The NYTimes on science denial

Posted 22 January 2013 by

Here. An excerpt:
Galileo's achievement was the end of geocentrism, but it was hardly the end of ignorance and magical thinking. When obstinacy places reason under siege, as it does to this day -- when fundamentalism defames biological science in the classroom, or the politics of denial prevent action to deal with a changing climate, it helps to recall our debt to a man who set a different example more than 400 years ago. It took just a wooden tube and some polished lenses, a critical and inquisitive mind, and four points of light that didn't behave the way they were supposed to.
I'd replace just one word in that: "obstinacy." It's not obstinacy that's the problem. It's the stultifying religious fundamentalisms, the AIGs and Harun Yahyas of the world, the purveyors of ignorance and irrationality, that are the problem. Irrationality and ignorance buttressed by religion are formidable foes, but the alternative to fighting them is to acquiesce in the decline of humanity into a fetid swamp of superstition.

134 Comments

Henry J · 22 January 2013

If only those four points of light had behaved themselves!

j. biggs · 22 January 2013

Henry J said: If only those four points of light had behaved themselves!
Yeah, it's as if nature has no concern for our preconcieved notions.

raven · 22 January 2013

Galileo’s achievement was the end of geocentrism,...
Geocentrism isn't dead. 20% of the US population believe in Geocentrism, 26% of the fundie xians. We have more Geocentrists at 60 million than Canada has people. There are still a few Flat Earthers around as well.

John Harshman · 22 January 2013

raven: Could you back up that claim? Are you counting people who just aren't sure what they learned in school, i.e. the merely clueless?

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 22 January 2013

But Galileo was a creationist. That shows that real science is on the side of creationism.

At least that's how current evidence-denial "thinks."

Glen Davidson

Paul Burnett · 22 January 2013

The thing that tickles and outrages me at the same time is the creationists who use the internet and computers and yet have the audacity to deny the very science that makes the internet and computers possible - not to mention cleaner water and more plentiful food and longer lifespans and lower infant mortality rates and all the other benefits of modern science.

Scott F · 22 January 2013

But Galileo was a creationist. That shows that real science is on the side of creationism. At least that's how current evidence-denial "thinks." Glen Davidson
Even Newton was a creationist. And an alchemist. Which proves modern chemistry is all wrong too.

raven · 22 January 2013

wikipedia Geocentrism: Morris Berman quotes survey results that show currently some 20% of the U.S. population believe that the sun goes around the Earth (geocentricism) rather than the Earth goes around the sun (heliocentricism), while a further 9% claimed not to know.[40]
and
Creationism and Intelligent Design - Page 268 - Google Books Result books.google.com/books?id=ffgBF2jWM8MC Wikimedia Foundation [5] Modern geocentrists believe that they are the true standard-bearers for an ... results that show currently some 20% of the USA population believe that the sun ...
The Flat Earthers these days are mostly Moslem cults. Boko Harum, the notorious Nigerian terrorists, are Flat Earthers and also deny the cloud theory of rain.
Are you counting people who just aren’t sure what they learned in school, i.e. the merely clueless?
I'm not counting anyone. These are results from mainstream polls, Gallup etc.. As to how many are clueless and how many are religious fanatics, who knows? That would require further information. It is telling that the percentage is higher at 26% among fundies.

Robert Byers · 22 January 2013

This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.

Richard B. Hoppe · 22 January 2013

Byers is now banished to the BW. I'm tired of stupidity.

DS · 22 January 2013

Richard B. Hoppe said: Byers is now banished to the BW. I'm tired of stupidity.
Thanks Richard. Robert has never made a coherent point, let alone a valid one. Why he is allowed to continue to vomit his crap on these threads is a mystery. On the other hand, he is the perfect example of the topic of this thread. There is literally no evidence that will ever convince him. There is no evidence that he will not remain willfully ignorant of. I honestly cannot understand this mentality. History shows the folly of ignoring reality. History confirms the efficacy of empiricism. How can you live in a modern society and deny the very methods by which it was created? How can you be so arrogant and so myopic that you can never admit that you were wrong or change your position based on evidence? It must be a very frightening way to live. Think about it, you could virtually never take any scientific study seriously, at least without being a total hypocrite. But then again, that never seemed to bother Robert either. Apparently there is a large percentage of the population that is almost as bad.

Flint · 22 January 2013

To quote Dawkins once again, "There is no sensible limit to what the human mind is capable of believing, against any amount of contrary evidence."

Jim · 22 January 2013

Galileo’s achievement was not the end of geocentrism since his efforts hardly settled the matter. How could discovering the four moons of Jupiter guarantee that the sun is in the middle? You can't see geocentrism through a telescope. What you can see, specifically the phases of the planet Venus, which is actually relevant, is consistent with other systems such as that of Galileo's contemporary, the great astronomer Tycho Brahe. It took the development of a dynamic theory of the solar system to establish heliocentrism by explaining the sun's physical role. In other words, it took Newton.

No serious historian of science buys the pious version of Galileo's accomplishment retailed by the Times.

Might as well get the history right.

Ray Martinez · 22 January 2013

"Galileo’s achievement was the end of geocentrism...."

Galileo, the N.Y. Times should know, was a Creationist: he offered all of his discoveries under the assumption of supernatural causation and design. When he lived absolutely no one believed the heavens produced, arranged and organized itself.

DS · 22 January 2013

Glen called it.

Ray Martinez · 22 January 2013

Flint said: To quote Dawkins once again, "There is no sensible limit to what the human mind is capable of believing, against any amount of contrary evidence."
We completely agree.

PA Poland · 22 January 2013

Ray Martinez said:
Flint said: To quote Dawkins once again, "There is no sensible limit to what the human mind is capable of believing, against any amount of contrary evidence."
We completely agree.
You are an excellent demonstration of that - there is no evidence for a worldwide flood, or the intervention of Magical Sky Pixies, yet you howl and scream that your peculiar 'interpretations' of the bible trump reality-based science. And anyone that disagrees with your addle-pated blubberings is (conveniently) in league with Satan. You flatulate that species are immutable - yet the scientific literature is rife with species that have changed. You have no real idea of what 'immutability' TRULY entails, do you ? BTW - how's your 'book' coming along ? Still rewriting the dictionary so words mean what you NEED them to mean ? (your idiotic "the prefix 'a' means 'against' !!!!" gibbertwittery back over on talkorigins was most amusing !!)

Scott F · 22 January 2013

DS said:
Richard B. Hoppe said: Byers is now banished to the BW. I'm tired of stupidity.
Thanks Richard. Robert has never made a coherent point, let alone a valid one. Why he is allowed to continue to vomit his crap on these threads is a mystery. On the other hand, he is the perfect example of the topic of this thread. There is literally no evidence that will ever convince him. There is no evidence that he will not remain willfully ignorant of. I honestly cannot understand this mentality. History shows the folly of ignoring reality. History confirms the efficacy of empiricism. How can you live in a modern society and deny the very methods by which it was created? How can you be so arrogant and so myopic that you can never admit that you were wrong or change your position based on evidence? It must be a very frightening way to live. Think about it, you could virtually never take any scientific study seriously, at least without being a total hypocrite. But then again, that never seemed to bother Robert either. Apparently there is a large percentage of the population that is almost as bad.
Orwell had the right of it. It's the Authoritarian mind set. Once you accept that your chosen "Authority" is always right, then nothing else matters. No amount of evidence can possibly matter, because what makes a particular dogma "right" is not "evidence" but "authority". OTOH, if the "Authority" changes, then the dogma changes to match. The dogma is neither "right" nor "wrong". The "Authority" is always "right", always was "right", and always will be "right", even if the dogma changes. For example, just look at the Mormon church. Prior to 1978, the Mormon church discriminated against Blacks. Following the "Revelation on the Priesthood" in 1978, they don't. The Authority was "right" then, and the Authority is "right" now. The dogma changed, but the Authority is always "right". From the Wiki page [emphasis added]:

Hinckley, then church president, told the Los Angeles Times "The 1978 declaration speaks for itself ... I don't see anything further that we need to do". Church leadership did not issue a repudiation.[114] Church apostle Dallin H. Oaks said: "It's not the pattern of the Lord to give reasons. We can put reasons to commandments. When we do we're on our own. Some people put reasons to [the ban] and they turned out to be spectacularly wrong. There is a lesson in that.... The lesson I've drawn from that, I decided a long time ago that I had faith in the command and I had no faith in the reasons that had been suggested for it... I'm referring to reasons given by general authorities and reasons elaborated upon [those reasons] by others. The whole set of reasons seemed to me to be unnecessary risk taking... Let's [not] make the mistake that's been made in the past, here and in other areas, trying to put reasons to revelation. The reasons turn out to be man-made to a great extent. The revelations are what we sustain as the will of the Lord and that's where safety lies."

Reasons? Evidence? We don't need no stupid "reasons". We have "faith". We have the "Authority", and the "Authority" is always right. No, I don't understand such a mind set either, but (ironically) the evidence is pretty clear on the subject.

Scott F · 22 January 2013

OTOH, the evidence is pretty clear that "The Lord(tm)" changed his mind because of money (or earthly power, or both). It was important to expand the Mormon church into Latin America and Africa. It was a growth industry. But no one on those continents was going to join a church where only white males were allowed. Viola! "Revelation". Now there are a million more heads to tithe (literally tithe) to the church than before the "Revelation".

It really is convenient (and "surprisingly" coincidental) when the "Authority" just happens to ordain exactly what the "Leadership" wants to happen, and just exactly when the "Leadership" needs it to happen.

Just think what could be accomplished in Science by the power of "Revelation". No more study, no more backbreaking expensive field work, no more stupid intractable simulations or expensive labs. Just pray hard enough, and viola! "Revelation." The added benefit of "Revelation"? You don't have to explain anything. No more tedious presentations at boring seminars. No more time consuming journal articles to research and write up. Just self publish a new "Revelation". Heck, the rubes will even pay you to come and preach your "Revelation". Just ask Dempski.

Yeah. It sounds pretty appalling to me too.

shebardigan · 23 January 2013

Scott F said: Viola!
It's astonishing how much power the middle of the String Section has in the overall scheme of things.

robert van bakel · 23 January 2013

On the 'immutability' of fundamentalist thought I thought a heads up to the wonderful booklet by Gerald Huther (Head of Department of Fundamental Neurobiological Research, the Psychiatric Clinic of Gottingen Germany)is due. The book is called, 'The Compassionate Brain' and explains in quite accessable language, why Robert Byers and Ray Martinez, and their ilk, are so profoundly and immutably thick. Written in 2001, and at long last translated in 2006, it explains how the nurture/nature debate to explain behaviour is important but flawed, and how in the 90's it was discovered that brain cells are indeed NOT 'hardwired' in the first years of development. It explains that the most modern research confirms that those people constantly willing to re-assess what they believe to be true, those whom constantly challenge their thinking have the most healthy brains: it also, as an addedd bonus staves off progressively degenerative brain illnesses.

Matt G · 23 January 2013

"The most important scientific revolutions all include, as their only common feature, the dethronement of human arrogance from one pedestal after another of previous convictions about our centrality in the cosmos." Stephen J. Gould

eric · 23 January 2013

raven said: The Flat Earthers these days are mostly Moslem cults. Boko Harum, the notorious Nigerian terrorists, are Flat Earthers and also deny the cloud theory of rain.
Flat Earth: The History of an Infamous Idea is an interesting read for anyone who wants an overview. One of the points made is that the flat earth movements in the modern, 1st world west have tended to be less serious science denial and more of a '60s-style "free your mind/challenge your conceptions" movement. IOW, they are social movements that use geocentrism as a symbol of the sort of authority that individuals should question more, they aren't die-hard geocentrists.
These are results from mainstream polls, Gallup etc.. As to how many are clueless and how many are religious fanatics, who knows? That would require further information. It is telling that the percentage is higher at 26% among fundies.
To put this in perspective, a recent poll asked US respondents their opininon on two acts of Congress: one real (Simpson-Bowles), one completely made up ("Panetta-Burns," link). 25% of respondents said they either supported or opposed the fake plan. So I don't think 20% of the populace answering yes on geocentrism means much beyond the obvious: people will often pretend to have a strong opinion on a subject on which they are completely ignorant, just so as not to appear ignorant.

eric · 23 January 2013

Jim said: Galileo’s achievement was not the end of geocentrism since his efforts hardly settled the matter. How could discovering the four moons of Jupiter guarantee that the sun is in the middle?
It demontstrated that the church was wrong in asserting that every celestial body orbited the earth. For astronomers, this opened up the way for to consider other hypotheses. But from a wider perspective, it undermined the credibility of the church on matters of (what we'd now call) science. Okay, so maybe he didn't single-handedly topple the edifice of geocentrism. But I think it's fair to say he kicked out the foundation of it.

TomS · 23 January 2013

eric said:
Jim said: Galileo’s achievement was not the end of geocentrism since his efforts hardly settled the matter. How could discovering the four moons of Jupiter guarantee that the sun is in the middle?
It demontstrated that the church was wrong in asserting that every celestial body orbited the earth. For astronomers, this opened up the way for to consider other hypotheses. But from a wider perspective, it undermined the credibility of the church on matters of (what we'd now call) science. Okay, so maybe he didn't single-handedly topple the edifice of geocentrism. But I think it's fair to say he kicked out the foundation of it.
I'd suggest that part of the geocentric model was that there was a sharp distinction between earthly (that is, sub-lunar) things and heavenly things. For example, earthly things were made of earth, air, fire and water and had an inherent linear motion, while heavenly things were made of a "quintessence" and had an inherent circular motion. Discoveries like sun spots, mountains on the moon, phases of Venus and satellites of Jupiter tended to break down that distinction. After Galileo, what could one point to that made the heavenly bodies behave in a distinctive way and what made the Earth stand still when everything else was in motion?

Paul Burnett · 23 January 2013

Scott F said: The "Authority" is always "right", always was "right", and always will be "right", even if the dogma changes.
"We Have Always Been At War With Eastasia" - 1984

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 23 January 2013

eric said:
Jim said: Galileo’s achievement was not the end of geocentrism since his efforts hardly settled the matter. How could discovering the four moons of Jupiter guarantee that the sun is in the middle?
It demontstrated that the church was wrong in asserting that every celestial body orbited the earth. For astronomers, this opened up the way for to consider other hypotheses. But from a wider perspective, it undermined the credibility of the church on matters of (what we'd now call) science. Okay, so maybe he didn't single-handedly topple the edifice of geocentrism. But I think it's fair to say he kicked out the foundation of it.
The phases of Venus were the observation that really pointed toward heliocentrism. Sure, you could be Tycho Brahe and keep a hybrid, wherein Venus circled the sun along with Mercury, while the sun and everything else (save other planets' moons) circled the earth. I don't think anything that ugly ever appealed to many, however. Anyway, Kepler pretty much exploded that using Brahe's own data. Glen Davidson

FL · 23 January 2013

Those who express dissent from the usual global warming sales-pitch, are often dismissed as "science-deniers", even if they have the scientific credentials with which to express their doubts.

And of course, like dutiful drooling lapdogs, the libbie media goes right along with the game. As expected.

But not all of them. A few journalists still keep an open mind; they still keep in mind the very checkered history of the global warming gig. Of course, such journalists can count on getting criticized for their brave efforts, but they're tough enough to keep on going.

One of those journalists is the Kansas City Star's E. Thomas McClanahan. He dares to remind readers that the global warming religion still has some skewed preachin's in there. Take a look!

http://www.kansascity.com/2013/01/22/4024161/e-thomas-mcclanahan-whatever-happens.html

FL

PS. I'm back.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 23 January 2013

Sure, you could be Tycho Brahe and keep a hybrid, wherein Venus circled the sun along with Mercury, while the sun and everything else (save other planets’ moons) circled the earth.
Actually, it looks like all of the planets other than earth orbited the sun, while the sun orbited the earth, which was at the center of the universe (or at least very near the center--geocentrists often realized earth couldn't be exactly in the center), in Brahe's model. I'm pretty sure that someone (Brahe at some other time--or others) did have just Venus and Mercury orbiting the sun and the other planets orbiting earth, but apparently it wasn't Brahe's best known model, anyhow. That doesn't matter a whole lot, the phases of Venus worked for heliocentrism, not for geocentrism, and that's what really matters. But I didn't want to leave an incorrect history about Brahe's modeling without improving that information. Glen Davidson

apokryltaros · 23 January 2013

Tell us, FL, why should global warming skeptics be not be dismissed as "science-deniers" when they refuse to look at any of the numerous evidences for global warming, and when they accuse the scientific community as participating in a massive, liberal conspiracy of evil to destroy Capitalism, AND when what precious little evidence of their own they do provide does not stand up to even light scrutiny?

*cue FL running away*

apokryltaros · 23 January 2013

Science-Hating Bigot For Jesus babbled: Those who express dissent from the usual global warming sales-pitch, are often dismissed as "science-deniers", even if they have the scientific credentials with which to express their doubts. And of course, like dutiful drooling lapdogs, the libbie media goes right along with the game. As expected.
And tell us again why we have to assume that you are a knowledgeable person of what is and isn't scientific when you repeatedly demonstrate that you are deliberately ignorant of all things scientific because you hate Science, regarding it as an evil religion of devil-worshipers who compete directly with Christianity?

eric · 23 January 2013

FL said: Those who express dissent from the usual global warming sales-pitch, are often dismissed as "science-deniers", even if they have the scientific credentials with which to express their doubts.
When a Virginia legislator forces a state study's authors to replace “sea-level rise” with “recurrent flooding," the label "denier" fits. This is a guy perfectly willing to admit that the average sea level has indeed changed, he just doesn't want to admit that the average has changed, if you get what I mean. He's fine with the points on the chart, but legally forbids state workers from fitting a line through them. When the North Carolina legislature passes a law that bans scientists from using their best models, and instead dictates to them that they will calculate sea level rise using a less accurate model, then again, the label fits. Credible dissention is arguing that your opponent is drawing the wrong conclusion from the data. That one of their assumptions is wrong, which makes their model spit out wrong results. It does not include legally banning the use of working models by scientists, or directing staff scientists to not point out some trend that is observationally occurring. When you do that, you're a science denier.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 23 January 2013

If you think of AGW denialism and similar tactics by the tobacco companies, one wonders if it really should be considered to be science denial. After all, they're keen to claim the mantle of science, they just lie about it.

So perhaps it's ok to say that they're not science deniers. Good old-fashioned dishonesty, such as FL rampantly evinces, is sufficient to explain them.

Glen Davidson

DS · 23 January 2013

This reminds me of the Jeff Foxworthy routine: "You just might be a redneck if ..."

You just might be a science denier if:

You refuse to read the scientific literature.

You accuse all the experts of creating a conspiracy (even though they have neither the means, nor the opportunity or the motivation to do so).

If you refuse to actually look at the evidence.

If you don't understand that which you criticize.

If you will never change your opinion no matter what.

If you think personal attacks represent a valid argument.

Of course Floyd does all of these things, but what can you expect from a guy who is proud that his religion is incompatible with reality?

SLC · 23 January 2013

Galileo showed that the previous hypothesis that the entire known universe at the time revolved around the earth was untenable, because the 4 moons of Jupiter that he discovered clearly revolved around that planet. That was the opening wedge in the fall of geocentrism.
Jim said: Galileo’s achievement was not the end of geocentrism since his efforts hardly settled the matter. How could discovering the four moons of Jupiter guarantee that the sun is in the middle? You can't see geocentrism through a telescope. What you can see, specifically the phases of the planet Venus, which is actually relevant, is consistent with other systems such as that of Galileo's contemporary, the great astronomer Tycho Brahe. It took the development of a dynamic theory of the solar system to establish heliocentrism by explaining the sun's physical role. In other words, it took Newton. No serious historian of science buys the pious version of Galileo's accomplishment retailed by the Times. Might as well get the history right.

Just Bob · 23 January 2013

SLC said: That was the opening wedge in the fall of geocentrism.
That wedge seems to have been more effective than a more recently proclaimed one.

apokryltaros · 23 January 2013

Just Bob said:
SLC said: That was the opening wedge in the fall of geocentrism.
That wedge seems to have been more effective than a more recently proclaimed one.
If you want to drive a wedge into an institution in order to destroy it, you first must find flaws in said institution's logic with which to drive your wedges into. If said enemy logic flaws only exist in your imagination and party dogma, then it doesn't actually count, unfortunately.

FL · 23 January 2013

So, Eric, what about that meteorologist that McClanahan mentioned, Anthony Watts? Is HE a science denier?

http://wattsupwiththat.com/

FL

j. biggs · 23 January 2013

FL said: So, Eric, what about that meteorologist that McClanahan mentioned, Anthony Watts? Is HE a science denier? http://wattsupwiththat.com/ FL
Why should one meteorologist's opinion about AGW, impress us more than a world wide consensus among climatologists? Or for that matter why should one meteorologist's opinion matter more than facts that are readily accessible to us through the scientific literature?

j. biggs · 23 January 2013

FL said: So, Eric, what about that meteorologist that McClanahan mentioned, Anthony Watts? Is HE a science denier? http://wattsupwiththat.com/ FL
Geez, Floyd, really? This Watts guy is as much a denier as one can get. Not only does he attack AGW, but renewable energy as well. I wouldn't be surprised if we pulled his tax returns and saw bi-monthly payments from corporations in the non-renewable energy sector. Note how all of his blog entries are completely free of any actual scientific research on the subject of AGW. But I forgot that you and your ilk think that opinions are as good as facts; Perhaps even better, if the facts are inconvenient to conservative interests/ideology.

scienceavenger · 23 January 2013

Curious FL, do you deny that the earth is warming, or do you accept that it is warming, but doubt that the warming is caused by human behaviour?

Jim · 23 January 2013

Galileo was an prime example of a home truth: if you want to be a famous scientist, figuring out how to get the credit is the crucial part. The actual discovering or inventing is optional. Few have ever been as skilled or as diligent at self promotion as Galileo. That's is not to say that the guy didn't make genuine contributions, but that he was better at PR than mathematics or astronomy. A comment thread is not a very good place to set the story straight—I recommend the various posts on the matter on Thony Christie's Renaissance Mathematicus web site. Any serious bio of Galileo or non-popular history of Astronomy will also do the trick.

ksplawn · 23 January 2013

FL said: So, Eric, what about that meteorologist that McClanahan mentioned, Anthony Watts? Is HE a science denier? http://wattsupwiththat.com/ FL
Is the Pope Catholic? FL, Anthony Watts is the guy who tried to argue that all the anomalously warm temperature readings on the East Antarctic Peninsula were due to being located close to the habitably-warm research stations. In essence, he argued that the 1-4 thousand researchers stationed on the whole of Antarctica were artificially driving up the temperature readings just by being there (presumably also they were melting enough ice to make entire shelves of it collapse into the sea). To prove his point, he produced a picture of a temporary camp from WEST Antarctica, thousands of kilometers away, and pointed to a weather station that was situated a reasonable distance from thoroughly insulated temporary shelters. Contaminated records! Heat bias! We don't know what's really going on! The mainstream scientists have it all wrong! When someone from the expedition in his photograph actually showed in in the thread to point out the numerous problems with this argument (i.e. the camp is on the wrong side of the continent and can't be causing warming on the peninsula, the weather station was only used locally to determine ground conditions for landing supply planes and wasn't part of the climatological record, the shelters were unheated and couldn't be doing much to influence the temperature readings anyway, Watts was confusing two different satellite systems, and so on), did Anthony Watts change his tune? Nope. Even confronted with those who knew more than he did about the subject, he doubled down and clung to his ideas. Those ideas were plainly false and based on fictitious premises, but he didn't give them up. He even made MORE glaring mistakes in the on-going replies which showed that he had no idea what he was talking about (confusing the Argos satellite data link with ARGO buoys that monitor ocean temperatures, etc.). It's really quite the train-wreck of a thread. I'll just paste the link here since PT's parser is choking on it and changing the inline link to gobbledy-gook in the preview: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/08/23/antarctic-peninsula-was-1-3c-warmer-than-today-11000-years-ago/#comment-1065260 That's a sterling example of science denial (or just denial in general). That's not his most egregious, but it's one that sticks in my recent memory as being particularly silly and demonstrative. Anthony Watts is in no way qualified to criticize the science he dislikes. He's not an expert, certainly not an authority, and he has a pronounced inability to base his ideas on facts when those facts are inconvenient. He's a sham, but is too stupid to know it himself. He's incapable of informing you about the climate in any meaningful sense. And he's not even a degreed Meteorologist, as in the kind that work for the National Weather Service. He's just a former TV weatherman with no science credentials. But you won't care about facts, accuracy, or science. If you did, we wouldn't be having this conversation. I'm willing to bet you'll still consider Watts reliable, moreso than the actual climate experts, because he says what you want to hear.

eric · 23 January 2013

Well FL, there you go.

Rando · 23 January 2013

FL said: So, Eric, what about that meteorologist that McClanahan mentioned, Anthony Watts? Is HE a science denier? http://wattsupwiththat.com/ FL

Just Bob · 23 January 2013

Indeed, to the turd the 'authoritative scientist' is the lone (crazy) voice crying what he wants to hear.

Carl Drews · 23 January 2013

But wait, there's more! Chris Mooney and Sheril Kirshenbaum wrote in their book Unscientific America (2009):
Anthony Watts is an extremely popular blogger…. Yet his blog contains highly questionable information — presented very “scientifically” of course, replete with charts and graphs — but all directed toward the end of making the scientific consensus on human-caused global warming seem faulty (in fact it’s extremely robust). A particular delight of the blog: hyping individual winter-weather events as if they have something to do with refuting global warming trends, a basic error of statistical reasoning.

Rando · 23 January 2013

Rando said:
FL said: So, Eric, what about that meteorologist that McClanahan mentioned, Anthony Watts? Is HE a science denier? http://wattsupwiththat.com/ FL
You mean the guy who praised the BEST study when he thought it would prove him right only to deny it's accuracy when it PROVED him wrong? I'm gonna go with, yes, he's a science denier.

ksplawn · 23 January 2013

Oh yeah, forgot about BEST and Watts' complete about-face on Richard Muller.
That was sadly predictable.

apokryltaros · 23 January 2013

apokryltaros said: Tell us, FL, why should global warming skeptics be not be dismissed as "science-deniers" when they refuse to look at any of the numerous evidences for global warming, and when they accuse the scientific community as participating in a massive, liberal conspiracy of evil to destroy Capitalism, AND when what precious little evidence of their own they do provide does not stand up to even light scrutiny? *cue FL running away*
I noticed FL refused to answer my question. Or, did he answer my question by providing a perfect example of how a global warming skeptic is also a science-denier? I wonder if FL also enjoys refusing to defend Anthony Watt, too?

FL · 23 January 2013

So, if I'm hearing you all correctly, Watts is suffering from the same disease that led to Climategate and to continued selling the Broken Hockey Stick after a global warmer or two knew it was broken.

Is that somewhat correct?

FL

harold · 23 January 2013

To put this in perspective, a recent poll asked US respondents their opininon on two acts of Congress: one real (Simpson-Bowles), one completely made up (“Panetta-Burns,” link). 25% of respondents said they either supported or opposed the fake plan. So I don’t think 20% of the populace answering yes on geocentrism means much beyond the obvious: people will often pretend to have a strong opinion on a subject on which they are completely ignorant, just so as not to appear ignorant.
That's not quite oranges to oranges. The fake act of congress question is heavily basing. Some people would confuse the fake name with another act of congress that they do have an opinion on. Many others would be embarrassed that they "hadn't heard of it" and attempt to disguise that with an answer implying that they have an informed opinion of it. "Does the earth go around the sun or does the sun go around the earth" is less basing. I suspect, but can't know, that Raven's stats lump the educationally deprived through no fault of their own with the ideologically rigid, but the stats are still sobering. What a coincidence that FL is also a climate denialist. It's almost as if he conforms to a rigid authoritarian ideology on multiple issues...

Just Bob · 23 January 2013

harold said: What a coincidence that FL is also a climate denialist. It's almost as if he conforms to a rigid authoritarian ideology on multiple issues...
Yup, a thorough turd. But I think we knew that.

DS · 23 January 2013

If you use terms like "climategate" and "hockey stick" as if they somehow proved something, you just might be a science denier (and a red neck).

scienceavenger · 23 January 2013

Climategate was a mirage, a bunch of people who didn't understand what they were reading making much ado about nothing. Ironically, that was what the content was mostly about.

One sign of science denial: thinking a fraud refutes the science.

eric · 24 January 2013

harold said: That's not quite oranges to oranges. The fake act of congress question is heavily basing. Some people would confuse the fake name with another act of congress that they do have an opinion on. Many others would be embarrassed that they "hadn't heard of it" and attempt to disguise that with an answer implying that they have an informed opinion of it. "Does the earth go around the sun or does the sun go around the earth" is less basing.
I'm not exactly sure what you mean by "basing." Do you mean less prone to stir up political loyalties (and thus provoke an emotional or tribal answer)? I'd agree with that. But if you mean something like: its a simpler, more basic question, so we can't assume ignorance on the part of the respondents, then I beg to differ. That is probably true in other 1st world countries, but our primary and secondary science education does not rank well. In 2009, we ranked 25th in math and 17th in science out of 34 studied countries. Ignorance of basic facts about the solar system is certainly on the table as an explanation for why 1/5 of surveyed US respondents would get the answer wrong.

Charley Horse · 24 January 2013

FL said: Those who express dissent from the usual global warming sales-pitch, are often dismissed as "science-deniers", even if they have the scientific credentials with which to express their doubts. And of course, like dutiful drooling lapdogs, the libbie media goes right along with the game. As expected. But not all of them. A few journalists still keep an open mind; they still keep in mind the very checkered history of the global warming gig. Of course, such journalists can count on getting criticized for their brave efforts, but they're tough enough to keep on going. One of those journalists is the Kansas City Star's E. Thomas McClanahan. He dares to remind readers that the global warming religion still has some skewed preachin's in there. Take a look! http://www.kansascity.com/2013/01/22/4024161/e-thomas-mcclanahan-whatever-happens.html FL PS. I'm back.
I clicked on the McClanahan article and it uses a New York Times article to suggest that a NYT article was denying that last year was the hottest year on record for the USA. Then I went to that NYT article and guess what....McClanahan quote-mined the title of that article to support his rant against climate science. QUOTE the article titled "Not Even Close: 2012 Was Hottest Ever in U.S.": (McClanahan only used "Not Even Close") ....How hot was it? The temperature differences between years are usually measured in fractions of a degree, but last year’s 55.3 degree average demolished the previous record, set in 1998, by a full degree Fahrenheit.......... QUOTE McClanahan: "The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says last year was the hottest on record in the contiguous United States. As The New York Times put it in a recent headline, it was "not even close." It is becoming harder to find what some might consider a credible source for those who continue to deny human caused global warming. Of course, you can still find politicians and those afflicted with the creation virus who still want to claim there is a world wide hoax/ fraud being perpetrated.

Shelldigger · 24 January 2013

Richard B. Hoppe said: Byers is now banished to the BW. I'm tired of stupidity.
Would it be improper, to do the Snoopy dance now? I think you have employed a much wider tolerance of that guy, than any moral standard would expect of you.

scienceavenger · 24 January 2013

Charley Horse said: It is becoming harder to find what some might consider a credible source for those who continue to deny human caused global warming.
Indeed, Chris Hayes, the smartest guy on mainstream TV IMO, and one of the fairest, talked about how he's not interested in getting lunatics and idiots (my phrasing) on his show to beat up on, but really makes an effort to get the most intelligent and honest defenders of various positions for a good healthy debate. He claimed there were only two subjects where he had completely come up dry on finding such guests: voter fraud and climate change.

FL · 24 January 2013

Okay, interesting comments as always. While I'm not Watt's appointed attorney or anything, it occurred to me that what you guys were accusing Watts of (being wrong on some of his claims and being obstinate about 'em anyway) is the SAME thing that brought Climategate and Broken Hockey Stick onto the stage. If we were honest about things and not into media-political tactics like the term "science denier", we'd admit that we are all wrong sometimes on science matters AND obstinate about our wrongness (a spoonful of Kuhn, anyone?). ****

Climategate was a mirage, a bunch of people who didn’t understand what they were reading making much ado about nothing.

This is an excellent example of the wrongness-obstinancy thing. What should give us pause is that NOT ONLY is Climategate real, but for all those years in which the data got fudged by scientists, we cannot go back in time and retrieve the correct numbers for those years. So we're literally stuck with no way of scientifically knowing what the real deal might be. I don't think we should mindlessly ignore the global warming scientists and their media shills, but we need to remember how, umm, OBSTINATE they can get if they make a mistake. Good thing those Global Warming guys were in the Science field rather than the Business field. If they were in the Business field, they might have qualified for prosecution under the RICO Act, according to one commentator. **** ScienceAvenger asked (and it was a good question), "do you deny that the earth is warming, or do you accept that it is warming, but doubt that the warming is caused by human behaviour?" Let's unpack that one. First, do I deny that the earth is warming? I don't know. I bought into it the first time around (when the instructor showed us Al Gore's famous movie), but now I honestly don't know anymore. That's exactly what McClanahan was getting at, btw. Take a look.

Along with heat in the United States, The Times story described snow in Jerusalem, endless rain in Britain, heat waves in Brazil and Australia and an arctic air mass settling in from Central Europe to South Asia - a cold wave severe enough to cause several hundred deaths. In Siberia, it was so frigid that natural gas liquefied in its pipes. Omar Baddour of the World Meteorological Organization in Geneva told The Times that these events were a sign that, as the paper put it, "climate change is not just about rising temperatures but also about intense, unpleasant, anomalous weather of all kinds." In other words, if the temperature isn't rising globally then "climate change" is pretty much anything bad that happens. I wish I could remember the blogger who crystallized the fallacy at work here, but he nailed it perfectly: If everything that happens becomes evidence for what you want to believe, how can you call it "science"?

So my sincere answer is now, "I don't know." And honestly, ScienceAvenger's next question is a sincere "I don't know" for me as well. Climategate and Broken-Hockey-Stick are factors in all of this. FL

eric · 24 January 2013

FL said: If we were honest about things and not into media-political tactics like the term "science denier", we'd admit that we are all wrong sometimes on science matters AND obstinate about our wrongness (a spoonful of Kuhn, anyone?).
Sure: we are all wrong sometimes. You are wrong this time.
[quoting McClanahan] In other words, if the temperature isn't rising globally then "climate change" is pretty much anything bad that happens.
McClanahan is wrong this time. What Baddour is saying is that, as global temperatures rise, climatologists predict there will be more variation. Standing weather patterns will change, leading to more local extremes. As far as I know, this is a standard prediction of all our best models and is not really controversial at all. It doesn't matter how the heat is generated, if you plug in higher temperatures, you'll see lots of wierd weather happen.
I wish I could remember the blogger who crystallized the fallacy at work here, but he nailed it perfectly: If everything that happens becomes evidence for what you want to believe, how can you call it "science"?
Your blogger is wrong this time. Evidence against warming or climate change is easy to describe: constant and consistent temperatures over the next 1, 10, 100 years, with only normal seasonal variations.

FL · 24 January 2013

And here's a simple reason for you to avoid tactics like calling folks "science denier" -- the fact that you've got A LOT of regular scientists who simply dissent from the global warming sales-pitch. Example: http://climatedepot.com/a/9035/SPECIAL-REPORT-More-Than-1000-International-Scientists-Dissent-Over-ManMade-Global-Warming-Claims--Challenge-UN-IPCC--Gore And indeed, just a year ago, 16 dissenting scientists wrote to the Wall Street Journal to bring up the point McClanahan brought up:

...those promoting alarm have shifted their drumbeat from warming to weather extremes, to enable anything unusual that happens in our chaotic climate to be ascribed to CO2.”

http://news.yahoo.com/16-scientists-declare-no-compelling-scientific-argument-drastic-183255794.html I'm looking at the list of 16 scientists right now, and it's very VERY hard to see how, for example, an MIT professor of atmospheric science can be called a "science denier." So you know, I think an honest layperson would have to say "I don't know" on the Global Warming religion. Refusing to convert doesn't automatically make you a science denier, even if the libbies at the NYT preach such things. FL

scienceavenger · 24 January 2013

FL said: What should give us pause is that NOT ONLY is Climategate real, but for all those years in which the data got fudged by scientists, we cannot go back in time and retrieve the correct numbers for those years.
There was nothing in the Climategate emails that suggested scientists fudged data for years to show warming where there wasn't. Did you actually read the emails? I did. It was merely a case of people knowing they were dealing with a sensitive issue where it was important to control what got publicized because of the danger of people who didn't understand what they were looking at making a big deal out of nothing. Like I said, ironically, that's exactly what happened. Mirage it remains. Climategate no more calls global warming into question than did Piltdown call evolution into question, and that analogy assumes Climategate was a real fraud, which it wasn't.

DS · 24 January 2013

scienceavenger said:
FL said: What should give us pause is that NOT ONLY is Climategate real, but for all those years in which the data got fudged by scientists, we cannot go back in time and retrieve the correct numbers for those years.
There was nothing in the Climategate emails that suggested scientists fudged data for years to show warming where there wasn't. Did you actually read the emails? I did. It was merely a case of people knowing they were dealing with a sensitive issue where it was important to control what got publicized because of the danger of people who didn't understand what they were looking at making a big deal out of nothing. Like I said, ironically, that's exactly what happened. Mirage it remains. Climategate no more calls global warming into question than did Piltdown call evolution into question, and that analogy assumes Climategate was a real fraud, which it wasn't.
It doesn't matter. If you have no facts to support your position and all the known facts are against you, all you have to do is make up crap about conspiracies. When asked to document if the conspiracy actually existed you just make up words like "climategate" and "hockey stick" and wave your hands and hope no one will notice. Such are the eternal tactics of science deniers. They are like a one string bango. The tune never varies so it is ale=ways easy to spot. Floyd is incapable of understanding or discussing science, so if he doesn't want to believe something the only thing he can do is scream conspiracy and hope no on notices that the emperor has no clothes. He better hope that global warming is real, otherwise he'll freeze his nads off.

Henry J · 24 January 2013

He better hope that global warming is real,

Nobody with sense, education, and empathy would want global warming to be the case. (Not that this would apply to FL, of course, as he lacks at least one of those qualities.)

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

An Idiot said: And here's a simple reason for you to avoid tactics like calling folks "science denier" -- the fact that you've got A LOT of regular scientists who simply dissent from the global warming sales-pitch.
Why can't we call people who deny global warming "science deniers" when they refuse to provide any evidence to support their claims? Because it will hurt their precious feelings? Why haven't any of these 16 scientists provided any credible evidence to show that global warming isn't happening? Evil conspiracy by those evil liberal atheist Satanists? Why should we blindly heed the words of this micro-minority over the scientific consensus? Because this micro-minority says what you blindly believe in, FL? Or is it because you'll threaten to sic God on us to send us to Hell to be tortured forever?

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

Henry J said:

He better hope that global warming is real,

Nobody with sense, education, and empathy would want global warming to be the case. (Not that this would apply to FL, of course, as he lacks at least one all of those qualities.)
There, fixed for you.

scienceavenger · 24 January 2013

FL said: Let's unpack that one. First, do I deny that the earth is warming? I don't know. I bought into it the first time around (when the instructor showed us Al Gore's famous movie), but now I honestly don't know anymore.
You might consider that those of us who accept the global warming hypothesis base that view on a bit more evidence than one film. Frankly, I find your sincerity hard to swallow, because you don't argue as one who doesn't know. Those people tend to be fairly silent. You argue as one who thinks he does know, and he knows that it is not warming. And on that score, I think that puts you outside the realm of reasonable discourse. I can see how a person could argue reasonably that the earth's warming is not due to manmade causes. I'd disagree, but its not an unreasonable position. It *is* unreasonable to say the earth isn't warming. The evidence is overwhelming. The only way to deny the conclusion is to ignore the evidence (apparently your tact), or to play cherry-picking games with it (eg the "no warming in the last X years" canards) as most of the mainstream denialists do. One cannot look at the ever increasing data points of average global temperatures, the seemingly daily all-time high records, and not see the warming trend unless one simply does not want to.

ksplawn · 24 January 2013

FL said: While I'm not Watt's appointed attorney or anything, it occurred to me that what you guys were accusing Watts of (being wrong on some of his claims and being obstinate about 'em anyway) is the SAME thing that brought Climategate and Broken Hockey Stick onto the stage.
You're incorrect. Watts is clearing making mistakes and talking about things which he does not understand in even the most superficial way. He has not done research on these issues, he does not provide physics to explain his stance, he reflexively rejects what experts believe and offers no science to counter it. That is the polar (heh) opposite of what the researchers were doing in the emails that were hacked from under them. They were hashing out issues in a careful, rational way, using their deep and hard-won knowledge of physics and ecology, and always referring to the data itself. They discussed things in a sometimes heated way but always their science was the guide. They were not knee-jerking when they discussed issues involved in making sense of paleoclimate records, for example. This was serious business talk among adults who know what they're doing and are faced with a real series of problems to puzzle out. Watts does nothing like that. Nothing approaching that! Nothing Watts said in the Antarctic warming argument, for example, invoked any knowledge of physics nor was it settled by the facts on the ground (as related by people who were actually there). The only link between science deniers like Watts and the scientists working at/with the CRU was that the deniers hated the conclusions of the scientists and tried to quote-mine their private emails the same way Creationists habitually quote-mine Stephan J, Gould. And as Charley Horse nicely laid out, global warming denialists love to use this quote-mining tactic. McClanahan took a source that said one thing very clearly, and selectively quoted it to make it sound like that source said the opposite thing. These are the people you go to for reliable information? There is something wrong with you if you're not going to acknowledge this kind of dishonesty.
If we were honest about things and not into media-political tactics like the term "science denier", we'd admit that we are all wrong sometimes on science matters AND obstinate about our wrongness (a spoonful of Kuhn, anyone?).
I suppose you would offer the same defense against someone being called a Holocaust Denier if the person said that tragedy never happened, that it was an invention of historians? Denial is a perfectly valid term when applied to those who cannot accept demonstrable reality. Climate denialists do not use science, they do not use facts in the proper context, they do not understand the issues they're flailing against. Some, like Roy Spencer, are motivated by the patently UNscientific belief that God wouldn't give us a planet that we could screw up. Is that your opinion, too?

This is an excellent example of the wrongness-obstinancy thing. What should give us pause is that NOT ONLY is Climategate real, but for all those years in which the data got fudged by scientists, we cannot go back in time and retrieve the correct numbers for those years.

Except that none of what you just said is true. No data was fudged by anybody, and the dozen or so independent investigations into the CRU all failed to turn up any such manipulations. Well, maybe they just missed it? No. The CRU's instrumental temperature record is also confirmed by other scientists in other institutions who do the same thing. NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies has maintained their own global surface temperature record, and so has NOAA's National Climate Data Center. Both groups use a different set of data and apply their own individual methods for making the data into a global temperature series. Their work very closely matches that done by the CRU. This is independent replication of the CRU's results that confirms it not once, but twice over. We also have two satellite lower troposphere temperature records that go back about thirty years, and those records agree very closely with the surface records where they overlap. As to supposedly "missing" data, the CRU doesn't actually maintain their own original data. They are instead given data to use by other researchers, weather services, etc. from around the world and assemble THAT into their record. The original data resides with all the individual institutions, and the CRU can't keep all their own local copies of that data. It's not missing, it's just not at the CRU. What they DO keep is usually given to them under confidentiality agreements. Why? The CRU had been trying for years to make their sources give the data to anybody but, because taxpayers don't want to foot all the bills, many of those foreign met offices charge for access to the data and restrict the sharing of it. They use the revenue from this access to run their weather services instead of taking it directly out of public funds. Basically, that data was considered "proprietary" and not accessible to the general public for free, unlike the data used by NASA and NOAA (which you can access for free). The CRU couldn't share it out to just anybody that asked (or demanded it, via FOI reqeusts). It was only a couple of years ago that the CRU was given the go-ahead to make the data that they had been given under proprietary agreements (except for some data in Poland) available. Nobody fudged any data, and no data is "missing." You have been given a false narrative of events. I know it's not your mistake, because you have been told this story by your sources and accepted it as legitimate. The problem is that your sources are not reliable, and your mistake was in trust them. As an indicator of how unreliable your sources are, you have no doubt been told that the last 16 years showed no global warming (even though that's not true). What is surprising is that this claim is based on the temperature series assembled by the CRU, the very one that's supposed to have been "fudging data" and assembling a bad record in the first place! The same people who were up in arms over "climategate" uncritically accepted this new "no warming in 16 years" argument despite the fact that it relied on the "climategate" temperature series. The denialist crowd is perfectly willing to use it when they think it makes a point for them, despite spending years scorning it as the product of bad science. Self-contradictory beliefs do not bother them.

Just Bob · 24 January 2013

"The same people who were up in arms over “climategate” uncritically accepted this new “no warming in 16 years” argument despite the fact that it relied on the “climategate” temperature series. The denialist crowd is perfectly willing to use it when they think it makes a point for them, despite spending years scorning it as the product of bad science. Self-contradictory beliefs do not bother them. "

Hmm, reminds me of the way fundamentalists use (and then refuse to use) carbon dating.

scienceavenger · 24 January 2013

Also reminds me of JFK conspiracists, who rail against the Warren commission, yet use their findings whenever it suits them. Cosspiracy theorists seem all of one mind. Hmmm, seems like...A CONSPIRACY!

FL · 24 January 2013

There was nothing in the Climategate emails that suggested scientists fudged data for years to show warming where there wasn’t.

Oh No No, that's not the whole story. This is especially true where the Climategate global warmer honcho, Phil "Tree Rings" Jones, is concerned. That Jones guy is a can of global-warmed worms all by himself...including unanswered stuff which the Muir Russell investigation was exposed to, but DID NOT FOLLOW UP ON: http://climateaudit.org/2010/10/27/did-jones-delete-emails/ So yeah, there's some loose ends there for sure. You may want to turn a blind eye to Climategate, but there's stuff there that's half-buried, there's deleted emails (and Muir Russell admits this) which NONE of us have read and will never get to read because they got deleted by the Climategate scientists. But that's not the end of it. Turns out that there are, ummm, yet MORE Climategate emails, NEW ones (just a few thousand of 'em, no problemo) that reveal that Jones wasn't -- and isn't by far -- the only Global Warmer doin' the global dirt. Read this:

(Three) themes are emerging from the newly released emails: (1) prominent scientists central to the global warming debate are taking measures to conceal rather than disseminate underlying data and discussions; (2) these scientists view global warming as a political “cause” rather than a matter for balanced scientific inquiry; and ( 3) many of these scientists frankly admit to each other that much of the science is weak and dependent on deliberate manipulation of facts and data. http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2011/12/01/climate-change-weekly-climategate-2-reveals-more-destruction-evidence-s

Look at that mess! Most interesting! Hello NYT? **** And independent of all that, is the specific point that journalist McClanahan brought up, a point which was buttressed only one year ago by 16 dissenting scientists whose credentials are way too high up the ladder to be dismissed as "science deniers." (Which means McClanahan is not a science denier, right?) FL

FL · 24 January 2013

Why haven’t any of these 16 scientists provided any credible evidence to show that global warming isn’t happening?

Why haven't you provided any evidence that what the 16 scientists said, was incorrect?

FL · 24 January 2013

Watts is clearing making mistakes and talking about things which he does not understand in even the most superficial way.

So let's ask about one specific point Watts makes that McClanahan referred to. (If you've already answered this point, please refer me to it.) According to McClanahan,

At the "Watts Up With That" blog, meteorologist Anthony Watts found that search trends on Google for "global warming" and "climate change" have radically dropped off in recent years, while searches for "extreme weather" barely registered.

Are Watts or McClanahan wrong about that? And would you disagree with the reasons McClanahan offers for such?

One reason may be that many people picked up on the dodginess of the shift from "global warming" to "climate change." The Climategate scandal of 2009 - in which scientists wrote back and forth on how to thwart freedom-of-information filings or manipulate data - was a major blow to the theory's credibility. Then there's the lack of significant warming since 1998, still the hottest year on record globally. What's more, that trend will continue if you believe scientists at the British Met Office, an agency sometimes described as Britain's NOAA. The Met created a minor flap recently when, over the Christmas holiday, it posted a new set of predictions coughed up by its computer models. Unlike the previous year's forecasts, these saw no significant warming for the next five years.

FL

scienceavenger · 24 January 2013

FL said: (Three) themes are emerging from the newly released emails: (1) prominent scientists central to the global warming debate are taking measures to conceal rather than disseminate underlying data and discussions;
Of course they are, for the reason I keep explaining and you keep ignoring: some data in the hands of people who don't know what they are looking at can be an enormous headache, regardless of whether or not there is any underlying issue. Anyone who has worked in a highly contentious, complicated arena would understand this.
(2) these scientists view global warming as a political “cause” rather than a matter for balanced scientific inquiry; and (
Irrelevant. How they view the matter does not change the data.
3) many of these scientists frankly admit to each other that much of the science is weak and dependent on deliberate manipulation of facts and data.
Bullshit. I've read the emails, there's nothing in them like that. Out-of-context isolated quotes do not a case make. You're dishonest FL, it's as simple as that.

scienceavenger · 24 January 2013

FL said: One reason may be that many people picked up on the dodginess of the shift from "global warming" to "climate change."
Another bullshit nonissue. The term "climate change" has been around for a long time, Hello, its called "The Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change", and has forever! Secondly, its was GOP pollster John Fund (? Funt, Frum, I can't keep all the FUs straight LOL) that pushed this recently to make the issue sound less alarming. It's also more accurate, since no one believes the globe is uniformally warming everywhere.
Then there's the lack of significant warming since 1998, still the hottest year on record globally. What's more, that trend will continue if you believe scientists at the British Met Office, an agency sometimes described as Britain's NOAA.
Cherry picked bullshit. Tell me FL, why did they pick 1998? Why not 1997 or 1999? Don't know? I do - because if they used either of those other years their claim wouldn't even be superficially true. That's a statistics 101 no-no. And as it is their conclusion does not follow from the data. A cursory view of the temperature since 1998 shows a clear upward trend. Your dishonesty deepens FL.

ksplawn · 24 January 2013

FL said: So let's ask about one specific point Watts makes that McClanahan referred to. (If you've already answered this point, please refer me to it.) According to McClanahan,

At the "Watts Up With That" blog, meteorologist Anthony Watts found that search trends on Google for "global warming" and "climate change" have radically dropped off in recent years, while searches for "extreme weather" barely registered.

Are Watts or McClanahan wrong about that? And would you disagree with the reasons McClanahan offers for such?
Yes, they're wrong. Because they're operating on the premise that "climate change" and "global warming" have been swapped out at times. This is not the case: those two terms are about as old as each other and have been used about as often, and "climate change" is even slightly older in the scientific literature. They refer to subtly different things and are not quite interchangeable. "Global Warming" is the underlying mechanism that drives "climate change." Because the indisputably rising global average temperature disrupts the existing climate, the effects are not going to be the same everywhere. Not every town, city, or even state will experience an overall warming trend even though the globe in aggregate will. Precipitation patterns, another aspect of climate, will shift. Some areas will dry out, others will see an increase in flooding. Seasonal changes will happen at different times than normal. Weather systems will be changed, such as when the melting ice over the Arctic ocean shifts the jet stream and sends frigid cold air masses over North America (hence the on-again-off-again "Snowmageddon" winters we've had in recent years). Global warming drives climate change. We are changing the climate by warming it, but they are not identical things and nobody has swapped one term out for another in response to any perceived shift public opinion. That is one are where these denialists are wrong.

The Climategate scandal of 2009 - in which scientists wrote back and forth on how to thwart freedom-of-information filings or manipulate data - was a major blow to the theory's credibility.

Except as we've seen, they did not "manipulate" data, so they're wrong about this too. Unless you'd care to dispute everything I just told you about this.
Then there's the lack of significant warming since 1998, still the hottest year on record globally.
Total bullshit. The hottest year on record globally is either 2010 or 2005 (they are statistically tied), according to almost every climate dataset (including the one used by the UK's Met office). This stuff is trivially easy to look up. So much for journalism, eh? I guess that's what happens when you rely on denialists like Watts for information. Perhaps I should ask for McClanahan's job since he's apparently not very good at it. As for the "lack of significant warming since 1998," that's an old meme which just shows how little denialists understand about statistics. The yearly temperature data contains a lot of up-and-down from year to year. There are things that impact the temperature other than CO2, obviously. El Nino/La Nina cycles, solar activity, volcanism, etc. All these are short-term influences that tend to cancel themselves out over a long period of time, and so don't generally change the trend over many decades. But if you only use a very short sample of data like 10-15 years, then the short term signals will create noise that swamp the long-term signal due to AWG. In other words, you get no "statistically significant" warming because you are not looking at enough data to draw a firm conclusion. That's all it means when someone says "there's been no statistically significant warming since Year X!" They're not looking at enough data. Their sample size is too small. They cannot tell which song is on the radio (signal) because of the static (noise).

What's more, that trend will continue if you believe scientists at the British Met Office, an agency sometimes described as Britain's NOAA. The Met created a minor flap recently when, over the Christmas holiday, it posted a new set of predictions coughed up by its computer models. Unlike the previous year's forecasts, these saw no significant warming for the next five years.

We've already seen how the Met Office has been quote-mined by denialists to make it sound like they're saying something they aren't. That's the case here again. They have a good explanation of what their decadal forecasts are, and what they mean for climate change, here. Amazing how much the information you're basing your opinions on turns out to be assembled from quote-mines and factual inaccuracies. Perhaps you should take this revelation about their reliability into consideration.

j. biggs · 24 January 2013

ksplawn said: Amazing how much the information you're basing your opinions on turns out to be assembled from quote-mines and factual inaccuracies. Perhaps you should take this revelation about their reliability into consideration.
The probability of Floyd doing considering the reliability of his sources is approaching zero.

DS · 24 January 2013

You just might be a science denier if you attack the scientists instead of the data.

You just might be a science denier if you think that analysis of google trends is evidence.

You just might be a science denier if you never ever discuss any of the actual data (or maybe that's just because you lied about it being missing).

You just might be a science denier if you are obsessed about e-mails that you don't even understand.

You just might be a red neck if you are a science denier, but no necessarily.

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

j. biggs said:
ksplawn said: Amazing how much the information you're basing your opinions on turns out to be assembled from quote-mines and factual inaccuracies. Perhaps you should take this revelation about their reliability into consideration.
The probability of Floyd doing considering the reliability of his sources is approaching zero.
FL would sooner commit suicide than admit he was wrong.

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

Idiot evaded:

Why haven’t any of these 16 scientists provided any credible evidence to show that global warming isn’t happening?

Why haven't you provided any evidence that what the 16 scientists said, was incorrect?
Then how come you refuse to say what evidence this micro-minority of scientists has provided, and why haven't you explained to us why we must trust the words of this micro-minority to the point of ignoring scientific consensus? Too lazy, too stupid, or too cowardly?

FL · 24 January 2013

data in the hands of people who don’t know what they are looking at can be an enormous headache

You mean "data in the hands of those 16 dissenting scientists in the Wall Street Journal last year"? Or "data in the hands of those 1000 dissenting scientists in 2009-2010"? Or do you mean "data in the hands of dissenting or unsure U.S. meteorologists"?

Regarding climate change, there are five potentially distinct groups of weathercasters. Our 2010 survey indicated that: 54% of weathercasters nationwide were convinced that the climate is changing, 25% were unconvinced, and 20% were undecided. The findings from the current survey yielded a more nuanced picture. There appear to be five potentially distinct groups of weathercasters. Three groups convinced that the climate is changing, but with different views as to why – mostly human causes (19%), mostly natural causes (29%), and human and natural causes in more-or-less equal proportion (34%), as well as two distinctly smaller groups: those who are unconvinced (9%), or undecided (8%). "A National Survey of Television Meteorologists About Climate Change Education, June 30, 2011" -- George Mason University (Maibach et al.)

All together, that's a LOTTA science people from whose hands scientific data must be kept away. Gotta wonder why the global warmers insist on such quarantine !!! ****

I've read the emails

You've read the ones that Jones and his pals didn't delete first -- and there were more than a few. And you haven't yet started reading the new batch ("Climategate 2.0"), is that right? FL

FL · 24 January 2013

And, ummm, we (as in "all of us here") already KNOW why "global warming" was replaced with "climate change." When ya gotta sell something that people (including scientists) are expressing doubts about, you'll change that moniker in a heartbeat to boost your sales-pitch if at all possible.

Many Americans are skeptical about whether the world's weather is changing, but apparently the degree of skepticism varies systematically depending on what that change is called. According to a University of Michigan study published in the forthcoming issue of Public Opinion Quarterly, more people believe in "climate change" than in "global warming." "Wording matters," said Jonathon Schuldt, the lead author of the article about the study and a doctoral candidate in the U-M Department of Psychology... ...Overall, 74 percent of people thought the problem was real when it was referred to as climate change, while about 68 percent thought it was real when it was referred to as global warming. http://esciencenews.com/articles/2011/03/08/its.all.a.name.global.warming.vs.climate.change

Just like the man said: wording matters. Apparently nobody wants to be a global warmer anymore! **** By the way, my position on global warming hasn't changed. It's just "I don't know." To the related question of if it's manmade or naturally occuring, the answer is "I don't know." I do not trust the global warming movement, especially the media shills like NYT and libbie politicians like Obama. Maybe you trust them, maybe you believe everything they say, but I don't. Some Global Warmer scientists are okay, just like the dissenter scientists, but frankly Climategate DID happen, the existence of remaining loose ends HAS been proven, (and with the release of thousands of NEW emails, the Climategate appears to be far from over). Some of the Global Warmer scientists HAVE proved themselves to be untrustworthy, liars, fudgers, deleters. They were smart enough to delete incriminating evidence before the science cops got there, but such smartness doesn't impress me. They would have been RICO bait in the business world. **** Meanwhile, while we're never going to agree about global warming, I AM asking you to reconsider how the global warmers are using this phrase "science denier." Right now it means anybody who has any public doubts or dissents about global warming, no matter what their science credentials may be or how high they are. Sorry, I still don't trust folks who are able to automatically use the blanket term "science denier" to marginalize MIT atmospheric science professors (or even your local AMS meteorologist on TV) who happen to dissent from global warming. You shouldn't either. FL

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

Hypocrite For Jesus whined: Meanwhile, while we're never going to agree about global warming, I AM asking you to reconsider how the global warmers are using this phrase "science denier." Right now it means anybody who has any public doubts or dissents about global warming, no matter what their science credentials may be or how high they are. Sorry, I still don't trust folks who are able to automatically use the blanket term "science denier" to marginalize MIT atmospheric science professors (or even your local AMS meteorologist on TV) who happen to dissent from global warming. You shouldn't either. FL
Then why do you constantly deny science for purely religious and purely irrational reasons?

Mike Elzinga · 24 January 2013

FL said: Some of the Global Warmer scientists HAVE proved themselves to be untrustworthy, liars, fudgers, deleters. They were smart enough to delete incriminating evidence before the science cops got there, but such smartness doesn't impress me. FL
Heh. Were you there?

harold · 24 January 2013

eric
I’m not exactly sure what you mean by “basing.” Do you mean less prone to stir up political loyalties (and thus provoke an emotional or tribal answer)? I’d agree with that.
I meant "biasing", sorry for the typo induced confusion. A biasing question is one that pushes people toward an answer for a non-rational reason, due to features such as question emotional content, unstated implications, unclear meaning, or inadequate range of answer choices.
But if you mean something like: its a simpler, more basic question, so we can’t assume ignorance on the part of the respondents, then I beg to differ. That is probably true in other 1st world countries, but our primary and secondary science education does not rank well. In 2009, we ranked 25th in math and 17th in science out of 34 studied countries. Ignorance of basic facts about the solar system is certainly on the table as an explanation for why 1/5 of surveyed US respondents would get the answer wrong
I thoroughly agree with this. A biasing question would be one that was accidentally or deliberately designed to cause people who either think that the earth goes around the sun, or know they don't know, to answer instead that the sun goes around the earth. Or vice versa, for that matter. For example, many years ago I saw a poll that asked Americans whether plants and bacteria were created in their present form, or evolve. Seventy percent said "evolve", and mainstream American culture demonstrates widespread acceptance of evolution, long human pre-history, dinosaurs living millions of years ago, etc, all the time. For whatever reason, this polling question seems never to have been repeated. However, people can and do create the perception that a larger percentage of Americans actively deny evolution, by using biasing polls. A poll that focuses on human evolution, especially one that suggests that the correct answers represent a confrontation with mainstream religion, biases people into choosing evolution denial answers. Or at least that's what I think.

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

Mike Elzinga said:
FL said: Some of the Global Warmer scientists HAVE proved themselves to be untrustworthy, liars, fudgers, deleters. They were smart enough to delete incriminating evidence before the science cops got there, but such smartness doesn't impress me. FL
Heh. Were you there?
Don't be silly, Mike. That question doesn't apply to Creationists like FL or Ken Ham because they're Lying Hypocrites For Jesus.

ksplawn · 24 January 2013

FL said: And, ummm, we (as in "all of us here") already KNOW why "global warming" was replaced with "climate change." When ya gotta sell something that people (including scientists) are expressing doubts about, you'll change that moniker in a heartbeat to boost your sales-pitch if at all possible.
Scientists are always expressing doubts, because is their job to be skeptical. They are trained skeptics who exercise skepticism as a career. They submit their work to the scrutiny of other skeptics, at least as skeptical and knowledgeable as themselves, before pushing it out the door to the public. What does it say when 97-98% of the skeptics that are THE most familiar with climate out of all human beings say that their skepticism has been satisfied to a certain extent; that not only is global warming happening (no longer an "I don't know") but that we are a significant factor (also no longer an "I don't know")? It probably means that the case is pretty air-tight at this point, and most of the room for reasonable skepticism has been filled already. Remember, AGW was once the crazy new idea on the block that had to prove its worth by being a better explanation than its competition. Over the last couple of generations it has clawed its way to the top of the heap because it works, not because it has a bunch of cheerleaders. Scientists generally don't care who backs an idea, just how useful the idea is in their work. An empty term that could be swapped out like that would simply be discarded as useless. You do not sales-pitch your way to nigh-unanimous scientific consensus, especially not by creative packaging. It has to work, it has to explain the evidence. It has to withstand generations of skeptical scrutiny and rigorous fault-finding expeditions on every paper published. Nobody sales-pitched the idea to scientists: they came up with it themselves and they defined the terms you're misusing, likely before you were born. How can you honestly think that they're simply the victim of a sales-pitch? The only explanation is that you have no idea what you're talking about. And apparently, you have a serious problem if someone else does know and tries to help you out.

http://esciencenews.com/articles/2011/03/08/its.all.a.name.global.warming.vs.climate.change

Just like the man said: wording matters. Apparently nobody wants to be a global warmer anymore!
Except that this isn't the case with scientists, even though you invoked this specifically to emphasize that the "sales pitch" was aimed a them. This man-in-the-street study says nothing about the overwhelming scientific consensus. It says nothing about the expertise of the people involved; how many of them know anything about climate science in the first place? If I want to settle a scientific question about high-energy physics, I'm not going to poll 100 people with only 1 or 2 physicists in the group and say the answer is "we can't know, because most people just scratch their heads." The link I gave you about terminology spells out that climate change and global warming have been around for about as long as each other in the popular media, and that climate change is older in the scientific literature. This is not the result of some bait-and-switch by a bunch of advocates, this is what working scientists use to do their studies and examine their data. It's about as much a publicity stunt as Avagradro's number is to chemists; not one by any stretch of the imagination. So no, "we" all here DON'T know that this is just a swap of vocabulary. In fact, several people here know that it's not. You are wrong, and you have given us zero evidence to support your assertion nor have you looked at the evidence against it.
I do not trust the global warming movement, especially the media shills like NYT and libbie politicians like Obama. Maybe you trust them, maybe you believe everything they say, but I don't.
I don't trust them to know what they're talking about, I go to the scientists where ever possible. This is something you have not done once during this conversation so far. All of your appeals have been to non-scientists and what "we all know here." Even when I have spoon-fed you what actual scientists say about this, you have not acknowledged any of it.
Some Global Warmer scientists are okay, just like the dissenter scientists...
The overwhelming majority of scientists of all stripes agree with AGW. When you get to closer and closer to those who work with the climate system directly, that number shoots up to 97-98%. Are ALL Of them wrong? Is it likely that they're ALL either liars or incompetents about their own specialty? The people who know the most about the climate are the people in the best position to judge whether or not AGW makes sense and fits the data. Almost to the man, they all do. And studies have been conducted on the opinions of climate specialists to evaluate not only the stock they put in AGW as an explanation, but also how much expertise they have in the field vs. those who dissent. Again, the overwhelming majority of scientists who accept AGW are more knowledgeable about climate than those who disagree. The denialist scientists are vastly outnumbered, and they are out-credentialed. There is no comparable level of scientists on the dissent side of the fence vs. the acceptance side. For every denier climate scientist you find, there will be 33 others who accept AGW; and most of those 33 have more climate expertise to boot. Let's say you go to 33 different doctors to complain about chest pains. 32 of them say you have a tumor that requires an expensive operation to remove, possibly with chemo or radiation therapy to follow up on. The 33rd doctor (who doesn't practice much these days) is a homeopath now and says that all you need to do is take water that used to be soaked with some ragweed (then diluted so much that no ragweed molecules remain). The prospect of surgery and therapy is scary; it's expensive, it's a big disruption in your life, and it comes with its own costs in terms of your health and quality of life. It would be much nicer to believe that the homeopathic treatment will fix your problems, but why would you put 1 inexpert opinion over that of 32 experts, most of whom are indisputably better doctors?
... but frankly Climategate DID happen, the existence of remaining loose ends HAS been proven, (and with the release of thousands of NEW emails, the Climategate appears to be far from over).
Well "climategate" happened in that a bunch of emails were illegally taken from a research center's mail server and systematically released in a quote-mining fashion. But as I've already explained, the view you have of it is wrong. You have not said anything to address the points I've raised on the subject. In fact you haven't really tried to rebut ANY of my points. Why has your argument (and the sources it comes from) been so full of basic factual inaccuracies yet I'm supposed the be the one who's wrong here?
Some of the Global Warmer scientists HAVE proved themselves to be untrustworthy, liars, fudgers, deleters. They were smart enough to delete incriminating evidence before the science cops got there, but such smartness doesn't impress me.
So now you're relying on evidence that cannot be produced at all to support the fantastic assertion. You're not a Mormon, by any chance, are you? Because conveniently "deleted" incriminating evidence sounds a lot like a revolutionary set of golden plates that were conveniently "taken up to Heaven." If you're one of the evangelicals or other people who find Mormonism's claims more than a little silly, perhaps you'll take a minute to think about this argument you're using.
Meanwhile, while we're never going to agree about global warming, I AM asking you to reconsider how the global warmers are using this phrase "science denier." Right now it means anybody who has any public doubts or dissents about global warming, no matter what their science credentials may be or how high they are.
What would you have me say? I'm sure there are some very highly-degreed scientists who think that gravity doesn't work and we're all held to the ground via static cling, but I'm fully prepared to call such a person a gravity denialist.
Sorry, I still don't trust folks who are able to automatically use the blanket term "science denier" to marginalize MIT atmospheric science professors (or even your local AMS meteorologist on TV) who happen to dissent from global warming. You shouldn't either.
I hope that, by AMS meteorologist, you don't mean Anthony Watts. Because he was never AMS certified (another credential he doesn't have). As for the MIT guy, you must be talking about Richard Lindzen. The same guy who testified under oath that smoking wasn't so bad, for the same think-tanks that are now pushing climate change denialism. Well, MIT or not, how does his actual climate science stack up? Not so well. His last few papers on the subject were universally decried as terrible, and he's perfectly willing to lie about basic climate science to make his case. He's severely out-numbered and out-gunned by dozens of other perfectly credible climate experts whose opinions you are discarding in favor of his. Why? What makes HIM so special? Wrong is wrong, no matter who you are. Why should anybody's profession protect them from being called a denier when they are? What special deference do they get despite being wrong?

Henry J · 24 January 2013

apokryltaros said:
Henry J said:

He better hope that global warming is real,

Nobody with sense, education, and empathy would want global warming to be the case. (Not that this would apply to FL, of course, as he lacks at least one all of those qualities.)
There, fixed for you.
I wondered if somebody would say that. I managed to resist. :p

apokryltaros · 24 January 2013

ksplawn said: Wrong is wrong, no matter who you are. Why should anybody's profession protect them from being called a denier when they are? What special deference do they get despite being wrong?
Because this micro-minority of scientists who deny science are saying things that FL and his handlers want to hear, and it would be rude of us to be truthful about labeling them as "science-deniers."

scienceavenger · 25 January 2013

If you apply a sort of weird authoritarian homeopathy, where the fewer experts on your side, the more confident you get, you might be a science denier.

apokryltaros · 25 January 2013

scienceavenger said: If you apply a sort of weird authoritarian homeopathy, where the fewer experts on your side, the more confident you get, you might be a science denier.
Essentially, experts in a field are totally worthless and have nothing of value if they do not kowtow to, or parrot your party dogma.

SLC · 25 January 2013

Of course, that same MIT professor of atmospheric science also happens to deny that smoking cigarettes is a cause of lung cancer.
FL said: And here's a simple reason for you to avoid tactics like calling folks "science denier" -- the fact that you've got A LOT of regular scientists who simply dissent from the global warming sales-pitch. Example: http://climatedepot.com/a/9035/SPECIAL-REPORT-More-Than-1000-International-Scientists-Dissent-Over-ManMade-Global-Warming-Claims--Challenge-UN-IPCC--Gore And indeed, just a year ago, 16 dissenting scientists wrote to the Wall Street Journal to bring up the point McClanahan brought up:

...those promoting alarm have shifted their drumbeat from warming to weather extremes, to enable anything unusual that happens in our chaotic climate to be ascribed to CO2.”

http://news.yahoo.com/16-scientists-declare-no-compelling-scientific-argument-drastic-183255794.html I'm looking at the list of 16 scientists right now, and it's very VERY hard to see how, for example, an MIT professor of atmospheric science can be called a "science denier." So you know, I think an honest layperson would have to say "I don't know" on the Global Warming religion. Refusing to convert doesn't automatically make you a science denier, even if the libbies at the NYT preach such things. FL

FL · 25 January 2013

All of your appeals have been to non-scientists and what “we all know here.”

So you didn't catch the link from the 16 scientists in the WSJ last year? FL

FL · 25 January 2013

Of course, that same MIT professor of atmospheric science also happens to deny that smoking cigarettes is a cause of lung cancer.

Which may put him out of the running for the next U.S. Surgeon General, but how does that invalidate the specific statements given by him and 15 other scientists in the WSJ? FL

ksplawn · 25 January 2013

FL, may I ask what else you've consulted to help put the WSJ editorial into context? Read anything from the mainstream climate scientists regarding it? Or did you just accept it and move on?

SLC · 25 January 2013

It proves he is a serial denier who ignores the evidence of experts in the field. By the way, the Wall Street Journal is hardly a reliable source of information, being as it is owned by piece of filth Rupert Murdock. And Climate Depot is even worse, being the web site of Marc Morano, shill for the Koch brothers and former aid to nutcase U.S. Senator James Inhofe, the dumbest member of the Senate. And before fatuous Floyd comments on Al Gore's weight, Mr. Morano is even fatter.
FL said:

Of course, that same MIT professor of atmospheric science also happens to deny that smoking cigarettes is a cause of lung cancer.

Which may put him out of the running for the next U.S. Surgeon General, but how does that invalidate the specific statements given by him and 15 other scientists in the WSJ? FL

apokryltaros · 25 January 2013

Science-Hating Bigot For Jesus whined:

Of course, that same MIT professor of atmospheric science also happens to deny that smoking cigarettes is a cause of lung cancer.

Which may put him out of the running for the next U.S. Surgeon General, but how does that invalidate the specific statements given by him and 15 other scientists in the WSJ?
Because their statements do not match up with, nor explain the current climatic changes seen, AND that they continue ignoring all contrary evidence, save to dismiss it as part of a global conspiracy of mass hysteria and anti-capitalism sentiments.

harold · 25 January 2013

I’m looking at the list of 16 scientists right now, and it’s very VERY hard to see how, for example, an MIT professor of atmospheric science can be called a “science denier.”
This is a self-contradiction. The implication here is that being an MIT professor of atmospheric science does imply valid expertise. But virtually all the other professors of atmospheric science at MIT, as well as every other reputable university accept data that suggests the opposite. It's like saying "I know a guy who denies germ theory, and he's a doctor, so he must be right". All the other doctors think he's wrong. (By the way FL, do microbes cause infectious disease? This is a serious question, and I am fairly sure you won't be able to answer it with an unqualified "yes".)
Which may put him out of the running for the next U.S. Surgeon General, but how does that invalidate the specific statements given by him and 15 other scientists in the WSJ?
It discredits him by establishing a pattern of absurd denial of evidence-based reality. It has nothing to do with the other fifteen climate denialists. If I had to bet, I'd put money that there's likely another cigarette company loving man on the list, but all we know about the rest of them for sure is that they're wrong about climate science.

Eric Finn · 25 January 2013

eric said: But if you mean something like: its a simpler, more basic question, so we can't assume ignorance on the part of the respondents, then I beg to differ. That is probably true in other 1st world countries, but our primary and secondary science education does not rank well. In 2009, we ranked 25th in math and 17th in science out of 34 studied countries. Ignorance of basic facts about the solar system is certainly on the table as an explanation for why 1/5 of surveyed US respondents would get the answer wrong.
eric, my namesake, harold already agreed with you regarding your statement. In the year 2009, the US held the 23rd position in sciences, according to the PISA evaluation. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_Student_Assessment#Historical_tables And in all the reported areas, Americans were among the 74 listed top countries, and many times far ahead of Kyrkyzstan. That is not bad at all. There are 193 members in the United Nations only. Almost all the Nobel prizes in sciences go to American scientists. Or to scientists that did their work in American institutes. Of course, the Nobel Prize is not a good measure of the science literacy of the nation. However, it does tell something about the underlying structures. Science is denied everywhere. The patterns seem to come almost always from the US of the America.

Charley Horse · 27 January 2013

Fl's list of 16 deniers at WSJ has been debunked at this site:http://www.skepticalscience.com/examining-the-latest-climate-denialist-plea-for-inaction.html

The signatories of this newest letter are also worth noting for their lack of noteworthiness. Although the climate denialist blogs have labeled them "luminaries" and "prominent scientists", the list is actually quite underwhelming. In fact, it only includes four scientists who have actually published climate research in peer-reviewed journals, and only two who have published climate research in the past three decades. Nearly half of the list (at least 7 of 16) have received fossil fuel industry funding, and the list also includes an economist, a physician, a chemist, an aerospace engineer, and an astronaut/politician. These are apparently the best and brightest the climate denialists can come up with these days?................

Click over there for more on the year old WSJ article........

bigdakine · 27 January 2013

Charley Horse said: Fl's list of 16 deniers at WSJ has been debunked at this site:http://www.skepticalscience.com/examining-the-latest-climate-denialist-plea-for-inaction.html The signatories of this newest letter are also worth noting for their lack of noteworthiness. Although the climate denialist blogs have labeled them "luminaries" and "prominent scientists", the list is actually quite underwhelming. In fact, it only includes four scientists who have actually published climate research in peer-reviewed journals, and only two who have published climate research in the past three decades. Nearly half of the list (at least 7 of 16) have received fossil fuel industry funding, and the list also includes an economist, a physician, a chemist, an aerospace engineer, and an astronaut/politician. These are apparently the best and brightest the climate denialists can come up with these days?................ Click over there for more on the year old WSJ article........
Eric Finn said:
eric said: But if you mean something like: its a simpler, more basic question, so we can't assume ignorance on the part of the respondents, then I beg to differ. That is probably true in other 1st world countries, but our primary and secondary science education does not rank well. In 2009, we ranked 25th in math and 17th in science out of 34 studied countries. Ignorance of basic facts about the solar system is certainly on the table as an explanation for why 1/5 of surveyed US respondents would get the answer wrong.
eric, my namesake, harold already agreed with you regarding your statement. In the year 2009, the US held the 23rd position in sciences, according to the PISA evaluation. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Programme_for_International_Student_Assessment#Historical_tables And in all the reported areas, Americans were among the 74 listed top countries, and many times far ahead of Kyrkyzstan. That is not bad at all. There are 193 members in the United Nations only. Almost all the Nobel prizes in sciences go to American scientists. Or to scientists that did their work in American institutes. Of course, the Nobel Prize is not a good measure of the science literacy of the nation. However, it does tell something about the underlying structures. Science is denied everywhere. The patterns seem to come almost always from the US of the America.
I know Claude Allegre. Don't know what his deal here is... but I will try and find out. He is an accomplished geochemist.. but clearly off the rails here. I've seen Burt Rutan's powwrpoint. In one slide he talks about "saturation", in another he talks about Venus's runaway greenhouse. The man is confused.

Tenncrain · 27 January 2013

Charley Horse said: Fl's list of 16 deniers at WSJ has been debunked at this site:http://www.skepticalscience.com/examining-the-latest-climate-denialist-plea-for-inaction.html The signatories of this newest letter are also worth noting for their lack of noteworthiness. Although the climate denialist blogs have labeled them "luminaries" and "prominent scientists", the list is actually quite underwhelming. In fact, it only includes four scientists who have actually published climate research in peer-reviewed journals, and only two who have published climate research in the past three decades. Nearly half of the list (at least 7 of 16) have received fossil fuel industry funding, and the list also includes an economist, a physician, a chemist, an aerospace engineer, and an astronaut/politician. These are apparently the best and brightest the climate denialists can come up with these days?................ Click over there for more on the year old WSJ article........
Somewhat like the DI's "Dissent from Darwin" list. Many of the people listed there are computer scientists, engineers, climatologists.

FL · 27 January 2013

There is nothing new about putting out opposing links on both sides of the global warming debate.

Especially, it's not hard to put forth recent links that call attention rational and scientific reasons for doubt. Global Warmers ask for public trust but they've put out a lot of wrong stuff. It can be stuff like Climategate 2.0 or just plain stuff right outta the NASA press room.

http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/new-paper-on-the-misdiagnosis-of-surface-temperature-feedbacks-from-variations-in-earth%E2%80%99s-radiant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/

Your faith in the Global Warming Gospel is absolute. Mine isn't.

Regarding the U.S. side of things, Here's a little recent something from CEI (the most thorough and specific debunkers of Al Gore's famous book and movie):

http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/01/18/climate-change-impacts-in-the-u-s-sober-analysis-cool-graphics-from-patrick-michaels-and-chip-knappenberger/

You are Global Warmer True Believers. Obama and Gore are your patron deities. Me, I'm just kinda agnostic on it. SCIENCE, and some scientists, leads me to have doubts.

****

I'm not trying to change your minds, diminish your devotion, etc etc. I'm just saying that GW doubters aren't science deniers, and the Global Warmer scientists and politicians and shills have only themselves to blame for any doubts and doubters anyway. Replying to scientific dissent with stuff like "science denier" just says something's wrong with the GW gospel..

Look at Charley Horse's post there: He found that FOUR of the 16 WSJ scientists DID publish climate research in peer review journals. Yet he automatically labels THOSE as "deniers" too. Sheesh.

But I'm not picking on Charley per se. It's a staple tenet of the entire GW religion.

****

Finally, scientist Fred Singer, whom thou despiseth, estimated a year or so ago that as many as 40 percent of scientists harbor some doubts about Global Warming.

Is he right? Is he wrong? I don't know if that's the exact number, but I know it IS a pretty significant amount, all told. They're not going away.

FL

Mike Elzinga · 27 January 2013

FL said: Especially, it's not hard to put forth recent links that call attention rational and scientific reasons for doubt. Global Warmers ask for public trust but they've put out a lot of wrong stuff. It can be stuff like Climategate 2.0 or just plain stuff right outta the NASA press room. FL
It is not hard to go around the world and look at the melting ice caps and the disappearance of major glaciers. Direct photographic comparisons of the changes that are taking place are easily made and can be found by just Googling on the internet. Those of us who have traveled are well aware of the differences in climate at various locations around the globe between now and 50 years ago. The correlations with increased levels of greenhouse gasses since the Industrial Revolution are now indisputable. Most of the “climate gate” crap was quote mined stuff from emails that was deliberately distorted to make the email exchanges look bad. As you know very well, because you do it routinely, that technique is the standard operating procedure of sectarian ID/creationists. It is also the technique of political operatives who don’t want their monopolies on fossil energy to be disrupted. Those of you who live in cloistered, paranoid groups that never get outside the city or county limits for your entire lives are extremely susceptible to conspiracy theories and misinformation fed to you by your dear leaders. You have no perspective worth considering. Those of us who have been around can check facts.

FL · 27 January 2013

Umm, that's "Climategate 2.0", Mike. The new stuff.

bigdakine · 28 January 2013

FL said: There is nothing new about putting out opposing links on both sides of the global warming debate. Especially, it's not hard to put forth recent links that call attention rational and scientific reasons for doubt. Global Warmers ask for public trust but they've put out a lot of wrong stuff. It can be stuff like Climategate 2.0 or just plain stuff right outta the NASA press room. http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/new-paper-on-the-misdiagnosis-of-surface-temperature-feedbacks-from-variations-in-earth%E2%80%99s-radiant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/ Your faith in the Global Warming Gospel is absolute. Mine isn't. Regarding the U.S. side of things, Here's a little recent something from CEI (the most thorough and specific debunkers of Al Gore's famous book and movie): http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/01/18/climate-change-impacts-in-the-u-s-sober-analysis-cool-graphics-from-patrick-michaels-and-chip-knappenberger/ You are Global Warmer True Believers. Obama and Gore are your patron deities. Me, I'm just kinda agnostic on it. SCIENCE, and some scientists, leads me to have doubts.
Unlike you FL, I consult the primary literature. Its not based on anyone's or any groups opinions, and certainly not Al Gore's. If you were capable of understanding that literature you would use it in your defense or criticisms. But you are incapable of understanding actual science, much less doing actual science.

FL · 28 January 2013

Unlike you FL, I consult the primary literature

Sure. Just like CEI's Marlo Lewis Jr. consulted primary literature when he famously dissected Al Gore's Inconvienent Truth. http://cei.org/pdf/5820.pdf But I noticed long time ago that it didn't make any difference to Global Warmers. It never does. The NASA-based link kinda bounced off too, I noticed. FL

SWT · 28 January 2013

In reference to some of the links presented above, try applying the algorithm presented here. In a sense, it's wrong to say that the denialists aren't playing with a full deck ...

DS · 28 January 2013

You just might be a science denier if you think there are patron deities in science.

You just might be a science denier if you think that one loony attempting to refute a few minor points in a popular movie somehow represents a valid refutation of the primary literature.

You just might be a science denier if you just can't get you mind around the fact that everyone who is actually familiar with the evidence refuses to be convinced by your blatantly dishonest shenanigans.

apokryltaros · 28 January 2013

So, FL, tell us, why do you think that the majority of scientists have not been convinced by the science-denying global warming skeptics?

Because you were told to accuse them of being a part of a devil-worshiping cult of evil?

apokryltaros · 28 January 2013

DS said: You just might be a science denier if you think there are patron deities in science. You just might be a science denier if you think that one loony attempting to refute a few minor points in a popular movie somehow represents a valid refutation of the primary literature. You just might be a science denier if you just can't get you mind around the fact that everyone who is actually familiar with the evidence refuses to be convinced by your blatantly dishonest shenanigans.
You just might be a science denier if you claim that all the experts who don't say what you want them to say are brainwashed cultists.

scienceavenger · 28 January 2013

FL said: Finally, scientist Fred Singer, whom thou despiseth, estimated a year or so ago that as many as 40 percent of scientists harbor some doubts about Global Warming.
"Estimated", as in "yanked out of his ass". "Some doubts" could mean anything from denying the globe is warming at all, to having issue with the exact proportion attributable to humans, and "scientist" could mean anything from climate scientist to poly sci lab tech (if there is such a thing). The relevant stat is how many climate scientists deny the general theory of human-caused warming, and that group is smaller than 40% by an order of magnitude.
Is he right? Is he wrong? I don't know if that's the exact number, but I know it IS a pretty significant amount, all told. They're not going away. FL
You don't know jack FL. They ARE going away, as any cursory view of polls over time will show you. I myself was a skeptic once (I recall scoffing at the notion of global warming when it popped up on Civ II), but the sheer weight of the evidence persuaded me over time, as it has for more and more people. You do realize this is almost entirely an American denial right? Get off Fox News and watch some European or Asian news sometime. They are moving on to what to do about the problem, while we dither with ignoramuses and paid oil-industry shills. Every day we lose ground that we will have a hard time making up. Remember this moment. In 20 years you'll be embarrased that you contributed to our second-world status behind the then-energy-independent Chinese, if you have any sense of shame at all.

DS · 28 January 2013

If you take the word of same butt wipe who just made up crap about what some people might think instead of actually discussing the evidence, you just might be a science denier.

If you think every scientific theory is a theory in crisis, you just might be a science denier.

If you think that the fact that some people with a vested financial interest cannot be persuaded by evidence is evidence of anything but their bias, you just might be a science denier.

apokryltaros · 28 January 2013

DS said: If you take the word of same butt wipe who just made up crap about what some people might think instead of actually discussing the evidence, you just might be a science denier. If you think every scientific theory is a theory in crisis, you just might be a science denier. If you think that the fact that some people with a vested financial interest cannot be persuaded by evidence is evidence of anything but their bias, you just might be a science denier.
And then there's the fact that FL thinks that science is a religion, and that he denies the science of Evolutionary Biology because of his own irrational personal (mis)interpretation of the Bible. As such, one wonders why FL thinks he can stroll onto this thread in order to insist that we must blindly accept his own deliberately misinformed opinions and blatant lies about climate change, as well as heed his two-faced admonishment to not call global warming skeptics "science deniers"? Reeks of stupidity and dishonesty, on top of palpable hypocrisy, if you ask me.

apokryltaros · 28 January 2013

scienceavenger said: Remember this moment. In 20 years (FL)'ll be embarrased that you contributed to our second-world status behind the then-energy-independent Chinese, if you have any sense of shame at all.
FL does not give a flying crap about the future: the sole future FL cares/wishes for is one where God comes down to Earth in a rain of fire to personally murder everyone FL hates, before God then whisks FL into Paradise.

James · 28 January 2013

Science denial pops up in the weirdest places. I've been helping a team of archeologists and volunteers uncover a mammoth or two near where I live. The team was able to carbon-date a standing stump that lay on top of a pile of bones to 13,130 yrs bce. A very curious townsperson asked me if that was before or after the Flood?

It was a great teaching moment.

Until the person said,"So, the mammoth missed the Ark."

Seriously.

-jimnorth

ksplawn · 28 January 2013

FL said: There is nothing new about putting out opposing links on both sides of the global warming debate. Especially, it's not hard to put forth recent links that call attention rational and scientific reasons for doubt. Global Warmers ask for public trust but they've put out a lot of wrong stuff. It can be stuff like Climategate 2.0 or just plain stuff right outta the NASA press room. http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/new-paper-on-the-misdiagnosis-of-surface-temperature-feedbacks-from-variations-in-earth%E2%80%99s-radiant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/
Spencer and Braswell was so thoroughly bad that the publishing journal's editor resigned in protest after castigating his journal for the failure of peer-review that let it through with their stamp of approval on it. He also had a ton of words to use against Spencer for promoting the paper with false claims about its conclusions to the public, and against outlets like Forbes for letting fossil-fuel think-tank bloggers hype it up with even more false claims and imaginary connections to NASA. Spencer and the denialists lied about the paper to the public. The editor of the journal felt betrayed and used, so he resigned in hopes of saving face for the small, young journal instead of letting it get a reputation for passing junk science by motivated ideologues. It has also been ably rebutted more than once in the peer-reviewed literature, and there are plenty of debunkings of it written in an accessible, pop-sci level by other scientists. The basic gist is that SB did not capture the differences in models that they were trying to pass off as being found, and they selectively hid model results that disagreed with their conclusions. Their own model of atmospheric physics does not conserve energy according to the laws of thermodynamics (as a Creationist you should know all about that mistake, right?) and generally doesn't work to model reality because it has too many freely-adjustable parameters. More than enough to fit an elephant and make its trunk wiggle. Of course, Spencer thinks that this is all the result of "IPCC Gatekeepers," despite the fact that nobody at the IPCC had anything to do with the reaction to his paper, and he has not published a counter-argument against his critics. Despite his paper being widely read because of the extraordinary claims it made, the general opinion of climate experts is that it has no extraordinary evidence to back them up and is basically worthless. The simplest explanation is that his paper was just that bad. In other words, he has totally failed to make a convincing argument in that paper; it was so bad that it basically killed Spencer's credibility until he can prove himself capable of doing honest science again. And it's not that they just disagree with him; they showed why he is wrong. That's what it takes to make a point in science. Spencer is apparently incapable of doing this anymore, despite his formerly respectable scientific career. The fact that, unlike the CRU researchers, Spencer and Braswell actually did hide and manipulate data in their paper should set your dander on end. The fact that their own model was so bad it implied six TRILLION degree temperature changes a thousand years ago should have you frothing at the mouth for being duped by these same hypocrites who dismiss legit climate models with hand-waving. These people are everything bad that they've accused other climate scientists of being. I've written up a longer and more involved comment post about Roy Spencer here that I think explains his basic problem in greater detail and clarity. What's a bigger issue to me is that you still think his paper was worth considering, despite the year of solid debunking it has received inside and outside of the scientific literature. Why didn't anybody tell you that it was already known to be junk? I suspect it's because you're not listening to the people who would acknowledge this. As I've said before when pointing out serious accuracy problems with the sources you use, they're not trustworthy. I'm not going to spend all week fact-checking every piece of dreck you link, so let's cut to the chase: stop listening to those liars and idiots, they are steering you wrong. You are being duped and conned by liars and bullshitters, as everybody here has been able to prove. There is no honor in defending them and pretending they might still have a point. If you want to make a case against the other 97% of climate experts who agree on AGW, try and find some honest sources, for your own sake.
Your faith in the Global Warming Gospel is absolute. Mine isn't.
My confidence in the general consensus of the world's climate experts is based on how successful they are at describing the world's climate. Why do you put so much credibility into the tiny minority who try to denounce the consensus, yet can't marshal any scientific evidence for their position? Shouldn't you put more weight in those that have shown genuine skepticism and a proper scientific attitude about this?
I'm not trying to change your minds, diminish your devotion, etc etc. I'm just saying that GW doubters aren't science deniers, and the Global Warmer scientists and politicians and shills have only themselves to blame for any doubts and doubters anyway.
And yet the only thing you've been able to prove is that all the sources you rely on are wrong. You have never once shown us anything from a mainstream scientists of ANY political affiliation, only bullshit from right-wing bullshitters (usually through a think-tank's partisan filter; some of the sources you cited are literally paid by fossil fuels interests to promote their junk science). I've been linking you to actual papers written by scientists, and public blog posts written by scientists, and guess what? These are not blind Al Gore worshipers. Some of them are staunchly conservative in their politics (Barry Bickmore, for example; James Hansen is also an old-school Republican, and so is Richard Alley who you can see in this American Geophysical Union lecture explaining the importance of CO2 on temperature based on real data). The only person appealing to shills here is you. Nothing I've cited comes from people paid to be "alarmist."
Finally, scientist Fred Singer, whom thou despiseth, estimated a year or so ago that as many as 40 percent of scientists harbor some doubts about Global Warming. Is he right? Is he wrong? I don't know if that's the exact number, but I know it IS a pretty significant amount, all told. They're not going away.
Fred Singer was also one of the tobacco companies' paid shills back in the day, and he quickly became a paid shill for fossil fuel companies. I thought you didn't want to listen to shills? He has not done any actual science for decades, and he has zero data to use as the "estimate" for secret dissenters. Meanwhile, actual working scientists have tried to settle the question of scientific opinion on climate change. The number of dissenters doesn't come anywhere near 40% in those rigorous, scientific expeditions. You will have to give up the idea that 40% of scientists secretly doubt AGW. The figure is likely less than 20% for all scientists, and almost certainly less than 5% for those that actually study the climate. That is the perspective you need to work from here.

SLC · 28 January 2013

Gee Fred Singer, who in addition to climate change denial also denies a link between cigarette smoking and lung cancer (like fatuous Floyd's hero Richard Lindzen) and the link between CFCs and ozone depletion. What a guy, a world class science denier.
FL said: There is nothing new about putting out opposing links on both sides of the global warming debate. Especially, it's not hard to put forth recent links that call attention rational and scientific reasons for doubt. Global Warmers ask for public trust but they've put out a lot of wrong stuff. It can be stuff like Climategate 2.0 or just plain stuff right outta the NASA press room. http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/new-paper-on-the-misdiagnosis-of-surface-temperature-feedbacks-from-variations-in-earth%E2%80%99s-radiant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/ Your faith in the Global Warming Gospel is absolute. Mine isn't. Regarding the U.S. side of things, Here's a little recent something from CEI (the most thorough and specific debunkers of Al Gore's famous book and movie): http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/01/18/climate-change-impacts-in-the-u-s-sober-analysis-cool-graphics-from-patrick-michaels-and-chip-knappenberger/ You are Global Warmer True Believers. Obama and Gore are your patron deities. Me, I'm just kinda agnostic on it. SCIENCE, and some scientists, leads me to have doubts. **** I'm not trying to change your minds, diminish your devotion, etc etc. I'm just saying that GW doubters aren't science deniers, and the Global Warmer scientists and politicians and shills have only themselves to blame for any doubts and doubters anyway. Replying to scientific dissent with stuff like "science denier" just says something's wrong with the GW gospel.. Look at Charley Horse's post there: He found that FOUR of the 16 WSJ scientists DID publish climate research in peer review journals. Yet he automatically labels THOSE as "deniers" too. Sheesh. But I'm not picking on Charley per se. It's a staple tenet of the entire GW religion. **** Finally, scientist Fred Singer, whom thou despiseth, estimated a year or so ago that as many as 40 percent of scientists harbor some doubts about Global Warming. Is he right? Is he wrong? I don't know if that's the exact number, but I know it IS a pretty significant amount, all told. They're not going away. FL

SLC · 28 January 2013

Ah gee, young earth creationist and evolution denier Roy Spencer. Fatuous Floyd is really desperate.
ksplawn said:
FL said: There is nothing new about putting out opposing links on both sides of the global warming debate. Especially, it's not hard to put forth recent links that call attention rational and scientific reasons for doubt. Global Warmers ask for public trust but they've put out a lot of wrong stuff. It can be stuff like Climategate 2.0 or just plain stuff right outta the NASA press room. http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/new-paper-on-the-misdiagnosis-of-surface-temperature-feedbacks-from-variations-in-earth%E2%80%99s-radiant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/
Spencer and Braswell was so thoroughly bad that the publishing journal's editor resigned in protest after castigating his journal for the failure of peer-review that let it through with their stamp of approval on it. He also had a ton of words to use against Spencer for promoting the paper with false claims about its conclusions to the public, and against outlets like Forbes for letting fossil-fuel think-tank bloggers hype it up with even more false claims and imaginary connections to NASA. Spencer and the denialists lied about the paper to the public. The editor of the journal felt betrayed and used, so he resigned in hopes of saving face for the small, young journal instead of letting it get a reputation for passing junk science by motivated ideologues. It has also been ably rebutted more than once in the peer-reviewed literature, and there are plenty of debunkings of it written in an accessible, pop-sci level by other scientists. The basic gist is that SB did not capture the differences in models that they were trying to pass off as being found, and they selectively hid model results that disagreed with their conclusions. Their own model of atmospheric physics does not conserve energy according to the laws of thermodynamics (as a Creationist you should know all about that mistake, right?) and generally doesn't work to model reality because it has too many freely-adjustable parameters. More than enough to fit an elephant and make its trunk wiggle. Of course, Spencer thinks that this is all the result of "IPCC Gatekeepers," despite the fact that nobody at the IPCC had anything to do with the reaction to his paper, and he has not published a counter-argument against his critics. Despite his paper being widely read because of the extraordinary claims it made, the general opinion of climate experts is that it has no extraordinary evidence to back them up and is basically worthless. The simplest explanation is that his paper was just that bad. In other words, he has totally failed to make a convincing argument in that paper; it was so bad that it basically killed Spencer's credibility until he can prove himself capable of doing honest science again. And it's not that they just disagree with him; they showed why he is wrong. That's what it takes to make a point in science. Spencer is apparently incapable of doing this anymore, despite his formerly respectable scientific career. The fact that, unlike the CRU researchers, Spencer and Braswell actually did hide and manipulate data in their paper should set your dander on end. The fact that their own model was so bad it implied six TRILLION degree temperature changes a thousand years ago should have you frothing at the mouth for being duped by these same hypocrites who dismiss legit climate models with hand-waving. These people are everything bad that they've accused other climate scientists of being. I've written up a longer and more involved comment post about Roy Spencer here that I think explains his basic problem in greater detail and clarity. What's a bigger issue to me is that you still think his paper was worth considering, despite the year of solid debunking it has received inside and outside of the scientific literature. Why didn't anybody tell you that it was already known to be junk? I suspect it's because you're not listening to the people who would acknowledge this. As I've said before when pointing out serious accuracy problems with the sources you use, they're not trustworthy. I'm not going to spend all week fact-checking every piece of dreck you link, so let's cut to the chase: stop listening to those liars and idiots, they are steering you wrong. You are being duped and conned by liars and bullshitters, as everybody here has been able to prove. There is no honor in defending them and pretending they might still have a point. If you want to make a case against the other 97% of climate experts who agree on AGW, try and find some honest sources, for your own sake.
Your faith in the Global Warming Gospel is absolute. Mine isn't.
My confidence in the general consensus of the world's climate experts is based on how successful they are at describing the world's climate. Why do you put so much credibility into the tiny minority who try to denounce the consensus, yet can't marshal any scientific evidence for their position? Shouldn't you put more weight in those that have shown genuine skepticism and a proper scientific attitude about this?
I'm not trying to change your minds, diminish your devotion, etc etc. I'm just saying that GW doubters aren't science deniers, and the Global Warmer scientists and politicians and shills have only themselves to blame for any doubts and doubters anyway.
And yet the only thing you've been able to prove is that all the sources you rely on are wrong. You have never once shown us anything from a mainstream scientists of ANY political affiliation, only bullshit from right-wing bullshitters (usually through a think-tank's partisan filter; some of the sources you cited are literally paid by fossil fuels interests to promote their junk science). I've been linking you to actual papers written by scientists, and public blog posts written by scientists, and guess what? These are not blind Al Gore worshipers. Some of them are staunchly conservative in their politics (Barry Bickmore, for example; James Hansen is also an old-school Republican, and so is Richard Alley who you can see in this American Geophysical Union lecture explaining the importance of CO2 on temperature based on real data). The only person appealing to shills here is you. Nothing I've cited comes from people paid to be "alarmist."
Finally, scientist Fred Singer, whom thou despiseth, estimated a year or so ago that as many as 40 percent of scientists harbor some doubts about Global Warming. Is he right? Is he wrong? I don't know if that's the exact number, but I know it IS a pretty significant amount, all told. They're not going away.
Fred Singer was also one of the tobacco companies' paid shills back in the day, and he quickly became a paid shill for fossil fuel companies. I thought you didn't want to listen to shills? He has not done any actual science for decades, and he has zero data to use as the "estimate" for secret dissenters. Meanwhile, actual working scientists have tried to settle the question of scientific opinion on climate change. The number of dissenters doesn't come anywhere near 40% in those rigorous, scientific expeditions. You will have to give up the idea that 40% of scientists secretly doubt AGW. The figure is likely less than 20% for all scientists, and almost certainly less than 5% for those that actually study the climate. That is the perspective you need to work from here.

ksplawn · 28 January 2013

I don't know that Spencer is an actual Young Earther. I've only seen him write about or sign letters endorsing a vague anti-evolution position and endorsing things like Intelligent Design.

SLC · 28 January 2013

I saw this claim on a blog some time ago but a Google search fails to confirm it. In any case, Spencer is, by his own admission, a creationist. As to whether he is an old earth creationist or a young earth creationist is unclear as I sit here today. So I withdraw the sobriquet YEC until such time as his actual position can be confirmed. By the way, being an IDiot doesn't automatically make him a old earth creationist. William Dumbski now proclaims himself a YEC and, I believe, so does Jonathan Wells.
ksplawn said: I don't know that Spencer is an actual Young Earther. I've only seen him write about or sign letters endorsing a vague anti-evolution position and endorsing things like Intelligent Design.

Richard B. Hoppe · 28 January 2013

OK, I think FL's line of "thinking" (I use the word loosely) is clear, so any more comments by him are off to the BW to join Byers' incoherent nonsense.

bigdakine · 28 January 2013

FL said:

Unlike you FL, I consult the primary literature

Sure. Just like CEI's Marlo Lewis Jr. consulted primary literature when he famously dissected Al Gore's Inconvienent Truth. http://cei.org/pdf/5820.pdf But I noticed long time ago that it didn't make any difference to Global Warmers. It never does. The NASA-based link kinda bounced off too, I noticed. FL
I didn't read Gore's book doofus. I don't care.

Ian Derthal · 30 January 2013

Isn't YEC global warming denial somehow connected with the flood, and the fact they claim there was only one post flood ice age ?

scienceavenger · 30 January 2013

If you can't discuss global warming without mentioning Al Gore, you might be a science denialist.

Kevin B · 30 January 2013

Ian Derthal said: Isn't YEC global warming denial somehow connected with the flood, and the fact they claim there was only one post flood ice age ?
If they are arguing against global warming because God promised not to cause another flood, they've missed the point that He did *not* say that that He'd step in to prevent Men creating a flood all by themselves.

apokryltaros · 30 January 2013

scienceavenger said: If you can't discuss global warming without mentioning Al Gore, you might be a science denialist.
Correction: you are a science denier if you derisively refer to Al Gore as a "patron deity" of the global warming movement.

apokryltaros · 30 January 2013

Kevin B said:
Ian Derthal said: Isn't YEC global warming denial somehow connected with the flood, and the fact they claim there was only one post flood ice age ?
If they are arguing against global warming because God promised not to cause another flood, they've missed the point that He did *not* say that that He'd step in to prevent Men creating a flood all by themselves.
Or was it that they believe that God's "second great flood" would be one of fire, and not water?

Henry J · 30 January 2013

Global warming won't put mountains (or even highlands) underwater. ;)

Kevin B · 30 January 2013

Henry J said: Global warming won't put mountains (or even highlands) underwater. ;)
Neither will any of the supposed mechanisms put forward to rationalise the original flood.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/NwJlR2wLuMwBxxy5yCiHHNt8gvoW#8ba56 · 1 February 2013

More on religious "science"...
Since the early 1900’s ALL “science” has been taken over by the Technology Culture of the religious Americans, represented by the trade-union-church AAAS. Plain and simple. There has not been any science in the world since then except “religious-American-science”.

On the blissful religious science ignorance…:

USA-World Science Hegemony Is Science Blind

Since the early 2000s I have been posting many articles on science items surveyed and analyzed by me, without religious background-concepts. I have been doing this because I was deeply disturbed by the religiosity of the 1848-founded AAAS trade-union and by the consequent religious background-tint of its extensive “scientific” publications and activities.

On my next birthday I’ll be 88-yrs old. I know that I’m deeply engaged in a Don Quixotic mission-war to extricate-free the USA and world Science from the clutches and consequences of the religious-trade-union-church AAAS, adopted strangely by the majority of scientifically ignorant religious god-trusting Americans and by their most other humanity following flocks…

But I am sincerely confident that only thus it is feasible and possible to embark on a new, rational, Human culture (Scientism) and on new more beneficial and effective technology courses for humanity…

Dov Henis (comments from 22nd century)
http://universe-life.com/

ksplawn · 1 February 2013

Gene Ray, is that you?

https://me.yahoo.com/a/NwJlR2wLuMwBxxy5yCiHHNt8gvoW#8ba56 · 5 February 2013

It takes a change of culture, of the mode of reactions to circumstances, to effect a change of habit. Genetics is the progeny of culture, not vice versa. This applies in ALL fields of human activities, including economy, to ALL personal and social behavioral aspects.

Since the early 1900’s ALL “science” has been taken over by the Technology Culture of the religious Americans, represented by the trade-union-church AAAS. Plain and simple. There has not been any science in the world since then except “religious-American-science”.

On the blissful religious science ignorance…:

USA-World Science Hegemony Is Science Blind

Since the early 2000s I have been posting many articles on science items surveyed and analyzed by me, without religious background-concepts. I have been doing this because I was deeply disturbed by the religiosity of the 1848-founded AAAS trade-union and by the consequent religious background-tint of its extensive “scientific” publications and activities.

On my next birthday I’ll be 88-yrs old. I know that I’m deeply engaged in a Don Quixotic mission-war to extricate-free the USA and world Science from the clutches and consequences of the religious-trade-union-church AAAS, adopted strangely by the majority of scientifically ignorant religious god-trusting Americans and by their most other humanity following flocks…

But I am sincerely confident that only thus it is feasible and possible to embark on a new, rational, Human culture (Scientism) and on new more beneficial and effective technology courses for humanity…

Dov Henis (comments from 22nd century)
http://universe-life.com/
Energy-Mass Poles Of The Universe
http://universe-life.com/2012/11/14/701/