Philosophers to debate evolution; scientists protest

Posted 19 October 2016 by

Joel Velasco of Texas Tech University will debate Paul Nelson of the Discovery Institute on the topic, "Is Darwin's theory flourishing or floundering?" according to an article by Victoria Cavazos in Hilltop Views, the student newspaper of St. Edward's University of Austin, Texas. We will not discuss whether it is floundering or foundering; it is doing neither, and 11 science faculty expressed their opposition to the debate, which they called a "debate." The signatories to the letter, which include a dean and an associate dean, 2 department chairs, and a handful of other professors, state that they "do not recognize any legitimate scientific issues up for debate with respect to evolutionary theory" and go on to say,

We write to state clearly that the theory of evolution has undergone significant review in the scientific literature and remains the best, most coherent explanation of the observed development of life on Earth. While specific mechanisms within evolutionary theory remain the subject of modern research, we reiterate that subject of evolution itself is not up for debate in the scientific community.

They go on to note that many scientific societies "have issued statements on the subject of evolution and intelligent design, confirming the demonstrated success of the former and rejecting the scientific viability of latter. The undersigned faculty in the School of Natural Sciences at St. Edward's University fully embrace this point of view." Paul Nelson of the Discovery Institute is probably well known to most readers of this blog. Joel Velasco is an assistant professor of philosophy at Texas Tech University and has an impressive resume. He has a PhD from the University of Wisconsin, where his thesis advisor was Elliott Sober, and he specializes in philosophy of biology. I am sure that Professor Velasco has his reasons for agreeing to the debate, but I am frankly disappointed in him, because I would no more debate Paul Nelson than Deborah Lipstadt* (see here and here) would debate a Holocaust denier. The "debate" will take place at 7:00 p.m., October 21, on the campus of St. Edward's University. If anyone can attend and wants to report on it, please do so in the Comments section. _______ Thanks to Glenn Branch of NCSE for the link. *Incidentally, Denial.

94 Comments

Joe Felsenstein · 19 October 2016

It's a shame that the ad was not worded more carefully. Creationists and proponents of Intelligent Design will of course immediately seize on the phrase that "the subject of evolution is not up for debate" to argue that a rigid dogmatic establishment is banning all dissent from its views. The rest of the sentence makes it clear that the signers meant no such thing, but that won't stop their statement from being misrepresented.

JimboK · 19 October 2016

Thanks for this post, Matt. It will be interesting to see how the DI sophists portray this event.

BTW, The faculty letter can be found here.

Michael Fugate · 19 October 2016

Is common ancestry up for debate?

Matt Young · 19 October 2016

BTW, The faculty letter can be found here.

Yikes! I forgot to include the link. Will fix it shortly. Many thanks!

Mike Elzinga · 19 October 2016

From the announcement:

Velasco will defend common descent, and Nelson will challenge it according to the event flyer. “Both will draw upon evidence from articles published in peer-reviewed science journals to make their respective cases,” Dilley said in an e-mail to Hilltop Views. “Thus, the debate will focus on a scientific theory [common ancestry] in light of scientific evidence from appropriate journals.”

From what “peer-reviewed scientific journals” can Nelson draw his “evidence;" the Potemkin village of cargo cult science we have been seeing for decades?” If a video or transcript of the debate becomes available, I suspect we will see from Nelson pretty much a summary of all the pseudo-scientific tropes we have been seeing for the last 50 years of ID/creationism. I see a number of chemists objecting to the “debate” in the faculty letter, but I see no physicists on that list; that’s disappointing. Things haven’t changed much over the last five decades; most physicists have left the biologists to fend for themselves even as the ID/creationists mangle basic physics in order to lay the groundwork for their “critiques” of biology.

DS · 19 October 2016

What business do a lawyer and a philosopher have debating the status of a scientific theory? Are they working scientists? Do they publish in the field? How would they know what is going on in the field? And who cares what their opinions on the subject might be? ANd who cares what they conclude? The important question is, has the theory been falsified? THe answer is no. What explanatory and predictive power does the theory have? The answer is, more than any other. Those are thee only relevant questions. Anything else is just obfuscation.

Matt Young · 19 October 2016

What business do a lawyer and a philosopher have debating the status of a scientific theory?

Paul Nelson has a PhD in philosophy from the University of Chicago. I have no objection to philosophers discussing scientific theories, but debating whether evolutionary theory is foundering is a little bit like debating whether (pick your field) quantum mechanics is foundering.

Robert Byers · 20 October 2016

Isn't this blog about "debating" or contending and encouraging others to conted/debate with ID/YEC?
is PT asking people to attend or not to attend? with the signers or with attenders who are to report back?
I hope the latter!
i don't the hundreds of millions of americans wopuld agree having such a debate is like having a debate with a Holocaust denier.
Thats another debate!
So these elites are saying thats there is settled conclusions and thats that.
They are , again, in a spirit and practice of censorship and the absurd rejection of a very famous and poular contention being debated.
Its like a priesthood has denied any dissent being allowed to be aired .
We have heard this before in human history!
its always the wrong and bad guys who do this. or at least a probability curve on the graphs comparing this stance and eventual results.

Evolutionism is under great attack everywhere and so well known it comes up in politics even.
If the debate exists then it proves enough think there is a issue about it.
Of coarse there is in the public.
So why not in a wee little debate the evolution defender just sweep from the battlefield his opponent and why not these esteemed signers welcome this opportunity.
Hmm. I think they think are losing, know they are losing, and fear more lost. with the educated population who have been introduced to ID. they already do bad with regular folks and YEC.

There is nothing more strange, absurd, unAmerican, unenlightened, unManly, disingenuous for a small gropup opf people to announce to a great number of people they have no moral or intellectual right or desire to debate what everyone disagrees about.
The priesthood has spoken.
I don'r want the opposition to embarrass itself but creationism surely can highlight these 'no talking" rules in future obituory's of modern evolutionism.

What if society had said origins was settled , say bake in the 1500's? Oh yeah they did. it seems to me they go on and on about why people could ignore this and think for themselves.

if there is one , um biology scientist, who diusagrees does that not make it not settled? i can think of a few!

Why can't evolutionism make its case on the merits like other sciences??
Why the spirit of resisting dissent and conversation and the reality of douby and disbelief??

Well the debate might do better with the publicity for the opposition to the debate so its very welcome for this reason and 56 others.

harold · 20 October 2016

I think Dr. Velasco is clearly well-meaning here.
I also think this is a good example of why the "debate" format is inappropriate for almost any serious academic question.

Dr. Velasco has accidentally made the mistake of granting minimal credibility to a crackpot idea, merely by granting it a "live" forum.

The problem is simple. Inviting live speakers involves use of resources, so it's tacitly assumed that you invite a live speaker because they have something worthwhile to say.

Here the speaker has presumably been invited based on Dr. Velasco's disagreement with his nonsense, and confidence that he can make it look silly, which he probably can.

But he could have and should have done that in writing, rather than dignifying his opponent's arguments with a live platform.

Going forward Nelson can falsely imply that his "invited speaker" status is a demonstration of respect for his ideas.

The science faculty superficially sound defensive, but are actually right.

DS · 20 October 2016

There is nothing more strange, absurd, unAmerican, unenlightened, unManly, disingenuous for a small gropup opf people to announce to a great number of people they have the moral or intellectual right or desire to debate a scientific issue if they have not been able to make their case in the scientific literature. It is an obvious ploy by the intellectually deficient and morally bankrupt to foist their unsubstantiated nonsense onto unsuspecting rubes. If you can't or won't do science, that is all you can do.

What if society had said origins was settled , say bake in the 1500’s? It wouldn't have made any difference to scientists at all. They would still look for evidence and be convinced by evidence. No amount of debating or voting would have any effect on the actual science. Just like it won't have any effect now. When you think for yourself, you come to realize that the evidence is all that matters. Creationism has none. Never did, never will.

Why can't creationism make its case on the merits like other sciences? Why can't they provide any evidence whatsoever? Why are they constantly trying to debate real scientists? Why can't they publish anything in the actual scientific literature? Why can't they even publish anything in their own fake journals? Why dot they have to get a philosopher to argue for them? Why the spirit of ignoring evidence and just slinging mud?

harold · 20 October 2016

Why can’t creationism make its case on the merits like other sciences?
They can't even internally agree on what their case is. And of course, this stupid "debate" appears to be structured in a way that panders to creationists, although that's probably not intentional (but may be). The debate structure assumes that "evolution" is on the defensive. Nelson isn't there to present and defend a coherent alternate model for the relatedness and diversity of life on Earth, let alone a coherent alternate model that crams it into 6000 years and also explains away all the rest of science as well. Nope, Nelson "wins by default" if he shows that "the theory of evolution is floundering". No need to defend creationism at all. Just taken for granted that even if there was something major wrong with the theory of evolution, and some crackpot without relevant credentials was somehow magically the one to point it out, that wouldn't mean "we need more work in the biomedical sciences to explain our observations", it would mean "some stupid-ass politicized version of 'Biblical Literalism' that was invented circa 1968 and its clumsily disguised version that was literally invented as a response to losing a court case win by default, even though it is even more at odds with the data". Of course he won't even be able to meet that insultingly low bar. Unless it's a setup and Velasco is either a closet creationist in cahoots, planning to deliberately do an incompetent job of "defending evolution", or unless Velasco is some extreme dullwit that Nelson has identified and tricked into a debate as an easy target. Most likely Velasco is a competent philosopher. If so, all he'll get in return for his exaggerated efforts to accommodate Nelson is a lot of vile anger and hatred directed at him online for refusing to capitulate totally. But why do people keep providing creationists with special needs facilities? It really is tiresome.

RJ · 20 October 2016

Byers, my version:

Isn't history about debating or contending? If just one historian disagrees, is the issue of the holocaust happening not settled? I know a few! There is nothing more strange, absurd, unAmerican, unenlightened, unManly, disingenuous for a small gropup opf people to announce to a great number of people they have no moral or intellectual right or desire to debate what everyone disagrees about. Why can't those dirty jews holcaultists make their case like everyone else?

RJ · 20 October 2016

Indulging the dangerous authoritarian bigot again:

Mr. Byers, these 'debates' are cheap publicity stunts that don't require much thought, talent, or knowledge. Publishing in biology, in contrast, requires those things. Furthermore, while journal publishing certainly has a political element, it is qualitatively less than that of a 'debate'.

Nelson is butting in line; he is demanding to be heard without making the contributions required of a scientist or other researcher. He is taking up time and attention that rightfully belongs to the excellent and the cooperative. If Nelson had a case he'd be able to make it in the scientific literature. He doesn't, so he doesn't.

'Elite': Nelson is demanding to be treated as an elite without doing any work. Mr. Byers, it is you who seeks to arbitrarily privilege certain conclusions, not scientists. Why are you special? You pretend to oppose arbitrary elites but in reality you just want different elites, ones who agree with you.

Your constant playing of the 'underdog' is dishonest. You say you are a Christian; well, bearing false witness is a sin.

Perhaps Harold would agree with me: in any morally significant sense, in any sense deserving of my respect, Mr. Byers does not want to be disciplined by the moral dictum to avoid bearing false witness.

DS · 20 October 2016

booby wrote:

"if there is one , um biology scientist, who diusagrees does that not make it not settled? i can think of a few!"

Sorry, wrong again. Disagreeing does not have anything to do with the whether a scientific theory is correct or not. Anyone can disagree for any reason. If you don't think so, I disagree!

In science, the only thing that means that a case is not settled is the evidence. Nelson has none. That's why he debates instead of publishes. That's why his opinion is completely divorced form the validity of the science he seeks to denigrate. That's why no one should pretend that he is making any valid point. That's why no one should bother to debate him.

If you want to know if the theory of evolution is flourishing, just look at all of the published articles in all of the scientific journals. There are hundreds of thousands of them and the number is growing more rapidly each day. If you want to know if creationism is floundering, just look at the complete lack of any publications in any scientific journals anywhere. If the "debate" focuses on anything other than these facts, it is a disservice to science.

And whatever you do, don't let the charlatan claim that new discoveries in biology are evidence that evolution is somehow in trouble. That's just plain nuts.

Henry J · 20 October 2016

And if a scientific theory was in "trouble", scientists would deal with that, based on the evidence. Like they did when steady state became big bang, or when Einstein revised Newton's laws, or when Einstein described the photoelectric effect, or when Mendeleev tabled the chemical elements, or when, yes, Darwin revised biology (but it's had a lot of additional revision since then).

Michael Fugate · 20 October 2016

Given that they are all sponsored by churches -meaning science is not the question. The question is "can one accept common ancestry of humans and all other life and still go to heaven?"

Mike Elzinga · 20 October 2016

Henry J said: And if a scientific theory was in "trouble", scientists would deal with that, based on the evidence. Like they did when steady state became big bang, or when Einstein revised Newton's laws, or when Einstein described the photoelectric effect, or when Mendeleev tabled the chemical elements, or when, yes, Darwin revised biology (but it's had a lot of additional revision since then).
It’s all those damned revisions that are the problem. If you read the Christian holy book properly, there is no need for revision because disagreement on any part of that book brings into question everything else. And questions are bad.

rew · 20 October 2016

I dont see how Velasco will argue this. Its easy to predict what Nelson will say. He'll have a 2 pronged approach and say there is increasing evidence that evolution is false ( ENCODE etc) and that increasing numbers of scientists and intellectuals are bailing out on evolution ( Shapiro, Margulis, Nagel etc) But how will Velasco counter this? How do you show that the science of evolution is alive and thriving and that people above are misrepresented or on the fringe or have completely misunderstood the science?

eric · 20 October 2016

I'm a little more sanguine. I'd put it at 60/40 that the event will be a PR victory for creationism rather than a win for science. While I think everyone is right to question the wisdom of doing it, IMO there's a reasonably good chance that Prof. Velasco hands out a solid beat down embarrassing enough that creationists don't link to the video. They are nowhere near the superior debaters they think they are.

Michael Fugate · 20 October 2016

But will it change anybody's mind? Will it have any educational value and will anyone assess if it does?

RJ · 20 October 2016

Educational value? What are you, an egghead? Debates are for bullying! And scientists just sit in university offices making up anti-Christian propaganda all day long! Don't believe me? Ask the great Canadian, Mr. Byers.

DS · 20 October 2016

How do you show that the science of evolution is alive and thriving and that people above are misrepresented or on the fringe or have completely misunderstood the science?

Well one could point to the entirely new fields of science that have arisen in the last twenty years due to the unprecedented success of evolutionary biology. You know fields like evolutionary development or comparative genomics. Fields that have allowed us to trace human migrations out of Africa and identify areas of the genome under strong selection pressure. Or maybe the success of the Barcode of Life project and how it is revolutionizing the study of biodiversity through examination of DNA sequences. Or the increasingly important role of evolutionary biology in medicine or any other field. You would have to be literally blind to every major advancement in the field of biology to conclude anything other than the obvious, that evolution is the single unifying principle of all modern day biology. It is very much alive and well, thank you very much and only an incompetent boob, or one completely lacking in knowledge could possibly fail to k=make that point clear, even in a debate format.

DS · 20 October 2016

eric said: I'm a little more sanguine. I'd put it at 60/40 that the event will be a PR victory for creationism rather than a win for science. While I think everyone is right to question the wisdom of doing it, IMO there's a reasonably good chance that Prof. Velasco hands out a solid beat down embarrassing enough that creationists don't link to the video. They are nowhere near the superior debaters they think they are.
If he knows what he is talking about and doesn't pull his punches and if the format is fair, sure, it should be a slam dunk. Kind of like showing that hand guns are used to kill people in the United States. Something that is obviously true, even if some people don't want to admit it.

rew · 20 October 2016

Well one could point to the entirely new fields of science that have arisen in the last twenty years due to the unprecedented success of evolutionary biology. You know fields like evolutionary development or comparative genomics. Fields that have allowed us to trace human migrations out of Africa and identify areas of the genome under strong selection pressure. Or maybe the success of the Barcode of Life project and how it is revolutionizing the study of biodiversity through examination of DNA sequences. Or the increasingly important role of evolutionary biology in medicine or any other field. You would have to be literally blind to every major advancement in the field of biology to conclude anything other than the obvious, that evolution is the single unifying principle of all modern day biology. It is very much alive and well, thank you very much and only an incompetent boob, or one completely lacking in knowledge could possibly fail to k=make that point clear, even in a debate format.
I think it would be fairly easy for Nelson to dismiss these things as not really relevant for the claims of evolution that they're threatened by. To show how Nelson is wrong would take detailed knowledge of each subject and the ability to explain it clearly. For example, if Nelson dismissed the evidence for human ancestry as not relevant to major evolutionary transitions it would be necessary to explain that that evidence its part of a continuum of evidence that includes evidence for major transitions and that creationists and IDers arbitrarily draw the line between evidence they accept but claim is trivial and evidence they dont.

DS · 20 October 2016

Or you could just compare all of the new fields of science spawned by evolutionary biology to all of the new fields of science NOT spawned by creationism. Let him explain the complete lack of progress in his field, which at the same time comparing it to all of the progress in real science. If he wants to dismiss things from ignorance, the burden of proof will be on him to show that evolution is irrelevant. That might be particularly hard for a field such as evolutionary development where it's right in the title.

Henry J · 20 October 2016

Re "That might be particularly hard for a field such as evolutionary development where it’s right in the title."

Ah, butte what if it were evolutionary eggheads what invented that there title!

RJ · 20 October 2016

In case it wasn't clear, I find Mr. Byers' rants not simply incorrect and ignorant, but actually offensive, as I'm reminded by the last few comments. Science lovers: just think about how much richer every science that is a science has become since 1950. Whole new fields of discovery; errors and puzzles corrected; new creative approaches with modern computing; notation and vocabulary improved; convergences with other sciences; the list goes on and on.

Creationism: zero. Not even influence; not even useful clarifications. Zero.

As a first generation university graduate, I understand that most people lack opportunities for learning, lack motivation because food must be put on the table, and generally fail to know important stuff through no real fault of their own. But some people are choosing ignorance. Pathetic, pathetic human beings.

Robert Byers · 20 October 2016

RJ said: Indulging the dangerous authoritarian bigot again: Mr. Byers, these 'debates' are cheap publicity stunts that don't require much thought, talent, or knowledge. Publishing in biology, in contrast, requires those things. Furthermore, while journal publishing certainly has a political element, it is qualitatively less than that of a 'debate'. Nelson is butting in line; he is demanding to be heard without making the contributions required of a scientist or other researcher. He is taking up time and attention that rightfully belongs to the excellent and the cooperative. If Nelson had a case he'd be able to make it in the scientific literature. He doesn't, so he doesn't. 'Elite': Nelson is demanding to be treated as an elite without doing any work. Mr. Byers, it is you who seeks to arbitrarily privilege certain conclusions, not scientists. Why are you special? You pretend to oppose arbitrary elites but in reality you just want different elites, ones who agree with you. Your constant playing of the 'underdog' is dishonest. You say you are a Christian; well, bearing false witness is a sin. Perhaps Harold would agree with me: in any morally significant sense, in any sense deserving of my respect, Mr. Byers does not want to be disciplined by the moral dictum to avoid bearing false witness.
Your analysis of these debates is as inaccurate as portraying me as "Authoritarian bigot" what does that even mean?? I don't care. the internet is full of origin debates. This is not novel. This subject is not really for the publications that only print very specific research goals. This is a greater investigation. Its perfectly suited to be before the educated or otherwise public. jThere will be more in the future and not less. Shutting down debates crowd will lose as usual in free and intelligent nations. Any debate can be as thoughtful, smart, innovativem, and persuasive as thing written down. Especially in great contentions. It suits the guys who are right more then the ones wrong and so its not a fair fight. In fact this signers crowd is raising the stakes. the Creationist only has to pull even to have beat expectations. That alone a lesson and a rebuke to the competence of the signers. Origin debates are always a win or win, win for creationism. You can't hide forever in the castle. We will starve you out and so might as well meet on the jousting field. What is the intellectually more accurate side afraid of?

Dave Luckett · 21 October 2016

What does "authoritarian bigot" mean? An "authoritarian" is somebody who does not use rational argument from facts to form opinion, but who simply cites authority, often only their own. A "bigot" is someone who very strongly holds, and vociferously defends, an irrational opinion, and attacks all others notwithstanding reason, logic, and evidence. An "authoritarian bigot" is both. You, Byers, are an authoritarian bigot.

The internet is full of howling loons like yourself, true. Debate is not what they engage in, any more than you do, because debate consists of testing opinion with evident facts. You have no facts, not a one. There is no evidence for special creation, not a scrap. All the evidence, every last straw of it, is for evolution by natural selection from common ancestors, and hence common descent.

You're oddly right to say that specialist biological research journals are specific and you won't find "origin debates" in them. That's because the debate about origins was over more than a century ago. Of course a journal that publishes current research is not going to give space to such flatulent nonsense.

The creationist does indeed only have to "pull even", as you put it. Not a one has ever done so. Every last creationist assertion has been shown to be factually false or irrelevant, or both. "Specified complexity" has no definition, and doesn't exist. "Irreducible complexity" is readily explained by evolution. Features said to be unevolvable are easily shown to have evolved, and usually their precursors are also known. Favourable mutations not only exist, they can be listed. Speciation is an observed event, not once but dozens of times. "Information" is shown to have increased by natural means, in the genome and in nature generally. There is no "theory of intelligent design", and that entire series of falsehoods and obfuscations is nothing but a cloud of words and hot air with not a hint of specifics or evidence. "Were you there?" is a desperate and nonsensical attempt to deny evidence, and a ridiculous failure. The rest is appeal to the authority of a group of myths, an attempt to equate God with what is unknown, and special pleading on an industrial scale. Oh, and deliberate falsehood. Flat lies, known by the utterer to be lies, and still uttered because to a bigot the belief is more important than the facts.

Being shown to be wrong has never dented an authoritarian, nor a bigot. That's why debating them is pointless. There is no debate, because they simply have no clue what debate is, nor could care less.

Starve us out? In your dreams. Every year, even in its last stronghold, the US, creationism by fiat is getting smaller, paler and weaker. Nearly all the mainstream Christian denominations now endorse evolution and common descent. Even the mainstream Baptist conferences outside the south are getting ready to jump ship. Outside the US, it was decided long ago.

You're dead in the water, Byers. There's nothing left for you. There hasn't been for well over a century now. But keep on writing your little screeds, and indulge your fantasies. Nobody will stop you. You're a useful reminder of how ignorant and incompetent creationism is. Otherwise, you don't matter.

fusilier · 21 October 2016

Perhaps Dr. Velasco could discuss the significance of April 17th, also known as Paul Nelson Day.

fusilier

James 2:24

Ravi · 21 October 2016

It would greatly help if the academic community would care to actually define "Evolution". Is it:

1. Change within living organisms.
2. Universal common ancestry.
3. The diversity of life by means of natural selection.

Paul Nelson is a YEC, but he would certainly accept the first definition to be true and many of his colleagues, like Behe, would accept the second definition also. The third definition is where the controversy lies.

DS · 21 October 2016

Robert Byers said: What is the intellectually more accurate side afraid of?
Well at least he admitted that his side is intellectually deficient. Way to go booby. Quite honestly, I'm afraid that someone who doesn't really know the science will be made to look stupid by someone who is willing to lie about the science. That is exactly what happened with the Nye/Ham debate. Ken lied and Bill apparently didn't know enough science to correct him. It would have shown Ken up for the lying liar that he is. One more time for the hearing impaired. SCIENCE IS NOT DECIDED BY DEBATES. If you think it is, you don't know how science works. Debates are fine for politics, or places where there can be honest differences of opinion. It is not an appropriate way to decide scientific issues and it is an extremely inefficient way to educate people. Besides, creationists are usually so dishonest and so morally deficient, they usually find some way to make the debate unfair. It just shows that their position is not supported by the facts and they know it. FIrst, publish something in the scientific literature that supports your position, then you might have earned the right to a debate with a real scientist. But notice that no other scientific issue is ever decided in this way, so it's just special pleading all the way down. If you can't convince anyone with evidence, all that's left is sour grapes and crocodile tears. booby has had his say on this thread., Time to banish him to the bathroom wall. He really hates that. Can't even bring himself to go there, even to have a "debate". "Censor" him by making him post there.

DS · 21 October 2016

Ravi said: It would greatly help if the academic community would care to actually define "Evolution". Is it: 1. Change within living organisms. 2. Universal common ancestry. 3. The diversity of life by means of natural selection. Paul Nelson is a YEC, but he would certainly accept the first definition to be true and many of his colleagues, like Behe, would accept the second definition also. The third definition is where the controversy lies.
Only in your head Joe. It must be lonely in there. Time for yet another dump to the bathroom wall.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

DS said: Only in your head.
Is gene duplication a viable explanation for the origination of biological information and complexity? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cplx.20365/abstract The debate is alive and well, as is the controversy.

DS · 21 October 2016

Ravi said:
DS said: Only in your head.
Is gene duplication a viable explanation for the origination of biological information and complexity? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cplx.20365/abstract The debate is alive and well, as is the controversy.
Sorry, no. That's only in your head. That doesn't count, remember. Besides, it has nothing to do with the supposed objection you raised. You're moving the goalposts again Joe. Man you must be getting tired of dragging those things around. If you want to discuss evolution, go to the bathroom wall. I'm sure someone there will be bored enough to respond to your bullshit.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

DS said: Sorry, no. That's only in your head. That doesn't count, remember. Besides, it has nothing to do with the supposed objection you raised. You're moving the goalposts again Joe. Man you must be getting tired of dragging those things around.
Sorry, pal. But the Neo-Darwinian paradigm of evolutionism is very much up for debate.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

Henry J said: And if a scientific theory was in "trouble", scientists would deal with that, based on the evidence. Like they did when steady state became big bang, or when Einstein revised Newton's laws, or when Einstein described the photoelectric effect, or when Mendeleev tabled the chemical elements, or when, yes, Darwin revised biology (but it's had a lot of additional revision since then).
It is precisely because the alternative to Darwinism is some form of creationism...which is anathema to the atheistic-materialistic school of biology that is predominant in academia.

RJ · 21 October 2016

Mr. (Dr.?) Luckett, I think you are overestimating the value of debate in general. Debate tends to favour the loud, the dishonest, the people who put tactics above the actual value of what they defend. It tends to make the trivial and the manipulative appear much better than it is.

I've seen many science talks, history of science talks, philosophy talks, and they never have a debate format. Sometimes there's a panel discussion which gets debate-y, but that usually is viewed as a sign that a more detailed future comparison of views is needed. Nobody tries to settle issues there and then.

In general, debate tends to favour authoritarian bigotry, whether it's person-to-person on a stage, or on the Internet. Unless you are using 'debate' more metaphorically, referring to the back-and-forth of journal articles that might accompany a scientific controversy.

In response to me, the dangerous authoritarian seems to have generated a novel reason why his 'boys' have a legitimate enterprise despite their refusal to undergo standard scientific evaluation. Or maybe I never saw that one before.

'Castle'? Pathetic. False witness. There is no doubt that science has its elites; there can be little doubt that science is more egalitarian, having less arbitrary privilege, than basically every other pursuit going. People complain about entrenched interests in academia, but I'll tell you what, it's much worse everywhere else. The university is the only workplace I've been treated with consistent respect and kindness.

RJ · 21 October 2016

Ravi, bearing false witness is a sin. While scientists have a much higher rate of atheism than people in general, there are many well-respected scientists of various faiths in every scientific field. Like Dawkins and others, I think religious faith always is a mistake. And despite lies to the contrary, like Dawkins and others, I don't hold it against people if they do good or even passable science.

Stop lying.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

RJ said: Ravi, bearing false witness is a sin. While scientists have a much higher rate of atheism than people in general, there are many well-respected scientists of various faiths in every scientific field. Like Dawkins and others, I think religious faith always is a mistake. And despite lies to the contrary, like Dawkins and others, I don't hold it against people if they do good or even passable science. Stop lying.
Darwinism is the intellectual foundation of their atheism for many scientists. That's why they won't let go of it, even if it is floundering.

eric · 21 October 2016

Ravi said: It would greatly help if the academic community would care to actually define "Evolution".
(1) The debate says "Darwin's theory." So that's what the have to define. (2) My guess is both debaters will start by explaining what they mean to discuss under the heading 'Darwin's theory.' IOW, its not necessary that all of academia decide on one single uniform denotation for the word "evolution" in order that two people on a stage talk about their differing opinions of Darwin's theory. But nice try. This is pretty standard dissembling. Its both difficult and socially awkward to defend the "poof! God magicked it" theory of origins directly. So when someone finds themselves in that position, its best to redirect the conversation onto "but first we must define what the word evolution means," eh?

eric · 21 October 2016

Ravi said: Sorry, pal. But the Neo-Darwinian paradigm of evolutionism is very much up for debate.
Before you can claim that, it would greatly help if you would care to actually define "neo-Darwinian", "paradigm" and "evolutionism."

RJ · 21 October 2016

I don't agree that 'Darwinism' (maybe you mean 'modern evolutionary biology') is the intellectual foundation for the atheism for any considerable fraction of scientists. However I could be wrong; this opinion is at least defensible, unlike the very different claim that science is dominated by some "atheistic-materialistic school". Perhaps you can't see the difference; you seem to be very heavy on conflating propositions that you think favour your case as well as ones that disfavour.

TomS · 21 October 2016

Ravi said:
DS said: Only in your head.
Is gene duplication a viable explanation for the origination of biological information and complexity? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cplx.20365/abstract The debate is alive and well, as is the controversy.
1) Is intelligent design (or creation or the supernatural or whatever) an explanation for the origination of biological "information" (in the sense of anti-evolutionists)? 2) Is there no natural explanation for the origination of "information"? 3) Is there any explanation needed for the origination (rather than for the persistence or for the diminution) of "information"? 4) Is there any origination of "information" in the physical world? 5) Is there any such thing as "information"?

eric · 21 October 2016

Ravi said: Darwinism is the intellectual foundation of their atheism for many scientists. That's why they won't let go of it, even if it is floundering.
Is this floundering? How about this? And of course no claim of the imminent demise of evolutionary theory would be complete without a link to this. Perhaps, Ravi you could take a shot at answering the last question in that last link: "Seeing all this, one can reasonably ask the question: When exactly will the demise of evolution be apparent to the rest of us?" Give us a year. Will it be 2016? 2017? 2020? When will mainstream science see the light and reject evolution in favor of "poof! God magicked it"? Keeping in mind that your side has been claiming the imminent demise for 150 years now. Personally, I'd save yourself some future embarrassment by picking 2100 at least. And who knows, IDers might even have triple-digit numbers of ID papers published by then.

eric · 21 October 2016

Hmm... my first two links don't appear to be working. Let's try this in plaintext.

For #1: Google "ecology and evolution of infectious diseases NSF." Go to bottom, click on "map of recent awards." Then click on "show total dollars." There you can observe the complete lack of evolutionary research.

For #2: used the NSF's Advanced Search engine. Enter "BIO" for the division and "7659" for the program code, then search. You can again observe the complete lack of scientific work being done on evolution.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

eric said: Before you can claim that, it would greatly help if you would care to actually define "neo-Darwinian", "paradigm" and "evolutionism."
Neo-Darwinian: "The modern version of Darwin's theory of evolution by natural selection, which claims that change in living organisms is caused by changes in DNA." Paradigm: A model, an explanatory framework, but not a theory. Evolutionism: the idea that living organisms have changed over time and likely all descend from a common ancestor.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

RJ said: I don't agree that 'Darwinism' (maybe you mean 'modern evolutionary biology') is the intellectual foundation for the atheism for any considerable fraction of scientists. However I could be wrong; this opinion is at least defensible, unlike the very different claim that science is dominated by some "atheistic-materialistic school". Perhaps you can't see the difference; you seem to be very heavy on conflating propositions that you think favour your case as well as ones that disfavour.
Science, especially biology, is dominated by a materialistic philosophy which claims that living organisms are just complex assmeblages of atoms devoid of any soul or vital force. All changes in organisms can be reduced to changes in molecules and not to any non-material factor or agency.

Ravi · 21 October 2016

TomS said: 1) Is intelligent design (or creation or the supernatural or whatever) an explanation for the origination of biological "information" (in the sense of anti-evolutionists)?
An ultimate explanation, yes, but not a sufficient explanation.
2) Is there no natural explanation for the origination of "information"?
No....well....gene duplication is commonly advanced.
3) Is there any explanation needed for the origination (rather than for the persistence or for the diminution) of "information"?
Yes. Biological information is critical to the operation of living organisms.
4) Is there any origination of "information" in the physical world?
Humans can produce information in the form of computer code, language etc.
5) Is there any such thing as "information"?
Yes. In biology, "information" usually refers to the specific arrangement of nucleotides or amino acids in DNA and proteins, just as characters are arranged in sentences.

RJ · 21 October 2016

Ravi: "Science, especially biology, is dominated by a materialistic philosophy which claims that living organisms are just complex assmeblages of atoms devoid of any soul or vital force."

Prove it or shut up.

RJ · 21 October 2016

What is a 'soul'? What is a 'vital force'?

Matt Young · 21 October 2016

i think we have heard enough from the Ravi troll; I will send future comments to the BW as soon as I see them.

DS · 21 October 2016

Actually, the link that "Ravi" provided proves that it is actually Joe B. who has been banned for threatening violence on this site. He should be immediately banned once again and prevented form ever returning.

MB · 21 October 2016

DS said: What business do a lawyer and a philosopher have debating the status of a scientific theory? Are they working scientists? Do they publish in the field? How would they know what is going on in the field? And who cares what their opinions on the subject might be? ANd who cares what they conclude? The important question is, has the theory been falsified? THe answer is no. What explanatory and predictive power does the theory have? The answer is, more than any other. Those are thee only relevant questions. Anything else is just obfuscation.
The view that "Has the theory been falsified?" is a relevant question to ask is itself a philosophical view. It's a question that has, as a matter of historical fact, had its home in the philosophy of science (e.g., the discipline from which Darwin quotes at the head of the *Origin*). And there, it has been pretty rigorously shown that this is not a relevant question, since Popper-style falsifiability fails to be a relevant criterion for most biological theories. (For just a window into this, see "What Is Wrong with Intelligent Design?." Quarterly Review of Biology, 2007, 82: 3-8.). Rather, probabilistic testability, a much different criterion if you know your statistics, is relevant. More generally, you can't run any lab experiment that will test two such criteria against each other. (In the first place, you'd probably be presupposing one of them when analyzing any data you got from such an experiment!) These aren't strictly empirical matters, they instead essentially involve matters of judgment that go beyond empirical methods. Of course, scientists may often be in good or best position to make such judgments. And some philosophers may have done badly at these judgments in the past. But certainly not all have. And to suggest that no philosophers have any role to play in this obviously philosophical matter starts to look like arrogance.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 21 October 2016

Probably the worst part of this particular debate is that its title is completely focused on evolutionary theory. Is evolutionary theory flourishing or floundering? Nelson is pushing a meaningless pseudoscience, but instead of asking if ID is even up to the level of floundering (or foundering) he gets to ride the notion that IDists want you to believe, that if evolutionary theory is inadequate we should just default to ID.

It's worth asking how well evolutionary theory is faring (so whether or not it needs amending), but so long as there is no scientific alternative it's almost impossible for it to do anything but rule biology. It explains, nothing else does. Even if it has problems, the only question worth asking is if there are good changes to be made to it. Even if we decided to toss it, ID would do nothing but prevent good ideas from appearing, since "design" tells us nothing about how life might have arisen, even if it were designed.

Whether there should be debates on this issue is a good question, but maybe it's ok if it's not a prominent scientist and if the debater has studied creationist tactics and has good comebacks. It's not ok to begin the debate by looking at evolutionary theory alone and asking how well it is doing, as if it were not the case that the utter uselessness of any "alternative" (notably, ID) means that even if evolutionary theory had any substantial problems the only real question would be of how to amend it. Why would anyone implicitly allow Nelson's bankrupt ID claims to get a pass?

Glen Davidson

DS · 21 October 2016

MB said: Rather, probabilistic testability, a much different criterion if you know your statistics, is relevant.
OK. What is the probability that the theory of evolution will be falsified? Let's see. It has stood the test of time. It has been tested in thousands of different ways. It has spawned entire new fields of inquiry. It now forms the foundation of all modern biological investigations. There are literally millions of articles published in scientific journals, many of which have tested the main points of evolutionary theory directly. It has undergone substantial revision and expansion and has still retained its basic principles. It still has much more explanatory and predictive power than other hypothesis. Indeed, there are no serious scientific contenders after all this time. What is the probability that the creationism will be falsified? Let's see. To the extent that it fails to make any testable claims, it is unfalsifiable and thus does not qualify as science. To the extent that it does make scientific claims, it has already been falsified. There is no evidence whatsoever for any creationist scenario and nothing published in any scientific journal supports creationism. It has zero explanatory and predictive power. It has accomplished absolutely nothing in the hundreds of years that it has been in existence. It has not undergone any revision or expansion and is still exactly the vacuous and scientifically sterile idea that it always was. Should be a pretty short debate. And whether the theory of evolution is floundering or not, creationism is not a viable scientific alternative, never was, never will be.

DS · 21 October 2016

MB said: And to suggest that no philosophers have any role to play in this obviously philosophical matter starts to look like arrogance.
The status of a scientific theory is not a philosophical matter. It is a matter best addressed by real scientists actively working in the field. They are the most qualified to evaluate the status of a theory. They are the ones who test it and they are the ones who use it. They are the ones who are in the best position to tell how it is doing. As for philosophers, the proper role for them is in this debate should be to point out that creationism is not science. It is not a viable scientific alternative to the theory of evolution. So, even if real scientists did conclude that the theory of evolution had problems, creationism still should not be considered as an alternative.

MB · 21 October 2016

DS said:
MB said: Rather, probabilistic testability, a much different criterion if you know your statistics, is relevant.
OK. What is the probability that the theory of evolution will be falsified? Let's see. It has stood the test of time. It has been tested in thousands of different ways. It has spawned entire new fields of inquiry. It now forms the foundation of all modern biological investigations. There are literally millions of articles published in scientific journals, many of which have tested the main points of evolutionary theory directly. It has undergone substantial revision and expansion and has still retained its basic principles. It still has much more explanatory and predictive power than other hypothesis. Indeed, there are no serious scientific contenders after all this time. What is the probability that the creationism will be falsified? Let's see. To the extent that it fails to make any testable claims, it is unfalsifiable and thus does not qualify as science. To the extent that it does make scientific claims, it has already been falsified. There is no evidence whatsoever for any creationist scenario and nothing published in any scientific journal supports creationism. It has zero explanatory and predictive power. It has accomplished absolutely nothing in the hundreds of years that it has been in existence. It has not undergone any revision or expansion and is still exactly the vacuous and scientifically sterile idea that it always was. Should be a pretty short debate. And whether the theory of evolution is floundering or not, creationism is not a viable scientific alternative, never was, never will be.
Perhaps you took me to be defending the relevance of talking about creationism. I was doing no such thing. Obviously I think evolutionary theory is highly confirmed and there is no competition between it and creationism. I was making a very different point about the criteria you're using being philosophical matters. What we have is massive amounts of evidence in favour of various evolutionary hypotheses, common descent, etc. And creationists lack that. But as a matter of demonstrable mathematical fact, most evolutionary hypotheses are not even the kinds of things that can be falsified. They are not even candidates, because their hypotheses are probabilistic. Maybe you're just not getting the nuance between the ways I'm using the terms "falsifiable" and "testable". On this usage, the hypothesis that the coin in my pocket has a .5 chance of landing heads when flipped is testable, but not falsifiable. There is no test that could render such a probabilistic hypothesis certainly false, in the way that 2+2=5 is certainly false. My point is not that this is a bad thing for evolutionary theory. It's that falsifiability is the wrong criterion for testing it. You need probabilistic testability. And by those sorts of criteria--which are the relevant ones--evolutionary theory is incredibly successful, and creationism isn't even playing the game. But again, one doesn't determine that probabilistic testability is the relevant criterion by doing strictly empirical work. Good philosophy of science (often done by scientists and statisticians) has been a big help to clarifying why evolutionary theory crushes creationism, and you seem a little too defensive to see that.

MB · 21 October 2016

DS said:
MB said: And to suggest that no philosophers have any role to play in this obviously philosophical matter starts to look like arrogance.
The status of a scientific theory is not a philosophical matter. It is a matter best addressed by real scientists actively working in the field. They are the most qualified to evaluate the status of a theory. They are the ones who test it and they are the ones who use it. They are the ones who are in the best position to tell how it is doing. As for philosophers, the proper role for them is in this debate should be to point out that creationism is not science. It is not a viable scientific alternative to the theory of evolution. So, even if real scientists did conclude that the theory of evolution had problems, creationism still should not be considered as an alternative.
I think you're still not seeing the point. I agree that scientists are typically in the best position to use some test, call it T, apply it to hypotheses, and then conclude whether H is supported by T. Nobody doubts that. But whether T is the best type of test in the first place, or whether instead T* is better in such and such a case, is not strictly an empirical issue. It is one that statisticians and philosophers of science often do good work on. So sure, scientists are in the best position to tell us whether hypotheses survive the application of T, but they are not the only ones who should be doing foundational work on the nature and relevance of T itself.

RJ · 21 October 2016

DS, I don’t appreciate you telling me what is my proper role. I’m not interested in showing what is wrong with creationism, because that is easy and not of scholarly interest. I am not a propagandist for science, much as I love it.

MB, I think there are good reasons to suppose that Popper’s criterion of falsifiability is useless in all cases, not just probabilistic theories. Read David Stove, if you can stomach the right-wing raving.

And this may not be news to you MB, but if it is, I hope you’ll find it useful. When philosophy people get involved with a site like this, and say things like ‘theory-choice is not a strictly empirical matter’, folks like DS often are quick to assume that you’re selling fairy dust. When we study philosophy of science, we quickly learn that empirical data alone does not specify a theory. This is not always as clear to people with a strictly science background.

I will note in DS’s defence that there is some rational justification for impatience with science scholarship from the humanities. Very large parts of this literature I myself find (putting it mildly) unscholarly and pathetically ignorant of the real science, thus creating space for cranks like Steve ‘Arrogant Pinhead’ Fuller and Bruno ‘Biochemistry is Gibberish’ Latour. It might even conform to the straight rule to assume that a random individual, coming here with a humanities perspective, is a jackass with nothing to say.

DS · 21 October 2016

MB,

Seems we are in agreement. Anyone who defends science is OK in my book.

However, the topic of the debate is not whether evolution is testable or what the probability is for ay given hypothesis. The topic is specifically if the theory is "flourishing or floundering". It is still my contention that the people most likely to make the argument for evolution are working scientists. They are usually in the best position to know how the theory is being tested and used in everyday practice. However, if you or anyone else is qualified to make the argument for evolution convincingly, by all means have at it.

Matt Young · 21 October 2016

I agree that there is a place for philosophers of science; a philosopher of science developed the term falsifiable, for example. But I do not understand this statement:

On this usage, the hypothesis that the coin in my pocket has a [0].5 chance of landing heads when flipped is testable, but not falsifiable.

I make no distinction between testable and falsifiable, but suppose I took your coin and flipped it a zillion times. I got an answer that it landed on heads by a number that differs from 0.5 by more than, say, 5 standard deviations of the mean. I would say that I have falsified your claim that the probability was 0.5. Can you please distinguish between testable and falsifiable? To me, I test a hypothesis by making a measurement; if the measurement gives me a result different from what I hypothesized, the hypothesis is falsified. Now, that is assuming, as Feynman put it, that the experiment "has been rubbed back and forth a few times to make sure that the consequences are logical consequences from the guess [hypothesis]."

DS · 21 October 2016

RJ,

Sorry. DIdn't mean to be condescending or step on any toes. As I told RJ, if you think you are sufficiently knowledgeable to make a convincing case for evolution, I don't care if you are a philosopher or an auto mechanic, have at it. No one is asking you to be a "propagandist".

You were certainly right about my reaction to MB. It seems that I misjudged him.

RJ · 21 October 2016

I'm not sure that 'argumentation' is the right way to advocate for evolution or climate science to the general public. I don't know who coined the aphorism, which goes something like "you can't argue someone out of a position they did not reach through rational argumentation." Like it or not, argumentation is not the natural mode of conversation for most people. This is a political-social issue, not a scientific or philosophical one.

In terms of disproving creationism, the case is so clear and elementary that no advanced philosophy is necessary. Scientists probably are better here than philosophers.

I'm not pretending I know what to do!!!

TomS · 21 October 2016

RJ said: I'm not sure that 'argumentation' is the right way to advocate for evolution or climate science to the general public. I don't know who coined the aphorism, which goes something like "you can't argue someone out of a position they did not reach through rational argumentation." Like it or not, argumentation is not the natural mode of conversation for most people. This is a political-social issue, not a scientific or philosophical one. In terms of disproving creationism, the case is so clear and elementary that no advanced philosophy is necessary. Scientists probably are better here than philosophers. I'm not pretending I know what to do!!!
Unfortunately, many times scientists approach the evolution-denialists from the point of view of science. Let us suppose that scientist "S" is in a discussion with "Y", a YEC. Y says that his Bible tells him that evolution is wrong, and that overrides any scientific evidence. What is S going to say? Is S going to know enough about the Bible to point out that the Bible does not have anything to say about evolution? Or that plenty of Bible believers dropped their Bible-based belief in geocentrism in the face of scientific evidence? What is S going to say? If Y says that thermodynamics shows that evolution is false, what is S going to do? Give a lecture on thermodynamics? Remember that most non-technical people cannot understand simple algebra.

RJ · 21 October 2016

I think that partly due to the salutatory influence of this blog among others, scientists have gotten educated about the uselessness of technical talk in convincing the general public.

I suppose that an effective propagandist for evolution would need to know something about the history of early modern science, the Enlightenment, and secular humanism. Likely many believers would be surprised to hear that secular humanism was devised by Christians who sought to avoid a repeat of the bloody, horrible, nominally religious wars that characterized the Reformation. Perhaps a narrative of how Christians were converted to modern secularism and science would be the way to go.

You'd need to talk at their level. Thank the FSM I don't have to try; I have enough trouble with people I basically agree with!

Maybe read some Erasmus. Read from him, Erasmus praising the Lord; don't tell them he was a founder of humanism until after you get through that part.

That Dr. Velasco who's taking on Paul 'Dishonest Question-Ducker' Nelson; I'm not sure he's got something like this up his sleeve.

RJ · 21 October 2016

Matt: for Popper, 'falsifiable' means 'deductively falsifiable'. It means that there are possible empirical propositions which conjoined to the theory would be deductively contradictory (and not simply, say, deeply implausible).

Thus the theory that metals are all electrically conductive is falsifiable because you can specify how to disprove it [find a nonconductive metal]; and falsified, because there are metals which are not conductive (if I recall correctly).

But Popper falls down in the face of the messy bundles of uncertainty that characterize real physical science.

So, brief answer: falsifiability is a specific subclass of testability in lingo common to analytic philosophy of science.

Joe Felsenstein · 21 October 2016

TomS said:
RJ said: I'm not sure that 'argumentation' is the right way to advocate for evolution or climate science to the general public. I don't know who coined the aphorism, which goes something like "you can't argue someone out of a position they did not reach through rational argumentation." Like it or not, argumentation is not the natural mode of conversation for most people. This is a political-social issue, not a scientific or philosophical one. In terms of disproving creationism, the case is so clear and elementary that no advanced philosophy is necessary. Scientists probably are better here than philosophers. I'm not pretending I know what to do!!!
Unfortunately, many times scientists approach the evolution-denialists from the point of view of science. Let us suppose that scientist "S" is in a discussion with "Y", a YEC. Y says that his Bible tells him that evolution is wrong, and that overrides any scientific evidence. What is S going to say? Is S going to know enough about the Bible to point out that the Bible does not have anything to say about evolution? Or that plenty of Bible believers dropped their Bible-based belief in geocentrism in the face of scientific evidence? What is S going to say? If Y says that thermodynamics shows that evolution is false, what is S going to do? Give a lecture on thermodynamics? Remember that most non-technical people cannot understand simple algebra.
Which of the two arguments are likely to occur? An argument about whether science supports evolution? Or an argument about what the Bible says? I would think that trying to persuade an audience that its views on religion are mistaken is unlikely to succeed. Trying to persuade them that modern science supports evolution is a better bet. Many people are fairly unclear on the relationship between the findings of science and the teachings of their religion. They may want very much to believe that the Garden of Eden was in 4004 BC, while also acknowledging that dinosaurs flourished millions of years ago. They may be shocked to hear that Paul Nelson thinks that the universe is only 6000 years old, while scientists have concluded that the light from the farthest parts of our own galaxy left those stars 100,000 years ago.

MB · 21 October 2016

RJ said: DS, I don’t appreciate you telling me what is my proper role. I’m not interested in showing what is wrong with creationism, because that is easy and not of scholarly interest. I am not a propagandist for science, much as I love it. MB, I think there are good reasons to suppose that Popper’s criterion of falsifiability is useless in all cases, not just probabilistic theories. Read David Stove, if you can stomach the right-wing raving. And this may not be news to you MB, but if it is, I hope you’ll find it useful. When philosophy people get involved with a site like this, and say things like ‘theory-choice is not a strictly empirical matter’, folks like DS often are quick to assume that you’re selling fairy dust. When we study philosophy of science, we quickly learn that empirical data alone does not specify a theory. This is not always as clear to people with a strictly science background. I will note in DS’s defence that there is some rational justification for impatience with science scholarship from the humanities. Very large parts of this literature I myself find (putting it mildly) unscholarly and pathetically ignorant of the real science, thus creating space for cranks like Steve ‘Arrogant Pinhead’ Fuller and Bruno ‘Biochemistry is Gibberish’ Latour. It might even conform to the straight rule to assume that a random individual, coming here with a humanities perspective, is a jackass with nothing to say.
This is helpful context, thanks. I sell no fairy dust. And the point about the straight rule is depressing. Sigh.

MB · 21 October 2016

DS said: MB, Seems we are in agreement. Anyone who defends science is OK in my book. However, the topic of the debate is not whether evolution is testable or what the probability is for ay given hypothesis. The topic is specifically if the theory is "flourishing or floundering". It is still my contention that the people most likely to make the argument for evolution are working scientists. They are usually in the best position to know how the theory is being tested and used in everyday practice. However, if you or anyone else is qualified to make the argument for evolution convincingly, by all means have at it.
Sounds good DS. One little remaining quibble is that I think the right person for the job of defending evolution in a "debate" like this depends on the audience. If it's a bunch of ID people, it would probably take a pretty special scientists to be able to 'speak their language' while at the same time getting the science both correct and convincing. Though probably this type of person will be unusual in whatever her respective discipline is. For example, I don't know many philosophers of science or science journalists who are ideal either. I suspect Dr. Velasco will be pretty good though.

eric · 21 October 2016

RJ said: I suppose that an effective propagandist for evolution would need to know something about the history of early modern science, the Enlightenment, and secular humanism.
Given that the word "propaganda" carries with it the implication of misleading your audience, I say we don't need propagandists for evolution, period. And therefore it is irrelevant how they are educated. IMO some of the best presenters of evolution are professors, lab TAs, and the laboratory units they teach. Sure, science profs may occasionally stink as speakers, but actually doing lab work and learning how the words in the book connect to what happens in the world catapults a person's understanding far beyond the qualitative pop-science level most often achieved just through informal talking. Moreover, I assert that we have a direct, quantitative measure that they are good presenters: surveys of who does and doesn't accept evolution. Acceptance correlates strongly with education. And that means education is one of the more important factors in changing people's minds.

DavidK · 21 October 2016

Mike Elzinga said:
Henry J said: And if a scientific theory was in "trouble", scientists would deal with that, based on the evidence. Like they did when steady state became big bang, or when Einstein revised Newton's laws, or when Einstein described the photoelectric effect, or when Mendeleev tabled the chemical elements, or when, yes, Darwin revised biology (but it's had a lot of additional revision since then).
It’s all those damned revisions that are the problem. If you read the Christian holy book properly, there is no need for revision because disagreement on any part of that book brings into question everything else. And questions are bad.
Including all those books banned from the bible and those pesky translations that differ one from another.

Henry J · 21 October 2016

IMNSHO, the problem with "debating" people who refuse to listen is that arguing with such people requires a skill set that scientists aren't all that likely to have, as that skill set serves no purpose in their lab work.

Henry J · 21 October 2016

Re "and those pesky translations that differ one from another. "

Oh, that's just because of the tower of Babble incident.

Matt Young · 22 October 2016

Matt: for Popper, ‘falsifiable’ means ‘deductively falsifiable’. It means that there are possible empirical propositions which conjoined to the theory would be deductively contradictory (and not simply, say, deeply implausible).

Fair enough -- I will have to take your word for it, because I do not think that distinction came across from the material I read (Conjectures and Refutations, among other sources not by Popper, most probably >15 years ago. I noticed just now that he defined testable and falsifiable as synonyms.)

...But Popper falls down in the face of the messy bundles of uncertainty that characterize real physical science.

I suppose so, but I will bet that most physicists, at least, use "statistically (or probabilistically) falsifiable" in their work. Falsifiability suffers from the problem, noted by Popper, that "admirers" of a theory can always make up an ad hoc hypothesis, but is that not also true of "deductible falsifiability"? (Sometimes, those ad hoc hypotheses are right, by the way, but I do not think Popper mentions that possibility in C&R.)

So, brief answer: falsifiability is a specific subclass of testability in lingo common to analytic philosophy of science.

And it means "deductively falsifiable"? What term do we use for "statistically falsifiable"? Or don't we?

RJ · 22 October 2016

A high education/evolution-acceptance correlation proves exactly nothing about profs' and TAs' abilities as science advocates. It only proves that people with a university education are more likely to accept evolution. Maybe they're screwing up completely and the correlation should be higher. Whether or not this is plausible, there are numerous confounding variables.

So this correlation pretty obviously is not a direct or quantifiable measure of ability to present evolution, or anything else. The assertion that this correlation is indicative of professorial presentation abilities strikes me as bizarre coming from a regular contributor, because it is so obviously fallacious.

I'm also pretty sure that the correlation is considerably less high for the arguably more-important issue of global warming.

For what it's worth, I personally think these philosopher vs. philosopher deathmatches probably do more harm than good, and more generally, people should decline 'debates' with creationists. Some will think this is indicative of something to hide, but those people usually are the same ones that cannot be persuaded anyway. In declining such invitations, I think a little offence would be in order. Say that just as a historian would be irresponsible in doing a public debate on whether the holocaust happened... Of course that is inflammatory and will put off some people for sure, but it might be better in the long run. The mere hosting of such 'debates' gives creationism undeserved credibility.

RJ · 22 October 2016

Popper is sometimes inconsistent in his word use, without realizing it - one reason he gets more credit than he deserves. People confuse their views with his because of the way Popper talks. They assume that Popper is expressing their views as trained scientists, when really he is not. They read Popper as saying some commonplace or deeply plausible view when actually he is defending something very implausible.

Popper is a deeply serious deductivist, though, so if he is using 'testable' as a synonym for 'falsifiable' (I don't want to pull the book off the shelf right now) he means deductive fallibility. MB can speak for him/herself but I was assuming they meant 'testable' to mean a more generic, less specific quality of theories.

One of the virtues Popper claims for his deductivism is that it is more difficult to defend ad hoc hypotheses under its dictates. If you take it seriously enough, it's actually impossible. If empirical propositions deductively contradict a theory, there is no way to make the propositions consistent by adding hypotheses - they remain inconsistent.

I'm not personally very picky about what lingo to use for these various sorts of testability. I'm much more inclined to just specify how theories can be or are tested on a case-by-case basis. Because deductivism is useless in my opinion, among other reasons.

Joe Felsenstein · 24 October 2016

So, did Nelson and Velasco debate? I can't find any account online.

Joe Felsenstein · 24 October 2016

I discovered discussion of an earlier debate by these two, in early 2014, at Uncommon Descent and at Cornelius Hunter's blog. To see the discussion Google: Nelson Velasco debate.

They seem to have had it live-streamed but I don't find any video online.

eric · 24 October 2016

RJ said: A high education/evolution-acceptance correlation proves exactly nothing about profs' and TAs' abilities as science advocates. It only proves that people with a university education are more likely to accept evolution.
Yes it correlates with overall education, but even more strongly with getting a degree in the sciences. And LOL saying that they aren't good at communicating the material, it's just that the people who study under them become more convinced of evolution than the people who don't, is IMO splitting hairs. Exactly how are you defining 'good communicator' if you're not going to consider that the cohort that goes in to their classes is about 50% YEC, while that same cohort coming out is less than 30% YEC? Let's put it another way. Let's say that Prof Velasco's debate reaches 10,000 viewers. Afterwards, through some poll or other means we become highly confident that the debate caused 2,000 of the 5,000 YECers who watched to change their mind and accept evolution. But we don't know for sure that the debate did it! After all, it's just a correlation. Would we count the debate as a success? I'd say very clearly yes. That would be a remarkable and incredible success, and the counter 'but its only correlation, you haven't shown causation' be damned. But that sort of percentage is what science educators achieve in net. Any individual educator may only be responsible for a tiny bit of that, and sure it may just all be correlation not causation, but the net effect is quite large.
I'm also pretty sure that the correlation is considerably less high for the arguably more-important issue of global warming.
Great, you just supported the notion that it's education specifically about evolution that's working. If increased acceptance of evolution with degree attainment was just a result of generic college leading to generic science acceptance, then the two would go up together. But you say they don't, so it can't be that, can it?

DS · 24 October 2016

Joe Felsenstein said: I discovered discussion of an earlier debate by these two, in early 2014, at Uncommon Descent and at Cornelius Hunter's blog. To see the discussion Google: Nelson Velasco debate. They seem to have had it live-streamed but I don't find any video online.
Well that brings up another potential qualification. If he has debated this guy before and it went well, it might go well again. At least he could be prepared for most of the arguments and had time to debunk them. After all, these guys rarely learn anything new and almost never change their tune. Someone who knows a bit about biology would be most likely to adapt to the situation.

Bobsie · 24 October 2016

This "debate" was scheduled for last Friday evening. Anyone have any information how it all went down?

Joe Felsenstein · 24 October 2016

Cornelius Hunter (for the 2014) debate praised Velasco’s argument as “exceptionally well presented”. That kind of praise is not usual for him. (Of course he then dismissed Velasco’s argument as obviously wrong).

If they’ve done it before, they’ll probably do it again. Nelson gets the professional validation he needs, and Velasco probably feels he’s doing well and making headway, and is not sensitive to the issue of providing professional validation of Nelson.

The noteworthy aspect of this debate is then the professors’ letter objecting to it.

Joe Felsenstein · 25 October 2016

Paul Nelson emailed me to say that the debate was video-recorded, and that the organizers will release it, once the slides are edited in. Which requires some effort. So it will be available in about 7-10 days, apparently. He will send me a link.

Matt Young · 26 October 2016

Glenn Branch tells us that there is a brief report on the debate in Hilltop Views, the student newspaper, here.

eric · 26 October 2016

Matt Young said: Glenn Branch tells us that there is a brief report on the debate in Hilltop Views, the student newspaper, here.
Thanks for the link. Sadly, it doesn't sound like much of a success from either a presentation perspective ( = it sounds like they talked over the heads of the audience) or from a content perspective ( = it doesn't sound like Velasco effectively refuted bad creationist claims). The fact that there were zero questions from the audience afterwards is kind of telling.

DS · 26 October 2016

From the article cited above:

“For example, the opponent’s arguments rested on the claims that there was no evolutionary explanation for orphan genes and therefore that nullifies common ancestry,”

Really? Then the fact that the vast majority of genes have clear antecedents is definitive evidence for common ancestry. I wonder if Velasco made this point? Since the debate apparently centered around "molecular genetics and phylogenetics", did either participant know enough e=about these topics to present a valid argument?

And the moderator claimed that both had used scientific articles to support their arguments. Really? Did those articles support their arguments? Or did the pseudoscience mumbo jumbo cover up the fact that there is no scientific evidence that supports creationism?

DS · 26 October 2016

The Lack of Discovery Institute likes to claim that orphan genes "defy evolution". Of course,nothing could be further from the truth. There are many explanations for the origin of such genes, I sure hope that Joel pointed some of them out. But then again, the Disco Tute are the same jack asses who claimed that ants did not need to be on the ark!

Henry J · 26 October 2016

Since there probably wouldn't be any picnics in progress on the Ark, what would ants do there?

DS · 26 October 2016

Henry J said: Since there probably wouldn't be any picnics in progress on the Ark, what would ants do there?
Serve as food for the ant eaters.

Just Bob · 26 October 2016

DS said:
Henry J said: Since there probably wouldn't be any picnics in progress on the Ark, what would ants do there?
Serve as food for the ant eaters.
It would take a hell of a lot more than two. Or are ants "clean"? If so, the anteaters could feast on SEVEN ants for a year. But then that would mean no ants to repopulate the earth after their kind. Or to hyper-turbo-evolve into the 12,000 or so current species. Dang, this Ark stuff just doesn't seem to work very well. Wonder why.

TomS · 26 October 2016

DS said:
Henry J said: Since there probably wouldn't be any picnics in progress on the Ark, what would ants do there?
Serve as food for the ant eaters.
But we are told that carnivory was introduced only after the landing of the Ant Which suggests two questions: Why did Adam choose the name "anteater"? When the anteaters had their first meals after the Flood, how many kinds of ants went extinct?

DS · 26 October 2016

Well if ants didn't need to go onto the magic ark, why did beetles? Why do so many losers try to explain why there are so many different species of beetles if they didn't need to go on the ark? Didn't they get the memo? And if ants didn't need the magic ark, what did? Why have a magic ark at all if magic could be used?

Henry J · 27 October 2016

Re "Well if ants didn’t need to go onto the magic ark, why did beetles?"

Because, the designer liked beetles; that's why there's so many of them! And some of them even glow!