Slaying Meyer's Hopeless Monster
One is reminded of the Black Knight scene from Monty Python and the Holy Grail. The limbs keep being lopped off.
Stephen Meyer's "Darwin's Doubt" has taken a beating from scientists who have reviewed it. Nick Matzke (recently Ph.D.'d and on his way to postdochood in Knoxville), in Meyer's Hopeless Monster, Part II, eviscerated Meyer's understanding of phylogenetics, among other things (see also Luskin's Hopeless Monster). Don Prothero, in Stephen Meyer's Fumbling Bumbling Amateur Cambrian Follies did the same to Meyer's presentation of paleontology. John Pieret has a list of critical reviews.
The most ambitious effort is on Smilodon't Retreat, the blog of an anonymous scientist. The reviewer is slogging through the book section by section. Eight posts are up and we're just into Chapter 1 (of 20). Go there, read, comment, and cheer the reviewer on.
109 Comments
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 4 September 2013
Here's a simple review--Darwin's Doubt completely lacks any kind of match-up between specific, identifiable cause and specific, identifiable effect that points to design.
For that reason alone, it has done nothing to change ID from being mere speculation and apologetics.
Glen Davidson
John Harshman · 4 September 2013
Here, allow me to step in with some bits I put up on talk.origins recently.
First, a take on the whole book that I don't recall seeing in other reviews:
I've finished reading the book, and to my surprise it turns out not to be about the Cambrian explosion at all. Sure, the first few chapters are, but they and the explosion they discuss are irrelevant to the main point, which is that any significant amount of evolution is impossible. Meyer proves that no new protein can arise, and no developmental program can change, not even once in the entire history of life. So forget the Cambrian explosion, whose duration is by the way irrelevant. Humans and chimps can't be related; they're just too different for evolution to manage. Oddly enough, Meyer seems not to take his own message and doesn't draw the conclusions about the history of life that follow directly from his studies. Not even with a "much light will be thrown" sentence.
And, by the way, don't go countering with anything like "we have conclusive evidence that it happeed, so it must be possible". Meyer rejects all historical evidence as mere conjecture.
Second, a bit of summary on the fossil chapters:
Chapter 1: Darwin's Nemesis. Why Louis Agassiz was a great scientist and was perfectly right not to accept evolution. Agassiz was all for separate creation of each species, which Meyer conveniently elides into the inability of evolution to generate "wholly novel organisms", without ever confronting the difference. And of course he raises the title problem that the book is ostensibly about: the sudden appearance of disparate animal taxa in the Cambrian explosion.
2: The Burgess bestiary. All about the Burgess Shale and, eventually, the Chengjiang fauna, interpreted as weird wonders with no relatives. Hallucigenia, for example, is considered a bizarre, one-of-a-kind monster, which was certainly Conway Morris's original notion; but that changed, and now we know it's connected to a number of other Cambrian fossils and to modern onychophorans. Similarly, he can simultaneously claim there are no transitional forms while touting Anomalocaris as just an unusual arthropod.
Here we begin two major confusions that are repeated and amplified in succeeding chapters: first about when the Cambrian explosion happened, as any phylum with a first appearance in the Cambrian is counted in fig. 2.5 as part of the explosion, including phyla that appear in the 20+ million years of the Cambrian that he fails to mention before his explosion starts; second, confusing appearance in the fossil record with appearance on earth, as if the record were perfect.
And we also begin the habit of cognitive dissonance; Anomalocaris (above) is one such example. He also is capable of noticing (in fig. 2.5) that a dozen phyla have no or almost no fossil records while simultaneously proposing that the record is nearly perfect. I suppose you can reconcile that if you presume that some phyla have been created just recently, but Meyer seems not to notice, as will often be the case below, that his claims have implications.
A major claim in this chapter is the idea of "top-down" appearance: phyla appearing before families, families before species, etc. He dismisses the idea that this is an artifact of classification, but makes no real argument. But phyla were defined based on extant species as the broadest classifications, and so must arise earliest in the history of life, before lower-level groups that they contain. His counter is that these early taxa all have the distinctive features of their modern relatives. Oddly enough, he frequently cites one of my favorite papers, Budd & Jensen 2000, which shows that nearly all Cambrian taxa are at best stem-members of their respective groups. And he relegates potential transitional fossils (Anomalocaris, Opabinia, halkieriids, etc.) either to extant phyla or to new phyla, again unrelated to any others. Each transitional fossil, in other words, just creates another gap.
3: Soft bodies and hard facts. Here we dismiss the idea that the sudden appearance of soft-bodied taxa in the Cambrian explosion can be a preservational artifact. For example, we have preserved fossils of bacteria in stromatolites billions of years old. If tiny little bacteria can be preserved, reasons Meyer, then no large animals should remain unpreserved. Can anyone be this naive about taphonomy? I suppose so. But different taphonomic conditions preserve different things; what preserves bacteria doesn't necessarily preserve animals, and vice versa.
More cognitive dissonance: he takes pains to point out (in the previous chapter) that fossil deposits like the Burgess shale are extraordinarily rare, but here declares that if there were equivalent species before the Chengjiang, we would have found them. (I will note also that he doesn't say "before the Chengjiang"; he says "in the Precambrian", again ignoring a 20-million-year stretch of early Cambrian time).
Meyer also perpetuates the claim that many body plans are impossible without mineralized skeletons; he consistently confuses "hard" with "mineralized", despite the evidence of the commonly preserved, mineralized trilobites vs. rarely preserved, non-mineralized arthropods of the Burgess and Chengjiang. Clearly, a tough, organic exoskeleton or shell can make a body plan possible without readily preservable mineralization. So, what we have in the Cambrian explosion is the sudden appearance in the fossil record of a host of phyla, but what that means is that they all appear in a single deposit, the Chengjian fauna. There are no earlier deposits with a similar type of preservation. Meyer, looking through a narrow window into a meadow, sees a horse, and therefore concludes that there are no other horses in that meadow to left or right of his view.
4: The *not* missing fossils? This chapter is all about the Ediacaran fauna, with the purpose of dismissing Ediacaran life as transitional. And indeed much of it isn't. Much of what he says here is true. Spriggina probably isn't bilaterian at all, since it isn't bilaterally symmetrical. However, he also dismisses other potential intermediates on the basis that they lack derived characters when in fact we can't know whether they had them or not; preservation quality just isn't good enough to tell. At the end, he mentions Kimberella, a fossil he had earlier accepted as a mollusk, but here he does all he can to cast doubt on its nature. Note again: Meyer goes straight from the Chengjiang (about 520ma) to the Precambrian (ending about 543ma) and never talks about the 20+ million years in between. God of the gaps, indeed.
And a very quick summary of three more chapters:
5: The genes tell the story? In which any notion of molecular dating is quashed.
6: The animal tree of life. In which any notion of phylogenetic analysis is likewise quashed.
7: Punk eek! In which the punctuated equilibria theory is eliminated as an explanation for the Cambrian explosion, to the surprise of nobody, including Gould and Eldredge.
Budd, G. E., and S. Jensen. 2000. A critical reappraisal of the fossil record of the bilaterian phyla. Biological Reviews 75:253-295.
https://www.google.com/accounts/o8/id?id=AItOawm-WhebH0itIDDTj06EQo2vtiF0BBqF10Q · 4 September 2013
Who cares about Meyer?
The real news is that the fundy ID-creationist crowd can't blame Nick aymore for not having a PhD.
Congratulations and all the best for yor future work.
Martin aka sparc
John Harshman · 4 September 2013
Is Skepticblog down? I'm repeatedly told I don't have permission to access it when I try the link.
Richard B. Hoppe · 4 September 2013
Richard B. Hoppe · 4 September 2013
Huh. The main skepticblog URL returns the same error. Their problem, it appears.
Robert Byers · 4 September 2013
At least everyone agrees its an important enough book to comment on!!
Its been the scientific talk of the summer.
The point is BANG suddenly fully complicated creatures arrived and are here at a point everyone, not me/YEC, agrees in time.
It overthrows the slow acquiring of complex traits as evolutionism must predict and find in the fossil record.!
I think he's doing a good job because in reality there was no evolution or low to high complexity growth. In fact there is no greater complexity in any thing in biology. Its all got gods spirit animating it and the mechanics is all crazy complicated. Spineless sponges are not primitive because of no bony spine. They do fine.
Anyways the whole thing is all based on biological data points entirely connected by geological assertions of deposition timelines.
There is no biological research going on here by anybody. Not scientific research.
John Harshman · 4 September 2013
No, Robert. Sorry. The level of response has nothing to do with science (as Darwin's Doubt has nothing to do with science). It's all about ID politics. Meyer prefers to keep you ignorant, and we try to educate you. Doesn't work on you, but there may be others more susceptible to reality.
ogremk5 · 4 September 2013
Robert, first, Meyer says that organisms need millions of years... except during the Cambrian Explosion (for extra points, state what 'exploded')... which, while lasting for over 20 million years (up to 54 million years depending on who you ask) still wasn't enough time.
Meyer misunderstands the concept of phyla. He also mistakes the idea of fossilization and both what is expected and how it works. Which is pretty pitiful coming from a Earth Science major.
Finally, and the point of my review, is his research is willfully sloppy. For example, in chapter one, he states that science has no idea how turtles evolved. They just appeared in the fossil record fully formed. Of course, if you google "turtle evolution", you will find a number of papers. One of which came out more than 4 years go and describes a proto-turtle... i.e. an evolutionary ancestor to modern turtles. Meyer ignores this completely.
I don't really expect you to understand why this is important, but Meyer SHOULD and anyone who writes science also should. The fact that he doesn't understand the importance of research shows that he doesn't have a scientific case, but a sociopolitical ax to grind.
By fisking his entire stupid book and pointing out the excessive (and fundamental) errors, we can show this... probably to the satisfaction of a court (if it ever came to that).
Personally speaking, if I read a paper from one of my high school students that had made that same claim and I googled turtle evolution (as I did) and found that paper, I would give that student a poor grade. Meyer never learned that lesson and that's a damn shame.
diogeneslamp0 · 4 September 2013
ogremk5 · 4 September 2013
Tenncrain · 4 September 2013
Rhazes · 4 September 2013
Rhazes · 4 September 2013
https://me.yahoo.com/a/hHXYfJpysYHQ3610gllC7ldTYTqv#37db0 · 5 September 2013
Elizabeth Liddle · 5 September 2013
My own small contribution is here:
Meyer's Mistake
Rhazes · 5 September 2013
diogeneslamp0 · 5 September 2013
eric · 5 September 2013
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 5 September 2013
John Harshman · 5 September 2013
Since Meyer loves Louis Agassiz so much, perhaps he's indulging in some catastrophism: successive catastrophes that destroy all life, with new biotas created after each catastrophe. Of course we will never know, because Meyer knows that presenting an actual hypothesis will leave him vulnerable to criticism, so he'll remain as vague as he can. He will content himself with discussing problems with evolution. This also helps to maintain the DI's big tent, in which theistic evolutionist Behe lives in perfect agreement with YEC Nelson.
Doc Bill · 5 September 2013
harold · 5 September 2013
ogremk5 · 5 September 2013
It's certainly not the scientific talk of the summer. Actual scientists aren't touching it. And I'm proud to admit that I have exactly the same number of non-book publications that Meyer has... and mine wasn't retracted by the publisher.
John Harshman · 5 September 2013
It's worth pointing out again that Darwin's Doubt was published by Harper One, whose mission statement on its web site is this:
"For 30 years we have published the books that have changed people's lives, influenced culture, built bridges between faiths, and withstood the test of time. View this video for more about HarperOne and our authors and readers.
The most important books across the full spectrum of religion, spirituality, and personal growth, adding to the wealth of the world's wisdom by stirring the waters of reflection on the primary questions of life while respecting all traditions."
They are, in other words, a publisher of religious and self-help books. Not science. But wait -- ID is science. IDers say so all the time. How does that work?
Robert Byers · 5 September 2013
Robert Byers · 5 September 2013
DS · 5 September 2013
Talk about a hopeless monster.
ogremk5 · 5 September 2013
Right Robert, we can't expect researchers to actually read papers about the research they are doing. If that research was so important, then they would write a book.
Tell me Robert, how would you get fossils in anything other than a deposition event?
Don't answer that. Your description would be too painful to bear.
John Harshman · 5 September 2013
I'm thinking that ought to be about enough of Mr. Byers.
Richard B. Hoppe · 5 September 2013
Yeah, Robert has reached his limit in this thread.
TomS · 6 September 2013
John Harshman · 6 September 2013
Well, of course languages display a top-down structure. That's a clear prediction of the confusion of the tongues at Babel.
JoeG · 6 September 2013
1- Kevin McCarthy is NOT a scientist
2- No one knows how turtles evolved- no one knows what makes a turtle a turtle
3- Elizabeth Liddle's response is full of her misunderstandings- also what Meyer said is based on what evolutionists said
4- Yes evos have called it the Cambrian explosion and the sudden appearance of body plans
JoeG · 6 September 2013
Heck you guys can't get prokaryotes to evolve into something other than prokaryotes. Your reliance on endosymbiosis just exposes your desperation.
JoeG · 6 September 2013
DS · 6 September 2013
Time for a dump to the bathroom wall.
TomS · 6 September 2013
John Harshman · 6 September 2013
Elizabeth: I'm pretty sure you realize that nothing Joe G said about your review is correct, but just in case you need reassurance from a professional: yes, nothing he said is correct.
John Harshman · 6 September 2013
The comparisons with languages could be extended further. Conditions for fossilization of languages (i.e., written records) have varied extensively over time. We have no fossil record for proto-Indo-European. By the time we see any IE languages -- Greek, Hittite, Latin, Gothic, etc. -- they are already well separated. So if they're related, why don't we see ancestral fossils? Similarity doesn't show relationship! Linguistic analyses assume that there's a relationship! Therefore, languages were created separately by God. QED.
TomS · 6 September 2013
Richard B. Hoppe · 6 September 2013
joe has worn out his welcome in this thread. The personal shot at Elizabeth earns him the BW for any further comments.
eric · 6 September 2013
Richard B. Hoppe · 6 September 2013
I'm reminded of what Travis McGee said when asked if he spoke Spanish: "pidgin Spanish--no verbs."
bigdakine · 6 September 2013
Richard B. Hoppe · 6 September 2013
Larry Moran has an interesting graphic showing the (lack of) scope of Meyer's book.
Roy · 6 September 2013
catshark?
alanfox.fr · 6 September 2013
Elizabeth Liddle · 6 September 2013
RodW · 6 September 2013
I get very frustrated with discussions about the paleontological record from the Precambrian and what it implies. I feel that theres a lot of info that's just missing from every treatment I've read.
We've all heard of the Burgess shale, and perhaps the Chengjiang and small shellies, but my question is what other fine-silt shallow-sea sediments do we have from this period? If we have none than the lack transitionals and the apparent 'explosion' is a nonissue. If on the other hand we have many deposits at one million year intervals just prior to this period ( an exaggeration ) that are completely devoid of fossils, that would be harder to explain. So I'd like to see one of those geological timelines that typically lists the fossil locals but containing and exhaustive list of every geological site from that period. It seems to me if this was done it might deflate some of the ID arguments well enough that they'd move on to other topics.
I'd try to put this together if someone could point me in the right direction. Is there a database of geological sites by timeperiod?
John Harshman · 6 September 2013
RodW · 6 September 2013
Thanks John!
That is exactly what I was looking for!
RW
DavidK · 6 September 2013
A couple of comments. Meyer's titled his book "Darwin's Doubt." Darwin never questioned the Cambrian fossils as the Burgess Shale wasn't found until 1910. I know Meyer's is trying to make an association, but the very premise of his books is erroneous.
Second, I ran across a page in Wikipedia on the Cambrian explosion that is begging for evolutionists to correct:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discredited_hypotheses_for_the_Cambrian_explosion
Perhaps some of you might take a look at the page and make the necessary corrections.
air · 6 September 2013
There is a series of papers I am very fond of that seem to be on topic. The first does a linguistic analysis of the languages of Polynesia using techniques similar to phylogenetics. It shows that the languages form a nested hierarchy with a common ancestor that arose in the vicinity of Southeast Taiwan. The second paper does a true phylogenetic analysis of Helicobacter pylori isolated from mouths of the native speakers of these same languages. The same nested hierarchy emerges with the common ancestor from the same region. The third paper serves as a lovely control. They examine the phylogenetics of yams eaten across the Pacific. They don't find a nested hierarchy - instead, they find 3, indicating that yams were imported from at least three different places. No assumptions were made about whether a single nested hierarchy would emerge and in fact in one case it didn't. The other nice feature is, of course, that all of these changes (yes, people are still people, Helicobacter are still Helicobacter and yams are yams) can be dated by archaeology to the last few thousand years so no 6000 years old earth arguments need apply.....
Rolf · 7 September 2013
Very nice! Not that I am qualified or prepared to delve into the stuff but I probably might dig out some by creating search strings from words in the text.
TomS · 7 September 2013
After reading the defenses of Meyer's book presented at "Meyer's Mistake" I have to say that I am stunned by the total lack of comprehension out there.
I have been following creationism for quite a while, but still I was taken aback by some of the defenses.
TomS · 7 September 2013
RodW · 7 September 2013
Could you give the refs?
diogeneslamp0 · 7 September 2013
Seconded. Refs please.
harold · 7 September 2013
John Harshman · 7 September 2013
air · 7 September 2013
As you wish -
Linguistic study
Gray et. al Science 323 479 (2009)
Link to popular article not behind paywall
Helicobacter pylori study
Moodley et al Science 323 529 (2009)
link to free PubMed copy of article
Yam study
Rouiller et al. PNAS February 5, 2013 vol. 110 no.6 2205-2210 doi:10.1073/pnas.1211049110
discussion of article
air · 7 September 2013
Speaking of wishes, wish I was better at links -
non-borked version of last link to discussion of sweet potato article-
discussion of article
ogremk5 · 7 September 2013
Anyone have a copy of It's a Wonderful Life? I need to know what Gould says about Darwin on page 57.
ogremk5 · 7 September 2013
Nevermind, I found it. SOrry.
Richard B. Hoppe · 7 September 2013
I have to apologize to ogremk5. I inadvertently marked one of his/her comments as spam. It's been restored. Sorry. This phone has teeny tiny keys.
Rhazes · 7 September 2013
Richard B. Hoppe · 7 September 2013
Rhazes · 7 September 2013
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 7 September 2013
Rhazes · 7 September 2013
I think it's time we put all of our critiques and responses in one place. I created this humble blog, where I'm going to be posting all the critical reviews that I have come across. If you don't want your review to be posted on the blog, or you'd like to modify it, please let me know, and I'll comply. Anyhow, for the rest of you fellow spectators, enjoy:
Darwin's Doubt Critical Reviews
A note to John Harshman: I compiled your comments on Sandwalk and here into one blog post, and I'll be modifying it to add your critiques of the other chapters.
MaskedQuoll · 7 September 2013
W. H. Heydt · 7 September 2013
https://me.yahoo.com/a/hHXYfJpysYHQ3610gllC7ldTYTqv#37db0 · 7 September 2013
apokryltaros · 7 September 2013
https://me.yahoo.com/a/hHXYfJpysYHQ3610gllC7ldTYTqv#37db0 · 7 September 2013
SWT · 7 September 2013
Rhazes · 8 September 2013
ogremk5 · 9 September 2013
Elizabeth Liddle · 10 September 2013
John Harshman · 10 September 2013
Rhazes · 11 September 2013
John Harshman · 11 September 2013
John Harshman · 12 September 2013
What's going on at Skepticblog? The Meyer thread, which had accumulated a bunch of comments -- OK, mostly me arguing with Peter Nyikos -- has suddenly been pruned back to 4 comments, one of them Prothero's non-answer to a question I asked him, removing my response that re-asked the question. And now attempts at new comments disappear into cyberspace. No announcement that the thread is closed, or that anyone has been banned, or whatever. It feels like the Great Soviet Encyclopedia, looseleaf edition, or perhaps Uncommon Dissent. And I find that disturbing.
Rhazes · 12 September 2013
Rhazes · 12 September 2013
Ok, I got the paper. You can download it from here:
Rates of Phenotypic and Genomic Evolution during the Cambrian Explosion
John Harshman · 12 September 2013
John Harshman · 12 September 2013
By the way, I didn't encounter a paywall.
Try this.
John Harshman · 13 September 2013
Very interesting indeed. You really need to download the supplementary information if you want to understand what they did. The collection of anchor points for the time calibration is impressive, and so is the exploration of varying parameters. The morphological result is unsurprising; it's the molecular result that's interesting. Who would expect molecular evolution to track morphological evolution so closely? I would have expected most proteins not to notice that anything was going on, except for those few whose changes were actively involved in generating the morphological changes. And this alone makes me wonder if there's some artifact at work. But the supplemental info does much to test various artifactual possibilities, and none of them seem to change the result. So I guess at this point I need to believe the result. Odd.
Henry J · 13 September 2013
I'd expect neutral protein changes to accumulate at a fairly regular rate. Could that be it?
John Harshman · 13 September 2013
No, because what you need to explain is a big slowdown in rate after 500ma compared to before 500ma. Not a constant rate.
diogeneslamp0 · 13 September 2013
diogeneslamp0 · 13 September 2013
As for that paper on the rates of evolution in the Cambrian Explosion, I'm sure Casey Luskin is preparing a list of ad hominem attacks right now to be published at ENV as a complete refutation. Anyone want to bet as to which ad hominem Luskin will lead with?
Atheists! Materialists!
No doubt, they'll unleash the Klinghoffer to remind us Darwin = Hitler.
John Harshman · 13 September 2013
Talking about rates of evolution assumes evolution. Calibrating a tree with fossils assumes there is a tree and that fossils go on it somewhere. Besides, Meyer has shown that evolution is impossible.
Henry J · 13 September 2013
ogremk5 · 13 September 2013
John Harshman · 13 September 2013
Rhazes · 14 September 2013
I added a new blog post showing how simplistic and misleading Meyer's favorite combinatorics analogy is. I cannot blame him for falling for it, though, and I don't believe that result of the more sophisticated calculation will change the substance of his argument. The argument has other weaknesses that have been noted in previous posts, and will be addressed in future posts as well.
John Harshman · 14 September 2013
So I do find a potential problem with Lee et al. 2013. They're comparing rates over a short period in the Early Cambrian with rates averaged over most of the Phanerozoic. That is, the times in the basal branches of their tree are much, much shorter than the times of the terminal branches. If there were similar, rapid radiations in, say, the Jurassic, they wouldn't detect them using the tree they have, because those radiations would be averaged into much longer periods of normal evolution.
Rhazes · 19 September 2013
Charles R. Marshall just published a short review of Darwin's Doubt: When Prior Belief Trumps Scholarship. He isn't particularly happy about the quote mine that was discovered by John Farrell.
Rhazes · 19 September 2013
If you don't have access to the magazine, you can read the review on the DDCR blog:
Charles R. Marshall reviews Darwin's Doubt: When Prior Belief Trumps Scholarship
diogeneslamp0 · 19 September 2013
Rhazes,
For compiling all those reviews in one place, you win the internet.
Rolf · 23 September 2013
A blog with white text on a dark brown background, Marshall lost me. A pity, I might want to read it...
Cal · 27 September 2013
Richard B. Hoppe · 27 September 2013
eric · 27 September 2013
Henry J · 27 September 2013
If turtles aren't designed, how did some of them get painted? ;)
bigdakine · 27 September 2013
diogeneslamp0 · 30 September 2013