Who ever would have thought that meiosis would lead to such extravagant iridescent show-offs?
Seems the peahens are generally less taken by the displays than are humans. Then again, peahens are out for more than just the flash.
Glen D
I don't know if it's mating songs or territorial calls or what, but peacocks have got to be the loudest of domestic birds. Their calls can be extremely annoying.
Henry J · 10 October 2008
Here's its page on the Tree-of-Life website: http://tolweb.org/Pavo/57452
KTH said:
Too bad humans don't have nearly so much to work with. We have no tails!
Obviously, you've never seen Elton John's "improvisations"
Crudely Wrott · 10 October 2008
Paul Burnett said:
I don't know if it's mating songs or territorial calls or what, but peacocks have got to be the loudest of domestic birds. Their calls can be extremely annoying.
And deceptively human-like, Paul. I was once forced to throw myself through a thick hedge by the cries coming from the other side. I distinctly heard a child calling, "Ha-elllp! Ha-elllp!"
When I struggled into the neighboring yard, minus bits of clothing and flesh, there was a male peacock in full display and voice and two pea hens. The looks they gave me were less than approving. I took the long way around on my way back.
a lurker · 10 October 2008
Keep up the great photos about the animals (and other organisms) that evolution "created."
Peacocks make sense as a result of sexual selection, but certain not by intelligent design.
a lurker said:
Peacocks make sense as a result of sexual selection, but certain not by intelligent design.
Actually, Phil Johnson pointed to the peacock's tail
as a disproof of Darwinism, asking why evolutionary
selection would produce organisms with life-threatening
ornaments.
When I read that I stared at it with my mouth slightly
open for a minute and
then thought: "OK, so why would a DESIGN process
produce organisms with
life-threatening ornaments? Was the Designer on
recreational drugs? Wanted to design a Cadillac with
meter-high tailfins?"
These guys ...
White Rabbit (Greg Goebel) http://www.vectorsite.net/gblog.html
Joel · 10 October 2008
Spectacular!
Thanks for posting this.
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
Did the peacock deliberately choose this background?
novparl · 11 October 2008
How long did it take to evolve? An atom, a molecule, or a feature (e.g. feather) at a time?
jobby · 11 October 2008
“OK, so why would a DESIGN process produce organisms with life-threatening ornaments?
... the same reason we have poodles and siamese cats.
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
jobby: I hope you are not suggesting that God (or whoever is your Intelligent Designer) is just as worse a Designer than we humans (sometimes) are. Blasphemy!
jobby · 11 October 2008
Eddie Janssen said:
jobby: I hope you are not suggesting that God (or whoever is your Intelligent Designer) is just as worse a Designer than we humans (sometimes) are. Blasphemy!
... no a male peacock is a beautiful creature. as are many domestic dogs and cats. but as you might know many domesticated animals could not compete in the wild against the less attractive wild dogs etc. the point is that much of animal life seems designed. in a survival arms race it is unlikely that many of these creatures would have evolved thur NS.
a not unfeasible scenario is that some super intelligence was tinkering with the DNA to see what beautiful, curious and interesting creatures could arise. to completely dismiss this without overwhelming evidence is not science.
FL · 11 October 2008
Peacocks make sense as a result of sexual selection
Not anymore. In fact, "Peahens do not prefer peacocks with more elaborate trains," as Takahashi et al wrote last April in the journal Animal Behavior. Peacocks no longer constitute evidence of evolution via sexual selection.
"This is a falsified prediction. This means that numerous textbooks and websites need to be revised."
---- David Tyler, ARN
********
You guys better go hire a new poster boy (or in this case, poster bird) for the religion of evolution, because THIS one has definitely flown the coop!!!
For more details, go to:
http://www.arn.org/blogs/index.php/literature/2008/04/01/sexual_selection_falsified_in_the_case_o
FL :)
jobby · 11 October 2008
FL said:
Peacocks make sense as a result of sexual selection
Not anymore. In fact, "Peahens do not prefer peacocks with more elaborate trains," as Takahashi et al wrote last April in the journal Animal Behavior. Peacocks no longer constitute evidence of evolution via sexual selection.
"This is a falsified prediction. This means that numerous textbooks and websites need to be revised."
---- David Tyler, ARN
********
You guys better go hire a new poster boy (or in this case, poster bird) for the religion of evolution, because THIS one has definitely flown the coop!!!
For more details, go to:
http://www.arn.org/blogs/index.php/literature/2008/04/01/sexual_selection_falsified_in_the_case_o
FL :)
... Darwinists do not need evidence or data. FAITH is all they need. They are living in the middle ages.
iml8 said:
Actually, Phil Johnson pointed to the peacock's tail as a disproof of Darwinism, asking why evolutionary selection would produce organisms with life-threatening ornaments.
They can't be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild without any intervention from intelligent agents, which essentially destroys all the value of analogies to domestic dogs some would like to draw. Now if we were to find a creature that was decidedly unable to survive in the wild, then such analogies might have some force.
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
Pavo Cristatus? Isn't he one of the Three Tenors?
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
As usual, when a creationist says the sky is blue, go outside and check. From Discovery Channel news:
Since male peacocks appear to shiver in response to female run-arounds, the scientists think that male mating calls, which consist of multiple notes and sound very different than the noises females make, could affect mating success. The trains, on the other hand, may just be obsolete signals at this point, they suggest.
Louise Barrett, a member of the Faculty of Science and Technology at the University of Central Lancashire in Preston, U.K., thinks the reason for their obsolescence could be that, unlike many other elaborate traits in birds and animals, peacock trains are dictated by the female hormone estrogen, rather than testosterone.
Barrett said that "it is the absence of estrogen in the male that produces the train, rather than the presence of testosterone."
"Traits under the control of estrogen are usually very poor indicators of phenotypic (visible physical attributes) and genotypic (DNA) condition," she explained. "Accordingly, females are known to disregard estrogen-dependent male plumage cues when choosing mates."
Barrett, however, mentioned that this theory, along with the rest of the new findings, is bound to be controversial, since other researchers have presented data suggesting that a peacock's train does influence whether or not a female will choose to mate with him.
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
and http://blog.lib.umn.edu/denis036/thisweekinevolution/2008/06/guest_blogger_the_peacocks_tal.html
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
jobby:
"a not unfeasible scenario is that some super intelligence was tinkering with the DNA to see what beautiful, curious and interesting creatures could arise. to completely dismiss this without overwhelming evidence is not science."
Obviously you are not referring to God. God knows how a peacock's tail will look like when He (God, not the peacock) has some fun with the A's, G's, T's and C's (God does not tinker; according to my English-Dutch dictionary "to tinker" means something like doing a bad job). Maybe God (excusez-moi: some super intelligence) gave women **** (i am looking for a decent word here) for the same reason...
joby · 11 October 2008
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
. ... Then how would we know when and if a secondary sexual characteristic becomes too life threatening and outweighs its mating advantage??
joby · 11 October 2008
Eddie Janssen said:
jobby:
"a not unfeasible scenario is that some super intelligence was tinkering with the DNA to see what beautiful, curious and interesting creatures could arise. to completely dismiss this without overwhelming evidence is not science."
Obviously you are not referring to God. God knows how a peacock's tail will look like when He (God, not the peacock) has some fun with the A's, G's, T's and C's (God does not tinker; according to my English-Dutch dictionary "to tinker" means something like doing a bad job).
Maybe God (excusez-moi: some super intelligence) gave women **** (i am looking for a decent word here) for the same reason...
if life were designed the entity doing so could be far superior in intelligence to us so to do try to comprehend its motives would be as difficult as a dog understanding why humans read books.
.. or it could be just and experiment by a life form somewhat moe advanced then we are
... we wil probably be able to 'design' DNA in 20 years and do our own 'tinkering'. and would we not see if we could develop unusual creatures with unusual features?
Once again, FL demonstrates his poor reading comprehension, and also demonstrates that he has never actually observed live peafowl, either, otherwise, he would have realized that he is making a fool of himself, yet again.
People fail to realize that the sexual characteristics a female bird looks for won't necessarily be painfully obvious to a human observer, such as the fact that in some species of pheasants, the hens prefer to mate with males that have the longest spurs, as opposed to those with the most fabulous plumage.
Likewise, even if peahen do not actively select for males with the biggest trains (the actual tail feathers of the peacock serve to erect what we think of as the tail), peacock trains do play an indirect, albeit crucial role in sexual selection, in that peacocks use their trains in order to intimidate their rivals, and thus, deny lesser males access to the local peahens, and limiting the peahens' choices to only those males with the biggest trains, as all of the males with dinky trains will have scared away.
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
jobby said:
(snip)
a not unfeasible scenario is that some super intelligence was tinkering with the DNA to see what beautiful, curious and interesting creatures could arise. to completely dismiss this without overwhelming evidence is not science.
Then a not unreasonable expectation is that those who hold this position explain when and howwhich designer did what. Or least make an attempt.
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
To avoid this real work is not science, it is cowardice.
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
jobby
.. or it could be evolution. I think Ockham would pick evolution.
joby said:
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
. ... Then how would we know when and if a secondary sexual characteristic becomes too life threatening and outweighs its mating advantage??
When those individuals that have these secondary sexual characteristics die out while producing fewer or no young.
You expect us to believe an ID promoting blog's claims just because YOU do? Nope! Seriously, if the train on a peacock is not used for attracting females, then it is useless and even dangerous for a male to have. That only makes creationism look even more ridiculous.
Take a hint, FL: Creationists, including ID promoters, are willing to LIE in order to promote their dogmas. I've known that since I was a college student.
FL said:
Peacocks make sense as a result of sexual selection
Not anymore. In fact, "Peahens do not prefer peacocks with more elaborate trains," as Takahashi et al wrote last April in the journal Animal Behavior. Peacocks no longer constitute evidence of evolution via sexual selection.
"This is a falsified prediction. This means that numerous textbooks and websites need to be revised."
---- David Tyler, ARN
********
You guys better go hire a new poster boy (or in this case, poster bird) for the religion of evolution, because THIS one has definitely flown the coop!!!
For more details, go to:
http://www.arn.org/blogs/index.php/literature/2008/04/01/sexual_selection_falsified_in_the_case_o
FL :)
jobby · 11 October 2008
Eddie Janssen said:
jobby
.. or it could be evolution.
I think Ockham would pick evolution.
"When deciding between two models which make equivalent predictions, choose the simpler one,"
... well if you believe in OR ID would be the choice
jobby · 11 October 2008
Then a not unreasonable expectation is that those who hold this position explain when and how which designer did what. Or least make an attempt.
.... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared. a super intelligence beyond what we can comprehend fully. not human, not even close to human is the most likely. however there is a possibility that it also could have been on the level of humans but ahead of us time wise about 500 million years
Wheels · 11 October 2008
Occam's Razor doesn't apply, because ID doesn't make predictions that have explanatory power, certainly not equal explanatory power.
However, even if we entertained the comparison for the sake of the Razor, we are essentially comparing evolution and evolution+designer. I'm basing that on the fact that Behe admits that not all natural features are "designed" but probably evolved naturally, so we are working with a system that includes the whole of evolution plus invokes the Designer. The fact that a small number of hand-picked systems are alleged to have been Designed rather than to have evolved does not cancel out the complexity added to the system by invoking this mysterious extra-natural agency. So if we were able to apply the Razor, ID wouldn't make the cut.
jobby · 11 October 2008
Occam’s Razor doesn’t apply, because ID doesn’t make predictions that have explanatory power, certainly not equal explanatory power.
.... what predictions does Darwinism make??
jobby · 11 October 2008
The fact that a small number of hand-picked systems are alleged to have been Designed rather than to have evolved does not cancel out the complexity added to the system by invoking this mysterious extra-natural agency. So if we were able to apply the Razor, ID wouldn’t make the cut.
.... if we use that logic then the theory that people with red have bad tempers is a better theory than some people with red hair are genetically predisposed but also the childhood environment is a factore.
... sorry charlie: no cigar!
jobby · 11 October 2008
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
. … Then how would we know when and if a secondary sexual characteristic becomes too life threatening and outweighs its mating advantage??
When those individuals that have these secondary sexual characteristics die out while producing fewer or no young.
........... but how do we know it is not another concommitant factor??
jobby · 11 October 2008
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
... here is the circular logic. we have an unusal seemingly non-adaptive feature: the large train. according to Darwinism features appear because they make a survival advantage
do we know that peacocks with smaller trains have less offspring?? or is it just FAITH in Darwinism that leads us to believe that???
Alan B · 11 October 2008
jobby said:
" ... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention when the first cell appeared."
You seem to be a little out of date. Clearly identifiable fossils exist in the Precambrian (try Googling Edicaria) or look out for Charnia masoni (probably a seapen - a kind of soft coral) from Charnwood Forest, England). 3 species of Charnia are known, the first (C. masoni) having been discovered in 1957. Specimens of one of the 3, Charnia wardii, have been found over 2m long!
Or, try reading Brasier, M., McLoughlin, N., Green, O., and Wacey, D. (June 2006). "A fresh look at the fossil evidence for early Archaean cellular life" (PDF). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society: Biology 361 (1470): 887–902. doi:10.1098/rstb.2006.1835.
I retrieved this today so there is no excuse for not being able to find out.
This suggests that there is evidence for life going back to 3 Ga and maybe further. Others have suggested that life first began shortly after (maybe within 100 Ma or so) after the Late Heavy Bombardment around 3.8 Ga.
However good or well meaning your arguments are, you will never get support from a site like this until you get up to date.
tresmal · 11 October 2008
Jobby: simple question. Are you a raelian?
FL · 11 October 2008
Hey Stanton, it's only natural that you guys would want to conduct some Damage Control after a gig like Takahashi's. I certainly don't fault you for that.
However, the fact remains (as Wisker's blog makes clear; thanks to fnxtr for providing it), that Takahashi et al actually hasn't been overturned by anybody.
That previous studies existed (Petrie, Petrie and Williams, Loyau) that support peacock sexual selection is not a surprise; indeed Wisker points out that THEY are the "conventional wisdom" that Wisker admits is "challenged" by the Takahashi paper.
(You did see that word "challenged" in there, right Stanton?)
Stated simply, Wisker would like to be able to negate that challenge but is forced to heavily qualify his potential objections for now.
He can't overturn or refute anything at this time.
Example:
Takahashi’s group noted that females who perform multiple “run-around” behavior for a male often accept that male for copulation later, so they considered any female who performed more than two successive run-arounds for a male as having made a “preferred visit”, and counted that as a successful copulation.
This could be a crucial source of error, if a significant number of females performed multiple run-arounds but did not accept the male for copulation later, or if they copulated after less than three run-arounds.
It’s certainly worth investigating separately.
In the following example, Wisker admits a certain advantage of the Takahashi study. As you'd expect, he attempts to cast doubt at the end of it, but a mere "it is not clear" is as far as he can go.
He can't overturn or refute anything at this time.
The Japanese authors also discuss other factors that may explain the different conclusions, namely sample size, length of study, and the age of the males involved. The advantage their study has over the others is the number of individuals (around twice that of the others), length of the study and the range of ages of the males. It is not clear, however, if those factors contributed significantly to the results.
In the end, Wisker simply states his preference for Petrie's views (the "conventional wisdom") while talking about "more research questions" and "further investigation".
And all that's to be expected. However....that does not overturn the challenge posed by Takahashi. Y'all are just not there yet. Wisker wants to say "The creationists' dream is just that" but right now, he doesn't ***know*** that. He's just hoping. Meanwhile, you still got Takahashi on the table, as yet unrefuted.
Like David Tyler said,
(Takahashi)'s conclusion is effectively "We do not know the origin or original function of the peacock's tail, but we think it originated a long time ago."
Some will remain unconvinced of the challenge on the table. Some will insist that peacock feathers ARE evidence of evolution via sexual selection ("the conventional wisdom") no matter what's on the peer-review science-journal table right now.
That's fine. Be it evolution or Christianity, people are generally loathe to give up even a fraction of their chosen religion. Me too.
But the honest pro-science approach to take, actually would be to insist that those in charge, go ahead and revise those textbooks and websites to at least reflect the challenge presented by Takahashi's 2008 article.
FL :)
Henry J · 11 October 2008
Likewise, even if peahen do not actively select for males with the biggest trains (the actual tail feathers of the peacock serve to erect what we think of as the tail), peacock trains do play an indirect, albeit crucial role in sexual selection, in that peacocks use their trains in order to intimidate their rivals, and thus, deny lesser males access to the local peahens, and limiting the peahens’ choices to only those males with the biggest trains, as all of the males with dinky trains will have scared away.
Oh, so some features might be effective in the primaries rather than the final elections? Interesting.
Henry
jobby · 11 October 2008
Alan B said:
jobby said:
" ... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention when the first cell appeared."
You seem to be a little out of date. Clearly identifiable fossils exist in the Precambrian (try Googling Edicaria) or look out for Charnia masoni (probably a seapen - a kind of soft coral) from Charnwood Forest, England). 3 species of Charnia are known, the first (C. masoni) having been discovered in 1957. Specimens of one of the 3, Charnia wardii, have been found over 2m long!
Or, try reading Brasier, M., McLoughlin, N., Green, O., and Wacey, D. (June 2006). "A fresh look at the fossil evidence for early Archaean cellular life" (PDF). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society: Biology 361 (1470): 887–902. doi:10.1098/rstb.2006.1835.
I retrieved this today so there is no excuse for not being able to find out.
This suggests that there is evidence for life going back to 3 Ga and maybe further. Others have suggested that life first began shortly after (maybe within 100 Ma or so) after the Late Heavy Bombardment around 3.8 Ga.
However good or well meaning your arguments are, you will never get support from a site like this until you get up to date.
... These studies do not give evidence of no intervention. What point are you trying to make??
jobby · 11 October 2008
jobby said:
Alan B said:
jobby said:
" ... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention when the first cell appeared."
You seem to be a little out of date. Clearly identifiable fossils exist in the Precambrian (try Googling Edicaria) or look out for Charnia masoni (probably a seapen - a kind of soft coral) from Charnwood Forest, England). 3 species of Charnia are known, the first (C. masoni) having been discovered in 1957. Specimens of one of the 3, Charnia wardii, have been found over 2m long!
Or, try reading Brasier, M., McLoughlin, N., Green, O., and Wacey, D. (June 2006). "A fresh look at the fossil evidence for early Archaean cellular life" (PDF). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society: Biology 361 (1470): 887–902. doi:10.1098/rstb.2006.1835.
I retrieved this today so there is no excuse for not being able to find out.
This suggests that there is evidence for life going back to 3 Ga and maybe further. Others have suggested that life first began shortly after (maybe within 100 Ma or so) after the Late Heavy Bombardment around 3.8 Ga.
However good or well meaning your arguments are, you will never get support from a site like this until you get up to date.
... These studies do not give evidence of no intervention. What point are you trying to make??
please quote me correctly:
'seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared'
jeez how slimey to misquote like that
jobby said:
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
... here is the circular logic. we have an unusal seemingly non-adaptive feature: the large train. according to Darwinism features appear because they make a survival advantage
do we know that peacocks with smaller trains have less offspring?? or is it just FAITH in Darwinism that leads us to believe that???
Note how the Troll repeats the same old argument from ignorance, acting like we have to disprove his designer, god, whatever it is, instead of recognizing that the scientific burdon of proof is on him. This is it's only game, denying the burdon of proof no matter what sort of nonsensical distortions or outright lies it needs to weave to do it, in order to somehow persuade us that we should treat seriously the theory that little elves protect the peacocks from death via excessive plumage.
Why is he not banned immediately upon touching any thread? It's not like his behavior is ever a surprise. Or did any of you used to think that Lucy was finally going to let Charlie Brown kick the football this one time?
tresmal · 11 October 2008
Jobby said:"seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared"
Actually, jobby, the first cells appeared at least three billion years before the Cambrian.
You still haven't answered my question; are you a raelian?
PvM · 11 October 2008
seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared.
— Jobby
Only to the poorly informed who ignores that evidence available. Care to support your assertions Bobby?
Or is it time to 'claim victory and run'?
PvM · 11 October 2008
Okay let's start with the work of Valentine "On the Origin of Phyla". Up for it? Let me warn you
1. It's a book 2. It's a big book 3. It's a big book with big words 4. It's a big book with big words in small print
What do you say? Interested in discussing Valentine
PS: How familiar are you with the pre-cambrian, it's life forms and the data?
Surprise us.
Alan B · 11 October 2008
"seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared"
I apologize for the misquote - it was an honest mistake because your words could be taken to mean exactly what I thought you said and I notice that others took them the same way as I did. Having said that, I do object to being called "slimey" (you know nothing at all about me) and I am surprised that you find it necessary take the name of the Lord Jesus Christ in vain. Do you have scriptural support for that?
Unfortunately, as others have suggested, your use of English was poor. It strongly implied that you considered the Cambrian explosion also to be when the first cell appeared.
You will run into criticism if you go in for the hit and run tactics and are not clear in what you say. But then, you know that, don't you?
Incidentally, have you read any of the material I quoted?
To take it further, what form did the "intervention" take that you are so keen on? Who did what, how and when? Do you have any substance in your ideas? Do you have any evidence? You are on a site where science is being discussed. Are you talking science or would you be happier on a religious site?
Alan B · 11 October 2008
Sorry, jobby, your time is up.
It may be late afternoon your time but in the UK it is after 11 p.m. and I need a reasonable night - exam on Wednesday. I am what they laughingly call a "mature student".
I'll be back tomorrow if you have anything useful to say. Best wishes to all.
Just because conventional wisdom is "challenged" does not mean you can simply dismiss it. One paper making a claim does not a revolution in science make. Others must also attempt to replicate the studies and attempt to identify possible flaws in them. That's called PEER REVIEW. Sounds like you are jumping to some loony conclusions because of your bias, FL. Have you ever observed a population of peafowl over a long period of time? If not, why do you take this one questionable paper at face value and call it a challenge to evolution? Because you are biased against evolution!
FL said:
Hey Stanton, it's only natural that you guys would want to conduct some Damage Control after a gig like Takahashi's. I certainly don't fault you for that.
However, the fact remains (as Wisker's blog makes clear; thanks to fnxtr for providing it), that Takahashi et al actually hasn't been overturned by anybody.
That previous studies existed (Petrie, Petrie and Williams, Loyau) that support peacock sexual selection is not a surprise; indeed Wisker points out that THEY are the "conventional wisdom" that Wisker admits is "challenged" by the Takahashi paper.
(You did see that word "challenged" in there, right Stanton?)
Stated simply, Wisker would like to be able to negate that challenge but is forced to heavily qualify his potential objections for now.
He can't overturn or refute anything at this time.
Example:
Takahashi’s group noted that females who perform multiple “run-around” behavior for a male often accept that male for copulation later, so they considered any female who performed more than two successive run-arounds for a male as having made a “preferred visit”, and counted that as a successful copulation.
This could be a crucial source of error, if a significant number of females performed multiple run-arounds but did not accept the male for copulation later, or if they copulated after less than three run-arounds.
It’s certainly worth investigating separately.
In the following example, Wisker admits a certain advantage of the Takahashi study. As you'd expect, he attempts to cast doubt at the end of it, but a mere "it is not clear" is as far as he can go.
He can't overturn or refute anything at this time.
The Japanese authors also discuss other factors that may explain the different conclusions, namely sample size, length of study, and the age of the males involved. The advantage their study has over the others is the number of individuals (around twice that of the others), length of the study and the range of ages of the males. It is not clear, however, if those factors contributed significantly to the results.
In the end, Wisker simply states his preference for Petrie's views (the "conventional wisdom") while talking about "more research questions" and "further investigation".
And all that's to be expected. However....that does not overturn the challenge posed by Takahashi. Y'all are just not there yet. Wisker wants to say "The creationists' dream is just that" but right now, he doesn't ***know*** that. He's just hoping. Meanwhile, you still got Takahashi on the table, as yet unrefuted.
Like David Tyler said,
(Takahashi)'s conclusion is effectively "We do not know the origin or original function of the peacock's tail, but we think it originated a long time ago."
Some will remain unconvinced of the challenge on the table. Some will insist that peacock feathers ARE evidence of evolution via sexual selection ("the conventional wisdom") no matter what's on the peer-review science-journal table right now.
That's fine. Be it evolution or Christianity, people are generally loathe to give up even a fraction of their chosen religion. Me too.
But the honest pro-science approach to take, actually would be to insist that those in charge, go ahead and revise those textbooks and websites to at least reflect the challenge presented by Takahashi's 2008 article.
FL :)
Have you naysayers considered that the reason peahens are not impressed by peacocks' massive tail feathers is because ALL peacocks have them? If all men were three meters (nine feet) tall, being three meters tall would be no big deal to women. There would have to be something new and unusual, such as having blue hair as well, to make the man stand out and attract more mates than other three meter tall men. Meanwhile, men shorter than average would tend to lose out. Likewise, while the first peacocks with enlarged tail feathers would have stood out and attracted more mates, over time the genes for extremly long and complex tail feathers has become universal in the peafowl genome, thus negating the original attraction of the massive feathers. Now, it is only the peacocks that happen to lack the massive tail feathers that do not attract mates. Thousands or millions of years ago, peacock tail feathers were a big deal, but not today.
Those Japanese scientists look incompetent. The proper way to test the attractiveness of peacock tail feathers is to:
1. Select a population of peafowl from the wild and take them captive.
2. Right before the peafowl mating season, cut off the tails of about half the males.
3. Observe how many ACTUAL MATINGS occur between unaltered males and females, and also the number of ACTUAL MATINGS between altered males and females.
FL has brought up some points from my guest blog on the Takahashi et al article. The biggest problems I have with their study is their failure to use the same methodology in determining male reproductive success. This becomes critical when one considers how low the variance in tail morphology is in all of the studied populations. The Takahashi population had the lowest variance of all of them. If variation is very low for the trait under examination, then it will be very difficult to determine if selection is happening at all. Use of a different methodology than the other groups only compounds the problem.
Another issue concerning the low variance is the factors which contribute to it. While it is true that sexual selection can be expected to reduce genetic variance in the trait, other factors not directly related to female prefernce can make significant contributions as well. Firstly, lekking species typically show highly skewed sex ratios, which reduce the effective population size. Reduced effective population sizes sap genetic diversity. Secondly, in some bird species (peafowl being one of them), males on the lek are often closely related. This increases the inbreeding coefficient for the population, which also reduces the pool of genetic diversity. Finally--and perhaps more importantly--in all of the studies, the populations were very small and isolated, giving stochastic processes, such as genetic drift, more opportunity to reduce the variance. RA Fisher pointed out that, as the genetic variance for a trait decreases, so do its selective benefits. This could explain the weak correlations in the positive studies, as well as the negative results Takahashi et al reported. However, if the variance was reduced significantly by genetic drift as an artifact of the size of the studied populations, then Takahashi's paper has NOT demonstrated that peahens do not prefer males with more elaborate trains. They have not ruled out this possibility, therefore FL is foolish to suggest that their conclusions should replace the common wisdom. His suggestion is, in fact, anti-scientific.
I just said all that already, in simpler language! Sheesh! Are you implying I did a poor job because I didn't use enough big words?!
Dave WIsker said:
FL has brought up some points from my guest blog on the Takahashi et al article. The biggest problems I have with their study is their failure to use the same methodology in determining male reproductive success. This becomes critical when one considers how low the variance in tail morphology is in all of the studied populations. The Takahashi population had the lowest variance of all of them. If variation is very low for the trait under examination, then it will be very difficult to determine if selection is happening at all. Use of a different methodology than the other groups only compounds the problem.
Another issue concerning the low variance is the factors which contribute to it. While it is true that sexual selection can be expected to reduce genetic variance in the trait, other factors not directly related to female prefernce can make significant contributions as well. Firstly, lekking species typically show highly skewed sex ratios, which reduce the effective population size. Reduced effective population sizes sap genetic diversity. Secondly, in some bird species (peafowl being one of them), males on the lek are often closely related. This increases the inbreeding coefficient for the population, which also reduces the pool of genetic diversity. Finally--and perhaps more importantly--in all of the studies, the populations were very small and isolated, giving stochastic processes, such as genetic drift, more opportunity to reduce the variance. RA Fisher pointed out that, as the genetic variance for a trait decreases, so do its selective benefits. This could explain the weak correlations in the positive studies, as well as the negative results Takahashi et al reported. However, if the variance was reduced significantly by genetic drift as an artifact of the size of the studied populations, then Takahashi's paper has NOT demonstrated that peahens do not prefer males with more elaborate trains. They have not ruled out this possibility, therefore FL is foolish to suggest that their conclusions should replace the common wisdom. His suggestion is, in fact, anti-scientific.
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
Sheesh! Are you implying I did a poor job because I didn’t use enough big words?!
Not at all. Is your self-esteem so low that a more fleshed out explanation in reply to someone citing my article threatens you? Or is your ego so immense that you can tolerate no further examination of the subject once you addressed it?
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
Dale husband writes:
Those Japanese scientists look incompetent. The proper way to test the attractiveness of peacock tail feathers is to:
1. Select a population of peafowl from the wild and take them captive.
2. Right before the peafowl mating season, cut off the tails of about half the males.
3. Observe how many ACTUAL MATINGS occur between unaltered males and females, and also the number of ACTUAL MATINGS between altered males and females.
4. Record the results.
5. Publish the results.
Was this done here? Appearantly NOT!
This only tests female preference for males with tails. It does not address female preference for more elaborate trains.
Dave WIsker said:
This only tests female preference for males with tails. It does not address female preference for more elaborate trains.
When you say "female preference for more elaborate trains," is that to say that they prefer steam locomotives or bullet trains, or anything with fancy dining cars and separate sleeping compartments?
Dave Wisker said:
Sheesh! Are you implying I did a poor job because I didn’t use enough big words?!
Not at all. Is your self-esteem so low that a more fleshed out explanation in reply to someone citing my article threatens you? Or is your ego so immense that you can tolerate no further examination of the subject once you addressed it?
Please excuse Mr Husband, Dr Wisker, he uses facetiousness to mask the pain of his caffeine addictions.
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
When you say “female preference for more elaborate trains,” is that to say that they prefer steam locomotives or bullet trains, or anything with fancy dining cars and separate sleeping compartments?
Bullet trains do have a James Bondish kind of charm, but nothing beats a steam train at full throttle. But that's just me.
Please excuse Mr Husband, Dr Wisker
I'm just a lowly grad student, not a Dr.
he uses facetiousness to mask the pain of his caffeine addictions.
Sheesh! Are you implying I did a poor job because I didn’t use enough big words?!
Not at all. Is your self-esteem so low that a more fleshed out explanation in reply to someone citing my article threatens you? Or is your ego so immense that you can tolerate no further examination of the subject once you addressed it?
Niether. I just get annoyed at those who come across as smarter than everyone else. Then I realized who you were and thus my mistake. My apologies for stepping all over your territory.
Dave WIsker said:
This only tests female preference for males with tails. It does not address female preference for more elaborate trains.
I tend to simplify things for ignorant pests like FL. Again, I was mistaken. The floor is now yours, Dave Wisker!
Dave WIsker · 12 October 2008
I just get annoyed at those who come across as smarter than everyone else. Then I realized who you were and thus my mistake. My apologies for stepping all over your territory.
No, I owe you an apology. Well done!
jobby · 12 October 2008
Dave WIsker said:
Dale husband writes:
Those Japanese scientists look incompetent. The proper way to test the attractiveness of peacock tail feathers is to:
1. Select a population of peafowl from the wild and take them captive.
2. Right before the peafowl mating season, cut off the tails of about half the males.
3. Observe how many ACTUAL MATINGS occur between unaltered males and females, and also the number of ACTUAL MATINGS between altered males and females.
4. Record the results.
5. Publish the results.
Was this done here? Appearantly NOT!
This only tests female preference for males with tails. It does not address female preference for more elaborate trains.
... and exactly what was wrong with their methodology? Have you reviewed it??
Dave WIsker · 12 October 2008
jobby writes:
do we know that peacocks with smaller trains have less offspring?? or is it just FAITH in Darwinism that leads us to believe that???
Behold:
Petrie M and A Williams (1993). Peahens lay more eggs for peacocks with larger trains. Proc. Royal Soc. London B
251: 127-131
From the abstract:
Reproduction is costly and individual decisions about when and how much to invest in reproduction will relate to potential benefits in terms of offspring survivorship or mating success. For those organisms that can reproduce more than once, individuals should invest relatively more in reproduction when the potential benefits are high. If females gain directly or indirectly from choosing attractive, highly ornamented males, then it could be predicted that females mated to these males should invest more in reproduction. Here we report the first test of this prediction for a lekking species, peafowl (Pavo cristatus), in which males do not provide resources for offspring, and females prefer to mate with those males that possess the most elaborate trains. We find that peahens randomly mated to males that vary in the degree of ornament produce more eggs for those peacocks with more elaborate trains. We could find no evidence to support the possibility that this difference arises as a result of difference between males in their ability to fertilize eggs.
Dave WIsker · 12 October 2008
jobby writes:
… and exactly what was wrong with their methodology? Have you reviewed it??
There was nothing wrong with their methodology per se (and yes, I have reviewed it, along with the methodologies of the other studies as well). The problem is, as I noted in my article (did you read it?) Takahashi et al's method for determining male reproductive success was very different from that of the others. Where the British and French studies used observed number of copulations as their metric for male success, Takahashi et al estimated the number of copulations based on female non-copulatory behavior on the lek. This difference becomes important when trying to compare the results of all the studies, especially when the variance for the trait in question is so low. If Takahashi's method failed to catch even a small number of successful copulations, that could be enough to produce the negative results they came up with. My feeling is, the same methodology should be used before the studies can be compared properly.
jobby said:
... and exactly what was wrong with their methodology? Have you reviewed it??
Uh, a description of it was in the link I gave. Here it is again:
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/03/26/peacock-feathers-females.html
Warning to Dave Wisker: Look here to see what jobby is (in)capable of:
http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2008/09/luskin-and-the-2.html
eric · 12 October 2008
Jobby,
Are you claiming that the cambrian explosion produced peacocks? Because that's what the question was about. Or are you just trying to dodge specifics again?
I'll repeat fnxtr's original challenge with more clarity: anyone holding the position that the peacock was designed should explain when, how, and what.
jobby said:
Then a not unreasonable expectation is that those who hold this position explain when and how which designer did what. Or least make an attempt.
.... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared. a super intelligence beyond what we can comprehend fully. not human, not even close to human is the most likely. however there is a possibility that it also could have been on the level of humans but ahead of us time wise about 500 million years
fnxtr · 12 October 2008
For the uninitiatied, Yobbo has a tendency to suggest space aliens are responsible for evolution, but lacks the cajones to fill in the details.
Bill Gascoyne · 12 October 2008
Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem. (Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity.) Essentia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitudinem. (Don't use more postulates than you have to.) Pluralitas non ponenda est sine necessitate. (Multiplicity is not to be asserted when it is unnecessary.)
Occam's Razor, William Of Occam (C.1285-1349)
It is precisely because ID postulates an entity called "the designer" that Occam is violated. You must prove that this entity is necessary.
FL · 13 October 2008
Welcome Mr. Wisker. I discussed your essay because one of the evolutionists brought it up.
I see that qualifier, "IF", is still being employed in key places.
However, IF the variance was reduced significantly by genetic drift as an artifact of the size of the studied populations, then Takahashi’s paper has NOT demonstrated that peahens do not prefer males with more elaborate trains.
But that's all we have for now. "IF." I imagine some evolutionists are very heavily hoping that the "IF" will get confirmed somehow.
But for now, it's just an "IF." And nothing more. Takahashi's paper remains NOT overturned at this time.
They have not ruled out this possibility,
Nor have they or anyone else confirmed it at all. At this time, the "possibility" is nothing more than "a possibility."
Therefore FL is foolish to suggest that their conclusions should replace the common wisdom. His suggestion is, in fact, anti-scientific.
Hardly "foolish", and even more hardly "anti-scientific."
Sure there are evolutionists who want to believe in "the common wisdom" no matter what, but the fact is that you now have on the table a strong (not perfect, but quite strong, with an advantage even you admitted to vis-a-vis previous studies) science-journal-published challenge to the "conventional wisdom." It won't go away.
You'd like to see Takahashi's conclusion overturned, and I'm sure you're not alone, but for now all you can do is offer a few, very visibly qualified, potential criticisms---"IF" those potential criticisms happen to pan out in the future.
Maybe they will pan out someday; maybe they won't pan out someday. Me, I'll just make a note of your blog essay and stay tuned to see what happens.
But until such time as Takahashi et al is overturned, "IF" that happens, it's quite reasonable, rational, and in line with science to go ahead and suggest that yes the old stale preachings of peacock-feathers-are-evidence-of-evolution-via-sexual-selection, are incorrect.
Hence it's okay to suggest that it's time to revise those textbooks and evolution websites to at least reflect the Takahashi challenge.
FL
FL said:
Welcome Mr. Wisker. I discussed your essay because one of the evolutionists brought it up.
I see that qualifier, "IF", is still being employed in key places.
However, IF the variance was reduced significantly by genetic drift as an artifact of the size of the studied populations, then Takahashi’s paper has NOT demonstrated that peahens do not prefer males with more elaborate trains.
But that's all we have for now. "IF." I imagine some evolutionists are very heavily hoping that the "IF" will get confirmed somehow.
But for now, it's just an "IF." And nothing more. Takahashi's paper remains NOT overturned at this time.
They have not ruled out this possibility,
Nor have they or anyone else confirmed it at all. At this time, the "possibility" is nothing more than "a possibility."
Therefore FL is foolish to suggest that their conclusions should replace the common wisdom. His suggestion is, in fact, anti-scientific.
Hardly "foolish", and even more hardly "anti-scientific."
Sure there are evolutionists who want to believe in "the common wisdom" no matter what, but the fact is that you now have on the table a strong (not perfect, but quite strong, with an advantage even you admitted to vis-a-vis previous studies) science-journal-published challenge to the "conventional wisdom." It won't go away.
You'd like to see Takahashi's conclusion overturned, and I'm sure you're not alone, but for now all you can do is offer a few, very visibly qualified, potential criticisms---"IF" those potential criticisms happen to pan out in the future.
Maybe they will pan out someday; maybe they won't pan out someday. Me, I'll just make a note of your blog essay and stay tuned to see what happens.
But until such time as Takahashi et al is overturned, "IF" that happens, it's quite reasonable, rational, and in line with science to go ahead and suggest that yes the old stale preachings of peacock-feathers-are-evidence-of-evolution-via-sexual-selection, are incorrect.
Hence it's okay to suggest that it's time to revise those textbooks and evolution websites to at least reflect the Takahashi challenge.
FL
You ignored what I wrote earlier, didn't you? Figures. Here, I'll just repeat it:
Just because conventional wisdom is “challenged” does not mean you can simply dismiss it. One paper making a claim does not a revolution in science make. Others must also attempt to replicate the studies and attempt to identify possible flaws in them. That’s called PEER REVIEW. Sounds like you are jumping to some loony conclusions because of your bias, FL. Have you ever observed a population of peafowl over a long period of time? If not, why do you take this one questionable paper at face value and call it a challenge to evolution? Because you are biased against evolution!
Have you naysayers considered that the reason peahens are not impressed by peacocks’ massive tail feathers is because ALL peacocks have them? If all men were three meters (nine feet) tall, being three meters tall would be no big deal to women. There would have to be something new and unusual, such as having blue hair as well, to make the man stand out and attract more mates than other three meter tall men. Meanwhile, men shorter than average would tend to lose out. Likewise, while the first peacocks with enlarged tail feathers would have stood out and attracted more mates, over time the genes for extremly long and complex tail feathers has become universal in the peafowl genome, thus negating the original attraction of the massive feathers. Now, it is only the peacocks that happen to lack the massive tail feathers that do not attract mates. Thousands or millions of years ago, peacock tail feathers were a big deal, but not today.
Those Japanese scientists look incompetent. The proper way to test the attractiveness of peacock tail feathers is to:
1. Select a population of peafowl from the wild and take them captive.
2. Right before the peafowl mating season, cut off the tails of about half the males.
3. Observe how many ACTUAL MATINGS occur between unaltered males and females, and also the number of ACTUAL MATINGS between altered males and females.
4. Record the results.
5. Publish the results.
Was this done here? Appearantly NOT!
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/03/26/peacock-feathers-females.html
Thus, FL’s arrogant assertions are debunked!
So, either you answer my points honestly, or GO AWAY!
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
Fl,
While I appreciate your interest in my article, I can see a familiar pattern emerging in your responses. You cling to my careful use of the word 'if' like a drowning man grasping at anything to stay afloat. Let's consider the facts. First, Takahashi et al's paper is the only one of four major studies that failed to find female preference (there is also an Indian study,done on a completely wild population, which also found significant female preference for elaborate trains). Of all of them, the population studied by the Japanese researchers had the lowest variation in tail morphology. Although I did say their work had the advantage of a larger population and was conducted over a longer period of time (something the DI crowed overas well), it should be very clear that this advantage can be completely negated if the population does not have enough variation to detect selection in the first place. In fact, the longer the study is conducted, the less variation it can be expected to have, considering the small initial size and isolation of the population they were examining. Second, some of their criticisms of the other studies were off the mark,as I showed regarding the hours when observations regarding mating behavior were made. Third, they used a different methodology in determining male reproductive success, which also takes the teeth out of many of the advantages they claimed for their work over the others. So, given these facts, I think it is premature to accord their results the stature of a general statement regarding sexual selection in these birds, especially since three other, independent studies contradict their findings.
One thing I do find interesting about the Japanese paper is how the big bad Darwinist orthodoxy allowed its publication in the first place. I guess teh Darwinist police were asleep at the switch.
You know FL is not going to understand or accept any of that, right? Yes, I agree that under ideal circumstances you should study a wild population in its own natural territory to know how a species is supposed to behave. So perhaps my earlier suggested experiment could be improved by a catch and release program of altered peacocks instead of taking a small population captive, which would result in altered peafowl behavior, unrelated to mating, that would damage the integrity of the study. And you need to have enough variation in a population to be noticable, hench my earler suggestion to cut off the peacocks' trains, which you can refine to only remove half the trains or one quarter of the trains in further experiments. And you need to observe and record actual matings, not just behavior related to the mating season (Do peafowl have a mating season, or do they mate all year round? Just curious). That the flaws of the Japanese study were not noticed by the ID promoters' website, or by FL, shows how committed they are to spitting out propaganda rather than doing real science.
Dave WIsker said:
Fl,
While I appreciate your interest in my article, I can see a familiar pattern emerging in your responses. You cling to my careful use of the word 'if' like a drowning man grasping at anything to stay afloat. Let's consider the facts. First, Takahashi et al's paper is the only one of four major studies that failed to find female preference (there is also an Indian study,done on a completely wild population, which also found significant female preference for elaborate trains). Of all of them, the population studied by the Japanese researchers had the lowest variation in tail morphology. Although I did say their work had the advantage of a larger population and was conducted over a longer period of time (something the DI crowed overas well), it should be very clear that this advantage can be completely negated if the population does not have enough variation to detect selection in the first place. In fact, the longer the study is conducted, the less variation it can be expected to have, considering the small initial size and isolation of the population they were examining. Second, some of their criticisms of the other studies were off the mark,as I showed regarding the hours when observations regarding mating behavior were made. Third, they used a different methodology in determining male reproductive success, which also takes the teeth out of many of the advantages they claimed for their work over the others. So, given these facts, I think it is premature to accord their results the stature of a general statement regarding sexual selection in these birds, especially since three other, independent studies contradict their findings.
One thing I do find interesting about the Japanese paper is how the big bad Darwinist orthodoxy allowed its publication in the first place. I guess teh Darwinist police were asleep at the switch.
Dave Wisker · 13 October 2008
Dale Writes:
You know FL is not going to understand or accept any of that, right? Yes, I agree that under ideal circumstances you should study a wild population in its own natural territory to know how a species is supposed to behave. So perhaps my earlier suggested experiment could be improved by a catch and release program of altered peacocks instead of taking a small population captive, which would result in altered peafowl behavior, unrelated to mating, that would damage the integrity of the study. And you need to have enough variation in a population to be noticable, hench my earler suggestion to cut off the peacocks’ trains, which you can refine to only remove half the trains or one quarter of the trains in further experiments
Experimental manipulation of the tails was done to the British population in a separate paper by Marion Petrie and Tim Halliday in 1994.They altered the number of eyespots in males by judiciously cutting individual tail feathers with scissors, being careful not to alter the overall density of eyespots and length of the tails. They found that males with higher eyespot number had significantly better reproductive success.
Petrie M and T Halliday (1994). Experimental and natural changes in the peacock's(Pavo cristatus) train can affect mating success. Behav. Ecol. Sociobiol.35: 213-217
Mary Hunter · 13 October 2008
This picture just hit me why the peacock's tail has the "eyes". If you look at how transparent the rest of the tail looks you can see the purpose of the "eyes" They allow a great display of color and movement while the rest of the feather minimizes the aerodynamic cost of having such a large and conspicuous display device. As my husband always says." Ain't the designer wonderful?" Tongue firmly in cheek.
GvlGeologist, FCD · 13 October 2008
A pet peeve of mine - the "eyes" may have a function, but we can't know whether or not they have a "purpose". Unless I am misunderstanding what many have said here, evolution results in structures with different functions to the organism, but there are no purposes to evolution.
Mary Hunter said:
This picture just hit me why the peacock's tail has the "eyes". If you look at how transparent the rest of the tail looks you can see the purpose of the "eyes" They allow a great display of color and movement while the rest of the feather minimizes the aerodynamic cost of having such a large and conspicuous display device. As my husband always says." Ain't the designer wonderful?" Tongue firmly in cheek.
Mary Hunter · 13 October 2008
Reading back through the entries a number of things have come to mind about why the male of so many species supports the burden of flashy display devices. A male with a large tail tells a female a number of things important to the survival of the offspring. A large tailed male is probably older therefore smarter, stronger or more lucky than the rest. He is also more parasite resistant as studies (sorry I can't name them) have shown that males debilitated by large infestations of parasites have less colorful displays and attract fewer matings. This is actually evolution at its most obvious the quest we need to answer is not why the devices but why those devices. Take a look at the Argus Pheasant with his exaggerated wing feathers. If these don't win him extra matings then they would rapidly revert to the shorter length more useful in an explosive get away.
eric · 13 October 2008
Mary Hunter said:
the quest we need to answer is not why the devices but why those devices.
This is not always the case, but in some social animals one possible answer to 'why those' may unfortunately be the 'wedding ring effect.' I.e. (other) animals copying the arbitrary mate preferences of a successful animal, starting a self-reinforcing chain reaction. In these cases there won't be any rational biological answer to the 'why those' question, its essentially an arbitrary fashion trend that got fixed in the population.
Henry J · 13 October 2008
starting a self-reinforcing chain reaction.
Yeah, those positive feedback loops, gotta watch out for those!
FL · 13 October 2008
You know FL is not going to understand or accept any of that, right?
Ummmm, Dale, I'm NOT the one who found himself apologizing to Mr. Wisker for a *previous* (and entirely avoidable) misunderstanding in this thread....Let's all work on our own understandings, yes?
At any rate, let's continue a bit further.
******
I can see a familiar pattern emerging in your responses. You cling to my careful use of the word ‘if’ like a drowning man grasping at anything to stay afloat...
It is true I'm noticing and pointing out those "if's", yes.
But I'm not clinging, nor drowning either: the pattern your blog essay exhibits IS a visible and consistent qualifying of your potential criticisms, including repeated uses of the qualifier "if", as well as "can be", "may be", "could be." I'm just noting it.
As I said, I'm willing to take notes of your potential criticisms and definitely stay tuned. Not ignoring your explanations at all.
But there's not yet any warrant (and certainly no PUBLISHED warrant) to take your visibly qualified potential criticisms as the gospel, nor take them as the overturn of Takahashi's study and conclusion, until such time as further research puts some solid confirmatory legs on those "if's" and other qualifiers. That may happen; I'm only saying it hasn't yet.
******
Look at this one iffy spot for example. You point out in your blog (and allude to it in your most recent post) that Loyau conducted their study in the morning but you concede that Takahashi correctly said that Petrie's and Halladay's studies were not conducted in the morning.
Hence you can go no further than saying "that factor (Takahashi's criticism of previous studies because of the morning thing) maynot be significant"----but at this time, who know? It just may BE significant, that possibility IS not ruled out.
Like everybody seems to be saying, "further research is needed." So your potential criticism there is definitely worth noting, but NOT yet worth taking as gospel until such time as more research can put legs on it, if it can.
My position is that your entire blog essay overall can be respectfully characterized in that manner.
******
Furthermore, there appear to be an important aspect of Takahashi's study (at least one) that was not even addressed in your blog essay.
(I'm double-checking but I don't see it there.)
Takahashi points out that grown of the peacock's train is dependent on the absence of oestrogen rather than the presence of testosterone. She says this undermines the assumption that the train is a sexual signal.
"Until now, who cared that the peacock's train was under oestrogen control? Takahashi says. "We hope our paper will encourage others with (negative) data to publish."
----New Scientist Online, "Have peacock tails lost their sexual allure?" March 27 2008.
******
And what about the "shivering" thing? You said,
For example, Takahashi et al. found that a behavior known as “shivering” be important. It looks like a fertile field for further investigation.
Yes, indeed, it's important.
"Since male peacocks appear to shiver in response to female run-arounds, the scientists think that male mating calls, which consist of multiple notes and sound very different than the noises females make, could affect mating success.
The trains, on the other hand, may just be obsolete signals at this point, they suggest."
Discovery.com News Online, March 26, 2008
Where's the published article that overturns THAT one?
******
And to return to the oestrogen thing for a moment,
"Traits under the control of estrogen are usually very poor indicators of phenotypic (visible physical attributes) and genotypic (DNA) condition," she (Louise Barrett) explained.
"Accordingly, females are known to disregard estrogen-dependent male plumage cues when choosing mates."
(same source)
(Barrett, from the Univ. of Lethbridge, is one of the executive editors of the science journal Animal Behavior)
******
Well, are there other studies, studies that support the stale status quo? Of course there are, even Barrett said so. Hopefully, those "other" studies too will be critically reviewed for possible criticisms, instead of just saying "hey there's three more so we don't have to bother with Takahashi's studies".
Maybe there's some potential criticisms that can be made with that Indian study for example, who knows? Most research studies aren't perfect anyway.
******
So what do we have, for now? We have THIS:
(Takahashi's study) throws a wrench in the long-held belief that male peacock feathers evolved in response to female mate choice.
----from Dale's Discovery News link
And this:
(Takahashi's study) illustrates that the story is more interesting and complex than we thought. One should never be too complacent and think that a problem has been solved."
--- Louise Barrett
How long was the Takahashi study, btw? Seven years.
How many matings did they observe? 268.
As you said, it IS a major study.
Overturned? Not yet.
******
I think it is premature to accord their results the stature of a general statement regarding sexual selection in these birds, especially since three other, independent studies contradict their findings.
I disagree. It's certainly NOT premature to accord Takahashi's results the status of a competitor to the standard peacock-sexual-selection-evolution hypothesis. Barrett referred to them as "alternate hypotheses."
So it's okay, quite honestly, for me to stick to the competitor for now, to stick to the Takahashi conclusion instead of the stale ole evolution conclusion. And what did Takahashi conclude?
Takahashi)’s conclusion is effectively “We do not know the origin or original function of the peacock’s tail, but we think it originated a long time ago.” --- David Tyler
******
Finally, of course, the disagreements have already started. The guardians of the "conventional wisdom" know they better say something on this one. Hence Petrie has already "dismissed" the Takahashi study, and Loyau likewise throws in her criticisms too, in the New Scientist article.
And of course Mr. Wisker, you have your potential criticisms too---all iffy and unconfirmed as of now, but specific and worth noting in case confirmation should arise.
Meanwhile, it's time to revise those textbooks and "Understanding Evolution" websites.
Can't just keep on preachin' the same o' same o' as if Takahashi ain't on the table. The competitor is in the ring and she's a swingin' hard.
FL
I thought about posting this previously, but FL's "challenges" are so insipid that it seemed hardly worth the time. But it occurred to me that the IDists do happily wave around the one study (conveniently neglecting the others), and bleat the usual tripe, so here's the relevant portion of recent research testing sexual selection:
Yeast cells occur in two different mating types, somewhat akin to male and female. Each type signals to potential partners of the other type by producing an attractive chemical, called a pheromone. But cells vary widely in how strongly they can signal; the differences are genetic.
Rogers and Greig engineered one of the “sexes” of yeast cells, called MAT-alpha, to have either very high or very low signaling strength. They then mixed both types of cells with those of the opposite “sex” group, called MATa. This mixing was done in two different ways: in one, the MAT-alpha cells were few, and so faced little competition among each other; in the other, they were many, so that they faced tough competition for mating opportunities.
Only under the high-competition situation, the strong-signalling gene variant spread quickly through the population at the expense of the weak-signalling variant, Rogers and Greig found. This matched the predictions of sexual selection theory, they added.
“We have tested the simplest possible sexual selection scenario,” they wrote. “Observing the real time evolution of novel sexually selected traits, and preferences for them, is the ultimate test for sexual selection theory.”
www.world-science.net/exclusives/081013_selection.htm
It's always "one swallow does a summer make" with the creo-bozos. Look, it's just possible that the highly evolved peacock's train has reached the end of its evolutionary rope, and is no longer sexually selected. The odds are heavily against. Captive populations are hardly the best test subjects (ultra-conserved DNA sequences have recently been found to be also well-preserved in animals, while domesticated animals gave no clue that those sequences were at all needed), the expense of the gaudy apparel of the peacock continues to be paid to predators and in extra nutrients, and other studies have indicated that at least something about peacocks' feathers impresses the females.
But anyway, creos whine about the lack of experiment in evolution (usually in a manner that is less than truthful), yet they are done and they almost always support evolution when they are feasible to do. The research reported above is a much more representative experiment than is the peacock experiment, and it just seemed that people might like to know about it.
Glen D
You know FL is not going to understand or accept any of that, right?
Ummmm, Dale, I'm NOT the one who found himself apologizing to Mr. Wisker for a *previous* (and entirely avoidable) misunderstanding in this thread....Let's all work on our own understandings, yes?
At any rate, let's continue a bit further.
At least I don't assume I'm always right in my assumptions because of my clinging to religious extremism, which I find a manifestion of a huge ego and lack of critical thinking!
****************
Finally, of course, the disagreements have already started. The guardians of the "conventional wisdom" know they better say something on this one. Hence Petrie has already "dismissed" the Takahashi study, and Loyau likewise throws in her criticisms too, in the New Scientist article.
And of course Mr. Wisker, you have your potential criticisms too---all iffy and unconfirmed as of now, but specific and worth noting in case confirmation should arise.
Meanwhile, it's time to revise those textbooks and "Understanding Evolution" websites.
Can't just keep on preachin' the same o' same o' as if Takahashi ain't on the table. The competitor is in the ring and she's a swingin' hard.
FL
Not true at all. If we had to revise textbooks and websites because of some flawed challenge, they would never be reliable about anything. Takahashi has a long way to go, and he may not get much farther if the flaws in his study that we have already found are not fixed.
Overturned? Not yet.
This is putting the cart before the horse. It is Takahashi that must overturn the idea that peacock trains are a product of sexual selection. And if you had bothered to read all the comments on this thread, you would have known that Takahashi did no such thing. He failed. Get over it!
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
Glen Davidson writes:
It’s always “one swallow does a summer make” with the creo-bozos. Look, it’s just possible that the highly evolved peacock’s train has reached the end of its evolutionary rope, and is no longer sexually selected.
That actually is the conclusion which Takahashi et al propose in their paper, not sexual selection in peafowl has been 'falsified'-- that is the DI's breathless take on the situation. The DI wants people to believe that sexual selection does not occur in peafowl. That is the only reasonable interpretation of their blurb. Unfortunately for them, as I wrote before, sexual selection is expected to reduce the variation of the trait involved. This is nothing new nor controversial-- just basic population genetics. And, as I also pointed out, when variance for a trait is reduced, so are the fitness benefits for its selection, so it can be predicted that eventually female preference for more elaborate trains would become obsolete when the variance for the trait has been mined out of the population. This is also neither new nor controversial, and follows directly from basic population genetic theory. So, even if none of the variance was lost due to genetic drift, Takahashi et al's results can be explained as the result of standard evolutionary forces in their particular population. That's a far cry from 'falsifying' sexual selection in peafowl, as the DI so desparately wants us and readers like FL to think. Furthermore, Takahashi et al did not attempt to evaluate how much of the loss in variation was due simply to genetic drift, which is an artifact of their study. The fact that the other studies also dealt with small, isolated populations and found selection going on, suggests that if drift does play a significant role, then the negative results Takahashi et al came up with may be artificial in nature.
The odds are heavily against. Captive populations are hardly the best test subjects (ultra-conserved DNA sequences have recently been found to be also well-preserved in animals, while domesticated animals gave no clue that those sequences were at all needed), the expense of the gaudy apparel of the peacock continues to be paid to predators and in extra nutrients, and other studies have indicated that at least something about peacocks’ feathers impresses the females.
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
ignore that last paragraph. I forgot to delete it.
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
One more thing. I mentioned the 'shivering' behavior because it is an interesting part of the male behavior on the lek, and we don't know how much it contributes to the overall 'signal' to the female. However, as behavior it has been known and observed for a long time.
eric · 14 October 2008
Dave Wisker said:
...Takahashi et al's results can be explained as the result of standard evolutionary forces in their particular population. That's a far cry from 'falsifying' sexual selection in peafowl, as the DI so desparately wants us and readers like FL to think.
There is a larger point here, which is that FL is arguing the false dichotomy. We could be wrong about sexual selection being the primary cause of the peacock's tail and it still doesn't matter - this still wouldn't be evidence for design.
FL, your argument amounts to "the evidence is not as strong as you think." Try to realize that this line of argument, even if successful, never rationally leads to science's accepting a hypothesis that has no evidence whatsoever behind it. Ultimately the only way science is going to accept design is if design proponentists actually do research and actually come up with independent confirmable evidence of design. But its been 12 years since the publication of Darwins Black Box and your one biochemist still doesn't seem inclined to do any ID research, so I wouldn't hold my breath.
tresmal · 14 October 2008
To expand on Eric's point a bit, what ID and creationism in general lacks, is positive evidence in favor of their position. Their entire case, such as it is, rests on poking holes in evolution.
Imagine a murder. Negative evidence in favor of the ex-wife-diddit hypothesis would be the butler having an alibi (to make the analogy more apt it should be a remarkably flimsy alibi.) Positive evidence for the ex-wife-diddit hypothesis would be her fingerprints on the murder weapon. It is this kind of positive evidence that is completely lacking from cdesignproponentists side. Imagine being a prosecutor trying to convict the ex wife with a case that amounted to nothing more than "we can't figure out who else could have done it."
Let me adjust your example, tresmal...
Imagine a murder where a man was killed by being bludgeoned to death with an overstuffed recliner...
The butler is accused and charged of the man's murder, even though he's only 5'1" tall, 110 lbs, and the recliner is 200 lbs, and is covered with the fingerprints of the 6'9" tall, 300 lbs former bodybuilder-turned-chauffeur, and that the wife, whom everyone but the murder victim knows has been having an affair with the chauffeur, stands to inherit the murder victim's millions, while the butler is left with the clothes on his back and the duster in his hand.
And the only reason why the prosecution insists that the butler be sent to the Gas Chamber is that "the butler always did it."
tresmal said:
Imagine a murder. Negative evidence in favor of the ex-wife-diddit hypothesis would be the butler having an alibi (to make the analogy more apt it should be a remarkably flimsy alibi.) Positive evidence for the ex-wife-diddit hypothesis would be her fingerprints on the murder weapon. It is this kind of positive evidence that is completely lacking from cdesignproponentists side. Imagine being a prosecutor trying to convict the ex wife with a case that amounted to nothing more than "we can't figure out who else could have done it."
Henry J · 14 October 2008
There is a larger point here, which is that FL is arguing the false dichotomy.
Yeah, even if it is an unanswered question, nothing in the theory promises to provide instant answers to all the details; the theory provides general principles. Details take work to figure out, even when the theory is "assumed" to be fairly accurate. (I put "assumed" in quotes because when a theory is already firmly established, new studies aren't expected to have to establish it all over again, even though anti-evolutionists like to imply such.)
Henry
tresmal · 14 October 2008
Stanton said:
...And the only reason why the prosecution insists that the butler be sent to the Gas Chamber is that "the butler always did it."
And belief and tradition always trump evidence! All I know is that the butler did it. That's what I was taught and that's good enough for me.
Cobby · 15 October 2008
Try to realize that this line of argument, even if successful, never rationally leads to science’s accepting a hypothesis that has no evidence whatsoever behind it.
... I think the point is that both ID and Darwinism theories have points that dispute them and points that support them. To say Darwinism is a fact is simply not being objective or scientific.
PvM · 15 October 2008
Evolution is a fact, Darwinism is part of the explanation of the fact. Darwinism is a fact in the sense that the aspects of it have been observed: inheritance, variation and natural selection. The question thus remains, to what extent is the fact of evolution explained by the fact of Darwinism. Since Darwinian theory has a vast amount of evidence supporting it, it has remained the best explanation of observed facts, although the theory itself has undergone quite a bit of transformation to include new knowledge.
The problem with ID is that it is scientifically speaking 'content free' and thus science will never have the opportunity to come to accept it, as it has nothing to offer.
Cobby said:
Try to realize that this line of argument, even if successful, never rationally leads to science’s accepting a hypothesis that has no evidence whatsoever behind it.
... I think the point is that both ID and Darwinism theories have points that dispute them and points that support them. To say Darwinism is a fact is simply not being objective or scientific.
Cobby · 15 October 2008
Darwinism is a fact in the sense that the aspects of it have been observed: inheritance, variation and natural selection
... well of course many aspects of Darwinism have been proven. But all of the subtheories must have substantial validation which they do not.
Of course NS happens but is it responsible for causing complex structures to evolve from simple ones? If that cannot be validated the whole theory is just another guess.
PvM · 15 October 2008
what are these subtheories to which you refer? In fact, it is quite simple to show that NS and variation can increase complexity of the genome. As to causing complex structures, again, NS and variation, as well as other mechanisms found in evolutionary theory, can explain the scale free nature of the many networks found in an organism.
Once again, we have arguments from ignorance, opposed by facts and Jobby's position is that the validity of Darwinism depends on his level of understanding. By that criterion, almost anything would have to be rejected. Luckily we are not constrained by Jobby's ignorance when doing science.
Thank God.
Cobby said:
Darwinism is a fact in the sense that the aspects of it have been observed: inheritance, variation and natural selection
... well of course many aspects of Darwinism have been proven. But all of the subtheories must have substantial validation which they do not.
Of course NS happens but is it responsible for causing complex structures to evolve from simple ones? If that cannot be validated the whole theory is just another guess.
tresmal · 15 October 2008
Cobby said:
... I think the point is that both ID and Darwinism theories have points that dispute them and points that support them. To say Darwinism is a fact is simply not being objective or scientific.
Hi jobby. You are wrong. ID does not have anything that supports it. And the only point against evolution is that there is more to learn.
Are you a raelian?
PvM · 15 October 2008
That is a good point. ID, contrary to Jobby's belief, is not in the business of presenting a coherent theory or hypothesis/hypotheses. Since there is no ID theory beyond, Darwinian theory cannot explain 'x', is it clear that ID presents nothing to compare to scientifically fruitful theories.
Perhaps Jobby can provide us with some non begging the question examples of what would support ID. Since in fact, ID could be fully compatible with Darwinian theory, what principles guides Jobby to believe that ID makes any relevant predictions.
tresmal said:
Cobby said:
... I think the point is that both ID and Darwinism theories have points that dispute them and points that support them. To say Darwinism is a fact is simply not being objective or scientific.
Hi jobby. You are wrong. ID does not have anything that supports it. And the only point against evolution is that there is more to learn.
Are you a raelian?
eric · 16 October 2008
Yes, bobby - what is one point of support for ID?
Not a point against evolution: a point against evolution is not a point of support for ID, unless you are also claiming that there are only two possible explanations for speciation.
PvM said:
... I think the point is that both ID and Darwinism theories have points that dispute them and points that support them. To say Darwinism is a fact is simply not being objective or scientific.
eric · 16 October 2008
Oops, my mistake, the blockquote in my previous quote should be attributed to "Cobby," not PvM. My apologies.
102 Comments
Venus Mousetrap · 10 October 2008
Unfortunately, feeding the blue chicken with pop rocks and soda turned out to be a terrible mistake.
Glen Davidson · 10 October 2008
http://tinyurl.com/2kxyc7
NPD · 10 October 2008
Hey baby... how you doin'?
Gary Bohn · 10 October 2008
I'd say the eyes have it.
James F · 10 October 2008
Paul Burnett · 10 October 2008
I don't know if it's mating songs or territorial calls or what, but peacocks have got to be the loudest of domestic birds. Their calls can be extremely annoying.
Henry J · 10 October 2008
Here's its page on the Tree-of-Life website:
http://tolweb.org/Pavo/57452
KTH · 10 October 2008
Too bad humans don't have nearly so much to work with. We have no tails!
Stacy S. · 10 October 2008
My first reaction - OOoooooohhh!
I had 3 peacocks on my roof a couple of weeks ago - that was a surprise! :-)
Stanton · 10 October 2008
Crudely Wrott · 10 October 2008
a lurker · 10 October 2008
Keep up the great photos about the animals (and other organisms) that evolution "created."
Peacocks make sense as a result of sexual selection, but certain not by intelligent design.
iml8 · 10 October 2008
Joel · 10 October 2008
Spectacular!
Thanks for posting this.
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
Did the peacock deliberately choose this background?
novparl · 11 October 2008
How long did it take to evolve? An atom, a molecule, or a feature (e.g. feather) at a time?
jobby · 11 October 2008
“OK, so why would a DESIGN process produce organisms with life-threatening ornaments?
... the same reason we have poodles and siamese cats.
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
jobby: I hope you are not suggesting that God (or whoever is your Intelligent Designer) is just as worse a Designer than we humans (sometimes) are. Blasphemy!
jobby · 11 October 2008
FL · 11 October 2008
jobby · 11 October 2008
Science Avenger · 11 October 2008
Surely you guys are not going to allow this vile exhibitionist to pollute yet another thread with his inane flatulence.
jobby · 11 October 2008
Science Avenger · 11 October 2008
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
Pavo Cristatus? Isn't he one of the Three Tenors?
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
and http://blog.lib.umn.edu/denis036/thisweekinevolution/2008/06/guest_blogger_the_peacocks_tal.html
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
jobby:
"a not unfeasible scenario is that some super intelligence was tinkering with the DNA to see what beautiful, curious and interesting creatures could arise. to completely dismiss this without overwhelming evidence is not science."
Obviously you are not referring to God. God knows how a peacock's tail will look like when He (God, not the peacock) has some fun with the A's, G's, T's and C's (God does not tinker; according to my English-Dutch dictionary "to tinker" means something like doing a bad job).
Maybe God (excusez-moi: some super intelligence) gave women **** (i am looking for a decent word here) for the same reason...
joby · 11 October 2008
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
. ... Then how would we know when and if a secondary sexual characteristic becomes too life threatening and outweighs its mating advantage??
joby · 11 October 2008
Stanton · 11 October 2008
Once again, FL demonstrates his poor reading comprehension, and also demonstrates that he has never actually observed live peafowl, either, otherwise, he would have realized that he is making a fool of himself, yet again.
People fail to realize that the sexual characteristics a female bird looks for won't necessarily be painfully obvious to a human observer, such as the fact that in some species of pheasants, the hens prefer to mate with males that have the longest spurs, as opposed to those with the most fabulous plumage.
Likewise, even if peahen do not actively select for males with the biggest trains (the actual tail feathers of the peacock serve to erect what we think of as the tail), peacock trains do play an indirect, albeit crucial role in sexual selection, in that peacocks use their trains in order to intimidate their rivals, and thus, deny lesser males access to the local peahens, and limiting the peahens' choices to only those males with the biggest trains, as all of the males with dinky trains will have scared away.
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
fnxtr · 11 October 2008
To avoid this real work is not science, it is cowardice.
Eddie Janssen · 11 October 2008
jobby
.. or it could be evolution.
I think Ockham would pick evolution.
Stanton · 11 October 2008
Stanton · 11 October 2008
Dale Husband · 11 October 2008
jobby · 11 October 2008
jobby · 11 October 2008
Then a not unreasonable expectation is that those who hold this position explain when and how which designer did what. Or least make an attempt.
.... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared. a super intelligence beyond what we can comprehend fully. not human, not even close to human is the most likely. however there is a possibility that it also could have been on the level of humans but ahead of us time wise about 500 million years
Wheels · 11 October 2008
Occam's Razor doesn't apply, because ID doesn't make predictions that have explanatory power, certainly not equal explanatory power.
However, even if we entertained the comparison for the sake of the Razor, we are essentially comparing evolution and evolution+designer. I'm basing that on the fact that Behe admits that not all natural features are "designed" but probably evolved naturally, so we are working with a system that includes the whole of evolution plus invokes the Designer. The fact that a small number of hand-picked systems are alleged to have been Designed rather than to have evolved does not cancel out the complexity added to the system by invoking this mysterious extra-natural agency.
So if we were able to apply the Razor, ID wouldn't make the cut.
jobby · 11 October 2008
Occam’s Razor doesn’t apply, because ID doesn’t make predictions that have explanatory power, certainly not equal explanatory power.
.... what predictions does Darwinism make??
jobby · 11 October 2008
The fact that a small number of hand-picked systems are alleged to have been Designed rather than to have evolved does not cancel out the complexity added to the system by invoking this mysterious extra-natural agency. So if we were able to apply the Razor, ID wouldn’t make the cut.
.... if we use that logic then the theory that people with red have bad tempers is a better theory than some people with red hair are genetically predisposed but also the childhood environment is a factore.
... sorry charlie: no cigar!
jobby · 11 October 2008
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
. … Then how would we know when and if a secondary sexual characteristic becomes too life threatening and outweighs its mating advantage??
When those individuals that have these secondary sexual characteristics die out while producing fewer or no young.
........... but how do we know it is not another concommitant factor??
jobby · 11 October 2008
They can’t be too life-threatening, because peacocks do in fact exist in the wild
... here is the circular logic. we have an unusal seemingly non-adaptive feature: the large train. according to Darwinism features appear because they make a survival advantage
do we know that peacocks with smaller trains have less offspring?? or is it just FAITH in Darwinism that leads us to believe that???
Alan B · 11 October 2008
jobby said:
" ... seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention when the first cell appeared."
You seem to be a little out of date. Clearly identifiable fossils exist in the Precambrian (try Googling Edicaria) or look out for Charnia masoni (probably a seapen - a kind of soft coral) from Charnwood Forest, England). 3 species of Charnia are known, the first (C. masoni) having been discovered in 1957. Specimens of one of the 3, Charnia wardii, have been found over 2m long!
Or, try reading Brasier, M., McLoughlin, N., Green, O., and Wacey, D. (June 2006). "A fresh look at the fossil evidence for early Archaean cellular life" (PDF). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society: Biology 361 (1470): 887–902. doi:10.1098/rstb.2006.1835.
I retrieved this today so there is no excuse for not being able to find out.
This suggests that there is evidence for life going back to 3 Ga and maybe further. Others have suggested that life first began shortly after (maybe within 100 Ma or so) after the Late Heavy Bombardment around 3.8 Ga.
However good or well meaning your arguments are, you will never get support from a site like this until you get up to date.
tresmal · 11 October 2008
Jobby: simple question. Are you a raelian?
FL · 11 October 2008
Henry J · 11 October 2008
jobby · 11 October 2008
jobby · 11 October 2008
Science Avenger · 11 October 2008
tresmal · 11 October 2008
You still haven't answered my question; are you a raelian?
PvM · 11 October 2008
PvM · 11 October 2008
Okay let's start with the work of Valentine "On the Origin of Phyla". Up for it? Let me warn you
1. It's a book
2. It's a big book
3. It's a big book with big words
4. It's a big book with big words in small print
What do you say? Interested in discussing Valentine
PS: How familiar are you with the pre-cambrian, it's life forms and the data?
Surprise us.
Alan B · 11 October 2008
"seems the cambrian explosion was a time of intervention also when the first cell appeared"
I apologize for the misquote - it was an honest mistake because your words could be taken to mean exactly what I thought you said and I notice that others took them the same way as I did. Having said that, I do object to being called "slimey" (you know nothing at all about me) and I am surprised that you find it necessary take the name of the Lord Jesus Christ in vain. Do you have scriptural support for that?
Unfortunately, as others have suggested, your use of English was poor. It strongly implied that you considered the Cambrian explosion also to be when the first cell appeared.
You will run into criticism if you go in for the hit and run tactics and are not clear in what you say. But then, you know that, don't you?
Incidentally, have you read any of the material I quoted?
To take it further, what form did the "intervention" take that you are so keen on? Who did what, how and when? Do you have any substance in your ideas? Do you have any evidence? You are on a site where science is being discussed. Are you talking science or would you be happier on a religious site?
Alan B · 11 October 2008
Sorry, jobby, your time is up.
It may be late afternoon your time but in the UK it is after 11 p.m. and I need a reasonable night - exam on Wednesday. I am what they laughingly call a "mature student".
I'll be back tomorrow if you have anything useful to say. Best wishes to all.
Dale Husband · 11 October 2008
Dale Husband · 11 October 2008
Have you naysayers considered that the reason peahens are not impressed by peacocks' massive tail feathers is because ALL peacocks have them? If all men were three meters (nine feet) tall, being three meters tall would be no big deal to women. There would have to be something new and unusual, such as having blue hair as well, to make the man stand out and attract more mates than other three meter tall men. Meanwhile, men shorter than average would tend to lose out. Likewise, while the first peacocks with enlarged tail feathers would have stood out and attracted more mates, over time the genes for extremly long and complex tail feathers has become universal in the peafowl genome, thus negating the original attraction of the massive feathers. Now, it is only the peacocks that happen to lack the massive tail feathers that do not attract mates. Thousands or millions of years ago, peacock tail feathers were a big deal, but not today.
Those Japanese scientists look incompetent. The proper way to test the attractiveness of peacock tail feathers is to:
1. Select a population of peafowl from the wild and take them captive.
2. Right before the peafowl mating season, cut off the tails of about half the males.
3. Observe how many ACTUAL MATINGS occur between unaltered males and females, and also the number of ACTUAL MATINGS between altered males and females.
4. Record the results.
5. Publish the results.
Was this done here? Appearantly NOT!
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2008/03/26/peacock-feathers-females.html
Thus, FL's arrogant assertions are debunked!
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
FL has brought up some points from my guest blog on the Takahashi et al article. The biggest problems I have with their study is their failure to use the same methodology in determining male reproductive success. This becomes critical when one considers how low the variance in tail morphology is in all of the studied populations. The Takahashi population had the lowest variance of all of them. If variation is very low for the trait under examination, then it will be very difficult to determine if selection is happening at all. Use of a different methodology than the other groups only compounds the problem.
Another issue concerning the low variance is the factors which contribute to it. While it is true that sexual selection can be expected to reduce genetic variance in the trait, other factors not directly related to female prefernce can make significant contributions as well. Firstly, lekking species typically show highly skewed sex ratios, which reduce the effective population size. Reduced effective population sizes sap genetic diversity. Secondly, in some bird species (peafowl being one of them), males on the lek are often closely related. This increases the inbreeding coefficient for the population, which also reduces the pool of genetic diversity. Finally--and perhaps more importantly--in all of the studies, the populations were very small and isolated, giving stochastic processes, such as genetic drift, more opportunity to reduce the variance. RA Fisher pointed out that, as the genetic variance for a trait decreases, so do its selective benefits. This could explain the weak correlations in the positive studies, as well as the negative results Takahashi et al reported. However, if the variance was reduced significantly by genetic drift as an artifact of the size of the studied populations, then Takahashi's paper has NOT demonstrated that peahens do not prefer males with more elaborate trains. They have not ruled out this possibility, therefore FL is foolish to suggest that their conclusions should replace the common wisdom. His suggestion is, in fact, anti-scientific.
Dale Husband · 11 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
Stanton · 11 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 11 October 2008
Dale Husband · 11 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 12 October 2008
jobby · 12 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 12 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 12 October 2008
Dale Husband · 12 October 2008
eric · 12 October 2008
fnxtr · 12 October 2008
For the uninitiatied, Yobbo has a tendency to suggest space aliens are responsible for evolution, but lacks the cajones to fill in the details.
Bill Gascoyne · 12 October 2008
Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem. (Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity.)
Essentia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitudinem. (Don't use more postulates than you have to.)
Pluralitas non ponenda est sine necessitate. (Multiplicity is not to be asserted when it is unnecessary.)
Occam's Razor, William Of Occam (C.1285-1349)
It is precisely because ID postulates an entity called "the designer" that Occam is violated. You must prove that this entity is necessary.
FL · 13 October 2008
Dale Husband · 13 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
Fl,
While I appreciate your interest in my article, I can see a familiar pattern emerging in your responses. You cling to my careful use of the word 'if' like a drowning man grasping at anything to stay afloat. Let's consider the facts. First, Takahashi et al's paper is the only one of four major studies that failed to find female preference (there is also an Indian study,done on a completely wild population, which also found significant female preference for elaborate trains). Of all of them, the population studied by the Japanese researchers had the lowest variation in tail morphology. Although I did say their work had the advantage of a larger population and was conducted over a longer period of time (something the DI crowed overas well), it should be very clear that this advantage can be completely negated if the population does not have enough variation to detect selection in the first place. In fact, the longer the study is conducted, the less variation it can be expected to have, considering the small initial size and isolation of the population they were examining. Second, some of their criticisms of the other studies were off the mark,as I showed regarding the hours when observations regarding mating behavior were made. Third, they used a different methodology in determining male reproductive success, which also takes the teeth out of many of the advantages they claimed for their work over the others. So, given these facts, I think it is premature to accord their results the stature of a general statement regarding sexual selection in these birds, especially since three other, independent studies contradict their findings.
One thing I do find interesting about the Japanese paper is how the big bad Darwinist orthodoxy allowed its publication in the first place. I guess teh Darwinist police were asleep at the switch.
Dale Husband · 13 October 2008
Dave Wisker · 13 October 2008
Mary Hunter · 13 October 2008
This picture just hit me why the peacock's tail has the "eyes". If you look at how transparent the rest of the tail looks you can see the purpose of the "eyes" They allow a great display of color and movement while the rest of the feather minimizes the aerodynamic cost of having such a large and conspicuous display device. As my husband always says." Ain't the designer wonderful?" Tongue firmly in cheek.
GvlGeologist, FCD · 13 October 2008
Mary Hunter · 13 October 2008
Reading back through the entries a number of things have come to mind about why the male of so many species supports the burden of flashy display devices. A male with a large tail tells a female a number of things important to the survival of the offspring. A large tailed male is probably older therefore smarter, stronger or more lucky than the rest. He is also more parasite resistant as studies (sorry I can't name them) have shown that males debilitated by large infestations of parasites have less colorful displays and attract fewer matings. This is actually evolution at its most obvious the quest we need to answer is not why the devices but why those devices. Take a look at the Argus Pheasant with his exaggerated wing feathers. If these don't win him extra matings then they would rapidly revert to the shorter length more useful in an explosive get away.
eric · 13 October 2008
Henry J · 13 October 2008
FL · 13 October 2008
Glen Davidson · 13 October 2008
http://tinyurl.com/2kxyc7
Dale Husband · 13 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
ignore that last paragraph. I forgot to delete it.
Dave WIsker · 13 October 2008
One more thing. I mentioned the 'shivering' behavior because it is an interesting part of the male behavior on the lek, and we don't know how much it contributes to the overall 'signal' to the female. However, as behavior it has been known and observed for a long time.
eric · 14 October 2008
tresmal · 14 October 2008
To expand on Eric's point a bit, what ID and creationism in general lacks, is positive evidence in favor of their position. Their entire case, such as it is, rests on poking holes in evolution.
Imagine a murder. Negative evidence in favor of the ex-wife-diddit hypothesis would be the butler having an alibi (to make the analogy more apt it should be a remarkably flimsy alibi.) Positive evidence for the ex-wife-diddit hypothesis would be her fingerprints on the murder weapon. It is this kind of positive evidence that is completely lacking from cdesignproponentists side. Imagine being a prosecutor trying to convict the ex wife with a case that amounted to nothing more than "we can't figure out who else could have done it."
Stanton · 14 October 2008
Henry J · 14 October 2008
tresmal · 14 October 2008
Cobby · 15 October 2008
Try to realize that this line of argument, even if successful, never rationally leads to science’s accepting a hypothesis that has no evidence whatsoever behind it.
... I think the point is that both ID and Darwinism theories have points that dispute them and points that support them. To say Darwinism is a fact is simply not being objective or scientific.
PvM · 15 October 2008
Cobby · 15 October 2008
Darwinism is a fact in the sense that the aspects of it have been observed: inheritance, variation and natural selection
... well of course many aspects of Darwinism have been proven. But all of the subtheories must have substantial validation which they do not.
Of course NS happens but is it responsible for causing complex structures to evolve from simple ones? If that cannot be validated the whole theory is just another guess.
PvM · 15 October 2008
tresmal · 15 October 2008
Are you a raelian?
PvM · 15 October 2008
eric · 16 October 2008
eric · 16 October 2008
Oops, my mistake, the blockquote in my previous quote should be attributed to "Cobby," not PvM. My apologies.