have a nitpick
Most conspiracy theories at least have the virtue of being self-consistent, can’t we get something better than this?
My experience is that most conspiracy theories are not self consistent. Try getting a moon hoaxer or a 9/11 "truther" to give a coherent account of what they think actually happened. They tend to spend their time simply regurgitating a collection of largely unconnected complaints about the mainstream account, not putting forward a consistent theory of their own. It's hard not to see a certain similarity to the ID movement.

Stephen · 18 July 2008

On a minor tangential point, which I wouldn't bother with had I not seen it three times on blogs this week: you might like to try writing posts with a programme that doesn't do things like turning a c within brackets into a copyright symbol.

Nick (Matzke)) · 18 July 2008

Yeah that copyright symbol thing is really annoying, it seems to be a feature of many programs e.g. Movable Type, Word, etc. It must be popular with business customers or something, in more academic writing it is just annoying.

Reed A. Cartwright · 18 July 2008

It's easy to write (c) instead of (c) just use "(c)" or "(c)".

snaxalotl · 18 July 2008

if the problem originates in Word, the easiest solution is to remove the autocorrection rule

Flip van Tiel · 18 July 2008

It's easier to get rid of the copyright symbol shuffle, by eliminating it from the auto-correction dialog box under "Tools" in your Word program (or something similar in other programs, no doubt). When still needed occasionally, it can be inserted simply through the Symbol... facility.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 July 2008

I'm so grateful that the dissident voice of the Altenberg 16 hasn't been quenched, but that I can access the original results. Apparently the censorial apparatus of the anarcho-atheist-communist science Machine hasn't yet a firm grasp on the innards of the web. IT'S A FRAKKIN' WORKSHOP! Other workshops are: - 7th EANA Workshop on Astrobiology:
The workshop will address all the main topics of astrobiology:
* Interstellar chemistry
* Chemical evolution
* Early Earth and Mars
* Origins of life
* Life during the Archean
* The limits of life - Extremophiles
* Search for life in the Solar System
* Exoplanets
* Habitability
* Biomarkers
* Education and public outreach
Hold the presses, another attempt of attacking neo-darwinian orthodoxy by discussing abiogenesis and habitability. Everyone knows that the habitability of Earth is 1 - but elsewhere there is dissent. - CDSAGENDA V.5 Workshop on Cosmology and Strings
In recent years there has been an impressive improvement in Cosmological observations. Cosmology is developing into one of the most promising testgrounds for String Theory. The workshop will focus on this fruitful interface. The topics to be discussed will include: * Inflation in string theory * Landscape of vacua * Cosmic strings * String inspired alternatives to inflation * Cosmological solutions in string theory * Cosmological data VS string theory * Future experimental observations The main idea of the workshop is to highlight important new developments and problems and to stimulate discussion of these through a small number of daily talks and discussion sessions.
Hold the presses, another attempt of attacking neo-theoretical physics orthodoxy by discussing cosmology and string theory. Everyone knows that string theory is not yet an alternative for everyday physics - but elsewhere there is dissent. ... and so on, and so forth.
many of them prefer models of evolution driven by “self-organization” – models that have their own problems
I will think of those problems while my body assembles folded proteins, lipid layers, and coordinates my raised eyes, as well as next time I fire up the DVD laser. Phase transitions, spontaneous symmetry breaking, crystallization, superconductivity and percolation thrives well in physics. What has Luskin against old and new physics?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 July 2008

Reed A. Cartwright said: It's easy to write (c) instead of (c) just use "(c)" or "(c)".
Or "(1)"st for 1st instead of 1st? I think the point is that the raw text is what is usually intended. And furthermore markup is intended to be optional instead of enforced. It is an example of where doing less is more IMO.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 18 July 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM said: And furthermore markup is intended to be optional instead of enforced.
An exception is of course the quote function - and may I add that PT's version kicks ass? I didn't have to modify anything of markup in the raw code extraction that the quoting above gave me. W00t!

Frank J · 18 July 2008

No one seriously informed would pay attention to this kind of schlock...

— Nick Matzke
Unfortunately the great majority of people is not "seriously informed," and gets its evolution "education" almost exclusively from that "kind" of schlock. And that includes most non-biological scientists, including me in my first ~20 years as a chemist. Noting that the "Extended Synthesis" incorporates complexity theory, I wonder how many people know that the DI tried to have it both ways with Stuart Kauffman (a "Darwinist" and a "fellow dissenter") until he made it clear that he wanted no part of ID?

Frank J · 18 July 2008

Mazur may have manipulated the interview into some sort of statement about NCSE “not supporting” the Altenberg meeting or books on self-organization...

— Nick Matzke
Ironically, a few months after I bought Kauffman's "The Origins of Order" (in 2000) I saw it offered at NSCE - at less than half what I paid. :-(

FastEddie · 18 July 2008

This was my favorite quotation from the link James F provided:

"Today, at the dawn of the new century, nothing is more certain than that Darwinism has lost its prestige among men of science. It has seen its day and will soon be reckoned a thing of the past." -- 1904

Anthony · 18 July 2008

It is not important to check your sources and do some research before writing a news article. It would be assumed that this is what journalism is all about. It is quite interesting that Casey Luskin is suppose to be reporting on the misinformation found in the news about the theory of evolution.

I had read Suzan Mazur's article earlier, and it seem that she clearly did not understand the topic that she was writing about. It is hard to understand why someone would use such an unreliable sources, unless the have an agenda.

Flint · 18 July 2008

This was my favorite quotation from the link James F provided:

Yep. In the world of religion, things only come true by saying they're true and sincerely believing it. Creationists have applied this method, absolutely foolproof in the world of religion, to evolution for centuries without the slightest influence either on evolution (which continues stronger than ever) or on creationists (who do the same thing). Both sides win!

fnxtr · 18 July 2008

What did you expect? Luskin is a lawyer. Lawyers aren't paid to find an accurate description of reality, they're paid to win. Reality is irrelevant.

iml8 · 18 July 2008

FastEddie said: This was my favorite quotation from the link James F provided: "Today, at the dawn of the new century, nothing is more certain than that Darwinism has lost its prestige among men of science. It has seen its day and will soon be reckoned a thing of the past." -- 1904
I get the impression not all are familiar with the works of Glenn Morton? I'm a fan myself. That item is a more interesting read if you realize that Glenn was once a "card-carrying member of the Institute for Creation Research." Oh jeez, now he has to update it. I looked up a picture of Glenn one time. Looks just like the easy-going pleasant Christian fellow he sounds like he is in his writings. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

John Kwok · 18 July 2008

Dear Anthony, Alas, this is well stated:
Anthony said: It is not important to check your sources and do some research before writing a news article. It would be assumed that this is what journalism is all about. It is quite interesting that Casey Luskin is suppose to be reporting on the misinformation found in the news about the theory of evolution. I had read Suzan Mazur's article earlier, and it seem that she clearly did not understand the topic that she was writing about. It is hard to understand why someone would use such an unreliable sources, unless the have an agenda.
I met Susan Mazur at the Rockefeller University evolution symposium back in early May, and immediately, I realized that she had "an agenda", judging from the hostile line of questioning she was pursuing with evolutionary geneticist Jerry Coyne after his talk on Thursday night, trying to persuade him that evolutionary theory was in a "state of crisis". Afterwards I e-mailed her twice, urging her to be wary of the favorable comments she's been receiving from the likes of Denyse O'Leary, among others. Much to my disappointment, she has ignored both e-mails. While I don't wish to be placed in the position of defending her, I shall note only that I became aware of her work after she wrote an article praising some of the recent work done by a prominent - if controversial - Metropolitan Museum of Art archaeologist I know (whom, I might add, is a fellow alumnus of my high school, and may be better known to some of my fellow college alumni as a long-time visitor to our undergraduate alma mater, lecturing on Middle Eastern archaeology there). To put it succinctly, when Ms. Mazur chooses to do so, she can write effectively and persuasively, with almost the same breadth of knowledge and clarity of thought shown by, for example, Carl Zimmer. Unfortunately, with respect to contemporary evolutionary theory, Ms. Mazur seems interested only in pursuing a bizarre agenda that's won her the respect of Denyse O'Leary, Casey Luskin and their fellow Discovery Institute mendacious intellectual pornographers. Sadly, I must conclude that with a friend like Susan Mazur, then who needs enemies? Appreciatively yours, John

David hudson · 18 July 2008

Does "Darwinism" have any meaning at all? Were it truly an "ism", the devotees of that "ism" should not be working in molecular biolgy, analyzing DNA, or dig for dinosaurs, tilobites, and multituberculates; rather, they should be perusing the basic texts of the master, deciphering his "hidden meanings" when he discusses pigeon breeding, etc.

Mike · 18 July 2008

Ok, so the folks actually down in the trenches know this is all about politics. Let's talk politics. Is accusing the opposition lobbyists of lying detrimental to your own side's reputation, image, reliability, whatever (what's the word?). With politicians, maybe. It will make you appear partisan, unreliable. For most other people though, my own impression is that it is appreciated when it is pointed out that there is a simple to understand reason why a campaign can't be trusted. Is pro-science education primarily concerned with politicians? I don't think so. Most politicians want to run from the room when evolution is mentioned. Is Luskin lying? Let's see ... information on the meeting clearly shows who's attending. It's highly likely that Luskin saw this. Luskin falsely reports that a crank attended. Yup, he's lying. If he were to correct himself, then we'd know that I'm wrong, at least about this instance, but he won't, will he?

Yes, there's a PR danger in accusing some group of being Nazis, but I don't think the same psychology applies to pointing out lies.

iml8 · 18 July 2008

John Kwok said: I met Susan Mazur at the Rockefeller University evolution symposium back in early May, and immediately, I realized that she had "an agenda", judging from the hostile line of questioning she was pursuing with evolutionary geneticist Jerry Coyne after his talk on Thursday night, trying to persuade him that evolutionary theory was in a "state of crisis".
I suspect Coyne was thinking: "At times like this, I wish I really did look like Herman Munster!" White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Paul Burnett · 18 July 2008

John Kwok said: Unfortunately, with respect to contemporary evolutionary theory, Ms. Mazur seems interested only in pursuing a bizarre agenda that's won her the respect of Denyse O'Leary, Casey Luskin and their fellow Discovery Institute mendacious intellectual pornographers.
I'm sure Casey and his Dishonesty Institute fellow travelers have taken extra-credit courses in the special care and feeding of journalists and other media personalities. For all we know, Ms. Mazur may simply be another victim who has been spoon-fed ignorance. Or maybe she's just letting them write her stuff, like Behe, Berlinski and Dembski did when they "helped" Ann Coulter write Godless.

iml8 · 18 July 2008

David hudson said: Does "Darwinism" have any meaning at all? Were it truly an "ism", the devotees of that "ism" should not be working in molecular biolgy, analyzing DNA, or dig for dinosaurs, tilobites, and multituberculates; rather, they should be perusing the basic texts of the master, deciphering his "hidden meanings" when he discusses pigeon breeding, etc.
Yeah, it's obnoxious, but it's a useful label. We use "Lamarckism" as a broad term for self-directed evolution, "saltationism" for evolution by abrupt discontinuities, and "Darwinism" for evolution by natural selection (and all that related jazz). I remember trying to come up with a better term but I couldn't figure out one that didn't lead to a good deal of confusing verbal standing on one's head. At least we can draw the line at "Darwinist". No, this is not a cult of personality, Darwinism is not an ideological belief system any more than is aerodynamics ... "evolutionist" is clumsy but it has precedence with "biologist", "chemist", "physicist", and so on. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Frank J · 18 July 2008

Does “Darwinism” have any meaning at all?

— David Hudson
Unfortunately many fellow "evolutionists" insist on using it even though its completely unnecessary. From the context, one can see that they invariably use it as a synonym for "Darwinian evolution" - the scientific explanation which implies no connotation of randomness or lack of a designer/Creator. But only the most serious followers of evolution pay attention to the context. So it is at best completely redundant, and at worse a gift to the scam artists, who take every opportunity to use it in very different connotations to exploit public misconceptions.

Eric · 18 July 2008

Does anyone see the irony in a journalist going from evolution conference to evolution conference, claiming evolution is in crisis? Anyway, just to get it down on the thread, below is M. Pigliucci's summary of what the conference discussed. Its interesting that most of the topics seem to provide more mechanisms for change, possibly indicating that the 'standard' model of natural selection+ may underestimate rates of evolutionary change. Not at all what a creationist wants to hear. :) But that's just my take, and I may be reading more into the description than I should.
The basic idea is that there have been some interesting empirical discoveries, as well as the articulation of some new concepts, subsequently to the Modern Synthesis, that one needs to explicitly integrate with the standard ideas about natural selection, common descent, population genetics and statistical genetics (nowadays known as evolutionary quantitative genetics). Some of these empirical discoveries include (but are not limited to) the existence of molecular buffering systems (like the so-called “heat shock response”) that may act as “capacitors” (i.e., facilitators) of bursts of phenotypic evolution, and the increasing evidence of the role of epigenetic (i.e., non-genetic) inheritance systems (this has nothing to do with Lamarckism, by the way). Some of the new concepts that have arisen since the MS include (but again are not limited to) the idea of “evolvability” (that different lineages have different propensities to evolve novel structures or functions), complexity theory (which opens the possibility of natural sources of organic complexity other than natural selection), and “accommodation” (a developmental process that may facilitate the coordinated appearance of complex traits in short evolutionary periods).

Romartus · 18 July 2008

iml8 said:
David hudson said: Does "Darwinism" have any meaning at all? Were it truly an "ism", the devotees of that "ism" should not be working in molecular biolgy, analyzing DNA, or dig for dinosaurs, tilobites, and multituberculates; rather, they should be perusing the basic texts of the master, deciphering his "hidden meanings" when he discusses pigeon breeding, etc.
Yeah, it's obnoxious, but it's a useful label. We use "Lamarckism" as a broad term for self-directed evolution, "saltationism" for evolution by abrupt discontinuities, and "Darwinism" for evolution by natural selection (and all that related jazz). I remember trying to come up with a better term but I couldn't figure out one that didn't lead to a good deal of confusing verbal standing on one's head. At least we can draw the line at "Darwinist". No, this is not a cult of personality, Darwinism is not an ideological belief system any more than is aerodynamics ... "evolutionist" is clumsy but it has precedence with "biologist", "chemist", "physicist", and so on. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
Perhaps also we can call the creos/xians 'Trollists' in response - unless someone spells it 'Troilists' - and then we are all off onto territory that will take on a link to Hustler or Playboy magazines/websites.

John Kwok · 18 July 2008

Dear Paul - An interesting observation, but I don't think it's accurate:
Paul Burnett said:
John Kwok said: Unfortunately, with respect to contemporary evolutionary theory, Ms. Mazur seems interested only in pursuing a bizarre agenda that's won her the respect of Denyse O'Leary, Casey Luskin and their fellow Discovery Institute mendacious intellectual pornographers.
I'm sure Casey and his Dishonesty Institute fellow travelers have taken extra-credit courses in the special care and feeding of journalists and other media personalities. For all we know, Ms. Mazur may simply be another victim who has been spoon-fed ignorance. Or maybe she's just letting them write her stuff, like Behe, Berlinski and Dembski did when they "helped" Ann Coulter write Godless.
No, in this case, Susan is interested in covering "scientific controversy" for its own sake. I noticed her spending time talking to one Stuart Pivar, whom, I might add, happens to be a friend too of my friend over at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. I think Susan believes she's Steve Gould's "pit bull". Hope I'm mistaken about this, but I think that's really her slant on things. If only she bothered to become as fluent in her understanding of evolutionary biology as she is with respect to archaeology. Regards, John

John Kwok · 18 July 2008

Hi im18,

No, I don't think Coyne ever has had this thought:

I suspect Coyne was thinking: "At times like this, I wish
I really did look like Herman Munster!"

White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

He told me privately that what Dembski did to him was a rather "low blow". Moreover, he came across as far more humble and substantially less self-serving than either Susan Mazur or Stuart Pivar, both of whom I spoke to briefly during the symposium.

Regards,

John
(aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

John Kwok · 18 July 2008

HI im18, An interesting bit of analysis which you've offered here:
iml8 said:
John Kwok said: I met Susan Mazur at the Rockefeller University evolution symposium back in early May, and immediately, I realized that she had "an agenda", judging from the hostile line of questioning she was pursuing with evolutionary geneticist Jerry Coyne after his talk on Thursday night, trying to persuade him that evolutionary theory was in a "state of crisis".
I suspect Coyne was thinking: "At times like this, I wish I really did look like Herman Munster!" White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
However, I doubt that was in Jerry Coyne's mind. He told me in private that he thought Dembski's "comment" was quite a "low blow". I recall Coyne merely trying to be as pleasant as possible to Mazur, politely disagreeing with her hostile line of questioning. If anyone came across as insufferable with some lack of humility, it wasn't Coyne. Instead, I thought Mazur was a bit patronizing by her tone of questioning, and I also spoke briefly with one Stuart Pivar whom I thought was almost as insufferable as Mazur. Regards, John (aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

iml8 · 18 July 2008

John Kwok said: However, I doubt that was in Jerry Coyne's mind.
Of course not, but it would have had advantages: "Get lost, sweetie." "No problem, I was just leaving ... " Of course in reality Herman Munster was, despite his appearance, basically just a teddy bear of a guy. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Frank J · 18 July 2008

At least we can draw the line at “Darwinist”. No, this is not a cult of personality, Darwinism is not an ideological belief system any more than is aerodynamics … “evolutionist” is clumsy but it has precedence with “biologist”, “chemist”, “physicist”, and so on.

— iml8
I often express displeasure that there's no alternative to "chemist" (what I am). But for "Darwinism" there's always "Darwinian evolution." But I agree that the priority is to jump on their use of the word "Darwinist(s)," and demand that they state exactly what they mean. Ask why people like Ken Miller and Mike Behe believe almost the same thing in terms of "what happened when" and who (God) is the ultimate cause, yet one is a "Darwinist" and one is the opposite. Then ask them whether Schwabe, Senapathy and Goldschmidt are/were "Darwinists." Oh, and don't forget Kauffman. Then watch them squirm.

John Kwok · 18 July 2008

This is slightly off topic, but I just realized that today is WAD's birthday, so I just sent him this congratulatory e-mail:

Dear Bill -

Welcome to middle age. May yours be a delightful birthday, and I do mean this with utmost sincerity. You and I were both born in the same year, though thankfully I DO NOT SHARE your birth date.

Alas you have missed your true calling in life. I think you are still quite capable of writing the definitive textbook on Klingon Cosmology.

Respectfully yours,

John

iml8 · 18 July 2008

Frank J said: I often express displeasure that there's no alternative to "chemist" (what I am). But for "Darwinism" there's always "Darwinian evolution." But I agree that the priority is to jump on their use of the word "Darwinist(s)," and demand that they state exactly what they mean.
Yeah, but even that gets clunky, particularly when discussing historical issues ... I mean, "neo-Darwinian evolutionary theory" instead of "neo-Darwinism". And besides, once it got down to any simple term the Darwin-bashers would jump on it and use it as a club anyway. I do like this "Extended Synthesis" as per Pagliucci's website ... I was coming up with bogus ideas like "neo-Darwinism plus". Is the "postdarwinist" term dead? I think people like Margulis / Sagan were at least associated with it for a time. While considering the flavor of words, I do have to say that the Italians have the coolest names: "Massimo Pagliucci", he sounds like he should be an opera tenor. I got around to looking up a mugshot, he looks the very model of a "EuroProf". Speaking of mugshots, my comments about Coyne were in sympathy. There are times when sufferance of fools, as in foolish reporters, is not a virtue and giving them a bit of a "monstrous" treatment is not inappropriate. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

tguy · 18 July 2008

Let me get this straight. Evolutionary theory has been so successful that in the mid-20th century it was expanded into the Modern Synthesis to incorporate the findings of genetics and population biology. Now it's undergoing another expansion to accommodate ideas like "evolvability, developmental plasticity, phenotypic and genetic accommodation, punctuated evolution, phenotypic innovation, facilitated variation, epigenetic inheritance, and multi-level selection," among other new concepts that sound exciting and a bit of a challenge for me to understand. So, to the ID/Creo/Conspiracy crowd this is seen as failure? Out here in the business world, expansion is generally taken as a sign of success. If this is evolution in crisis, let me just say, a lot of us hope for such trouble.

John Kwok · 18 July 2008

Hi tguy, I know that these excellent points of yours may seem funny:
tguy said: Let me get this straight. Evolutionary theory has been so successful that in the mid-20th century it was expanded into the Modern Synthesis to incorporate the findings of genetics and population biology. Now it's undergoing another expansion to accommodate ideas like "evolvability, developmental plasticity, phenotypic and genetic accommodation, punctuated evolution, phenotypic innovation, facilitated variation, epigenetic inheritance, and multi-level selection," among other new concepts that sound exciting and a bit of a challenge for me to understand. So, to the ID/Creo/Conspiracy crowd this is seen as failure? Out here in the business world, expansion is generally taken as a sign of success. If this is evolution in crisis, let me just say, a lot of us hope for such trouble.
However, they're an excellent assessment regarding how evolutionary theory has fared during the past century and a half of its success. Critics ranging from the intellectually-challenged Discovery Institute to that rather bizarre "fan" of evolution, Susan Mazur, would do well to ponder the scientific - indeed intellectual - reasons for evolution's ongoing success, including its potential latest "expansion" as seen from the perspective of the "Altenberg 16" (Just one slight comment, if you are referring to the theory of punctuated equilibrium by your reference to "punctuated evolution", then let me observe that I believe that David Jablonski - who will be discussing macroevolution - will include probably a lengthy discussion that will refer too to mass extinctions - and their subsequent biological "recoveries" - as well as to observed patterns of punctuated equilibria from the fossil record. It's not surprising that in their most recent books, both Ken Miller and Michael Shermer have noted why evolutionary theory ought to be acceptable to fellow conservatives - including of course the Discovery Institute - since Darwin was inspired not only by Malthus's thoughts on population growth and its natural regulation, but also by Smith's observations pertaining to laissez-faire economics. So, in other words, if you wish to be a good capitalist, then maybe you ought to become someone willing to accept the validity of biological evolution (if you haven't already). Regards, John

iml8 · 18 July 2008

iml8 said: "Pigliucci" ... sorry. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

iml8 · 18 July 2008

iml8 said: While considering the flavor of words, I do have to say that the Italians have the coolest names: "Massimo Pagliucci", he sounds like he should be an opera tenor. I got around to looking up a mugshot, he looks the very model of a "EuroProf".
"Pigliucci" ... duh. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Stanton · 18 July 2008

iml8 said:
iml8 said: While considering the flavor of words, I do have to say that the Italians have the coolest names: "Massimo Pagliucci", he sounds like he should be an opera tenor.
"Pigliucci" ... sorry. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

iml8 · 19 July 2008

Stanton said: ...
Hai! I must now commit seppuku. Would you accept the honor of being my second? White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Frank J · 19 July 2008

“Pigliucci” … duh.

— iml8
You were thinking “Pagliacci” right? Anyway, he makes some statements that I’d really like to hear more often:

I’ll tell you what does constitute a crisis, though: the fact that creationists have been on the retreat ever since the Scopes trial, having to invent increasingly vacuous versions of their attacks on science education in order to keep pestering the Courts of this country with their demands that religious nonsense be taught side by side with solid science. You want serious disagreement? How about several orders of magnitude difference in the estimate of the age of the earth among creationists: some of them still cling to the primitive idea that our planet is only a few thousand years old, their only “evidence” a circular argument from authority -- that’s two logical fallacies at once! (The Bible says so; how do you know the Bible is right? Because it’s the word of God; how do you know it’s the word of God? The Bible says so...) Other creationists, particularly many in the ID movement, concede that the science of geology and physics is a bit too well established to throw it out of the window, so they accept the figure of about four billion years for the age of the earth. Now, if any scientific theory were to make statements that varied by six (I repeat: six!) orders of magnitude about a basic aspect of reality, that would really mean that the theory in question is in deep trouble. C’mon, guys, fix your own house first, then start knocking at our door if you must.

Talk about “fixing their own house,” how about a healthy debate between YECs and old-earther-who-accepts-common-descent Michael Behe, who also claims that reading the Bible as a science text is “silly,” and that the designer who may or may not be God, might even be deceased

Frank J · 19 July 2008

Speaking of cool names, the "Altenberg 16" must be more than twice as "bad" as the Chicago 7. ;-)

iml8 · 19 July 2008

Frank J said: Speaking of cool names, the "Altenberg 16" must be more than twice as "bad" as the Chicago 7. ;-)
"The League Of Extraordinary Scientific Gentlemen" OK, there were some femmes in the group too. On tracking back this stuff about Pivar claiming that Gould was a closet Darwin-basher but had been intimidated into keeping his mouth shut ... I never met Gould, but from what I read of him you couldn't get him to stop speaking his mind if held a revolver up against the side of his head. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Suzan · 19 July 2008

Mazur: Altenberg 16, AAAS & The Dorak Affair
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0807/S00185.htm

iml8 · 19 July 2008

Suzan said: Mazur: Altenberg 16, AAAS & The Dorak Affair http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0807/S00185.htm
Oh, I need to step back, I hear the rumble of the tsunami. "INCOMING!" White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

John Kwok · 19 July 2008

Dear iml8, Please don't even think of it:
iml8 said:
Stanton said: ...
Hai! I must now commit seppuku. Would you accept the honor of being my second? White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
If there are truly far more worthy ones who ought to commit seppuku, then these should be William A. Dembski, the "Josef Goebbels of Intelligent Design", and his chief Uncommon Dissent acolyte, DaveScot Springer. Regards, John (aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

WallyK · 19 July 2008

Media types are always trying to spin an exciting story, even if it's a boring scientific conference, if they can find the right angle. It then becomes a public relations battle. I think a few interviews with the scientists involved could burst the bubble of conspiracy nonsense.

Only time will tell how evolutionary theory will develope. I doubt that many of the ideas floating around will prove to be that useful. I'm mostly interested in the mechanism of evolution, what allows it to happen, what allows macroevolutionary trends. That's going to be answered by understanding more about the organization of the genome. Developmental biology is important because it shows how the genes are organized to produce form.

bigbang · 19 July 2008

Massimo, in his blog, says: “But scientific theories never stay the same for long, because scientists discover new facts about the natural world, and they consequently update their theories.”

.

Bingo.

IOW, the Darwinian view that evolution by RM+NS (and various other triflings such as drift) can explain the complexity of life----beyond various trivial examples of microevolution; e.g. the development of drug resistance by microorganisms, biological antifreeze in Antarctic fish, human sickle cell trait providing resistance to malaria, nylon eating bacteria, etc.----is undoubtedly an incomplete theory.

Common descent, the 4 billion years old earth, that life evolves, is accepted by most rational people, so the only question is what are the limits, what is the edge, of evolution by RM+NS; and what other (as yet undiscovered and/or undeveloped) mechanisms must be invoked to explain the complexity of life that remains unexplained by the incomplete theory of Darwinian directionless and ultimately purposeless evolution by RM+NS.

Ultimately and unavoidably everyone has a world view that boils down to either a purposeful universe and life resulting from an intelligent first cause, or to a purposeless universe and life resulting from a random, meaningless event, a product of some sort of infinite, eternal multiverse. That the vast majority of neo-Darwinians hold the latter view, and that the implications of that view infect their Darwinism, is undoubtedly a major source of this incessant soap opera regarding the limitations of RM+NS. Bottom line: beyond any reasonable doubt, evolution by RM+NS is an incomplete theory.

Jackelope King · 19 July 2008

Ignoring bigbang's trolling for a minute...

What is the usual output for the public of these sorts of conferences? Would I be able to read a publication put out by the conference, or reviews of what was discussed by the attendees? Evolvability has seemed like a very interesting topic for quite a long time, and I'd like to hear what these folks have to say about it.

Draconiz · 19 July 2008

bigbang, bigbang. Read the daily summary of the Altenburg 16 before spewing your intellectual vomit all over the place again, will you? What they discussed about has nothing to do with purpose or non-purpose nonsense you just said

Oh, welcome back!! It has been a short year!

John Kwok · 19 July 2008

Hi Suzan, Assuming that you are the Suzan Mazur I met at the Rockefeller University evolution symposium back in May, I do appreciate this:
Suzan said: Mazur: Altenberg 16, AAAS & The Dorak Affair http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0807/S00185.htm
However, could you care to comment at least to this e-mail I sent to you recently that I am excerpting here: "....I am writing again to alert you that your recent interest in the 'controversies' surrounding contemporary evolutionary theory is merely providing aid and comfort to intelligent design creationists such as Denyse O'Leary: http://www.uncommondescent.com/intelligent-design/science-journalist-trashing-the-darwin-industry-i-have-a-twin-somewhere/ "Moreover, these remarks of yours do not accurately reflect the state of our knowledge with respect to contemporary evolutionary theory, which includes the Darwin/Wallace theory of evolution via natural selection: No one knows how life began, but so-called theories of evolution are continually being announced. This book, The Altenberg 16: Will the Real Theory of Evolution Please Stand Up? exposes the rivalry in science today surrounding attempts to discover that elusive mechanism of evolution, as rethinking evolution is pushed to the political front burner in hopes that "survival of the fittest" ideology can be replaced with a more humane explanation for our existence and stave off further wars, economic crises and destruction of the Earth. Evolutionary science is as much about the posturing, salesmanship, stonewalling and bullying that goes on as it is about actual scientific theory. It is a social discourse involving hypotheses of staggering complexity with scientists, recipients of the biggest grants of any intellectuals, assuming the power of politicians while engaged in Animal House pie-throwing and name-calling: "ham-fisted", "looney Marxist hangover", "secular creationist", "philosopher" (a scientist who can’t get grants anymore), "quack", "crackpot". . . In short, it’s a modern day quest for the holy grail, but with few knights. At a time that calls for scientific vision, scientific inquiry’s been hijacked by an industry of greed, with evolution books hyped like snake oil at a carnival. Perhaps the most egregious display of commercial dishonesty is next year’s celebration of Charles Darwin’s Origin of Species – the so-called theory of evolution by natural selection, i.e., survival of the fittest, that was foisted on us almost 150 years ago. Scientists agree that natural selection can occur. But the scientific community has known for some time that natural selection has nothing to do with evolution. It also knows that self-organization is real, that is, matter can form without a genetic recipe – like the snowflake (non-living). It does this without external guidance. "While I do agree with some, such as the late Stephen Jay Gould and Niles Eldredge, for example, in recognizing that this theory is incomplete, I would not endorse such a stereotypical caricature of the kind written above, which is something I would expect more from the pens of such Intelligent Design creationist advocates as Ms. O'Leary and William A. Dembski. I strongly suggest that you do a better job in your "homework" in writing about evolutionary biology, instead of opting for what seems to be its more sensational aspects. Respectfully yours, John Kwok" I should also note that many biologists - and former ones like myself - recognize that the issue of the "origin" of life is one that is distinct from understanding the mechanisms accounting for biological evolution. You are doing mainstream science a grave disservice by conflating the two, which, of course, is exactly what Intelligent Design creationists and other creationists have done for decades. While I do have ample respect for your superb writing and investigative skills on other issues, most notably, of course, archaeology, I hope earnestly that you would emulate the excellence demonstrated by your peers Carl Zimmer and New York Times science editor Cornelia Dean, among others. Moreover, if you wish to pursue an agenda - which I believe you are in your "Altenberg 16" articles - then please clearly identify it as such, instead of trying to mislead readers into thinking that the so-called "crisis" in evolutionary biology which you contend is one that does exist. Respectfully yours, John Kwok (aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

iml8 · 19 July 2008

Jackelope King said: Ignoring bigbang's trolling for a minute...
Or more. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Frank J · 19 July 2008

Since BigBang is unusual among anti-evolutionist regulars, whether trolls or seeming to honestly believe what they say, I'll bite. Once at least:

BigBang: What then do you think of the ideas of self-organization (note: "self" is a figure of speech; I'd prefer "molecular organization"), "evo-devo" etc. Do you think any are promising, or do you agree with Behe, Dembski et al that any attempt to "connect the dots" is a waste of time?

Lew · 19 July 2008

bigbang said, "Ultimately and unavoidably everyone has a world view that boils down to either a purposeful universe and life resulting from an intelligent first cause, or to a purposeless universe and life resulting from a random, meaningless event, a product of some sort of infinite, eternal multiverse. That the vast majority of neo-Darwinians hold the latter view..." Not correct. Most neo-Darwinians prefer to allow the universe to tell us its purpose by observation and analysis. Creationists, on the other hand, adhere to the belief that they already know the facts and the purposes of the universe, and that it is totally encapsulated in their personal interpretation of a single book. The conceit of the creationists is that they dictate the powers and limitations of God. Rather than observing the diversity and size of the universe, they prefer to ignore the evidence of God's actions in favor of their own infantile notions.

Frank B · 19 July 2008

The number of Trolls who accept an old Earth and evolution is amazing. People like BigBang must also be trolling over at Uncommon Descent bashing YECs and OECs. So many people to bash and so little time. Isn't it amazing that ID can attract people who can disagree so much on such relevant topics?

Elf Eye · 19 July 2008

bigbang: “Ultimately and unavoidably everyone has a world view that boils down to either a purposeful universe and life resulting from an intelligent first cause, or to a purposeless universe and life resulting from a random, meaningless event, a product of some sort of infinite, eternal multiverse...."

Either-or fallacy. The laws of physics and biology may not give meaning to the universe, but that does not mean that one's life must be purposeless. The earth as it revolves is indifferent to me, and the rain does not fall for my benefit. I, however, am not indifferent to myself or to others; nor are others indifferent to me. Since I am an empathetic being and am surrounded by empathetic beings, I have had no difficulty in constructing a life full of meaning.

Frank J · 19 July 2008

People like BigBang must also be trolling over at Uncommon Descent bashing YECs and OECs.

— Frank B
I lurk on UcD on occasion, and admit only rarely checking other anti-evolution blogs in recent years, but I almost never see PT's or Talk.Origins' regular anti-evolutionists or trolls criticizing them. The only example that comes to mind is Ray Martinez, who has been banned by UcD. No surprise. Ray is one of those "real creationists" (an old Earth young life type) who seems to honestly believes what he says, even if it means criticizing other anti-evolutionists. UcD does not tolerate much of that political incorrectness.

scoop · 19 July 2008

PROGRESSIVE REVIEW/UNDERNEWS -- ALTENBERG

"Swampoodle Report: When Science, Politics, Religion & Journalism Meet"

http://prorev.com/2008/07/swampoodle-report-when-science-politics.html

John Kwok · 19 July 2008

Hi scoop: Thanks for sharing this with us:
scoop said: PROGRESSIVE REVIEW/UNDERNEWS -- ALTENBERG "Swampoodle Report: When Science, Politics, Religion & Journalism Meet" http://prorev.com/2008/07/swampoodle-report-when-science-politics.html
However, I think there is a major difference between someone like Carl Zimmer or Cornelia Dean - who've demonstrated for years that they can report credibly on science, especially evolutionary biology - and Suzan Mazur, who apparently has some peculiar agenda of her own, and is unwilling to acknowledge it, but instead, make some rather peculiar statements questioning the validity of contemporary evolutionary theory, and, by doing so, offering aid and comfort to the likes of Denyse O'Leary, and her pals who are Discovery Institute mendacious intellectual pornographers. Personally I would like Mazur to explain her raison d'etre, and especially why she isn't bothered by the prospect that her published comments are providing aid and comfort to O'Leary and the rest of that woman's noxious ilk. Regards, John (aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

iml8 · 19 July 2008

"A recent international conference on frontiers in aerospace
covered a wide range of topics -- blended-wing-body airframes,
unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) control systems, UAV application
in search and rescue, conformal airborne radar arrays, pulse
detonation engines, variable bypass turbofans, scramjet propulsion, and buoyancy-assisted airships."

"The astute observer at this conference would be hard-pressed
to discover any mention of the legacy of the Wright Brothers,
who aerospace engineers insist were the founders of their
field of research. Indeed, in considering the confused and
confusing clutter of topics discussed at the conference, one
wonders if aerospace isn't in a state of complete chaos.
When questioned about a topic of discussion, the consistent
answers from researchers only reveal just how thin their
knowledge actually is -- few have actually any real hardware
to show and they usually admit that they need to conduct
much more investigation, a fact they try to obscure by
describing their work as 'leading edge' in order to keep the
funding pipeline alive."

"The only conclusion possible by an unbiased observer is that
the sole reason the Wright Brothers continue to enjoy their
high status in aerospace history is the determination of
the aerospace engineering community to maintain the status quo. The effort to shore up the tottering legacy of the Wrights is clearly bankrupt and, ultimately, doomed to failure."

THE TRUTH IS OUT THERE: THE WINDMILLS ARE WEAKENING.

White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

stevaroni · 19 July 2008

Hai! I must now commit seppuku. Would you accept the honor of being my second?

See! See! Not only does evolution cause Nazism, Communism, and baby-eating, but now we have evidence that it compels it's believers to thoughts of violent suicide!!!!

John Kwok · 19 July 2008

'Tis a great parody:
iml8 said: "A recent international conference on frontiers in aerospace covered a wide range of topics -- blended-wing-body airframes, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) control systems, UAV application in search and rescue, conformal airborne radar arrays, pulse detonation engines, variable bypass turbofans, scramjet propulsion, and buoyancy-assisted airships." "The astute observer at this conference would be hard-pressed to discover any mention of the legacy of the Wright Brothers, who aerospace engineers insist were the founders of their field of research. Indeed, in considering the confused and confusing clutter of topics discussed at the conference, one wonders if aerospace isn't in a state of complete chaos. When questioned about a topic of discussion, the consistent answers from researchers only reveal just how thin their knowledge actually is -- few have actually any real hardware to show and they usually admit that they need to conduct much more investigation, a fact they try to obscure by describing their work as 'leading edge' in order to keep the funding pipeline alive." "The only conclusion possible by an unbiased observer is that the sole reason the Wright Brothers continue to enjoy their high status in aerospace history is the determination of the aerospace engineering community to maintain the status quo. The effort to shore up the tottering legacy of the Wrights is clearly bankrupt and, ultimately, doomed to failure." THE TRUTH IS OUT THERE: THE WINDMILLS ARE WEAKENING. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
However, I wonder whether Suzan Mazur will get it? Appreciatively yours, John (aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

John Kwok · 19 July 2008

Dear stevaroni:
stevaroni said:

Hai! I must now commit seppuku. Would you accept the honor of being my second?

See! See! Not only does evolution cause Nazism, Communism, and baby-eating, but now we have evidence that it compels it's believers to thoughts of violent suicide!!!!
We're such "evil evolutionists" - or rather I am - that we think that the "Josef Goebbels of the Intelligent Design movement" - my "buddy" Bill Dembski - should emulate his mentor, Josef Goebbels, and perform seppuku too, along with his chief Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone, DaveScot Springer, and of course, his Canadian pal Denyse O'Leary too. Am sure that the Xians would accuse us "evil evolutionists" of murder too, should these miscreants practice seppuku. Regards, John (aka “Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology” courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

Stanton · 19 July 2008

No offense, John, but, wishing other people, no matter how reviling he/she/it may be, to commit suicide is in extremely poor taste, if not downright vulgar. We're supposed to be better than the Intelligent Design proponents, after all.

If you really want those schmucks at the Discovery Institute to destroy themselves, why not challenge them in asking what exactly do they spend 3 to 4 million dollars every year on for the last 15 to 20 years, if they have yet to put out so much as a single research proposal? Or, why not ask them if the magnum opus of the Discovery Institute is a poorly made, and incompetently fact-checked video mocking Judge Jones with fart noises dubbed in? Or, why not ask one of them if the magnum opus of Intelligent Design is a tacky, and incompetently fact-checked speech made by Ferris Bueller's nemesis on how "Darwinism" (sic) turns people into baby-eating communazis, and that science is murder?

Better yet, if you really want them to destroy themselves, ask them to explain and demonstrate exactly how Intelligent Design "theory" is superior to the Theory of Evolution, preferably on live television.

Mike Elzinga · 19 July 2008

Personally I would like Mazur to explain her raison d’etre, and especially why she isn’t bothered by the prospect that her published comments are providing aid and comfort to O’Leary and the rest of that woman’s noxious ilk.

I would speculate that Mazur hasn’t the haziest grasp of what is going on in these kinds of discussions, and she doesn’t know that she doesn’t know even as she “plays to the gallery” of fellow reporters and the people who hire them. However, Luskin and crew know they are deliberately sewing confusion: it’s their mission. I am nearly finished with Stuart Kauffman’s Reinventing the Sacred, and, judging from the excerpts of Mazur’s interview with Kauffman, she is clearly clueless about Kauffman’s and other researchers’ ideas. Thus, I would suggest, she is clueless about conferences that bring people together to discuss where such new concepts are going and how these might be developed further. Ideas like self-organizing criticality, power-law scaling, fractals, emergent phenomena, and so on have been worked on for several decades within the physics community. These ideas are also finding their way into other fields such a biology and economics. Like all developing ideas, they are evolving as both theory and experiment sort out what is important, what is incidental, and what is misleading. They will continue to develop as researchers work out new tools and language to express what is going on in complex evolving systems with their dynamically emergent properties. The ID/Creationists barely understand F = ma, and they frequently screw this up. They are absolutely hopeless when it comes to thermodynamics. And they are worse than useless with the ideas of organization and information. So it is not surprising, given their history of systematic mangling of scientific ideas, that they will look for any excuse to mangle developing ideas and use their propaganda machines to further screw up the public perception of how science works. I see a fairly new fundamental misconception and misrepresentation on the part of the ID/Creationists in the making here: any new ideas that attempt to extrapolate what we have learned from the effects of emergent phenomena on evolving physical systems to complex biological systems is being misrepresented as throwing out some of the major ideas that have operated successfully since Darwin. Therefore (it is hinted) evolution has been wrong all along. This is somewhat analogous to claiming that the elucidations of quantum mechanics, kinetic theory, and statistical mechanics on the microscopic behaviors of thermodynamic systems prove that classical thermodynamics has always been wrong. The large ideas of evolution and selection will remain despite any discoveries that many kinds of emergent phenomena can lead to the same macroscopic behaviors in evolving systems. In many ways, “classical evolution and selection” are analogous to the classical laws of thermodynamics: their major strength is that they are independent of “microscopic details”. And, as in classical thermodynamics, such “macroscopic perspectives” in evolution will continue to have their major strengths in being relatively independent of underlying “microscopic” details. But that will also be its primary “weakness”. This weakness will be gradually filled in as we learn how to talk about emergent phenomena at various levels of evolution. The hope is that we can then discuss individual cases in more detail than we can now. And a better language may also help in narrowing the search for the mechanisms behind biogenesis. There are plenty of historical examples from chemistry, biology, and physics. There were many circumstantial reasons for suspecting the existence of atoms long before any definitive demonstration of their existence became available. The same can be said for the existence of “genes”, or “atoms of heredity”. Even before the discovery of DNA and RNA, the nature of these atoms of heredity was thought to be somewhat like an aperiodic crystal. Macroscopic behavior often points to underlying microscopic causes. What we have learned from very complex evolving systems and emergent phenomena is that these microscopic causes aren’t necessarily unique. In other words, strict reductionism all the way to the bottom is not necessarily the case in complex evolving systems (we may not be able to look below more than a couple of levels of complexity in each case). That requires new concepts and new sorting techniques to get at the underlying phenomena in each specific case. At this stage of the game, it is messier than anything we have dealt with in the past. But we already know that evolution took place, is taking place, and we even have some insights already. That won’t change.

John Kwok · 19 July 2008

Dear Stanton, Thanks, but I was being a bit sarcastic here:
Stanton said: No offense, John, but, wishing other people, no matter how reviling he/she/it may be, to commit suicide is in extremely poor taste, if not downright vulgar. We're supposed to be better than the Intelligent Design proponents, after all. If you really want those schmucks at the Discovery Institute to destroy themselves, why not challenge them in asking what exactly do they spend 3 to 4 million dollars every year on for the last 15 to 20 years, if they have yet to put out so much as a single research proposal? Or, why not ask them if the magnum opus of the Discovery Institute is a poorly made, and incompetently fact-checked video mocking Judge Jones with fart noises dubbed in? Or, why not ask one of them if the magnum opus of Intelligent Design is a tacky, and incompetently fact-checked speech made by Ferris Bueller's nemesis on how "Darwinism" (sic) turns people into baby-eating communazis, and that science is murder? Better yet, if you really want them to destroy themselves, ask them to explain and demonstrate exactly how Intelligent Design "theory" is superior to the Theory of Evolution, preferably on live television.
I've actually asked Bill Dembski to explain how Intelligent Design could be "superior" to Klingon Cosmology as a theory of "origins", and his immediate reply (via e-mail) was accusing me of being childish; I shot back observing that his adherence to ID was "childish". Regards, John

Marion Delgado · 19 July 2008

That Luskin (as opposed to Mazur) did indeed invent Fodor as a participant, as Nick Matzke said above, is expanded on here.

He's likely over a line where if you emailed Mazur what he wrote, she'd correct him, and publicly.

Ichthyic · 19 July 2008

Suzan Mazur, who apparently has some peculiar agenda of her own

hmm, I never thought it was so hidden or peculiar.

It looks to me like she saw how much money Coulter made lying about science and evolution, and figured it would be easy to sell off a bit of her credibility for some quick cash.

expect a publisher to novelize her "book" within the next year.

Stanton · 19 July 2008

John Kwok said: Dear Stanton, Thanks, but I was being a bit sarcastic here:
It's hard for my sarcastimeter to detect sarcasm over the Internet.

Rilke's Granddaughter · 20 July 2008

Bigbang, all theories are incomplete. Such is the nature of theories. Such (if you haven't noticed) is the nature of science. Unfortunately for you, "incomplete" doesn't mean "wrong". And since there is ZERO evidence for intelligent design in the origin of species, you're in the peculiar position of criticizing without facts.

Get over it.

Freelurker · 20 July 2008

iml8 said: "A recent international conference on frontiers in aerospace [...]
Very nicely done. As an engineer myself, I encourage people who are arguing in favor of science to make valid comparisons between science and engineering. Many people have noticed that a relatively high percentage of the followers of the ID Movement are engineers and technicians. But few people have recognized that this is problematic for the leaders of the movement (almost none of whom are engineers themselves.) The IDM feeds on ignorance, and many of the IDM followers are not ignorant of engineering.

Frank J · 20 July 2008

I am nearly finished with Stuart Kauffman’s Reinventing the Sacred..

— Mike Elzinga
As a self-described "Kauffmaniac" (a tongue-in-cheek response to being called a "Darwinist"), that's on my to-read list. Unfortunately most nonscientists, and even some scientists, don't get how I can be a fan of Kauffman while either disagreeing with, not sure of, or simply confused by, many (most?) of his ideas. It’s not even his religion or politics, as I have no idea where he stands on either. Nevertheless, I think that some ideas, such as the “universal enzyme tool kit,” will have a role as explanations slowly proceed from the “biology level” to the “chemistry level.” Right now the emphasis is understandably on natural selection and drift, while the “raw material” that it operates on is often unfairly dismissed as “random” mutation. Even biologists who are weak on their chemistry know that biochemical systems are not ideal gases – and that ideal gases (is anything else truly random?) simply don’t exist. So I predict that in the future we’ll be hearing a lot more about the “mutation” side, and that anti-evolution activists will misrepresent it as they do with “junk DNA is not junk” arguments. Possibly relevant to this thread is the latest edition of Evolution Education and Outreach. One paper notes how acceptance of evolution correlates more with understanding the nature of science than with learning evolution itself. That makes sense because learning “scattered facts” about evolution only makes it easier to take them out of context and spin them as “weaknesses,” or worse, that scientists are “conspiring” to protect a dying theory. That’s especially a problem when a writer (I won’t mention any names) has an incentive to sensationalize the story.

Rolf · 20 July 2008

Suzan Mazur, Ralph Nader of the Evolution Industry.

iml8 · 20 July 2008

Frank J said: Unfortunately most nonscientists, and even some scientists, don't get how I can be a fan of Kauffman while either disagreeing with, not sure of, or simply confused by, many (most?) of his ideas.
"Damn yer eyes" again, now I'm going to have to try to wade through Kauffman. What you're saying about the negative impression he can make is only too accurate, since as a nuts-and-boltsy engineering type I tend to see his thinking as Santa Fe Institute hand-waving. This is not to condemn his work, just to say that it can be offputting. He's building up a theoretical framework around sets of ideas. I suspect some of the ideas are perfectly valid, but it's hard to sort them out into the bins of "important", "interesting", "trivial", "useless", or "bogus". White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

bornagain77 · 20 July 2008

Cool podcast

http://intelligentdesign.podOmatic.com/entry/2008-07-18T16_59_21-07_00

Frank J · 20 July 2008

“Damn yer eyes” again, now I’m going to have to try to wade through Kauffman.

— iml8
AIUI, even 15 years after "The Origins of Order" there's still not a lot of biological/biochemical testing of his ideas. It may even be that, as I have heard (correctly?) about "string theory," it's not yet impossible to test some concepts. But I think the main catch-22 is that there's just not a priority to invest in expensive and risky projects. Computers are getting cheaper, while running a lab with ever-increasing safety & environmental regulations, is going the other way. For origin-of-life alone, that "designer" ~4 billion years ago had one heck of a "lab," (millions of cubic miles of raw materials, catalytic surfaces and all) with no "bugs" that can "eat up" years of research results. And no "safety nazis" telling "him" what he can and can't do.

Frank J · 20 July 2008

Make that "not yet possible."

stevaroni · 20 July 2008

Stanton asks.... If you really want those schmucks at the Discovery Institute to destroy themselves, why not challenge them in asking what exactly do they spend 3 to 4 million dollars every year on for the last 15 to 20 years...

Just what, exactly, do they spend that money on anyway? And where do they still get it? Seriously, that's a lot of clams, and people with that kind of money to invest - even Christian zealots - tend to be business types who expect results eventually. Just look at the Republican party and the problems they're having with falloff of evangelical support this year. After 20 years of abject failure, where does the DI still find any funding?

Stanton · 20 July 2008

stevaroni said: After 20 years of abject failure, where does the DI still find any funding?
The dimmest and most gullible among the pious and the fanatics. apparently.

jkc · 20 July 2008

bornagain77 said: Cool podcast
This link would have been a lot more interesting and useful if it contained both sides of the Meyer/Gilder vs. Shermer/Bailey debate. As it is, though, it is spam, and off-topic spam at that.

Frank J · 20 July 2008

After 20 years of abject failure, where does the DI still find any funding?

— stevaroni
I keep hearing rumors that a Christian Reconstructionist multimillionaire (billionaire?) funds them. But even if not, they sell books, get speaking fees, etc. And they get plenty of publicity courting gullible, science-challenged politicians. Sadly, with or without the fundamentalist/reconstructionist connection, pseudoscience sells.

Stanton · 20 July 2008

Frank J said:

After 20 years of abject failure, where does the DI still find any funding?

— stevaroni
I keep hearing rumors that a Christian Reconstructionist multimillionaire (billionaire?) funds them. But even if not, they sell books, get speaking fees, etc. And they get plenty of publicity courting gullible, science-challenged politicians. Sadly, with or without the fundamentalist/reconstructionist connection, pseudoscience sells.
But the 80 million dollar question is "What do they spend their money on?" I mean, certainly, it can't be that they've spent their millions of dollars of funding accrued from these past two decades solely on a video of Judge Jones farting, can it?

John Kwok · 20 July 2008

Dear Stanton,
Stanton said:
John Kwok said: Dear Stanton, Thanks, but I was being a bit sarcastic here:
It's hard for my sarcastimeter to detect sarcasm over the Internet.
You had missed the rest of my quote, in which I observed that if Dembski did perform that act, then Xians would accuse us of having committed "murder", by having urged him to perform that ancient Japanese samurai ritual. Your litany of his crimes missed my "pal" Bill Dembski's most egregious acts which were: 1) Falsely accusing eminent University of Texas ecologist Eric Pianka of being a potential bioterrorist and reporting him to the Department of Homeland Security, and simultaneously, orchestrating a "death threat" campaign against Pianka and the Texas Academy of Sciences 2) Admitting at Uncommon Dissent of his malicious intent by "confessing" that he had stolen the XVIVO-produced Harvard University cell animation video Elsewhere, thanks to raven and others, I have posted a list of Bill's most egregious acts here: http://www.amazon.com/Bill-Dembskis-Un-Christian-Acts/forum/Fx1D2S70Q0VPXAD/Tx3SU4SA7KTLCSB/1/ref=cm_cd_dp_tft_tp?%5Fencoding=UTF8&s=books&asin=0736924426&store=books Regards, John (aka “Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology” courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer) P. S. About a year ago, at Amazon.com,, I observed sarcastically that Dembski and Behe ought to be stuffed and put on display at the California Academy of Sciences - and then later, at other natural history museums - as sterling examples of intellectual stupidity. I honestly haven't seen anything from either one which would cause me to change this harsh desire of mine.

Paul Burnett · 20 July 2008

stevaroni said: After 20 years of abject failure, where does the DI still find any funding?
Here's a reprise of a note I posted on PT in November 2007 (http://www.pandasthumb.org/archives/2007/11/unholy-row-over.html ): I was researching Intelligent Design and William A. Dembski, and found that Bill had made a presentation titled “The Vise Strategy: Squeezing the Truth out of Darwinists” on a website (http://www.4truth.net) that also says “This Web site is part of NAMB’s major mission objective committed to sharing Christ.” NAMB is the “North American Mission Board,” “A Southern Baptist Convention entity supported by the Cooperative Program and Annie Armstrong Easter Offering®.” “Through gifts to the Annie Armstrong Easter Offering®, these missions personnel are enabled to share the good news of Jesus Christ. Because every dollar given to the Annie Armstrong Easter Offering® goes to direct support of missionaries and their ministries, Southern Baptists are confident offering gifts are an investment in eternity.” (http://www.anniearmstrong.com) These pious frauds are soliciting pennies from Sunday School kids (and dollars from Sunday School adults) who are being told they can buy their way into Heaven. And their money is being used not just for foreign missionaries, but to spread the Word about Intelligent Design! Can you imagine the ground swell of dismay and betrayal that may already be building amongst the True Believers in this country when a significant number of them realize how badly they have been scammed?

John Kwok · 20 July 2008

Dear Mike, I wish I could agree completely with your analysis of Suzan Mazur:
Mike Elzinga said:

Personally I would like Mazur to explain her raison d’etre, and especially why she isn’t bothered by the prospect that her published comments are providing aid and comfort to O’Leary and the rest of that woman’s noxious ilk.

I would speculate that Mazur hasn’t the haziest grasp of what is going on in these kinds of discussions, and she doesn’t know that she doesn’t know even as she “plays to the gallery” of fellow reporters and the people who hire them. However, Luskin and crew know they are deliberately sewing confusion: it’s their mission.
However, I know she's fully capable of discussing archaeology credibly, as she has done on more than one occasion. Surely if she claims to present similar expertise in evolutionary biology, then she ought to start presenting it. Isn't it a riot that she's acting like a typical IDiot lurking here at Panda's Thumb: she makes some terse comment and then disappears. Regards, John

Mike Elzinga · 20 July 2008

iml8 said:
Frank J said: Unfortunately most nonscientists, and even some scientists, don't get how I can be a fan of Kauffman while either disagreeing with, not sure of, or simply confused by, many (most?) of his ideas.
"Damn yer eyes" again, now I'm going to have to try to wade through Kauffman. What you're saying about the negative impression he can make is only too accurate, since as a nuts-and-boltsy engineering type I tend to see his thinking as Santa Fe Institute hand-waving. This is not to condemn his work, just to say that it can be offputting. He's building up a theoretical framework around sets of ideas. I suspect some of the ideas are perfectly valid, but it's hard to sort them out into the bins of "important", "interesting", "trivial", "useless", or "bogus". White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
I find Kauffman interesting although not really very clear. Hand waving is a pretty good description of his arguments. However, some of his ideas are worth thinking about. He is not an engineer or physicist, but a philosopher who has entered this area. He exhibits some of the standard misconceptions about entropy in that he confounds spatial arrangements of matter with the multiplicity of energy states, but he seems to be conscious about not pressing this too far (I suspect he is still confused and doesn’t know where to go with it). Some of his ideas about complex systems not being amenable to reductionism are worth thinking about. There is so much contingency involved in the emerging properties of evolving systems, in addition to the many paths leading to the same or very similar outcomes, that finding ways to reduce such a system to “quarks and gluons” may be impossible even though no laws of physics are violated anywhere along the way. The other difficulty with his lines of research is that the scaling laws he comes up with are not unique to any of his toy models. Many phenomena can lead to the same behavior, and this means that just discovering that a complex system exhibits such scaling laws (e.g., power-law behavior) doesn’t give any clue about the details of underlying mechanisms. Any guess would be as good as any other. (It’s like finding a denizen of New York City showing up in Los Angeles; that part is unmistakable, but exactly how he got there could not be discerned from the fact that he is there.) In thermodynamic systems, one can have the same macroscopic state be the result of a number of different microscopic states. We then call these underlying microscopic states “degenerate”. Similarly, one could say that the various “microscopic models” leading to power-law behaviors in complex systems are degenerate, but in this case, most of these models would be complete nonsense. So this line of thinking cannot ultimately avoid physics and chemistry. At the moment, it appears it is only at a sorting and organizational stage of development; finding the words and concepts that help with thinking about complex systems. Real physics and chemistry will have to be attached and integrated later if this line of thinking goes anywhere. That’s why understanding the energetics of cells, protein folding, the chemistry of auto-catalytic reactions, etc. are so important at each level of complexity. But it is clear that Mazur has no context and no conceptual framework with which to evaluate or comment on this kind of work.

bigbang · 20 July 2008

Frank J says: “Since BigBang is unusual among anti-evolutionist regulars….”

.

Thanks Frank. Unfortunately I’m unable return the compliment since you don’t seem to be unusual among Darwinians, resorting to the typical Darwinian knee-jerk nonsense, claiming I’m “anti-evolutionist”----although I note that rational people accept the evidence for common descent, the 4 billion year old earth, that life has evolved, and the various examples of microevolution by RM+NS----apparently b/c I don’t unquestioningly accept and espouse the pan-selectionist conviction that all of life is the result of a Darwinian directionless and ultimately purposeless evolution by RM+NS.

However, the reality is, as Massimo noted in his blog: “scientific theories never stay the same for long, because scientists discover new facts about the natural world, and they consequently update their theories.” And as paleontologist D. Erwin (no ID fan) wrote in his review of Kirschner’s/Gerhart’s “Plausibility of Life: resolving Darwin’s dilemma”: "Is there reason to think that our view of evolution needs to change? The answer is almost certainly yes.”

At the risk of blaspheming Darwinian dogma, I’ll say it again: the reality is that evolution by RM+NS is an incomplete theory.

BTW, I doubt Behe believes or has suggested, that, as you say, “connecting the dots,” is a “waste of time,” unless you’re referring to some sort of out of context quote. OTOH, Behe does seem to suggest that the Darwinian belief that RM+NS can explain all of evolution is shortsighted. Also, keep in mind that most of the greatest scientists and virtually all of the great mathematicians have had some sort of belief in design (God), and they obviously never felt that “connecting the dots” was a waste of time. If anything, their belief in a designed, rational world spurred them on to discover how it works.

Regarding whether anything is truly random, think of it this way: probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.

olegt · 20 July 2008

bigbang said: At the risk of blaspheming Darwinian dogma, I’ll say it again: the reality is that evolution by RM+NS is an incomplete theory. ... Regarding whether anything is truly random, think of it this way: probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.
There is no complete scientific theory, bigbang. Classical mechanics, probably the most-thoroughly developed tested scientific theory ever is incomplete: it fails at high speeds and small distances. Relativity and quantum mechanics were developed to address these drawbacks. However, classical mechanics has not been thrown away: it remains the cornerstone of physics, we teach it to undergraduates and to graduate students; its mathematical apparatus has been recycled multiple times in other branches of physics. Quantum mechanics and (general) relativity are incomplete theories: as things stand now, the two are incompatible with each other. We just don't have a theory of quantum gravity. Nonetheless, both theories are taught in college and graduate school and they are indispensable in materials science and cosmology. And when (and if) a theory of quantum gravity emerges, its predecessors won't be thrown away, they'll remain with us just as classical mechanics does. Lastly, there are things that, as far as we know, are truly random. Uncertainty associated with quantum measurements are not of the classical, ignorance-related type.

iml8 · 20 July 2008

Mike Elzinga said: I find Kauffman interesting although not really very clear.
He makes a real contrast with Dawkins. Although Dawkins can be a bit offputting as well when he gets opinionated -- to his credit he seems to recognize this -- although sometimes you have to work a bit at his ideas, his writing is a model of clarity, and indeed at times soaringly eloquent. I recall reading the chapter "A Garden Enclosed" on the ecology of fig wasps in CLIMBING MOUNT IMPROBABLE and I swear I had my mouth hanging open all the while. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.html/gblog.html

jkc · 20 July 2008

bigbang said: Regarding whether anything is truly random, think of it this way: probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.
This is an erudite sounding aphorism, but nonetheless wrong, or at best misleading. Probabilities are based on real data, regardless of whether we understand the reasons why things happen. Given the thousands (millions?) of observations of mutation (and duplication, transposition, insertion, etc.) we can construct probabilities of these events. The why of mutation has nothing to do with probability. As Frank J pointed out earlier (post of 7:29 AM) there is a lot of interesting research to be done to elucidate why mutation occurs. Perhaps this research will modify our probabilities or refocus them on the underlying mechanisms. Ignorance is what drives scientific inquiry; i.e., it is a good thing, not evidence of a crisis.

John Kwok · 20 July 2008

For a typical example as to what one ought to expect from a "journalist" of Suzan Mazur's caliber, I offer you this:

"ROCKEFELLER UNIVERSITY EVOLUTION SYMPOSIUM

A two-day "Evolution" symposium in May inside Rockefeller University's Buckminster Fuller dome drew a varied crowd of enthusiasts. Athough the event was gene-centered – there were some fascinating speakers, such as Roger Buick on the earliest known life on Earth (in a rock in Australia) and Ulrich Technau, a University of Vienna colleague of Gerd Mueller, on the Cnidaria and emergence of body features.

As I walked in, I noticed Eugenie Scott in the corner. She’s the director of the non-profit National Center for Science Education headquartered in California. Scott was busy typing on her laptop.

I decided to ask her some questions since I’d interviewed her colleague Kevin Padian about the "evolution debate", and he’d hung up on me. Padian was a witness at the 2005 Kitzmiller v. Dover trial on Intelligent Design.

Scott’s NCSE advises schools on what science textbooks are appropriate. And NCSE works with science organizations such as the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) and others in putting together conference speakers.

Scott told me she was at the Rockefeller symposium because she was coordinating the lecture that night by University of Chicago biologist Jerry Coyne, who she billed as "the recipient of an Award of Excellence and Meritorious Service from the Illinois Public Defender Association and a John Simon Guggenheim Foundation Fellowship, among other honors".

Coyne’s talk was titled: "Feeding and Gloating for More: The Challenge of the New Creationism".

Coyne investigates origin of species from a genetics perspective. He’s a pal of Selfish Gene author Richard Dawkins. Prior to the symposium, Coyne had asked me not to contact him for future quotes because I told him I didn’t need his comment on the Newman & Bhat self-organization paper.

When I introduced myself to Eugenie Scott, who was unfamiliar with my stories on evolution, I asked her what she thought about self-organization and why self-organization was not represented in the books NCSE was promoting?

She responded that people confuse self-organization with Intelligent Design and that is why NCSE has not been supportive.

I then asked her why she had as an NCSE board director someone from the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints-funded Brigham Young University, and suggested that maybe NCSE should reorganize the board.

Scott objected to the comment and returned to her laptop.

At that point I noticed Rockefeller University President, Sir Paul Nurse tip-toe into the dome. I’d been wanting to speak with him as well. I’d emailed some of my evolution stories to him, but received no response.

I finally got the opportunity to chat following lunch, when the elevator in the cafeteria went up to the 8th floor by mistake and Paul Nurse appeared as the door opened. He said he’d never received the stories – although his secretary told me she’d printed out my email and put it on his desk – and that I should try sending them again, which I did by snail mail.

We had another conversation later that day just before the Coyne lecture during which he agreed that a public television roundtable on evolution was a good idea but that Pfizer had sponsored his Charlie Rose science series and he no longer had Pfizer as a sponsor.

Several days later, Paul Nurse’s assistant called me to confirm they’d received my articles in hard copy and she was sure I’d get a call from Nurse after his return on May 16th. When I did not hear from him, I followed up with a phone call requesting an interview but as yet I’ve not received a call back.

Since the Rockefeller conference did not include speakers on self-organization, I took the opportunity to quizz Harvard’s Andrew Knoll from the floor following his talk. I asked him if he was aware of Stuart Newman’s hypothesis that all 35 animal phyla self-organized at the time of the Cambrian explosion a half billion years ago without a genetic recipe, with natural selection following as a stabilizer. There was a bit of a rustle in the audience.

Knoll had just finished covering life on the Precambrian Earth and had taken the opposite, that is, natural selection perspective. He said he was not familiar with Newman’s paper and insisted: "No, it’s natural selection every step of the way." Knoll avoided eye contact with me for the rest of the event.

Washington University Earth scientist Roger Buick told me during the cocktail hour that I’d upset the argument Knoll had just carefully delivered.

But not everyone was upset. I got a tap on the back from Gerry Peretz, the brother of New Republic’s Marty Peretz who said he was a former student in Stuart Newman’s lab. He asked me if I’d like to have lunch.

So we talked. He was careful not to disclose any lab secrets, said he liked Newman and thought he was a superb scientist, although he found his politics a bit too progressive – that Newman had been the darling of Rolling Stone at one point.

It may have been a 2004 Mother Jones article Peretz was referring to about Newman’s attempt to patent a part human, part animal chimera to highlight the dangers of the commercialization and industrialization of organisms, which he fears will ultimately include humans.

The Jerry Coyne address left many speechless – but for the wrong reasons. Why was Coyne preaching about Creationism to a highly educated, largely non-religious audience of scientists on Manhattan’s Upper East Side? Didn’t Coyne know New York Magazine ran a "God is Dead" cover decades ago and that churches in Manhattan have turned around in real estate deals for more than 30 years?

Coyne, dressed down in jeans for the talk, and anticipating confrontation, did not to take many questions from the floor. So people moved to the stage to engage him before he could exit.

He was not happy to see me. His mouth was white and parched from speaking and he looked like he needed a beer. Nevertheless, he was cordial.

When I questioned his comment in the speech about natural selection (he said he was aware of 300 examples but didn’t have time to describe them), and reminded him that even his pal Richard Dawkins said we need a theory of form – Coyne defended his friend, suggesting that Dawkins did not have self-organization in mind. . ."

Mazur's recollection of the symposium doesn't quite jive with either mine or Eugenie Scott's, since we were both present on both days (I believe Mazur may have been AWOL during most of the second day, which included what I regarded as the most accessible talks (for someone trained in organismal biology, like yours truly). As for Coyne's reluctance to speak, he had an excellent reason: earlier that day I had introduced myself to him and found out that he was suffering from a cold (Thanks to Bill Dembski's bizarre "tribute" to him at Uncommon Dissent, I recognized Coyne immediately.). It's really a shame that Mazur's treatment of the symposium missed most of the interesting talks that were presented (While she was waiting to speak to Coyne after his talk Thursday night, she introduced me to Stuart Pivar, who happens to be a mutual friend of a friend of mine working at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Pivar struck me as the most conceited alumnus from Brooklyn Tech that I've met, though maybe his "conceit" was in jest, after he learned the identity of my high school alma mater.).

Regards,

John (aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

Mike Elzinga · 20 July 2008

John Kwok said: Dear Mike, I wish I could agree completely with your analysis of Suzan Mazur: However, I know she's fully capable of discussing archaeology credibly, as she has done on more than one occasion. Surely if she claims to present similar expertise in evolutionary biology, then she ought to start presenting it. Isn't it a riot that she's acting like a typical IDiot lurking here at Panda's Thumb: she makes some terse comment and then disappears. Regards, John
John, It may be the case that she is at least partially familiar with some areas of science. As I mentioned in my reply to iml8, it appears to me that Mazur has neither the context nor conceptual framework to deal with the issues in this conference. I would think that journalistic integrity would caution someone not to attempt to report on things for which one has no comprehension rather than to bluff having knowledge sufficient to critique such things. One has to wonder what she thinks she is doing here.

DaveH · 20 July 2008

bigbang said: ... I don’t unquestioningly accept and espouse the pan-selectionist conviction that all of life is the result of a Darwinian directionless and ultimately purposeless evolution by RM+NS. However, the reality is, as Massimo noted in his blog: “scientific theories never stay the same for long, because scientists discover new facts about the natural world, and they consequently update their theories.” ... Behe does seem to suggest that the Darwinian belief that RM+NS can explain all of evolution is shortsighted.
So; Pigliucci et al, Behe and Bigbang are all agreed. RM+NS does not explain all of evolution. Instead of complaining that the ToE is incomplete, I challenge bigbang to state what other mechanisms he/she thinks are involved, and what data support his/her position. An old book that says "Goddidit" does not count, for obvious reasons. His/her assertions that if you don't believe that "Goddidit" then you don't believe in a god (see Panda's Thumb threads passim, ad nauseam) are also inadmissable, as irrelevant. Irreducible complexity? I doubt s/he'd have the chutzpa to try that one round here. Come on, Bigbang. Either hypothesis and any supporting data, or GO AWAY. DaveH PS. @iml8; "I recall reading the chapter “A Garden Enclosed” on the ecology of fig wasps in CLIMBING MOUNT IMPROBABLE and I swear I had my mouth hanging open all the while." But I bet you didn't pop a nice ripe fig into your gape! I don't think I've eaten a fresh fig since I saw some video on a David Attenborough programme once...DH.

iml8 · 20 July 2008

Mike Elzinga said: As I mentioned in my reply to iml8, it appears to me that Mazur has neither the context nor conceptual framework to deal with the issues in this conference. I would think that journalistic integrity would caution someone not to attempt to report on things for which one has no comprehension rather than to bluff having knowledge sufficient to critique such things.
Poking around on Kaufmann also shows that suggesting he has any belief in "overthrowing" Darwin has little basis in what he's actually saying:
While it may sound as if "order for free" is a serious challenge to Darwinian evolution, it's not so much that I want to challenge Darwinism and say that Darwin was wrong. I don't think he was wrong at all. I have no doubt that natural selection is an overriding, brilliant idea and a major force in evolution, but there are parts of it that Darwin couldn't have gotten right.
The Wrights didn't know how to build a supersonic cruise air superiority fighter? As Miles Davis would put it: "So what?!" Science is a successive approximation process -- the approximation of reality that Darwin had was not as close as the one we have today, which will not be as close as the one we will have tomorrow. But Darwin was by no means a backwards step in the succession. This is why I am patient with Kauffman: he may be hard to understand but he's no dummy. Certainly he deserves to be cited in a even-handed fashion -- and not be cited favorably when his remarks are convenient to an argument, with his less convenient remarks either ignored or dismissed, without any basis in evidence, as contrived or coerced. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite

Richard Simons · 20 July 2008

bigbang At the risk of blaspheming Darwinian dogma, I’ll say it again: the reality is that evolution by RM+NS is an incomplete theory.
Why do you keep bleating on about this? Could you give a citation to any evolutionary biologist who has claimed otherwise in the past 50 years? The reason people assume you are a creationist is because you have been behaving in a typical creationist manner, claiming that the theory of evolution (which you seem to misunderstand) does not explain everything while being unable to give an example of exactly what it does not explain, and also failing to present any alternative hypothesis.

John Kwok · 20 July 2008

Dear Mike, I find myself in complete agreement here:
Mike Elzinga said:
John Kwok said: Dear Mike, I wish I could agree completely with your analysis of Suzan Mazur: However, I know she's fully capable of discussing archaeology credibly, as she has done on more than one occasion. Surely if she claims to present similar expertise in evolutionary biology, then she ought to start presenting it. Isn't it a riot that she's acting like a typical IDiot lurking here at Panda's Thumb: she makes some terse comment and then disappears. Regards, John
John, It may be the case that she is at least partially familiar with some areas of science. As I mentioned in my reply to iml8, it appears to me that Mazur has neither the context nor conceptual framework to deal with the issues in this conference. I would think that journalistic integrity would caution someone not to attempt to report on things for which one has no comprehension rather than to bluff having knowledge sufficient to critique such things. One has to wonder what she thinks she is doing here.
Mazur has a rather simple - and quite sophomoric - agenda which is consistent with that of Denyse O'Leary, Casey Luskin, Bill Dembski, and their fellow Discovery Institute mendacious intellectual pornographers. She wishes to demonstrate that there is indeed a "crisis" in evolutionary biology that's been created because there is no "good theory" of evolution that exists now. I greatly regret that she has chosen not to demonstrate the same high quality "journalistic integrity" which I have seen from other, far more credible, scientific journalists like Carl Zimmer and Cornelia Dean. Regards, John

Lew · 20 July 2008

bigbang said: At the risk of blaspheming Darwinian dogma, I’ll say it again: the reality is that evolution by RM+NS is an incomplete theory.
It's good you're around to remind us of the inadequacies of our dogmas. But who's helping to remind you about yours?
Regarding whether anything is truly random, think of it this way: probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.
Are you claiming that all processes are deterministic and we're just not smart enough to quantify them? That there is no such thing as probabilistic effects in the universe? This would be a new idea, I think, in the History of Ideas. As I think about it now, it's clear that the universe and everything in it is part of a giant machine, with an uncountable number of microscopic gears and levers, and something (should "something" be capitalized?) engages the levers at the just the right time, and turns on and off the tiny motors, causing interactions between subatomic particles, and creates reality in matter and energy, in the aggregate all the way up to cosmological scales. It's kind of like this really powerful computer, more powerful than we can even imagine, so we probably ought not to try. Thanks for the insight!

Eric Finn · 20 July 2008

Olegt, a nice post, stating a few fundamental principles regarding scientific knowledge.
olegt said: There is no complete scientific theory, [...]
Luskin et al. may have problems with this fact. As you pointed out, the incopleteness of a scientific theory does not mean that it is totally wrong and useless.
Lastly, there are things that, as far as we know, are truly random. Uncertainty associated with quantum measurements are not of the classical, ignorance-related type.
This is indeed a strong and fundamental result of quantum mechanics, the experimental verification of which is only 20+ years old (I am referring to local hidden variable theories, put forth as an alternative explanation). Biological systems are very complex. We do not currently have a mathematical model to describe evolution from "first principles". Mike Elzinga discussed some aspects of complexity in a previous post (11:53 AM).

Suzan Mazur: Scientists agree that natural selection can occur. But the scientific community has known for some time that natural selection has nothing to do with evolution. It also knows that self-organization is real, that is, matter can form without a genetic recipe – like the snowflake (non-living). It does this without external guidance.

Might there be even a remote possibility that biological structures form according to more or less well known internal and external interactions, just like snowflakes? Regards Eric

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 20 July 2008

Mike Elzinga said: I see a fairly new fundamental misconception and misrepresentation on the part of the ID/Creationists in the making here: any new ideas that attempt to extrapolate what we have learned from the effects of emergent phenomena on evolving physical systems to complex biological systems is being misrepresented as throwing out some of the major ideas that have operated successfully since Darwin.
It is even more funny IMO when one considers that chemistry is emergent on particle physics. Moreover, I'm reading Murray Gell-Mann's "The Quark and The Jaguar", where he makes some points on what makes some sciences more fundamental than others. One has to specify constraints on the more fundamental theory in order to describe (or possibly even derive some of) the emergent system, or some aspects of it. But that doesn't invalidate the emergent theory. For example, that chemistry isn't applicable in the fusion core of stars doesn't make it invalid as a derivation from particle physics. The same goes for biology - that, say, autocatalytic systems doesn't cover all of evolutionary phenomena neither invalidate Kauffman's ideas there, nor evolution.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 20 July 2008

Elf Eye said: bigbang: “Ultimately and unavoidably everyone has a world view that boils down to either a purposeful universe and life resulting from an intelligent first cause, or to a purposeless universe and life resulting from a random, meaningless event, a product of some sort of infinite, eternal multiverse...." Either-or fallacy. The laws of physics and biology may not give meaning to the universe, but that does not mean that one's life must be purposeless.
Other either-or fallacies here are assuming that evolution is a random as opposed to evolutionary process (with such emergent systems as the Altenberg workshop discussed) or that cosmology is all about eternal universes or multiverses. But then all of creationism is based on that type of reasoning, either crackpot creationism is correct or (a narrow strawman of) science is correct. If there was a third option for a fundamentalist or crackpot, he wouldn't have to be one.

iml8 · 20 July 2008

DaveH said: But I bet you didn't pop a nice ripe fig into your gape! I don't think I've eaten a fresh fig since I saw some video on a David Attenborough programme once...DH.
Oh, what's wrong with a little protein in the diet? White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Stanton · 20 July 2008

DaveH said: PS. @iml8; "I recall reading the chapter “A Garden Enclosed” on the ecology of fig wasps in CLIMBING MOUNT IMPROBABLE and I swear I had my mouth hanging open all the while." But I bet you didn't pop a nice ripe fig into your gape! I don't think I've eaten a fresh fig since I saw some video on a David Attenborough programme once...DH.
Evolutionarily speaking, one can think of a fig as being a mulberry that has turned itself inside-out as a result of developing such an intimate relationship with its pollinator. However, I think it's because figs can have their seeds dispersed by just about any animal, save for pigeons and ants, that eat them is the main reason why fig trees have a world-wild distribution.

Stanton · 20 July 2008

iml8 said:
DaveH said: But I bet you didn't pop a nice ripe fig into your gape! I don't think I've eaten a fresh fig since I saw some video on a David Attenborough programme once...DH.
Oh, what's wrong with a little protein in the diet? White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
The Food and Drug Administration allows one ounce of fruit fly material in every gallon of ketchup.

Frank J · 20 July 2008

Thanks Frank. Unfortunately I’m unable return the compliment...

— bigbang
I'm not after compliments. But answering the questions I asked above would have been appreciated.

BTW, I doubt Behe believes or has suggested, that, as you say, “connecting the dots,” is a “waste of time,”..

— bigbang
If he doesn't believe that, it's rather odd that he has not attempted any dot connecting, and has even backpedaled a bit since hinting how and when that design was actuated. As for a quote to that effect, Dembski had the famous one, and to my knowledge Behe never criticized it.

Frank J · 20 July 2008

Can you imagine the ground swell of dismay and betrayal that may already be building amongst the True Believers in this country when a significant number of them realize how badly they have been scammed?

— Paul Burnett
My impression is that the True Believers (those who would not admit evolution under any circumstances) would mostly react with "thank you sir, may I have another." From what I can tell, though, that's less than half of their audience, which includes those who bought into sound bites like "the jury's still out" or "it's only fair to teach the strengths and weaknesses." That group would not appreciate it, but also would not want to advertise having been scammed. So that may be silently progressing, but too early to be reflected in the polls. The cool reaction to "Expelled" may be some evidence of it.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 20 July 2008

Mike Elzinga said: I find Kauffman interesting although not really very clear. Hand waving is a pretty good description of his arguments. However, some of his ideas are worth thinking about. He is not an engineer or physicist, but a philosopher who has entered this area. He exhibits some of the standard misconceptions about entropy in that he confounds spatial arrangements of matter with the multiplicity of energy states, but he seems to be conscious about not pressing this too far (I suspect he is still confused and doesn’t know where to go with it).
I appreciate that this thread has spawned a discussion on Kauffman, which I have wanted to analyze and have placed on my reading list. What I have learned so far by bits and pieces on the web raises several questions. For example his insistence on life to be a thermodynamic machine. (An excellent formulation, though.) Seems to me that Szostak type replicators can evolve under some conditions without necessarily adopting a metabolism. Likewise it is difficult to imagine from my spurious 'analysis' of metabolism that cells necessarily are close to self-organized criticality. It is a way to get self-organized systems to have interesting spatial behavior. But it isn't certain evolution, the ultimate tinkerer, has managed or bothered to optimize. It needs to be tested. [Btw, AFAIU here is where selection comes in for Kauffman, and why I think he assumes it as a controlling principle.] And then there is his TD 4th law proposal... More on that another time, perhaps.
Mike Elzinga said: The other difficulty with his lines of research is that the scaling laws he comes up with are not unique to any of his toy models. Many phenomena can lead to the same behavior, and this means that just discovering that a complex system exhibits such scaling laws (e.g., power-law behavior) doesn’t give any clue about the details of underlying mechanisms.
Further, IIRC Cosma Shalizi on his blog criticizes many or all power-law results on statistical grounds, that such claims are improperly derived and tested. I believe he demonstrated that simple exponential distributions can give better fits over wide ranges of observational data. It gave me the impression that power-law claims are weak or unsubstantiated, and often derives from just so fractal speculations of "fractalists".

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 20 July 2008

jkc said:
bigbang said: Regarding whether anything is truly random, think of it this way: probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.
This is an erudite sounding aphorism, but nonetheless wrong, or at best misleading. Probabilities are based on real data, regardless of whether we understand the reasons why things happen.
It looks to me like a definition of subjective bayesianism, the evil philosophical twin of objective bayesianism. Suffice to say that the ensemble definition of probabilities, as a way of quantifying our knowledge (of stochastic processes), is the overarching statistical method in science. What is ironic is that objective bayesianism, a method of learning from observational data, is both how the evolutionary process builds it own knowledge of the environment and AFAIU an excellent method to derive hypotheses of phylogenetic trees in biology. How a creationut wants to include such concepts in his strawman attack on common knowledge seems to be beyond comprehension. Except, of course, that he could care less for the actual discussion it leads to. As for randomness, I adopt Frank J's strategy for dealing with pseudoscientists. I use to ask them what exactly they mean with "random". Is it equiprobability, stochasticity, variation of contingency, path dependence of contingency, pseudorandomness, deterministic chaos initial condition dependency, broken symmetries, et cetera, et cetera. Usually they simply don't know - a crackpot is most often a victim of his own genuine incompetence.

Stacy S. · 20 July 2008

John Kwok said: You and I were both born in the same year, though thankfully I DO NOT SHARE your birth date.
Happy Birthay John. :-)

Saddlebred · 20 July 2008

hey all u Darwinian tards!!!11!!! didn't u know that scientific theory can easily be overthrown by feel-good soundbites? omg duhhhh!!! have u never read how science really works? we vote on it, if u didn't know that!!!11!!!!one!!!!omfgBBQone!!!!11!!! thats how science works....I guess those fancy things u call doctorates mean only what u think they mean!!! I will pray for you!

Stanton · 20 July 2008

Saddlebred said: hey all u Darwinian tards!!!11!!! didn't u know that scientific theory can easily be overthrown by feel-good soundbites? omg duhhhh!!! have u never read how science really works? we vote on it, if u didn't know that!!!11!!!!one!!!!omfgBBQone!!!!11!!! thats how science works....I guess those fancy things u call doctorates mean only what u think they mean!!! I will pray for you!
I must thank you for succinctly summing up into a neat, tidy pellet all of the talking points of William Dembski, Casey Luskin, and Salvador Cordova have ever excreted (and ever will).

Henry J · 20 July 2008

Freelurker 7/20/08 5:34 AM iml8 said: “A recent international conference on frontiers in aerospace […]

Very nicely done. As an engineer myself, I encourage people who are arguing in favor of science to make valid comparisons between science and engineering. Many people have noticed that a relatively high percentage of the followers of the ID Movement are engineers and technicians. But few people have recognized that this is problematic for the leaders of the movement (almost none of whom are engineers themselves.) The IDM feeds on ignorance, and many of the IDM followers are not ignorant of engineering. Is that percentage over all followers of the movement, or over the more highly vocal members of it? Henry

Mike Elzinga · 20 July 2008

Likewise it is difficult to imagine from my spurious ‘analysis’ of metabolism that cells necessarily are close to self-organized criticality. It is a way to get self-organized systems to have interesting spatial behavior. But it isn’t certain evolution, the ultimate tinkerer, has managed or bothered to optimize. It needs to be tested.

Oh, I am sure that evolution doesn’t necessarily “optimize” (certainly not in the sense that physicists, engineers and mathematicians mean that word). What falls out after the contingencies of selection on top of the contingencies of evolutionary development may be pretty sloppy, yet works well enough to survive for a time. The real issue seems to be whether or not the ideas of self-organized criticality that work in many toy models and seem to describe the behaviors of a number of relatively complex physical or economic systems really get at the essence of what is going on in living cells. Many of these models simply don’t have anything to do with physics and chemistry; the models being nothing more than a set of rules governing how the constituents of a system interact with each other to produce subsequent behavior and evolution of the system. Now, it’s not that the physics and chemistry (and thermodynamics,) couldn’t be subsumed under such rules. It might turn out, for example, that the rules could be analogous to the symmetries in physics that lead to conservation laws (e.g., ignorable coordinates in a Hamiltonian or Lagrangian, or space, or time, or rotational symmetries). But making up rules to see what emerges in the behaviors of complex systems seems to be a backwards approach. Since many of these microscopic toy models have very nearly indistinguishable behaviors at the macroscopic level (even though we do in fact see such behaviors in real, complex systems), doesn’t seem to give us much of a clue as to how integrate the physics and chemistry. The main justification for such an approach seems to be, in my opinion, to have gained some experience with these kinds of models and leave open the possibility that the more bottom up approaches (those that use the chemistry and physics and also what we have learned from Darwin and natural selection on living systems) will fall under one of these sets of rules. It would be a little like having the mathematicians’ efforts suddenly finding unexpected applications in the sciences and engineering after someone recognizes a connection. Have research going on several fronts. It’s a natural process in science; have a rich, diverse set of ideas being worked on that will explore more possibilities and evolve in sometimes unexpected ways, hopefully toward a deeper understanding of complex living systems. In fact, we want just such a system in science as the systems these research questions are attempting to understand.

Saddlebred · 20 July 2008

Stanton said: I must thank you for succinctly summing up into a neat, tidy pellet all of the talking points of William Dembski, Casey Luskin, and Salvador Cordova have ever excreted (and ever will).
I could be more insincere, then maybe you will give me DaveScot also =P.

Stanton · 20 July 2008

Saddlebred said:
Stanton said: I must thank you for succinctly summing up into a neat, tidy pellet all of the talking points of William Dembski, Casey Luskin, and Salvador Cordova have ever excreted (and ever will).
I could be more insincere, then maybe you will give me DaveScot also =P.
I wouldn't know: I have the terrible, uh, misfortune of never having read any of Davescot's postings, as, presuming that Dembskin, Luskin and Cordova are as bad as they are outside of their blogs, I try to avoid going to Uncommon Descent for the exact same reasons I try to avoid spicing my food with medicinal iodine.

PvM · 21 July 2008

bigbang said: At the risk of blaspheming Darwinian dogma, I’ll say it again: the reality is that evolution by RM+NS is an incomplete theory.
Duh, even Darwin realized that selection was not the only relevant mechanism of evolution. Geez...

Stanton · 21 July 2008

PvM said: Duh, even Darwin realized that selection was not the only relevant mechanism of evolution. Geez...
People like bigbangBigot are totally obsessed with mocking those people who do not adhere to their own flavor of stupidity, and can not be concerned with pathetic little details like that. It's a condition that is typical of all those who are supportive of Intelligent Design "theory."

Ravilyn Sanders · 21 July 2008

Stanton said: The Food and Drug Administration allows one ounce of fruit fly material in every gallon of ketchup.
It also allows a maximum of 20 (twenty) maggots of any size for every 100g of mushrooms.

iml8 · 21 July 2008

Ravilyn Sanders said: It also allows a maximum of 20 (twenty) maggots of any size for every 100g of mushrooms.
OK, I've had enough! I'm not going to read PT before I eat any more! White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

John Kwok · 21 July 2008

Hi Stacy, Your many months late. I'm a January baby:
Stacy S. said:
John Kwok said: You and I were both born in the same year, though thankfully I DO NOT SHARE your birth date.
Happy Birthay John. :-)
I actually share the same date of the month - if not month or year - as Kenneth R. Miller, which found out only recently. As for Bill Dembski's sharing the same year as me, all I can say is, "Good Grief". Thanks, John

Helen M nanney · 21 July 2008

* “Scientists who go about teaching that evolution is a fact of life are great con-men, and the story they are telling may be the greatest hoax ever. In explaining evolution, we do not have one iota of fact.” Dr. T. N. Tahmisian (Atomic Energy Commission), The Fresno Bee, August 20, 1959.

* “Scientists concede that their most cherished theories are based on embarrassingly few fossil fragments and that huge gaps exist in the fossil record.” Time magazine, Nov. 7, 1977.

* “As by this theory, innumerable transitional forms must have existed. Why do we not find them embedded in the crust of the earth?” Charles Darwin, Evolution or Creation, p.139.

* “If pressed about man's ancestry, I would have to unequivocally say that all we have is a huge question mark.” Richard Leakey, paleo-anthropologist.

Helen M nanney · 21 July 2008

What if You are Wrong? What then?
Blasting Christians is not going to give you your answers on life and your place in it.

Evolution and Science
If evolution is science then it has to have a principle. If it has a principle then scientists should be able to work out the solution. It is a law of cause and effect. There is no chance in principle. It is exact law the same rule applies to the laws of numbers, and music. They are an exact science and when the rules are applied, there is a solution. There is no theory in principle.

The universe is a perfect organization of celestial bodies all working together to support each others existence. They have an exact order to their place in the universe. There hasto be a Principle to support the design of all things or else they would cease to exist. Now after saying that, believe
what you want, till the day you return to your source, which I assume you believe is dust. Since dust has no intelligence, what then?

Has any source of evolution ever spoken to your thought?
Have you ever had answered prayer and received concrete
answers from any object of evolution? If critics think millions of Christians are so stupid as to believe in something they have no viable reason to think exists they are way out in left field and the game has been over a long time.

There are millions of reclaimed lives, biblical prophicies have already nearly all of them come to pass. I never had any concrete evidence there was a God for many years. I kept searching and searching, and searching for answers. As I began to understand the nature of God, He was able to reach my thought so loud as if talking face to face. So loud, I could not ignore His call to write my book about His identity. He is so far more then the man image so many talk about. He is not our dust, darkness, nor is He in our disruptive way of life.

God is divine principle, all science. Assuming He has created all,then there is nothing in His creation out side of His science,or divine principle. I say divine, for it is eternal Life, eternal Love. He is not outside of His creation. His creation is inside of His eternal, all encompassing knowledge.

Helen M nanney · 21 July 2008

I would be honored to have a link on your site.
key words: ID vs Darwin. Bible research,
www.journey-book.com

Henry J · 21 July 2008

What if You are Wrong? What then?

When a hypothesis is wrong, research will hopefully uncover evidence of that at some point, at which time scientists will then revise their conclusions. To dump conclusions that work at the present time, simply because they might be disproved by additional evidence tomorrow, is not a productive use of one's time or effort. Henry

SWT · 21 July 2008

@ Helen M nanney:

You seem to be buying in to a false dichotomy.

Check out Kenneth Miller, Francis Collins, and Theodosius Dohzhansky. They are (or were ... Dobzhanky is no longer alive) all Christians, all biologists, and all accept (or accepted) evolutionary theory as the best explanation for the observed diversity of life on earth.

Stanton · 21 July 2008

Ms Nanney,

To abandon sound science such as Evolutionary Biology simply because one is afraid it may or may not insult God simply because reality does not mesh with a literal interpretation of the Bible is the nadir of stupidity.

Furthermore, evolutionary biologists do not worship "evolution" in order to find answers. THEY STUDY EVIDENCE.

Please explain and demonstrate, in detail, exactly how prayer is necessary for scientific research.

Mike Elzinga · 21 July 2008

It appears that Helen M. Nanney will have to contact Philip Bruce Heywood and battle out their “scientific” differences.

Heywood thinks that “superconduction” plus the Earth, Moon, Sun gravitational system communicates information to atoms. Ms. Nanney seems to think water communicates her god to all the cells of the body.

A “Dialogue Concerning These Two New Systems” might be quite interesting.

bigbang · 21 July 2008

Finn says: “This is indeed a strong and fundamental result of quantum mechanics [that things are truly random].”

.

It’s only when we attempt a “measurement” in QM that this annoying randomness (ignorance) seems to surface. (The wave function itself is deterministic.)

Consider that while Brownian motion may look random, it’s merely chaotic; and unpredictable only b/c you don’t know the initial conditions.

Or think of it this way: You may not know which of Monty Hall’s three doors the prize is behind, but Monty knows. Randomness is typically (I’m persuaded always) an illusion; ignorance, OTOH, abounds.

Nothing wrong with ignorance, except that so many refuse to acknowledge and/or honestly and rigorously quantify their own----e.g. when Stein asks uber-Darwinian Dawkins in Expelled how he knows that the probability that there’s no God is 99.9% rather than say maybe 49%. (Of course Dawkins knows there's no God b/c Darwinism tells him so, as it does most genuine, hardcore Darwinians.)

iml8 · 21 July 2008

Helen M nanney said: If evolution is science then it has to have a principle. If it has a principle then scientists should be able to work out the solution. It is a law of cause and effect. There is no chance in principle. It is exact law the same rule applies to the laws of numbers, and music. They are an exact science and when the rules are applied, there is a solution. There is no theory in principle.
This person wrote an entire book that reads like this? White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

Larry Boy · 21 July 2008

Since this is (presumably) your first time posting to this site, I will answer your questions this once.
If evolution is science then it has to have a principle. If it has a principle then scientists should be able to work out the solution. It is a law of cause and effect. There is no chance in principle.
You are using words very queerly here, so it is difficult to understand what you are getting at, however, I believe we can cut this entire line of argument off at the knees with three quick observations. 1st: The scientific method requires that an idea must be articulate enough to make predictions. If this "must have a principle" line of argument is to be accepted into a scientific debate, then the "must have a principle" theory must make predictions. It is all fine and dandy to absolutely positively know something is true(TM) for what ever reason you like, but to convince other people of your correctness you should make reference to empirical facts which support your conclusion. Logical arguments are all fine and dandy, but they must be of the form Darwinian evolution necessarily implies a) evolution with a principle necessarily implies b), since b) then evolution with a principle. So tell us how evolution with a principle would look different from evolution without a principle. What are the implications for patterns of cladogenisis? Perhaps evolution with a principle would disallow atrophy. Perhaps it would make certain claims about motion in morphospace. Make a testable claim. Man up. 2nd: There is an interesting sub-text of determinism in this argument. Again it is difficult to tell what you are saying because you butcher the English language, but statements like "There is no change in principle" and "It is a law of cause and effect" imply some form of determinism. It is (currently) accepted by most physicist that the universe does not operate in a deterministic fassion. In other words there are no sufficient causes in reality. No effect always follows any given causes. Relationships are statistical. Now, you do not have to accept this finding, but if you reject it, your time would be much better spent hunting for an alternative to the standard model in physics. Go bother string theorist for a change. Darwinian evolution is actually compatible with physical determinism, so objections that the universe must be deterministic really have no bearing on Darwinian models of evolution. (There are of course exact laws of evolution, Google "The exact form of the price equation" which is of course exact in the first place, but I digress.) 3rd and finally, we see that your argument most certainly involves an ontological argument of a form similar to Avicenna's. You say "There has to be a Principle to support the design of all things or else they would cease to exist." We see immediately that this argument makes no assertions whatsoever about the form of things that do actually exist. In other words, if something can exist, then it must be due to some principle. So you must demonstrate that something a) cannot be due to any principle, or b) that it does not exist. You have made neither of these arguments with regards to Darwinian evolution. Why is it impossible for Darwinian evolution to be due to a principle? I would have thought the principle of phenotypic diffusion and the principle of natural selection would have been excellent principles. Furthermore, the entire ontological argument you advance has been quite thoroughly advocated by competent philosophers who you make no reference to. You would do a greater serves to both your self and humanity by taking a scholarly intrest in ontological arguments. Read them, learn, and then come back and post again. Failure to demonstrate knowledge of the vast and rich history of the ontological argument argues strongly for an equal ignorance of the vast and rich history of mistakes, fallacies, or counter-arguments to various ontological arguments. If you cannot be convinced by the luminaries who have criticized these arguments then I have no business trying to convince you of anything.

Frank J · 21 July 2008

@ Helen M nanney: You seem to be buying in to a false dichotomy. Check out Kenneth Miller, Francis Collins, and Theodosius Dohzhansky.

— SWT
Since I started lurking here, on Talk.Origins, etc. 10 years ago, I have not once heard someone like Helen reply with something like: "Oops, I sure was misinformed. Thanks for the information." They either go away, or dig it deeper. But I keep hoping.

stevaroni · 21 July 2008

Greg writes... This person wrote an entire book that reads like this?

Sadly, apparently yes. Not only that, but at this very moment, they're probably sitting back smirking, quite convinced that they've won the argument with a stunning show of luminary vision.

iml8 · 21 July 2008

stevaroni said: Sadly, apparently yes.
In a way it would be highly effective. After reading through a whole volume of prose like that, I'd be so stupefied I'd believe anything. I suppose it beats Archimedes Plutonium. Anybody out there who remembers Arky from the 1990s? Trying to read his stuff wasn't stupefying, it was like a dose of seriously dangerous recreational drugs. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

iml8 · 21 July 2008

Frank J said: But I keep hoping.
There are a few Glenn Mortons out there. There is some cause for hope. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

Freelurker · 21 July 2008

Henry J said: [...] Is that percentage over all followers of the movement, or over the more highly vocal members of it? Henry
Personally, I wouldn't expect the engineers to be any more or less vocal than the others. I have a lot more to say about the relationships between engineering, science, and ID. But that would be too off-topic.

Eric Finn · 21 July 2008

bigbang said: It’s only when we attempt a “measurement” in QM that this annoying randomness (ignorance) seems to surface. (The wave function itself is deterministic.)
Well, we need to make measurements (observations included) to verify how well a given theory describes the observable reality. Quantum Mechanics (QM) is a theory that predicts outcomes of certain types of experiments. The statistical nature of QM introduces randomness to the outcomes of individual quantum events. We may well think that the randomness is only apparent and is due to our ignorance of all the details. These kinds of approaches have been taken and they are called hidden variable theories. You may wish to have a look at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bells_Theorem It is the current understanding that quantum entanglement shows true randomness and that hidden variable theories are not capable of predicting experimental results correctly. QM is sometimes rather counter-intuitive.
bigbang said: Consider that while Brownian motion may look random, it’s merely chaotic; and unpredictable only b/c you don’t know the initial conditions.
Yes, in this case we may be dealing with ignorance-type randomness. Also, we have problems in predicting the rotational behavior of galaxies, but we are not sure if we are ignorant in our theory of gravitation, or if galaxies contain huge amounts of exotic matter, the nature of which is unknown, apart from the fact that it must be very different from the matter we are familiar with. Regards Eric

Dan · 21 July 2008

bigbang said: I don’t unquestioningly accept and espouse the pan-selectionist conviction that all of life is the result of a Darwinian directionless and ultimately purposeless evolution
You're not the first one to make this observation. In 1859, writing in the first edition of Origin of Species, Charles Darwin saya that "mere chance ... alone would never account for so habitual and large an amount of difference as that between varieties of the same species and species of the same genus" (page 111). Richard Dawkins makes the same point in his 1986 book The Blind Watchmaker, where he concludes a long and delightful explanation (chapter 3, page 49) by pointing out that "This belief, that Darwinian evolution is 'random', is not merely false. It is the exact opposite of the truth. Chance is a minor ingredient in the Darwinian recipe, but the most important ingredient is cumulative selection which is quintessentially non-random." Why do so many people share the misconception that evolution is a random, directionless process, even after distinguished and literate scientists from Darwin to Dawkins have labored for nearly a century and a half to dispel it? Please, bigbang, let us know!

Henry J · 21 July 2008

QM is sometimes rather counter-intuitive.

Well, so are atomic theory, plate tectonics, special (and general) relativity, germ theory, Earth orbiting the sun, round Earth for people who can't see the ocean, big bang, and probably some others, as well as the wave-particle duality, uncertainty principle, and quantum entanglement aspects of QM.

Why do so many people share the misconception that evolution is a random, directionless process,

Beats me. Certainly the various types of selection use random variations as their raw material, but then there's a feedback between the two. I wonder if the feedback part of it might be what lots of people don't get? Positive feedback would tend to produce new stuff, negative feedback would tend to maintain the status quo. (And of course neutral changes would have no feedback, they'd just accumulate, er, randomly. Or maybe I shouldn't have said that?) Henry

Dale Husband · 22 July 2008

Dan said:
bigbang said: I don’t unquestioningly accept and espouse the pan-selectionist conviction that all of life is the result of a Darwinian directionless and ultimately purposeless evolution
You're not the first one to make this observation. In 1859, writing in the first edition of Origin of Species, Charles Darwin saya that "mere chance ... alone would never account for so habitual and large an amount of difference as that between varieties of the same species and species of the same genus" (page 111). Richard Dawkins makes the same point in his 1986 book The Blind Watchmaker, where he concludes a long and delightful explanation (chapter 3, page 49) by pointing out that "This belief, that Darwinian evolution is 'random', is not merely false. It is the exact opposite of the truth. Chance is a minor ingredient in the Darwinian recipe, but the most important ingredient is cumulative selection which is quintessentially non-random." Why do so many people share the misconception that evolution is a random, directionless process, even after distinguished and literate scientists from Darwin to Dawkins have labored for nearly a century and a half to dispel it? Please, bigbang, let us know!
Because of pathological liars like bigbang himself.

Bjoern · 22 July 2008

bigbang said: Finn says: “This is indeed a strong and fundamental result of quantum mechanics [that things are truly random].” . It’s only when we attempt a “measurement” in QM that this annoying randomness (ignorance) seems to surface. (The wave function itself is deterministic.)
That's vaguely right. But 1) I doubt that you actually know what is meant by "measurement" in QM, and 2) I don't understand why you say that this randomness "seems" to surface. It *does* appear, there is no "seem" there.
Consider that while Brownian motion may look random, it’s merely chaotic; and unpredictable only b/c you don’t know the initial conditions. Or think of it this way: You may not know which of Monty Hall’s three doors the prize is behind, but Monty knows.
Both have nothing to do with the randomness of QM.
Randomness is typically (I’m persuaded always) an illusion; ignorance, OTOH, abounds.
If you are persuaded of that, then you are wrong (and the reason is your ignorance about QM - so you were right at least about that: ignorace indeed abounds!) Educate yourself on "Hidden Variables", "Bell's Theorem" and the like...

John Kwok · 22 July 2008

Hi all,

In the hope of trying to get back more on topic, I am still waiting to hear from Suzan Mazur. I believe she owes us all an explanation as to why she thinks evolution doesn't have a credible theory yet; an odd accusation for someone who admits that she is an "evolution lover" and claims to be a credible scientific "journalist" (Aside from her rather absurd comments at SCOOP, I think another sign of her lack of "credibility" with respect to evolutionary biology, is the sad fact that she finds someone like Stuart Pivar to be far more "credible" than, for example, either Jerry Coyne or PZ Myers.).

Suzan, I presume you are still reading this thread. Hope to hear from you soon.

Regards,

John

fnxtr · 22 July 2008

So bigbang, does this mean Powerball is rigged by God, and She is picking the winners? How would we ever know?

iml8 · 22 July 2008

fnxtr said: So bigbang, does this mean Powerball is rigged by God, and She is picking the winners? How would we ever know?
Of course it is, silly. Since the odds of winning the lottery are so extremely low, the only way anyone could ever win is through supernatural intervention. Obvious to the meanest intelligence. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

hoary puccoon · 22 July 2008

Helen M nanney---

It's true, as you claim, that Richard Leakey said,“If pressed about man’s ancestry, I would have to unequivocally say that all we have is a huge question mark.”

But Leakey made that statement on a Walter Cronkite TV special that was recorded live in 1981!

Science doesn't work like biblical studies, Helen. Working scientists don't put much stock in quotations from famous people. A 27-year-old, off-the-cuff comment from Richard Leakey means nothing. Even if what he said was true at the time, there have been many, many discoveries in the last 27 years that have whittled down that question mark considerably. And not a single one of those discoveries has cast an iota of fundamental doubt on the theory of evolution.

Mike Elzinga · 22 July 2008

If you are persuaded of that, then you are wrong (and the reason is your ignorance about QM - so you were right at least about that: ignorace indeed abounds!) Educate yourself on “Hidden Variables”, “Bell’s Theorem” and the like…

From what I see of bigsmoke’s posts, there is not a snowball’s chance in hell that he will educate himself on anything. Nor will explaining anything to him do any good. In all the time he has been posting here, he doesn’t appear to have improved his education in any way. He seems to be primarily some kind of narcissist determined to derail threads by directing attention toward himself and then accusing others of doing what he himself is doing.

Frank J · 22 July 2008

But Leakey made that statement on a Walter Cronkite TV special that was recorded live in 1981!

— hoary puccoon
That's probably the where she got the sound bite (sight bite?). Most likely from an anti-evolution source, where such material is there solely to be taken out of context to pretend that evolution is "in crisis." I recall seeing that clip even before I knew that there was such an "industry" dedicated to misrepresenting evolution. Even then I thought it was clear that Leakey still accepted the common ancestry and the general timeline, but was worried that many nonscientists would infer otherwise.

In the hope of trying to get back more on topic, I am still waiting to hear from Suzan Mazur.

— John Kwok
Me too. Can we all promise not to "flame" her? That may be why she is hesitant to return.

bigbang · 22 July 2008

Regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out. Hello? Disappointing, but not surprising, that so many of you didn’t know that.

Google it and educate yourselves . . . on second thought, don’t bother----I’m guessing most of you could provide all kinds of data showing that Brownian motion is indeed random.

Be that as it may, the reality is that randomness isn’t provable, whereas deterministic things, OTOH….

Again, my Darwinian friends, ignorance is not necessarily a bad thing, except that so many of you seem unable to acknowledge and/or honestly quantify your own. Or stated another way, if atheists honestly assessed their ignorance, they’d be agnostics.

Larry Boy · 22 July 2008

bigbang said: Regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out. Hello? Disappointing, but not surprising, that so many of you didn’t know that.
I was going to point that out, but it really isn't ridiculously important. A refresher: You claimed that randomness was a measure of our ignorance. Posters pointed out that the commonly accepted view of QM posits that you are wrong. Some speculative theories of QM, which violate relativity, allow for non-locality (they allow for FTL propagation of events.) These theories are generally not accepted because they require non-locality. But, the point still stands that your assertion that randomness is a measure of ignorance is generally thought to be incorrect. If you wish to demonstrate that local non-hidden variable forms of QM MUST be wrong, please go right ahead.

Larry Boy · 22 July 2008

In other news, is the fact that BB made a point that was technically correct, and very nearly relevant to his point, (which was of course originally irrelevant to this discussion and everything else under the sun anyway) a result of my ignorant of physics, a random occurrence, or has BB actually learned something?

Of course, the usually arrogance, vitriol, OT-nes and trolling caveats all apply to his post.

Kevin B · 22 July 2008

Larry Boy said: In other news, is the fact that BB made a point that was technically correct, and very nearly relevant to his point, (which was of course originally irrelevant to this discussion and everything else under the sun anyway) a result of my ignorant of physics, a random occurrence, or has BB actually learned something?
I'd go with the idea that there's some sort of Uncertainty Principle that requires that BB must sometimes be less wrong than usual, otherwise we could obtain the right answers to hard problems by getting him to give us the wrong ones..... I doubt that BB understands hidden variables. My friendly neighbourhood Bohmian physicist insists that even the "proper" physicists didn't. However, I gave up trying to understand the argument when he said that the hidden variables weren't hidden. [I might have got that last bit mixed up with the physicist from Texas who was trying to do a two-slit experiment with only one slit....]

John Kwok · 22 July 2008

Hi Frank J, Thanks for these remarks:
Frank J said:

But Leakey made that statement on a Walter Cronkite TV special that was recorded live in 1981!

— hoary puccoon
That's probably the where she got the sound bite (sight bite?). Most likely from an anti-evolution source, where such material is there solely to be taken out of context to pretend that evolution is "in crisis." I recall seeing that clip even before I knew that there was such an "industry" dedicated to misrepresenting evolution. Even then I thought it was clear that Leakey still accepted the common ancestry and the general timeline, but was worried that many nonscientists would infer otherwise.

In the hope of trying to get back more on topic, I am still waiting to hear from Suzan Mazur.

— John Kwok
Me too. Can we all promise not to "flame" her? That may be why she is hesitant to return.
I'm not interested in an attempt to "flame" her. However, I wrote her two private e-mails expressing my concerns with regards her reporting on the "Altenberg 16" and evolutionary biology, and she did not reply to either one (In both I was more diplomatic than I am now, simply because she has written favorably on a friend of mine who works at the Metropolitan Museum of Art.). I still have ample respect for her writing and journalism skills, but I also recognize that she has "missed the boat" with regards to contemporary evolutionary biology. Appreciatively yours, John

Registered User · 22 July 2008

Someone up above nailed it: Luskin is a liar and pimp for his Jesus fellatin' masters.

A sad case, and a typical one. Instead of wasting time writing lengthy rebuttals to Luskin, why not simply cut Luskin off at the knees? Anyone who thinks it would be difficult to find a legal or ethical hook to pull him off the public stage (at least to the extent he relies on his ill-gotten credentials) is terribly naive.

Eric Finn · 22 July 2008

bigbang said: Regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out. Hello? Disappointing, but not surprising, that so many of you didn’t know that.
Well, I think some of them are, but not all of them. There are many more 'theories' that are not ruled out either. Typically, an alternative theory needs to produce at least one verifiable prediction that is different from the theory it is challenging. Local hidden variable theories did that. We are not going to abandon locality (i.e. the speed of light is the maximum speed to transmit causality) any time soon, because the theory of relativity has proved to be a very successful one. Do you honestly believe that your 'discovery' that there are both local and non-local hidden variable theories will impress anyone? Do you honestly believe that we were totally unaware of that and were taken by surprise? Do you honestly believe that you know all the details in any given field more accurately than anyone else? I responded politely to your post regarding one aspect of randomness. It seems to me that your latest post (1:12 PM) shows arrogance and ignorance simultaneously. I am sure this impression of mine is my failure only. Consequently, I am going to refrain myself from taking part in this conversation, which goes beyond my comprehension. Regards Eric

olegt · 22 July 2008

Theories with nonlocal hidden variables have a rather unpleasant property: they involve (you guessed it) action at a distance. That means there are things in them that can travel faster than light. Coupled with relativity that means a violation of causality. Such objects are unphysical in the sense that they can't be observed in principle (or else physics as we know it crumbles). Hidden-variable theories can get away with that because hidden variables are not supposed to be observed anyway.

One can compare a theory with nonlocal hidden variables to the YEC viewpoint that God created the world 6000 years ago and then added a perfect illusion of an old world complete with fake starlight streaming from nonexistent galaxies. Such theories are completely useless. David Bohm's quantum mechanics was constructed to give exactly the same predictions as the standard version of QM (Copenhagen version). It doesn't predict anything new, just makes things deterministic—at the expense of introducing unobservable and unphysical quantum potential. One might as well blame gremlins.

Standard quantum mechanics is a much more elegant theory. It dispenses completely with the unobservable hidden variables and boldly goes where no theory has gone before: true randomness. Bold steps are what distinguishes great theories from mediocre ones. Likewise, the aether was an integral part of Lorentz's relativity: the absolute frame was needed for calculations, but the theory was contrived so that the aether would not be detectable. Einstein took the bold step of throwing out the aether and making the time and distances changeable. Lorentz's theory makes the same predictions as Einstein's special relativity, but no one uses the former, only the latter. Why? Partly Occam's razor: the aether is unobservable, so it shouldn't figure in the equations. But there's another good reason to prefer Einstein's special relativity to Lorentz's: by dispensing with the absoluteness of time and space it prepared the ground for general relativity. I doubt that GR could ever come out of Lorentz's relativity. It was too conventional, a crutch rather than a wing.

So yes, one can stick with hidden variables, but that's a dead end.

tguy · 22 July 2008

RE: ROCKEFELLER UNIVERSITY EVOLUTION SYMPOSIUM

After reading that I'd have to say Mazur is the Perez Hilton of evolutionary biology. (Not its Nader, then again "nadir" would be the right general direction.)

tguy · 22 July 2008

I might add that this is just offensive:
I then asked [Eugenie Scott] why she had as an NCSE board director someone from the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints-funded Brigham Young University, and suggested that maybe NCSE should reorganize the board. Scott objected to the comment and returned to her laptop.
I chat with a few LDS members through an unrelated hobby, and the ones I've met accept evolution and are quite modern and pro-science in their thinking. None of them ever tried to make a major case out of my atheism, and when one expressed curiosity, we ended up agreeing to disagree. How can Mazur be so bigoted to assert that LDS membership ought to disqualify a person from science education advocacy? I thought journalists in particular were supposed to be unbiased. What a tool!

tguy · 22 July 2008

Frank J said: Can we all promise not to "flame" her? That may be why she is hesitant to return.
Oops.

John Kwok · 22 July 2008

Hi tguy,
tguy said: I might add that this is just offensive:
I then asked [Eugenie Scott] why she had as an NCSE board director someone from the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints-funded Brigham Young University, and suggested that maybe NCSE should reorganize the board. Scott objected to the comment and returned to her laptop.
I chat with a few LDS members through an unrelated hobby, and the ones I've met accept evolution and are quite modern and pro-science in their thinking. None of them ever tried to make a major case out of my atheism, and when one expressed curiosity, we ended up agreeing to disagree. How can Mazur be so bigoted to assert that LDS membership ought to disqualify a person from science education advocacy? I thought journalists in particular were supposed to be unbiased. What a tool!
Did you have to remind me of this? Had heard about it from someone else too, before I saw it here. Moreover, I know of several LDS members who've made some important contributions to our understanding of allometry and biogeography. Wish Mazur was as tolerant of them, as she is of Pivar. Regards, John

Rilke's Granddaughter · 22 July 2008

bigbang said: Regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out. Hello? Disappointing, but not surprising, that so many of you didn’t know that. Google it and educate yourselves . . . on second thought, don’t bother----I’m guessing most of you could provide all kinds of data showing that Brownian motion is indeed random. Be that as it may, the reality is that randomness isn’t provable, whereas deterministic things, OTOH…. Again, my Darwinian friends, ignorance is not necessarily a bad thing, except that so many of you seem unable to acknowledge and/or honestly quantify your own. Or stated another way, if atheists honestly assessed their ignorance, they’d be agnostics.
Since you appear to be completely ignorant of what 'randomness' means in the context of evolutionary theory, nothing that you have said means a thing. Sorry about that, old thing.

bigbang · 23 July 2008

Although non-locality might appear to be incompatible with relativity, it nevertheless emerges in entanglement and has been demonstrated experimentally. Look it up in Wiki. Again, regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out.

Be that as it may, this discussion started with Frank J’s wondering if anything is truly random, and the relevant point remains: randomness isn’t provable and probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance. If you believe that something is indeed truly “random,” it’s not based on anything that’s provable; it’s based only on your belief.

Invoking QM to argue whatever it was some of you thought you were arguing regarding your Darwinism obviously hasn’t been terribly helpful to your cause, although it has at least exposed still more of your ignorance, which is a good thing if you learn from and acknowledge it.

To those of you suggesting that the evolution of life isn’t random, purposeless, directionless, I’d probably not argue with you.

bigbang · 23 July 2008

Regarding whet "‘randomness’ means in the context of evolutionary theory," it means, essentially, ignorance, or possibly that it’s all a cosmic crapshoot, taking place within the confines of whatever environmental selection pressures happen to exist; those selection pressures being mere products resulting from whatever accidental environments/niches that happen to exist. Ultimately no purpose, no direction; only randomness and meaninglessness.

SWT · 23 July 2008

Of course the evolution of life isn't random, since selection is not random.

Dan · 23 July 2008

bigbang said: Ultimately [evolution has] no purpose, no direction; only randomness and meaninglessness.
In fact it has a direction ... toward increasing adaptation. This has been recognized for 149 years. I've already asked you how you came by your misconception, and you've refused to answer. Can you do so now?

Bjoern · 23 July 2008

bigbang said: Regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out. Hello? Disappointing, but not surprising, that so many of you didn’t know that.
Thanks, I knew that (I read quite a bit about Bohm's version of QM). But non-local hidden variable theories contradict Special Relativity (information can't travel faster than light), and hence there isn't a big chance that they are right.
Be that as it may, the reality is that randomness isn’t provable, whereas deterministic things, OTOH….
It's unclear what you exactly mean by saying that "randomness isn't provable" - but apparently "determinism is provable". Additionally, nothing in experimental science is "provable" - but the evidence surely points to QM processes indeed being random...
Again, my Darwinian friends, ignorance is not necessarily a bad thing, except that so many of you seem unable to acknowledge and/or honestly quantify your own. Or stated another way, if atheists honestly assessed their ignorance, they’d be agnostics.
Methinks you conflate several meanings of "atheism" here.

Bjoern · 23 July 2008

bigbang said: Although non-locality might appear to be incompatible with relativity, it nevertheless emerges in entanglement and has been demonstrated experimentally. Look it up in Wiki.
Thanks for making it clear to all that you got your "knowledge" about hidden variables etc. from Wikipedia, but didn't actually understand it. Yes, non-locality appears in entanglement, and that has been demonstrated experimentally. But no, non-locality on its own is not incompatible with relativity. Only non-local theories with hidden variables are incompatible with relativity. Got it now?
Again, regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out.
See the excellent remarks on that by olegt.
Be that as it may, this discussion started with Frank J’s wondering if anything is truly random, and the relevant point remains: randomness isn’t provable
And the point remains: nothing in experimental science is "provable" (but the evidence surely points to QM processes being random!). One can equally well say that determinism isn't provable!
and probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.
Hint: this is also an "unprovable" claim. But in contrast to the claim that QM processes are random, that claim of yours goes against the evidence...
If you believe that something is indeed truly “random,” it’s not based on anything that’s provable; it’s based only on your belief.
If you believe that "probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance" it's not based on anything that's provable; it's based only on your belief. See? I can play that game of yours also. The difference is only that my point of view is supported by evidence.
Invoking QM to argue whatever it was some of you thought you were arguing regarding your Darwinism obviously hasn’t been terribly helpful to your cause, although it has at least exposed still more of your ignorance, which is a good thing if you learn from and acknowledge it.
Pot. Kettle. Black.
To those of you suggesting that the evolution of life isn’t random, purposeless, directionless, I’d probably not argue with you.
The only ones saying that evolution is random are creationists. Please point out where any competent scientist ever has said that evolution is random.

Bjoern · 23 July 2008

bigbang said: Regarding whet "‘randomness’ means in the context of evolutionary theory," it means, essentially, ignorance,
Wrong. In the context of the theory of evolution, "random mutation" (note that only the mutations are random - selection isn't!) means that the mutations which occur are not directed by the environment, i. e. mutation are not "reactions" in order to deal with a change in the environment.
or possibly that it’s all a cosmic crapshoot, taking place within the confines of whatever environmental selection pressures happen to exist;
Whatever that is supposed to mean.
Ultimately no purpose, no direction; only randomness and meaninglessness.
Purpose and meaning lie in the eye of the beholder. A theistic evolutionist would probably argue that the purpose of evolution wa to produce humans (or sentient beings in general). Directionless is simply wrong. The direction is to increasing complexity.

iml8 · 23 July 2008

Bjoern said: Directionless is simply wrong. The direction is to increasing complexity.
That might be argued since we don't necessarily have a uniformly agreed-upon definition of "complexity". Is the evolution of free-living crustaceans into sessile barnacles an increase or decrease in complexity? Of course if you had a very simple ecosystem with only a few different species of various sorts, the odds are that over time new species will arise that will increase the diversity of that ecosystem, which could be thought of as an increase in complexity. I think that at root, sorting through the semantics, Darwin-bashers get upset with the fact that Darwinian evolution is "undirected" -- that is, it doesn't go in any preplanned direction, it's not like building improved marks of a fighter aircraft from "Mark I" to "Mark X" as part of a "PPI" -- "Pre-Planned Improvement" program -- it's just migrations of species to comfortable positions on the fitness landscape. In that sense they're perfectly right, it is undirected, but the response is obvious: "It moves nonetheless. Deal with it." No philosophical or ideological argument affects the material facts in the slightest. One might as well object to believing the Earth goes around the Sun, it would make as much difference, and be no less an idle bore to listen to. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

John Kwok · 23 July 2008

I just sent this e-mail to Suzan Mazur:

Dear Suzan,

I have the utmost admiration and appreciation for fellow Brunonian Cornelia Dean, a New York Times science editor, and Carl Zimmer, who, inspite of their mutual lack of scientific training while in college, have written authoratively and elegantly about everything from beach erosion to evolutionary biology and viruses. I share that same kind of admiration and appreciation that I have for their work for yours with regards to classical archaeology. So I am rather surprised, and frankly, quite disappointed, that you have yet to display similar qualities in your writings on evolutionary biology.

Yesterday I posted this at Panda's Thumb:

"Hi all,

In the hope of trying to get back more on topic, I am still waiting to hear from Suzan Mazur. I believe she owes us all an explanation as to why she thinks evolution doesn’t have a credible theory yet; an odd accusation for someone who admits that she is an “evolution lover” and claims to be a credible scientific “journalist” (Aside from her rather absurd comments at SCOOP, I think another sign of her lack of “credibility” with respect to evolutionary biology, is the sad fact that she finds someone like Stuart Pivar to be far more “credible” than, for example, either Jerry Coyne or PZ Myers.).

Suzan, I presume you are still reading this thread. Hope to hear from you soon.

Regards,

John"

I am not the only Panda's Thumb poster who is looking forward to your answer. Maybe if you could defend yourself, then it would put in a better context, your rather odd remarks regarding the recent Altenberg, Austria evolutionary biology conference. However, in the future, I hope you shall strive for the same kind of scientific and literary excellence which both Ms. Dean and Mr. Zimmer have demonstrated repeatedly in their scientific journalism, especially with regards to evolutionary biology.

Last, but not least, I am both perplexed and disturbed by your apparent hostility towards an eminent scientist who is a member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints. I should note that I know of several members of this church who have made notable contributions to allometry and biogeography within the past two decades; moreover, as professional evolutionary biologists, their understanding and appreciation of current evolutionary biology is comparable to what I have read from the likes of such eminent scientists as Jerry Coyne and Niles Eldredge, for example, not from a self-proclaimed "expert" who lacks any training in evolutionary biology, period, like Stuart Pivar.

Again, I look forward to hearing from you, either in private, or in a public online forum, preferably at Panda's Thumb.

Sincerely yours,

John Kwok

Bjoern · 23 July 2008

iml8 said:
Bjoern said: Directionless is simply wrong. The direction is to increasing complexity.
That might be argued since we don't necessarily have a uniformly agreed-upon definition of "complexity". Is the evolution of free-living crustaceans into sessile barnacles an increase or decrease in complexity? Of course if you had a very simple ecosystem with only a few different species of various sorts, the odds are that over time new species will arise that will increase the diversity of that ecosystem, which could be thought of as an increase in complexity.
That's essentially what I meant (increasing diversity in the ecosystem). Sorry for phrasing that not more clearly.

iml8 · 23 July 2008

Bjoern said: That's essentially what I meant (increasing diversity in the ecosystem). Sorry for phrasing that not more clearly.
Not a problem. I think of the ecosystem of Arrakis in Frank Herbert's DUNE series, the ultimate monoculture: one species, the sandworm. Ecologists laugh -- that would be an ecosystem balanced on the head of a dynamic pin (in terms of the fitness landscape) that would promptly diversify. The more important thing is that, given what I think the Darwin-bashers mean by "directionless", the answer is: "Yep, by that standard it's directionless all right. But there's no need to take it personally, it's just the way things work." White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 23 July 2008

A late reply:
Mike Elzinga said: The main justification for such an approach seems to be, in my opinion, to have gained some experience with these kinds of models and leave open the possibility that the more bottom up approaches (those that use the chemistry and physics and also what we have learned from Darwin and natural selection on living systems) will fall under one of these sets of rules.
Thanks for your in depth analysis; and I believe we have very much the same opinion on this.
Mike Elzinga said: In fact, we want just such a system in science as the systems these research questions are attempting to understand.
Yes; and I believe that is in the next chapter of "The Quark and the Jaguar". :-P

bigbang · 23 July 2008

Yes Bjoern, deterministic processes/forces are provable (at least in theory, and often to many decimal places), whereas randomness obviously isn’t, in theory or otherwise. It’s not “evidence [that] points to QM processes indeed being random,” it’s merely belief and/or ignorance.

And yes Bjoern, non-locality is essentially incompatible with relativity, regardless of whatever your preconceived notions are on the issue. I referenced Wiki only for those like you, obviously having a rather shallow understanding of the subject, but apparently Wiki hasn’t helped you much. Oh well.

Glad to see that iMl8 explained the obvious to Bjoern, that Darwinian evolution is indeed undirected.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 23 July 2008

olegt said: But there's another good reason to prefer Einstein's special relativity to Lorentz's: by dispensing with the absoluteness of time and space it prepared the ground for general relativity. I doubt that GR could ever come out of Lorentz's relativity. It was too conventional, a crutch rather than a wing. So yes, one can stick with hidden variables, but that's a dead end.
Yes. I have been thinking about that, but aren't really well versed in this physics beyond basic QM. But perhaps the point that classical mechanics action principle works analogously for QM in the path integral formulation is supporting this? That formulation makes all pertinent variables explicit as a basis for the system histories used - presumably not making place for hidden ones as I understand it. [And it also makes the earlier discussed stochasticity explicit.] And the path integral formulation was useful when quantum field theory was developed, I believe.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 23 July 2008

Bjoern said: But non-local hidden variable theories contradict Special Relativity (information can't travel faster than light), and hence there isn't a big chance that they are right.
IIRC there are papers in the arxiv that makes that assumption explicit and shows that gauge theories then are unstable in the usual causal light cone. Sort of a lose-lose proposal there, from our troll.
Bjoern said:
and probabilities are little more than an attempt to quantify our ignorance.
Hint: this is also an "unprovable" claim. But in contrast to the claim that QM processes are random, that claim of yours goes against the evidence...
Ah, our scientifically uninformed troll is an avid fan of subjective bayesianism, the philosophical evil twin to science use of objective bayesianism. (Say when proposing phylogenetic trees for testing.) Meanwhile it is ensemble probabilities that are doing the heavy lifting in science. And they are explicitly an quantification of our knowledge of a system. I would say trolling is an attempt of quantifying someones ignorance. But the above mistake from our troll is so basic so I will write it down to pure stupidity.

olegt · 23 July 2008

bigbang said: Although non-locality might appear to be incompatible with relativity, it nevertheless emerges in entanglement and has been demonstrated experimentally. Look it up in Wiki. Again, regarding hidden-variables, non-local hidden-variable theories simply are not ruled out.
The non-locality of quantum entanglement is a mathematical artifact. It applies to the quantum wave function, which is a bookkeeping device and not a physical observable. By performing a measurement on one particle in an entangled pair you instantaneously change the wave function of the other; however, an observer examining the other particle will not be able to tell whether you performed the measurement. It means no observable action at a distance and hence no violation of causality. Hidden variables as a physical concept died as soon as they were shown to be nonlocal. If such objects existed in the real world, they would violate causality. So they're up there with the gremlins, the tooth fairy and the dude that planted the fossils to make the Earth look old. Lastly, science isn't in the business of proving that something does not exist. For instance, you can't prove the nonexistence of the aether: Lorentz's theory gives the same predictions as special relativity. Prior to Einstein, the aether was a kludge that had to be used because there was no other way. Einstein showed that the aether was unnecessary, the aether died. Hidden variables followed the same trend. They were introduced by de Broglie to save determinism. Further developments (quantum entanglement) showed that the cure was worse than the disease: determinism was saved at the expense of locality and causality. That was too high a price, so physicists kept causality and threw away determinism. Some people don't like it—too bad.

Mike Elzinga · 23 July 2008

I would say trolling is an attempt of quantifying someones ignorance.

I would judge (especially from his last comment) that he is a sassy little shit ignoramus who is just baiting people to argue with him. I’m sitting here enjoying all his misconceptions. I don’t give a crap what he claims about his beliefs; it appears he gets most of his ideas, misconceptions, and tactics from the ID/Creationists.

iml8 · 24 July 2008

Mike Elzinga said: I don’t give a crap what he claims about his beliefs; it appears he gets most of his ideas, misconceptions, and tactics from the ID/Creationists.
I am a bit puzzled anyone takes him seriously. I try to read his stuff and all I see in it is "jamming", throwing out noise and nonsense in order to sow confusion. There's so little substance there that it hardly registers. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

John Kwok · 24 July 2008

Hi Everyone,

I see Suzan Mazur hasn't replied yet to my e-mail. It's a pity for someone who claims to be as "credible" a scientific journalist as she contends. If I was her, then I'd be more than a bit concerned that Discovery Institute mendacious intellectual pornographer Casey Luskin and Canadian mendacious intellectual pornographer Denyse O'Leary have taken great - and favorable - interest in her coverage of the recent evolutionary biology conference at Altenberg, Austria.

If, as Mazur contends, that evolutionary biology doesn't have a viable scientific theory yet, then how does she account for this elegant evo-devo study which provides rather robust genetic support for homology with respect to the vertebral column:

http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2008/07/snake-segmentat.html#comments

Assuming that she is still reading comments here, I strongly encourage her to try emulating more her "colleagues" Cornelia Dean and Carl Zimmer by doing her "homework" - which both Dean and Zimmer do - with respect to evolutionary biology, instead of writing additional questionable journalism that runs the risk of being exploited by the likes of Luskin, O'Leary and others of their rather pathetic, quite noxious, ilk.

Otherwise, if Mazur isn't careful, she could become the Discovery Institute's latest "Tokyo Rose".

Regards,

John
(aka "Jekyll and Hyde of Paleobiology" courtesy of Uncommon Dissent IDiot Borg drone DaveScot Springer)

Rolf · 24 July 2008

tguy said: RE: ROCKEFELLER UNIVERSITY EVOLUTION SYMPOSIUM After reading that I'd have to say Mazur is the Perez Hilton of evolutionary biology. (Not its Nader, then again "nadir" would be the right general direction.)
I should have indicated that the "Ralph Nader of the Evolution Industry" was written tongue in cheek. Based on something she wrote, I got the impression she was out to expose what she chose to name the "Evolution Industry" like it was another tobacco or sugar industry. If someone are making big money on evolutionary research; if the ToE is more about money that about science, please let us know.

tguy · 24 July 2008

The fault is entirely mine. I should have commended your turn of phrase before adding my own twist on it. I do find her unusually gossipy and focused on wardrobe for a reporter covering science.

tguy · 24 July 2008

John Kwok said: Did you have to remind me of this?
Sorry if I was a little off the topic. (I always wondered with my talent for putting foot in mouth if I could join the circus, but it turns out everybody can do this.)

hoary puccoon · 25 July 2008

Is anyone else getting the idea that Susan Mazur has decided scamming Sunday school children out of their dimes and quarters pays a lot better than free-lance science journalism? I expect to hear that she's been appointed a Discovery Institute fellow any day, now.

The irony is that evolutionary theory is going through an especially exciting time right now, as the theory is worked out at the molecular level. (As John Kwok pointed out, PZ Myer's current post is one good example.)

What kind of journalist instincts must Mazur have, to ignore what promises to be one of the greatest science stories of the 21st century and to focus instead on a venal fraud about a crisis that doesn't exist?

(Yes, I do recognize this is flaming Mazur. But it's pretty obvious at this point that she's got it coming.)

John Kwok · 25 July 2008

Dear hoary puccoon, Am starting to feel more than a bit cynical towards Suzan Mazur and your recent post expresses exactly my sentiment towards her:
hoary puccoon said: Is anyone else getting the idea that Susan Mazur has decided scamming Sunday school children out of their dimes and quarters pays a lot better than free-lance science journalism? I expect to hear that she's been appointed a Discovery Institute fellow any day, now. The irony is that evolutionary theory is going through an especially exciting time right now, as the theory is worked out at the molecular level. (As John Kwok pointed out, PZ Myer's current post is one good example.) What kind of journalist instincts must Mazur have, to ignore what promises to be one of the greatest science stories of the 21st century and to focus instead on a venal fraud about a crisis that doesn't exist? (Yes, I do recognize this is flaming Mazur. But it's pretty obvious at this point that she's got it coming.)
I find it rather odd that she's more worked up about a prominent Mormon scientist being a major supporter of NCSE than the fact that she's giving ample emotional and intellectual aid to the likes of Luskin and O'Leary by writing polemical pieces online pretending to be "scientific journalism". Again, I urge her to emulate the excellence demonstrated by the likes of such eminent scientific journalists as Cornelia Dean and Carl Zimmer if she wishes to write further on evolutionary biology. Appreciatively yours, John

Gregorio · 3 October 2008

Can anyone name one 'success' of evolutionary theory? The theory is not deductive, but is instead based upon categorization and taxonomy. It does not propose a deductively-arrived-at test, but instead the arrangement of data. Mazur's point was not that it is in crisis so much as there seems to be an increasing number of biological phenomena it cannot explain, as understood so far - that it needs to be supplemented.

The genetic synthesis, with its Central Dogma of Biology, is on all fours with scientology in that both require narrow understanding of catechetical arguments lacking in predictive value. Darwin doesn't stop with molecular biology, but must be extended to include the role of energy and metabolism in evolution. Progress in this area is stifled by widely accepted but scientifically unsound ideas of biological energy as involving more than redox coupling, as including some strange animal called chemiosmosis that depends upon the naive confabulation of 'ion currents' and 'proton motive forces'. In the world of physics there are no such things. Their existence is posited only in the life sciences, and the theoretical justification for this bit of insularity dates to the 1902 hypothesis of Julius Bernstein invoking the 1888 Nernst equation to account for membrane voltages - voltages not detectable for almost another 40 years. In a gross violation of logic, the detection of those voltages was taken as corroboration of the hypothesized reason for them, an ion concentration gradient.

At Harvard's Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology (DOEB) we find the Program for Evolutionary Dynamics, headed by Martin Nowak. Nowak published a book, Evolutionary Dynamics, in 2006, on the subject - an attempt to put evolution in mathematical form. The book does not have a single equation dealing with metabolism. It is all about the RNA/DNA world. Yet in the DOEB we find Lloyd Demetrius, a mathematical biologist who tinered with Kleiber's Law so that it would relate metabolic rate to availability of energy sources. His equation is elegant, and models how evolution, and the origins of life, is primarily about energy, and only secondarily about genetics. Furthermore, the equation models the forces and pressures behind biological organization, from small to large. The equation is essentially about the recharge rate of organic biomass's covalent bonds through redox coupling. The equation explains aging, and the metabolic role of 'junk' DNA. The equation relates reproduction to food availability, and answers the question of those in the origins of life field as to which came first, metabolism or replication. The equation shows that the two are inseparable, with replication occurring as alteration in size of biomass from perturbations in metabolic rate contingent upon changes in redox coupling efficiency. The idea biology is just too complex for physics is on a par with the belief that humans could not have evolved from monkeys.

Surely this is not a crisis for evolutionary theory. But it makes the modern synthesis appear naive in its stress on genetics. What it defines is the energetic parameters within which all genetic change must be limited if the organism is to survive and reproduce and grow and develop. What Mazur has done is turn over a stone and reveal to any who would introduce this take on the origins and evolution of life, what kind of snobs and mouth-breathing booger-eaters to expect, people who would resist any changes to doctrines which so far, have not really had a single success in the sense of a severe, deductive prediction about novel, undiscovered facts that can be tested for in a laboratory. The mathematical, physico-chemical approach provides for this. In doing so it demonstrates that the electrochemical forces and thermodynamic pressures necessary for life's origins are still calling the tune in life's functioning, with genetics playing second fiddle.

Stanton · 3 October 2008

Gregorio said: The genetic synthesis, with its Central Dogma of Biology, is on all fours with scientology in that both require narrow understanding of catechetical arguments lacking in predictive value.
Just to quibble, if only because it's an incredibly fatal detail, but, Scientology is not a science, and never was a science. It's a fake religion/mystery cult created by a science-fiction hack who had a phobia of psychologists so he could make money. To compare Evolutionary Biology, or Genetics to Scientology is tantamount to decide whether or not oranges are better than Catholicism on the basis of flaky pastry.

Gregorio · 5 October 2008

I think I was pretty clear in specifying how the two are similar. How is this an incredibly fatal detail? How is it fatal? How is it incredible? Did you understand what I said?

You say scientology never was a science, and you imply that evolution is. You don't specify what qualifies a system of beliefs as a science. Ernst Mayr, in his 1982 The Growth of Biological Thought, specifies what he thinks a science is, and what the goals of science are. He has the effrontery to claim that Darwin, Mendel, Bernard and Freud did more to change our world view than any physicist. He cites hypothetico-deductivism as the method of science, even though this is not, as I specify above, the method of biology, and, in fact, with regard to key issues life scientists have repeatedly violated the laws of hypothetico-deductive logic. One of these involves the flight-fight model of nervous function, the idea, proven wrong in 1926 at the Mayo Clinic but believed still, is that the nerves can trigger vasoconstriction.

Mayr writes, "A fundamental difference between religion and science, then, is that religion usually consists of a set of dogmas, often 'revealed'dogmas, to which there is no alternative nor much leeway in interpretation. In science by contrast, there is virtually a premium on alternative explanations and a readiness to replace one theory by another." He says nothing about Crick's Central Dogma of Biology, or the resistance put up by the people at this cite not to the idea, but to the messenger, that the modern synthesis has been found to be increasingly incomplete with the discovery of new biological phenomena. Q.E.D., the theory's most ardent defenders fit into Mayr's category of religion. I have seen the claim made again and again by people like yourself that biology is too complex for physics, and Mayr even makes this claim, saying it should not be held to the standards of a philosophy of science based upon what he calls the 'hard' sciences, i.e., the ones based upon hypothetico-deductive logic.

Dean Elzinga · 25 March 2009

Not to mention appeals to the great God-of-the-Gaps (by His other, less incriminating Names) :-)
Mike Elzinga said:

That’s ID/creationism for you: equal parts cluelessness, wishful thinking, copying other people’s mistakes, relying on unauthoritative sources that say what the creationist wants to hear, inventing new mistakes by assumption, all pasted together with a thick glue of wishful thinking and unshakeable faith in the rectitude of one’s facts & opinions.

This is exactly how they work with their “religion”; and they carry these habits over to discussing science. So it is not surprising that they can make no progress in either. Hence, they turn to political force and other forms of bullying and burning at the stake.

Beauty Age · 5 March 2010

I couldn't resist myself commenting to this one. I am shocked.From where you people get so much info and knowledge. It's just truly worth the read.