The Evolution of Everything
Borodin was an amateur. So was Charles Ives. Bobby Jones was an amateur. Bill Tilden was an amateur, at least until he was 37 or 38. Wallace Stevens and Emily Dickinson were amateurs. According to Publisher's Weekly, so is Mark Sumner.
Sumner is the author of the book The Evolution of Everything: How Selection Shapes Culture, Commerce, and Nature. It is difficult to classify this book, but if I had to do so, I would say that it not only tells the history of natural selection in biology but also relates it to business and commerce. And it does so in an interesting, compelling way: Even though I thought I knew something about the contents of many of the chapters, Sumner managed to introduce some tidbit, some wrinkle that I did not know into virtually every discussion.
The book presents a very readable history of the theory of evolution, beginning long before its conception as a fully fledged theory, passing through Darwin's and Wallace's theories and Mendel's laws, and on to the modern synthesis and punctuated equilibrium. Sumner is especially hard on Spencer's social Darwinism, Galton's eugenics, and Haeckel's racism, and he makes very clear that these are not consequences of Darwin's ideas but rather perversions. Social Darwinism, for example, has nothing to do with Darwin and was no more than a device to justify the class structure or social order as it existed at the time; the rich and powerful were rich and powerful because they deserved to be rich and powerful. No such conclusion can reasonably be justified by natural selection, which is entirely descriptive and not at all prescriptive. Indeed, social Darwinism or its equivalent long predates Darwin himself; it was merely the most recent successor to the divine right of kings.
Francis Galton, who was a cousin to Darwin and an important mathematician, took social Darwinism one step further and advocated human breeding by artificial selection. Sumner details how his eugenics led to atrocities such as forced sterilization of people perceived to be mentally handicapped. According to Sumner, Keynes, Wells, Shaw, Churchill, and Woodrow Wilson were all taken in by eugenics. As he says, those in power "were not just richer than the people who work for them---they were better. Genuinely superior right down to every cell of their bodies." Sumner is correct, however, in his assertion that the eugenicists (not to mention the Nazis) have it exactly wrong; a failure to interbreed leads to weaker stock, not stronger. He deftly uses the banana to make his point: for the first half of the 20th century, there was primarily one kind of commercial banana, the gros Michel. Commercial bananas had virtually no genetic diversity and the gros Michels were wiped out by a fungus infection. It took years to replace them with the Cavendish banana, which is the major commercial banana sold today. The Cavendish is now threatened by a similar fungus. I could not help wondering what Ray Comfort would have made of this chapter.
Sumner is on somewhat shakier ground when he tries to apply natural selection to manufacturing and commerce. In a chapter that is concerned with the (biological) horse, he also discusses the Ford Mustang. The Mustang, he says, was not especially fast, not especially sporty. But it was attractive and inexpensive and evidently filled a niche. Whereas Ford's marketing department predicted sales of 100,000 Mustangs in its first year of production, in fact the company sold 1 million in the first year and a half. The car speciated and grew larger for several years, just like biological organisms. Then came the oil embargo in 1973, and many of the Mustang's competitors disappeared. The Mustang, however, had speciated only months before, this time to a smaller, snazzier model. Of all the "pony cars," as Sumner dubs them, only the Mustang survived. Sumner likens the survival of the Mustang to the survival of the real horse, the genus Equus, both of which simply happened to have the right stuff to survive when their respective ecologies changed.
The story of the Mustang is a good yarn, and it is one of many. I suspect Sumner's interpretation is correct, and I hope that he can help to inject a little selectionism into economics. But his work will be criticized in much the same way as sociobiology is criticized: it is easy to make up stories but hard to gather evidence to support them. Indeed, his claim that the Honda Insight and the Toyota Prius are examples of convergent evolution would be more convincing if the designers of the Insight had never seen a Prius, or for that matter if the designers of the Prius had never seen the old 2-seater Insight. Nevertheless, Sumner's stories have a ring of truth to them, and it seems to me that a large number of detailed, carefully constructed stories may be considered to have explanatory power (provided that you could not construct the opposite story if the opposite had happened). But then, I suspect that if I were a biologist, I would be considered an extreme adaptationist.
The last chapter in the book was one of the more interesting. Here Sumner examines a headline that says that, according to a Gallup poll, 4 in 10 people believe in evolution. The headline is presumably correct, but what is omitted is that 4 in 10 (39 %, in fact) was a plurality, and only 25 % disbelieved in evolution. The other 36 % had no opinion. Sumner says that the headline should have stated that only 1 in 4 does not believe in evolution. And, in case you thought that decisions about scientific matters were made on an intellectual level, Sumner describes a poll question of his own: "Do you believe that America and Africa were once part of the same continent?" Guess what? 50 % of people in the Northeast answered yes and 32 % in the South, with intermediate numbers in the Midwest and West. Those who answered "not sure" were about constant at 31-33 % across all regions.
One thing I did not like about this splendid book: It is an anthology, and I think all of the chapters were originally published as essays or blog entries in the Daily Kos. They all have the same formula: start with an anecdote, don't tell where you are going, proceed with your main point, then conclude by in effect finishing the anecdote. The formula may work on isolated blog entries, especially if the other reporters do not constantly use that formula, but by the time I got halfway through the book, I was tired of it and kept gnashing my teeth and exclaiming, "Tell your readers where you are going!"
With that, I return to the anecdote with which I began this essay. I do not believe that Publisher's Weekly was being complimentary when it called Sumner an amateur. All I can say in response is, I should be such an amateur.
Full disclosure: I saw a prepublication copy of this book and wrote a blurb for the back cover. Mr. Sumner very kindly reviewed my book in the Daily Kos.
79 Comments
John Kwok · 27 May 2010
Matt,
Sumner isn't the first to draw parallels between Natural Selection in biology and Natural Selection in human endeavors. Thought Michael Shermer was on firm ground with regards to economics within his book "Why Darwin Matters: The Case Against Intelligent Design", especially in noting how Adam Smith's concept of free market economics led Darwin to think of an economy of nature.
Sincerely,
John
Mike Elzinga · 27 May 2010
Dale Husband · 27 May 2010
I thought Social Darwinism was condemned by most people, even supporters of evolution. It is based on the naturalistic fallacy, that what we see in nature must be the way we must live.
robert van bakel · 27 May 2010
John Kwok,
this is the same Adam smith whose ideas of the free market are being discredited daily?
The use of metaphors:( 'Mustang small - environment, oil cheap - adaptation, increase car size; environment change, oil expensive - adaptation, decrease car size,) are always fraught with danger. Biology and economics do bare similarities but so do all systems; inputs, tranformations, outputs, feedback. The book may be great, but I loath metaphor and allegory, ever since christians started using them in arguments from, 'increduility'.
Let's stick to the facts and let ID'ists make the, "take the complexity of the eye" arguments.
Dave Mullenix · 27 May 2010
robert, try reading Adam Smith sometime and see what he really said. Or better yet, read Matt Ridley's lates, "The Rational Optimist" and see what Smith's idea of specialization and trade has brought us.
Don't confuse Republicanism and neo-conservativism with Adam Smith. The two have virtually nothing in common.
Joe Felsenstein · 28 May 2010
The analogy between product development and evolution falls down when we consider the mode of inheritance. Convergence may be the result of independent work, but there are plenty of cases where one company says "Dang! They're selling a lotta them SUVs! We gotta make some." So evolution becomes very reticulate. It is tempting to think that there are exact parallels to biological evolution in most cultural evolution, but I would be wary.
robert van bakel · 28 May 2010
Thank you Dave Mullenix, I will.
Republicanism, neo-conservatism, and tea-partyism do,however, seem to make natural bed fellows, and their love affair with Mr Smith seems to imply, 'guilt by association'.
As I said, I just dislike metaphor when describing science, it is so creationist, ID'ist, god-botherist, in its conception. Let's talk fossils, DNA, vestigil appendages, junk-DNA, facts-figures and science.
As you can tell, I am not a scientist, but I do enjoy reason, and scientisits are so very good at that.
Dale Husband · 28 May 2010
Mike Elzinga · 28 May 2010
John Kwok · 28 May 2010
John Kwok · 28 May 2010
MrG · 28 May 2010
MrG · 28 May 2010
raven · 28 May 2010
fnxtr · 28 May 2010
John Kwok · 28 May 2010
John Kwok · 28 May 2010
harold · 28 May 2010
John Kwok -
Biological evolution can be a good analogy for other processes in which "reproduction/generation with variation" and "selection" play a role. However, such analogies should be viewed as what they are - analogies.
However, a major logic error is made when the theory of evolution is used to justify policies which are driven by subjective opinion.
The US Constitution, including the Bill of Rights, allows a great deal of freedom with respect to economic policy. The theory of evolution describes how life evolves. It most certainly does not mandate any particular economic policy for the United States.
I certainly agree with you that Adam Smith has not been "disproven".
Adam Smith was merely an insightful very early thinker on economics.
A policy of mainly taxing the less wealthy and redistributing resources to the most wealthy, spending a great deal on useless military endeavors, and running a constant deficit, has been tried many times in history. Such a policy usually results in economic destabilization and collapse.
Whether this is "good" policy or a "bad" policy is a subjective judgment. If cutting off any social aid to the most needy is someone's overpowering and obsessive emotional bias - a rather common situation - then the above policies, pursued until organized society is reduced to chaos, are "good". To someone with that particular set of emotional preferences. (Naturally, I am not saying that you hold such preferences, but I have certainly known many who did.)
Adam Smith's writings indicate that, granted from his eighteenth century perspective, he would NOT approve of current Republican policies at all. He might not think much of Democratic policies either. But he certainly wouldn't support the Republican ones.
In American discourse, the word "socialist" has been contorted to mean "any system or program in which the most needy are given some sort public assistance - regardless of the overall nature of the system".
Likewise, the term "free market" has come to mean "any system that denies redistribution of resources in the form of programs for the most needy - regardless of the overall nature of the system".
Conservative commentators sometimes literally label nations with long histories of strong free markets, like Canada, Australia, or the UK, as "socialist".
The primary reason for these redefinitions is to allow "dog whistle" code to be used when dealing with the faithful - to imply the desire to destroy popular programs without out outright stating it.
Another intended result of this re-definition was that everyone would support whatever was labelled "free market" and loathe whatever was labelled "socialist". However, as so many restaurant owners have discovered to their dismay, at some level, people perceive the true nature of the product, even when it is described with an "opposite of reality" name.
Hence, rather than seeing a ubiquitous desire to stamp out Canadian-like "socialist" policies, because they are labelled "socialist", as was hoped, we actually see many people turning against the very terminology "free market".
eric · 28 May 2010
Aagcobb · 28 May 2010
John Kwok · 28 May 2010
Harold,
While I would like to agree with your comments, there are a few which I strongly disagree with:
First, your assessment is inaccurate. Less than half of the United States population is paying taxes, and those who are paying are those substantially above the poverty line. In other words, many Americans do not pay Federal income taxes. A government's primary responsibility is to protect its citizens from external attack by foreign aggressors, and this includes preemptive wars of which some of the wars against the Barbary States from 1798 to 1816 are notable examples:
"A policy of mainly taxing the less wealthy and redistributing resources to the most wealthy, spending a great deal on useless military endeavors, and running a constant deficit, has been tried many times in history. Such a policy usually results in economic destabilization and collapse."
I strongly disagree with your assessment here. While he wouldn't agree with all Republican policies, he would recognize that they were more supportive of his ideas than what we have seen from the Democratic Socialist Party of America (which, I might note, is what the Democratic Party should refer to itself, especially since it supported state "socialist" practices such as slavery and indentured servitude ("share cropping") for much of its history, even after President Lyndon B. Johnson, with much congressional Republican support, had the 1965 Civil Rights bill passed:
"Adam Smith's writings indicate that, granted from his eighteenth century perspective, he would NOT approve of current Republican policies at all. He might not think much of Democratic policies either. But he certainly wouldn't support the Republican ones."
No, it does not mean just that. It means a system of governance in which the government, not the individual, has the ultimate right to decide where and when one can apply for insurance, healthcare insurance, or decide whether that individual can send his/her children to successful charter schools in lieu of failing public schools. And I am just barely scratching the surface:
"In American discourse, the word 'socialist' has been contorted to mean 'any system or program in which the most needy are given some sort public assistance - regardless of the overall nature of the system'.
Again this is inaccurate. May I suggest you read Michael Shermer's "Why Darwin Matters" for a more accurate description:
"Likewise, the term 'free market' has come to mean 'any system that denies redistribution of resources in the form of programs for the most needy - regardless of the overall nature of the system'.
No they are not referring to their economies, but in their system of governance with regards to the national government's relationship with its citizenry as I have noted above:
"Conservative commentators sometimes literally label nations with long histories of strong free markets, like Canada, Australia, or the UK, as 'socialist'."
Sincerely,
John
Malchus · 28 May 2010
robert van bakel · 29 May 2010
Actually John, Marx had an historical view of human nature. (And as we all know here at Pandas that would be about 200-400 thousand years, if we're very generous).
Marx said we are following a predictable course: 'the animal', where Hobbes said it was nasty brutish and short, austrolapithacine etc; 'feudal', where we improved through nonsense collective ideas, like religion, and blood relations; 'capatalism', where we find ourselves now, with brief interludes into socialism, which are attacked mainly because we are still animals who some how like the 'nasty brutish and short'; 'communism', where we will be, once we actually realise what so many Star Trek episodes tell us, that we are special, and not merely thinking apes. Ever wonder John why sci-fi in the FAR future never show you cash? No need, the society has gone beyond the dollar. Think far into the future John.
Mike Elzinga · 29 May 2010
robert van bakel · 29 May 2010
People 'care' today? I don't know if I 'care', but I am endlessly fascinated, if that is caring, then yes I care.
Over at UD they have started another screed on god and the nhilism of evolution, apparently none of us here 'care'. How absurd. I know you care Mike, I certainly do, through my fascination, and communism; thought I'd throw that in to get John K involved.
If goddit, I would assume you wouldn't, 'CARE' about alternatives and, hey presto, they don't.
The Tim Channel · 29 May 2010
Rolf Aalberg · 29 May 2010
David Utidjian · 29 May 2010
John,
As I understand it the Barbary Wars were fought in order to protect US business interests (merchant ships) in the Meditteranean. The US Navy was paid for with taxes. The taxes, at that time, were primarily from taxes on trade (tariff (of Arabic origin)) which were paid for by the merchants who, in turn, passed those costs on to the consumers of their goods. The consumers of those goods would be the US consumers of those goods.
I do not know but my guess would be that the majority of goods passing through the Meditteranean at that time and bound for US ports consisted of tea and spices. Similar goods would have been transported to other nations by US merchant ships.
Before the Barbary wars and the Treaty of Tripoli there was a cost to the US consumer in the form of tribute paid to the Barbary states by the US government. I have heard that the tribute paid amounted to as much as 20% of the total revenue.
I suppose that the Barbary Wars could be seen as a 'cost savings' to the US public because after the treaty tribute no longer needed to be paid. While I do not know if the price on imported goods went down after the signing of the treaty, somehow, I doubt very much if it did.
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
SWT · 29 May 2010
harold · 29 May 2010
harold · 29 May 2010
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
harold · 29 May 2010
SWT -
I'm not religious, but I agree with you.
PZ has a perfect right to devote himself to criticizing all religion. I often agree with the intellectual core of his arguments against specific statements by religious leaders.
Having said that, there are hundreds of "atheism versus 'religion'" sites. What makes PZ different from others on the internet is not his religious views, which, oppressed minority though he feels he is (justifiably in many ways, I suppose), are common enough, but his gift for teaching biology.
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
Matt Young · 29 May 2010
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
As a postscript to my comments, SWT, you should refer fellow members of your church to the excellent online resources of the National Center for Science Education, especially here:
http://ncse.com/religion
Hopefully after they read these resources, they would agree with your understanding of the fact of biological evolution, recognizing that their need not be any conflict between their deeply held religious beliefs and what they understand is valid mainstream science.
They may also appreciate reading NCSE staffer Josh Rosenau's
recent Washington Post book review of Elaine Howard Ecklund's "Science vs. Religion: What Scientists Really Think":
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/28/AR2010052801856.html
John Kwok · 29 May 2010
harold · 29 May 2010
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John Kwok · 29 May 2010
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harold · 29 May 2010
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Hypatia's Daughter · 29 May 2010
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David Utidjian · 29 May 2010
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Ichthyic · 29 May 2010
John, this obsession with PZ because he booted you off Pharyngula for being an utter kook has got to stop.
seriously, more and more people are realizing just how nuts you appear to be.
OTOH, if this is you way of crying for help, then I would say it is misplaced, and you should just go see someone about dealing with your "issues", instead of continuing to try and play "poison the well" everywhere you go... well everywhere that hasn't banned your sorry ass, that is.
robert van bakel · 29 May 2010
The book seems admirable Matt; an investigation into economy (human endeavor) and biology (physical relationships)will always be hazy however. Throw into the mix conservative crackpots, conspirational nut jobs, Krauthammer (the 'hammer of the Krauts'), Byers and, "OTHERS", whom shall remain nameless, and your job as moderator is a doddle; cheers!
Dale Husband · 30 May 2010
robert van bakel · 30 May 2010
Oh I don't know. Maybe not 'registered Republican' so much as a, 'diagnosed' one:)
Ichthyic · 30 May 2010
Do you equate kook or nuts with being a registered Republican?
not sure how that's even relevant. care to explain?
...no wait, don't bother, I'm pretty sure I wouldn't be interested.
Frank J · 30 May 2010
John Kwok · 30 May 2010
John Kwok · 30 May 2010
I should also mention that Ichthyic did chime in over at Sheril Kirshenbaum's blog thread condemning the "joke". It's too bad he didn't have the guts to write this (comment #98) from Skeptical Skeptic:
"I respect PZ’s auuthority to let comments go unmoderated on his blog. But they’ve reached a point in their tone and tenor where silence is not an opinion anymore. I will not sit down and shut up when others are calling for the rape of bloggers/commenters. My email is going to Seed Media, and I encourage everyone else to, also. I’d email webmaster@scienceblogs.com. Does anyone know Adam Bly’s email?"
"Enough is enough."
Bottom line is that you don't joke about raping and killing people, especially at a blog that is supposedly about science. Too bad Ichthyic still doesn't get it.
Matt Young · 30 May 2010
Matt Young · 30 May 2010
Wheels · 30 May 2010
Dale Husband · 30 May 2010
Mike Elzinga · 30 May 2010
Matt Young · 30 May 2010
You are both welcome! The Webmaster says that the BW has about 6000 comments and that is not enough to slow it appreciably, so, no, he has no plans to start another.
John Kwok · 30 May 2010
robert van bakel · 31 May 2010
Matt!? "Crucifixion's a doddle!"
'Life of Brian'. This great movie also brought us the greatest line in comedy from Michael Palin, as Pilot; "He wanks with the highest in Wome."
duncan cairncross · 31 May 2010
First, your assessment is inaccurate. Less than half of the United States population is paying taxes,
This is a common delusion!
Very very few people don't pay taxes - sales, fuel,...
The Rich pay more
AND they get A LOT more from the government
John Kwok · 31 May 2010
stevaroni · 31 May 2010
Science Avenger · 31 May 2010
hoary puccoon · 31 May 2010
John Kwok said:
"It is a system in which the top 10 percent of earners -- households making an average of $366,400 in 2006 -- paid about 73 percent of the income taxes collected by the federal government."
The "average" John refers to there is the median; half of all households in the top 10% make $366,400 or less. But the top 10% of households has a very skewed distribution. If you take the mean income, i.e., add all the incomes in the top 10% of households and divide by the number of households, you will find that they have a substantially higher "average" income than $366,400.
The median is the appropriate measure if you are trying to describe life in an "average" household in that group. But if you are looking at how many dollars that group paid into federal income tax, versus how much, on average, they have, then using the median instead of the mean creates the misimpression that the burden per household income in the highest 10% is heavier than it actually is.
Dale Husband · 31 May 2010
henry · 1 June 2010
henry · 1 June 2010
stevaroni · 1 June 2010
MrG · 1 June 2010
John Kwok · 1 June 2010
John Kwok · 1 June 2010
henry · 2 June 2010
Michael · 14 June 2010
For some years now, I've thought of economics (of the breed we have) as showing a sort of evolution where Lamarck was right.
As per Adam Smith, I never read Wealth of Nations. I read Powers of Mind, but I highly suspect that was a different Adam Smith. But I did read an article which claimed that Mr. Smith wasn't advocating free-market economics, but merely writing about why one form of capitalism, known as mercantilism, is bad, and should be dropped in favor of another form of capitalism. Being neither economist nor historian, I didn't take much away from that article.