The Discovery Institute Needs your help

Posted 16 September 2008 by

Could some friendly (and polite) Panda Thumbers, go over to Does Intelligent Design have merit at Opposing Views? The Discovery Institute is in need of some better qualified ID defenders and I am certain that PT'ers can do a better job than what has been presented so far. And I do not even count the 'Hovind was framed' arguments or the Pascal wager fallacy or the 'Eonic effect'. To be honest, I feel a tiny bit sorry for the Discovery Institute and ID proponents who have tried so hard to present an argument but, faced with the facts, could not really respond. For instance, Behe attempted some rebuttals and was pwned by Nick Matzke. Could someone help Behe formulate a response as he seems to be lost for arguments and has decided to ignore Nick's scathing comments. Casey Luskin's best performance was in wishing me a good weekend of rest, and Jay Richards showed why theologists should be careful when addressing real science when discussing the scientifically vacuous topic of Intelligent Design. I am having a lovely time, but perhaps a few could go over and vote on the issue? The sad news is that you need to sign up. But the rewards of seeing the ID proponents expose the scientific vacuity of Intelligent Design... Priceless

76 Comments

steve s · 16 September 2008

A new blog called Opposing Views, eh? The fact that IDers can't seem to do anything but blog kinda tells you how much scientific merit ID has. No papers, no research, no experiments, no journal. Lotsa blogs though.

PvM · 16 September 2008

The blog is actually quite cool and allows many controversial issue be discussed. Note that the question was not if ID was a science but rather if it had any merit at all.

Of course ID, especially our aspiring journalist Denyse O'Leary seems to have many blogs

steve s · 17 September 2008

Yeah at some point I WHOIS'd it and was surprised to see it wasn't from The Discovery Institute. When I hear about a new ID blog I just assume it's from the usual suspects.

Mike Elzinga · 17 September 2008

I dunno. I went over there and looked at some of the ID arguments.

Whenever I peruse these ID arguments, I feel like I’m in the presence of a Dementor. Their “physics” is really depressing. There are so many egregious errors, it’s hard to know where to start; and you sense that anything you say will have no effect because these IDiots don’t understand the words or the science. They have their own meanings and misconceptions. And all this comes out of people who wave their PhD’s.

Their rubes won’t get it either; they just go with whoever quotes scripture properly.

I guess I’d have to think about it for a while before getting involved with that site.

Ritchie Annand · 17 September 2008

Holy crow, PvM, you're really holding down the fort over there :) I'm not going to be able to even skim all the comments over there at this rate!

Ugh, Dembski's horrid "explanatory filter". I notice that it treats chance, regularity and design all separately, turning it into a choice of three (if one assumes that design is not split into rarefied design and conscious design) instead of the eight combinations it could be. Way to exclude the actual proposed evolutionary model, which would be comprised of regularity and chance (and, in fact, would not work without one or the other).

Then again, the whole enterprise seems reliant on omitting things. Things like, if evolutionary science discovered something in 1980, then use papers from 1979 and before and, oh, maybe get it published by shady methods in a systematics journal.

I've met a few intelligent design supporters online who are not creationists, but they still seem to cling to somewhat antifactual oddities as Hoyle's panspermia ravings or some variant on a "life force" theme.

It would be pretty refreshing just to see an intelligent design advocate free of strawman beliefs about evolutionary theory, actually. Perhaps I'm still exhausted from participating in the Expelled! blog; there were still a couple of nice, polite folks amongst the creationists there, and a few who were clearly surprised that what they had been told about evolutionary theory was not true, but they hardly posted.

Ignorance is no crime, but willful ignorance is.

Keep up the good work, PvM :)

Wolfhound · 17 September 2008

Jobby in Bizarro World!

Cedric Katesby · 17 September 2008

Awesome job PvM.
You've collected an impressive amount of scalps.

ID supporters trying to defend ID without a pre-planned and vetted script is just pure entertainment.

(On second thoughts, even WITH the pre-planned script...)

;)

Paul Burnett · 17 September 2008

PvM said: I am having a lovely time, but perhaps a few could go over and vote on the issue?
I am making a few small contributions. But it's a rather large playing field, and you can make comments to the comments. Everybody should go over and help out.
And I do not even count the ‘Hovind was framed’ arguments
I had pointed out to one poster that mentioning Hovind in an ID discussion was probably a mistake, and he went off into a defense of Hovind tirade - which just goes to prove that if you scratch a cdesign proponentsist, you reveal a creationist. Get over there and scratch, folks.

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: I guess I’d have to think about it for a while before getting involved with that site.
I found the structure of the site kind of hard to deal with -- hard to distinguish between threads, hard to figure out who was talking to who about what, hard to trace the flow of the arguments. I think OPPOSING VIEWS will just run this as a one-shot anyway and then shut off discussion. No sense in going on forever, saying the same things over and over again, when they've got other things to talk about. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Eric · 17 September 2008

PvM, Nice hat. Good job. Re: the (eternal) complaint that IDers don't get the money they need to do research, it may be worth pointing out that DI is on record as spending somewhere south of ~$1-2 million/year on "research." See http://www.discovery.org/a/4052. The paragraphs starting "Firstly" and "Secondly" are where they defend their claim to be a research organization. Here's a quotable:
The Research Fellowship Program has been by far the single largest program expense of Discovery Institute’s Center for Science and Culture.
Its hard to say that, then claim there's no research being funded :) So, the "lack of funds" argument just doesn't factually hold water as a defense for their insignificant* publication record. (*I'd say zero but thought I'd give'em credit for the few articles Behe claims are design-related, just to pre-empt Jobby's whining.)

James F · 17 September 2008

Eric said: So, the "lack of funds" argument just doesn't factually hold water as a defense for their insignificant* publication record. (*I'd say zero but thought I'd give'em credit for the few articles Behe claims are design-related, just to pre-empt Jobby's whining.)
No, you can say zero, just qualify it a little. They have produced no data in support of intelligent design in peer-reviewed scientific research papers, and that's a fact. What they have are data-free hypothesis pieces and review articles (the Meyer article, for example, which was formally repudiated and is still featured on the DI web site), plus a couple of papers from Douglas Axe that talk about complexity without supporting ID or refuting evolution. But their goal isn't research, it's to push their creationist pseudoscience into public school science classrooms.

Paul Burnett · 17 September 2008

Eric said: So, the "lack of funds" argument just doesn't factually hold water as a defense for their insignificant* publication record.
But they're still shaking down the churches and Sunday Schools to support their "science research": William Dembski has a presentation titled "The Vise Strategy: Squeezing the Truth out of Darwinists" on a website (http://www.4truth.net) that says "This Web site is part of NAMB's major mission objective committed to sharing Christ." NAMB is the "North American Mission Board," "A Southern Baptist Convention entity supported by the Cooperative Program and Annie Armstrong Easter Offering®." "Through gifts to the Annie Armstrong Easter Offering®, these missions personnel are enabled to share the good news of Jesus Christ. Because every dollar given to the Annie Armstrong Easter Offering® goes to direct support of missionaries and their ministries, Southern Baptists are confident offering gifts are an investment in eternity." (http://www.anniearmstrong.com) They're telling folks they can buy their way into heaven and then using the money for their non-productive "research."

Kevin B · 17 September 2008

Paul Burnett said: They're telling folks they can buy their way into heaven and then using the money for their non-productive "research."
When put that way, doesn't it sound awfully like the sale of indulgences?

John Kwok · 17 September 2008

Hi all,

The Dishonesty Institute ought to just give it, raise their hands in surrender and admit that Klingon Cosmology makes a lot more sense than Intelligent Design as I noted here:

http://www.amazon.com/Klingon-Cosmology-Explanation-Origins-Intelligent/forum/Fx2QMNLWR0COM08/Tx19MZJVRCWV9J4/1/ref=cm_cd_ef_tft_tp?%5Fencoding=UTF8&asin=0980021308

Regards,

John

Ritchie Annand · 17 September 2008

John, for shame, getting my hopes up that someone had published a Klingon Cosmology book :)

Wheels · 17 September 2008

Does Intelligent Design Have Merit? With about 70 billion stars and as many as 100 million life forms (at least here on Earth), the universe is a stunningly complex place. Did all of this matter evolve independently, or was it guided by a larger force – as proponents of intelligent design believe? With the debate raging in living rooms, classrooms and courtrooms, the stakes are high when it comes to determining intelligent design’s merit.

Notice the question doesn't say anything about the scientific community, research, lab work, journals, etc. It's phrased purely a social controversy rather than a factual one. Opposing Views didn't let the question wander over to the scientific merit of the issue at all. So at least it's not phrased misleadingly.

PvM · 17 September 2008

Jobby is not longer with us, please avoid feeding the troll.

iml8 · 17 September 2008

PvM said: Jobby is not longer with us ...
In all kindness, good sir, haven't we heard this before? Of course, if PT has a more effective banning mechanism now, I'd be the first to be glad to hear it. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Robin · 17 September 2008

PvM said: Jobby is not longer with us, please avoid feeding the troll.
Geez PvM...I hope "not longer with us" isn't a euphemism. You didn't have him...ahem..."liberated" did you? :)

Science Avenger · 17 September 2008

Indeed, what he said. And just a suggestion, but I'd use a different phrase when banning people.

PvM · 17 September 2008

I understand. Bobby's abuse of service attacks are annoying but easy to control via the spam filter, although of course, as Bobby has realized, they can be circumvented. So let me take care of cleaning up the threads.
iml8 said:
PvM said: Jobby is not longer with us ...
In all kindness, good sir, haven't we heard this before? Of course, if PT has a more effective banning mechanism now, I'd be the first to be glad to hear it. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

iml8 · 17 September 2008

PvM said: So let me take care of cleaning up the threads.
That's a very welcome answer -- thanks. However, I am curious as to why PT doesn't use registration. Most forums do -- it seems like a standard feature in forum apps that I could get my hands on -- and it's no great bother to valid users, but I would think it would raise the obstacles to entry to malicious visitors enough to make it not worth the bother any longer. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

PvM · 17 September 2008

Valid question and the answer is that 'I do not know', of course, in ID speak this would trigger a design inference :-) Let me raise the question amongst PT contributors and the moderators.
iml8 said:
PvM said: So let me take care of cleaning up the threads.
That's a very welcome answer -- thanks. However, I am curious as to why PT doesn't use registration. Most forums do -- it seems like a standard feature in forum apps that I could get my hands on -- and it's no great bother to valid users, but I would think it would raise the obstacles to entry to malicious visitors enough to make it not worth the bother any longer. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Corey S. · 17 September 2008

"With about 70 billion stars ... the universe is a stunningly complex place."

Aren't there like hundreds of billions of stars in the Milky Way alone? And aren't there billions of galaxies? We gotta get Phil to set Opposing Views straight.

ragarth · 17 September 2008

As a question about Intelligent Design, it occurs to me that whether or not a designer, whether it be a supernatural entity or a fleet of aliens fresh off a barhop, doesn't answer the question it's purported to answer anyway. It says 'x conciously produced y' but does not specify the method by which y was manufactured, whereas evolution provides this answer in all but the earliest instance (the origin of life, which has nothing to do with evolution)

Is this a potential venue or argument against ID? Invoking a designer says nothing about methods of species creation, merely that some dude/dudette/duditte had a hand in it. This assumes that explanation of method is important, which I feel it is.

iml8 · 17 September 2008

ragarth said: ... whereas evolution provides this answer in all but the earliest instance (the origin of life, which has nothing to do with evolution)
Well, it's got something to do with it, initial conditions and so on -- though of course evolution by natural selection would work exactly the same no matter how life got started. OK, belaboring the obvious here ...
This assumes that explanation of method is important, which I feel it is.
There was an interesting article in SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN some time back on what would happen if humanity abruptly disappeared. Most of our works would not be visible in a few thousand years and in a few million years you'd be hard-pressed to know we'd existed. So, suppose another technological civilization arises in 40 million years or so, populated by evolved descendants of baboons or whatever. And also suppose that before humans disappeared they got more heavily into genetic engineering, in particular producing chimera organisms that survived the fall of humankind. Once the "Inheritors" starting poking around in genomes, they might get really baffled: "There seems to have been big-time horizontal gene transfer in multicellular organisms!" Now here's the intriguing point ... if an Inheritor geneticist suggested: "Maybe it was done by some intelligent species tens of millions of years ago." -- he or she would have NO chance of selling the idea until some evidence of our existence was discovered. The idea would be pure baseless speculation, picked out of thin air, proposing a complicated mechanism not supported by any evidence. Once evidence of our existence did start to pop up, everyone else would look at each other and say: "Good Lord, maybe the idea was right after all!" The moral: until somebody could actually produce hard evidence of a designer, the assertion of design would remain no more more than vaporous speculation -- EVEN IF IT WAS ACTUALLY TRUE. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Matt G · 17 September 2008

Over at the NASA site, they list the number of stars in the Universe as on the order of 10^21. I guess DI calculators don't go that high.

Eric · 17 September 2008

ragarth said: ...It says ‘x conciously produced y’ but does not specify the method by which y was manufactured, whereas evolution provides this answer in all but the earliest instance (the origin of life, which has nothing to do with evolution) Is this [the argument 'ID lacks a mechanism'] a potential venue or argument against ID?
Yep, its an argument against. And its been used. Different ID proponents have then given contradictory answers in reply. Behe claimed in Dover that the phrase 'designed by an intelligence' is the mechanism. Phillip Johnson and others have claimed that ID doesn't have one yet, but is working on one. Then you've got Dembski, who has claimed that asking for a mechanism is a Darwinian trap and ID won't be fooled into worrying about such a minor level of detail. In the blogosphere the typical ID lurker answer to "what's your mechanism" seems to be "oh yeah? Whats yours?" followed up by "natural selection doesn't explain everything!," and then to keep asking for more and more examples and details on natural selection so as to avoid ever giving a response. So, draw your own conclusions.

Paul Burnett · 17 September 2008

Matt G said: Over at the NASA site, they list the number of stars in the Universe as on the order of 10^21. I guess DI calculators don't go that high.
Are you saying their abaci / abacuses don't have enough strings? Or enough beads?

ragarth · 17 September 2008

iml8 said:
ragarth said: ... whereas evolution provides this answer in all but the earliest instance (the origin of life, which has nothing to do with evolution)
Well, it's got something to do with it, initial conditions and so on -- though of course evolution by natural selection would work exactly the same no matter how life got started. OK, belaboring the obvious here ...
No... the currently popular theory on the origin of *life* is abiogenesis, which is seperate from the study of origin of *species* ei, evolution as the currently dominant theory. So I'm sorry, your belaboring is not for the obvious, but for the ill-informed. As per the second half of your statement, I'll treat it enbulk and say I'd disagree. Let's use scientists today instead of trying to speculate on a culture 40 million years in the future. A scientist today makes an amazing discovery, I won't presume to guess what kind of discovery would be considered beyond natural in modern genetics, because I'm not a geneticist, so we'll call this discovery X. So, scientist steve writes a paper about discovery X and states 'The mechanism by which discovery X could have come about appears to have no natural origin.' or something of that type. Discovery X would then be tested and confirmed by other scientists, then they would begin tossing about several hypothesis for how it could have happened. If the ancient civilization that has as of yet not been discovered had used advanced technology to produce discovery X, then we would need to narrow it down. By understanding the nature of discovery X, it then allows us to narrow down the nature of the creator, and put said creator to test... ie, can we produce discovery X using the hypothesized techniques, and if this is the only explanation, with no natural corollary, are there other explanations that can be produced via cross-discipline analysis? "Look here! perhaps dinosaurs DID have a moon base!" So, I say that working towards an understanding of the nature by which extra-natural processes could produce speciation would be more valuable to intelligent design than using the idea of a designer as a catchall, it provides that ever critical thing in science... testability. You cannot test for the existance of a designer, but you can test for the methods of design.

Robin · 17 September 2008

iml8 said: There was an interesting article in SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN some time back on what would happen if humanity abruptly disappeared. Most of our works would not be visible in a few thousand years and in a few million years you'd be hard-pressed to know we'd existed. So, suppose another technological civilization arises in 40 million years or so, populated by evolved descendants of baboons or whatever. And also suppose that before humans disappeared they got more heavily into genetic engineering, in particular producing chimera organisms that survived the fall of humankind. Once the "Inheritors" starting poking around in genomes, they might get really baffled: "There seems to have been big-time horizontal gene transfer in multicellular organisms!" Now here's the intriguing point ... if an Inheritor geneticist suggested: "Maybe it was done by some intelligent species tens of millions of years ago." -- he or she would have NO chance of selling the idea until some evidence of our existence was discovered. The idea would be pure baseless speculation, picked out of thin air, proposing a complicated mechanism not supported by any evidence. Once evidence of our existence did start to pop up, everyone else would look at each other and say: "Good Lord, maybe the idea was right after all!" The moral: until somebody could actually produce hard evidence of a designer, the assertion of design would remain no more more than vaporous speculation -- EVEN IF IT WAS ACTUALLY TRUE. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
Interesting point, Greg. The thing is (at least as I see it), many fundamentalists have a tough time with evolution because they (mistakenly) think that it closes the door on divine intervention. They think that the teaching of evolution pretty much establishes that there can be NO entertainment within society (except privately and quietly) of the idea that God might be behind things, even though we KNOW it is true.

Eric · 17 September 2008

iml8 said: ...if an Inheritor geneticist suggested: "Maybe it was done by some intelligent species tens of millions of years ago." -- he or she would have NO chance of selling the idea until some evidence of our existence was discovered.
Fortunately for posthuman civilizations (and unlike any previous designer), every genetic oddity will probably have "Patent #123456789, Monsanto Corporation, 2020" or the equivalent written into that gene's DNA code. And I'm sure if corporate America can figure out a way to make their ownership coding immune to mutation, they'll do that too. Wasn't there a PT post a while back that gave a GM sequence and a natural sequence and challenged IDers to use the explanatory filter to tell which was which? If I remember, every successful effort relied on "normal" science - i.e. hypothesizing what message a human designer would add based on knowledge of motives and capabilities, and then looking for it. eric

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 September 2008

Corey S. said: "With about 70 billion stars ... the universe is a stunningly complex place."
Obviously views are more important than facts.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 September 2008

ragarth said: It says 'x conciously produced y' but does not specify the method by which y was manufactured, whereas evolution provides this answer in all but the earliest instance (the origin of life, which has nothing to do with evolution) Is this a potential venue or argument against ID? Invoking a designer says nothing about methods of species creation, merely that some dude/dudette/duditte had a hand in it. This assumes that explanation of method is important, which I feel it is.
Indeed it is important. If you can't specify what was produced how, you can't produce a test. So it can never become science.
iml8 said: The moral: until somebody could actually produce hard evidence of a designer, the assertion of design would remain no more more than vaporous speculation -- EVEN IF IT WAS ACTUALLY TRUE.
The problem is that you try to study a, possibly once off, deviation (a fact) from a normal process (a theory). All kinds of evidential problems will pop up. Is the power you use when you read this provided by your regularly provider, or a backup generator? If you measure phase angles you may discern different types and effects of generators. But until you can provide hard evidence for backup generators in your power grid, the assertion of a backup (fact) as opposed to different load conditions on the regular grid (theory) would remain speculation; it isn't testable as a theory, but it is observable as a fact.

ragarth · 17 September 2008

In response to Eric:
Thanks, that answers my question very well, actually. I guess you can see the underlying reason for supporting ID, as well as a little about the personality of the person supporting it based on their answer to those questions. Behe is the most amusing one of all to me.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 September 2008

Robin said: They think that the teaching of evolution pretty much establishes that there can be NO entertainment within society (except privately and quietly) of the idea that God might be behind things, even though we KNOW it is true.
Of course it is possible, just very unlikely. It is as if believing in Thor flying by on a rainy day and zapping power into the city grid, matching the alternating voltage and phase angle. Flying men is kind of hard to explain, and they haven't dropped by often. Men that can generate lightning is even harder to explain; and so on and so forth. But hey, we KNOW it is possible, just very unlikely.

Eric · 17 September 2008

ragarth said: So, I say that working towards an understanding of the nature by which extra-natural processes could produce speciation would be more valuable to intelligent design than using the idea of a designer as a catchall, it provides that ever critical thing in science... testability. You cannot test for the existance of a designer, but you can test for the methods of design.
Careful how you use the terms 'natural' versus 'extra-natural.' Darwin used the term 'natural selection' to describe a process completely separate from selective breeding by humans. He contrasted one with the other to make the point that nature can do what humans do. So genetic manipulation of any sort by humans is not natural selection. But it is natural in the sense that neither selective breeding or direct genetic manipulation is supernatural. This distinction is important because IDers will occasionally attempt to sneak religion into science by starting out claiming they're arguing for a non-natural designer of the first type, then switch midsentence to talking about a non-natural designer of the second (supernatural) type. When possible its best to nail down which they're defending. The question at the heart of the matter is: is intelligence evolvable. If the answer to that question is "yes," then an argument from design can be science (good for the ID movement) but has no need of God (bad for the ID movement). In contrast, if the answer to that question is "no," the reverse is true - the argument for design is about God, but isn't science. You can understand why IDers want to vacillate between the two meanings. They want to convince people that they have a scientific theory that proves God. To do that, they've got to switch between two distinct meanings of the word 'natural' in midargument.

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Robin said: Interesting point, Greg. The thing is (at least as I see it), many fundamentalists have a tough time with evolution because they (mistakenly) think that it closes the door on divine intervention. They think that the teaching of evolution pretty much establishes that there can be NO entertainment within society (except privately and quietly) of the idea that God might be behind things, even though we KNOW it is true.
I was going through this line of thinking as per Phil Johnson. Johnson was astute enough to realize that, in terms of the relationship between science and religion, there was nothing particularly distinctive about evo science. NO scientific theory incorporates supernatural intervention. They are ALL mechanistic. So if evo science denies the existence of God, then all of science does. His response was that we needed to change science so that it did include supernatural intervention. However, if the definition of a supernatural event is one that's forever unexplainable by science ... "then what, Professor Johnson, do you want the sciences to say about it?" "Well, science should admit that they may never have the answers to an event." "OK ... well, we can say we may not have a good answer now, but how would you expect us to prove we never will? Tomorrow? Ten thousand years from now? We can't figure out how to prove that. Can you tell us how?" This mindset may well pose some problems for religion, but being an "agnostic of indifference" I wouldn't know exactly what, how to answer them, or why I would want to try. Clearly some theists like Ken Miller are fine with things as they are, and if Miller says he is, I'll accept that ot face value, it being all the same to me. If others disagree, they'll need to argue it out with Miller and friends. "Don't think I'M going to get into a theological discussion. I'd rather be reading GIRL GENIUS." White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Eric said: Fortunately for posthuman civilizations (and unlike any previous designer), every genetic oddity will probably have "Patent #123456789, Monsanto Corporation, 2020" or the equivalent written into that gene's DNA code.
Oh, I like that -- hmmm, for Adam Warren fans out there, I wonder if Lucien genetic upgrades will be trademarked. "BUT! IT'S! NOT! OUR! FAULT!" White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

ragarth · 17 September 2008

Yeah, I used the term extra-natural to set it apart from supernatural. Supernatural invokes the tooth-fairy, extra-natural in this context was to reference something beyond just natural processes including selective breeding and genetic manipulation. I suppose for the sake of argument, I'm hypothesizing that one *can* prove extra-natural processes, but not supernatural processes. Studying the ability to prove extra-natural processes would be an interesting line of research and potentially enhance the geneticist and biologist's toolkit.

As per switching midargument between the discussion of what I've defined as extra-natural to supernatural, that either shows intense ignorance about the methods of debate, poor thought structure, or a desire to manipulate. The asking about intelligence is an interesting way to isolate which category they fall into.

Eric Finn · 17 September 2008

ragarth said: Let's use scientists today instead of trying to speculate on a culture 40 million years in the future.
A very good idea.
So, scientist steve writes a paper about discovery X and states 'The mechanism by which discovery X could have come about appears to have no natural origin.' or something of that type.
Well, maybe he (or she) would rather write something along the line: "Our current theories do not explain this observation."
Discovery X would then be tested and confirmed by other scientists, then they would begin tossing about several hypothesis for how it could have happened.
Sounds right to me. I understand that you skipped the initial skepticism for the sake of brevity. Fairly recently, discoveries pointing to totally unknown phenomena have taken place. I am referring to observations, for which the terms 'dark matter' and 'dark energy' are coined.
If the ancient civilization that has as of yet not been discovered had used advanced technology to produce discovery X, then we would need to narrow it down. By understanding the nature of discovery X, it then allows us to narrow down the nature of the creator, and put said creator to test... ie, can we produce discovery X using the hypothesized techniques, and if this is the only explanation, with no natural corollary, are there other explanations that can be produced via cross-discipline analysis?
My attempt to understand your point by analogy starts to disintegrate here. Maybe my approach was not scientific enough.
So, I say that working towards an understanding of the nature by which extra-natural processes could produce speciation would be more valuable to intelligent design than using the idea of a designer as a catchall, it provides that ever critical thing in science... testability. You cannot test for the existance of a designer, but you can test for the methods of design.
Working towards an understanding of the nature ... testability ... Do we need to apply rules in biology that are different from the rules applied in other fields of science? Regards Eric

Mike Elzinga · 17 September 2008

A scientist today makes an amazing discovery, I won’t presume to guess what kind of discovery would be considered beyond natural in modern genetics, because I’m not a geneticist, so we’ll call this discovery X. So, scientist steve writes a paper about discovery X and states ‘The mechanism by which discovery X could have come about appears to have no natural origin.’ or something of that type. Discovery X would then be tested and confirmed by other scientists, then they would begin tossing about several hypothesis for how it could have happened. If the ancient civilization that has as of yet not been discovered had used advanced technology to produce discovery X, then we would need to narrow it down. By understanding the nature of discovery X, it then allows us to narrow down the nature of the creator, and put said creator to test… ie, can we produce discovery X using the hypothesized techniques, and if this is the only explanation, with no natural corollary, are there other explanations that can be produced via cross-discipline analysis? “Look here! perhaps dinosaurs DID have a moon base!” So, I say that working towards an understanding of the nature by which extra-natural processes could produce speciation would be more valuable to intelligent design than using the idea of a designer as a catchall, it provides that ever critical thing in science… testability. You cannot test for the existance of a designer, but you can test for the methods of design.

— ragarth
Well, this precisely illustrates the deep misconceptions IDiots use to lead their scientifically illiterate followers around by their noses. First of all, the reason you can’t guess what kind of discovery would be “beyond natural” in modern genetics (or in modern science) is that there is nothing in modern genetics that identifies any discovery as “beyond natural”. In order for that to happen, you would have to observe something that you recognize as being connected to beings that do things that are “beyond natural”. And that means you need knowledge of such beings in order to recognize their handiwork. Attempting to identify something in nature that is currently "inexplicable” by attributing it to the product of an “intelligence”, without claiming to have any knowledge of what that “intelligence” might be, is simply a cop-out. All you can say is that you don’t know at the moment. What would cause you to say “The mechanism by which discovery X could have come about appears to have no natural origin?” What identifying features of this “mechanism” would make you conclude that it had a “beyond natural” origin? One of the biggest flaws in the ID program (and it isn’t the only one by any means) is the belief that they can identify intelligent design in nature without knowing anything about the so-called “designer”. Yet no one in the ID community can tell you how to do this; and they don’t even try. And since their followers can’t imagine how to do this either, these followers simply trust that their leaders have figured it out. Well, the unfortunate news is that they haven’t because they can’t. The alternative of presuming a designer and then finagling the evidence to fit the profile of that designer is called “scientific creationism”; and they haven’t accomplished anything either. Nor does your claim that you can’t test for the existence of a designer yet you can test for methods of design make any sense either. How do you test for methods of design without having some concept of a designer? That designer has to have attributes, and those attributes have to be something recognizable to us because we have seen them somewhere. And if “beyond natural” means “supernatural”, then the problem for ID is even worse. They have no clue about how to connect the natural to the supernatural, even though that is what they are really trying to do but won’t admit in public. Science has learned that nature speaks for itself and doesn’t need the concept of a designer anywhere. When something is puzzling, it eventually gets worked out as science advances. Explanations that require “beyond natural” mechanisms or beings simply don’t have any traction and are totally unnecessary (and useless).

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: And if “beyond natural” means “supernatural”, then the problem for ID is even worse. They have no clue about how to connect the natural to the supernatural, even though that is what they are really trying to do but won’t admit in public.
More than even worse -- they can't: "This is supernatural, by definition science can't explain it." "Then what do the sciences have to say about it?" And then if they try to exploit the extra-natural option -- designed by powerful aliens who look like white mice, for instance -- they are stuck with providing evidence. So the ID gambit of saying they won't try to specify the Designer amounts to an implied admission that they don't or even can't provide hard evidence for said being(s). Of course, this hasn't been much of an encumbrance to them -- except in court. The evo science side has a very strong advantage in court, because all they have to do is establish the technical logic and evidence for their assertions, with any issues over the ideological beliefs of the witnesses being irrelevant to the case at hand. The Darwin-bashers are tripwired by their ideology and it becomes very obvious under astute cross examination. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

ben · 17 September 2008

Far be it from me to respond to a banned troll. I'd just like to make the general comment that anyone who endeavors to post hundreds of times here over a period of many months without displaying the minimal intelligence required to utilize the blockquote tag, notice and click the "reply" link over each post, or employ any method whatsoever of discriminating quoted text from their own, should be banned for general stupidity regardless of the content of their contributions.

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: First of all, the reason you can’t guess what kind of discovery would be “beyond natural” in modern genetics (or in modern science) is that there is nothing in modern genetics that identifies any discovery as “beyond natural”.
Going back to the tale of our Inheritor geneticist, all he or she would have for data was that there were some genes that were effectively the same between wildly different species. The length and match of the genes would rule out coincidence, so the inference would be that some sort of gene transfer had taken place. The Inheritor evolutionary genetics community would start coming up with models -- maybe gene transfer via viruses or something like that? It's unlikely they could be made to work, but anyone who proposed that it was done by the intervention of some unknown intelligent race that disappeared tens of millions of years ago would be laughed out of court. It would be proposing a massively complicated solution without the slightest evidence to back it up. And if our maverick Inheritor geneticist said: "I'm only suggesting that it might have happened, I don't know who the Designers were." -- the answer would be: "Fine. Anything to add? You can sit down now." Once traces of our existence were found that would change the ballgame dramatically. Here's the interesting thing: clear evidence of horizontal gene transfer between macroorganisms would be VASTLY more serious evidence of design than anything supplied so far by the DI. Behe's irreducible complexity? Just a rephrasing of the old "unevolvability of the eye" argument in biochemical terms, with plenty of models to suggest otherwise. Dembski's explanatory filter? At the core, nothing more than "monkeys & typewriters" probability calculations that ignore the effects of selection. But even horizontal gene transfer wouldn't be enough to sell the idea. An interesting comparison is Alfred Wegener's theory of continental drift. Even in Wegener's day it had a lot going for it, eliminating all the awkward contrivances for gluing together geologically uniform structures separated by oceanic gaps -- but he couldn't sell it then, because he couldn't provide a realistic mechanism for how the continents drifted. When the evidence became available after WWII, it all fell into place. Now even creationists admit it, though YECs have to do some fancy footwork to accommodate it. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: First of all, the reason you can’t guess what kind of discovery would be “beyond natural” in modern genetics (or in modern science) is that there is nothing in modern genetics that identifies any discovery as “beyond natural”.
Going back to the tale of our Inheritor geneticist, all he or she would have for data was that there were some genes that were effectively the same between wildly different species. The length and match of the genes would rule out coincidence, so the inference would be that some sort of gene transfer had taken place. The Inheritor evolutionary genetics community would start coming up with models -- maybe gene transfer via viruses or something like that? It's unlikely they could be made to work, but anyone who proposed that it was done by the intervention of some unknown intelligent race that disappeared tens of millions of years ago would be laughed out of court. It would be proposing a massively complicated solution without the slightest evidence to back it up. And if our maverick Inheritor geneticist said: "I'm only suggesting that it might have happened, I don't know who the Designers were." -- the answer would be: "Fine. Anything to add? You can sit down now." Once traces of our existence were found that would change the ballgame dramatically. Here's the interesting thing: clear evidence of horizontal gene transfer between macroorganisms would be VASTLY more serious evidence of design than anything supplied so far by the DI. Behe's irreducible complexity? Just a rephrasing of the old "unevolvability of the eye" argument in biochemical terms, with plenty of models to suggest otherwise. Dembski's explanatory filter? At the core, nothing more than "monkeys & typewriters" probability calculations that ignore the effects of selection. But even horizontal gene transfer wouldn't be enough to sell the idea. An interesting comparison is Alfred Wegener's theory of continental drift. Even in Wegener's day it had a lot going for it, eliminating all the awkward contrivances for gluing together geologically uniform structures separated by oceanic gaps -- but he couldn't sell it then, because he couldn't provide a realistic mechanism for how the continents drifted. When the evidence became available after WWII, it all fell into place. Now even creationists admit it, though YECs have to do some fancy footwork to accommodate it. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/tadarwin.html

Mike Elzinga · 17 September 2008

Once traces of our existence were found that would change the ballgame dramatically. Here’s the interesting thing: clear evidence of horizontal gene transfer between macroorganisms would be VASTLY more serious evidence of design than anything supplied so far by the DI. Behe’s irreducible complexity? Just a rephrasing of the old “unevolvability of the eye” argument in biochemical terms, with plenty of models to suggest otherwise. Dembski’s explanatory filter? At the core, nothing more than “monkeys & typewriters” probability calculations that ignore the effects of selection. But even horizontal gene transfer wouldn’t be enough to sell the idea.

— iml8
It just pushes the question of where life began to some other location and some other time; not a new or profound question. And it doesn’t solve the ultimate problem for the ID/Creationists who want “scientific justification” for their sectarian dogma. The universe indeed contains surprises. Connecting all this to a sectarian deity, no matter how indirectly the IDiots try to do it, in order to distance themselves from appearing to justify sectarian dogma, just doesn’t fly in any case. Some of their followers are now trying to claim the “designer” is not supernatural (apparently they figured out something about this concept that leaves them hanging). What alternatives does that leave? Natural? Do they want to worship it? Is that their sectarian deity? Did it create the universe and itself along with it? What do “beyond natural” or “extra-natural” mean? Supernatural? How are they going to connect anything in the natural world to the supernatural let alone to a specific sectarian deity in that realm? If they want to avoid the word “supernatural”, then they have to invent some new concept that is neither natural nor supernatural. What is that? Is it their deity? Bottom line; they have no clue what they are talking about.

ragarth · 17 September 2008

I disagree that science cannot discover extra-natural things (To define what I mean by extra-natural, I refer to my previous post on the subject and how I distinguish it from supernatural). It may take time and an increasing number of facts, but as iml8 stated above, sometimes science moves at a geologic pace, like in the case of continental drift.

I can't presume to know what would signify non-natural origins. Finding a message such as the Fibonacci sequence, or list of prime numbers within our DNA would certainly be a hint, but if that were there we would have found it. The best I can give is to look back on previous research that could have potentially became proof otherwise. A while back it was discovered that viral transposon dna inserted into a host cell sometimes found itself as part of the DNA of the host creature. If this happened in the reproductive cells, then it would be passed on from generation to generation as 'junk' dna. This was first found in the fruitfly, and has since been used to confirm the phylogenetic tree by seeing which species contain the same virally-inserted, inactive transposon dna. It could have feasibly gone another way, however, if no correlation was found with the phylogenetic tree or further proof was found that this inserted DNA was complex, and had no natural origin. So yes, I think science can find the marks of design, but I think finding that isn't likely because I don't feel such exists. If such were found, however, I'd join the science community in letting out a collective 'oh cool!' and then read about the research on it for years to come.

The core of this is it's pointless to attempt to invoke a designer as an answer because it says nothing, gives no proof, and adds nothing to the existing argument. It's like being given the equation 3 * 3 = x, and instead of saying x = 9, you say x = y, in which case, while possibly correct, it's useless because there's no way to test if x = y, rather you would need to prove that y = 9 first. For science to be valid, it can't toss any testable, provable possibility, but the key of that is testable and provable. The ability of something to arise from natural origin is testable, a designer is not.

Another example of something arising from natural origin being tested is Abiogenesis, or the idea that life on this planet arose natural from inorganic materials. There's a lot of debate, theorizing and hypothesizing taking place in this field. Thus far it has discovered little to nothing pointing towards like beginning due to aliens, my uncle bob, panspermia, or God, but there's a lot of room in there for such things to show up.

ragarth · 17 September 2008

To redefine why I'm using the term extranatural instead of supernatural. Supernatural can include divine intervention, mages waving their hands, and father christmas breathing life into snow. Such things cannot be proven because it can be said that God decided to mimic evolution, put the evidence there to test our fatih, or that satan put the evidence there to tempt us to hell. That is why supernatural has nothing to do with science, it's utterly unprovable.

extra-natural (I coined it for this argument, so if it has prior use, I'm sorry for infringing upon wasilla assembly of god's copyright) on the other hand, as I'm using the term, means reproducable processes of non-natural origin. Genetic manipulation, selective breeding, etc. These would be measurable, whether it be aliens shoving viruses in our ecosystem, or a secret gamma laser inside the moon zapping the gonads of terran creatures.

To further narrow the scope so it's completely clear. I'm arguing speciation, not origin of life. Evolution says zilch about origin of life, as I said in my first post, and trying to argue against evolution based on origin of life (ie, god made life, evolution did not) is not only ludicrous, but also like comparing apples and oranges.

Mike Elzinga · 17 September 2008

extra-natural (I coined it for this argument, so if it has prior use, I’m sorry for infringing upon wasilla assembly of god’s copyright) on the other hand, as I’m using the term, means reproducable processes of non-natural origin. Genetic manipulation, selective breeding, etc. These would be measurable, whether it be aliens shoving viruses in our ecosystem, or a secret gamma laser inside the moon zapping the gonads of terran creatures.

— ragarth
Well, a better term would be “artificial” in the similar sense of “artificial selection.” The problem with “extra-natural” is that it conjures up things like supernatural, and to my knowledge, there are no intermediates between natural and supernatural. “Reproducible process of non-natural origin” sounds like an oxymoron. And it doesn’t clear up things to substitute “non-natural” as an explanation for “extra-natural”. It’s fine to try to clarify words and concepts, but before one does that, it is important to know the meanings and ranges of meanings of related concepts. Otherwise you build easy bridges that can be used for conflation. And that is just what the ID/Creationists have a long track record of doing.

iml8 · 17 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: The problem with “extra-natural” is that it conjures up things like supernatural, and to my knowledge, there are no intermediates between natural and supernatural.
I would personally define "extra-natural" as meaning "natural processes beyond our current knowledge", as opposed to "supernatural", meaning "outside of the laws of nature", even the ones we don't know about, and forever inexplicable in materialistic scientific terms: "POOF!" It is again belaboring the obvious to point out that Darwin-bashers like to muddy these concepts, as best I can figure out as a means of concealing advocacy of the strictly supernatural. I don't think Phil Johnson, the founder of ID, really made many bones about it. He flatly stated he wanted to "reform" science to incorporate the supernatural, though he was never able to articulate how science was to incorporate events that were not merely extra-natural -- no real problem for the sciences, no "reform" needed -- but permanently beyond the description of science. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

ragarth · 17 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: Well, a better term would be “artificial” in the similar sense of “artificial selection.” The problem with “extra-natural” is that it conjures up things like supernatural, and to my knowledge, there are no intermediates between natural and supernatural. “Reproducible process of non-natural origin” sounds like an oxymoron. And it doesn’t clear up things to substitute “non-natural” as an explanation for “extra-natural”. It’s fine to try to clarify words and concepts, but before one does that, it is important to know the meanings and ranges of meanings of related concepts. Otherwise you build easy bridges that can be used for conflation. And that is just what the ID/Creationists have a long track record of doing.
You're right, artificial is a much better term, replace all my previous uses of the term extra-natural with artificial. :D “Reproducible process of non-natural origin” can be defined as a process of producing something by methods that are not natural. ie, building a house. While it is theoretically possible that a house may naturally occur in nature, it's about as likely as Jesus starting a rock-band and singing gospel in a stadium. As soon as that happens, I'll start looking for signs of roots on my home.
iml8 said: I would personally define "extra-natural" as meaning "natural processes beyond our current knowledge", as opposed to "supernatural", meaning "outside of the laws of nature", even the ones we don't know about, and forever inexplicable in materialistic scientific terms: "POOF!"
That's a problematic definition, because even if we don't know about a natural process, it is still a natural process, and therefore must be defined as natural.

Henry J · 17 September 2008

It's not whether a concept is natural, super-natural, extra-natural, ultra-natural, unnatural, etc., it's whether (1) that concept actually explains some pattern in a set of observations or measurements, and (2) produces conclusions* that can be tested.

(*Conclusions that logically follow from the premise, not merely ideas that somebody associates with it.)

Henry

Mike Elzinga · 18 September 2008

Henry J said: It's not whether a concept is natural, super-natural, extra-natural, ultra-natural, unnatural, etc., it's whether (1) that concept actually explains some pattern in a set of observations or measurements, and (2) produces conclusions* that can be tested. (*Conclusions that logically follow from the premise, not merely ideas that somebody associates with it.) Henry
Certainly; meaningful concepts can be used in a way that can lead to conclusions and understanding. Meaningless concepts just obfuscate. I was thinking about the kind of conflation that was part of a discussion we had here a few months ago. “Genetic Entropy”. It sounds like it might really say something scientific. Dangle it out there and let the rubes associate it with the “proven and inviolable laws of thermodynamics”. Since the 2nd law (the “Law or Entropy”) says “everything tends toward chaos”, then evolution can’t happen. Here is a classic case where just introducing a similar sounding term makes the whole antievolution argument sound “scientific” when in fact it is total bunk. It is just built on made-up words that are allowed to be conflated with misconceptions about scientific concepts. Similarly, it seems quite plausible (in fact, quite likely) that a term like “extra-natural” or “beyond natural” will appear to make an untenable claim about detecting the supernatural seem like it has been addressed and answered (“Oh we never claimed we were trying to detect the supernatural; what we are trying to detect is the “extra-natural, and you stupid Darwinists just don’t get it!”). That should make a few rubes feel quite smug for a while (until someone tries to pin them down on what "extra-natural" means).

Eric Finn · 18 September 2008

ragarth said: “Reproducible process of non-natural origin” can be defined as a process of producing something by methods that are not natural. ie, building a house. While it is theoretically possible that a house may naturally occur in nature, it's about as likely as Jesus starting a rock-band and singing gospel in a stadium. As soon as that happens, I'll start looking for signs of roots on my home.
iml8 said: I would personally define "extra-natural" as meaning "natural processes beyond our current knowledge", as opposed to "supernatural", meaning "outside of the laws of nature", even the ones we don't know about, and forever inexplicable in materialistic scientific terms: "POOF!"
That's a problematic definition, because even if we don't know about a natural process, it is still a natural process, and therefore must be defined as natural.
Aren't we next having problems with the term natural? Is a beaver dam a natural structure or not? Richard Dawkins has proposed that dams are part of the extended phenotype of beavers. There are parasites that are able to change the behavior of their hosts. Similarly, we are able to change the breeding pattern of other animals for our benefit (or pleasure). Regards Eric

Mike Elzinga · 18 September 2008

Aren’t we next having problems with the term natural? Is a beaver dam a natural structure or not? Richard Dawkins has proposed that dams are part of the extended phenotype of beavers. There are parasites that are able to change the behavior of their hosts. Similarly, we are able to change the breeding pattern of other animals for our benefit (or pleasure).

— Eric Finn
I would tend to call this natural (as opposed to supernatural). Every creature is part of the environment of other creatures, and interaction is, of course, inevitable. Predator and prey modify each other’s evolutionary trajectories. Humans affect their environment in ways that could conceivably affect their own evolutionary path (and that includes medical interventions that affect the relative distributions of genetically transmitted characteristics that might otherwise be sorted differently by the selection processes that act on other species that are not capable of such interventions). It gets a little trickier if we refer to human interventions and intelligent animal interventions. Calling them “artificial” seems to me to imply that they are in a special class of natural events simply because they are the result of phenomena taking place in the neural systems of these animals that have some seemingly purposeful objective behind them. The mating behaviors of Bower birds and other such animals could also qualify even though we generally call this “instinct”. How complex does instinct have to become in order to qualify as “purposeful intelligence”? Historically, “artificial selection”, as opposed to “natural selection”, for example, implies human intervention. But that may be just a conceit of humans. Any other such creature in the natural world that had the ability to do so might intervene in analogous ways. Ants cultivating larva or fungi, for example. Is that “artificial” or just another manifestation of “natural” (doin' what comes naturally)? Fortunately it doesn't appear to be a semantic issue that ID/Creationists can exploit to much advantage.

iml8 · 18 September 2008

What we have are three classes of phenomena:

1: Natural phenomena we understand.

2: Natural phenomena we don't have a clue about at the
present time, but which we will understand once we
learn more.

3: Supernatural phenomena that are outright violations,
now and forever, of the laws of nature, even those that
we don't now understand.

The sciences have no real problem with (2). They
emphatically reject (3) because by that definition
there is nothing the sciences can say about it at
the very least, and no good reason to believe in
such things at the most.
For various reasons that I don't claim to
really understand, the ID crowd wants the sciences to
address (3). This being nonsensical, they
tapdance continuously between (2) and (3) in hopes of
confusing the issue.

White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Ric · 18 September 2008

When I hear the phrase "X is no longer with us," I cringe. It is way too reminiscent of DaveScott. I say let trolls post until they do something particularly egregious. I always took pleasure in the fact that our side wasn't afraid to take on trolls.

Paul Burnett · 18 September 2008

Ric said: When I hear the phrase "X is no longer with us," I cringe. It is way too reminiscent of DaveScott. I say let trolls post until they do something particularly egregious.
If you don't think "Bobby's" / "Jobby's" blatant vandalism and sabotage at http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2008/08/the-evolution-o-7.html or a couple of other recent threads is "egregious," please re-define "egregious" for us.
I always took pleasure in the fact that our side wasn't afraid to take on trolls.
It's not fear at all - it's sadness and regret at the waste of time and bandwidth - and diversion from the actual topic at hand. That being said, I somewhat don't mind trolls, because the time spent explaining things and providing useful links may be instructive and useful for innocent pilgrims and honest lurkers.

slpage · 18 September 2008

I see, PvM, that you've met "island."

A more arrogant, condescending gasbag one will be hard pressed to meet.

Just remember, he is right about everything, and if you disagree, you will be called names.

Simple as that.

Robin · 18 September 2008

Paul Burnett said:
Ric said: When I hear the phrase "X is no longer with us," I cringe. It is way too reminiscent of DaveScott. I say let trolls post until they do something particularly egregious.
If you don't think "Bobby's" / "Jobby's" blatant vandalism and sabotage at http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2008/08/the-evolution-o-7.html or a couple of other recent threads is "egregious," please re-define "egregious" for us.
I always took pleasure in the fact that our side wasn't afraid to take on trolls.
It's not fear at all - it's sadness and regret at the waste of time and bandwidth - and diversion from the actual topic at hand. That being said, I somewhat don't mind trolls, because the time spent explaining things and providing useful links may be instructive and useful for innocent pilgrims and honest lurkers.
I have to grudgingly agree. I say grudgingly because I am against the idea of banning people in principle. But Bobby refused to adhere to any level of decency and on a blog such as this, there is no reason to tolerate such. It's a shame because, as you note Paul, such posters do provide a questions from which well-stated, interesting responses came in. Alas, the cost to benefit ratio was just too high. Ahh...but we still have FL. And isn't there a William Wallace (can't remember the person's name) who posts some oddities from time to time?

iml8 · 18 September 2008

Paul Burnett said: If you don't think "Bobby's" / "Jobby's" blatant vandalism and sabotage ... is "egregious," please re-define "egregious" for us.
Yes, it was pure mindless heckling from the back rows -- the verbal equivalent of strewing toilet paper over somebody's front yard. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Eric · 18 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: How complex does instinct have to become in order to qualify as “purposeful intelligence”?
Yup yup. Awesome question. Beavers, leafcutter ants, bower birds, chimpanzees etc... all perform actions that blur the line between designed and not. Evidently nature really has it in for creationists. First she won't play ball on the age of the earth, now she goes and muddies up teleology by making animals that use tools. And plan. And communicate intentions, when they aren't supposed to have intentions. Its almost as if - perish the thought - their philosophical premise that there is a bright-line distinction between design on the one side and "chance + law" on the other does not reflect observed reality. Nah. Couldn't be. ;) (P.S. Mike, you know the ID answer to your question, right? No amount of complexity qualifies animals because they aren't made in the image of G..uh, I mean they aren't sentient. Humans are special and unique that way. So only their stuff counts as purposeful. I suspect most IDers are closet Cartesians.)

ragarth · 18 September 2008

Eric said:
Mike Elzinga said: How complex does instinct have to become in order to qualify as “purposeful intelligence”?
Yup yup. Awesome question. Beavers, leafcutter ants, bower birds, chimpanzees etc... all perform actions that blur the line between designed and not. Evidently nature really has it in for creationists. First she won't play ball on the age of the earth, now she goes and muddies up teleology by making animals that use tools. And plan. And communicate intentions, when they aren't supposed to have intentions. Its almost as if - perish the thought - their philosophical premise that there is a bright-line distinction between design on the one side and "chance + law" on the other does not reflect observed reality. Nah. Couldn't be. ;) (P.S. Mike, you know the ID answer to your question, right? No amount of complexity qualifies animals because they aren't made in the image of G..uh, I mean they aren't sentient. Humans are special and unique that way. So only their stuff counts as purposeful. I suspect most IDers are closet Cartesians.)
Okay, so changing gears: Would it be a natural course of the universe, ie, considered natural origin of species if an alien civilization did put a secret gamma laser on the moon to zap terrestrial gonads and produce their preferred mutations? I'm pretty neutral on the answer to this, if the answer is no, it's not natural then there is a line someplace that needs to be defined, if the answer is yes, it is natural, then that just means that an alien civilization genetically engineering species 40 million years ago is natural as well, and therefore discoverable by science, which would make my previous arguments about artificial origin of species being discoverable by science because what I had previously stated at artificial would then be definable as natural.

ragarth · 18 September 2008

which would make my previous arguments about artificial origin of species being discoverable by sciencen moot*

It's terrible when a critical word disappears through edit.

Eric · 18 September 2008

ragarth said: Okay, so changing gears: Would it be a natural course of the universe, ie, considered natural origin of species if an alien civilization...
Continuing the metaphor, you're getting wrapped around the axle here on terms. It's not supernatural. But its not natural selection in Darwin's original sense. Its more like dog breeding. Artificial selection is a reasonable term. Artificial selection is fully consistent with the current TOE. Just as dog breeding did not invalidate natural selection for Darwin, human breeding wouldn't either. Natural selection is a mechanism for how nature can produce speciation in the absence of intelligent action - neither general TOE nor natural selection requires that every speciation event be explained in this way. ID does not make the weak claim that we have our earth history wrong. What ID claims is that natural selection can't produce some traits.

Mike Elzinga · 18 September 2008

Its almost as if - perish the thought - their philosophical premise that there is a bright-line distinction between design on the one side and “chance + law” on the other does not reflect observed reality. Nah. Couldn’t be. ;) (P.S. Mike, you know the ID answer to your question, right? No amount of complexity qualifies animals because they aren’t made in the image of G..uh, I mean they aren’t sentient. Humans are special and unique that way. So only their stuff counts as purposeful. I suspect most IDers are closet Cartesians.)

— Eric
Indeed. :-) And it gets even more “diabolical” for them. Humans are supposed to be unique in that they know “right and wrong”, in other words they understand morality. This apparently derives from humans being made in the image of their sectarian deity. Thus, only those things humans do count as intelligence. But what about Hawaiian mynah birds and their “mynah bird courts”? I have personally witnessed one of these. A flock of mynahs arrives on the ground and forms a circle around a single mynah that cowers in the center of the circle while the others chatter among themselves. Then a number of things can happen; the bird in the center is beaten up, is killed, or is let go. What do we know about hierarchy and morality in, say, whales or dolphins? These animals are intelligent by most standards. What are their rules? Do they have any analogous concept of a deity? Many pack animals have elaborate rules and hierarchies. In fact, from what we are learning about many animals, where is the dividing line between not having concepts analogous to those found in humans and being human? Yes, there appears to be a big quantitative jump in humans; but is it qualitatively different from what is occurring in other animals? If the difference is really qualitative, might that simply reflect another layer of emergent phenomena as the complexity of the brain increases and more feedback mechanisms come into play in the neural activity of the brain? It looks like Satan is really playing mind games with these ID/Creationists. It’s getting as bad for them as trying to deny the continuity evolution leading to new species. They have really boxed themselves in. For public relations purposes they can’t admit that they are looking for a supernatural sectarian deity, so they claim they are simply looking for evidence of “intelligent design”. But in order to do that, they have to restrict themselves to their concept of human intelligence or its projection onto an “unspecified” sectarian deity. But we all know what that sectarian deity is; there is no way they can hide this. So, just what are they looking for; let alone all the issues of deciding when they have found it?

iml8 · 18 September 2008

Eric said: ID does not make the weak claim that we have our earth history wrong. What ID claims is that natural selection can't produce some traits.
And of course that means that some Designer had to have done it. There's the pretense that it might be aliens or some other unknown natural cause ... OK, then you're stuck with finding evidence for the cause, just like our Inheritor geneticist, who isn't going to be taken seriously making a claim based on such a massive assumption until such evidence crops up. So that leaves a supernatural cause -- "POOF!" -- which by definition of "supernatural" means "outside of the laws of nature" and "inherently and forever unexplainable by science" and so the sciences literally can't have much to say about it. I suspect that there are ID advocates who feel they are sincere in dancing this two-step. However, the only real serious conflict in evo science is in teaching antiDarwin concepts in the public schoools. If it was just two factions arguing the matter out with each other, it would be academic. The Darwin-bashers already have their websites, their own schools, and home study teaching their concepts, and at least in the USA nobody is seriously trying to stop them. But once Darwin-bashers want their stuff taught in public schools, there's going to be a fight: "We don't want your kind peddling this pseudoscientific trash to our kids!" And to be able to push their concepts in public school, they have to be able to convince the courts that they have a scientific argument and are not merely pushing Biblical literalism with a tinfoil science wrapper, since then they would be imposing a partisan ideological view without scientific merit on the rest of the public. That was impossible with traditional creation science, since the tinfoil wrapper was so thin any judge could see through it right away. Enter ID. Like I said, I would not be surprised if some ID advocates really believe what they are saying, but even if so ID is marvelously convenient for the lobbying effort. It's sanitized, with the theistic trail erased as well as possible. ID in the form as discussed above is very limited and conservative, at least compared to creation science, making a very small set of highly constrained assertions. This turns out, coincidentally or not, to be something the lobbyists feel they can get past the law. Here's the stinger: They sell ID to the judges, and if they ever get a favorable ruling, then they have a green light to teach ID in the schools. But what they actually insert is not the limited pitch sold to the judges -- they bring in textbooks like OF PANDAS & PEOPLE / THE DESIGN OF LIFE and EXPLORE EVOLUTION that are basically sanitized traditional creation science tracts, compilations of old, decrepit, and long-demolished creationist arguments. So by plan or not, ID is just a massive bait-&-switch scam. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorst

Eric · 18 September 2008

iml8 said: So that leaves a supernatural cause -- "POOF!" -- which by definition of "supernatural" means "outside of the laws of nature" and "inherently and forever unexplainable by science" and so the sciences literally can't have much to say about it.
Ragarth has inspired me with his aliens, so let me entertain (or more likely, bore) you with a different thought experiment. PvM, feel free to bathroom wall this entire post. Imagine the creator is a very predictable fellow. If you do the right dance, he responds with a specific miracle (say, rain). Consistently - every time. Such a phenomenon is open to scientific study. You could publish your methodology and results, and scientists on other continents could repeat it for verification. You could test variances - how fast and slow can you dance and still invoke the rain? Does it always have to occur under a full moon? Does it matter what the dancer believes? Does it follow rules of addition (2 people yield twice as much rain)? If you build a dancing robot, does god respond? Now, the real point here is not the specific rules that god follows for intervention, but that he follows rules for intervention at all. The very predictability that makes him accessible to science means he does not, in any way, resemble the typical Christian conception of God. Such a god behaves more like Pavlov's dog. Or a dancing circus bear. Or a somewhat arbitrary rule of physics. The animal trainer cracks a whip and up the bear goes on his hind legs. You do the dance, and god responds with his trick. Creationism's expectation that one can find God through scientific experiment belittles the conception of God until he's nothing more than a dancing bear. God, I filled the petri dish in just the right way, so now you spontaneously generate a flagella for me. So, I'd argue that it's not that the supernatural can't be studied via science. Its that anything that can be studied via science is not supernatural enough to be worth worshipping. And with that, I'm off for beer.

iml8 · 18 September 2008

Eric said: So, I'd argue that it's not that the supernatural can't be studied via science. Its that anything that can be studied via science is not supernatural enough to be worth worshipping.
Actually I was thinking something mildly along the same lines -- that science might well be able to investigate a supernatural intervention IF IT HAPPENED REPEATEDLY ON A REASONABLY PREDICTABLE schedule. Of course if it could be predicted that might well blow the "supernatural" cover: "OK, this weird thing happens, we know the circumstances under which it happens, and if we can't come up with any deeper explanation we'll just have to assign it as some basic law of the Universe." Sort of like wave-particle duality -- it doesn't seem to make much sense, but it's the way the cosmos works, deal with it. Didn't think of the theological implication (but then I wouldn't, being theology-averse). Sort of like Douglas Adams and the BabelFish: "But the BabelFish is so Intelligently Designed that it's a dead giveaway to your existence, so we don't need faith in you any more." "Oh dear, I hadn't thought of that," God said, and disappeared in a puff of logic. White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html

Mike Elzinga · 18 September 2008

So, I’d argue that it’s not that the supernatural can’t be studied via science. Its that anything that can be studied via science is not supernatural enough to be worth worshipping.

— Eric
I made this point (not as eloquently) to an ID/Creationist some time ago and it went right over his head. The argument returned to the vague “intelligence” or “evidence for design” that are being used to avoid mentioning the supernatural and the ensuing problems with connecting that to data in the natural world. This led me to conclude that this is another concept that is hidden from people who have been indoctrinated by that kind of sectarian dogma. Just as with the word evidence, supernatural doesn’t register as a problem for them even though they are carefully following the script of avoiding mentioning it; they just simply never address the issue, and any other word they substitute for it apparently makes it ok for them. There is no question that ID/Creationist fundamentalism does bizarre things to the mind.

Sort of like Douglas Adams and the BabelFish: “But the BabelFish is so Intelligently Designed that it’s a dead giveaway to your existence, so we don’t need faith in you any more.” “Oh dear, I hadn’t thought of that,” God said, and disappeared in a puff of logic.

— iml8
Gotta love Douglas Adams. He had some of the funniest counter arguments to the silly religion shtick that anyone has ever come up with. And he similarly punctured a lot of other pretentions as well.

ragarth · 18 September 2008

Eric said: God, I filled the petri dish in just the right way, so now you spontaneously generate a flagella for me.
This is an absolutely awesome line. Congrats, that made my evening. :-)

ragarth · 18 September 2008

Eric:

I'm sorry to show my ignorance more than I have already, but for me this is a learn-through-debate experience.

What is TOE? I can't find the proper words to fit the acronym, and the part of the anatomy that matches those letters is so common as to obfuscate a google search.

Mike Elzinga · 18 September 2008

ragarth said: Eric: I'm sorry to show my ignorance more than I have already, but for me this is a learn-through-debate experience. What is TOE? I can't find the proper words to fit the acronym, and the part of the anatomy that matches those letters is so common as to obfuscate a google search.
Theory Of Evolution

ragarth · 18 September 2008

Mike Elzinga said: Theory Of Evolution
Thank you.

sharky · 24 September 2008

Good GRIEF, Discovery Institute, are you objecting enough there?

Once again, any battle appears to be THE Battle for Intelligent Design. I want to sit the ID crowd down for a time-out with a cup of tea and cookies.