No.
That was the short answer. The longer answer is that scientists are more likely to disbelieve in God than are nonscientists, and eminent scientists are more apt to be disbelievers than journeyman scientists. But does science lead them to atheism? Possibly, but it seems more likely that freethinkers or skeptics are attracted to science than that science creates atheists. I studied this question a few years ago, when John Lynch and I prepared an article for the New Encyclopedia of Unbelief. What follows the horizontal rule is an excerpt from that article. One of the conclusions we drew was that biologists, anthropologists, and psychologists were more likely to disbelieve in God than physical scientists and engineers. That conclusion has recently been called into question, and I will discuss the new data after the second horizontal rule.Measuring Unbelief among Scientists (1914 and 1933). ... the psychologist James H. Leuba surveyed a large number of US scientists in order to learn their beliefs about God and immortality. In both polls, disbelievers (not including doubters or agnostics) represented a plurality over believers and doubters (Table 1). Further, the least likely to be believers were psychologists, followed by sociologists, biologists, and physicists, in that order. The order stood firm across the years. Distinguished scientists (as identified by American Men of Science) exhibited a substantially greater rate of disbelief than "lesser" scientists. Leuba's poll was, however, not without problems. First, because the U. S. was almost monolithically Christian, Leuba formulated two questions that asked, in essence, whether respondents believed in a particular Christian conception of God. Asking his questions in that way militated against getting positive responses from, for example, pantheists such as Robert Millikan and Albert Einstein, who associated God with the universe and its laws and thus did not revere, in Leuba's words, "the God of our Churches." Leuba asked respondents whether they believed in "a God to whom one may pray in the expectation of receiving an answer" (a question specifically defined to exclude psychological or subjective consequences of prayer), disbelieved in such a God, or had no definite belief. Second, several questionnaires were returned with remarks intended to justify the respondents' refusals to answer the questions. According to Leuba, most of these were from disbelievers; hence, he concluded, the percentage of disbelievers may have been understated in his poll. Scientists are more educated than the general population, and Leuba, a religious humanist, thought that increasing education would decrease rates of belief in God. To test his hypothesis, he surveyed college students at two unidentified colleges: a high-ranking college that was divided among the major Protestant denominations, and a college that was "radical" in its leanings. In both colleges, the number of believers in both God and immortality decreased with age or academic advancement (freshman through senior years). Leuba also cites a decrease in belief at one of the colleges between 1914 and 1933, as well as similar results found at Syracuse University in 1926. Leuba, a professor at Bryn Mawr College outside Philadelphia, does not identify the two colleges in his study, but they are probably in the northeast, if not the Philadelphia area. If the major Protestant denominations means the mainline Protestant churches, then Leuba's studies of college students may not be representative, inasmuch as they omit students affiliated with churches not heavily represented in the northeast. Oddly, Leuba does not mention the Roman Catholic Church. Measuring Unbelief among Scientists (the 1990's). In 1996 and 1998, Edward J. Larson and Larry Witham replicated Leuba's surveys. For consistency, they did not edit Leuba's questions, despite the cultural changes that had occurred in 80 years. Additionally, American Men and Women of Science no longer highlights eminent scientists, so Larson and Witham derived their "greater" scientists from the membership of the National Academy of Sciences; comparison with Leuba's "greater" scientists is therefore problematic, because the NAS probably contains substantially more-eminent scientists than the highlighted scientists of the earlier surveys. Larson and Witham found that nearly 50 percent of the scientists and nearly 75 percent of the "greater" scientists surveyed disbelieve in both God and immortality. An additional 15-20 percent are doubters. It is hard to make much of three numbers, but during the century the percentage of disbelievers increased monotonically in every category, except for a peak in the percent of scientists who disbelieved in 1933. Disbelief in immortality more than doubled among scientists in general and nearly tripled among "greater" scientists. It is thus hard to credit Larson and Witham's claim that belief among scientists has remained more or less steady for 80 years. C. Mackenzie Brown has analyzed Leuba's data and also suggested that demographics may make comparison between Leuba's and Larson and Witham's surveys difficult. For example, more scientists now are women, and women are more likely to be religious than men. This factor reduces the number of disbelievers in the later surveys and possibly disconfirms Larson and Witham's conclusion that scientists' religious beliefs have not changed much since 1914. Brown has similarly noted that applied scientists are underrepresented among the greater scientists and adds drily that their underrepresentation may be relevant to any discussion of the beliefs of eminent scientists. In 1998, Laurence Iannaconne and his colleagues examined existing data gathered between 1972 and 1990, and tried to assess the prevalence of scientists' belief in God. They found that 19 percent of "professors/scientists" have "no religion" and 11 to 21 percent "oppose religion" (Table 2). It is hard to compare these figures with those of Leuba and Larson, but arguably between 27 and 40 percent of professors/scientists may be doubters or disbelievers. The study broke the data down further by discipline and found a hierarchy similar to that found by Leuba: Social scientists, at 36 percent, were most likely to have no religion, followed by physical scientists and mathematicians (27 percent) and life scientists (25 percent). Among the social scientists, sociologists (35 percent), psychologists (48 percent), and anthropologists (57 percent) were most likely to have no religion. According to a 2003 Harris poll, by contrast, 90 percent of all adults [in the U.S.] believe in God and 84 percent in survival of the soul after death; that is, 10 percent disbelieve in God or are doubters, and 16 percent disbelieve in immortality or are doubters. Interpreting the Data. Leuba speculated whether scientists become disbelievers or whether independent thinkers willing to confront reigning orthodoxies become scientists. The greater scientists are presumably on average more-independent thinkers than the lesser; the fact could account for the increase of disbelief among greater scientists. That conclusion is supported by a study by Fred Thalheimer, who concluded that religious beliefs are frequently set during high school or college and that nonreligious students may choose more-intellectual or -theoretical endeavors. Scientists who study biology, psychology, and sociology and anthropology are more likely to disbelieve in God and immortality than physical and applied scientists. Leuba speculated that physicists and engineers see a creator in the lawfulness of the physical and engineering worlds. Social and biological scientists may be less likely to see lawfulness in their studies, and Brown asks, further, whether social and biological scientists are perhaps influenced by the suffering that they see and physical scientists do not see. Thus, the question may be why biological and social scientists are more likely to disbelieve, rather than why physical scientists and engineers are less likely. Arguably, then, science leads to disbelief, at least among those already inclined to be independent thinkers. Leuba predicted that increasing scientific knowledge would lead to increasing disbelief. That prediction is apparently (at least partly) correct. He further predicted that the religions would adapt to the best scientific insights and "replace their specific method of seeking the welfare of humanity by appeal to, and reliance upon divine Beings, by methods free from a discredited supernaturalism." That prediction, at least so far, is largely incorrect.
Measuring Unbelief among Scientists (2004-2007). Elaine Ecklund and Christopher Scheitle have recently examined the religious beliefs of scientists as a function of discipline. They discuss a survey of faculty at 21 elite research universities. Among the questions they asked were, "Which one of the following statements comes closest to expressing what you believe about God?" The statements ranged from "I have no doubts about God's existence" through "I have some doubts, but I believe in God" to "I do not know...and there is no way to find out" and "I do not believe in God." To compare their results with Leuba's and others, I identified "I do not believe in God" with disbelief and identified "I believe in God sometimes" and "I do not know...and there is no way to find out" with doubt. The comparison is problematic, if only because Leuba's survey concerned a God who potentially answers prayers. The results are presented in Table 3. They support the conclusion that scientists are more apt to be disbelievers than the general public, but they are at odds with the conclusion that the rate of disbelief correlates with discipline. Ecklund and Scheitle, however, performed a statistical analysis that suggests nevertheless that biologists may be somewhat less inclined toward religion than physicists; they speculate that the correlation, if it is real, may result from what they call the contentious relationship between evolution and certain religious groups. Ecklund and Scheitle's study is marred somewhat both by its restriction to elite scientists and by its mechanism for choosing those elite scientists. Not every faculty member at an elite university is an elite scientist, certainly not on a par with members of the National Academy of Sciences. Nevertheless, they found that the best predictor of their scientists' religious practice is the scientists' childhood religious practice and conclude, more or less in agreement with Thalheimer, that freethinkers or doubters to some extent self-select when they become scientists. Thus, science may not lead to disbelief; rather, disbelievers or skeptics are led to science. Finally, Ecklund and Scheitle found that younger scientists are more apt to be religious than are older scientists and note without comment that this finding "could indicate an overall shift in attitudes towards religion among those in the academy." Unbelief outside the US. I do not know of any studies similar to Leuba's outside the United States. Europe is generally thought to be less religious than the United States, but Andrew Curry, writing in Science, notes some disquieting appearances of creationism in Europe. He cites a German study, which I have not read, to the effect that students' openness to creationism is less a result of religion than of their failure to appreciate or understand science. Pierre Clément and his colleagues report on a study of the creationist beliefs of teachers, as opposed to professors and practicing scientists. The cohort of "teachers" comprises both practicing teachers and students studying to become teachers. The study included 19 countries, mostly from Europe, the Levant, and northern Africa. Approximately one-third of the teachers were biology teachers, and the remainder taught the national language. Among 14 of those countries, 12.5 % of respondents were agnostic. In France and Estonia, more than 50 % were agnostic. The authors give no indication whether the biology teachers were more or less likely to be agnostic than the language teachers. The study asked questions such as, "Which of the following four statements do you agree with most? ... 1. It is certain that the origin of the humankind results from evolutionary processes. 2. Human origin can be explained by evolutionary processes without considering the hypothesis that God created humankind. 3. Human origin can be explained by evolutionary processes that are governed by God. 4. It is certain that God created humankind." A similar set of questions asked about the origin of life, as opposed to the origin of humanity. The questions were translated into each national language. Clément and colleagues considered those who ticked question 4 to be (anti-evolutionist) creationists, whereas those who ticked question 3 were designated creationist-evolutionists - most probably what in the United States are called theistic evolutionists. Only about 2 % of the respondents from France, for example, were creationists; more than 80 % of respondents from Morocco and Algeria were creationists, even among biology teachers. Creationism was more likely in those who were more religious, either in belief or in observance, irrespective of religion. Those who said that the theory of evolution contradicted their own beliefs ranged from a few percent among agnostics, through approximately 25 % among Catholics and Protestants, and 40 % among Orthodox, to nearly 75 % among Muslims. Acceptance of evolution, including theistic evolution, among the entire cohort of teachers, however, increased with years of training, from about 45 % among those with less than 2 years of training through 80 % among those with 4 or more years of training. These numbers are all rough, because I had to pick most of them off some fairly small graphs. I suspect that the correlation with religion is partly the result of demographics; the study did not compare, for example, Catholics and Muslims within a single country, such as France. The study included five countries in western Europe: France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Portugal, and Italy. Approximately 10 % of biology teachers in the UK and 15% in Portugal responded that it was certain that God created life - the response that Clément and his colleagues consider the creationist response. Nearly 20 % of the language teachers in Italy responded similarly. On the other hand, roughly 15 % of biology teachers in the UK and Germany, a bit over 20 % in Portugal and Italy, and 35 % in France responded that the origin of life resulted from natural processes (Table 3). The language teachers' responses to the same question ranged from a low of perhaps 12 % in the UK (which at 35 % also had a relatively high fraction of theistic evolutionists) to 52 % in France. In four of the five countries, the percentage of language teachers who thought that life had resulted from natural processes exceeded the percentage of biology teachers; I haven't the foggiest idea why. Finally, the percentage of both biology and language teachers who ticked natural causes or theistic evolution was least in the Muslim and Orthodox countries, Lebanon, Malta, and Poland. Conclusion. Paul Strode and I tried to show that science is not necessarily incompatible with religion, though it certainly falsifies the specific claims of some religions. Nevertheless, both atheists and creationists (some of them, anyway) want to think that science necessarily leads toward atheism or agnosticism. It is hard to say, but it seems more likely that skeptics or freethinkers, who may be already inclined toward disbelief in God, are more likely to become scientists or, perhaps, science teachers. The claim that social scientists are less likely to believe than are physical scientists may not stand up to scrutiny. References. Anonymous, "Harris Poll: The Religious and Other Beliefs of Americans 2003," Skeptical Inquirer, July-August, 2003, p. 5. Brown, C. Mackenzie, "The Conflict between Religion and Science in Light of the Patterns of Religious Beliefs among Scientists," Zygon 38(3): 603-632 (September), 2003. Clément, Pierre, and Marie-Pierre Quessada, "Les convictions créationnistes et/ou évolutionnistes d'enseignants de biologie: une étude comparative dans dix-neuf pays," Natures Sciences Sociétés 16, 154-158, 2008; in French. Clément, Pierre, Marie-Pierre Quessada, Charline Laurent, and Graça Carvalho, "Science and Religion: Evolutionism and Creationism in Education: A Survey of Teachers' Conceptions in 14 Countries," XIII IOSTE Symposium, Izmir, Turkey, The Use of Science and Technology Education for Peace and Sustainable Development, 21-26 September 2008. Curry, Andrew, "Creationist Beliefs Persist in Europe," Science 323: 1159, 2009. Ecklund, Elaine Howard, and Christopher P. Scheitle, "Religion among Academic Scientists: Distinctions, Disciplines, and Demographics," Social Problems, 54(2): 289-307, 2007. Iannaconne, Laurence, Rodney Stark, and Roger Finke, "Rationality and the 'Religious Mind'," Economic Inquiry 36(3): 373-389, 1998. Larson, Edward J., and Larry Witham, "Scientists Are Still Keeping the Faith," Nature 386: 435-436, 1997. --, "Leading Scientists Still Reject God," Nature 394: 313, 1998. --, "Scientists and Religion in America," Scientific American 281(3): 89-93 (September), 1999. Leuba, James H., Belief in God and Immortality, Boston: Sherman, French, 1916. --, "Religious Beliefs of American Scientists," Harper's Monthly Magazine, August: 291-300 1934. Thalheimer, Fred, "Religiosity and Secularization in the Academic Professions," Sociology of Education 46: 183-202 (spring), 1973. Young, Matt, and John Lynch, "Unbelief among Scientists," New Encyclopedia of Unbelief, Amherst, N.Y.: Prometheus, 2007, pp. 687-690. Young, Matt, and Paul Strode, Why Evolution Works (and Creationism Fails), New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers, 2009, chap. 18.
182 Comments
James F · 1 July 2009
*braces himself for the incoming e-sh*tstorm*
Personally, I only really care that methodological naturalists, regardless of belief/nonbelief, are fighting on the same side for good science education and public understanding of science. This does not translate to "New Atheists should SD&STFU;" it does mean I'm pro-outreach. We need allies in the non-scientific community.
I'm out.
DavidK · 1 July 2009
Of course the validity of any survey depends on the fundamental accuracy, or vagueness, of the questions asked and how each respondent interprets those questions. As such, any survey might be more or less skewed to represent the surveyors intent, e.g., the DI.
fnxtr · 1 July 2009
Interesting that the phrasing is "more likely to disbelieve", as if it were some kind of pro-activity, as opposed to "less likely to believe", which would, logically, be the default position, wouldn't it? I'm less likely to believe in unicorns and ESP, too. I don't actively disbelieve, it just never enters the conversation.
Keelyn · 1 July 2009
Someone should send this to Patty B. Considering the last bit of claptrap I just read, I am certain he could find some way of twisting it into any lie for Jesus.
http://littlegreenfootballs.com/article/34078_Pat_Buchanan_vs._Evolution
Flint · 1 July 2009
I don't think these results and tabulations really quite address the question.
There's a qualitative difference between the notion that scientific thinking causes atheism, and the notion that a profession where the supernatural is disallowed tends to recruit people less inclined to swallow supernatural "explanations".
I think fnxtr has also made an important observation - the number of things we all "disbelieve in" is limited only by our imaginations. It would be more interesting to investigate what scientists think is "probably true despite the lack of any direct or unambiguous evidence."
John Harshman · 1 July 2009
Two comments:
First, on a couple of terms. Whether the existence of religious scientists shows that religion and science are compatible depends on what you mean by "compatible". This point has been done to death, and you really should take note of that past discussion rather than just continuing to talk about "compatibility". The other term is "necessarily"; I doubt anyone is claiming that science necessarily leads to atheism, not even creationists. It may be claimed that science inclines one that way.
Second, I wonder what would happen if evolutionary biologists were considered as a separate category from other biologists. I have a snippet of anecdotal evidence here: Will Provine had lunch with grad students in evolution at U. of Chicago in the early '90s. The event was well attended (free pizza!), and Provine took the opportunity to ask how many believed in god, defined very vaguely as any sort of intelligent power in the universe. Out of about 20 students, only one affirmed even this weak position. I generally assume that any evolutionary biologist I meet is an atheist, and I am seldom disabused.
If there is such a correlation, of course we have three options: evolutionary biology predisposes to atheism, atheism predisposes to evolutionary biology, and some third factor predisposes to both. And we can't choose among alternatives based on that correlation.
wamba · 1 July 2009
There actual examples of people who have been led towards atheism by science. This is precisely the same sort of evidence presented for the "science and religion are compatible" argument, so the case that science leads to atheism is at least as strong as the case that science and religion are compatible.
wamba · 1 July 2009
Or, if we are willing to grow up and admit that people can hold contradictory ideas at the same time, and that people do things for illogical reasons, we could throw out the citing of examples and concentrate on the philosophical considerations.
snex · 1 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 1 July 2009
wamba · 1 July 2009
snex · 1 July 2009
Matt Young · 1 July 2009
John Lynch · 1 July 2009
A PDF copy of the original entry that Matt and I wrote is available here for those that want to see the full article.
Flint · 1 July 2009
GvlGeologist, FCD · 1 July 2009
Other scientific fields that might be expected to have variable levels of religious belief include astronomy and geology. I've sometimes wondered whether certain geological fields (crystallography, mineralogy, petrology, economic geology, environmental geology, for example) might be more inclined (because they can be studied without reference to time) to have more creationists than other fields (paleomagnetism, stratigraphy, paleontology, paleoceanography, plate tectonics, for example) which do use concepts of deep geologic time.
Incidentally, Flint, in civil cases, judges and juries can determine partial responsibility, so it's not necessarily true that "in every legal dispute, we arbitrarily demand that one side be entirely right and the other wrong". This doesn't really change your argument, I just wanted to set the record straight. IANAL, but I do know this from a friend who was sued over an auto accident, and that person was found partially but not wholly responsible. The other driver (who sued my friend) was found partially responsible as well.
Glen Davidson · 1 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 1 July 2009
386sx · 1 July 2009
The "No." should be blinking text, with rainbow colors.
Les Lane · 1 July 2009
Analytical thinking is a factor likely to incline one towards both religious unbelief and science. Tendencies to rationalize, on the other hand, are likely to incline one towards religious belief and away from science.
Flint · 1 July 2009
GaryB, FCD · 1 July 2009
Are there any surveys which show the numbers of believers upon entry to science who have become doubters or atheists?
Joe Shelby · 1 July 2009
Well, my next impression is that the survey also continues to ignore the community factor (which is mentioned in a comment above). Lots of people don't believe in things (and certainly not obviously false things) merely because they've not seen the evidence.
They believe because that belief ties them to a community. We are and remain social animals, and there are those that use that trait to create their own power by controlling the beliefs of others. So not only do the "sheep" believe stupid stuff because they're told do, they're told NOT to believe in science or anything that contradicts what they're taught because, well, that allows scientists or "liberals" to control them. In short, they are controlled by being told others will try to control them. Brilliant, no?
I did not leave the Church because I lost my beliefs (though they have changed over the last few years). I left the Church because of the actions of its members, promoting hate and division, living in fear of the different, and feeding lies.
And while my own local church and community played no part in that, the actions of the larger Church, of so many who call themselves "Christians" has left me in total disgust of the word. My identity and belief changed not by evidence of non-believers, but by evidence of the actions of the believers.
Joe Shelby · 1 July 2009
Well, my next impression is that the survey also continues to ignore the community factor (which is mentioned in a comment above). Lots of people don't believe in things (and certainly not obviously false things) merely because they've not seen the evidence.
They believe because that belief ties them to a community. We are and remain social animals, and there are those that use that trait to create their own power by controlling the beliefs of others. So not only do the "sheep" believe stupid stuff because they're told do, they're told NOT to believe in science or anything that contradicts what they're taught because, well, that allows scientists or "liberals" to control them. In short, they are controlled by being told others will try to control them. Brilliant, no?
I did not leave the Church because I lost my beliefs (though they have changed over the last few years). I left the Church because of the actions of its members, promoting hate and division, living in fear of the different, and feeding lies.
And while my own local church and community played no part in that, the actions of the larger Church, of so many who call themselves "Christians" has left me in total disgust of the word. My identity and belief changed not by evidence of non-believers, but by evidence of the actions of the believers.
John Lynch · 1 July 2009
John Lynch · 1 July 2009
Damn, I meant to say "the Discovery Institute" (who uses Zogby).
John Pieret · 1 July 2009
ckc (not kc) · 1 July 2009
...I cannot rest while someone on the internet is wrong about the law.
You must be VERY tired!
Flint · 1 July 2009
ckc (not kc) · 1 July 2009
I like to think of human (population) characteristics as a multidimensional cloud, through which various axes can be drawn. The axis that describes the religious faith/skepticism spectrum is not necessarily the same axis that describes the spectrum of scientific understanding (or skill, or capacity, or what-have-you). Whether or not our position in the cloud is a function of nature or nurture (or more likely both), and how it changes through time, is an interesting question, but I thing it's a mistake to imagine an axis with religious faith/atheism endpoints that coincides with science.
Mike Elzinga · 1 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 1 July 2009
ckc (not kc) · 1 July 2009
John Pieret · 1 July 2009
fnxtr · 1 July 2009
My good lady works for a consulting engineering firm. She says a couple of their geo-engineers actually left the trade because the geological record clashed with their religious beliefs. Not sure how they got that far in geology in the first place.
stevaroni · 1 July 2009
Rob · 1 July 2009
A world without time: The Forgotten Legacy of Godel and Einstein. If the present is not privileged, and no more real than past and future it has interesting consequences.
If all religious statements, and value statements in general are metaphorical there are also consequences.
Thus when you ask a person regarding religion, or for that matter anyone who asserts values in general, what their values or beliefs are, it might be useful to ask how metaphorical they would label their various beliefs, be they religious or secular.
GvlGeologist, FCD · 1 July 2009
Ray Martinez · 1 July 2009
Matt: All Atheists are evolutionists.
GvlGeologist, FCD · 1 July 2009
Ray Marttinez · 1 July 2009
DS · 1 July 2009
Ray wrote:
"All Creationists were Atheists (= non-believers) at some point."
I doubt it. But even if they were, the important thing is on what basis they changed their minds. If thier beliefs are not based on evidence then they are irrelevant. Everyone is free to believe in anything they choose without any evidence and everyone else is free not to care.
"All Atheists are evolutionists."
I doubt it. But even if they are, the imporant thing is what convinced them. If it was the evidence then there is nothing wrong with that. Everyone is free to have beliefs based on evidence and anyone who ignores the evidence does so at their own risk.
Not all those who believe in evolution are atheists.
fnxtr · 1 July 2009
Dave Luckett · 1 July 2009
The problem is one that should be familiar to scientists: criticism of the data, specifically the method of collecting it.
Asking people what they believe is a very tricky business. The questioner is working at the very limits of the ability of language to impart precise meaning. What does "believe" mean?
One sense is obvious. "Belief" can mean active acceptance of a proposition for which sufficient evidence has been provided, or at least, for which convincing evidence is available. (Except that some would object that this is not belief, being beyond opinion. We could call it "conviction" instead, perhaps. Or use some other word.)
But I would also say that "belief" can be taken to mean:
2) Non-rejection pending conclusive evidence against.
3) Acceptance without thinking about it.
4) Admission as a possible hypothesis, pending conclusive evidence for. 4.1) Ditto, with the rider that conclusive evidence cannot exist.
5) Inward certainty, with implied rejection of the requirement for evidence altogether. 5.1) Ditto, except that the requirement for evidence is overtly and specifically rejected. (The last is what I would mean by "faith", and is fairly close to St Paul's definition.)
6...n) Other positions.
Mind, I am not saying what 'belief' means to me or to a rigorous philosopher, because that's not the point. The point is what the question, and the word, means to the person answering, or attempting to answer.
Now, the questioner can define the word "belief" with exquisite precision, but this does not solve the problem. It requires the respondent to fully understand and fully apply the definition, which is not a given, but even so, it only removes the difficulty one step.
For here's the problem: as soon as the quesioner defines 'belief' in terms not completely identical with what the respondent means by it, (and complete identity is practically impossible) the questioner is by definition no longer asking about what that person would refer to as their 'beliefs'. Hence, any answer is likely to be somewhat non-responsive.
I think this difficulty is intractible.
Richard Wein · 2 July 2009
Matt, it seems rather incongruous that you begin your article with the answer "NO" in enormous type face, and then in the very first paragraph weaken this to "possibly", though you think "no" seems more likely. More importantly, the case you make here for this conclusion seems extremely weak.
I can find only two passages that attempt to support your conclusion. First: "Leuba speculated whether scientists become disbelievers or whether independent thinkers willing to confront reigning orthodoxies become scientists. The greater scientists are presumably on average more-independent thinkers than the lesser; the fact could account for the increase of disbelief among greater scientists. That conclusion is supported by a study by Fred Thalheimer, who concluded that religious beliefs are frequently set during high school or college and that nonreligious students may choose more-intellectual or -theoretical endeavors."
Given the vital role Thalheimer's conclusion plays in supporting your own, I would have expected a clearer statement of his conclusion, as well as some mention of the evidence that led him to it. As it stands, it's far from clear that his conclusion justifies yours. How frequently is "frequently"? Of course, if you're only trying to make the case that not all atheist scientists were led to atheism by science, then you only need one counterexample. But that's an extremely weak claim, and no one claims the converse. If, on the other hand, you want to argue that science never or rarely leads to atheism, you need stronger support than Thalheimer's conclusion as you describe it here. (And even if a scientist was led to atheism during her high school or college years, it doesn't follow that she wasn't led by science, since she almost certainly studied science during those years.)
Second: "Ecklund and Scheitle’s study is marred somewhat both by its restriction to elite scientists and by its mechanism for choosing those elite scientists. Not every faculty member at an elite university is an elite scientist, certainly not on a par with members of the National Academy of Sciences. Nevertheless, they found that the best predictor of their scientists’ religious practice is the scientists’ childhood religious practice and conclude, more or less in agreement with Thalheimer, that freethinkers or doubters to some extent self-select when they become scientists. Thus, science may not lead to disbelief; rather, disbelievers or skeptics are led to science."
Again, "to some extent" is too weak to justify any worthwhile claim about whether science leads to atheism.
John Harshman · 2 July 2009
John Pieret · 2 July 2009
wamba · 2 July 2009
Matt Young · 2 July 2009
Mr. Wein (Hi Richard! I haven't heard from you in a long time) and Mr. Harshman are more or less correct - but you make what you can of the available data, and I think my conclusion is not inappropriate. The correlation with field of study, as I also noted, may be incorrect. As for the big typeface, I blame that on an administrator who initially wanted a giant red "No" and will be left nameless to protect the guilty. My original draft simply said, "No," in the default typeface. I find no evidence that science leads to atheism. I can discuss Thalheimer's paper another time or privately, but I do not have the time right now to review it and write anything up.
Peter Henderson · 2 July 2009
John Harshman · 2 July 2009
Henry J · 2 July 2009
It's not whether there's one or two cases of A leading to B, it's whether it happens in a significant percentage of cases.
Just my 2 cents.
Henry J
Pierce R. Butler · 2 July 2009
ckc (not kc) · 2 July 2009
There are, after all, many fewer scientists who are also lawyers than those who are also religious…
(that's going to sting!)
Richard Eis · 3 July 2009
Since belief in something is heavily cultural I would ask whether being around non-believers or in a non-believing culture would cause new scientists to lose their belief.
Chip Poirot · 4 July 2009
Chip Poirot · 4 July 2009
Morgan-LynnGriggs Lamberth · 4 July 2009
I agree with my friend ,Jerry Coyne, in his article," Seeing and Believing ' that from the side of science, science and religion are indeed incompatible, but from the side of religion ,indeed compatible. Victor Stenger notes what reality would have to be like were there God. @ Talk Reason, Amiel Rossow in his essay on Kenneth Miller, shows theistic evolution to be an oxymoron.
The teleonomic/ atelic argument is that since the weight of evidence, pace Ernst Mayr [" What Evolution Is"] and George Gaylord Simpson,there is no cosmic teleology, and thus no need to postulate Him and to do so would contradict natural selection, the non-planning, anti-chance of Nature.
To argue that He planned for some being of our stature merely begs the question and is the new Omphalos argument as Coyne and someone @ Skeptic magazine note that it was not inexorable for a species like us to arrive.
We don't find creationists who fall for theistic evolution all that much, so accommodation might be alright but who knows. But we new atheists prefer the truth to the obfuscation of theistic evolution, that oxymoron.
Well, be accommodationist but quit nagging at us for telling it like it is!
rationalist griggsy world wide in several languages as Googling would show.
harold · 4 July 2009
Morgan-LynnGriggs Lamberth -
I cannot comprehend your comment, and I do not care much about either religion or atheism.
However, I am impressed that you seem to have a double-double-barrelled name.
Dave Luckett · 4 July 2009
Chip Poirot · 5 July 2009
Stephen Wells · 6 July 2009
The initial "No" is simply wrong. "Sometimes", "Maybe" or even "Often" would be accurate, but "No" is wrong.
Richard · 6 July 2009
I think an interesting case here is Salvador Dali's. He apparently thought that physics was actually providing proof for God's existence. Of course, he wasn't a scientist himself. Perhaps it might be useful for these studies to look at non-scientists who happen to be scientifically literate.
Another point, some people here seem to assume that creationists also go for the whole "science leads to atheism" line, but I don't see much of that. In my experience, creationists often assert that science (or "true science") can only support their beliefs, or that the Bible can be a foundation for good science.
Matt Young · 6 July 2009
Richard · 7 July 2009
Here's a Raelian view of the subject:
"There is nothing glorious about what our ancestors call history,
it is simply a succession of mistakes, intolerances and violations.
On the contrary, let us embrace Science and the new technologies
unfettered, for it is these which will liberate mankind from the
myth of god, and free us from our age old fears, from disease,
death and the sweat of labour." - Rael
Of course, the Raelians prefer ID over evolutionary biology.
Interestingly, one anthropology book I've read argues that, far from replacing religion, science has triggered a religious boom. Could UFO cults be examples of this?
John Stephenson · 7 July 2009
Here is the one thing that has my attention on this subject. At the cellular level all components must exists at the same time or the cell dies. This is harder to explain then it is to explain one group of animal to another in the evolutionary process. Each to its own kind in the genetic pool can adapt to the environment and have adaptable changes. It's amazing to me that as you look at the universe and all that is in it to not see intelligent design. To believe that all elements can come together at the same time in the right environment to complete the complexity of the most simplest form of a cell is ridiculous and absurd. Look for instance at the D.N.A strand alone and you realize the complexity that the letters, words, sentences, paragraphs, and story must be precise in the information code or we get mutation of cell and almost always if not always leads to the death of the cell. This is a mutation that is not supportive of natural selection and the advancement of life forms. This is a degenerative system to the death of all life forms. Mathematicians have try ed to calculate the odds of all components of a cell coming together simultaneously. The mathematical odds are so ridiculous that they simply conclude that it is impossible and not even by a close margin. Takes more faith in evolution then it doe's creation period!!!!!!!!!! Beware of the great deceiver SATAN and the indoctrination of mans belief in evolution!!!!!
Dave Luckett · 7 July 2009
That has to be the most complete creationist bingo card I've seen. But I'm calling "Poe", rather than "bingo".
John Stephenson · 7 July 2009
ddddd
John Stephenson · 7 July 2009
Dave Luckett · 7 July 2009
Stephen Wells · 7 July 2009
Henry J · 7 July 2009
Maybe the question should be does science lead to atheism more, or less, often than Creationism (and its offspring I.D.) lead to atheism?
Henry J
Raging Bee · 7 July 2009
Inasmuch as there’s a nonzero incidence of scientific study leading to freedom from religious belief, you are wrong to answer the title question with a flat “No”.
No, that "nonzero incidence" does not mean he's wrong to say a flat "no." The "nonzero incidence of scientific study leading to freedom from religious belief" is still not large enough to indicate causation -- especially since there are still plenty of religious people who do a LOT of scientific study and don't give up their beliefs; therefore we can still say "no" when asked whether scientific study CAUSES atheism. There's correlation, but that's not the same as causation.
Chip Poirot · 7 July 2009
Would it not be more interesting to pose the question as:
Does the study of science logically lead to atheism?
and/or
Is there a causal relationship between the study of science and atheism?
Correlation does not have to be 100% in order for there to be a causal relationship. Besides, most causal relationships also have mediating factors. If I drop a feather from a very high building, gravity will cause it to fall. But wind shears might keep it aloft for a very long time. Gravity still causes objects to fall.
We could design a controlled study, say for example of people who began their undergraduate studies as deeply religious and see if there is a significant difference between people who, for example, who failed to complete college, completed an undergraduate science degree vs. another undergraduate degree like for example business administration, those who completed different kinds of graduate degrees and see to what degree getting a graduate degree in different kinds of science predicts one's loss of religious faith.
But why is it so hard to believe that there is some relationship between studying science and atheism, or even just adopting a more secular framework. Perhaps we can also allow for continua.
My hypothesis is that at a minimum the study of science is a significant factor in abandoning fundamentalist beliefs.
And why would we attribute any definitive answer to one poorly designed poll?
John Kwok · 7 July 2009
To everyone -
It's been brought to my attention that noted evolutionary biologist David Sloan Wilson, a frequent commentator at the Huffington Post, wrote a series of essays - which I believe began in late 2007 - on the very question as to whether or not atheism is a "veiled religion". I haven't read most of the posts yet, but among his contentions is that it is possible - and may even be desirable - to do a scientific study of religion, provided that one isn't biased by the "tenets" of atheism.
Stanton · 7 July 2009
""tenets" of atheism" is exactly like having hairgel for the fatally bald.
Dean Wentworth · 7 July 2009
Fatally bald?
Do you mean that in the sense of pattern baldness being genetically predetermined at conception or in the sense of baldness causing death?
fnxtr · 7 July 2009
Stanton · 7 July 2009
Dean · 7 July 2009
Recycling Frederic Maitland's phrase: "science is a seamless web". Thousands of years ago, pre-scientific animist religions asserted that every ripple in every stream was caused by a sprite that moved the waters. Science has progressively expanded the realm of non-god-driven phenomena so that nowdays there are very few places in the structure of the universe where supernatural intervention is possible, outside of the initial symmetry-breaking conditions of the big bang. Even everyday quantum randomness is slowly being pushed out of existence by decoherence theory. Philosopher John Searle has argued that this is an inevitable consequence of the way science works.
There are four ways out of this inevitability: (1) naive ignorance: the world of science is so enormous that it's possible to simply be unaware of the areas where your religion has provided an answer pending the reality and evidence-based answers provided by scientific results, (2) accept an unimaginably omniscient, omnipotent god that can influence individual personal events from a distance of 16 billion years (3) accept atheism, or (4) follow the Red Queen in Alice's looking-glass land, and believe six impossible things (or more!) before breakfast.
Sadly, most religions demand solution (4) on pain of banishment from their fellowship. The distinction between eminent scientists and journeyman scientists is good evidence that as people becomes more knowledgeable about the linkages between scientific fields and more rigorous in their thinking along the way towards eminence, they find it more and more difficult to sustain a belief in god that depends either on ignorance or willful incoherence.
Dave Luckett · 7 July 2009
degustibus · 7 July 2009
Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast.....
anair · 13 July 2009
Scientists need to rely on a nature that has consistent physical laws, and they need to rely on their own minds having the ability to understanding the nature around them. Atheism as a worldview does nothing to provide these necessary starting points, and scientific inquiry itself does not provide them. So thankfully the only way that we have such good scientists that are also atheists is that they are executing their research in a way inconsistent with their views of ultimate reality.
Stanton · 14 July 2009
Henry J · 14 July 2009
Matt Young · 14 July 2009
fnxtr · 14 July 2009
fnxtr · 14 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
stevaroni · 21 July 2009
fnxtr · 21 July 2009
Dan · 21 July 2009
fnxtr · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
fnxtr · 21 July 2009
stevaroni · 21 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 21 July 2009
tresmal · 21 July 2009
Anair, are you a presup?
anair · 21 July 2009
Stanton · 21 July 2009
DS · 21 July 2009
anair wrote:
"Scientists need to rely on a nature that has consistent physical laws, and they need to rely on their own minds having the ability to understanding the nature around them. Atheism as a worldview does nothing to provide these necessary starting points, and scientific inquiry itself does not provide them. So thankfully the only way that we have such good scientists that are also atheists is that they are executing their research in a way inconsistent with their views of ultimate reality."
So then your answer is no, science does not lead to atheism. Good, glad we cleared that up. Of course the evidence suggests that science does not often lead to religion either, so I guess good siceince is just good science, fine.
According to your argument, God is required in order for consistent physical laws to exist. Why? Lots of people thought God existed before consistent physical laws were discovered. In fact, for many, God was the explanation for lots of physical phenomena they didn't understand. Lots of people don't believe in God even after the discovery of consistent physical laws. Seems these people disagree with you.
Which law in particular do you think requires God? All of them? One of them? Which God is responsible? All of them? None of them? Why is it that those who don't believe in God can still do good science? Why is it so easy to just take God out of the equations? If proof of God can be found in consistent physical laws, why are so many religious people antiscience? Why do they remain so willfully ignorant of these physical laws? Why do organized religions try so hard to suppress science and knowledge? Shouldn't religion be all about discovering new physical laws that prove the existence of God? Surely E = mc2(god) would be a good thing to discover! And if there is proof of God, then why do we need faith?
fnxtr · 21 July 2009
Stanton · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
Stanton · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
Henry J · 21 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 21 July 2009
fnxtr · 21 July 2009
It's not a problem for the scientists who actually, you know, do the work.
If it's a problem for you, well, tough darts. You work it out.
DS · 21 July 2009
anair wrote:
"The problem for the atheist is not in the “how” to do science, but the “why” their science works."
No, that isn't a problem for an atheist. You have already admitted that they can do science just fine without invoking God for anything.
You have not demonstrated why science works, so I guess it is a problem for you. You claim God is necessary for consistent physical laws. This is a mere assumption and not based on anything but wishful thinking. Until you can demonstrate this conclusively you are the only one with a problem. And since lots of people on both sides obviously disagree with you you have quite some task ahead of you.
anair · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
anair · 21 July 2009
Stanton · 21 July 2009
Henry J · 21 July 2009
fnxtr · 21 July 2009
Ah. Now we get to the sophistry part.
Human laws need a human lawgiver.
The 'laws' of nature are really just characteristics. We as humans express them as 'laws'. Next you'll be saying the sky can't be blue without a painter.
An omnipotent god who has no creator is no more believable than a godless universe that has no creator.
What you're really saying is the atheist worldview is a problem for you, because you don't understand it. You don't get that "everything you experience" does not, for some of us, require a god.
Again, tough darts.
Henry J · 21 July 2009
anair,
I think you're confusing what we call laws of nature with laws enacted by authority to control behavior of people in a society. What we call laws of nature are simply descriptions of what has been observed. The concept of jurisdiction does not apply to those.
Henry J
DS · 21 July 2009
anair,
Thanks for responding to my questions. Needless to say I do not agree with your conclusions.
"Yes, it would have to be consistent to support life, but why does it have to be consistent? Consistency comes first before life. Not the other way around. So, what made the universe consistent? Was there some natural law that started the consistency? What started that law? Does it have to be outside something nature?"
It doesn't have to be consistent. Your unspoken assumption here is that life has to exist. It does not. Why does consistency have to come from outside nature? Why can't nature simply be self consistent? You have explained exactly nothing.
"If the end goal is to just do science, then yes there is no problem, but if the end goal is to have an understanding about as many aspects of reality as possible and a worldview that accounts for everything you experience (specifically the consistency and understandability of nature) then there is a problem for the atheist."
If the end goal is to have understanding then simply assuming a God for which there is no evidence and assuming that it enforces some arbitrary consistency for some unknown reason explains exactly nothing. Why do science at all if God enforces the rules and God can change the rules at any time for any reason?
"Something is required for consistency, and since we are talking about physical laws it has to be something outside the jurisdiction of those physical laws."
Once again simple assumption without evidence. You can claim this all you want but you have nothing to back it up. Therefore, no one must accept it. This is just the old intelligent falling routine all over again.
"I don’t think there is total proof of God."
But your entire argument is prredicated upon the assumption that the reality of consistent laws requires a God to initiate and enforce them. The fact of the existence of consistent laws is indisputable. Therefore you have presented a proof for the existence of God. Do you deny your own argument? You seem to have left no room at all for faith. Fine with me, I'm just sayin.
I guess we must respectfully agree to disagree. Thanks for at least being polite.
Mike Elzinga · 21 July 2009
tresmal · 21 July 2009
Dave Lovell · 22 July 2009
Dan · 22 July 2009
Dan · 22 July 2009
eric · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
eric · 22 July 2009
DS · 22 July 2009
I wrote:
"It (the universe) doesn’t have to be consistent."
anair wrote:
"We can’t prove that the universe is consistent."
Fine, the two statements arn not incompatible. However, since you admit that we really don't know that the physical laws of the universe are consistent, then that cannot possibly be taken as evidence for the existence of God. Therefore, there is no problem at all for the atheist, or anyone else.
Thanks for playing.
anair · 22 July 2009
Dave Lovell · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
Your "Plato's cave" analogy assumes
1) there is a cave,
2) we are in the cave, and
3) there is an outside the cave.
You have proven none of this.
anair · 22 July 2009
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
anair · 22 July 2009
Matt Young · 22 July 2009
I think anair and his critics may be at cross purposes. I do not think that anair is talking about science, but rather about philosophy of science or metaphysics - why empiricism (or induction) works. He seems to be saying that empiricism works because God created certain regularities, and atheists therefore cannot explain why empiricism works. The question, why empiricism works, is a fair question, but anair has adduced no evidence in favor of his hypothesis that God makes it work.
eric · 22 July 2009
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
As a qualifier to the cave idea, almost certainly there are events/characteristics of the universe we haven't yet experienced/perceived/measured/recognized as a pattern/whatever.
To go from that to GODDDIDIT is, I think, a bit of a stretch, or maybe a short circuit, and intellectually lazy.
Mike Elzinga · 22 July 2009
stevaroni · 22 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 22 July 2009
DS · 22 July 2009
anair wrote:
"I didn’t admit that “we really don’t know that the physical laws of the universe are consistent.” I admit that it cannot be proven by science. Knowing things is not only limited to scientific investigation or proofs. We go about our daily lives as if we know plenty of things that we didn’t prove."
Yes you did and you were correct. You cannot prove, scientifically or otherwise, that E = MC2 in distant galaxies beyond the limit of detection or that it will not change tomorrow. And there is no other way to prove such things other than scientifically. Scientists assume the constancy of such laws provisionally. If they do change we will deal with it. And even if that happened, it would not prove that God does not exist.
Now I am not denying you the right to believe in God. I am only pointing out that you go about your daily life as if you know that God exists. You can believe in God based on faith. No one can deny you this right. Theologicans agree with this. No scientific proof of God is necessary or desirable. Go on, believe in God all you want. You just don't have a scientific argument that will convince unbelievers. Why is that such a problem for you? Why would you want it any other way? Haven't you
read the Bible?
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
Henry J · 22 July 2009
eric · 22 July 2009
Dan · 22 July 2009
Dan · 22 July 2009
ryanm · 22 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 22 July 2009
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
Ooops. That should be "helmet", of course.
fnxtr · 22 July 2009
Nor should it be godhelminthes. That would be Shai-Hulud, wouldn't it.
Mike Elzinga · 22 July 2009
anair · 24 July 2009
anair · 24 July 2009
Dave Lovell · 24 July 2009
DS · 24 July 2009
Aj wrote:
"What if our universe is the kind that mostly follows the physical laws (or even logical laws) but sometimes doesn’t. Or what if the universe is understandable most of the times but sometimes infrequently it is not. How can science which is based on these assumptions that universe is consistent and understandable deal with this?"
Well that isn't really a problem. In fact, before the "laws" of the universe were discovered. that is exactly what people thought. They were probably even surprised when it turned out that the laws were constant and there was no evidence for magic and no miracles.
Even if the laws change, our default assumption will not be God. We already tried that, it got us exactly nowhere. Scientists should always admit that they don't know everything. They are used to it. They are fine with it. That is why they have jobs. The job of science is to accurately describe the universe as it exists. If it changes, then we can observe and describe that. The point is that so far the universe is understandable. Why stop describing and understanding it because it might not be in the future?
Religious people are the ones who want the universe not to be understandable or predictable or ammenable to scientific investigation. They are the ones obsessed with magic and miracles. They are the ones who want the priests and sorcerers to have the power while scientists are reduced to impotent simpering fools. Why would anyone wish for such a universe? I don't know, ask Harry Potter.
Look, if God decides to change the rules, you can ask her to explain it to you.
Dave Lovell · 24 July 2009
fnxtr · 24 July 2009
anair simply does not get that "it just is" is a sufficient ansswer for many of us.
Anair, as I said, explore away. You simply cannot convince many of us that your quest is in any way important.
eric · 24 July 2009
anair · 24 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 24 July 2009
fnxtr · 24 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 24 July 2009
DS · 24 July 2009
anair wrote:
"Currently and historically there are many examples of “religious people” who are nothing like DS’s caricature above."
Precisely. That is exactly why I never wrote "all religious people". Please try to criticize the things I actually write unstead of things you make up.
"If people really act like that (which I doubt many do) just ignore them, and engage in discussion with the religious people who like science, are scientists, or lead in the sciences."
I would love to ignore them. However, they have proven that they are out to destroy science in this country, so we do not have that luxury.
DS · 24 July 2009
anair wrote:
"Currently about a fourth of the “greater scientists” believe in God and immortality, and throughout history the majority of science was built on the work of religious people."
Correct. And most likely, the majority of them believe in miracles, virgin births, ressurection from the dead, angels and ghosts. See, no problem at all, they can still do good science. They just can't invoke any of those things as scientific explanations for any of the things they study. Presumably, they are just fine with the consistent laws of nature being violated by their favorite diety every now and then. However, since they never have any scientific proof of any of these things, they simply leave it out of their science and choose to believe it on faith, just like the Bible says. For them, no scientific proof of God is neccessary or desirable.
phantomreader42 · 24 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 24 July 2009
DS · 24 July 2009
I agree. First. consistent laws are evidence of the existence of God. Then we don't know if the laws are consistent or not, but somehow it is still evidence of God. Then, if the laws are not consistent that is evidence of God. Heads I win, tails you lose and no matter what I get to keep the coin!
Man, if the speed of light is a constant, then God must exist. But if the speed of light has changed, then that proves the earth is 6000 years old and so God must exist. Now, if one thousand angels can dance on the head of a pin, will the laws of the universe be constant? If the pope is a scientist, is he still Catholic?
Henry J · 24 July 2009
Are Newton's laws consistent if Mercury doesn't fully obey them? ;)
Morgan-LynnGriggs Lamberth · 24 July 2009
DS, faith doth that to people! Teleology contradicts natural selection, and so is not compatible with it: science thus can lead to atheism as Dawkins and Victor Stenger would note. Stenger has a series of books presenting the case for naturalism against theism. Natural causes and explanation are not only efficient and necessary but also primary and sufficient: they are the sufficient reason,Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz notwithstanding.
Hi, phantom.
Firengi- the Carousel of nescience.
Mike Elzinga · 24 July 2009
gregwrld · 27 July 2009
Henry J · 27 July 2009
Mike Elzinga · 27 July 2009